JPRS ID: 9769 WEST EUROPE REPORT MITTERRAN, S FRANCE: PROPOSALS AND PROSPECTS FOR A SOCIALIST GOVERNMENT

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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400400060008-3 FOR QFFICIAL 1JSE ONLY - JPR~ L/10031 - 6 October 1981 Worldwide Re ort p = NUCLEAR DEVELOPMENT AND PROLIFERATION (FOUO 1 1 /81) - FBIS FOREIGN BROADCAST INFORMATION SERVICE FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 NOTE JPRS publications contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and books, but also from news aget:cy transmissions and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from Erglish-language sources are transcribed or reprinted, with the original phrasing and other characteristics retained. Headlines, editorial reports, and material enclosed in brackets are supplied by JPRS. Processing indicators such as [Text] - or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the last line of a briet, indicate how the original information was processed. Where no processing indicator is given, the infor- mation was summarized or extracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phonetically or transliterated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the original but have been supp~ied as appropriate in context. Other unattributed parenthetical notes within the body of an item originate with the source. Times within items are as _ givea by source. The contents of this publication in no way represent the poli- cies, views or attitudes of the U.S. Government. COPYRIGHT LAWS AND REGULATIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION OF THIS PUBLICATION BE RESTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE OiVLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040400064008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY JPRS.L/10031 6 October 1981 ~ WORLDWIDE REPORT NUCLEAR DEVELOPMENT AND PROLIFERATION (FOUO 11/81) CONTENTS ~.ATIN AMERICA BRAZIL U.S. Break ~f Nuclear Fuel Contract Feared (LATIN AMERICA DAILY POST, 29 Aug $1) 1 - CUBA Nuclear Technology Developments Discussed (BOHEMIA, 31 Jul 81) 3 NEAR EAST AND NORTH AFRICA LIBYA ~ " 'Unusually Large' Uranium Purchases Noted (THE TIMES, 29 Aug 81) 10 - WEST EUROPE ~ FRANCE - Nuclear Program Seen Continuing in Spite of Opposition - (Jacques Mornand; LE NOUVEL OBSERVATEUR, 8 Aug 81) 11 - a - [III - WW - 141 FOUO] APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R040400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE, ONL1' BRAZIL U.S. BREAK OF NUCLEAR FUEL CONTRACT FEARED PY310045 Rio de Janeiro LATIN AMERICA DAILY POST in English 29 Aug 81 p 1 - [Text] Brasilia (DAILY POST)--The United States may break a contract to supply enriched uranium fuel for Brazil's first atomic power station if Brazil refuses to pennit i.nternational inspection of nuclear installations, a d:Lplomatic sour.ce - sa id . Commenting on news reports that Washington has "ihreatened" to cut supplies, the source said, "You can say that there have been contacts between the two govern- ' ments, and that the subject is under discussion." Other sources close to the Brazilian nuclear power program told the ESTADO DE SAO PAULO newsPaper that Brazil, foreseeing possible diff iculty in supplies from the United States, had already negot~~ted fall-back urani~ supplies from the British- Dutch-German URINCO consortium. Brazil's first nuclear reactor, built by the North American Westinghouse Company, is due to start operatior~al testing sometime in the next 2 months using 50 tons of enrich.ed uranium already supplied by the Ur~ited States. Arguments now are about fuel to restock the reactor when its first charge is burned out in 3 years, the diplomatic source s~id. 0 ESTADO DE SAO PAULO said U.S. officials had raised the subject with Brazil last week but gave no details of who made the contact. According to tYre paper the differences are "legalistic but serious" and could 1Qad to a wider breach in relations. _ Washington is insisting that a 1972 treaty with Brazil, which includes the Inter- national Atomic Energy Agency, should apply to all Brazilian nuclear facilities while Brazil says the treaty covers on.ly equipment and material received directly from the United States, the newspaper said. In addition to its first Westinghouse reactor, Brazil is now building up to eight more nuclear power stations and a fuel reprocessor as part of a multi-bil'lion dollar deal with West Germany. 1 FOR ~OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USN: ONI.ti' Brazil is not a member of the IAEA and does not accept agency control over its nuclear program. An acceptance of this control or its equivalent, the paper said, would include submitting reports on the approximately 100 tons of non- enriched uranium Brazil has stockpiled. The Brazilian Government recently der.ied news reports that it had secretly shipped eight tons of enriched uranium, produced from this stock, to Iraq f~~ use in the reactor which was later bombed by Israel. CSO: 5100/2319 2 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL U~E O1VLY CUBA NUCLEAR TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENTS DISCUSSED _ Havana BOHEMIA in Spanish 31 Jul 81 pp 8-13 [Text] At the Novovoronezh nuclear ~owerplant built 17 years ago in the central Soviet Union, a poster mounted over the entrance to the turbine room announces, in bold letters: "Let the atom be a worker and not a soldier!" The phrase engraved there bears witness to the iact that just as at other power- plants in the great country of Lenin, the Soviets work here with feverish enthusiasm on the application of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes. The scientists in the USSR are convinced and the highest leaders of the party and the government so proclaim that if not all, at least a large share of mankinc; will disappear from the face of the earth if the blind, brutal forces of the capi- talist reactionaries and imperialism dare, with irresponsible determination, to set off atomic bombs. The peaceful policy aimed at elimina[ing or substantially limiting atomic weapons, = if we want life to cont~nue on our planet, has beez~ ignored by the.capitalist - powers, mainly the United States, contrary to the appeals for peace made by the - Soviet Union and repeated warnings from the chairman of the Supre~e Soviet, Leonid Brezhnev, that the atom should be used for the good of, not to the detriment of, mankind. Cuba Before and After 1959 In "La Historia Me Absolvera" [History Will Absolve Me], Fide1 reminded us that "everyone agre~s that the need for industrialization of the country is urgent, that we need metallurgical industries, chemical industries, paper industries, "but the government stands idly by and industrialization never comes." After the Revolution overthrew the old political~ecronomic-social structure, Cuba began a new life and embarked upon the path of progressive alternatives, which could not fail to include agrarian reform, nationalization of the monopolies that exploited workers and farmers, and industrialization. _ Befure 1959, did we even have enough thermoelectric potential to embark upon that urgent and far-reaching undertaking? Absolutely, positively not! a 3 - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY As part of its broad range of constructive plans, the Revolution undertook national electrification and took electric power to the most remote rural regions of the country, where previously, th~ people had only known the traditional kerosene lamp or the typical native chismosita. At the same time this extremely important source of energy was heing developP.d, large industrial complexes were cropping up in all regions of~Cuba, complexes that. necessarily operate with electricity, and the raw material that moves tnis powerful machinery day and night is expensive and has to be imported. Cuba does not have its own fossil fuels such as oil or coal, nor does it have large, powerful rivers that would provide it with water power to meet its future energy needs. Our country has no other alternative than to develop nuclear energy, which will meet the growing demand and which today, with the price of oil, is more econo- mical than traditional sources. In his address summarizing the events commemorating the seventh anniversary of - the defeat of Yankee imperialism at the Ray of Pigs, Fidel said, in April 1968: "When man discovered the energy contained in the atom, he discovered a source of energy capable of supplying the unlimited future needs of mankind. Atomic power, which mankind first came to know as an instrument of war and destruction, is at the same time the only solution of mankind in the fu.ture. "Consequently, any country that has any foresight and that looks to the future has to think about the generation of electric power using nuclear energy. Our country cannot continue to build more and more electric powerplants based on oil. Once we have completed the current program to set up thermoelectric powerplants, we shall have to think about facilities that use atomic energy. "That is why," Fidel said, "our Revolution is already recr~iLing outstanding stu- dents to study nuclear physics and become the engineers who will operate this type of plant. This is one of the issues of most interest to the world today." _ Nuclear Science and Technology Not only at the nuclear powerplants are the nuclear science and technology for peaceful purposes applied. They are also utilized for the production of radio isotopes and in many branches of tha economy. In medicine, agriculture and industry, as well as in physics, chemistry and biomedical research, we find various us~s. Specific examples of its appl~cations include the following: determination of s~il moisture, the volume of rivers, the calcium and potassium content of grass and milk, densities and levels of industrial processes, mineral composition, the conservation of food by irradiation, and geological prospecting (exploration). In medicine, nuclear techniques are used for the treatment and diagnosis of dif- - ferent diseases, the sterilization of surgical equipment, and the creation of ideal conditions in which microorganisms that produce antibiotics must live, so as to improve productivity, and so on. 4 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 - FOR OFFICIAI. USE ONLY Institute of Nuclear Physics (ININ) This Insk.itute, since 1974 known as the Nuclear Research Institute, was established - with the fraternai, valuable help�of the Soviet Union and as the culmination of the work done by the Nuclear Energy Group of the Cuban Academy of Science. It _ opened in January i969. Beginning on that date, with the advice of Soviet specia:lists, Cuba embarked upon the task of putting nuclear sciences on a scientific footing in our country. We would also have university graduates in radiochemistry, dosimetry, nuclear reactors and radiological protection, trained at the Moscow State University. At the same time and without interruption, the training of Cuban technical and scientific cadres continued at various centers and institutions in the Soviet Union. Along with the incorporation of the first graduates in the USSR, Cuba intensified activities to give advanced training to the personnel that would fundamentally be responsible for work and research. In 1971, the number of workers at the Institute increased significantly with the entry of a group of physics and chemistry graduates who had completed their education at the University of Havana. At the same time we planned for new work, we strengthened cooperation between the National Nuclear Research Insti*ute and the State Committee for the Use of Atomic Energy from the USSR, including the signing of new agreements on advice and the visits of Cubans to Soviet nuclear centers. Regarding international relations, they were established and have been maintained since the founding of the Institute, especially with the International Atomic Energy Organization under the LTnited Nations, with headquarters in Vienna, the G~ba-USSR Unified Nuclear Research - Institute, the Sossendorf Central Institute in the ~erman Democratic Republic, and the CEMA Permanent Committee for the Peaceful Use of Atomic Energy. Cienfuegos Powerplant Fulfilling the energetic plans of the Cuban Government and as a result of the enthu- siastic cooperation of our Soviet brothers, the agreements for the construction in Cuba of the first nuclear powerplant were signed. Talks began in Moscow in 1974. At that time, the agency involved was the Ministry of the Electrical Industry and later, the Academy of Sciences, the ministries of Public Health, Mining and Interior and other gover~ment organizations came to parti- cipate. Two years later, research began for the location of the site in the central area of the island. "Why in the central region?" we asked engineer Alfonso Afont Pifat, deputy director of the First Nuclear Powerplant Budgeted I?zvestment Unit of the Ministry of Basic Industry. "The reason is the requirements of our national electric power system," Afont explained. "There is obvious industrial development in the central region of Cuba. The area chosen meets, the hydrological, geological and other needs." S FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY "What is the main difference between a thermonuclear powerplant and the plants in use today?" we asked. "A thermonuclear powerplant is a plant that generates electric power, like those at Mariel, Rente and Cienfuegos. The difference lies in the fact that its main - source of energy is the process of nuclear fission, which replaces the burning of oil." "What is �ission?" "It is a type of reaction in which the neutron from a source emitting neutrons or from a przvious fission strikes a uranium nucleus, which divides (splits) into two light nuclei. In this reaction, a large quantity of energy is given off. "Uranium (nuclear fuel) is a cheaper and safer source. Our solution lies in build- ing plants that gen~rate electric power by using this radioactive element, b~t for this, we need a substantial number of highly skilled specialists. A plant ot this type requires the services of many high- and intermediate-level technicians. At _ both levels, most personnel will need complete nuclear training." High-level personnel now receive training at the School of Nuclear. Science and Technology of the University of Havana and at specialized institutes in the USSfi. The rest of the personnel for the powerplant includes graduates of the country's university centers, where additional training is raceived. Intermediate-level personnel will be trained at the Cienfuegos Nuclear Polytechnical - School, which will be set up in September of this year, with the beginning of the 1981-1982 school year, where skilled workers will also be trained. The polytechnical school is being built near the site where the thermonuclear powerplant will be and at the present time, final touches are being put on the large, modern building by workers from the Industrial Projects Construction Enter~rise No 6, which will also build the powerplant. With the beginning of this school year in the new faciTities of the polytechnical school, the students will study intermediate-level nuclear technology and interme- diate-level automatic control. Graduates of this center will fi~st go to the Jura- gua powerplant. This includes technicians as wzll.as skilled wgr~Cers. Al1 working _ personnel will receive the indispensable training in thermonucl~ea~ technology. In addition, every worker must study and pass the standards of radiological protection and work safety for this type of plant. The polytechnical school has seven laboratories: physics, nuclear physics, auto- matic control, metals, chemistry and biology, chemical analysis, electronics and electrical engineering. It has six shops: assembly, operation and steam generator and reactor repair, dosimetry, electronuclear powerplants,, central assistance and reagent protection, languages. There wiZl be five s~enior teaching posts. Like all centers of study that the Revolution has built and continues to build for intermediate-level education, this school has its administration, teaching admin- istration, meeting room, files, administration of nuclear activities, foreign 6 ~ , APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-04850R000400060008-3 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY technical assistance office, theater, student dorm"itories, faculty dormitories, recreation and living rooms, clinic, barbershop and beauty salon, kitchen, dining room, green space and playing fields. Anatoli Cherbakov, Soviet electromechanical engineer who has been responsible for the setting up of the laboratories, offices and workshops of this plant as well as of the Armando Garcia Aspuru Energy Polytechnical Schc,ol in Santiago de Cuba, told us: "I have been in Cuba for 3 years. I like this country very much; the Cubans are very friendly and bro:herly. It is a pleasure to work with them, whether they be construction workers or professors. They are all happy, enthusiastic, hard- working and content. The students are magnificent. They are already reaping the fruits from the S~qtiago polytechnical school. These young people are very good technicians and they will be very useful in the field of electric power." Comrade Cherbakov talked to us in Spanish about our customs, the fun-loving nature of the Cubans, and he expressed his regret over leaving Cuba so soon even though his work contract has been completed. "I have been very happy in Cuba. I am grateful for all the attention I have re- ceived, but I want to say that with the same willingness that I have come to this - beautiful country, the first free territory in America, I would go to Ethiopia, Angola, Nicaragua or wherever my cooperation is needed. We communists practice proletarian internationalism with true pleasure because this is part of our Marxist-Leninist education." S de Septiembre Polytechnical School ~ We visiteri the 5 de Septiembre Polytechnical School in Cienfuegos, where we were welcomed by Director Francisco Mendez and other members of the board of directors. We were informed about the progress of students beginning their studies in nuclear technology. They and a group enrolled at another polytechnical school will make up the class of the new polytechnical school that will open in September. "There is no lack of difficulties," the director told us, "but they are being resolved. These young people are very promising." We were able to talk at length with several students, al.l of whom expressed the importance of the career~they have chosen. Orestes Morales, one of the most enthu- siastic, said he was convinced that "energy 'is a fundamental branch for our coun- - try's economy. Cuba needs to develop its industries," he said, "and to create many more. For this purpose, we need large amounts of electric power, which can only be obtained from nucl~ar powerplants." "What does this career mean to you?" we asked him. "For me, it means a great deal. I like the field of energy. I visited the Carlos Manuel de Cespedes Thermoelectric Powerplant to see its operation because Aearly all of its machinery is like that of a thermonuclear plant. The difference is the reactors." 7 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY University of Havana It is not widel}r known that at the University of H~vana, the School of Nuclear Science and Technology trains high-level specialists in nuclear energy. Dean Jose Roig told us that the graduates will work at the Juragua Powerplant and will teach at the school or do research for the ININ. He continued: "Although our school will begin its operations thi.s year, nuclear energy was al- ready being taught at the Jose Antonio Echeverria Advanced Polytechnical School. - That is why we have students at all le~els in the field. In July, we shall hav~e a - new class of engineers graduating in nuclear energy. The school has connections with the Research Institute and with the Ministry of Basic Industry in the -~rea of teaching and in research. Students practice or do research for the national ~enter- prises, as do the professors." Personnel To use a phrase in vogue, Cuba already has a number of duly qualified technicians, some working for the thermonuclear powerplant. The first group o~' Cuban engiflee~s went to the Soviet Un.ion in 1971 to receive postgraduate training itl,.Moscow~ They worked at the Novovoronezh Powerplant. In 1973, another group of univexsity grad- _ uates studied at the same centers. They all had some background in quclear energy that they obtained in Cuba. In 1975, more graduates went. Those specializing in the USSR are working for the Projects Enterprise of the Minis- try of Basic Industry, in tne central office5 of that ministry, in the Juragua Budgeted Investment Unit and at the University of Havana. "There is a fourth group," Daniel Calcagno, a thermonuclear technician, told us, "made up of comrades who in February ccmpieted their special training at the Moscow Energy Institute. They completed'thermophysics for S years. Previously, they had had preparatory studies and Russian in Cuba for 1 year. In May, several members of the group joined the Juragua Budgeted Unit." There we had the opportunity to meet with engineers Miguel A. Perez Jardines and Luis Angel Medina Ramos. Both decided to give us a single response to our questions. They told us: "Our group was made up of comrades who had belonged to the Nuclear Physics Interest Club of the Lenin Vocational School. We met because of our interest in the field and were lucky enough to have the help of a highly trained professor who had studied in the USSR. His classes prepared us for the activity to which we would finally devote ourselves. There were plans coordinated between Iconsomol and the UJC [Union of Young Communists]. Upon our return, we went into production. We are anxious to serve science, technology and the Revolution wherever we would be most useful, but we believe that it is here, in Juragua, where we must begin our work." 8 FOR Ok'F[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Training The training of Cuban specialists in this f~_~ld of unlimited.possibilities moves steadily forward. Through the signing of an agreement with a Study and Training Center at the Novovoronezh Powerplant,. personnel will be trained for operations, laboratory work and maintenance. T_he first group will begin its training at tha end of this year. Others will leave for Novo~~oronezh in 1982. Electrical engineers from the Carlos Manuel de Cespedes Thermoelectric P.owerplant with some background in nuclear energy have been chosen to take a course in theory and practice in the Soviet Union lasting 1 year. We talked with a number of them and they all agreed that the trip will complete their professional training. The knowledge they acquire will be very beneficial when, on their return, they go to work for the first nuclear powerplant in Cuba. COPYRIGHT: BOHEMIA 1981 11,464 CSO: 5100/2322 9 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/49: CIA-RDP82-40850R040400064008-3 " FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY LIBYA 'UNUSUALLY LARGE' URANIUM PURCHASES NOTED - PM311442 London THE TIMES in English 29 Aug 81 p 4 [Dispatch "from our correspondent": "Libya Buys Uranium Secretly"] [Text] Paris, 28 Aug--Libya has bought unusually large amounts of uranium in the first half of this year from Niger, the West African producer, leading to specula- tion that it is acting for other Arab countries with more advanced nuclear capac~i~ ies , In the first half of 1981, Libya has bought 1,212 tons of uranium from Niger, three times as much as in the whole of 1980, accord ing to official figures published yesterday in the Niger capital, Niamey. What need Tripoli can have of such quantities is obscure since Libya has only a small, Soviet-supplied research reactor which uses small amounts. Sources said it was possible that part af the total given by the Niger authorities was accounted for by deliveries made last year and not recorded immediately. But even the total announced for 1980--380 tons-~ras large for a country w:Lth Libya's limited requirements. Experts ~.n Paris suggested that Libya might b e selling the uranium to other countries, such as Iraq, which bought 100 tons of uranium from Niger in the first half of this - year. Pakistan and Syria were two other ~oss ible final destinations mentioned. Niger's deliveries to Libya in the first half of the year were half as much as was sold to France. But they made Libya Niger's second biggest customer ahead of Japan ~ which took 816 tons and Spain which received 300 tons. Libyan purchases of uranium from Niger stood at 150 tons in 1979, rose to 380 tons last year, and then bounded ahead this year. COPYRIGHT: Times Newspapers Limited, 1981 CSO: 5100/2329 - 10 FnR (1FFTf fAi. iiCF f1NT V APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/42/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY FRANCE NUCLEAR PRO~RAM SEEN CONTINUTNG TN SPITE OF OPPOSITION Paris LE NOWEL OSSERVATEUR in ~'rench 8 Aug 81 p 30 [Article by Jacques Mornand7 - IText] The ~reeze on the construction of five nuclear power plants, decided on at the l~st council of ministers session on 30 July, has been very badly received. It was too much, in the opinion of some ~ people, and too little, according to others. The environmentalists consider these measures inadequate. They even use the word "treason," since the construction of the Nogent-sur- , Seine (Aulie department) and Penly (Seine-Maritime) power plants, the enlargement of tfie wastE reprocessing center at La Hague, and the start of construction of the Creys-Malville breeder reactor will , continue. Tfie CFDT IFrench Democratic Confederation of Labor] uses approximatel~y~ tfie same ter~s. - On the otfier side, the othe-r union~, the CGZ' [General Confederation of Labor] , tfie FO jWorkers ~'orce] , and t~ie CFTC jFrench Confederation o~ Cfiristian Workers] , alang with the Communist Party, have unequi- - vocally denounced this "abandoning of the policy of national energy independence." They fear that the decreased activity in the nuclear sector will further worsen unemployment. At the sites where work - has been halted, the workers whose jobs are threatened continue to demonstrate noisily. Fears are sharpest in Lorraine. At Cattenom (Moselle department), during the weekend which marked the start of the traditional August vacation period, angry workers blocked the hi,ghway leading into Selgium, causing a mc~nstrous traffic jam 30 kilometers long. These reactions show that the national debate about our entire nuclear policy, scheduled for the fall in compliance with Francois Mitterrand's campaign promises, will be a heated one. In reality, the steps taken by the government on 30 July are symbolic and con~ervative in nature. The slowdown which was called for might be of a very short duration. There is really nothing 11 ~ FOR OFF~C[AL USE ONL'Y APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY � irreversihle ahout i.t. Tt indicates that the government does not want to dec~iie in advance tfie outcome o~ the debate that will be held oder tfi.e next seve~al weeks in parliament and in regional and depart-mental ass~mbli:es. There tfi.e parties, unions, environmental groups, etc. will Fiave to decide---quite rapidly, it seems--before the final decision whic~:inay or may not challenge the vast nuclear program begun during tfie a~ninistration of Pierre Messmer in 1974, at the time of the first oil crisis. _ Controlling the Gas Pipeline _ In the debate which is about to start, the government of Pierre Mauroy will not be neutral. It will introduce a bill that is now being drafted. The criteria included are: the prospects of economic growth and energy consumption, independence, and the decentralization of programs. However, the final preparation of this bill is a sen- sitive matter. First of all, because even inside the PS [Socialist Party], tfiere are digferent groups; supporters and opponents of nuclear developpnent clash tfiere ~ust as they do all over the coun- try. Furthermore, the room for maneuver of the minister of energy, Edmond Her~e, is limited. Tn fact, the situation of_ our country, which lacks essential energy resources, will not let us do just anything. Any cutback in our nuclear program will have to be bal- - anced by an increase in same supply source or by equivalent energy = savings. Petroleum - Despite the slump in the world petrole~,un market right now and the reduced prices� offered by producers, the price per barrel is con- tinuing to rise, because of the increase in the dollar, the reference currency. So the price gor super gasoline in early August just went o~rer 4 fr_ancs per liter. Coal Even though ~rench coal is expensive, the government is thinking of increasing its production. Production should reach about 30 million - tons in 19~0, compared with about 20 tons in 1980. For th~ 1982 bud~ get, the Charbonnages de France (French Coal Mines) investments will ~ be increasad by 42.70 percent in relation to 1981. Gas Investments �or the French Gas Company are being increased 25.9 percent next year. But tfiis will affect storage and distribution facilities. It will not crive us one cubic meter more of gas of French orig3n. Production at the Lacq field has reached a plateau and will decline significantly in the future. Then we will have to import more and more gas from Algeria and from the Soviet Union. 12 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY A laig contract with the USSR has heen ~.n the negotiation phase for months now~, jointly~ witfi some other countries, including Germany. Snt tFiere is a security problem involved here. Tn case of a crisis, wfiat would fiappen if Moscow decided to turn off the ' tap of the pipeline? Washington is sending out warning after warn- j ing on this issue. But Francois Mitterrand seems to have come i around to the point of view of Helmut Schmidt, who favors this _i proj ect . I Renewable Energy Resources ~ 5olar, biomass, wind and tidal power should, according to Francois Mitterrand, supply 10 percent of our energy needs between now and the year 2000; this percentage is significantly higher than what had been planned earlier. Savings Lf~ort~ in tfiis area have to be increased. But it will be an expensi:ve procPSS, because the savings that are easy havz already been done. So now we will Fiave to invest more than before to ob- tain comparable results. However, energy savings do offer one - major advantage: saving energy creates jobs (insulating buildings, regulating heating, etc.). Considering t~e variety of economic and political necessities ~acing it, tfie Mauroy goverrrment will probably have to choose a middle of the road course between the "all nuclear" approach favored by~Ga:sc~rd and EDF jFrencfi Electricity Company] and the "no" to nnclear power of tfie envirornnentalists. He might slow down the long~term program, considering tfie expected decline in the rate of growtfi of electricity usage. But he will probably decide to continue work in progress wherever it is well underway already. Whetfier we like it or not, we will probably have 45 nuclear power plants operating in 1987. They could then supply 60 percent of France's electric power. Stopping this program cold would have incalculable financial consequences and would cause tens of thousands of jobs to be elimi- nated. In spite o~' everything that could be done to save energy and fio use renewable energy resources, this would still mean an in- crease in our petroleum exports. And at the price of oil today, whowould dare suggest such a program to the French people? COPYRTGHT: 1981 "Le Nouvel Observateur" - 7679 CSO: 5100/2306 E~ 13 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000400060008-3