FIFTH ANNUAL PROGRESS REPORT TO THE IAC OF THE SCIENTIFIC ESTIMATES COMMITTEE FISCAL YEAR 1957

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00400R000300050059-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 22, 2004
• Sequence Number: 59
• Publication Date: August 5, 1957
• Content Type: REPORT

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5. August 1957
FIFTH ANNUAL PROGRESS REPORT TO THE IAC OF THE
SCIENTIFIC ESTIMATES COMMITTEE
FISCAL YEAR 1957
I. Authority for the Scientific Estimates Committee
The Scientific Estimates Committee was established on 14 August
1952 by Director of Central Intelligence Directive (DCID) 3/4,
pursuant to the provisions of National Security Council Intelligence
Directive (NSCID) No. 3 and the recommendation of the IAC Ad Hoc
Committee to. Survey Existing Arrangements Relating to Production
of Scientific and Technical, Intelligence (IAC-M-79, 14 August 1952).
II. Organization of the Scientific Estimates Committee
1 r^ t-. r
The permarnent membership of the SEC consists of representatives
from Central Intelligence Agency, The Joint Staff, the Departments of
State, Army, Navy, and Air Force, and the Atomic Energy Com-
mi s s ion.
The SEC has no permanent subcommittee structure. It employs
ad hoc subcommittees, when needed, to discuss or report upon par-
ticular subjects under consideration.
III. Responsibilities and Accomplishments of the
Sci
Pursuant to DCID 3/4, the SEC is charged with three responsibili-
ties for the coordination of intelligence in scientific and technical
fields. * The accomplishments of the SEC under each of its responsi-
bilities are summarized below:
* Atomic energy intelligence is assigned to the Joint Atomic Energy
Intelligence Committee (JAEIC) by DCID 3/4; guided missile intel-
ligence is assigned to the Guided Missile Intelligence Committee
(GMIC) by Annex D to DCID 3/4, dated 31 January 1956.
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A. The SEC shall "integrate scientific and technical
intelligence as and when required, for the production
of national intelligence. "
1. The SEC integrated scientific and technical intelligence
contributions to eight national intelligence estimates (listed at Tab A).
A major effort in this connection was SEC production, in collabora-
tion with the JAEIC, GMIC, and Economic Intelligence Committee (EIC)
in their respective spheres of responsibility, of the first comprehen-
sive community-wide study of capabilities and trends in Soviet science
and technology, as the basis for a national intelligence estimate
(NIE 11-6-56) on the subject. This joint study evaluates the Soviet
scientific effort as a whole and the many facets thereof in relation to
the total effort.
2. In addition, in fulfillment of its implicit responsibility
to improve the scientific and technical intelligence contribution to
national intelligence, the SEC:
a. Derived in collaboration with the JAEIC and GMIC in
respective areas of responsibility a revision of the first com-
munity statement of priority objectives in scientific and
technical intelligence from the over-all Priority National In-
telligence Objectives (DCID 4/6). The revised statement,
approved by the IAC on 5 March 4957 supersedes IAC-D-50/8,
dated 10 January 1956 and continues to provide firm guidance
for the collection and production of national scientific and
technical intelligence in conformity with national security
policy.
b. Revised the first community-wide estimate (1954)
in the field of Soviet biological warfare capabilities. The
current estimate (SEC 3-56) points to 25X1
I land assesses
Soviet capabilities in offensive and defensive biological war-
fare.
C. Prepared a statement of general conclusions on
Soviet offensive and defensive chemical warfare capabilities,
25X1
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The agreed statement provides the basis for
discussion of Soviet chemical warfare capabilities in SEC
contributions to national intelligence estimates.
d. Updated the first community-wide survey (1955)
of deficiencies in biological warfare intelligence, with
recommendations for appropriate action. The IAC noted
the report and approved the recommendations as amended
on 28 May 1957 (Item 5, IAC-M-291).
f. Provided assistance to member agencies in planning
production of scientific and technical intelligence, minimizing
duplication of research effort, and identifying possible gaps
in coverage, through production of the fourth "Annual Report
of the Status of Scientific and Technical Intelligence Pro-
duction Projects." This series covers on a world-wide basis
programmed internal and external research projects of
member agencies in this field.
B. The SEC shall "coordinate the production of Chapter
VII of the NIS'. "?
1. The SEC fulfilled its NIS commitment for Fiscal Year
1957 by coordinating the production of 15 Sections of Chapter VII,
Scientific, and seven Sections 17, Scientific, of Chapter I, Brief,
of the NIS. A tabulation of these contributions is at Tab B.
2. The SEC prepared a consolidated schedule for production
of NIS Chapter VII and NIS Section 17 during Fiscal Year 1958. This
detailed schedule established the timing of each step for the
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fulfillment of the Committee's NIS requirements during the current
fiscal year.
3. The SEC prepared, with INS Committee approval, a
detailed program for the production of NIS Chapter VII through Fiscal
Year 1961 on the basis of an agreed list of Sino-Soviet Bloc and non-
Bloc areas which, in its opinion, require an assessment of the
fundamental aspects of scientific research and development for
national planning purposes. This advance programming enables
optimum collection in response to specific collection requirements
and provides time for necessary research.
C. The SEC shall "stimulate and guide interagency liaison
such working-level conferences as may be appropr
25X1
2. The SEC provided intelligence advice to the IAC Ad Hoe
Committee on Exchanges with regard to proposed exchanges with the
USSR in certain scientific and technical fields.
25X1
D. Other Responsibilities
1. In compliance with IAC directive, the SEC submitted to
the IAC a statement of "Emergency Planning of the Scientific Estimates
Committee. " The paper presents the committee's concept of an SEC
wartime plan of operation and provides a framework for more detailed
planning to meet emergency situations under anticipated types of
warfare.
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IV. 9bjectives for the Coming Year
In accordance with the provisions of DCID 3/4, the SEC will
continue to work toward its principal objective of strengthening the
over-all governmental intelligence structure for the production of
scientific. and technical intelligence. As new programs to improve
its effectiveness, the SEC proposes:
a. To produce detailed studies in scientific and
technical fields as necessary to provide basic papers in
support of national intelligence requirements.
b. To. publish in the format of SEC studies its contribu-
tions to certain national intelligence estimates where the
committee feels that broader dissemination of the full
discussion is warranted.
C. To review periodically the intelligence progress made
in fields on which the SEC has conducted substantive surveys.
30 July 1957
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