LETTER TO(Sanitized) FROM ROBERT AMORY, JR.

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP81S00999R000100070001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 29, 2001
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 8, 1952
• Content Type: LETTER

Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIA- DP81S-00999R000100070001-7
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Assist 4 Director
1e*"areh and Reports
fl/A/RR: re
Distribution:
rig and 1 - Addressee
- OAD
1 - DJM /~
1- 1IA
1 - 'V~'s
1 - D/A Files
I - D/A Chroo
Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIA34DP$SD099R000100070001-7
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 Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIA FP I
?ii WO110 PRODUCTION AND COIi4UlMOW F
Qirl8S WRIOIER, IX x
Free 1111164A (Bounded)
Aa
3,359,000
1 66.7
a
a
Japan
134,066
47,820
!laillppin"
a
nil
No" a But
172
Bmt
n. a.
Turkey
a
a
South ? a
699,307
Portuguese India
nil
a
India
l 679,163
nil
679,163
Other and n.s.s.
nil
a
a
Africa (encl. Egypt)
1,81,6,666
Angola
a
nil
a
Belgian Congo
a
nil
a
French Africa
287,265
nil
291,548
Gold Coast
W 711,416
nil
711,416
Union of South Africa
790,937
nil
710,046
Other and n.e.s.
a
nil
a
303 7 2
argsnsina
a
nil
a
Brasil
162,600
nil
J
162
600
Chile
a
nil
,
n. a.
Cuba
nil
89,266
Mexico
!f 322,
nil
35,824
North AmeEna excl. Latin
American Covatrioal
127,158
nil
123,102
nil
United States
L~ 127,188
1,832,510
8
130
Western Do
006
59
,
Belgium-Luxembourg
1
nil
45,82b
763
Francs
nil
J
340,552
219142
Western German
a
150,047
1011
Italy .
a
a
a
Netherlands
nil
a
a
. Sorwq
nil
162,176
nil
Spain
a
n.a.
nil
Sweden
10,000
28,782
a
United K' Dodos
nil
410,366
nil
Yugoslavia
a
a
a
Other and n. s. s.
an
a
nil
Greece
a
nil
a
Portugal
a
nil
WApparent
Consumption
3,618,000
2282
a
181,886
nil
1,45-4
n. a.
a
50,075
ni l
r J 50,000
a
44,000
nil
nil
ni I
nil
J 4t,, COO
ni.1
28, 500
a
a
a
nil
15,000
2,074,670
1,951,568
1 205942
.337,:x.0
149y>,1
a
a
162? '5
a
38,782
1110,366
a
a
a
nil
a? Less than am psroent of free world total. b. Prgduction plus imports are
not neososarily peal to the sun of espsrte and apparent consumption due to
change, in prodosersr iemtoriere o. Appsiaatsly 30 percent manganese.
d. bperts. e. 1stimate.., S. More apparent oonsumption calculates to a
negative figure, aoteal or estimated data have been included. g. Shipeents.
he Including manganiferous iron ore. n.a. Not available.
NAVQWMZ OSi Q
ILE POSITION
SLED IM Iwo DMf TOM
Sciedvled
Ia Iavratosy
to be in
Inventory
B
-
'o
attery or eke
50 965
~
170sOW
Chemical Grads
9,653
11,Qy9
27,000
tleta u*rgical Gredle,
2,211,220
2,211,220
5,000,000
Fiscal
Tear of
Lion
1956
1954
1956
January 23, 1952
Approved For Release 2001/05/01: CIA-0f999R000100070001-7
 I ---
E, s llY tNF RMM ION
1. With reference to the first parae ;raoh of the story, the princi ial uses
of tin are' listed as "tin plate (fcu? cans),..* etc." In the USSR the ari i ry use
of the metal is not for timaplaate, and perhaps it should be no indicated.
2. The last sentence in paregraa_oh 2 p. 7 needs some clarification, &-, the
statement in parenthesis ?coupled with the lips withdrawal from the market for
a number of months after April 19314" - would seem to have the opposite or different
effect on marketet which the writer spears to tcep.
to n
3. In paragraph 1, p.8, if it is assu;,ve&' that the 't`rees World production
in 1951 was about 160,000 tons (onittize, China) and that the Bloc obtains; bout
6,500 tons of Free World production, this would amount to rather than
On a .S% basis the amount would be at-out 8,000 tons.
4. The statement in line 13, p. 9, that *estimated production in recant
years representing about a threefold increase over the 1945 level" means little
without indicating an esttmatdd_ production for 1945.
5. With reference to the last paragraph on p. 9, it is suggested that the 1950
figure of 5,237 tons should be checked, as it is believed to be considerably less.
Purthermore,the 1951 figure (in the report based on :an - Oct) is no doubt now
available for 12 months of 1951.
Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIARD
b. Table 2 on p. 11 on World Tin Consumption would be more valuable if
estjm. ted consumption of the whole bloc were included instead of oni. the
es and those of the Free World:.
for astern ]Iurope (including USSH but rxcimding Ytnl&nd and rugoslavta)
In 0Vt Report No. 4800.25, J=anuary 1951, the annual primary tin reiuirea nts
7. In next to the last paragraph on p.11, the following statement in : ,a s
sA December 1951 esti*ate by the sees source, however, places consumption at
21,000 - 22,000, increased in the event of war by an additional 4,500 - ?,500 tons."
d. at 21,300 tons. It is believed that in the above quotation the word
'consumption' should read "consumption requirements". Relative to the statement
based in the event of war by 84 additional 4,500 - 7,500 tone", it is believe&
s estimate could be considerably reduced under strict conservation Measilren
t of the Soviet Bloc.
8. The statement in the last paragraph on p.11 that "According to the Cli,
3,500 tone during the four years fal'!owing. CIA also believed that some of the
acquired by the IISS8 from Soviet bloc countries during this period, possibly
2,000 tons., went into the stockpile which made up the 8,500 tons. CIA stated,
it (satockpile amounts to 8,,500 tone at present, having been built up since about
19484, is not a correct quotation. In the first place, CIA had assumed that there
were 3,400 tons in the stockpile at the beginning of 1948 end it was eeti tad
that a certain quantity of domestic production was set aside aamountin, to a boutt
however, that no definite information was available and that these rough saatif.sates
be off by 25 or more. Such a statement as the quotation given above= is
misleading and should not be used without indicating that it is a tentative
and may be in error by a largo margin.
release 2001/05/01 : CIA-R
 Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIA-R511j99R000100070001-7
er- 5a1;1i:i Ir? AT1O*
2. llleticaa.ted U93.& output of tungsten metal (Table 1, page 16 XU report)
differs widely from the estimates made by Ferrous Metal Branch (CIA) for the
&m agreement whit inteiligence available in CIA.
ndicated in the Mail study.
'S'he tungsten situation in the Tree World is belierred to be more crittoal than
Page 14 of the tungsten report summary stater factual information
gem a Metal, B
(Thousands of pounds)
3950
.+ -30
1,571
1-51
5,202
`-_', 000
1952
6 , 383
20000
3. The report as a whole is more optimistic in projected estimates o!
production in the !res World for the years 1951 .. 1955 than other atudiee reviewed.
Tor examoie on p 19, table 3 eeti,nates of target levels of production are
compared with figures presented In a tungsten study by the 3i(;nal Intelllj rnce
Agency in July 1951: (thousand poundo tungsten content
(Production in 1950 bass reported at 18, 000, 000 lbs.)
CIA metals specialists are more nearly inclined to accept the later figures
as more realistic in view of the general production possibilities.
od.uetion of tungsten in the Free World iii 1952 rea
c?=es 27 nnn n r lu.
.
(SIGLA estt ate) and retluuireiints are 34',4.00,000 iba. (TFbl; 5, p c>e 220 A study
there would be a deficit of 7,440,400 ibe. and none for atockpiiin,, instead of
*'over a half million aounds available for addition to atocks.0 (page 21. 1 MIA
report).
C1A RR
~ -sue
o
4,
f April 1952 disagrees with the opinion expressed in paragraph 2,?
p l t at st eks reduced in 1951 may be restored. In 1953. 4onalus.ono _r wn
95.5. in the TT3 on {)ct. 31, 1951 the stoc )ile inventory was 20,324 ,,q rIa tens
22,100
19,000
35, 000
271001D
44j500
32, 000
50,700
34, 080
566
150000
dioate that even under the most favorable conditions, it is unlikely
se World requirements including a tions to the stockpile can be t even
while the objective for that year was 66,360 metric tons.
Approved For Release 2001/05/01 CIA F QPP1, 00999R000100070001-7
5,4 ll
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