VADILITY STUDY OF NIE 62-54: PROBABLE DEVELOPMENTS IN THAILAND, PUBLISHED 7 DECEMBER 1954

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00400R000300100058-0
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 10, 2012
• Sequence Number: 58
• Publication Date: June 25, 1957
• Content Type: STUDY

Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/15: CIA-RDP82-00400R000300100058-0
%go
Noir
IAC-D-100/41
25 June 1957
Validity Study of ME 62-54:
Probable Developments in Thailand,
published 7 December 1954
1. ME 62-54 has proven to be a generally sound estimate.
Several internal developments were not foreseen in detail, including
the introduction of the "democratization" program in September 1955
and its effects on the 1957 elections, the downgrading of Phao's
strength in 1955 and 1957 and the ascendancy of Sarit.
2. The estimate foresaw the possibility of a Thai reassessment
of their foreign policy, although the developments which appear to be
bringing it about are somewhat different from the contingencies
discussed.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2012/08/15: CIA-RDP82-00400R000300100058-0