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PROCEDURE FOR OBJECTIVELY EVALUATING THE ACCURACY OF FORECASTS, ACCORDING TO A UNIVERSAL SCALE

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
R
Document Page Count: 
22
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 22, 2012
Sequence Number: 
3
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 20, 1951
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0.pdf3.62 MB
Body: 
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 STAT Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 Ii ,~ I: -r#bU !1I~sU( i''I i V VAi UN t 1 Ft~II1~.lit~f~~ ttt ( 1) 4~ CCI~ j V a ~I At V f 1 - ~? ~ 1,It~~~~t it41t~ll fttltttt Itttt. tT Itti4ic'Vi t rtky It + k it ~tlN'ti rttt'I`IUt ttI $ ('til t U`,ltt tIR t,f t t'+~f I I t F:'t'I' gi ta: itt~~at.,t`tl t ?j T+t1 lSj ~~! t,. ?t~ILt t,ttY 1yI tIt , t;ll- ! iVI ''it t it`tlt'tl ~t' eik' L; r1 t II; I't`t~ t }r't tl ~ t' I~t 41 I'ti~ ttt t'tra~ttta ~ t6trI,tt tt ~1 Lil' i`L`at -I tL.~t tt t't ~ I.I C~ "!?''-+t t' 1a~ ii ~Ir1.t$i it tFI Lhl' ;It~rl1I' 'I'1 t t ~L'I1' ~tLf "tt~ t'V i.l;lti I f~~I~t III r1 "tl,~ 11f ,L .t,j; ~t t' rtt` tulL .'~ttt 111 I'! tt ( L t `t't' tt ( i tt t`~' 41' Lht t Vfi .' t. I i Im + ', t't Qt?~ t flat {ttt' a ,~ I'$t~tt^,, CSI~lt't}i t it~ttt ttl rI f~l tLtUtl~af,! rlt'.}~,1?1 k 1 i' () i I%~1.C': tII.Ott I Lj. jI~~ I't t,te! 4 1 tEtE.~~~ I.tt If.It?.'t.'t,l Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 ~l Vs Utl t.' t 1~~ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 1q e' fl, F~ 1 !' r nMati , 1 . o ~tt t 'j r ct rc ti l 1 w~ ~s ?} x ~jcti tq a ~ Rat?r ~ IM f ?k:it 1i ?` nd ~c3rr t +t tc)ci ' 4' VUitifl th Ete troy v r i14 'o Qt t u?p:)Jii. w U iru ~t- ` r w;i~ t of Th jtG?t vt- qtr r,'o+(,(r~ rb'``~ !f,n ~,~Fr t row( r i '1-1y iN d b/ tI. , `f1 ~F t t ti hi i, t.4 vet try 1 1 k a1r'v. 4fl't'F' l f t~F~ t,~ t.h t+%#i7 5 { 6 ' 1l +t ;.~ ~ ??d If j rikl ~1tlkV l Trt( rxl }+.-. kl k ttvt itft. in '+1fl1191~t4 .fa k#k Ltk i iFk~E#ilth1f (fl t"trwWr1b. L hid ntipt dOp fldt t t' r t u r, t}an a1oy fns U ti' ' ?' rE o t L1 , o t(; L il. ty of th ? forkt& ~i1 ..~I t r t, tr i 'i t lrh f't~= t,1r-1 t+fltJ r ti' f or+ 't t~ L t xr:LLtnn tto ~o Lh CQfl U1r~C i iflC j t1' ti4 t?s(y f~i ntot. 1!1tr'ortunEtto1y the ripc)rtt1r tlt i t ` 1tn t:t m to tt~ ~~krn juror o o "te ri nr t tv n c Ut ttontion, id t iijtrnr=r .~ i of t~s tht for'crat t tttr; r tly frofn tht fors nit ri cnd not ,` r Lek it ~tifh1 1so indr;stoodo`n t'E pc:int off' view l!d'rob~,t,iit;to. ooorid 14 rt Cot i t in LLie bii ~ ty t~ pioitt erfieint1 i the obtatnc l lilt r riou1trbl &o t vjtte rttd tip t~ o on the COr1L lWt r o1` ?o r' o st , tL tt t. (t~Jt .r7 ~ ~.. t,r~1i-rbt oo~.~,rlirrkty tr ri the type of his prinrttki aot:hvty. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 - c'1 c p r ?t~vrfltr tt }:I T f~ffa ~~ tr Hi ~ ~jtty~ ~fl + , ~Iio ~~ ~f ~~ Y~~~ C~ 1POf 7 r t'1 .'{{~~ i~v1; Lori in,t-.fle, wr{t tit9 ~r~wt~?krt ~~ ~~~~~. i ~~1/ ~~'d~ar7 7 i l - L; } '' 'f~aikf r t Via' ~' +# H~ c p ro'arktlEtac cvtai s II z k .~ i t?-~ rt 1 Mrr Gi. Tkt i54t~~~s d1 rrt i~ 1Vittr3 p Y... iLt?~,-:c ~~` ~~~~ ~~,t~~;~.9~'t~c?~~-~ti /q pct,. qrErc r~ Y~w~sklFr~ k~1.~ ~k re ~~ ~q v not pro ~~~~~~ I rrj~ p1i~s r~~y th~ 'Y ~, a -~ rffrtJl jttri~Ctt(r~ On va1U ' r nr1 in Utr~ conr~u~.~' ?rrLi t d(s c1efit~m1c~ tht ~ ~d ii' drlr~c~~~, tr?c.ri1 n~rbp~ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 - Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 e;ver i F x4 4 t ti ~t the it (d trld) 1, li:efi1 'i ii ion ci1i (1' 1;' + ' t tt 1l~ r't ~. t :t i It. t =tttf~u tit 1y t? j jL ~ t t. fl, M U~ vs1- tM t' j , . rF~t11-ft;lin1y t {ta_ ti ii t . fl t 1 ;stt tl ?tlt?t +.i tttty t t i f !i t L ag Fri MV A Ir11w!l11l p~( r~ f NC~r~ s1 1 :3 i i pt t . } : F C f4 i ts t 4 :# F' ~, ~El 6l t1 fi c`1 ts~rd d n~e j 'dJ tft, cv 1r>< dOf it ~r I11 'irk look titut:hv) v 1u r, l '~ tr it 1 up o t ~ tacc'tl 'icY b u G rr wl: t;'l will t) kt ot~ri tri t 'X t w lu ttt e tiit(iY 1t~iimt1. It tlt1L t k'i, wb r 1 r lF~~ ?4 ` L l t v l~t~t b~i~ & grid thus; fir r l t`v !;1b~? " art I try Inc ~ D~~ t.h~ .u~t~-'t~ 1~E:??Cc~trt eGa~.e, t~l~~t~{c ~ ~~~;~ tuvra ~ , Ott t,tsa l:~tat; :l ~ ~~t~~:~~, ~ ~ ixiinttti 1t 1 tA1d cvtil n 4; corm; Ottd tO tttLXiUtUT ' hest, t~.ve p4ss~.bi~.1nt-~y. f tnt~~,~t~~~t-t ~~~~~~.~~~~~:~~ L I.k d ~y, i.t' . ~to t~ttt hik ItICTED Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 t CtUtti It kt Ott rt 1 Erj'G1t~~,kFr E~+t rrir ~, t ti~~. slt tl':{k4 El a? t+ t f.' tl a id ! t1 f#t! `~. M tt~r~u L L:LF 14J", Lor tic' text ; ~~. ntsr+ taht a1t1 rt~?~ L cu 1t, ? p t < p; art t4rtr n ern t 1 JO it f t o! tint c ' ~ - ~ ttt , w k1 It ie3 fl'd.k;F~ c ` ~t:l t: b t nt-.'' jrG tnn( th 1 ~6;f ` Q!F3 ds S ri Lt' nr p i ?t rt (. if r'Utt'7, i Lhn tt i t l l1 ~ - 't i~ p' t! 'L't`tt f ~ to f t r ~t r ?i 3 kt i rt 1_ Yt`:, F?~:I7. 1. Q~ f:11i wF.i .I. L: Cir t9 t~1 C f +': f t n,rrFt t,fl )t1dLt hnr fur r;:Li rt=~vtmntty t t9ri tffH t?t:i. its w ;A thf. r'vtt 1U tit3f of fnr nat4t r3hru1 b ? i ed cn corre ,nn- d r~ 1tnl ji t ~ They hru1d, fig it t t id, be sty rtc t c l1y t'oi_trich d. ("ictet The word ditntt ttmtit 1 t c f (r e1 origin tine r~ i't-r to r-t1r trj i. t+~ j r t`r r t~ s t n ~t it tt ti f-b1 Cr1" rt1 tt th o U c i1y on or itttdy, rte' rot tlb . t Correct rmvci~. t~~~:ort shmx1d into t cui it t, nit~titir nt d ti fore, tidiiTicu1tyt' or itet n fit 1' vir rs' ?'ort c& U , d tircLe COfC t1tS IXE a1Sa dt fif1d ,t i rt btt ~ ~ t ~ itt*t vcr the materi 1 in .8. RESTRICTE:t) Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 tI!4t ;itfl~ ~ ani1v~ v: tkit'~: Pi~ E?til# l~hF~ tl~'r ~s~i~lU1k'r~ktF IfGF~ th alt k ( r ~r i t sit hgve L~t~ ~ ~iflte, O~' ~ Y n d T y , whe r ~ cTRICTED Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 L a /? (L' I); hint d r~ ai"ts ~~ar itt:v~ ~+t+1 L~iui~:t ? i4 y o r, eF t a~,l tNt oi`tt? an x?~y tlt m iit . In tie - ` i ~ t~It~ 3flC! 1ct F b~ t1& n~;i~~1~~k?~~`~ t~C~ ~~C4t1dI 11hL i rJ~ nit +n~at~r~:a~4~:)' t~ ti -~ ~is~ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 `A W ' ty . n n~trr{~,f1M~''F~M+Hks're f k! 1 a (1 f'nr L`tt yi1YlekCC [!eft 1A, t+~` ` ~F3 e~ 1 ~~~t~ th A n( -r ) J tm'y1: F a r ; h&~11 4titttCt LOW & tri t i`t1 G {r i+y :t t- -r I~c~~1 t oaf"~~Lr~~~~~~. .#-it,;a F3{ ~1 ebl~ . ?'~~- ~;t !f t a ~t 4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 glad c na uTt u 9 ,+i ,.1`.1 M m p~ y I t t tint. - 6~Ivt Et):A r `.1.41 V4tr. ~t~ -~' i 5i'` ' ~fl r`3:' d~.~.t11ti c1 ?t~l J bllf~ 3.fil tmt~t~ ti ~ 7t b 'it tmt~~ 1`h?'t.'( tl3L di,h thfs rnin~U ~ .1n. ~ ~~t~ t< F-3_ ~tc .~?i;~~~ tha ~'a a~` fa~~ ,it~t>4 Ot ~~~J;~a ca~ Pane~ th t,h~ ~ancart of i tvitiOfl it (ti e tR :e ii t yet i`ine the unit Qi` th ~ will be hrri th t t~ nd 17;~ qtr, rn9 or the d~i`initiOn at tmh~ carrectin~ 'itbtar . fl tt~ a1 the ~~~1r~ tian~ r Ftjx thii rt i Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 . '3~11.~ 3 fl ~ f{' :x1 ~ i UTw' iTr `YJ frh1 tr .r iVt rtai t~ait~ %a~11 !.t -; . , ; .p t1 ' tin~ttf''r'e~~ ~t t:h&` t~Vr 'tt t,1- d I'tth~l Iii r~l~Ui;(CC)r1 crlIAt# Lnrl; ' nip, 41f'1 I i + iI . Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 ?.. s V)W W~~fltkY~Mi" ktt~~ ~4ttkle t;trn"'~~t~~~~~~~~ r'3- 9. Lit ev ~ . ~ v vi, t ; i1 \ a r4 3 { '1 ! 1~4 t ~t J jro ct~d by , jn t 9(t t, can for .'z t 1 . Ct F i 4-t y {9T ~ -1r dt f . tt(}(r1Tk? t 4:~ [~tt~roeFC a ~, n j~ 1 -n 1, ~= c VL!; . n vt ail 4 1 ff~ f y J t~ 41a1 ~ ~iO~qf31 ~~' tCl~ v~1 4" ,1 '.` !hi J 9 t~lr1 < < . tr1 thC p WICr } p~ ~yq~ ? n to w=hich 100; shaiiid tc?s?L nate th ~IC}~id~ G W ~ ~ hi1 W~~~C'lll' Cib1t Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 1~r~cinthL ~~rrrtort~i Ftontir( i,~ of ~ttcccw~)# ~~~th t. t, Fl. ~~~ e tOn~ cls riot t~.`~~~~ ~aii~tJ~s i ~k :gin ~~ ~~~_~~~~~.n ~s~1ti~~~rt ~ WiU~ rnx1(`'-t1,n td ~ilflifkt(.~rt ~V1kix.~i t Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 _' tI t, rt the sFMtt"t l!'M ~t Q C is L'IY F._IP f l': 4i ij t~~t 4' 6 i`l~t}c k' td t' tr t,t 1i A, tw Ctypnt- ' ` :stcti ttf I" rItet? L:i:fL rnrii1 Lt I') cwIy t 'Jk C~ I ' 1 ? We r(c1uced the nitt1tiph&~c ease d ii-w ~~end p ~ - - q k r ~ 11 ~~ A -~ r ' LL4 tk t t fl t 4 p t t 1 ~mc? that P r y , v/k ~l~ .r~ LL V Add nLa ,,. td x ii w a ccrt n rpliflfl rmc1tO t r` irtnt1 cv tt~t ()f 1 s 41, lr ; i + ;1 ~1c~c vi'~ ct~r, ~-t1 ~Q 1t46~f t ..1. ~l,{~ V Y td the robL ilt` ' lye b ~ N yti t ~cc an 0 ' I d ~-cc'rdifl~ to tic c~c~;~ri~t Ica c~ ~~I~ its c ~ rv ,~ ~ t A! ctrd r"or'ccast to hcvc ?or the farcc Sv Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 wr Citiv t 4 r I r , which v v h L:jvr= 1n L (4vtji ~ M to c tii t tu~ ;V4; Ii ~ 3t c tqz it-.=d c Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 ; %k? a i ttM r arm4; I T, f3 k 1 t vittLAf !it;{~~ Sri' tti Viii t ut 'f 4 .~ r r r i ii4 (-cf' tJjf ,~ ~f6.. ) (E iit V 1 t ': ?trtfc t i1 1 t Ol' F1r5ci~f'icc~f rt(:itr .Ini, T) t'f c~ ity T hi` tht cciri(di "hr e tt t, ~1_~-c c L? or the ~,cc ` c l itirccG~t. h e C r ~i i1. tflctL&ri:u. ,at?lrT o' cvct~t ith ~cr` W t flf O1 :r dfl o t ) U~ tr t 4. lr A q pert Cdr ' ter vti- 1 ? 1/2 ( + ) o w rl 1'Ot t c LUit rcct l 1, ocw cis ) V' 1t of 't~ tt~ ~:nc1~rt?i~i,~i?~t`~ fit' .ti~d~:cte~i ~v~t'-`~~ ) T(j;t t\ , in t1 tid of fct~cCt. . rc1in tc try cctl~. i nrrid 1 in truction of int. cry jizdIt~c ybcc ,\ rtvtt1 ~ccr,rcHf to tt ~cit eri) cv ti&it5.OU cvi cj1 crccw3t, COLL?u' ?drtr1~ (1)). STRICTED Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 c c nt1;cd tccd to the tried scc1c (sec ~t r'ire, i~o ;~ 1)fl1fl to ?4irtrit iritir ik1 t~'. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 r;'~ ~ t t4v I:V ii i41.i Mfr t i i 54 ? t i. tic-' J 3 E t4 (L ). .gtiy l ~ tits{ r rho itive or f($ wrtttPr with t~ 'f-'r- ~U. G ftrit' pity i~ktisttod or its ;it' 'S T.I {G Z' td `tt`D:it ?Iji till &J 1 ZG T ~3Fi5' Ifb]t W Yi r ?] ` ~viJut t cn.! il' F t ~ :in ri th ? 1 1 ' fnrr 4 t r; ~ppo oc to L; : iii r'roviiwci tc `t t t'1i(frinto tu t~t:tttttfi~M~i~~Erotvi+~ produced .iw31' i t i ii` t e :Corr cot.4ter know3 in v r t w -i ri off' t i r v-nt , i ~.-d cft ! kF q, j~ 4 l/ld kF! in sir v~.r:ftud t. ire did virt11 o-rj,:4h 2. I: i 1U!flt thbt t o f r'C&i'tiM~ U t df F tI t C 1t in th wopd9 Iltt ~d~:i 1X11 r r~pt tti rt', the u; t r i wordy 1 ti ri.tIrtsd b`' r'CrUiin rmt to Nc{4 con{dG}ttt oL lit t,)!?ak~:G3 ~ ttt `ln th~ inn'- id' t t :~f~` tJ d iUi rif '&1ph e .i f Ut rix'oc~ for inttf h h utiv that ort n ant ::L ri it s pct?1 vcwitre nr diirin[~ t ~ wrtoic pr diet d pried, it - Uwit e?pr' i d tE` t E wrirds '~ioe iiy'i , "tenpo' ri1y". The cn it~ irtintr of such word in tip ' cant nt o' tht fn i c ~St i oor~ idor d : j ecirii text or t rd forco~it :p`oi' th pv lu tirn of ~tirh the im tiuution izouid wntioiput tho deft t an oorrtts : on irtL i;h~ eo of rM~ a- ? ~~-s Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 p$ 1d ~f i~ 4:-1r r-ti ~ t1 o a tf' h ~4 r~ rf ii rtk: it rfirm c t -Q t ock m ty unt cin1 t ?r r c ardin tr,`yj.it L`r r:c~rdinotiitinfaiiven orit'rt5tDofdifr i`ormvi?tit~.n,s M.v Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 ` 3 r c&;( ifs:' t' ~ ? r zi i n 11$3:L1 11J *J t t 1 ??~~ {{y 4 f r ~egt _ 4ak~}Ec~ ~~` !lf'ik'1Z~ rv~it t?`i~~ ~Urt~(1 >binlt rl:.~ga t& fc,Uowtht tight oat; r'rt'tc~ t C:`~inttnt T RCTED Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 - ~n~rc1 ifl~trfln?~ Ev~1u~t~.nn~~ i:,Ou~Fd bC ~wi1i~r t,c~ l.t~ ~an.;umri' fn ` vitu~l tit~i -b -~~ rt int/ c sir r1 nd to c h h~~t tivity wi11 die ; at-1 wtiiat i~ r b ? in 0 1 tE,e c is cnd it will h jui~t r'iid at 1 c to con nirner of the ~tdc t?On 1 u i'1 inform tit w:al 1O L?ti part ~~with ire&t certeifl yu Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 Arf `U fL t r~~{ k 1 t' f~ rt k n t ! k rp f it n~- c~ 'ir 'r,t ri 1F tr`t niJ'lt'1 i,rr' t, ~;v:L tf}ttn -fJ p "t ~vr n tn; pr rt L rirt`tt r 11 Fitt thr ;I:} t xp !'I t r1 . :t tfkrri=## fL itinf . 1~ r bona et ii ~ Uo ndtti~tot On t~ifLi :i#iV(ti ,kt1t tats t , t t tt't, ctl Olj;1.i.l - Li ti t`~f j tit _t.' #1E-?t1 in :: i rt r ~r. ttn~dt-. ; l}tt J ' t't~':"?fr1)1i It1tk, it .1,~ t iii ;1't' t t ti C`1 `S U i f wt (! riot i1 (, tiYu ,dry i; C 11 t1%, thU Wt uvi :414 t: v-rt t. its#k ` r~r{t ~ c (tf;~~ ttt cr t1~ t tt t 001 `%V+~t'1l4 q p~ t e kk y rfy~q ~ r i {{h ,yttt, iil{ ry.~ Yt;CJ ii ~t y~cyy 1f~ qq` p~ ` qt 1rl'~` tt 1 ii 0.7 i1 t t`it y ts4i nCif ?f4i 4}~U(s}}~ Mi':dti GII1 ( " V r ~ t:t t t' #~ tw tit ~ pt t if r:d 1t ULOti oi' ?or- i Ui s ThcriT ' the aitturri it v it; ht `.iit wi.n ; either wtj to ltvc #itl1'iC', holy ~ .~ i~rl 'u tifir d i'vt u M ont of ~:,piU:d ;i t; thOtl Of ild in the C I O iho d c1 fin t~~ ,rt't# pOrtdi.ti p obcb 1ito ~ ~ ? o c # t~ 1 t c by r-d tU 1 ?ri tr'Eir't t r1 cr ' E~~t 1. i 'ta Sri ti L oreo st (rd -i-on tht rr i no b wI pid ~t obpctiVe h } yUiOl q~ of t hi iiip.,tlid ~.{ -v y v~ ,c+~ djffit'u1 ? to f?rit C'.Y t~tJit}. l G 17 Ct cc,rtiin j t the Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/03/23 : CIA-RDP82-00039R000100170003-0 r I bht tftttg ru t,i, ? ~ C Ct ~1 , t t b in tr g `t~CM'cafl took a W J tt4t ~l ttr1