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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
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Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 29, 2001
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Publication Date: 
May 8, 1952
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PDF icon CIA-RDP81S00999R000100070001-7.pdf583.67 KB
Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIA- DP81S-00999R000100070001-7 5( T AWRT, ,ll... Assist 4 Director 1e*"areh and Reports fl/A/RR: re Distribution: rig and 1 - Addressee - OAD 1 - DJM /~ 1- 1IA 1 - 'V~'s 1 - D/A Files I - D/A Chroo Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIA34DP$SD099R000100070001-7 Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIA-RU c.h*d r*pwt n C fi e and i-?? a d#tinte -*entx$ a. Tt .9 prodwUk,, ca Born so# all of t pt c 21, 11 a one oftb* ' * is an nZ ',e vet t ,.fir 1n o1 I Approved For Release 2001/05/01 :CIA-RDP.000100070001-7 in the . 4w1m, nvor~n *4 M" Approved For Release 2001/05/01 :43 'Mblz G t1 fr It if, Pearl mancumse Odle c rye' tr moth* of ow. u M ms for aosin for remotim.- *u4 e rp *it, rather that to m" ~,mtent The Lea U 11C a , 'vou a. vt r India v ' India to Sumly f Ofth ts k t trap.-i Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : A d3a or a$ ? 4 . c 4W*%4A^. v ~ vxyt e'ntent repress J--,Lves of rev, hf l,fw w V F19000100070001-7 f1fVW*S in 1 S CA. itatt4 to ropmo ? on fr*o wrrad~a~t..4 umi PO w In ti of ism-namee Is Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIA FP I ?ii WO110 PRODUCTION AND COIi4UlMOW F Qirl8S WRIOIER, IX x Free 1111164A (Bounded) Aa 3,359,000 1 66.7 a a Japan 134,066 47,820 !laillppin" a nil No" a But 172 Bmt n. a. Turkey a a South ? a 699,307 Portuguese India nil a India l 679,163 nil 679,163 Other and n.s.s. nil a a Africa (encl. Egypt) 1,81,6,666 Angola a nil a Belgian Congo a nil a French Africa 287,265 nil 291,548 Gold Coast W 711,416 nil 711,416 Union of South Africa 790,937 nil 710,046 Other and n.e.s. a nil a 303 7 2 argsnsina a nil a Brasil 162,600 nil J 162 600 Chile a nil , n. a. Cuba nil 89,266 Mexico !f 322, nil 35,824 North AmeEna excl. Latin American Covatrioal 127,158 nil 123,102 nil United States L~ 127,188 1,832,510 8 130 Western Do 006 59 , Belgium-Luxembourg 1 nil 45,82b 763 Francs nil J 340,552 219142 Western German a 150,047 1011 Italy . a a a Netherlands nil a a . Sorwq nil 162,176 nil Spain a n.a. nil Sweden 10,000 28,782 a United K' Dodos nil 410,366 nil Yugoslavia a a a Other and n. s. s. an a nil Greece a nil a Portugal a nil WApparent Consumption 3,618,000 2282 a 181,886 nil 1,45-4 n. a. a 50,075 ni l r J 50,000 a 44,000 nil nil ni I nil J 4t,, COO ni.1 28, 500 a a a nil 15,000 2,074,670 1,951,568 1 205942 .337,:x.0 149y>,1 a a 162? '5 a 38,782 1110,366 a a a nil a? Less than am psroent of free world total. b. Prgduction plus imports are not neososarily peal to the sun of espsrte and apparent consumption due to change, in prodosersr iemtoriere o. Appsiaatsly 30 percent manganese. d. bperts. e. 1stimate.., S. More apparent oonsumption calculates to a negative figure, aoteal or estimated data have been included. g. Shipeents. he Including manganiferous iron ore. n.a. Not available. NAVQWMZ OSi Q ILE POSITION SLED IM Iwo DMf TOM Sciedvled Ia Iavratosy to be in Inventory B - 'o attery or eke 50 965 ~ 170sOW Chemical Grads 9,653 11,Qy9 27,000 tleta u*rgical Gredle, 2,211,220 2,211,220 5,000,000 Fiscal Tear of Lion 1956 1954 1956 January 23, 1952 Approved For Release 2001/05/01: CIA-0f999R000100070001-7 I --- E, s llY tNF RMM ION 1. With reference to the first parae ;raoh of the story, the princi ial uses of tin are' listed as "tin plate (fcu? cans),..* etc." In the USSR the ari i ry use of the metal is not for timaplaate, and perhaps it should be no indicated. 2. The last sentence in paregraa_oh 2 p. 7 needs some clarification, &-, the statement in parenthesis ?coupled with the lips withdrawal from the market for a number of months after April 19314" - would seem to have the opposite or different effect on marketet which the writer spears to tcep. to n 3. In paragraph 1, p.8, if it is assu;,ve&' that the 't`rees World production in 1951 was about 160,000 tons (onittize, China) and that the Bloc obtains; bout 6,500 tons of Free World production, this would amount to rather than On a .S% basis the amount would be at-out 8,000 tons. 4. The statement in line 13, p. 9, that *estimated production in recant years representing about a threefold increase over the 1945 level" means little without indicating an esttmatdd_ production for 1945. 5. With reference to the last paragraph on p. 9, it is suggested that the 1950 figure of 5,237 tons should be checked, as it is believed to be considerably less. Purthermore,the 1951 figure (in the report based on :an - Oct) is no doubt now available for 12 months of 1951. Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIARD b. Table 2 on p. 11 on World Tin Consumption would be more valuable if estjm. ted consumption of the whole bloc were included instead of oni. the es and those of the Free World:. for astern ]Iurope (including USSH but rxcimding Ytnl&nd and rugoslavta) In 0Vt Report No. 4800.25, J=anuary 1951, the annual primary tin reiuirea nts 7. In next to the last paragraph on p.11, the following statement in : ,a s sA December 1951 esti*ate by the sees source, however, places consumption at 21,000 - 22,000, increased in the event of war by an additional 4,500 - ?,500 tons." d. at 21,300 tons. It is believed that in the above quotation the word 'consumption' should read "consumption requirements". Relative to the statement based in the event of war by 84 additional 4,500 - 7,500 tone", it is believe& s estimate could be considerably reduced under strict conservation Measilren t of the Soviet Bloc. 8. The statement in the last paragraph on p.11 that "According to the Cli, 3,500 tone during the four years fal'!owing. CIA also believed that some of the acquired by the IISS8 from Soviet bloc countries during this period, possibly 2,000 tons., went into the stockpile which made up the 8,500 tons. CIA stated, it (satockpile amounts to 8,,500 tone at present, having been built up since about 19484, is not a correct quotation. In the first place, CIA had assumed that there were 3,400 tons in the stockpile at the beginning of 1948 end it was eeti tad that a certain quantity of domestic production was set aside aamountin, to a boutt however, that no definite information was available and that these rough saatif.sates be off by 25 or more. Such a statement as the quotation given above= is misleading and should not be used without indicating that it is a tentative and may be in error by a largo margin. release 2001/05/01 : CIA-R Approved For Release 2001/05/01 : CIA-R511j99R000100070001-7 er- 5a1;1i:i Ir? AT1O* 2. llleticaa.ted U93.& output of tungsten metal (Table 1, page 16 XU report) differs widely from the estimates made by Ferrous Metal Branch (CIA) for the &m agreement whit inteiligence available in CIA. ndicated in the Mail study. 'S'he tungsten situation in the Tree World is belierred to be more crittoal than Page 14 of the tungsten report summary stater factual information gem a Metal, B (Thousands of pounds) 3950 .+ -30 1,571 1-51 5,202 `-_', 000 1952 6 , 383 20000 3. The report as a whole is more optimistic in projected estimates o! production in the !res World for the years 1951 .. 1955 than other atudiee reviewed. Tor examoie on p 19, table 3 eeti,nates of target levels of production are compared with figures presented In a tungsten study by the 3i(;nal Intelllj rnce Agency in July 1951: (thousand poundo tungsten content (Production in 1950 bass reported at 18, 000, 000 lbs.) CIA metals specialists are more nearly inclined to accept the later figures as more realistic in view of the general production possibilities. od.uetion of tungsten in the Free World iii 1952 rea c?=es 27 nnn n r lu. . (SIGLA estt ate) and retluuireiints are 34',4.00,000 iba. (TFbl; 5, p c>e 220 A study there would be a deficit of 7,440,400 ibe. and none for atockpiiin,, instead of *'over a half million aounds available for addition to atocks.0 (page 21. 1 MIA report). C1A RR ~ -sue o 4, f April 1952 disagrees with the opinion expressed in paragraph 2,? p l t at st eks reduced in 1951 may be restored. In 1953. 4onalus.ono _r wn 95.5. in the TT3 on {)ct. 31, 1951 the stoc )ile inventory was 20,324 ,,q rIa tens 22,100 19,000 35, 000 271001D 44j500 32, 000 50,700 34, 080 566 150000 dioate that even under the most favorable conditions, it is unlikely se World requirements including a tions to the stockpile can be t even while the objective for that year was 66,360 metric tons. Approved For Release 2001/05/01 CIA F QPP1, 00999R000100070001-7 5,4 ll SECRET