OUTLOOK FOR CHINA UNDER A COMMUNIST REGIME

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82-00457R002300610003-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 24, 1998
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: February 7, 1949
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release
CONTRpL ~ U,s,
LASSiFiCATIONi SEC "~'T/
C
CENTRAL iNTELLi Ei'+iCE AGENCY
~ ~-R6~A" l?t~ ~~~C'~~
2300610003-0
or~'ICI~S OAIi,X
~
COUNTRY Chinas
SUB~3ECT Outlook :r'ar China under a Communi,et RRgime
Pl1aCE
ACQUIRED
DATE OF iNF
25X1X6
25X1A2g
Return to CAA L'-b~ary
25X1A2g
REPORT N0.
CD N0.
DATE DISTR.
7 1~+bruary 1949
N0. OF PAGES
~
NO.OF ENC~.S.
l'l.iSTEa BElOW9
SUPPLE~9ENT TO
REPORT NO.
Ca~4 !~'hh~- following informaf.ian and inta~rpretations are those
of a praminrnt Peiping lib~-ral, a delRgat~+ to the negotiations at Shihck~ia-
chuang, who reca~ntly r+sturned to Peiping a,ftAr rxtensivQ talxs with NCO `]~se?? d~tang,
25X1A2g Tt1NC P1~-wu and ~tIEFi Jun -ahR!xt. His ~i~+wa, whioh are gaane+ra?;.lyf Contrary to
those eaprASa~+d in may bR caasstrued as a prabab7y acCV,rata and
re+liabl~ pr~!s~+ntatian of onA aRgmAnt o;~ libAral China~se tr~inking. Hp is a ~5X1A2g
man of ext Thai prospects f'ar th~+ successful iaaplem+antation of uc=mmt~nist
policiAs, whickl source cansid~rs marA madwat. r.~t present than tkosa~ of thA
"lib~ra.7," Chinese ~lpments, ax~~ only endang~r~+d by the "child ~sk~ly leftist
and impractical" id?-as of these latt~+r "lilaaral dAmocratic az,d progr~+ssivA"
groups, who advocate wild th?ories which would 1Rad China '~,a disasters
~, The bitter attacks being ~"~ an thA Un'1t4d States by toad Gammunists may b+~
RxplainRd'p~- ttr~ir aeliRf that CHIaP1G Kai-ehek still ca~strals the Kuomintang
through LI Tsung-,~An and others, and tknst th~+ Suo~nirAtang dep~imds upon the
Uni~e!d Stage for support. ThA Comtvunists still Year thAt th! Gen~+raliseima
will recaiv~s substantial support from the 0'.Sn Sc~tarce fa+~ls that, if tT.S.
aid to CIdIuNG ar LI 1a withheld until the I~uoraint,;esaa,,g is overthrown and Com-
munist domination of all Chiaaa ie established, thA Communists sill theca begin
to values #'riendl~- Aconomia ax-d political rnlat,i~ans with they Uaxited States.
3. d. policy anaslagaus to thR Chin*-sae Cammuuist i.~ural policy is now to bA intro-
duced into citi+~s und!+r CCP car~trol. The CCP intAnds to promote private
entarprisA and to give assist~a~ace to some ~pr'ivatp entreprQneurs, and is now
conaidPring a large-sc+~le recunstruatian program. In ord~>r to obtain thA high
moral+~ necessary fax' promatin~; such a program, it will gi~ra, px~ferential tr~-at=
scientists, tpchnlc,~aa:s and the educated clsssses in general.
Approved For Release 1999/09/09
CONTROL -' T. S.o_4~FFICI.~,I?S ONL1f
 25X1A2g
Approved For Release 1999/09/Q~CIA-RDP82-004578002300610003-0
SAC /CON'1'B~OL ,. II.SQ 0~'P'ICZAT,S OAI,Y
CANT I2i'~LLIGI~PIC~ .~~NCY
~'I~li ~p~'~~V l1
~n 7~and r+"form, rathyr than political r+!form. accounts for the military suc Bess
of the CCP. Thin succ~+ss is facilitatAd bys (1) almost unlimited manp~??~+~r,
(2) ease of foal collection, and (3) fr~-~dom from the necbssity of gar.'".soning?
occupied Ness, which is tak~+n L`aI'e of by local militia.
5. .~7.1 of thy CCP s att+"ntion is focus~+d on dom+~stic issuRS, aAd, in c+.jns~+c~uA~-ce,
it has no ~ppcial" rylations with thA VSSR. the CCP "culture" is ~~ompouxxd+~d
of three main traits: (1) eld-fashioned Confucian moral and Atka al prin~riples,
(2) thA Russian concQption of demo~a.cy and lib~!ralism, and (3, the WPSt+~Y'n
habit of yfficleAZC1A6a
25X1A6a
C u~?ent. -saw thA destruction in the Communist "lib:q:~ated" ai?~~as
amd found 1~0 "sincere" tend his program "modest.` R"his dispelled '~.1.s doubt:a
as to thy Communist solution for Ghina, and it is probably that a 4t.'-aailar
changR of attitude will tak+~ place among other ChinASa liberals. F~~~per
s?valua.tion of his ryport should take into account the fact that his statamAnt~~.
particularly in rygard to privatR wntRrprise. an yconomic rRhabilita:ion
pragram, fosterin,C of t9ahAical skill and the lack of CCP-Soviet conr.~~ction?,
could a~-presynt a ComanaYtist-inspiryd ap~a1 for a sympathytic U.S. attttud~!
during consolidation of CCP control and ultimate iI.S. support for a Coc~~~unist
China.)
s~~/CO~BO~ - v.s. o~?~i~z
Approved For Release 1999/09/09 :CIA-RDP82-004578002300610003-0