HEARINGS GIVE CLUES AS TO HOW SEN. LONG AIMS TO GET TAX MEASURE CARTER CAN SIGN

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CIA-RDP81M00980R000600060008-2
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RIFPUB
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K
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2
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December 15, 2016
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May 18, 2004
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8
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Publication Date: 
August 28, 1978
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NSPR
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ON PAGE THE WALL STREET JOURNAL d For Release 4/00t'i : JftRDP81 M00980R000600060008-2 Hearings Give Clues as to. How Sen?: Lo Aims to Get Tax Measure. Carter-Can Sign By JOHN PIERSON Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL WASHINGTON-One of Russell Longs; strengths as a legislative operator is that he doesn't want much for himself. Take the tax bill of 1978, for example. A week of hearings by the Senate Fi- nance Committee and sometimes Delphic ut- terances by Chairman Long suggest that the Louisiana Democrat' would be happy if all he got from the next six weeks of work on the tax bill was (1) Something President Carter could sign and (2) Additional tax breaks for companies that set up Employe Stock Own- ership Plans, or ESOPs. Getting the second should be easy, if Sen. Long can only figure out a way to get the first. His ESOP bill would cost-the Treasury $1.8 billion next'year. hardly a sum the rest of Congress and Mr. Carter could begrudge someone who saved them from a tax-bill veto in an election year. Mr. Carter says he will veto the bill.. un- less the Senate and. House-Senate conferees "correct some of the basic errors" in the House-passed version. That means.- the President says,'producing a bill that would make the tax code fairer, simpler and more friendly to capital- formation than the House bill. Precisely how Sen. Long will try to trans- late those splendid principles into legislative language remains unclear. But the' Finance Committee hearings have produced some hints. Miller -to Testify The hearings -are due to end Sept. 6 with testimony from Federal Reserve Board Chairman G. William Miller. The committee plans to start drafting its version of the tax bill Sept. 7. . .-.>..: .. . . .In Mr. Carter's, eyes, the basic error the House committed was to give too much of its $16.3 billion tax cut to rich folk and too little to everyone. else: What the President regards as a maldistribution of benefits oc- curs because of the House's hefty cut in cap- ital-gains taxes and because the House voted against. trying. to make the tax code: more "progressive" ..and. decided, for the, first time in years. to make everyone s share- of the tax...cut roughly equal -to his current share of the tax burden.. Whatever Mr. Carter's: views; the. winds on Capitol Hill are blowing strongly toward a big cut in. capital-gains taxes and against more - tax ?progressivity. Thus,- even if he .wanted to. Sen. Long. probably couldn't switch benefits from the upper end of the in= come scale to the lower end. The best hecan do for his President is to pile on more benefits at the lower 'end. And that's going to cost moremrtoney._ ':- Take capital gains, which are gains from the sale of.corporate stock, real estate and other capital assets. The House voted to cut the top tax rate on capital gains to 35% from 49% by removing them from the list of pref- erences under both the 15% minimum tax and the 50% maximum tax.on earned in- It also voted to "index" gains for infla- tion, starting in 1980, by permitting owners of capital assets to increase their cost basis in line with consumer prices. The House bill also would allow homeowners to avoid tax, once in a lifetime, on up. to $100,000 of profit from a home sale. . - In place of the old 15% minimum tax on gains, the House agreed to establish a new 10% alternative minimum tax. which would have to be-paid only to the extent it ex- ceeded regular tax liability. The House bill also would repeal the option of having the first $50.000 of capital gains, taxed at no more than .25%. These changes would produce a net tax cut of S1.9" billion next year and $6.8 billion a year by 1983. after indexing started to have an effect. The homeowners' exclusion was added after President Carter denounced the cap! tal-gains provisions for 'providing "huge to windfalls for millionaires and two. bits for the average American." Some 96%6 of the benefits from changing the minimum, maxi- mum and alternative taxes 'would go to those earning more than $50,000 a year. . More than 71% of the benefits of indexing' would go to taxpayers making more than'. $50,000. The homeowners' tax break is the! only part of the capital-gains package that, could be described as providing most of itsl benefits directly to. "average" Americans;j 70% of it would go to those in the 510,000-to-' $50,000 income class. Chairman Long finds himself caught be- tween Mr. Carter, who. wants the capital- gains relief scaled down and the alternative minimum tax toughened, and 60 Senators sponsoring the "Steiger" plan, named for Rep. William Steiger (R., - Wis.), which would cut the top rate on capital gains even further than the House bill, to 25%. . To placate his Senate colleagues. Sen. Long appears to be leaning toward a capital- gains package that would include the House provision eliminating gains as a preference item under both the minimum and maxi- mum taxes, plus something President Ken- nedy proposed in 1963-an increase in the capital-gains exclusion to 70% from 50%. To soothe the President; Sen. Long seems;, also to. be thinking about a much tougher al- ternative minimum' tax than the House: passed, deleting indexing, and maybe even reducing the House-passed homeowners' tax break.. :.- Removing gains as a preference item and raising the exclusion to 70% would cut the' top rate on capital- gains to 21%. even fur- ther than the Steiger plan. Unlike the Steiger plan, however, raising. the exclusion! would-also benefit asset-holders in all tax brackets. It would, for example_ help com- :pensate '.homeowners:for- a less-generous A. tougher alternative- minimum tax would reduce the, number ' of high-income persons who, use other. deductions Ito shelter 1 -large capital gains from'-tax, and could raise some revenue-to help pay- for Sen. Long's capital again package.:... " Eliminating inflation indexing would save the Treasury lots _ of money in the. long run and might be the single most important step toward avoiding a presidential veto. A capital-gains package' like this would; cost the Treasury about $3 billion next year,I half again as much as the House-passed pro-l visions. But neither estimate assumes anyl revenue "feedback" from increased sales of, capital assets or increased. capital invest-1 ment. After toyingwith the concept for. -years, Sen.-Long has lately come to?develop an al-1 most irresistible-taste for feedback. So its wouldn't surprise anyone to find the Finance Committee approving a big cut in capital- gains rates with a small price tag. ' . Another way Chairman Long likes to rer duce the size of tax-cut bills is to delay ef- fective dates, a device that helps him avoid running afoul of the letter, if not.the spirit, of congressional budget procedures. As a further revenue offset in` the area of 'capital gains, he has even hinted that he might try taxing capital gains unrealized at the death of the,asset holder, a long-sought goal of lib- eral tax" "reformers." A big cut in rates would take some of the sting out of taxing gains at death. ? As for the other "error"-President Carter4 says the House committed too much for the, rich, too little for everyone else-Sen. Long! seems determined to correct this mainly by piling on more benefits at the lower end of the income scale. This could be done in a": variety of ways, by increasing the earned ind come credit for the working poor, for exam- C?NTIN 5' Approved For Release 2004/06/14: CIA-RDP81 M00980R000600060008-2 Approved For Release 2004/06/14 :-CIA-RDP81M00980R000600060008-2 In addition, the Finance Committee al- ready has approved a more generous credit for the elderly, and all of the benefit, about $300 billion, would go to those earning less than $20,000 a year. Provisions like this- will certainly almost be added to the big tax bill to fatten the tax breaks for low and middle- income people. Sen. Long would like.to provide a large enough.cut in income taxes to offset the in- crease that's: due to occur'next year, as So- .cial Security taxes rise.. and as inflation pushes individuals into higher income-tax brackets. Social Security and inflation will add an estimated $11 billion to $12 billion to the individual tax burden between 1978 and 1979. The House bill would offset only $10.4 billion of that. "I hope we can change the bill to make it a. tax cut for everybody," Sen.' Long said at the hearings. ? Instead of the House bill's $16.3 billion cut, he said, he's thinking more in terms of-a reduction of $20 billion. Cliairman. Long isn't the only member of the Finance Committee, or of the Senate, with Ideas about how to distribute that money. Along the way to trying to produce a bill President darter can sign, Sen. Long will have to deal with strong demands for, among other things: a cut in the top corpo- rate rate deeper than the House-passed re- duction to 461% from 48%6; an exemption from the top corporate rate higher than the House's $100,000, which is twice the existing figure; retention of the general jobs tax credit, instead of the targeted credit the House approved; a still more generous, in- vestment-tax credit than the House voted, and a separate charitable deduction for tax- payers who use the standard deduction. Approved For Release 2004/06/14: CIA-RDP81 M00980R000600060008-2