PRESIDENTIAL BRIEFING 17 NOVEMBER 1977

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP81B00401R002400010012-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 10, 2003
• Sequence Number: 12
• Publication Date: November 15, 1977
• Content Type: MF

Approved For ReIef 2003/0
DP81 800401 R00,0010Q1 =5
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5 EQS7 1977
FR0P1: Director of Central Intelligence
SUBJECT: Presidential Briefing 17 November 1977
I'm probably going to put the Soviet grain prediction
situation into the Presidential Brief for Thursday. I'd like
to know:
'How much, if any, world grain prices were
affected by Brezhnev's announcement of 194 million
tons?
?What date Brezhnev made his announcement?
?Would it have been logical for us to deduce
from the fact that we knew the Soviets were going
to buy 20 to 25 million tons that their harvest
was going to be low, or were there other reasons
such as stockpiling that they might have had in
mind?
?When the United States predicts its own grain
production for the year with all the data we have
available to us, how accurate are we: six months
in advance; three months in advance; one month in
advance? In short, we missed the Soviet production
by 10%; how much were we likely to have missed our
own production even with better data?
'Do we think the Soviets are deliberately
falsifying their weather data specifically to
throw us off i.n this regard, or is the confusion
in their hourly and daily weather reporting some
other anomaly?
s~
I&
ANSFIELD -TURNER
Approved For Release 2003/0
E2 IMPDET
V, 1'?~-RDP81 800401 R00240001001l~X5 010143
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