JPRS ID: 8505 TRANSLATIONS ON NEAR EAST AND NORTH AFRICA

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APPROVE~ FOR RELEASE= 2007/02/09= CIA-R~P82-00850R000100060016-7 8 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 FOR OFF~CINL USE ON~.Y JPRS L/8505 8 June ~979 ~ r ~ TRANSU~TIONS ON NEAR EAST AND NORTH AFRICA CFOUO 24/79) , ~ . . ~ . U. S. JOINT PUBLICATIONS RESEARCH SERVICE ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 NOT~ JPRS publicaCtong conCain informaCion primarily from foreign ~ newspapera, periodicals and books, but also from news agency Cranamiasions and broadcasee, MaCerials from foreign-language sources are Cranslated; those from English-language sources are eranscribed or reprinCed, wieh the original phrasing and other characterisCics retained. Headlinea, ediCorial reporta, and material enclosed in brackets are supplied by JP1tS. Proceasing indicatora such as [Texe] or (~xcerpt] in ehe first line of each ieem, or followi.ng ehe lasC line o� a brief, indicate how the original information wr~s processed. Where no proceasing indicator is given, the in�or- mation was aummarized or exeracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phoneCically or transliterated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- Cion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the original but have been supplied as appropriate in context. ~ Other unaCtributed parentheCical noees within the body of an item originate with the source. Times wiChin items-are as given by source. The contenCs of this publication in no way represent the poli- cies, views or attitudes of the U.5. Government. ~ COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGULATIONS GOWERNING OWNERSHIP OF ~ MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION OF TEiIS PUBLICATION BE RESTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE ON'LY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 FOIt 0~'k'rCIAL US~ ONLY � JPR5 L/8505 . 8 June ~,979 - TRANSLATIONS ON N~AR EAST AND NORTH AFRICA (~ovo a4/~9) CONTENTS PAGE INTER-ARAB AFFAZRS Arab Involvement in Africa Increasing (Raghida Dergham; THE MIDbLE EAST, May 79) 1 NORTH AFRICAN AFFAIRS Polisario Aska Moroccan, Mauritanian~Troops To Leave Sahara (Hassen ZenaCi; AFRIQt1E-ASIE, 30 Apr-15 May 79)......... 3 ~GYPT 'Guardian'C,orrespondent Int~rviews Government Officials (Osama al-Baz, Butrus Gt�ali Interview; THE GUARDIAN, ~ 25 May 79) 8 LIBYA Qadhdhafi Works To Restructure Soci~ty (THE MIDDLE EAST, May 79) 11 Qadhdhafi Hopes To Marry Tunisian SCudent (Souhayr Belhassen; JEUNE AFRIQUE, 2 May 79)............ 15 Proposed Tunisian Liaison Detailed (LE NaWEL OBSERVATEUR, 1 May 79) 20 Briefs . Report on Executions 22 Uganda Refuses Offer 22 Libya-Romania Agreement 22 MAURITANIA Coup Leaders Pro-Moroccan, Likely To Resume Saharan War (CAMBIO 16, 29 Apr 79) 23 - a- [III - NE ~ A- 121 FOUO] � FOR OFFICII~I. USE ONLY ~ . _ ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 ~OR OFFICT.~1L` USE ONLY ! CONT~NTS (Continued) , pag~ ~ Ould Saleck Uescribed as 'Finished Mgn' (Abdelaziz Dahmani; JEUNE AFRIQUE, 2 May 79)............ 26 Background~of Ou1d Daddah's Release Notied (Abdelaziz Dahmani; JEUNE AFRIQUE, 2 May 79)............ 31 Walfougui Not Taken Seriously in Mauritania i (Abdelaziz Dahmatti; JEUNE AFRIQUE, 2 May 79)..........~. 33 j TUNISIA ' ; Letter From Peoples Revolutionary Party Discussea SituaCion (AFRIQUE-ASIE, 30 Apr-13 May 79)m 34 ~ Commentary on Nouira SCatemenCs on Habib Achour ; (MARCHES TROPTCAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS, 27 Apr 79)........ 37 WESTERN SAHARA I Saharan Peace Prospects Become More Complicated ; (~bdelaziz Dahmani; JLUNE AFRIQUE, 16 May 79)............ 44 ' i . ~ ~ ~ -b- :i FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 � ~OR O~FICIAL USE ONLY IN'T~It-AI2AI3 A~CAIR5 , ~ ARAB INVOLVEMENT IN AFRICA INCREASING London THE MIDDLE EAST in Engliah May 79 pp 16,18 [Article by Raghida Aergham] [Text~ 'I'he wnr~ in Ugande brought to the fore 'i'his nnturally prompted Egypt ta baclt Arub�African tensions which heve bee Tan,:anie and sup~~t included the o:~er of aimmering in~~ the beckgmund for aevera~ 10 MiG�1? jet fightera with their crewe yeera. Quite apart fmm a long hietorv of duri~;d the visit of Vice�President Hupni Arab domination of black Africa which 1~lubnrnk to Dar es�Sal~em earlier this year, lenders of the stntes south of the Sahara But Libya's policy wAS short�eighted and cannot entirely fdrget, the feeling has been ill�adviaed. B~~ supporting e leeder who wns gmwing since 1973 that the Arab atates nn embarrassment to the whole of b1ACk - never properly recompen~d Africa f~r the Africa it rnnfirmed suspiciona that Africa Ic~ses�they incurred by breaking ties with ~~~as becoming little more than e battlefield Israel. far the feuding Arab atetes es well es for the Incrensing Arab involvement in African superpowere. nffairs, the Moraccann and Egyptians in Algerie elone, of all the Areb stntes Aeems 7.~~ire, the i.ibyens in Ched and now the tn hnve been aware of this and it supported I.ibyans and Algerinns in Ugende, heve Tenr.ania partly t,o try to repair some of the ~ donr little to nlley fear~ end much to revive damege done by Libya. One Algerian - c~ld memories. And recent rnciel conflict ~~fficial stressed to The Middle East that between blacks and Arabs in Meuritanie, Algeria will not pgrmit any African country , C:had and tn eome extent Sudan is just e to sllege that the Arebs helped Ugende's reflection of the ~n~~erall siluatian. Amin. Condemn any country by name not Libya's dispatch of troops to Ugende to br reg~~n." pmp up the unpopulnr and increesingly tVl;erie is aware of how little it wnuld talce precarious re~ime of Idi Amin was juatified tn p:r~uade the Africans to resume their tiea by the Libyan AmUacSOdor to the UN on the ~~=.h Larael if the present atmosphere dces Krounds of "co�operntic>n with the le~itimete ~~nt improve, especially in the weke of the Govemment which asked for help". But H:~~ptien�Israeli treaty. there were undoubtedly also Libyen in� E~~en so, its involvement in the Uganden teresS~ to protect. For Libya had invested a episcxle ~as not entirely sltruistic, for it cen ~ lut both finenciaily end politicall,~� in hardly be coincidence that Tenzania l'~;nnde. Liln~nns hnd to some extP^t caken re~ently reco~nised the Saharan Democretic ~~~�erfromtheA~innhu;~inc~.a;:~;~,~:~;isityex� Republic. ~u~ll~~d in 1971. ;~1ormv:r, Colonel I~toreover Algerie's support for Tanzanie ~ 1lunrmm~r (~nddafi anw Ugenda as a possi- p~~~~ed in Morocrn on the side uf Uganda - I~Ie renr I~ase for the Pelestiniena and as e the extension into black Africa of yet ii~eful elly in his feud with Egypt end anuther inter�Areb dispute. tiu~lnn. '.:~~en so, Algena's involvement can prrhaps be more easily justified than thet of 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY k_ rt~`~~,~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 FOR OFFICZAL US~ ONLY the other three Arab stetee. It~ long� atn~~ding all{ance with ,socinliet Tanz~nie and Angola in any case hae a certnin logtc ~ nlwut it, 1~everthelese, all the Arab statee, in� rluding Algeria, will have to be e little moce rircumspect tn their dealinga with black - Africs in future if reletions ere not to deteriorate beyond the point of no return, As Lealie Harriman, Nigeria'e Am� l~nssador to the UN told The Middle East, "1 nm concemed about any Arab�African im trn�ention in African affaire, be it Egypt's nnd Morocco's intervention in the Shaba I'ro~~ince or Libya's in Ugat~da," The Areb ststes of North Africa belong to tl~e Organiaetion of African Unity as well es tu the Arab League (except Egypt) and binck Africans feel that they ahouid eettle their own differences before they iook w~athwards, COPYRIGHT: 1979 IC Mag~:.~~nes, Ltd.~ CSO: 4820 2 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 ~OR 0~~'ICZAT~ US~ ONLY NOItTH A~R~CAN Al~ b'A71t5 POLISARIO ASKS MOROCCAN~ MAURITANIAN TROOPS TO LEAVE SAHARA - Paris AFRIQUE-ASIE in French 30 Ap~-1.5 May 79 pp 14-16 [Article by Hassen Zenat3] , [Text] Rabat~s latest.attempted maneuvers in the Maghrc;b are f~~aught with consequences. Zs it really possible to go on 3n a sit uation � that is nei~her war nor peace? Was peace really close enough ta touch, �or the Saharans and Mauretanians? Zs war truly at the gates? Can the Polisario afford to waste time wh'ere, quite obviously, the new strongman of Nouakchott, LtCol Ahmed Ould Bouceif~ is scrambling to ga3n it ? All these are questions that have been with us since the April coup in Mauretania~ The answers are not what one might call simple. And yet, there is something like naivete in talking of "a situation that is neither war nor peace,~~ and soraething of the absurd in calling for peace before one has renounced war. Theoretically, if :;ou believe the public statements of the new men in charge i,n N~auretania, all that stands betwen the Boucief team and that of Ould Salek is a msre nuance. It is, however, a fairly sizable nuance. The fact is that with Ou].d Boucief at the head of the Military Council for National Salvation, there is a new political logic taking over, which looks very like a sister to the one that was dumped on 10 July 19~8, when Mokhtar Ould Daddah fell. He, too, wanted peace, i.n compliance with the military alliance with Morocco, for which tZze only conceivable peace in the Wes- tern Sahara is the unconditiona]. surrender of the Saharans and the annexation of their territory. On this count, Ould Boucief has pulled back a good deal by comparison with Ould Salek. Th~e 3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 I FOIt OFFICIAL US~ ONLY i new ~ac~or here is tha~ Ou~.d D~ddah was f3.ghting ~he Poli~r~r3o ~'ront and los3ng av~ry d~y whoreas Ou1d Bouc3.e~ has the advantage o~ a"no-war~ no-peacQ� s3.~u~~ion~ which he hopes to make i:he mos~ o~. But can ~ha~ 1.as~? Be th~~ as i~ m~y, thore is deep disappoin~men~ amor~g the people in Maur~.t ania. Faradoxical~.y, reaction is divided between �ear of an immedia~e resumption o~ hostilit3es~ with their ir~evitable train of death and destruction a�ter 9 months of relativ~ calm, and tihe desire to break the cease-firo~ so as t~,o keep the new team �rom getting a breathing-spell and digging in cleeper ii~ the ' Morocct~n impasse. ' The desire for peace~ c3.early voiced by aY1 the peop~.e be they riverbank dwellers or desert nomads after the fal~. of Ould Daddah has been thwarted. But, ~ike an echo~ ~here is growing popular acclaim for those tnen~ civilians or military now ousted from government but still at liberty, who wanted to take prac- , tical steps toward, opening the peacemaking process with Polisario. They a~e~ according to reports from the Mauritanian capital, Fast ~ becoming the objects of a genuine cul~, which places some bind- ~ ing constraints oan the new team in power. To what degree, come to think of xt, has the new team actually made allowances �or this, by keeping O~:ld 9alek, will-he, nil].-he, in its ranks, al- : beit con~igning him to a purely decorative r8le? Seaause, pre- cisely~ Ould Salek; still represents, rightly or wrongl,y, the reassuring symbol of a confused longing for peace that is still ~ very much alive among the people. The truth is that the zigzag path of the previous strongman of Mauritania was difficult to follow, but at least his objective was clearly stated: get the country out of a ruinous war tha~ has wearied it to death, even threatening its fragile political and social equilibriwn. Do it in accord with Rabat, if possible. . Do it alone, if he must. Trial of Strength Whatever reproaches one may lay at his door today for his hesi- tant way of moving along the path of peace~ for his shilly- shallying, for his lack of daring while his interlocutors in the Sahara were holding out a thousand lifelines to hi.m, he must be given full marks for the fact that he wound up concentrating on his contacts with Polis,ario rat;~er than pursuing what was cer- tainly an illusory "global p~ace" wl~ich his Moroccan partner and ally apparently was not even seriously considering. His mind was made up on that c~ount last September, after a stormy meeting with Hassan II. The t�wo men had already reached the ed~;e of an open break, with the king quite willing to threaten the 4 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Mauri~an3.an pres3dent wr.~h d3.recb 3.ntorvent3.on by tho Morocct~n axped3bionary corps sta~3.oned in Maur~.~ani~ 3f ho dared move ~~.onc~ ~oward pe~ce. And in fact there were aeveral. skirm3ahc~s a~ tho ~ime betweori ~he roy~?1 forces and Mauritariian troops~ wh3.ch were quickJ.y charbnd up to "3.nev~.tab7.e frict3.on~~ or "irresponsib~.e behavior." Ould Sa1ek knew, as of then, that he was cau~ht in a del.icate r~ce aga3nst the c~.ock, and that Hassan IZ would try, one day or another~ to ge~ rid of him. He was also convinced ~hat no- ~hinb could be done with Polisario so long as Moroccan troops were occupying his country. Hence his dec~.sion to send them home and~ unilaterally, to set a deadl3ng �or thei .r w~.tltdrawal �rom Mauri~ania a~ the end of 1.ast month.. The tria~. of s~rength was on. The cabinet reshuffle Ould Salek perform~d on 20 March eliminating samultaneously the leaders of ~he two opposin~ factions who had been squabbling ti�ainly since last July within the milit ary Council for National Recovery would, he ~hought, allow him to move a little ~aster along what seemed to be his own path to a separate peace with Polisario. That is believable. What is certain, in any case, is that, with the Moroccan albatross of� his neck, Ould Sa1ek would have had a lot more elbow-room. How did things start to fall apart? What chain reaction led to the emergence of still a third eharacter?~�� There is a rumor current in the Maur.itanian capital that Ould aouc ief decided to steal a march following a discreet warning From the Moroccan ambassador to Nouakchott that his name was on a list of people to be arrested on 10 April, although he had just been taken back into the government. True ur false, nobody knows now and maybe we shall never know. Anec dotes and intentions hidden or affirmed on both sides, a de- 1ic ate chess game is now b eing played out in Mauritania. Its main characters are not necessar.ily those visible at center- stage. France is in it, for one. Despite discretion and his diplomac~, there was considerab3.e comment on the coincidence between the brief stopoff by Mr Rene Journiac~ the Elyseets secret diplomacy boss, in Mauritania anai the start of the coup against Ould Sa1ek. The Saharan leaders, for their part, pointed out that the rise of Ould Boucief in Nouakchott was hailed (or at least accompanied by) a statement that can most moderatel.y be descrihed as curious from Mr Jean Francois-Poncet~ the Frc.nch foreign minister, attributing the conflict in the Western Sahara to a quarrel between Algeria and MorQCCO. 5 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY � ~ ~~�.:a_:-, APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 FOR OFFICIAL USF ONLY - Th~t; 3.s an o1d argumeizt which seemed tn have been dropped by P~ris s~.nce Giscard d~Es~ain~ ~o1d ~ Febru~ry press conferenc~ that he favored ~"polit~.ca~. ~o~.ution, and admitted ~hat this was a'~prob7.em of deco~.onizat~.on, " oven quotin~ in passing, and i'or ~he �irst time, ~he Polisario. How do~s one exp~.ain t;lii~ hesitation waltz? Paris seems in no . hurry to r�espond ~t.o ~the Saharans~ questions, which may require a little more than a�riendly 1itt7.e speech when the French mi- niste pays a cal~. on Rabat. What is more evident is that France was opposed~ tooth and nai1~ to any separate Saharan~Mauri~anian peace reached wi~hout it, and leaving Morocco alone against the - Saharan �ighters and against... world opinion. The Morocco Lobby France, th:.,ugh apparently it feels that the war in the Sahara has gone on 1.ong enough (hurting its economic and trade relations with Algeria, with~ut bringing in the expected rewards from Moroc, _ much less Mauritania), considers itself properly on the receivin~ end in any "peace dynamic~," and even hopes to pull the strings. It is clearly indicative that it is not on the issue of peace or war that the Maurit~anian backers of a bigger r8le for France in their country have come out in~o the open. But it was by play- on t}ie omire,is string of the "cultural conflict" between Mooi~s . and I3lacks, aiid w~ving the notion 1ik~ a sword o� Damocles over Uu1d Sa1ek's head, that the downf al1 of the previous rebimc was broug}tt about. It is significant, ~oo, that this �cultural con- f lict" seems to have vanished since Ould Salek took over the go- vernment, which says a lot about the aims and means of secret di- plomacy. Missing from the scene for 3 years, the Americans are stirring in the region again~ with Ha~san ZIts military position plus social pressures feeding thea.r anxiety. The Morocco Lobby in Washington, which brought �ormidable pres�- ure to bear on the Congress to get authorization for Morocco to use American weapons beyond its own borders against the Saharan fighters, managed in par~ to achieve its goals. The Moroccan general staff is not diong without right now, but it would like this piraticai practice to be ].egalized and made permanent. In si.milar vein, we have just learned that there have been American officers for some time on an ultra-secret mission in El-Ayoun, capital of Western Sahara. Maybe they're there to maintain the - Moroccan F-$s? ~ Will they go so far as to provide direct military aid to rescue the Rabat re~ime from a military debacle? 6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 F~R OF'FICIAL U5E ONLY So here we are again, right back where we started a few months ago. Are we squar3ng tho ca.rcle? Tn any case, so far as Po~.3sario is concerned~ thero c an bo no quest~.ono� renewed talks with either Morocco or Maurit ania un- bi~. a~.l their troops have been pulled out o� the Wostern Sahar~. �Making con~acts for the sake o� contacts no longer interests us~~~ warned ~he Front~s secretary~general~ Mr Mohamed Abdelaziz. There you have the end of one m3.sunderstanding. C~PYRIGHT: i979 Afrique-Asie 6].82 ~ cso: 4400 . ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ,r~'/ w~�:!+ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 . FOR 0~'F~CIAL USC ONLY CGYPT 'GUAItDIAN' CORR~SPOND~NT INT~RVIEWS GOVERNM~NT OFFICTALS London TH~ GUARDIAN in Engl3.sh 25 May 79 p 21 LD [InCerview with Osama al-Baz, EgypCian Undersecretary for Foreign Affairs, ' and Butrus Ghali, Egyptian Deputy Foreign Minister in Cairo by Eric Siiver: "A Longing for Peace, But No Desire for :'~rienc:ship"; daCe not given] [Excerpts] In an 3nterview with THE GUARDTAN, Osama al-Boz~ the under- secretary for foreign affairs, vigorously re~ected Menachem Begin's programme for Palestinian self-rule under Israeli sovereignty. "It is utterly unacceptable to us," he said, "and we are not going to talk on this basis. IC is contrary to the letter and spiriC of Camp David. If they behave in this way, it means they don't want us to reach any agreement." A1-Baz, a short, wiry diplomat who talks like a machine gun, blamed Israel for Che intensfi:y of the Arab reaction. "Ar3b hostility serves no interest but tl~at of Israel," he insisted. ''rtost of the Israeli actions or sCate- ments beEore the ink was dry on the peace treaty were designed to give rl~e message to Che Arabs thaC noChing was going to happen on the Palestinian plane, that this was a separate agreement. Every statement by Begin and his aides was designed to increase and deepen the rifC in the Arab world and to scare away all the moderate elements among the PalesCinians." Fiut the EgypCian negotiator was not yet writing off the chances of. react~- ing an agreement befor~ the twelve-month deadline set by the peace treaty. The situation, he argued, was dynamic not static. "We will not allow Israel to get away with esCablishing a phoney municipal council for the West Bank and Ga2a under the banner of self-governinR authority. It must be a real self-governing authority with genuine control. The present position of the Israeli Government is untenable. They cannoC maintain it in negotiations. "They know very well that no Palestinian can accept this formula. Egypt will never deliver the West Bank to Israel. We want to deliver the West Bank and Gaza to the Palestinians in an orderly manner that does not invite violence or hatred between the two sides." 8 .FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~~t.; APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 N'Uk UM~'ICtAL US~ UNLY _ A1��13nz di~c~ln~~d t}~nt th~ I:gypCi~:n e~~m wdu1J d~mand m m~r~tnrium on ~aetln~~ n~~nt durin~ the npgnCinCinn~. "Wp think," he gaid, "Chet th~ Jcwigh ~cttlements ~h~uld nne gtsy afeer the five-yQar Cransitional phag~ to 1'~l~~rininn ~elf-d~t~rmin~tiion. They ~h~uld be evecu~ted 1ik~ eh~ s~eel~- m~nC~ in Sin~i." ~ Whi.lc r~cngni~in~ I~rael'~ gnxiety ~bouC ieg gpcurity, A1-Ba~ r~fug~d to i:nn~ ~nE,laCe Cdnrinued Ieraeli cnnrrol ov~r the West Eank's externaL r~nd int~rnal g~ruriry, ag rpquired by the Bpgin plan. "The~~ feurs," he mnintain~d, "are not gaing tn be eliminated by rerrieorial expaneion or nccup~tion. Don't te11 me thati any average Iaraeli thinke it would nor " be pnsgibl~ to guaranCee th~ir security by such mnasures as 1LmiCing armnm~nt, demiliterieation and international inepection. "bccup~tic.~ ie an acr of vinlence. They gre not eending Che philharmonic to che uccupied terriCories, th~y are gending thirteen thousand armed men. ~ This ar.t nr' viol~nce invites ~counter-violence." i~'or all hi~ tough talk, A1-Baz acknowledged Egypti's dilemma of negoeintin~ by proxy fnr unwilling Paleatinians. He did noti exClude the pogsibility _ thae gelf-rule might have tio be introduced piecemeal in Caza, where ~gypt hnd leggl as well as tiistoric and geographic connections. It governed ehe gerip under the terms of United NaCions Security Council resolution from 1949 rr~ ]967, buC did not annex it. - Ne insi~tc:d, however, that the separation of Caza and Che West Bank mugt npply only Co Che phasing of implementat3on. Another member of Sadat's team, the Deputy Foreign Minister Butrus Chali, argued Chat jusC as the French had been forced to eat their words ~~nd ~ give up Algeria, so Igrael would have to accept the creation of a Palc~einian enCity in the West Bank and Caza. Unconvincingly, Chali also put Arab oppositior. Co the peace process in ' historic perspective: "There have been thirCy-three inCer-Arab dispuees ~ince 1945. Look at the way those disputes have been solved. We believe that this inter-Arab dispute will be solved more easily. Now we are at the pe~k of the inter~Arab confrontation." Sadat's negotiators know, nonetheless, that they have few cards to p1Ay in the Palestinign r.ause. They will make Israel pay for every shuffle towards normnl relations. This weekend's opening of borders and a civil air corri- dor will be no more than symbolic. There are still no direct communications between Jerusalem and Cairo. Ultimately the Egytians are putting their money on Washington. They 1~ope Carter has staked too much c~n a successful treaty to let his Israeli _ proteges settle for less. In an election year the equation is finely balanced. The United States President must consolidate one of his few foreign policy achievements, but dare he alienate the Jewish vote? How far ' ,can he go in putting Saudi o~l supplies at risk? 9 ~FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 _ ~OR OFFICiAL U3E ONLY On Ch~ir own, the ~gyptiians wiil in th~ end confronC Bpg~n with ehe choice ~~Cween territory ~nd p~ace. "'i'hey will have to ~iv~ up rh~ Westi Benk ~nd G~zn," BuCrug Ghg1i ineieted. "OCherwise they wili have no peace~" You wi11~ howev~r~ find well-placed sceptice in Cairo who ~uspecC rhat SadeC, with or wiChout the connivance of hia ~'orei~n Mini~try hawke, wili back down fir~e. COPYRIGHT: Cu~rdian Newspapera Limited~ 25 May 1979 CSO: 4820 r 10 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 FOR OFFiCIAL USE ONLY LIHYA QADHDNAFI WORKS TO RESTRUCTURE SOCIETY tondon THE MIDDLE EAST in ~nglieh May 79 pp 53-54 (TexC] Colonel Muammar QaddaB hae been ruling Libya for almost 10 year~. The kind of regime he ie trying to egteblieh, hia foxeign policy and the uee he ie making of L[bya'e oil wealth remein a myetery not only to the Weet but a18o to meny in the Areb worid. Andrew Lycett looke at Qaddafl'8 pre-annivereary efforts to re- inetill the eptrit of Ielamic eocialiem and direct democracy into both home end forelgn affaire following a period of comforteble elack tn revolutionary fervour. 1Vith the lOth annive~ary of hu revolution Hi~ i~ome con~tituency hed been getting coming up on 1 September, Libyen leeder aleck, invalideting ~ume of hia e[fnrta to Culunrl QaddaB hea been et peine to onn� ex~~rt hi~ Third Unlvennl 'i'her~ry, 't'he iudidnte nnd extend his rule. Until now the perpetuation of a rich end powerful Socielist peoples Libyen Arab Jame� merchant cless in Libya provided e focu~ of heriyah, (5PLA.)), has ezi~ted despite, opposition to his regime and his ideas, end _ perhe{~ even beceu.ae of, the often glaring had to be curbed. nmtredictinn+ between its rhewric end ite :~o last December, in e apeech to the reality. ~ederation of Chambcr~ of Commerce end Bu~incK.rmen he~�e grow~n rich es a result Industry, Qaddefl epelled out e new order uf of ine~~ive de~�elopment programme~ thin~, ARer yen~ of ambivelence on the finHncrd by oil revenues. In epite of deily role of private cc~mmerce and weelth in the . pn?pagnnda to the rnntrery, ordinary Lihyan eccmomy, e further end un- l.ibyan people heve grc~wn complecent, cumpromi~ing d~e of radical egeliterieniam _ ~ttefrrring the ee~e of their ~ut~idi.~ed city wa~ introduced. life, with free housing nnd s~x:iel service~ W [n eccorclance with the theoretical ~he henlshi~ of tcue revnlutionary ectivity precept,+ of the Creen fi~bk, (the ~ernnd pe~t ~?nrtirulurly the grind ~~f wixking in deaen of which - ccmceming �c~mumic.r - had heen lielcl~r fi~r Nti~rirultunil +elf�yufficiency. publishecl enrlier in the yeer), free a?m� F~errntly Qnddati hn:+ :~en fit to rea+~ert merce, waKe~ and ren~~ u?~ere to be thr re~~~lutiunnry credentiel.+ of hi~ re~ime, elx~lished. '"They are Ix~und t~~ vani,h 11 FOR OFFICIkI. USE ONLY ! ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 ~ FOR O~~~CIAL US~ ONLY . ehat nn p~r~un wi11 U~ g raru~iC~ nn nnuth~r," Qadd~�i ~eid. "'Thig way jug~ic:~, ~r,;;a.LiCy, ~~euriCy, freedom and happine~~ wi11 b~ uchi~v~d." In ~dvor.~eing r~n~w~~.f ~cnttomic r~volutinn, h~ clp~rly h~d c~rtain Cnrg~e~ in mind. "Cc~~~eract~rr~ have r~a~~~~d large profit~ after th~ r~voluCion ag g r~~ult ~f m~~~iv~e nr~~~cCe, ~ince rh~ cnunCry had ear~3er been d~veid of ae~~Lnnm~nr~L e~eivities in g11 field~. The 10 year p~riod given by th~ r~v~l~,_tun t~ m~~c~h~nC~, contrncCor~ and otherg for making gains was also ~uffi..i~nt for che maturation of ideas which led to Che appparanc~ of tit~e Cr~~n Book and its the~eg. mhere can b~ no rruce afCer rhis p~riod." 'Chig ~ignalled rhe ~tart of th~ seaond pha~e of the l~test economic rc~volu- ei~n which began earlier last y~ar with Liby~n workers taking ov~r facCorie~ ~nd offiee~. M~nagpra ~nd businegemen were gent packing and ordinary peopl~ ag~erC~d rh~Lr righC~, defi~~ed in the Green Book, Co parCnership in indu~try. The ba~ic unitis of Che Libyan revolution, pop~lar congreases, werp set up ~ gt plnc~s of work throughout the country, and many buginessmen fled while tlie gaing was good. And ~usC in time, for ;1ot only were they dispogsegsed of Ch~ir commercial asseCs, but Qaddafi made it clear Chat they would no ! lon~er be able to rely on renCs from urban flats or rural farms. ~ach ~ Libyan was to be limited to~one dwelling, which the aCaCe would h~lp him ro buy, furnish, end, if it was a farm, make productive. But the excesses ; of private l~ndlordism were to be abolished. ~ Concurrently with this extension of the economic revolution came consoli- ; dation of polieical development. For three years Qaddafi has been talking ' about h and in g over power to his nominally democratic creation of basic peoples' congresses. ~ In the first part of his Green Book, he emphasized the failure of Western parliamentary democrac;~ !.n which the wishes of 51 Fer cent overrule those of the other 49 per !ent~ The solution he offers is a system of popular congresses through which decisions can be thrashed out at all levels. ' Uelegates are ap~ointed to carry the will of the masses to higher authori- ties und cnngresses, culminating in the General Peoples Congress, an annual decision-making gathering responsible to the whole country. In their first two years, however, the congresses were more a show piece than a reality. Undoubtedly decisions have been taken at all levels, and - even qaddafi's policies have been questioned and rejected. But it is impossible to achieve the smooth working of such a system overnight, thus meerings of the General Peoples Congress have seemed stage-tnanaged rather than spontaneous. And it is difficult to generate local decision-making in a country so dependent on a single, centralised source of revenue for its development--oil. 12 FOR OFFICIAI. USE ONLY ~ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060016-7 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064416-7 ~OR OFFICIAL US~ ONLY , Nu~ ~~ndilnl{ iN ~b~~~~~illv drterm(ned, In nu~,+ruf~~m", Hut ~~nddufi wnh inxietant and thr ~?nvl ~~~~nr 1?r hn~ refurm~~d th~ t+yplem, the t(tlh rrmnined; "1 helievr nll thc wnrld ' ?i~Itii~~ up ~tli l~i~~ic ~n~ita. 7'I~ry will each will l~e chnnged inln lhia ki~jd nf ~x~litiral ~ ~li~~~u~,4 Ih~~ir ~u~~~~ly wul priarities, and re~ime which le Jn?nnhurfynh," hr ex~~lnined pn~rnt Uu~ir liud~~~~r lu Ihe Knvernm~nt fo~ reCently, "end the Nturc will I~e t.hn futurr (innncb~u. 'I'h~~~~ ~~ill Nrnd Ihri~ delegat,ee of Jmm~hAriynha in the wurid, We nniy hnpe (nnt re~ve~enlnti~~r:+), tn mectin~a of the fnr the ere ~f mn~+eg, the erp nf ~~II~It1liV (Y11111111111't'N fl~ (I1C CC11C~9I I~EtlpIlB Jemahuriyahs, ee the ~rench revnluti~n Cc?nKrcw.a cm ~~ciu~~nt i~m, ngriculture and eetablishrd thp ern nf rnpublic~, and we hem n~hrr pubjrria, nn~~r F~ ~~rnr Ihey will meet at can say Libyn nnw is entering the ern of Ihr Crnrrnl i'�?pl~~fl Gm~~ where, JnmaMeriyahe," nmun~t nlher thin~,n~, they will elect a But why did Raddafi chcxwe thin tnnment Cnbinrt, Ihi~,mtienlly junt a fnrum of ta innugurat~ the er~ of Jamnhnriyahg? HIe yecrclnrier uf Il~r ~~nrinu~ r~nnmittees nf the revnlutinn was cousting feirly ramfnrtably, ~~~nKt~~ nnd the ~r~t tnngible result~ of the S26bn Tn rmphn+iyr Ihr nutunumnus nnture of ~cnnomic nnd Saciel'I~eneformetibn Plan thr ayntrm, (~nci~n(i rr~i�ned his pc~sition a9 were br~inning ta show, for exemple at thp rnie af th~ ti~~r�mnn (~rnrrnl Secretariet of MiAUrete iron ~nd Steel romplex end et the IM@ ~iCI1C~AI I~19?~)It',r C~~n,,,~:v, as did the pgriculturel stations in the descrt oesce. c~thpr fnur - nl) ptr~~iuu~ly mrmbc~ of the Snme Libyang were getting very rich on the itr~~~dutiunnn~ Cummnnd Cnuncil which proceede of develapment ~nd evpry~n~ in u~~erthre~~ hin~ Idri+ in 1~JGJ. Qeddefl said the country was benefitting, Libya wee even thnt hr ~~~nn~rd in devnte himaelf to finding a modua vivendi with the United "rn~~olutinnnn~ activitie.+". Asked what States, the arch enemy of its rhetoric. The exactly this mrnnt, l.ibynn nfficials snid Jamahariyeh had got used to e cosy thnt he hnd ~,h~~en up ~he reins of govem� relationship with the Americen oil com� ment e1nnK ~~~ith ita day�to�day panies which drill for ita oil and ae1140 per m,}xm,ibilitic�, in urder tn "prnd the peo� cent of it to the other side of the Atlantic. ple" inlnfurth~~r n~~~~+lutiunnryzeal, American firn~s had even hegun tn atep up Tn the c~~nirnl, (~nd;le~i eppear.? to be their sal~s to Libya, a tendency underlined ~,h~~ing up thr ino~ strin~a of democretic by e Cangress decision to free the embargo prc~om~teMilit~~ - ~ I~n~u~h hi~ membership of on a ahipment of large trucka to 7~ipoli. the Ceneral tirrrriAtlAl of the Gene:al $ut the eesing up of revolutionery zeal PM~ples C.cm~,~r~~c - G~r hi4 u~~~n revolutionary hed brought Quaddefi more headeches than ends. benefita. The viaion of a more comfortable, But perhe~r~ thrre i.~ nothing wrong with less frenetic Libya hed ceused eome people that, for hr hna nl~~~,rvs thrived in his self- to wonder why they needed the trappings of nppninted n~lr e a~dAy of the e Jamahariyeh et ell. Atediterrnnen~~, l,nrk of precision in hia Sections of the enriched merchent claso idee.a nnd hi. ~x~ili~n~ h~.a been ~ hall�matk, wanted to throw o~f the restrictions Qeddefi even a stren~,~th af his regime. dt hes given had placed on the atcumulation of weal~h. him ~~alu~bie frc~~dam tn menoeuvre~ not Moreover, according to widespread repnrt~e, tied to nm� ~Mrtirulnr ideology, be it there was unrest in the ermy which, along w~cinli~m nr I