ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE MINUTES OF MEETING HELD IN ROOM 1113, TEMPORARY 'M' BUILDING 26TH STREET AND CONSTITUTION AVENUE, N.W.30 MARCH 1954

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00283R000100140012-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 20, 1998
• Sequence Number: 12
• Publication Date: March 30, 1954
• Content Type: MIN

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!OMWC INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE
Mimates of Special Meeting Held in
30 March 1954
PB.ESEzrT
Dro Otto E4 Guthe. CIA. Chairman
25X1 A9a Col. lr illi.am CQ Baird, Air Force
Mr. N. S. Bennett, Navy
Col 3a3a Bothwell, Army
Mr0 Bennett Davis, Navy
Mr a John Easton,, JCS
Mr. Danner Holmes, Army
Mr. Clifford Pruefer, Air Force
Mr. &Howard Wi. . p S to
25X1A9a CIA,, Executive Secretary
R
'C'-P-6s ECONOMIC CAPABILITIES OF THE SOVIET BLOC TO
Mm~
Control 4 48289
EICM-34ev 'eed)
1. The meeting was called to discuss action necessitated by the
failure of the working group on the subject project to agree to terms
of reference,, and if possible to reach agreement upon a sufficient number
of major points to permit the working group to complete terms of reference
2. Discussion revealed that there was far more general, agreement
as to the broad objectives of the study than had been thought, and that
much of the difficulty had been the strong feeling of the Arley and Navy
at working level that the unreality of any estimates of military attrition
I m the absence of war gaining, bombing, and use of unconventional weapons
would ;wake any conclusions unreal for planning or other practical purposes.
It was the feeling of the meeting, however, that if the limitations of
the study are fully set forth, and if the conclusions are used with cor--
re pondi,ng care,, the paper should prove worth its cost as a point of
de tune for more specific studies.
3. The four following major points were agreed upon z
an The "hot war" warsupporting capabilities would be
as ed., because earlier studies had already dealt with
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Soviet capabilities to maintain military forces up to and
including mobilization but have not "crossed the threshold"
of estimating support capabilities during hostilities.
b. Selected force levels or a single force level would be
assumed and Soviet capabilities to support these would be
amined for various time periods (suggested as six months,
12 months and for two to three years).
c. Generalized estimates of combat consumption and
attrition would be calculated.
d. The potential accretions to the Soviets would be
examined in some detail.
Ct. The draft terms of reference, dated 5 February 1954, were
returned to the working group for such modification as necessary; a
redrafted terms of reference is to be submitted by 12 April to the
RIC m rbers, for discussion in the ESC meeting on 20 April.
25X1A9a
cu ve
Economic Intelligence Committee
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 CIA-RDP82-00283R000100140012-9