JPRS ID: 10204 NEAR EAST/NORTH AFRICA REPORT

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APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-04850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - JPRS L! 10204 22 December 1981 Near East/North Africa Report (FOUO 47/81) FOREIGN BROADCAST INFdRMATIaN SERVIGE FOR QFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000504010002-3 - NOTE JPRS publications contain information primarily from foreign newspapers, periodicals and hooks, but also from news agency transmissions and broadcasts. Materials from foreign-language sources are translated; those from English-language sources are transcribnd or reprinted, with the original phrasing and other characteristics retained. I:eadlines, editorial reports, and raaterial enclosed in brackets are supplied by JPRS. Processing indicators such as [Text] or [Excerpt] in the first line of each item, or following the last Line of a brief, indicate how the original information was processed. Where no processing indicator is given, the info.r- mation was summarized or extracted. _ iJnfamiliar names rendered phonetically or transliterated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- tion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not ciQar in the . original but have been supplied as appropriate in context. - Other unattributed parenthetical notes within the body of an item originate with the source. Times within items are as given by source. - The contents of this publication in no way represent the poli- _ cies, views or attitudPS of the U.S. Government. COPfRIGHT LAWS AND REGULATIONS uOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION - OF' TEiIS PUBLICATION BE RESTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000504010002-3 JPRS L/10204 22 December 1981 NEAR EAST/NORTH AFRICA REPORT (FOUO 47/81) CONTENTS fNTER-ARAB AFF111IRS Pan-Arab Support for Libya Expxessed (Editorial, Walid Abu Zahar= AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI, _ 28 Aug-3 Sep 81) ~ ALGERIA Kabyle Question Examined (Hugh Roberts; THE MAGHREB REVIEW, Sep-Dec 1980)............ = Content, Potentia,lity of Household Census Data (Keith Siitton; TFTE MAGHRES REVIEW, May-Aug 1981) Agreements in Economic, Industrial Areas Signed With Soviets (MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS, 30 Oct 81)............ Official Says No Plans To Regain Country's Archives From France (MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS, 6 NoV 81) Cooperation With France in Automotive Industry Fossible (MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITE.RANEFNS, 6 NOV 81) - Ocean Transport Dispute With French Shipowners Clarified (MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEnITERRANEENS, 30 Oct 81)............ LTI3Y1\ _ Election to Popular Committees Described (J. Davis; THE MAGHREB REVIh'W, Sep-Dec 81) Manaqement of Agricultural Resources in Coastal Area (THE MAGIiREB REVIIW, Sep-Dec 81) f,10FtGCCO - Formation, Functioning of Moroccan State; Related Developmental Topics (Paulo de Mas; THE MAGHREB REVIFW, Sep-Dev 1980)............ - - a - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 1 3 18 25 26 28 29 30 35 46 (III - NE & A - 121 FOUO] APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR nFFICIAL USE ONLY Effect of Various Variables on the 1981-85 Plan Reviewe9 (MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS, 30 OCt 81)............ 05 SUDAN Darfur Agiicultural Project To Inciude Saudi, British Financing (MARCHES TROPICAUX ET NIEDITERRANEENS, 23 Oct 8I)............ 67 Briefs Old Suakin Port Study 68 Czech Cooperatio7 Accord 68 International Catering Firm 68 Pr.esidential P14ne From France 68 TUNISIA . Port Expansion Agreements Signed With FRG (MARCfiES TROPICAUX FT NIEDITERRANEENS, 6 Nov 81) 69 ~ Vegetable Oil Production Outlined (MARCHES TROPICAUX ET NIEDITERRANEENS, 30 Oct 81) 71 WESTERN SAHARA United Kingdom's Heath Advises West on Sahara Conflict (Edward Heath; THE TIMES, 4 Dec 81) 73 - b - FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40850R000500410002-3 FOR OFFI( INTER-ARAB AFFAIRS PAN-ARAB SUPPORT FOK LIBYA EXPRESSID Paris AL-WATAN AL-'ARABI in Arabic No 237, 28 Aug-3 Sep 6IL p 17 [Editorial by Walid Abu Zahar: "Arabism Lies With Libya"] [Text] The position taken by the Iraqi leadership on the American attack against the two Libyan planes represents anothPr stage along the pan-Arab course. It is profitable to make a few observations about this position, although it is not a natural and expected extension of this course in the face of current issues. An official Iraqi spokesman stated that Iraq, based on its established and funda- mental pan-Arab positions, affirmed its support for Libya against the American attack to which the Li.byan planes were subjected. He added that Baghdad always supports the Arab side, whatever its political hue, when it is subjected to for- eign aggression. The fact is that this position is not a new one but sanctions for the thousandth time a deeFly rooted position held by the Iraqi leadership. This position can be summed up in a few ;aords: Always on the Arub's side withaut the least hesi- tation or criticism in his struggle with the foreigner, whoever he may be. Ttierefore, the position was expected, despite the fact that the inci.dent itself w3s riot devoi.d of a certain amount of showmanship, especially since observers' reports subsequently proved that Libyan off icials did not believe for a moment that the American planes would oppose the Libyan planes. Aside from this, other inEormation says that the Soviet Union wished to sound out Reagan through this manufactured incident to determine the seriousness of his recent warnings on dif- ferent occasions and thus requested that the Libyans send their planes on an in- tercept mission over units of the American fleet in the ME:diterranean. Anc; so what happened, happened. We are not prim.rily concerned with the background cf the incident, or its jus- ti_!7icati011s, or the scenario employ_d by Qadhdhafi or Brezhnev in relation to it. P.ar.her, we are more interested in shedding light on the various dimensions of the commanding pan-Arab position maintained by the leadership in Iraq with r2spect to the incident despite the fact that the Libyan regime is providing financial support and weapons to the Iranian regime which is killing Iraqi Arab 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000504010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY soldiers, as everyone knows. Perhaps someone may say that Colonel Qadhdhafi adopted a similar position when the Iraqi nuclear reactor came under attack. He contacted President Saddam Husayn and expressed his sorrow at the Israeli raid. He also dispatched 'Abd-al-Salam Jalud to Baghdad to conf irm the pronouncement. This observation may be appropriate, but it requires some additional commento The Libyan regime generally says one thing and does the opposite. Drawi.ng paral- lels is ane thing, but actual practice is something else. Similarly, a show pos- itioi, hased on a circumstantial reaction is one thing, but an established pan- Arab pc+sition that remains indiviaible is quite another action. When ,Ialud arrived in Baghdad, he heard an important theory the gist of which is that the "pan-Arab conflicts" are an indivisible whole and it ia imposaible to separate the component parts of this whole. Jusr as it is impoasible for you to be at one and the same time on my side against Israel and an ally of my enemy, tha Iranian regime, it is unacceptable for you to declare in an elegantly worded staterent your support for Iraq against the nuclear reactor atrike at the same time that you secretly ar.d openly resume weapons shipments to Tehran to strike at the land and people of Iraq. This is a policy that is incompatible with the basic principles of the sound pan- Arab course. This course rejects "fragmentation" of positions on major issues and demonstrates the vast distance that aeparates the rostrum talks and resound- ing radio spe;:ches, which are appropriate on any public occasion, and honorable pan-Arab practice, which views eventa from a comprehensive parspective that aims only at the greater Arab welfare apart from any disagreementa--especially when there is a confrontazion between '.-ab and foreigner. r-, On this basis, and 'uased on the principles of pan-Arabism and the honor of de- fending them, we must stand with Libya in its confrontation with the foreigner-- Libya of the people and Arabism. Sa we have learned, and so we will remain. COPYRIGHT: 1981 AL-WATAN AL-ARABI 8591 CSO: 4504/7 2 FOR CIFFICIAL USE ON1.Y APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R400540010002-3 ALGERIA KABYLE QUESTION EXAMINED Londan THE MAGHREB REVIEW in English Vol 5, Nos 5-6, Sep-Dec 1980 pp 115-124 [Article by itugh Roberts, University of East Anglia: "Tawards an Understandxng of - the Kabyle Question in Contemporary Algeria"] (Text ] InlroduMion ~ For a number of reasons, it is particularly opportune to hold a scminar with the comprehensive tiile of `Con- teniporary Maghreb' at the beginning of the 1980s. For one, it is usefuZ to direct the spotlight to a region which is characterized by active processes of fermentation in the socio-political and cultural arenas. Both within and between the diRerent countries of the region, moreover, there is political and military friction and even open - conflict. At the same time, the Maghreb is struggling with the guestion of what its place ought to be within a broader pan-Arab and pan-Islamic perspective. lndeed simply recognizing and describing these tensions would be ample justification for organizing this gathering, in which pcoplc with diflerent backgrour.ds and interests can prescnt their views on problems aitid developments - in the individual Maghreb states or in the region as a wholc. ln my opinion, it may prove especially profitable to focus on the Maghrcb since this rc;gion can serve both as an examplc and a testing ground for a large number of contemporary topics and theories in different disciplines. The purpose of our contribution, which is intentionally provocative, is to stress the nomothetic approach, and ~ we bcleeve that the spatial and functional unity in diversity ---which is true of h;aghreb--constitutes a fertile context in which to anaiyse various socio-economic and political proctsses. This belief, indecd, is inherent in the way humnn geographers tend to think. Positioned about hUlf-way hctwcen abstract theorizing at the one extreme and spatinl reality at the ather, the geographer dcliber- atcly nttcmp�s to link these opposite ends by empirically vrriiying opcratimalited theories and concepts. Thc chiei purpose of this paper is to advocate a specific wuy of looking at the Maghreb-a way in which one c;+n romhine elements of rolitical and developmcnt 3 E'OR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY geography as thcy arc being practised today in the Nethcrlands. In this approa.ch, elements of theories on development are gratted on to the concept of the state, which forms the focal point for politico-geographical research. T'o iliustrate our approach, we will confine ourselves to only one of the Maghreb countries, namely Morocco, a cr,oice based on the fact that we have several years of :esearch experience iia tliis country. Nevertheless, oppor- tunities will be prov:ded for making comparisons with the other Maghreb states, and our topic-the formation and functioning of the state of Morocco-ofrers nuints of contact not only with other topics relating to this country touched upon during this seminar, but also with similar processes in the other Maghreb countries. The Scope of Potiticsil Geographyl Polit;cs has nevcr been tht exc!usive domain of any _ une particular group oP pcople. Philosophers, jurists, historians, journalists end economists havo continually _ put forward their respective claims end, more recently, political scientista have joincd thea: as well. G.;ographers, too have lang been interested in pelitical phenomena. In this regard, Dutch political geographers are particularly concerned with (1) the processes cf the integration and distintegi�ation of political systems, (2) the relations ;hat exist between political systems at the national level and those at the interrtational level, and (3) the spatial aspects of the functioning of polisical systems at the intra-state level. ?his being the case, it is not surprising that the state has become the cer.tral focus of attention and the most fundamental theoretical concept in political geography. - The geographers' emphasis on the spatiat influence on, and spatial eH'ects of, the iunctiuning of the state and its - constituent parts allows for a classification consisting of four major fields of interest, each of which may be subdividcd into smeller themes. These }'our major ficlds arc: 1. Statt formation; _ 2. StatG functioning; .i. Statc control; and 4. Extcrnul rclutions.� - T'his clearly indicates ihat there are numerous facets to the concept of state, but for the purpose of this paper we will limit ourselves dcliberately to only a few aspects of state formation and the functaoning of the state. The choice of the state as the basic frame of reference and integration results from several considorations. First, during the period of decolonization many new states _ came into cxistence, although in this respect the term 'decolonization' is rar,her ambiguoua. While this does not imply a return to pre-colonial political systems, ncither _ Joes it mean that new poiidcal systems came into 4 FOR QFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R000540010002-3 existence. On the concrary, it was usuaUy the state-idea introduced by Europeans which was ad4pted. Clearly, most of the newly indc-pxndent statts of the African contineni-including thm,~ of the Maghreb- are a legacy of the c,olenial past. As a consequence, the process of state formation is somewhat artific;al in - nature, and this artificiality is often cited as the cause of the `awkward' locatidn of iaternational boundaries, the lack of internal stability and the friction which exists between neighbouring states (for example, between Mor- occo and Algeria, or betwan Tunisia and Libya). Such observations spring from an implied proposition, i.e. that the process of atate formation in Europe itself was a 'natural' ane. In fact, aothing cauld be further from the M - trut6, and it is only bscause state formation in Europe began so long ago and took place so alowly tbat we tend to perceive the resulting states as natural entities. In Europe, the process of natinn-building generally followed-rather than preceded--the process of state formation, and the i-numerous ethnic minorities and separatist aentiments that can still be found in present- day Europe (Williams, 1580) serve as reminders o; this process. It wauld seem, iadeed, that in this respect the _ circum-Mediterr$nean countries have more in common with each other than they have ditTerenoes. However this may be, in a relatively short period of time there eme�rqed lrameworks for integration baaeci on colonial (and in the case of the Maghreb partly also on pre-colonial) systems, which appear more stable than ' one might have presumed at first. Although the authority of the state may be weak within particular atatea or may even 'be largely juridical and theoretical in natun, there is no other institution that can supplant its role. It is thereforc not surprising that the Organization of African Unity recognius the Afrisan states as sovereign eatities and accepts their boundaries as legitimate and inviolable. Even though the form may be of recent origin, and in many cases artificial, this does not mean that some other construct would be any lass problematical, 'j'or the prob- lems associa4ed with the recent process of state formation are of a myriad nature. Many young states, for examgle, face the problem of - having to integrate thoir population into a single cohe- - sive national unit, and expressions such as `from tribe to nation' (Gellner and Micaud, 1972) or 'tribe and state' ~ (Seddon, 1977) clearly reveal the crux of the probDem. _ Kinship relations and the like mast be rtplactd by a , sense of nationhood which dominates public life and which mediatas, or even regulates, when the intere;sts of one group within the state clash with those of snother group. Elias (1974) introduces the concept of iategration - levcl, according to which it is possible to distinguish diflerent levels of integratien, all of which have their own spatial base, such as the national state, provina, ~ FOR OFFYCIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY district, etc. However, it is also possible to havc intcgra- tion Icvcls which do not nccesserily havt to coincidc with thc spatial entities mcntioncd sbove. lt is possiblc, for examplc, to have integrattou trameworks on the basis of functional criteria (modal regions), or others based on real or perceived cornman c;arac:e.*istics. 'Communities' are examples of such local integratiar, levels. Eiias further posits that the process of state formstion involves integration at xhe higher level of the national state, which gas hand in hand with a relative loss of sutonomy, for the lower levels lose functions and power and become dependent on the higher levels, where decisions are made and where the distribution of resour- ces takes glace. This loss of funetion, powrr, sutonomy and identity, however, is often not accepted without resistancc, and history provides many examples of this form of resistance, eithcr oa linguistic, rtlibious or ethni: I-ounds against centraiization at the sta.te level. Summarizing, one may conclude that focusing on the state as she frame of integration entails cersain internal as well as external aspects. The internal aspects refer to to the formation of the state with all the problems associated with that, while ihe externa) aspects involve the recognition by other states ot the sovereignty of the bounded space. T'his recagnition, which constitutcs a prerequisit, may itself present problems. As noted above, the former colonies have not only inherited-with more or less difl5culty-their present form and style ot govern- ment, but their ideological foundations as well. This inctudes bott; the ideal of the integrated nation-state, and that of the welfare state, and state and development have become synonymous. This, indeed entails the con- sideraticn of some ideas from development geography, wnich will be discussed in the following section. Recent ldeas io Development Geograpby In the mid-1960s new currents of thought appeared which were to challenge the so-called traditional theories of development, such as the economic-technologicai theory, or those of dualism, growth and modernization. This criticism came mainly from what we; will call, for the sake of convenience, the 'dopendencia' theorists and, during the protracted trench warfan that ensued a sustaincd theoretical bombardment expoaed the weak- nesses of the iraditional theoriea. The earlier overly monistic acd a historical approaches were not considered adequate tn oR'er an explanation for the problems of underdevelopmeat 'I'he starting-point tor the dependencia theorists is the consideration thst causes of difTerences in the degree of ecoaomic develop- ment hnvc to be sought in eatecnal aad supra-national factors. Within this perspective, developmeat is not the produrt of en independent impulse within a given eco- nomic structure, nor of the removal of social difTerences 6 FOR OFFICIAL USE dNLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R400540010002-3 within urban-industrial (capitalistic) societies. Neither does underdcvelopment rcpresent a lower stage to be traverscd, following which a spontaneaus process of growth can bcgin, and culminating in a`modern' or - 'devcloped' society. Rather the circumstances of development and under- dcvelopment must be sought in a worid economy of a capitalistic character. The centraY thesis of the dependen- cia theory is that developed countries grow autonomously, while the Icsser developed ones show a growth-pattern that is a derivation from the latter, a deduction derived _ t'rom the dassical Marxist theory on imperialism, which is interwoven into the thinking on deptndency. This is new, in so far as one seeks to attribute tbe tendeii- cies in thc davelopment of dependent economies to the functioring oP the world economy, and thie emphasis on the eftects which capitalistic expansion has on peri- pheral cconomies (the impact of external factors on internal conJitions) indeed, forms the essential r,ontribu- tiun in the discussion on developmental issuGS. While this theory has proved its initial utility, there is a danger of stagnation in thinking, due to an over-emphasis on some (capitalistic) elements of the external aspects, - combined with an under-estimation of internal eRects. Indeed, the contradictions and dualistic p5enomena within the less developed countries themselves have been pushed into the background, while the problem of dcvclopmcnt has been shifted to the level of the world economy, thereby igaoring the developments within individual states aad often stressing the negative eRects af external dcpendena. Studies on individual dependencx relationa are also usually limited to tfu analysis of modes of production and their rclations to social fortnadons in geaetal and to the penetration of capitalistic modes of production into large areas ot the world. Vellings (1979, p. 108), for exarnple, notes an 'empirical anaemia' in these studies, whereby attention is :imitod to gcneral economic - problems on an aggregated level, the accuanulation of capital, its distribution and use. Recently one has wimessGd gradual counter-attacks from diftF'crent sources, in the form of criticism of the rather weak definitions, operatioaalization and veri- fication found in the bulk of dependencia theory (Ettama, , 1979a.b; Reitsma, 1980; Sedc+-n, 1977; Wolters, 1979). This has led to s timid ragprochement between the formerly conflicting parties, and to a beginning of the onerous task of operationalization and testing and, perhaps, avowed empirists aad ualous theoretists-if on speaking terms with sacti other-conld form a workable _ combination and bring about a breakthrough in the ac!ual deadlock. No doubt we do have at the moment an impasse in _ research on developrr.eat. One has lost his bearings and it is neccssary to orientate oneself while, in the meantime, 7 FOR OFFICIAY, USE ONLX APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R400540010002-3 FUR OFFICIAL USE ONLY discussions are going on about the dircction to take. ' Obviously, the thcorctical signs wc thought of as valuablt and reliable prove to point to nowhere or, at best, to a dead-end strcet. A good example a, confusion is a recent seminar held in Rabat, Mo*occo,9 in wh'^_h n;iriy al the Moroccans working in the field o!' deve;opn.:~t research as well as a considerable numbec of foreign experts, participated. The theme of the seminar was the dependencc ot Morocco and the quasiion uf transition. Elsewhere (De Mas, 1978, pp. 93-192) we have already noYed that a larg: majority of the younger generation of Moroccan scholars exhibits a atarked disposition towards dependencia theories. It is surprising, however, that those who stress the impoetance of all types of dependency as the explanatory conapt for underdevelop ment, should thcm4elves exhibit such a surprisingly dependent attitude by uncritically embracing such - theories. The overrall stagnation in Morocco and indeed con� ' siderable dependence on foreign capital and the world economy in general, are explained by `dependencistas' only in terms of the dependence on foreign capital, loans, products and raw materials. The eaplanation, :aerefom, is put forward that the economic and military : panetration of the Eurepean colonizing states, whicF had cuIminated in the French; Spanish protoctorate, has con- tinued even after the acquisition of political independence by Morocco.4 In brief, since the end of the eighteenth century . Morocco has becn integrated in the world economy, rtsulting in a dependent periph.-rsl mode of production with the -ocial formation inherent in that. So far s:) good. According to this theory, the economic and railitary penetration by France and Spain and the creation of two protectoraces appear as eventa, setting in motion the madernization of traditional Morocx;o whsch, however, was to prove that the Marxist model of abrupt transition - from traditional to modern society is hardly applicable to Morocco. At the end of the srminar, it was obvious _ that therc was a tbeoredcal standstill, 'blocage de !a pense', and confusion as to the beginniag, the end aad the various stages of the tranaition. The general Snding was that the actual ideas on dependena cxntre�periphery, change in the modes of production and social formations -including the functiuning of the atata-has little ' ezplanatory value when held against the light of the Moroccan experience. In this aituation, where the futute transition towards capitalism or aocialism seems blacked iiq wcll, the confusion is substantial. ~ Fortunately, some people did proposE a digereat diroction and a few others have indad already chosen that direction and turned their attentioa Srmiy to it. - This paper is an iavitatian to thase who flnd themselves confused to follow this dirxtion. Perhapa one of Mao's less-quoted c:tations ruay serve as guidance in this 8 FOR OE'FICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000504010002-3 F( In~~~nce : 'If chcory does not agree with reality, change th: thcoh''. 1c* Approscbes in Rescarch on Morocco Wc havc puinted out in the above that a concsntration on cxicrnal factors has mea�Y a dxreased interest in the - in�mal hioroccan context. This has two causes. ThP fini is the understandable reaction to the preceding ptpicctonte, expressed in tenns uf accusations for the condition of dependence it has brought about. The othcr factor has bc:.n the neglect of Morocco's pre-colonial history. Given the faci, as we srsid beforc, all new states - hs%c inhcrited the ideology of a united naiion-s:ate, and that the colonial historians deliberately stressed the difTrrcnca along the urban-rural, Arab-Derber and - Makhzen-Siba lines for the French and Spanish benefit, it is pcrhaps understandable that in the first years after ` ,ndcprndena Moroccans did not feel the need to conccntrate on the internal aspeets of their situation. Thic tendency to stress external factars became even - Frcater in later years, bccause-which is indted the second reason-attention to internal aspects would sooner or later have cntailed an inevitable indictment of the stanis guo in Morocco. But the time now seems right for a change. Recentiy, in analysing the structure, functioning and ideology of ~ the hloroccan administration, we drew the conclusion that the present Moroccan state is a cumulative and ncgative result of a long process covering all the pre- ccding pcriods af the sultanate, protectorate and the presen ~ monarchy. The arabesque intertwining the present and the past, external factors and the whole of religious, social o.nd economic factors of intemal order, have led us to the conclusion that a purely abstract approach which fniis to take account of the historical and apa.tial cansext of Morocco has litde explanatory value. 3imilar idcas huvc becn expressed during the seminar held in Rabat and have been illustrated by a growing number of stuclics. lt is not by chance that Guessous (a geographer himsetf) stated that'we all suffer from excessive globaliTa- tion and macroconcepts, while reality is heterogentous - in time nnd space'. He and Pascon stress tather the nced for a concrete approach instead of unfruitful and stcrilc epistimologic quarrels and debates or a literal and ritual repeticion of the classics. Here, it is necessary to remark that regarding the often, but wrongly, quoted theory on imperialism, Lenin - himsclf made cloar that definitions and concepts are historically detecmined, and that therefore we need to observe concrete realities of the world economy in a - given historical and contextual situation, thereby including specific timefspace conSiderations (Arrighi, 1978, Chap. 1; Blusse et a!., 1980). "There are signs, however, that a period of empirical groping in Morocco's historical dark has begun, and rtcent studies by El FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Malki (1980), Bcn Ali (1977, 1980), BouFhassoul (1980) _ and Pascon exemplify this new approach.a Having said this we hasten, our�_-'.ves, to dcclare that a historical approach alone is aiso not sufficient. If this were t}:e case, the often excellent descriptive works from the colonial period could already be considered adeyuate. In our opinion, howev:,r, tvyo further aspects should be - added; a new theoretical framework and the spatial element. As far as the new historical approach is con- cerned, there is a clear tendency in Morocco to condemn the colonial historians (Ayache, 1979a; Morsy, 1979), especially their view concerning the role of the state = and aspects connected to the Makhzen-Siba relations. - The danger is apparent that, simply as a reaction to the colonial points of view on that matter, one can take - diametricalty opposed atandpoints. Ayache states, for instance, that thcre was indced a Moroccan nation and that the Siba (including the Rif) did not mean a complete - rupture with the Makhzen, but haci more the cbaracter of _ peripheral integration, aspects of which we shall return to later. The issue as stake here is whether or not this historical approach is subjcct to the same flaws wt mentioned in regard to research on developrr,ent in general: bcing overly global and empirically weak. ln our opinion, this historical revival is related to the growing interest in - one's own Berber/Moroocan culture, after that had been sligh,ted for so many years, a revival tbat by the looks of it cannot be detached from recent pan-Islamic develop- ments. However, it is to be hoped that this significant self-discovery does not lead to mere introspection and a defensive attitude to all foreign influences. Indeed, Moroccan and, more rccently, Iranian history ofTcr ex- amples of curious coalitionr, bctween traditional elements and ultra-progressive and np-tionalistic forces against per- _ cetved external dangers, whether of religious, economic or military nature, and recent events in Fes should be setn in this perspective.a Historically or;ented research therefore, should be of a clear theoretical and thoroughly empirical conception. As an example of such an approach one can cite the work of Seddon (1979) describing the complex prceess _ of articulation between (European) capitalist and - (Maghreb) pre-capitalist modes of production. 1n it, he - clearly demonstrates, on the basis of the differences between Morocco and Algeria, that the attempt to , character?u the particular social formation of the whole Maghreb, ur even that ia the difl'ennt countries, with one single modp. of production is bound to be urifcuitful and inadequate. Ne argues that the history af the trans- formatian of the Moroccan and hiaghrebian political economy can be conceptualized as taking place st several difTerent levels and in a number of distinctive _ modes of production, stressing that `beyond this general rule [Marxist `law of motion'-PDMj lies the need for an 10 FOR OFFICIAL USE OT1LY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40850R000500410002-3 investigation, in cach instance, of the specificity of the articulation in a series of conjectures to identify the dctcrminants of the individual history of a particular social formation' (Sneddon, p. 37). . We agree with this point of view concerning future empirical research and, as we said earlier, it is the first step on a long and winding road, paved with many contributions from diflero-nt discipl;nes and at different spatial and analytical levels. A great number of issues, research fields, as well as current and past research, fit _ surprisingly in this framework, among which ono can - mention the formation and fuACtioning of the pre- colonial state and its internal and external relations; the relations between rural and urban, between Makhun and Siba and the diRercnt social clessea and categories. Even the external relatians between the sultanate of - Morocco and the outside world in their brosdest mean- ings have to bc taken into account. Thia aocessitates a massive number of new studies, but also a re-interprata- tion of the abundant literature and material inherited from the colonial era. Our own contribution limits itaelf to the political- geographic aspects of the formstion and functioning of - the Moroccan state and related developmental topics, as indicated before, and in doing so we hope to add two elemenis to Seddon's approach. Firstly, and a direct result of our stated interest in the concept of state, we have the conviction that research on peripheral regions should not limit itself to external economic relations, but should also include attention to the way in which z region is integrated into a state.7 Therefore, we have concentratcd on the Rif, which - according to Galtung's (1971, p. 84) theory could be considered part of `the periphery of the periphery'. - The history of the Rif shows how wrong it is to consider this a given and timeless situation. First of all, what is peripheral and who, what and whcre ia the centre? ?hese questions touch on the supposedly timeless Siba/ Makhzen stereotype, as well as on the position of Morocco as periphery. The hislory of Morocco and the Rif shows how diffi- cult it is to generaliu about Galtung's theory in a situa- tion where both the centre itself (divided into cenve and pcriphery) and the periphery itself (also widi its awn core and margins) change constantly. Braudel (1979, II), for example, presents an historical proc,ess, whereby core and dependent region change constantly - because of the rise and fall of important cities acting as centres. Recent discussion revolves around whether or not the Rif can be considered peripheral and, if so, whether this has always been the case. Ayache, for onc, claims that this was not the case during the sultanate, ~ but that it became pcripheral bocause of European penetra+ion and the consequent protectorates. Seddon (1974, p. 156), on the contrary, maintains that it was not - 11 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFIC2AL USE ONLY pcripticral during the sultanatc, and riot cven during the protcctorate (becausa it was integrated completely intQ the Spanish colonial economy and the Sranish coloniat poiitical and adminisirouve system), but became peripheral wnen integrated into the more dcvcloped sccYors of the southem zone in 1L%e pnst- Golonial economy and nevi:y formed state of Marocco. Heinemeijer and De Mas (1980) leave the quastion open regarding the pre-colonial period, because ef the contra- dictory nature of the evidence presented se far 8 but they do declare that although the conditions for regional secession were present in two peripheral regions, the RiP and the Sous, this in fact never happened. 7hough the scars of the past may still bo seen in the present state of Morocco, the state wilt not break up along the former lines of division. However, ample evidence rs available to suggcst that the p4litical and ecanomic integration of the southern periphery (the Sous) is far mon progressed than that of the northern periphery. Even cor,centrating on the relation between one specific part of the Moroccaa periphery and the centre indicatea the necd for detailed regional historical research to supply the scncral body of theory with hard empirical evidence. Studies on othcr Moroccan regions like those on the Haouz (Pascon, 1977), Seksawa (&rque, 1978) and the Eastern frontier (Dunn, 1977) prove thia convincingly. 7'he second point we wish to add is that of the need to study the manner in which the procesa of integration and functioning of the Rif took placx under the Spanish protectorate and is taking plact today in the independent Moroccan state. We have already claimed that there is a contiauity from protectorate to the present state, and from the poin: of view of the Rifflans ane could perhaps look upon both forms of iategration as being quite similar. The reaction to the Spanish penetration was ambiguous, ranging from outright violent resistance (1921-1926, Mohammed Ben Abd-el Krim) to an open leaguc with the enemy, often by one and the aame persons or group of persons.o T'he reaction to the pet- ceived 'internal colonization' (a term introduced by Hechter, 1975) by the new Makhzen in 1956 was similar. lt is becoming mion and moee clear also that, oa a national scalc, the same ambiguitp existed as resistana and the protEg6 system both marked the period of European penetration and the ensuing protectoratc. lt is striking, that an exact duplicate of the protfgE system, in which influential Muslim aad Jewish Moroccan families played important roles, is found in the coastal areas of the Rif, as well as in the High Atlas and the Oriental plains (9rown, 1976, 1979; Schaar, 1966; Bowie, 1970; Dunn, 1977). By means of :esearch on this paradox of resistance aad cooperation, as well as of the whole problem of the traditional and modem economic penetradon and domin- 12 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R000540010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY _ :ncc and the traditional and modern 'protige' bclonging to it, too much emphasis is laid on structural anal,ysis = of the so calied 'elite', 'bourgeoisie' or `comparadorc bourgeoisie'. This is a result of the classical theory whereby society is presented as a class model and where _ thc state is pcrceived as an instrumcnt of the �ruling class'. - The problem is that it is difi'icult to delineatt the exact relation betweer! society and state, or even to provide - adequate operational definitions of these two concepts. Furthermore, the formation or disintegration of states on the onc hand, and that of classes on the other, are only partly inter-connected, both having their ow;i - dynamics (Wolters, pp. 198-201). ~ This sxructural approach to Moroccan classes in the past and present hampers considerabDy current research on social formations and the structuring and functioning of th:state adminjstration. Social classes and institutions _ are too schematic, rigid and simplified analytical tools to tackle Moroccan society and stete. T'hey leave out of consideratian the highly personal and flexible patterns of patronage and clientale, existing alongside and often within or opposed to the institutions and structures belonging to the realm of the state snd to diBerent social and economical sectors. We have mentioned that these institutions and structure may be comparable, at first glance, to those we know in the Weatern world (in = fact mostly inherited frora it), but their working is yuite diRerent and can only be fully understood by superimposing the patror.age and clientele s4tucture upon them. Ample evidence is given for Morocco (De Mas, 1980) . to prove Boissevain's (1971) thesis that procedures and institutions which operate well in certuin systems cannot always be implemented in other contexta in which diRerent structures operete. If this implementation is done, procedures and institudons may lead to con- ditions in which scarce resources an misused for sectional or personal interests. The phenomenon of patronage forms the really crucial, if unackaowledged, politicril and social reality behind the nominal constitutional and social facade. This is certainly the ease in Morocco, other Msditerranean countries and, to a lesser degroe, also in countries elsewhere in the world (Gellner and Waterbury, 1977). We therefore strongly plead for the incorporation of this aspect into research on the Maghreb, especially in regard to the role it plays in hamperiug or obstructing the furjctioning of the state and its iastitutions, the pro- cess of integration, and so on. Furthermore, it should be esta.blished to what degree the network8 ot patroaage and clientele coincide with ethnic and/or raciel cont,a- distinctions. Suggested Approaches to Resesrch on the Maghreb ]t will by now be clear that the 'contemporary 13 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Maghrcb' cannot bc understood propcrly without thc = kind of empirical research presented above for the specific Moroccan situation, the only difterPn-e being that the scale of the research is considerably greatcr, oflering at . the same time greater possibilities for cc:lparative, longitudinal studies. In our introduct:an we r,.;^e already pointed out that the uniqueness of the Maghreb - as a research field lies in the fact that phenomena and processes do not occur there ia the same way or with the same intensity as elsewhere, but still do so with such rcgularity that it is useful to atudy them. 7"he diversiiy in homogeneity is the surplus valus we ascribe to the _ Maghrcb and it is this characteristic which makes this area pre-eminently suited for testing various aspects of political-geographical and development geography we think relevant. There arc already a substantial number of detailed - studies on practically every domain for the ditlorent ' Maghreb countries. Unfortunately, this research tends to follow a more ideogtaphic (singularizing/descriptive), than a nomothetic (generalizing/explanatory) approach. While both approaches have description as wsll as explanation as their goal, the propositions in the ideo- graphic approach are about limited and eontiguous time/ space regions, whereas the propositions in the nomo- thctic approach deal with phenomena that (at least in principle) can be found over a wide field of non-con- tiguous spacc/time regions (see figure below). . o ~ 0 e ~ .a.e. .~.e ~a.. rwinetM~~c M.WNhk ONdweM[ IOrtuM, oy. 23-141 The relation betwan nomothetic, ideoaraphic, aynctu-onic and dkchronic approacha. Thus, the propositi, s in the ideographic spproach _ are programmadcally limited to a contiguous rGgion (usually one interval in the history of one nation or region, or of some selected aspects of is), whereas the vroposition in the nomothstic approach lmow no guch boundaries. Cbviously, the bordeelines between thc two approaches are by no means sharp, and as is usual with dichotomies, they have a tendeacy to polarize not only thinking but also people. This is particularly important in connection with the other disputed relationship betwan the synchronic _ approach (dealing with phenomena thet take place 14 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 anywhcrc in apacc, but within a retativcly narrow time mtrrval) end thc drachronic approach (dcaling with nccnomcna that take placc anywhere in time but within a limitcd spac; region) (see Galtung (1967, p. 24) claims that: 'What is missing wauld be iLeographic, synr,hronic science: the really good set of treatises about a given region in spacc Correspondingly, the total set of - historical and much socio-economic viork may fill both time and space by joining works about adjacent and coritiguous space/regions. Wnat is missing here would be nomothe:ic, diachronic science connecting all this knowledge in theoretical frameworks that know no limita- tions ir space and time, operating at the level of indivi- duals and of social structure.' ' He stresses the need to tear dowa the artificial barriers - between the four approaches mcntioned above, by an approach which, theoretically, explores relations both in time and spacc, in contiguous and non-contiguous regions at the explanatory and descriptive levels. 7'his . means that keeping, }'or instance, a spatial unit (e.g. a state) constant would yield a diachronic analysis, while keeping time constant would yield a synchronic analysis. Giving both dimensions of time and space frec play, would give a kind of anslysie (nomothetic variety) towards which research should be directed. In connection with this, the wholc Maghreb ehould be cansidered _ divided int4 a multitude of time:/space units (not ncxes- sarily corresponding to states o* other administrative units) according to a division into the .respective :ime and space dimensions. 7'6e way a researcher studies - the Maghrcb as a contiguous apace/time region would _ depend on thc problem definitior.s of the respectivc disciplines. Tn this paper we have indicated various 8elds of interest in political geography and development geograpriy. We hope that during the seminar more topics will be touched which could be integrated into the above-mentioaed " approach tn the study of the Maghreb which, due to its distinctiveness and variety, forms un excellent area of study. NOTES - ~ This paper is based on the conceptual work of Van Amersfoort and Vun der Wusten, both tenior Ixlurera in Qeograpby, Univenity of Amxterdam, and editore of a forthcoming introduction to political Qeogrsphy. I Theu four mejor 6elds form the ccmtent of the publication mentioned above. ' Colloque 'Mpendana et problbmatique de la transition', 10-12 April 1980, Facultd dea Scienas Juridiqua, Economiqua et Sociales, Universitb Mohammed V, Rabat. 4 Soe Oualalou's article in .fr-.Wachra, No. l, where ha divida the proces.s of penetratian into thra periods: 1834-1912,1912-1935. an-I aftcr 1956, thercby IeavinQ the pcnod before 1830 sside. a St.minar in Rebat. Bcnali on the role of the Fasai-commercial elite aftcr 1850 and Boughassout on chenaes in moda c+f production in the Maghreb from 1830 till 1930. � Clashes betwan the police and so-called 'inftristes musiI- mans' in the religious capital of Morocco. ,Already in the 1930s the resistona ageinst the Prench protectorate was a coalitian 15 _ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLX APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICZAL USE ONLY txtwan traditional religious elements and youngcr, madern educated nntion.ilists (EI Kohen, 1977a, b). For the revivai of ir.tcrest in the Muroccan culwral patrimony, sx Lomalij Nu. IIS; Al-Atns, No. 19 an~es,xcially AmiziBh. Rrvue 1Naroeuine d'hirroire e/ dr eivilisoliuri, o. 1, SYRG. 7Ettema (1960) chims .that the interaction be;-ecn 'endogenic' charaeteristics and extemat integration dxides the +rtcome of the process ot periphcralizatiun. '!t is the prooess of pcnphc.:--ition which must be studied in its actual and its historical dimensioos' (p. 144). � Pascon will publish en historical czse-study on the valley of Heni Boufrah (province of AI Hoceima) in a forthcoming French publication of the REDRA project; a research projxt of the Departmcnts of Geography, Unrversity of Amstsrdam and L'Institut Agronomiquc et Vtterinaire Hassan il in Rabat. olbid., Pascon. HIBLIUGRAPHY  Acles de Uiirhurn (1978), 'Recherches r=ntes sur la Marce moderne', Bullerin Economlque el Soclal du Marot Publication Documents. No. 138-139, Rabst. A/ Machra ( I NRO). No. 1, Rpba;. Anazigh (19,40). Rrvue Marocalne d'hlstolre er dr elvllGrariun, No. 1, Rebat. Amerfoort, I. J. M., Heinemeyer, W. F. and van du Wusten, H. H. (1980). 'Een wercld van Statcn' (A world of ctates), !n/eld,'ng in de politleke 8engro/'ir (fortheominQ). Arrighi, G. (1978). The Geonrerry oj lmperla/lsm. The Umirs oj Hobson'a Paradigm. NLB, London. Ayache, G. (1979a). �tudta d'lrlslo/it MaroraJnt. SMER, Rabat. Ayacha, G. (1979b). Les origina de la Querrt du Rif, Thbse de doctorate d'Etat, Univcrictt Paris l, )uir. Berque, J. (1978). De L'Euphrate d L'.tt/a.r. 2 voluma. Sindbad, Psris. Blusst, L., Wesseling, H. L. and Winins, G. D. (eds) (1980). History and Uiderdrvrlopmenl: Essoyx on Underdtvtlopment and 6uro- pran E.rpanslon in .I.cla and Ajrica. Centre for the History of Eoropean expansion, Leiden ;;niversity, Leidtn. Boissevain, J. (19?1). Democcacy, development and propcmional representation: a Sicilian tase, Jouinol oj Developrsenr Sludies, Vol. 8 Na. 1. 79-90. Bowie, L. (1970), '7'he impaet of the protE86 system in Morocco, 1880-1912', Poperr In lnrtrnetlona! Srudlar, A/ilca Serlts, No. l 1. Ohio Univerait . Athens. Ohio. Braudel, F. (I979~. Clvl/Irat/on MaurJt/le, Economle e1 Coplrolismt, 3 tomes. Armand Co1in, Paris. @rown, K. L. (1976). People aJ Salf. Timulllon ond Chongt /n a Moroccan CJty, 1830-1936 Manchestar Univeraity Pras, Manchester. Brown, K. L. (1977). 'ChanainS forma of patronaQe in a Moroccan city', Parona and C!(enrt In Medtterronean Countrle.t ed. E. Gclinet and J. Waterbury, tiuckworth, LoodoA, pp. 309-328. Daoud, Z. (1980). La tranaition bloqybe, Lmrwl(/; No. 115. 14-25. De Mas, P. (1978). JNargea Morocainer. Llm11Ca de /a CoDpcraflon au developperatnt don,t yne rfglon pdrlphfrtqae: to caa du Rjf. NUFFIC/1MW00, projxt REMPI,OD, The Hague. Dunn, R. E. (1977). Realatann !n the De.rert. Moroccon Rtaponses to Fienrh !nr r!alltm; 1881-1911. Croom, London. Elias, N. (1974'Towardt a theory of cortanunities', Thr Soclology oJ Ca�munfrv, ed. C. Bell and H. Newby, L.ondon. EI ~Cohen Lamrhili (1977a). 'Bourgeoisie nationak et Color.ialisme. Gdntse d'un rcjet. A/ Atas, No. 1, 45-50. EI Kohen Lamrhili (1977b). 'La contestation rbl;llieuze et I'emer. gena de la ville dans le Maroc contemporain, Al .4aa.r, No. 4, 43-49. Etteme, W. A. (1979a). 'Geo aphera and develo~mcnt',~t/dschr(Jr voor Economlrche en Soclo~ Geo$r~e, Vol. 70, No. 1, d~74. Etteme, W. A. (1919b). Emplriscde aopekua van ekoncmische afhankclijkheid en interne region4le diReroatiatie' (Empirical aspects af economic dependena and internal ngional difleren- tietion). Discussion paper No. 2. pepartment of Geography, University of Utrxht (mimeoaraph). Etcccna, W. A. (1980). 'Spanish Galicia: a case sWdy in peripheral integrntion', Thesis, Amslerdam. 16 E'OR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2447102/09: CIA-RDP82-44850R444544414442-3 FOR OFFICIAL CiSE ONLY tJ I1aIAi. H. (7980). 'Capitslisme d'Etst, ddvrlaPpement do k NiurM)i,ie et probidmatique de .o transiuon. Lc rus du Mua- ~ Cammunication Colloque 'NPeRdanct et ProblEmltiquea de 1a �ramition', 10-12 Avnl, Rabat. Galtung. J. (1967). Tlrrosy and Methodi ojSoclal Reseorc6. Allen and Unwin, Londoa. Galsung, J. (1971). 'A structu.-al theory of imperiulism-, jokrnal nJPruce Rtatarch. No. 2, 8!-107, !lcl-11G. Gceina, E. and Micaud, Ch. (eds) (1972). A:abs ond lkrbers. % npm Tribt to Nctlon ln North Ajrira. Heath, London. Gcll:a. E and N'aterbury, J. (eds) (1977). Polren,r ond Cllrnrs 1. .4ItJrterranean Socitlitt. DuCkworth, London. HuiKrrxarr, W. F. and De Mas P. (1980). 'De vorrn;nQ van de Atuol,aanse staat' (The formation of the Morocran State.) papa Gcogr.fendagen, 1980, Sectie Politie'r.e Geogra6e, qmstadare, 1it+nl, f1. (1980). Les Tizi Ouzou du Mende Arabe, L4�.If Nr. 116, :6-29. IIors>, M. (1979). 'Comment dfciro 1'histoire du Maroc.. Actca dr Du�hom, BESM, No. 138-134, 121-144. RBbat. Oushlou, F. (1980). Propos d'Eennomle Maroeoine. SMER, Rabat. Pascon, P. (1977), Lc Xaouz de Morrakrch, 2 tomes. Rabat. Reitsma, H. J. (1980). 'Development geogrephy, dependency relations, and the capualistic scapegoat. Department of Geo- ~taphy, Univeisity of Amsicrdam (mimeographed). Schaar, S. H. (1966). 'Conllict and change in ninetoenth-century Morocco, Thesis, Ann Harbor. Michigan. Seddon, D. (1974). 'Aspccts of underdevelopment and develop- ment in North-East Morocco', Cholce and Chonge, ed, J. Davis, Athene Press, London, pp. 134160. Seddon, D. (1977). 'Tribe and state: approaches to Maahreb history, The .NvBhreb Revlrw, Vol. 2, No. 3, 23-.70. Vellinga, M. (1979). 'T'er.ds in ontwikkelingstheorie', Sorlo%glacbe Gtds Nos. ~3 101-113. Williams, IM. j19801. 'L�thnic separatism in Watem Europe' Tijdschrljr voor Economische en Soclale Ceopraje, Vol. 71. No. 3: 142-158. Vk'olten, W. G. (1919) 'StaatsvorminQ, klasuvorminQ en patronage in Zuid-Oost Azie, tStala formation, class formation and patron- age in South-East Asia). Soclo/oglsche Clds, Noe. 2-3, 191-208. CSO: 4500/70 17 FOR OFF'ICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R400540010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ALGERIA CONTENT, POTENTIALITY OF HOUSEHOLD CENSUS DATA London THE MAGHREB REVIEW in English Vol 6, Nos 3-4, May-Auq 1981 pp 45-48 - [Article by iceith Sutton: "Household Cenaua Data From Algeria: Its Content and Potentiality"] - [Text) Abstracl TFe 1977 Population Census of Algeria oRers rc- scarchcrs a rather unique colic:tion of data because the results are available at the levels of each household and individual. Thus, thc researcher can make a precise study of a single viilage or oC an urban quarter, or he can extract largc samples without the problems of generaliza- tion which result from the use o1' data aggregated to the level of communes or arrondissemen.,s. The range of information available from the Algerian ansus is described a.nd demonstrated for two villages, a centre de regroupe,�ent and an agrarian reform village. The object is to show the possibilities oflered by :::ese census documents for T'hird World studies. The analysis of spatial and social pattems as revealed by population census data is invaniably hindered by the aggregated nature of data supplied b; census authorities who are anxious or required to maintain a degra of confidentiality about individuals and heuseholds. Where- as much sophisticated statistical analysis of census data by tracts or communes is possible, the researcher remains one short but tantalizing step removed from his subject _ matter.l Sample questionnaire surveys an possible but these pose organizational problems linked to tbe time and money available for field work and often sufTer from inadequate response rates which can bias the nsults. These data problems were obstacles for the author - enquiring into the 1980s situatiou of regroupad settlement centres established in Algeria by the French acmy, 1957-1961. Over 2,300 of these centrea dt regroupement existed by 1961 and contained upwards of 2,350,000 pec,ple, or one in three of the rural population.= Much evidence existed that many of these supposedlv temporary centres remained in existena during the 1960s and were evolving into pormanent additions to the Algerian rural 18 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40850R000500410002-3 settlement system.a However, published census data for 1966, and those planned for 1977, were at the geograPhicai - scale of the commune, too Iarge an areal unit for studies of the populations of individual rural setdements. A partial Folution was to use some 1973 preparatory census - documentation, the Enquete dicoupage districts 1973, - which alldwed localities to be idenufied and a rough estimate of their siu to be made from the numbers of uccupied dwellings listed as a wide for the later use of = the census.enumerator.4 Some functional characteristics _ of the surviving centres de regroupement could also be ascertained from this 1973 data source. On the basis of personal assuranccs from ctnsus officials that the results of the 1977 census would ulti- mately be available to researChers at the very basic ccale of each household end each individual, e b:ief reconnais- sance exercise was undectaken at the Centre National de DEpou!/lemenl of the Commissarfat 1Vovonol aux Re- censemenls et Enqueles -Statistiques (C.N.R.fi.S.) in Oran.b Samples were sought from the comPlcted household census forms (jeuilles de menage) for two villages tor 1977, the centre de regroupemrnt of Djebabra and the agrarian reform village of Aurts el Mcida. A turthcr sample from the 1966 census was ebtained for Djcbabra. The census of~'icials in Oran were most cooperative in providing the files of hotrsehold census forms as re- quested, and it was an ezhilarating experience handling data which in Britain and elsewherc would remain confidential under the 100-ysar rule or similar restrictions on access. In view of thiE quite diR'erent attitude on the _ part of the Algerian census autharities towards the con- fidential nature of household Icvel census data, it is proposcd to illustrate the nature of the information contained in the hope thaf others working on Maghreb and Third World problems may perceivc the rotential of this data source for analytical work at a scale rarely possible wichout considerable field work. The Contents of the 1977 Censas Form The basic jeui!!e de minage, or houschold form, amounts to a large single shcet folded into four pages, the last of which is an Arabic translation of the questions, which together with instructions to the enumerator, are in French. All the manuscript responses in the samples taken were also in French. After details of the address, geographical code, date, and the names of the enumerator and controlter, the census form is dividcd into sections on the construction, the dwelling and househdld, and the demographic and socio-economic characteristics ot each individual. Constructioa quGStions ascertain whether the building pre- or post-datea 1966, the tyrc of building, the state of repair, the number of atoreys, and the nature of the walls and roof. The aecond sxtion, entitled Logcment e 1lfenage, ranges widely enquiring after the follou7ng: 19 F'OR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000504010002-3 FOR OFFiCiAL USE ONLV whcther the dweiling is inhabited and whcther it has a non-r;.siaential function an interior courtyard, inde}rndent or communal a kitchen and a bathr3om in the .....;ding _ the numbcr ot rooms and thosc uscd io- dwell:ng rurposcs ~hcthcr there is an insidc or outside toilet and the t).rc thc*cof the %%ater source: pipcd, wcll, spring, etc. ciecericity and gas suPply, and whether piped or bottle g35 - ;hc ownership of the building: local autho:ity, private, - ctc. %%hcther the household rents or owns the dwei(ing or �hcther it is accommodated there tree of charge %%hcthcr the bousehold receives any money from - rclatives dwelling elsewhere in Aigerip or abroad, or from state or other pensions. ( inalk, the membership of the househoid is divided into iour c:itcgories: residents present; residents absent for I:�� tnan six months; emigrants abroed; and visitors 1;:1%1nc stayed for less than six months. Thc third section gives the following details for each ,nkfi%idual member of the household, with several yucseions obviously not being answered on behalf of rhildrcn: ,,a-ne, sex, and relationship to the head or other member of the household dstc of birth or, if a birth certificate is not possessed, the vear of birth the place of birth. The commune only is asked for, Nith a request not to add the douar or district matrimonial situation, including separated and divorced the place of residence of absentces and visitors the rlacc of residence in April 1966, the date of the previous census %car whcn cach individual moved into the eommune. Obviously many had lived there }'rom birth prc%ious place of residcnce natianality thc cducation section covtred languages which could hc rcad and written, the final class attended at school or college, and the highest academic diploma achicved tlic cconomic situation encompassed those in work, out of work, studying, housewife, rctired, invalid, and un 'other non-active' category which would include children not in education for thosc unemployed, data were sought on their previous job and on the length of rime without work the kind of employment. A precise job description was a5kcd of each individual as well as a crude indication of whethcr skilled or not 20 FOR OFFICIAL iJSE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 (urilticr employmcnt dctails zov:red the aituation, i.e. rmployer, cooperator, permanent or seasonal em- piuy:e, apprenticx, etc., and the length of time in thc present job for the place of work of each individual, data wc;e sought on its main economic activity, its lozation by commune or urban dislrict, and its scctor, i.c. administration, public, sutogesdon, coopcrative, or private. A similar range of sociaecoucmic data had been sought in the 1966 census, although slighYly less detailed, and the previous residence information was restricted to place of residence on 1 July 1962, that is on lndependence Day, rather than at birth and at the time of the previous census. Case Studics: Djebabra and Auris et Metda in 1977 To illustratc the na;ure of the iniormation aRorded by the jcurlles de nenage, two constrasdng case studies are briefly discussed. The village of Djebabtae originated in the late 1950s as a cenlrt de regroupement created by the French army as part of its anti-guerriUa atrategy. Auris el Mcida is also an ariificial crcation ss onc of th= first agrarian rePorm villages which have, since 1973-1974, formed part of the REvolutlon Agrafre programme. On the basis of a 25 per cent sample DjGbabra has about 140 ho;;: eholds which contain about 628 people. From a 33 per cent sampte Aurts el Meida contains about 150 households with about 969 peaple.T The non- residential buD:dings in Djebabra numbered Gight, encompassing seven functions; those in Aurts el Mcida numbered cight, as did the functions. So, the two villages are similar in sizc, with the agrarian retorm village having a higher averagc density per house. Being a new settle- ment, all houses in Aur6s ei Mcida had a piped water supply, electricity, and bottle gas. By constrast, all houses in Djebabra obtained their water from a spring, only half had electricity, while practically all used boitle gas. Average family size was slightly iarger in Aurts el Mcida (4�75 persons compared with 4�49), whi;r its balanced sex r$tio contrasied with Djebabra's higher proportien of females (54 per cent). Households, and often families, of ten or more were not uncommon in both settlements. Juvenility is stronger in Djebabra, with 57�4 per cent below 21 years of age, 31 �8 per cent aged 21-50, and 10-8 per cent aged 51 or more. Givcn its agrarian retorm origins, Aurts el Meida enjoy5 a higher proportion of people in the active age groups, 34�5 per cent aged 21-50, compared with 52�2 per ant below 21, and 13�3 per cent above 50. In view of the recent and attificial origins oC both settlemcnts, data on the migration history of their populations are especially interesdng. Of Djebabra's population aged 11 and over, 95�7 per ctnt were residing 21 MOR OFF(C[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 F'OR OFFICIAL USE ONI.Y in the same commune in 1966. Aur~s el Meida obviously did not exist in 1965, but 84�0 per cent of its populatiol w�tre living in the same commune then. Of the thirty-four inclividuals elsewhere in 1966, eig;...... wcre in the same ,�ilati-a of Sidi Bei Abb6s, thiriten in the aa;^cent wiloya of Saida to the south, aad threc in 4hat of lJ:an to the north. The questian about the year pcople settled in ti;:. present commune of residcnce rcvealed that 86�0 per eent in Djcbabra and 55�7 per cent in Aur6s el Meida had livcd locaily sincc birth. Of the 113 in-migrants recorded in the Aurts el Meida sample, two peak period! are detectabie, 1964-1966 and 1975, but the sample is too small to read much into this. For the in-migrants, data on their pcevious place of rtsidence suggested a pre- dcminance of short-distance movement. T!u adjacent two communes to the north of I3jebabra, Meurad and Hadjout, accounted for most of its in-migrants, while 68�6 per cent of those who had moved to Aurts el Meida came from the same wttaya of Sidi Fel Abbts, ihough 26�3 per cent had moved nortbwards from the steppe wrlaya of SaYda. Several young children and babies were listed as in-migrants, though not their mothera, suggesdng that a temporary move to a maternity hospital or te relatives for the birth was being recorded, so aflixting the census results. Spatially, the in-migration data for Aurts el Meida showed concentrations within Sidi Bel Abbts wilaya, particularly to the south from the com- munes of Oued Berkecbes and Sidi Ali Boussidi, and to the south-west, from those of ATn-Temouche-at and Atn Kihal. The last section of the census form snpplies data on Pmployment and economic activity. In both villages low activity rates emerge: 15�3 per cent of the population in Djebabra, and 19�5 per c-ent in Aurts el Meida. A further 7�1 per cent were unemployed in Aurts el Meida, and in both places the numbera of schoolchildren equalled or exceeded the employed total. No one regarded themselves as 'retired', despite some slderly men being included in the sample. Women were invariably recorded as `5ouse- wives'. Occupations were dominated by agricultural labourers, vineyard workers, and tractor driven. The narrow rangc of occupations in the cenrre de regroupe- ment coittrasted with the wider range displayred by the largcr sample from Aur6s el Meidaf which included teachers, social workers, and other servia sector workers. Likewise, contrasts emerged in job situation in that the largest group of worken in Aurts el Meida were co- operators, the product of the agrarian reform, whereas seasonal workers wen marginally more important than permanent employas in Djebabra. Place of work data revealed only one commuter in Djebabra and two in Aurts el Meida plus a few individuals working and living away from home els.:where in Algeria and in Francx. Both villages were thus, as expected, self-containod agricultural settlementa. 22 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 For Djebabra a 25 per cent sample was also taken from the 1966 feuilles de minage to allow some compari_ sons. The 130 households containing 589 Fsople were only slightly fewee thaa in 1977. All the 19E6 sample were living in the same commune in 1962. ComParcd with 1977, a higher proportion of people were working, ovcr half of them in viticulture, a branch of agriculture which had disappeared from Djebabra by 1977. With this change, the dominance of the outogestion sector had also disappearcd, 1966-1977. The Potentiality of the Dats for Third World Studoes Although the previous section presented a few detailed aspects for just two villages, it is hoped that this has demonstrated the wider research potentiality of the data source. The micro-scale at which the Algerian population can be sampled and studied should be re-emphasiud. Individual villages, hamlets, and dispersed dwellings can be isolated for study, as can blocks, stroets and individual constructions in urban localities. Auth detailed local studies and wider sample studies can be made using this census dorumentation. Thcse can use individual or household level information and so avoid having to infer relationships from generaliud data at various aggregatcd levels from communes upwards. For example, hypotheses of relationships bctween the educational level of individusls and their socio-economic status can be tested, and the social and spatial detnils of the large but poorly documented unemployed sector of the population can be studied, without bcing blunted by the use of aggregated data. Population migration in patticular can be examined through thret items of information contained in the ccnsus: firstly, an individual's place of binh; secondly, his residcnce in 1966; and thirdly, his place of residence prior to his present address. Many migrant path; weuld be amply covered by these three items, and samples of the populations of shanty-towns, inner city slums, or agrarian reform villagss would yield interesting results. Evidence, put forward by Viutin,e of the continued occupution of accommodation on autogestion estates by former workers who have movtd on to urban industrial jobs, could bc substantiated, though some such illegal occupants may well ha.ve evaded the census or, at least, some of its questions. The details of housing condit' i on s and of services, could be escertained for areal samples of urbnn slums or rural centres de regroupement, samples which would requin a major organizational cffort in terms of questionnaire eurveys in the field. Further, the availability oC the 1966 census, with a similar range of questions, allows the dme dimension to be added. tn short, ti ie quite diEerent attitude taken by the Algerian authorities towards the secrxy of census dacs allows researchers to investigate probloms at whatever scale of aggregation is appropriate, rather� than to make do with more generalized data sets. Regional and 23 FOR OEFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR IJFFIC(AL USE ONLY national samples can be employed which would be quite impracticable on the basis of peraonal or even team 5eld work. It is to be hoped that Algeria's example as followed by other Third World census authunties and so encour- agcs the maximum usc of the immcnse and valuable collections ot data embodied in their national censuses. NOTES ~ l. M. L. Rotxrtson, 'The census and rssearch: ideais and reali. - ~ies'. Institrue ojBritish Gcographers, Troxsactrona, Vo1, qg, 1969~ 173-187. = M. Cornaton, Les regrouptmcnts de la dicolonlsarion en.ligdrle, (l.es Editions OuvriPres, Paris, 1967), pp. 122-123� K. Sutton and R. I. L,awless,'Population regrouping in Algeria- _ traumatic change and the raral settlement pattern', Ixstlrure of ' Brirish Gsographcrs, Transaclions, New Scries, Vol. 3, 3, 1978, 331-350. ' K. Sutton, "A note on the use of preparatory census documenta- tion in the study of rural settlement in Algeria, Ptuples Mfdller� rnnfens (Mcdiirrrunean Peoplts), Vol. S, 1978, 137-146. � Z'lu author wisha to rocord his thanks to M. Bouisri und h!s staPf at the Centre National de Dbpouillement oC the C.N.R.E.S. lts address is: 16, rue Aspirant Maoued Ahmed (ex-rue Mirauchaux), Oran. � Djebabra lies in the commune of Bou Medfa, in ihe dalro of Miliana, in the w!loya of EI Asnnm. Aurts ei Meide is aituatcd in the _ commune and daira of Hammam Bou Hadjar, in the w!/ayw of Sidi Bel Abtxs. 7 The validity of thesc samples is confirmed by a prxise figure of 638 inhabitants for Djcbabra given in the Toblenu Recapiru/arlj Communal which is a document summarizing the numbers of households and individuals in each scttlement or census tract in the commune. A 1979 newspaper report on Aurts el Meida noted that it contained 150 dwellings end slightly more than 1,000 inhabi2ants (Bl Moud)abid, S April 1979). _ � G. Mutin, 'Dbveloppement et maltrise de 1'espaa en Mitidjn'), Revur de GEoBraphle de Lyon, Vol. 52, No. 1, 1977, 6-33. CSO: 4500/70 ~a 24 FOR OFF'iCIAI. USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00854R000540010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ALGERIA AGREEMENTS IN ECONO1KiC, INDUSTRIAL AREAS SIGNED WITH SOVIETS Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEENS in French No 1877, 30 Oct 81 p 2746 [Text] The seventh meeting of the Algerian-Soviet cammission on economic, scientific and cultural cooperation, at the vice-presidential level, held in Moscow, ended 20 October. The two sides at that time sigited several documents elaborating new areas of Algerian-Soviet cooperation and initialed a protocol. that will serve as a basis for the work of the seventh meeting at the ministerial level, to be held in November in Algiers. Various documents approved at this preparatory session show the intention of both sides to deepen cooperation by taking account of the priori.ties established by Alberia's f ifth S-year economic development plan. The Algerians and Soviets agreed to work jointly to ca.rry out a major hydraulies and land improvPment program, involving four big dams, and examined the possibility of joint participation in building a series of other dams in Algeria. In ttie industrial sector, the two sides agrsed, among other things, to construct a spare parts workshop at E1 Hadjar, a 500,000-ton cement works at Djel.fa, tio expand the plate-glass unit at Oran, and examined the possibility of increasing the current level of cooperation in the metal industries, mining and construction materials sector. In the field of vocational training and national cadres, the twn delegations decided on the modalities of construction oi 20 vocational training centers and announced the decision to build 40 others together. Still on the sub,ject of training, several advancEd institutes will be establlsYied in Algeria as p.art of the Algerian-Soviet cooperation agreements. = The experts on the two delegations also examined the possibility of cooperation in the field of housing, railroad infrastructure and transfer of skille and technology, and in a general way means of expanding cooperation between the trao countries. COPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paris 1981. 9516 CSO: 4519/41 25 FOR OFFICIAL USE ON1.Y APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2407/42/09: CIA-RDP82-40850R000500410002-3 FOR OFFICIA1. USE ONLY ALGETcIA OFFICIAL SAYS NO PLANS TO REGAIN COUNTRY'S ARCHIVES FROM FRANCE Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERRANEEAlS in French I3o 1878, 6 Nov 81 p 2811 /'Text7 At a press conference which he gave on 29 October, Raymond Courriere, secratary of state responsible foe former residents of Algeria, said that there are no plans for an immediate transfer of the Algerian archives. The French secretary of state said: "If anybody thinks that tomorrow we are going to ship out the 400 tons of Algerian archives. I can tell you that they are mistaken. I know that our repatriates are worried over this matter which was raised by the Algerian Government. 20 years ago but I do not want it to overshadow our efforts of the last 5 months to improve and finally settle the situation di the repatri- ates." = The problem of these archives is a case where "you cannot see the wood for the trees," Courriere reckons and he expressed his surprise to see it being raised "just when the government is working to improve the conditions of the former resi- dents of Algeria." "Everybody knows that since 1962 the Algerian Goverrnnent has been calling for the return of the archives kept by France and covering the colonial period from beginning to end, but we are not prepared to let anybody down," Courriere :aid, pointing out that the Algerians, "as a matter of fact, had never asked for all the archives, I think that it is normal for the French Govern- ment to defend its inCerests and for the Algerian Government tia do the.same," he added. Cou.rriere explayned that the Secretariat for Former Residents of Algeria had taken part in the discussion which are in progress between Paris and Algiers. "The problem of the archives," he said, "is one of the itema under discussion." - It is also reported that some 30 asaociattons of French residents in North Africa have asked the government to abandon the idea of turning over to Algeria the archives, now being kept in Aix-en-Provence, covering the period of colonial rule in that country. According to a commun3que published by the "Algerian Circle," those associations have decided "to remain vigilant and to jointly take all the necessary measures" to prevent any future transfer to Algeria oi the archives brought from that country to France in 1962. On 20 October, the Overseas Academy of Sciences already spoke against the possi- bility of France handing over to Algeria the archives of the former Gcwernor General Administration of Algiers. In a reeolutinn, the Academy stated that the archives "belong to the French nation, they are aovereign archives which cannot be turned over to a foreign government," and added that "premature disclosure" of the political archives could rake up past events which fell under the statute of limitations but only in France. 26 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFk'ICIAL USE ONLY The Overseas Academy of Sciences has propoaed that A].gerian hietorians be given access to the overseas archives kept in Aix-en-Provence and it has put forward the idea of creating a French-Algerian Joint Commission entrusted with the task of reproducing in microfilm documents which do not jeopardize peopl.e still alive and to hand over these documents to Algeria. COPYRIGHT: Rene Moreux et Cie Paris 1981. 8796 CSO: 4519/42 I 27 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ALGERIA COOPERATION WITH FRANCE IN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY POSSIBLE Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITEP.KANEE'dS in French No 1$78, 6 Nov 81 p 2811 /Text] Mitterrand's forthcoming trip te Algiers could be an opportunity to dis- cuss several projects of French-Algerian cooperation. This ia all the more liicely to happen if it turns out that an agreement is reached before then on *_hp price of gas and if OPEC finds again a certain measu.re of unity among its ranks. The outcome of the negotiations on hydrocarbons will really boost Algeria's earnings. In this connection, the present report circulated by the AGEFI /expansion unknown] , adds that in the industrial sphere the main development exF:cted is the signing of contracts involving the automotive industry (passenger cars and industry vehicles). But French car manufacturers, with Renault at the top cf the list, are going to face a strong competition. Right now, Algeria has several projects on the drawing board. These projects involve the purchase of finished vehicles and the building of an automotive plant. ACCOr(ilrig t0 {l1fOTP.:aLiu! Piuv1d2d by t::e Liau8 ayeuc:y, tt'1B LliSt :.::bJL1~1.1Q. ~ will deal with the purchase of between 20,000 and 30,000 passenger cars and with the purchaz~e of cuimnercial vehicles for a reported total value of between:700 and 1,000 million francs. Regarding the sale of passenger cars, the two French ma:iufacturers are contending wi[h a Japanese competitor as well as with Volkowagen and Fiat. L3tely, these last two companies have been supplying the Algerian mar- ket, the first through its Brazilian subsidiary and the second by the intermediary of its Spanish associate SEAT (a partnerahip which has now been dissolved). As for the car plant, it is said that the project has been given prominence again. But the Algerians are reported to have introduced some changes in their plans _ lvwering the amount of local integration. Let us recall, the AGEFI goes on to say, that the plant being envisaged should be capable of making 100,000 cars a year while, right now, Chere is an estimated market of 70,000 cars a year. But the demand could be higher. Renault, which already signed a contract in 1970 only to see i.t canceled, seems to stand a good chance of getting the business if the project comes to fruition. COPYRIGHT: Rene Mareux et Cie Paria 1981. 8796 CSO: 4519/42 28 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 ALGERIA OCEAN TRANSPORT DISPiTTE WITH FRENCH SHIPOWNERS CLARIFIED Paris MARCHES TROPICAUX ET MEDITERR.ANEENS in French No 1877, 30 Oct 81 p 2746 [Text] Early this month we published a notice from the Nord-Msnche-Atlantique French Shipowners Group, dealing with practical implementation of the inter-governmental agreement governir.g trade between France and Algeria and calling for an equitable sharin- of the traffic--50 percent for French ow-nera and 50 percent for Algerian owners. Noting that this distribution has not been put rigorously into effect in every field, but only in a general and intermitCent way, in accordance with the deci- sions of the Conference, the notice said: "In the context of the above, the French shipowners group asserts that merchandise may be carried on ships of either of the two flags indiscriminately, without regard whatsc,ever to destination. Any special convention giving preference to one flag over the other is contrary to the apirit and the letter of the France-Algerian governmental maritime accords." (MTM of 9 October 1981). While not disputing the facts as stated in the notice, CNAN (Algerian National Navi- gation Company) underlines the fact that the Algerian-French maritime accord states that traffic will be shared between the two merchant fleets propcrtionally on the basis of the amount of transport resources each fleet has avgilable. The Algerian cemmercial shipping industry asseits that if more of the businese in 1981 between the Nord-Manche-Atlantique region and Algeri.a tias gone to the Algeriatt fleet than - to its French partner, the reason lies in the fact that the former offered shippers more reliable se*-vice, by maintaining regular service to French ports, while tha French shipowners interrupted the cfrculation of their vesaels. Our readers will recall that we publiahed in early July a notice from the French Expositions Committee (CFE), calling on French exporters, especiglly thoae exhibiting - at the Algiers Internatianal Fair, to ship their goods via Atlantic ar.d Mediterranean parts, because of a temporary interruption of maritime service between Algeria and _ ports in northern France. They will also recall that CNAN issued a"correction" noting that the interruption of service between the ports of thp Manche and Algeria - was not in any way the fault of Algerian ships, which planned to continue serving Caen, Rouen arid Dunkerque with the same frequency as in the pagt (MTM of 3 July, - p 1760 and 24 July, p 1931). CNAN hopes that shippers will understand that an intergovernmental maritime accord dividing up the cargo business must take into consideration the legitimate interests of the users of maritime transport, who should not bear the cost of a voluntary decrease in transport service. COPYRIGHT: P.ene Moreux et Cie Paris 1981. 9516 CSO: 4519/41. 29 FOR OFFIC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R040500010002-3 FOR OFF(CIAL USE ONLY LIBYA ELECTION TO POPULAR CM4ITTEES DiSCRIBED London THE MAGHREB REVIEW in English No 5-6, Sep-Dec 81 pp 99-103 [Arzicle by J. Davis] [Text] This note consists larFcly of ethnography, and it describes the conduct of an clection in Ajdabiya in 1979. That election was not tyrical in all respects-the vi4- lcncc Por cxamplc was unusu.1 and it is unlikely that the hctcroFcncous and ncwly cstablished populations o!' Tripoli, Bcnghazi, pcrhars Sabha, express their internal oprositions in quite the same ways as Ajdabiyans do. Ncvcrthclcss, thc purnose and forrr of elections are cummun to all Libya, and are related to the doctrines of Tl,c- Grcc�n Bnok. It is likely that some fcatures of Aidabiyan elections are found also in other small-to- middling towns and settlements. The elcction was to select members from the Ajdabiya Basic PcoPle's Congress (the nearest analogy in English would bc 'canstituency': it is the basic territorial division of thc masscs) to scrvc on the sixteen district popular committees which run government services for the district-clectricity and justice, telecommunications and health and so on. Ajdabiya is one of six settlements which elect members to thc committees, and it is by tar thc largest : of the total population, about 45,000, some 40,000 live in Ajdabiya; but each settlement elects two members to each committce. The protagonists in the clection are the main groupings of the population, which are qaba'il `tribes'. The most numerous are probably Zawiya who in the past have swept the board in Ajdabiya town, although they do not dominate in the cummittees because they do not have cnough representa- tives to secure the chairmanships. Zawiya own Iaad to thc south and south-east of Ajdabiya, and arc doniinant in the southcrn oascs of Kufra, Rabbiana, Tazarbu. Thcy are rclativcly mixed: a rrsult of their involvement in thc sauthern tradc is thar many Zawiya, authentically derived in the patriline, have Sudanese mothers, grand- mothcrs, gi-andmothers, grcat-grandmothers. A result of ! their responsibilities to their slaves after the aVandon- ment of slavery is that three of the five sxtions have so,*veral black lineages, co-responsible bst not intermarry- ing with free ZAwiya lineages. Zawiya havc always welcomed affiliating groups: their control of the rGmote desert made their land a refuge from Turkish and Italian government, and the Zawiya tribe contains many such groups, assimilated in a variety of ways. Zawiya are regardcd askance Uy the two other large groups, who compare the relative purity o}' their descent from the Princess Sa'ada, their much longer settlement in the coastal sub-desert, their claim to hurr status and their long association with Turkish government to the rather mongrel pedigree of the rougher new Zawiya arrivals from the desert, some of whose lineages formerly had client status to the Sa'adi groups. 7`he Majabr are the traditional rivals of the Zawiya, and are oucnumbered by them. ?hey are allied with the Maiarba, landowners of the area between Ajdabiya and Sirte, neighbours and occasional allies with the al-Qaooaffi to the west. The Malarba command the support of half a doun clicnt groups living in the smalltr settlements of the district and the shaikh of thc MaJArba in Ajdabiya, 'Abdulnabi al Hatag, uses their votes to select the chairmen of committees. The aotion of election is one of the obscurer points in The Green Book, which merely eays that basic people's congresses eleet (yaktSru, always translated as `choose' in the English version) members af popular congress and of popular committees. Election is under-emphasized, far more stress is placed on the abolition of parties, and on the directness uf democracy. The essence nf the Third Universal Wusc. 1"oung Zatiiya talkcd Nsith ani-er and .1;oc{,, lip> iind handti ircmbling, ahout the I,crtidy o( the Ntatarha. Somc oidcr mcn, middlc- a,~cd, %%cnt into quasi-mOurning, unshavcn, hcads ~tiraprcd in ,cancs, cycs rcc3, scrious and withdrawn. Sicii 1i.i,,ti;in, a Zamiva %tiard in the south-east of the town. %~as .calcd o1T with a road block manncd by t�'cnry or so puung adults armcd with pick-axe handles. n mar.ihuut, a"L.iidani, turncd up and toured the streets in hiti Rlcrccclcs; a deputation of Zilwiya went to Bcn- gh:izi to protcst about the irresponsible withdrawal of the polire. Uiscussions took place in the street behind the harricadcs, and in private houses, about future tactics. Ntcamwhilc ihc M;:g5rha mct ncar the Post Office to cli,cw~, thc;r tcictic,. A number of rcinforccments from the oullN'ing scttlcmcnts turncd up and campcd in a dump u1' trrc, ;i fc\% kilomctres to thc wcst of the town. l hr orieinal Z5\aiya list had includcd a numbcr of mcn front othcr rroups: ihis, Zawiya argucd, showed thcir vuucl f:ulh, thcir lack of obscssion with archaic loyalties, and thcir rcluctancc to clominatc Ajdabiya. A5 a rcsult of the unprovo{,ecl attack by hlagarba they dccidtd to r.iisc the stakes, an(i drew up a ncw list of candidatc5 uho tierc all 'l.a%tiiya, and all possessed of doctoratcs. 'Uoctor' is a titlc which may bc uscd some- Mhat frccl), whcn the hcat ol' argumcnt lcads you to atiscrt that your tribal group is the onc ntost qualificd by ohjcctiNc cntcria of modcrnitv tu rulc a district. A third cutcmrt ar clcction was hcld on 14 Fcbruary. An entirc rlcrtion comTnittec was brought in by bus from Bcn- chari, and the locale ti�as chant!ed to the rlayground of a,chool Mhich had aie entrance, telephones, and o~ces whcrc any rtcressary discussions might bc held in privacy. Troops, alsu from Hcnghazi, lincd the pcrimcter of the plaYFround, and wcre poste(i uith machine guns on the roofs of buildmgs overlooking the election. All voters were searched as they entered the school gates and were relieved of pocket-knives, heavy belts, walking-sticks and various few more obviously offensive weapons. They were also counted unofficially according to liow they would vote by their own teIlers, as they went in. What happened next is rather indeterminate, but at some point-either after their own private count had been completed, or after the iirst vote had been taken-the Zawiya protested to the electoral commission that they were outaumbered by f'oiir votes (1,261 to 1,257) because Ma_Aarba had been allowed to infiltrate voters from the outlying districts of Bi�r and Marada. They were over- ruled, and left the election en bloc. The election pro- ceeded while they sat in the streets near the school listening ta the annourc:ements of successive unanimous votes of Magarba: 'candidates w:;hout'-as one bank managcr sa.id indignantly and exaggeratedly-`without a schoo!-leaving certificate between them'. In a Bnti`h clcction, ~vherc thcrc is a sccret ballot an(l polling static~ns arc opcn for the voters to call at any time during the day, the electoral contest is not reall) a contest of votinfi: the struggle gocs on in the H�ceks bcfore the pre-announced poll'ing day as the candiciates pcrsuadc elcctors to votc f'or them: polling is the measure of their success; it is not as much a direct part of the contest as it is in Libya or as it is in Parliamentary voting or some trades union elections. That is one reason Libyan elections are ir, some sense a direct confrontation. Another is that the voting itself becomes compet-itive because in the system of direct democracy established after the publication of The Green Book thcrc is no secret ballot-each man has to exercise his share o!' the sovereignty of the masses with responsibility, as a British Parliamentarian has to. When a system precludes counting papers, heads have to be polled; when more than onc vote has to be cast (quite easy on a aallot paper) the proceedings turn out quite lengthy because in theory each head has to be counted in each vote. Those are practical consequences of a theory of direct dernocracy, and thcy increase tension: voting itself is a conProntation, and it is a confrontation necessarily lasting several hours. If Libya has no secret ballot, still less does it have parties. They-like `tribes, sects, classes'-attempt to seize the government in order to dominate their oppon- ents, which is dictatorial. ]t is because parties are un- democratic that no political debate occurs of a kind familiar enough in the parliamentary democracies. "1 here are no candidates' addresses, no speeches, no attcmpt to persuade the electors that one candidate's policies are better than anothcr's. Yoting therefore takes place betwecn ideologically undifi'erentiated candidates, an thrt is anotha feature of Lih.yan elections. The point is not to try to explain the violence in Ajdabiya (not all 32 ~ ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE t)NLY l.ihyan elections are violcnt; not ail parliameatary clcctions are peaceful) but to tihow in the first instnnct Iiow specific features of elcctians are related to the high exotic theory of The Gree� Book. You might say that non-ideological elections are all very well in a one- party system, where unopposed candidates are returned by unanimous votcs of all registered voters. But if you have contested elections and no ideology, the law of vacuums, which in this instance says roughly that coa- fiicts cannot take place without an ostensible reason, the law of vacuums allows you to predict that alignments will occur on some principie, even if it is a principle which neither you, nor Colonel Qaooafi'i for tha; matter, would a^,cept as strictly speaking political. It is true that ZS~kiya daimed greater modernity-more educated candodates than their opponcnts, but so did the Magarba; morcovcr, Zawiya modernity was gained at the cost in some instances of presenting candidates who could not or would not turn up on the election day. It is true that Zawiya complaincd bittcrly of thc solidary tribalism of thcir opPoncnts, which forccd thcm into a contcstatory trihalism; but so also did thc hlagarba. ln f:ict thc Ajdabiya elcctians on thc nadi football ritch turncd into somcthinb vcry likc the opposition of clcmcnts in a scgmcntary Sy.:tcr,i. Yublic voting togcthcr with confinement in a limited space, together with the abscncc of formal political ideological discriminators turn the count itself into the contest, and change the assembly of the masscs into thc massing-eH'ect of the opposition of segmcntary elcr ents. In addition to the formal political institutions, iaoreover, there are con- flicts from tradition: Zbwiya and Majabr are ancient rivals, and have killed each other ih elections since 1952; MagSrba align thcroseives with their feliow Sa'adi, otherwise in a minority, against the upstarts. Some confirmation oPthis account comes from evidence of the clections in Kufra and Jalu districts. Jn Kufra the main political contestants are two sections of Zdwiya, thc 'Awlad 'Amira and thc Mannai'a. In 1975 'Awlad 'Amira took ovcr office from the Mannai'a. In 1979 the Mannai'a rcgaincd ofTice with Jlulat support, placing various JI015t candidates in chairmanships. Voting was said to be very closc. Again, in Jalu district the three communities tend to vote on scgmentary lines: the oasis of J516 itself, inhabitcd mostly by Majabr, vies with the ZSwiya of 'Ajkarra oasis for the support of the `Aujli (inostly of Berbcr origin) in 'Aujla oasis. However, since each of these settlements is more or less homo- geneous, and each is a suh-district in its own right, the main compctition is to securc the chairmanships of the committces, and the elections within each settlement are uncontesled and unanimous. T'he voting in elections, partl}� because of the practical consequences of idcological decisions, becomes something like a scgmcntary confrcntation in which social controls secure solidary support for a bloe of candidates. 7"here is no question, for lnstance, of voting for candidates trom morc than one list Even if there were grounda for doing so-for being convincxd that one candidate was for :,ome practical or ideological reason better than another, the aublicity of the ballot and the heat of the moment would ma:;e it very difficult to cross the pitch. Although gassions are aroused, and the elections are keenly contested, turn-out is relatively low. No woman has ever voted in Ajdabiya, and that excludes more than half the electorate. If Ajdabiya's poFulation is around 40,000 that leaves about 18,000 males. Of those, about iwo-thirds are not of voting age, giving an effective male electorate of around 6,000-7,000; of those aUout 2,500 vote, a turn-out of 35-40 per cent. The non-voters include residents without local aflUiation-traders from Misurata, for example. They also include people disil- lusioned with politics: one man, for example, thought that his cousin, a nwiyi, should not stand for :e-election to the education committee. But he could not go to the elcction and vote against him, and so he staycd aw�ay. Others thought it made n4 diflcrence who held office, and they too stayed away. People have diverse reasons for doing nothing, and thc abstainers undoubtedly havc more reasons than those ]isted here: on thc other hand it seems fair to say that the inbuilt quasi-segmentary confrontation in the elections discourages precisely those people who might be inclined to resist the tendency to segmentalism. That is not to say, by any means, that all those who do go to elections go intending to demonstrate sectional solidarity. The first day in Ajdabiya, for instance, many of the younger people pointed out some of the difl''erences between parliamentary and direct democracy, insisting that what was about to occur was closer to the classical Athenian raodel than anything that might occur in Britain. 'I'hey turned out not far wrong (Athenian politics being particularly liable to produce conflict); but their disappointment, even shame at the failure to put the system into proper eflect, was quite apparent. Some people-particularly thost who plan the lists of candi- dates and canvass support for thera among section and lineage leadcrs-some people undoubtedly do try t(, gain xdvantage, against Zawiya, against Maj3rba as the case may be, by appeaiing to as wide a cross-section of the population as they can. When they are opposed, thcir supporters rally round, and a quasi-segment is formed. It is in the nature of segmentary systems that a segment is cal;ed into being by opposition; and it is thereforo always true that `the other side started it'. That applies also to thc electoral groupings, or quasi- segments. There is one final point to make, and it has to be made very inadequately in a short note such as this. It is possibte, not at all misleading, to understand the illogi- calities and inconsistencies of The Green Book as arising from the very real difliculties of combining two models 33 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 both highly valucd by Libyans, each indicating coatrary courses of action. On the one hand aa egalitarian, acephalous, Sunni tradition in which each man struggles to maintain his personal sovereignty; on the other, a bureaucratic state providing education, health and welfare services, electricity and water, telegrams and justice, but apparently necessitating both hierarchy azd representation. Of course. QaOOdffi's theory of popular democracy, of government without representation does not apply to all the state apparatus: the military, the police, the petroleum industry and the R.C.C. itself are not mentioned in The Green Book and do not have popular committees and are net controlled by People's Congress. But where the theory does apply the issue of election is crucial: to Western eyes, and also to many - Libyans, election and representation are inseparable, and are closely associated too, with party and w�ith idcology. What Thc Grccn Book proposes is thc separa- tion of clcction and rePrescntation, and the exclusion of rcprescntation and idcology from politics. It asserts that Fovernment can co-exist with personal sovereignty, that its formal institutions can be subject to the rules of thc non-Wcstcrn egalitarian acephalous model. On the othcr hand, somc more restricted number of persons has to takc car of thc day-to-day running of what are quitP complex governmental tasks: the answer is elections which do not producc representaUves, in which popular - dircct dcmocracy is undiminishcd. It is a difficult notion, cven aparadoxical onc. Thc Ajdabiyans in 1979 clearly assimilatcd elections to the traditional ebalitarian and acephalaus model, in which rersonal sovereignty was maintained by the mutual support and opposition of a segmcntary systcm. COPYRIGHT: The Maghreb Review 1981. CSO: 4500/67-E 34 FO[t OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 MOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY LI BYA MANAGEMENT OF AGRICULTURAL RESOURCES IN COASTA;. AREA London THE MAGHREB REVIEW in English No 5-6, Sep-Dec 81 pp 104-114 [Text] Abstract The character of the rencwable natural resources oP coastal Libya has always constrained agricultural dcvclopment. The paper examines the cxperience of thosc responsiblc for managing various phases of Lihy;i's economic development of the recent past. The rcrioci of ltalian colonization will be discussed briefly; thc cxperience in the pre-oil phase as well as that of the oil era bcfore and aftcr the revolution will be treated in morc detail. The changing status of rcncwable natural resources is described and the impact of environmental management policies evaluated. Agricultural Resources fa the Scmi-arid Meditcrrnnean Agricultural development in the Mediterranean basin can largely he cxplained ia terms of the disposition of water resources. The seasonal deficie:ncy in sum.mer rain- fall cstricts agriculture to the winter season exeept in thosc arcas where groundwater, surfaa storage or rivers provide a source of water for irrigation. The quantity of watcr availablz wholly to support summer farming, and to supplcment that in the winter, varies !'rom the substantial yuantities (50 billion m3 per year approxi- matcly) brought to the region by major ri%,ers, such as thc Nile, to much smaller volumes (for cxample under I hillion m3 along 200 km coastal tracts in Libya) which tind their way into the coastal aquiiers of the basin. The pattcrn of thc availability of water for agriculture has ahv,iys becn conditioned by dimatic factors and these :rr still inescapablc in wholly rain-fed regions. The sourccs of watcr for irrigation havc, however, bsen subject to two complementary manaFement strategies. First thcre has hecn a constantly upward trend in the cicmand for irrigation water and secondly there has been a tcndcncy to improve the efl"ectivencss of water manage- ment at variovs levels fr th om e individual farmer to the governmeat agency respons'ble for water resourxs. From an economic point of view the analysis of the problem of how to optimize the utilization of agricul- tural resaurcesl in the semi-arid Mediterranean lands is straightforward. Land is rarely a constraint on activity; water on the other hand is always a eonstraint. Labour and capital vary in availability and examples of econa mies with unhibited supplies of labour are jaxtaposed with ones with unlimited supplies of capizal. 7'he factor which is only slightly less constraining than labour on the optimal nverall utilization of agricultural resources is the shortage of that specialist element in the labour force experienced in managing new technologies and systems of water distribution. This last constraint afi'ects the use of water at farm level but has even more important implications in higher levels of the regional and national institutions responsible for water manage- ment. The temperature regime of the Meditenanean basin provides its farmers with many advantages over com- petitors in Northern Europe (Amiran, 1978, p. 122). Where water supplies can be assumed throughout the yeat then two or thrce crops per year can be raised in tho region. 7"he temptation to take advantage of the favourable growing temperatures has led Snany farmers, usually supported in their inttnt, initially at least, by governments, to push tor high levels of production, expanding horizonially and also intensifying irrigation, often with serious consequences for the resources upon which sustained agricultural production depends. One part of the region, the coastlands of northern Africa, have experiencrd the disorientating occupation by colonial powers which extended unti! 1951 in Libya and into the 1960s further west. The French and ltalian occupations extendcd cultivation and irrigation, in the 35 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102/49: CIA-RDP82-00850R040500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY case of Libya doubling the total area farmed and with that expansion more than doubling the irrigated area. The experience gained in the nrst half of tne twentieth century in utilizing northern Africa's natural resources revealed the very limited nature of the watcr resources, and strategies were developed which took into account the need for produrtion systems with low water using requirements. Dryland farming was an important clement in the agricultural strategy, raising grain and tree crops which were able to withstand the low rainfall. Even so the irrigated farming which was implemented did begin to aftect the coastal groundwater resources and water levels did begin to fall in the coastal reservoirs (Allan, 1971, p. 212). Extensive studies ensued to locate other decper groundwater reserves but none was dis- covered which was not unusable because of high levels of salinitv. Libyan Agricultural Resources (Flgures 1 and 2) Agricultural development in Libya since the colonial cra (i.e. since 1951) has been particularly intcresting bccausc it was achieved through a number of phases. In these phases the mix of the factors of production chanecd dramatically. Libya achieved independence in (Millions-liby�n Dinan) ~ ~ J / I ~ Oil Prouuetiai (metrie tona) r ~ i ~ az es 64 as ae e7 ae 69 70 71 n n� 75 76 n sooo Q ~ ~ ~ooo a ~ Y ~ 0 Iooo = goo M O00 C. mo 400o b N 300_3 ~ ' 200 $ ~ s IM ~ .o 70 60 ~ � FiQure I. Oil production and revenue. Soura: Census and Staeistical Department 1972a and 1977. 1951 and for the first ten independent years the economy of the country was supported by aid from outside in the form of direct grants, mainly from the United States and Britain and by rent for military bases also from the Uraited States and Britain. Oil revenues, which com- raenctd in 1961, marked the beginning of the second phase. In the early 1960s oil revenues replaced aid :ind by 1965 Libya was beginning to enjoy the benefits of oil revenues. By 1968 there were many indicators that the eccnomy had changed and new patterns emerged in gnvernment and private spending. The agricultural stctor was uttracting substantial investment, especially 36 FOR OFFiC[AL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFlCIAL USE: ONLI' ~ ~oco 9 u ~ ~ ~g ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ m ow a ~ b � � 36 a . t igurc 2. Lihyan oil revcnues anJ cievclopment spending 1962-1977 Sczurce: Census and Statistic:ll Department 1972 and 1977. _d hy privatc individuals; thr arca cultivattd was being extended, the irrigated ar:a increased each year and immierant labour worked on more and more farms (Allan cr nl., 1973). The third phase came with the revolution of 1969 which occurred at a point when Libya'ti oil income was rising and Libya had an especially strong placc amongst oil cxporting countries. tn the first two years of revolutionary government the Libyan administration skilfully exploited its position in the world oil market. c)il production was cut blt revenues were maintained tlirough the higher prices achieved. lt was at this period ttiat Libya gained its reputation as the mav- erick amonfst the O.P.E.C. producers; a reputation Nrh.,;h has bcen sustained through the 1970s. l he impact on the agricultural sector of the changing economic circumstances K�as most significant as we shalt see in the arca of agricultural policy. ln other words the direction and volume of investment changed with increasing rcvenucs, and csrccially with the change of government in 1969. Thc agricultural sector did not prove to be responsive to the increased level of invcs.- 37 mcnt, howcvcr, because of thc two unavoidable con- straints of limited environmcnta: resources and the shoriage of advanced agricultural management. Linya's coastal plains and uplands are rich in somc resources. Solar cnergy for crop production is adequatc for crop production throushout the year. Other natural resources are poorly dispoced. Soils as in other arid anci semi-arid arcas are poor, being generally sandy, and because of the high summer temperature regimes they are poor in orsanic matter content with negative conscquences for thrir fertility and especially their moisture-holding capacity. 7'here are technologies, however, which make it poss;Ne to use such soils, but these tcchniques can only be deployed if there is a reliablc source of irrigation water. Libya un1'ortunately has no flowing rivers, the potential fbr surface storage is extremely limited and groundwater reservoirs in the coastal regions are nowhere rich. Only in the remote south of bhe country are there substantial groundwater resources and these are the finiYe, fossiS resourcts of the Ku!'rah and Sarir regions in the east and of the Fezzan in the south-west. This paper is not concerned with these regions, but in the Libyan context the water res3urces of the south are important both in actual potential, so far only realized very partially and without any economic rationale (Allan, 1979, p. 25), and especia;ly in the opportunity for extravagant investments which they aPford. Awareness overtook successive regimes in Libya !hat the agricultural resources at the coas! �were limited, and in due course the very big spending targets of the 1970s could only be achieved by pouring money inta the expsnsive enterprises located in remote southern regions. It was recognized meanwhile that the absorptive capacity of the coastal agricultural schemes was limited by the quality 3f the environmental resources. The coastal strip2 in the area to the south of Tripoli and to a lesser extent near Benghazi, and the coastal Lplands of the Jabal Nafusah in the west and the Jabal al Akhdar in the east, have sufficient rainfall to supPort dryland farming. The seasonal pattem of rainfall limits rain-fed farming to regions within the 200 mm isohyet, that is to an area which is only 2 per cent of Libya of which Icss than balf is cultivable for reasons of terrain ,9 soil condrtions. F,ven 200 mm annual average ru 11 is not, however, ideal for dryland farming in rej,,wis in which high temperatures and dry winds occur protractedly; a level of 300 mm or upwards assures reliable yields and the area with this hiFher expectation is approximately 0�7 per cent of the country of which only one-third is usable because of broken tenain and poor soil. In other words one is considering approximateiy 17,000 km2 of cultivable land with mote than 200 mm average annual rainfall and approximately 4,000 k m2 with 300 mm average assuming reasonable crop yiclds. F'allas (1977, p. 2) suggests that there are FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 az w a as ae 67 oe ev 70 71 n 73 74 75 fi n APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R400540010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 9,400 km= in thc Gcfara and Jabal Nafusah rcgiun and 13,000 kmz in the Benghazi and Jaba) al Akhdar rcgion with 250-300 mm ot annual rain and confirms the limited cxtcnt of the arca which could sustain reliable rain-fed agriculture. A mcasure of the poor quality of the soil resourccs and marginal rainfall arc the low wheat yiclds achieved even in areas with over 300 mm annual rainfali. Yields of undcr 1 tonnc pcn ccctarc wert, usual in 1980 in fav- oured areas (compare dr}�land yields in the United States which average 1�2 tonncs pcr hectare and in Australia 1�25 tonnes pcr hectare), and in tracts with 200 mm average rainfall yields fell to 0�5 tonnc per hectare. The potential of areas with favourable rains could approach 2 tonnes per hectare and the lawer rainfall areas could be pushed towards 1 tonne pcr hectare. The main problem in Libyan dryland farming is the need to utilize arcas of extrcmcly low rainfall in which agricultural activity must always be hazardous. In other countrits with extcnsive rain-fcd agricultural areas enduring low rain- fall of about 300 mm annually these tracts lie on the eage of largc arcas with assurcd rains. The main burden of production is gained from those favoured areas; the production from the marginal areas may be desirable but is not essential. In Libya on the other hand the main production has to he gaincd from marginal tracts with consequcnt hazards with respect to the achievemcnt of consistent sclf-sufficiency in rain-fed crops. Special management s!rategies which accommodate to crop failure in dry ycars have to be devised and arrangcments made at national level to balance the inter-year variations in production. Such arrangements are obvious]y not difficult for a Fovernment enriched by oil revznues, but we shall see that though ail riches are useful in cushioning a nation against cnvironmental realities, :ney do not contribute to a good decision-making base for the manap.ement of marginal cnvironmental resources. Oil riches feed optimism, optimism impairs perception, and impaired perception lcads ta damaging management strategies. T'his sequence which has been observed in the Libyan government'S approach to the use of coastal water resources, will also be showr~ to have been experienced in the management of rain-fed farnung experiments on the Gcfara Plain and to a lcsser extent on the Jabal al Akhdar. Thc availability of apparcntly unlimitcd supplies of capital has provcd to bc a poor basis for resour~e managcment. Capital resources for agricultural develop- mcnt liave increased in volume progressively, and the proportion of national dev,:topment spending alloc;ated to agriculture has been stimulated at a numbcr of stagcs hy the ill-favoured `optijnum' referred to ahove. First the fivc-year plan (1964-1968) suggested an allocation of over 17 per cent of development spending to agriculture (Parlcy, 1971). Next the revolution brought an evcn less informrd hoost to rrorotircl acriculWral invcstmcnt. By 1969 the enthusiasm for agricultural spendinb had slackened, at least at government levei for the very good reason that it had been recognized that further invest- ment in inigation of the type made an the 1960s made no ser.se in the light of the progressive depletion of coastal aquifers e The revolutianary regime increased allocations to agriculture and especially to the development of water using schemes.lt was not until 1976 that the revolutionary regime began to recognize the need to reverse this pol'.cy. The indicators came in the form o!'regulations constrain- ing the planting of summer crops such as tomatoes, melons and citrus with high water requirements, later reinforced by measures such as the closing of tomato- paste factories. By 1980 the Libyan goveraaient was grappling with the extremely difficult task of attempting to reorganize the agriculture of the coastal strip and in this was trying in one stroke to implement a policy of redistributing 13nd according to socialist principles, and at the same time to create management units consis- tent with economic production and regulated water utilization. Whereas the capital resources of Libya after oil cnabled a national indulgence in an ill-founded optimistic agricultural policy, there were other constraints which impeded the realization of the optimistic targets. Labour to man new enterprises was already in short supply by 1969, but with the strong relationship with Egypt in the years immediately after the revolution farm labour began to enter Libya from Egypt in large numbers. !,n exact breakdown of immigrant labour is not avail- abte but it is likely that well over 50,000 Egyptian farm labourers were present in Libya in the early 1970s until 1975, when relations with Cairo changed (see Figure 3). Libya imported labour steadily during the years of oil revenues and by 1975 10 per cent of the population was from abroad and towares 50 per cent of the working population was from overseas. A small but significant element of this population consisted of professional staff knowiedgeable about land and water resources and their r00 wo ~ too ~ 100 note the ?fiect o1 the change in the relationship with Egypt In 1971 Weatern border ~ Eastern bordera / Southoin borders e1 ez e3 er es ee e7 ee 69 70 71 n n 7A 75 7e Figure 3. Passenger arrivals 961-1976 by region. Source: Census and Statistical Department 1972-1477. nrm:,gcmcnt, but though helpful these staiT and con- siilt:ints could only amclioratc and not sulve the prob- Icros crcatcd by the shortage of Libyan profcssional staft. 38 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 " FUR OFFICIAL USE ONLY I~cal titafi' wcrc esscntial for thc cffective monitoring of .urvrys and the evaluation of plans and recommonda- tioW. upon which sound national policy could be based. ' Tltc wircc Libyan cxPcrtitic was imrossibly ovcrstrctchcd in thc unrrwarding task of managing a polyglot, mu'ti- rulturcd, and oftcn incompatiblc cornmunity of cxpcrts. !t was rccoFnizcd that thcrc was being accumula!cd _ 'pricclcss capcricncc in thc various ficlds oP land re- cl:nnation, sceding, planning and reconstruction ' (Jodah, 1978, p. 16) but ;n practice this experience was hcing assimilatcd by only a small proportion of Libya's Profrssional agronomists and agricultural enginecrs. - This is no way of mcasuring the degree of the constraint imroscd by thc shortage of Libyan profcssional staff on thc direction and quality of agricultural policy and on - the productivity of the agriculwral sector, but in the cstimation of thc author it was evcn rnore important than tlic paor quality of the environmenta] resources of coastal Libya. _ ]t is not always easy to relate to the realities of agri- cultural chanFc midst thc titridcnt rhr.toric which attends acricultural pc,;icy makint! and pronounccmcnts about intcndcd invcstmcnt. National plans before and after _ 1969 Fave agriculture a significant place in proposed cconomic devclopment. Thc first ten years of oil revenues - lcft thc Fovcrnment unccrtain about thc capacity of the aericultural scctor for effective absorption of investment, and Figure 4 shows this hcsitaney of the late 1960s. Thc diagram also shows that agricultural investment took ofT again in the carly 1970s at a higher rate than in the 1965- 1969 period, but not at a higher rate than in the pcriocl 1962-1965. The period of revolutionary govern- - mcnt has nevcrtheless been associated with a sUong emphasis in agricultural investment. Figure 5 shows this cmphasis very ;.lcarly. Thc rhetoric zttending these policies, is not difficult to find, nor arc the id.-as which have inspired and lei-iti- mizcd thcm. Thc optimism of Libya's agricultural policy makers has apparently bcen inspired since 1969 by - %Nords from the Qur'an which provide the foreword for a publication drawing attention to achievements in the Jabal al Akhdar coastal highlands: Vcrily in this is a Sign For those who give tnought (Z..,.,;,otive Authority tor Jabal al Akhdar, 1978, p. 3) A sense tha; irr:+sm.anagement of otherwise rrch resourceS 2 C" . 7;{ M � w ~ b 70 w ~ 40 30 ~ s i z t m -o. '9 0 , ev oe ~ �'17 In thc namc of Gud Most Gracious, Most Merciful It is hc who sends down Rain from the sky From it ye drink, And out of it (grows), The vicectation on which Yc fccd vour cattle. With it He produces f ~~r y(,u cc~in. c~livcs, !);itc-ralm~, prapcs, _ And c~�crv I~in~3 of fruit .o~ .o~ o~ T ~ ~ ~.,�P rM r��m +9x-n wnen . iwn vrrws a,ulep w+s ' ~ ar li. wr�cn Ktirtuiea ~ 'j n.i~~� lrens~i0~.r.i ro .no ,..~.~u+ BMn ve,so's ~ ro Ixvn ~rr~wn lur cnnp~ul.rMu i ' total at / constant 964pricesL - ~ TOTAL ;r y ~ ,i . ~commurnc~tdr ~ Apncuhun ~ E~eonu / i pn I ! teue.t.�,~- ~ ~ N~al~h`I ~ Ko,,..ng I ~ I Idw~iiKpN / I M.wlKtunrq . ~ I curnM ~ I - T- )o 10 i ~ ~ . 6743 Uelee6Y 61 e0lo71 . ~ I TOTAL ~ 1 7i ~ E~ee~env~~ I T ~ ` I r~napor~ Educ~~ ' / r+ i n i 1 ll alac x Inlorm~liDn CurMnl icWlur* aKy ~O n n A 74 3 74 77 TYiE O/ fXpfNDITURE otn..., 100 90 pu~p~rnt 80 o eo so const,,,L, s�, do � 20 w 0 ExPfN(HTtR1E W INSTUf10N 100 LOCOi A p covsrnm.M .o 70 b so crnt,.l .o Governrtiertt 30 20 io 0 UUO4 65 Ae67 010 D71 2000 too, ioo ~ ~ a ~ E g n i > J F;gure 4. Estimatcs of developmcnt spcnding by sxtor 1962-1971 and 1970-1977. Soura: Cer.sus and Statistical Dcpartmcnt 1972b and Sxretariat of Planning 1978. was thc rcason for thc poor agricultural hcritiigr cii thc rcvolutionary govcrnment is evident in statcmcnt� m.,dc by the Libyan lcadcr. 'Our agricultural rcvolution is 39 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY now continuing in the ficlds whcre it will progress day aftcr day, multiplying its revenucs year after ycar and, with God's assistance, it will transform our land lcft for too IonF ncglectcd and dcscrt, into richly fertile soil, which shall abundantly reNvard our strugg]ing pcnplc, who libcratcd it from our colonist intrudcrs' (Moammar Qathafi, quoted in Exccutivc Authority for Jabal al Akhdar, 1978, p. 5). Reinforccd by the rccognition of the vulncrability of thosc w�ho are not sdf-sufiicient in food-`Thcre is no indcpcndcnce for thosc who sccure thcir food from abroad' (Moammar Qathafi in Execu- tive Authority for Jabal al Akhdar, 1978, p. 83)-and enthuscd by a romantic view of resources and potential in such areas as the coastal uplands of north-east Libya 'whcre the dreams of golden crops slceping in our hills : OBriCUltulc indLisVy R miner8l rr.sour[ES - oii, mmi ,a & aes 1-,oo ~ elcrtntitY ~ trensport commi mirnitons` ~ I hnusirxn ~ 1000 ~ municipnlit-es ~ I CdJCal10l1 ~ - I soo -1 ' 1 heshh / I J~ rl ~ I iooo 3001 iloFi~ ~ iw- - - - -y- - ~ �hn~� V - ~ ,r� F oi nv~nw~~~ f~ (current prices) � I,ndl 5P'Mn~ I ~k�.T~MYTI'M / -'i--1 " T --f TT'T TT"r'T~-T-7T e2 e3 e. es ee a en nv 70 71 n n~. ~s M � 300 xo 1Do 0 2 rio 100 0 ,00 0 W 0 lM 0 ,W o ^ ,X ~ ~ E 1G(' c � o 0 n E Figure 5. Dcnartmcnt spcnding hy scxtor 1962-1977 and somc niher indicators. Source: Census and Staustical Department, 1972h and Secretariat Plannin� 1978. unitc %%itli tlic diticovrry of Nc%N Ilunzuns arising from hchincl uur hillti' (13ashir Jc,d:h, in Eaccutivc Authority fur Jahal al Al,hclnr. ;978, p. I6), policics wcrc initiatcd und pursuad which have proved to be inccnsistcnt with the resource potential of Libya's semi-arid coastlands. in the following sections the damaging eftects of the dangerous inconsistency of perception and reality will be examined first with respect to the intensification of irrigated farming on the Gefara Plain and secondly to the attempts to extend dryland farming beyond the 200 mm isohyet. IntenSifying Irrigated Agriculture in Coastal Libya The twentieth century has seen progressively higher demands being made un the coasial water resources. All summer agriculture ani9 a proportion of that in the winter depends on groundwater. In the days of traditional tech- nology oP animal-powered water lifting there was a limit to the amount of water that could be raised and a limit to the area in which irrigation could be deployed as animals could not be expected to raise water much more than 10 m. Irrigated farming was restricted to the strip of land immediately adjacent to the coast where wa!er levels were at no more than 6 m. ?he coastal irrigated gardens rarely extended further inland than 3 km. The arrival of ltalian colonists, with a diflereLt technology, extended the area of potential irrigation to points as far as 40 km from the coasts where water levels were generally about over 30 m bclow the surface. However there were some places where the particular configuration of topography was such that water stood at or close to the surface even 20 km fcom the coast in 1912 when Italian scientists and farmers first began to make records of water resources at places such as Siwani bin Yadim, 20 km to the south of Tripoli. The main strategy of the Dtalian sctilers was to use dryland farming techniques, and severe restrictions were imposed on the extension of irrigated farming by the regulation of the number and spacing of wells. Never- theless the groundwater resource was afi'ected by the ltalian pumping (Allan, 1971, p. 173). The thirty years of Italian occupation witnessed the doubling uf total cultivated area and to an equivalent incre2se in iniga- tion. Such figures are difficult to establish fairly as the utilization of land in the pre-colonial period was not permanent in precisely that area settled by Italian farmers. The tract they chose was the one used by Libyan graziers in period of drocght and by farmers from the coastal gardens in years of favourable rains. Thus the atea occupied by the ltalians had perforrued ari essential complementary role for both the settled and nomadic communities of northern Libya, and the intrusion was resisted by the Libyan people. The ten years or so of British occupation brouRht few innmations and I3ritish policy was markcd by rts cn- cotiragcmcnt of the ltalian farming community to sta~ on in north-wcstcrn Libya. The ]talian colonial prcscncc had cndcd in castern Libya during the ]iostilities of the Second World War soon after 1939. Italian agricultural 40 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000504010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USF: ON1,Y (Icvclopment made litile impact on eastern Libya as Libyan resistance continued very sctively vntil 1931, .ind many ltalian farms wcrc not developed and occupied until the late 1930s in Cyrenaica. Most agriculture in the c,istcrn province was conductcd according to dryland ~ tcchniques. The first dccade of indcPcndencc after 1951 saw 1ule significant intcnsification of irriFatcd farming. There were somc small government schemes such as that at Wadi Ki'am and Italian farms were sold to wealthy _ Palestinian exiles who brought with them much skill in citrus raising with related very high water using requirements. lt was not until the mid-1960s that the eRect of the _ intensification of groundwater use became very evidcnt. By 1969 the rate of decline had increased to 1 m per year at some parts 20 km from the coast (Figure 6). The evidence available in 1968 pointed to an increasing rate of decline and the policies, or rathcr their absence, in the early years of the i-evolutionary regime rcinforced ' the mainly privately instiFatcd water using ventures. Additional public finance in thc form of grants and subsidies increased watcr using practicr,s and graund- watcr levels did faU even morc quiclly in the early _ 1970s. The 1970s witnessed a grow�ing recognition of the limitcd nawre of the groundwatcr resourcc, and by 1976 there were clear signs that the government wished to curt:iil water use and if necessary agricultural production in the Gefara Plain. Resistrictions were placed on the planting of citrus, tomatoes and water melons, all crops which use water heavily (Ailan and McLachlan, 1975, p. 36). Dy 1976 the rapid decline of water at points 20 km - f.rom the coast had reached 3 m per year and by 1978 - the annusl decline had reached a dramatic 5 m per year at Bin Gashir (Wozab and Obah, 1977; Floegel, 1978). In the summer of 1979, ine watcr table of the upper aquifcr at Bin Gashir was pumped to below sea level for the first time and the crossing of such cmotive thresholds firially pcrsuaded those respansible for initiating develop- - ment schemes that the managcment of sustained agri- culture depended on the careful use of groundwater, especially in coastal Libya. That emphasis has been given to thc state of the water resource rather than to the progress of agricultural production may seem excessive, but as already estab- lished, it is the water resourre 'vhich is the major constraint on irrigatcd farming in coastal Lihya. lts dtpletion has madc it impossible to sustain cxisting levels of production never mind further intensification. Agricultural produc- tion did increase in the 1960s at the rate of between . 2 a ul 4pcr ccnt pcr ycar but this achicvcmcnt, though con,oJrrahlc was only achicved at the expcnse of ar. imraircd watcr resourcc. The usc of watcr was completcly unrcgulatcd and no attcmrt was madc to introduce watcr conscrving crapping rattcrns or irrigation prac- tices. The rrivatc user was bcnt on maximization of his own interests snd the government did not have the politi- cal stomach, in the pro- or post-revolutionary years, to iraplement the essential water legislation. The ,:,sti!utionaliud and environmeatal impediments to the appropriatc development of irrigated farnting in coastal Libya had r�ached such proportions by 1979 that the Libyan adminis:ration realized that only a drastic reorganization of irrigatcd farming could }eing the necessary integration of the control of waler resources and measures which would at the same time increase agricuhrral production. An interventionist role has never been shirked by the revolutionary govemment. On the contrary there has been a progressive rationaliza- tion of economic activity and property ownership since 1969, such that by 1979 almost all commercial and industrial activity as well as housing and services werc controllcd by governmeat agencies. The agricultural sector had been partiaily afTected by this trend towards public inteetiention through capital invested in culti- vation, irrigation and livestock, and indireat!y through the control of the marketing of agricvltural products. The proposals currently being contemplated are seen as inescapable if the irrigated farming of Libya's coastal strip is to be based on viable agricultural units capable of supporting a Libyan family with no outside labour. The economic, social and ideological implications are immensc while the opportunity which the proposed reorganization would present for the rational manage- ment of the crucial, and much impaired, groundwater resource may be a last chance to reverse the trends in the `over-developcd' coastal strip. The main stimalus to the reorganization of farming in the ceastal strip would seem to be a political will to give as many people access to a viable farm unit. The intent is to increase agricultural production by amalga- mating uneconomically small farms, to subsidizz those larger holdings which require hired expatriate labour and ta take over under-utilized farms, whether under- utilizcd !'ar reasons of their leisure and residence role for the owner or because of the part-time nature of the owner's agricultural activity. The institutional and social engineering involvcd in such reforms are ronsistent with the political development of Libya i_i the past decade, with equity in access to personal income and local participa- tion in govcrnment (via popular committees) being the basic domestic political issues. The proposed changes are ulso, however, cansistent with eaining a greater measure of control over the use of groundwater upon which all irrigated farming in coastal Libya depends. 41 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE 6NLY ...s~ ~ ~ ~ ~ O . _ _ - ~ ~ Figurc 6. The Gefara Plain ,howing the 200 mm itiohyrt nnd the Icication of thr wheat scheme farms. r.x1rn4ing 1)rylnnd Farming in the Cefara Plain and tlic Jalaal al Akhdar Whcrcas thc dcvcloPmcnt of groundwatcr proved to he an attractivc proposition to private sector agriculture in thc 1960~, thc hazards af dryland farming wcre sufficicnt to dctcr any cultivation athcr than the usual traditional c.itch cropping. Even rnature olive and almond grovcs ticre ofrcn ncglcctcd. Thc carly years of the oil revenucs also saw little public sector interest in dryland farmi:ig on thc Gefara Plain, although thc reclamation of formcr Jtalian farms on the Jabal al Akhdar did ergagc the National Agricultural Settle- mcnt Authority (N.A.S.A.). Thc original ltalian hold- ings had aiways been designed as dryland farms. How- cver, littlc prugress was achicved by N.A.S.A. partly because of the difficulties of terrain, partly because of the unrealistic211y low levels of financial provision, but mainly bccausc of the ]egal wrangles surrounding the ownership and use of land. The in:crests of the National Autfiority and the tribes of the Jabal al A'Khdar w�ere in conilict and solutions did not readily ernerge in the contcxt of distrust of central authority fc,llowing thc colon;al experience. Only one-third of the much Icss favourahly endowed Gcfara Plain rcceived an annual average raintall of more than 200 mm which is the level sufTicicnt for dry- land cultivation of grain. Arcas with less than 200 mm of prccipitation havc traditionally becn usc(i for grazing and livcstock production, although the Italian colenist did push olivc p.antations bcyond the 200 mm line and supplemented rain-fed practices with itrigation. By 1968 thcre was much evidcnce that irrigated !'arming was hcing extended into very low rainfall areas (Allan er al., 1973, p. 103) cspecially south of Ajaylat, Zawiya and Suwani bin Yadim. Since 1969 this private sector activit) has bccn overshadowed by large government irrigation rrojccts cuch as that at Bir 7 arfas and goN,crnmcnt schcmes havc hecn initiatcd in arcds with lcss than 200 mm average rains. It is not with thc mcthods and success of these echemes, however, that wc arc conccrncd hcrc. 7"he Libyan government is committea to bcing sclf- sufl5cient in grain (wheat and barlcy) and anticipates that a substantial 3mount of svch grain will come from rain-fed areas in the Gcfara Plain. ]n ordcr to stimulate Production the governmeni has bcen paying high prices to farmcrs (Libyan Dinars 150 per ton in 1978) in order to stinulate produclion. 7"his price is substantially higher than the world price but probably only twice the price of grain landed at 7'ripoli. The Secret:iriat for Land Reclamation and Settlement has since 1973 spcnt heavily on dryland schemes to thc soutli of Tripoli. Farming in marginal arid areas is always hazardous because of the years when rains are much belaw avt rage In mountins the massive experiments on the sites in the Gefara shown in Table ] the Libyan Secretariat for Land Reclamation and Settlement (since Dccember 1978 part of the new Secretariat of Agriculture) has taken a considcrablt risk and the results of the experiment to date are interesting and salutary. All the sites have an annual avcrage rainfall of less than 225 mm and some have less than 150 mm. Since t',e start of the schemes in the 1973-1974 season, rainfall has been much abcve average in 1973-1974, 1974-1975, 1975-1976, and especi- ally favourable in 1977-1978, but below average in 1976-1977 and especially unfavourablr, in I978-1979. In addition to taking a risk with the environment the agricultural suthorities took the precaution of seeking advice from a group of agriculturalists familar with dry conditions and associated poor soils. A team of Western Australian farm managers, technicians and research staft has been participating in the management of the cereal schemes since 1973. This group has brought a philosophy with accommodates the poor wheat yields of low rainfall ysars, and makes provision for the build up of soil fertility and supplementary production by the introduction of a legume into the rotation. T'he legume is medicago4l an annual legume native to Libya which grows well in alkaline soils in low rainfall areas. Com- mcrcial cultivars have been developed in Australia from Mediterranean collections and these were growing successfully in the Gefara area (Allen and Ewing, 1978, p. 1). By including this well-adapted legume into the rotation, togtther with appropriate fertilizer applications, cereal yields should continue to improve. In the years when the cereal crop fails it can be let out for grazing and even in low rainfail years the medre pasturc witl provide f5Tazing for livestock. The main purpose of the experiments was to establish if ceresl production could be a.chieved in marginal arcas. Taole 1 shows lhat production was useful in the 42 FOR OFF[CIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09 CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 FOR OFF(C[AL USE ONLY 'Peble f. Gcfan Plaln ccrab 1973/74-1977178: arer, producfloa eod ykld Wheat 73174 74/75 75176 76/77 77/78 Area (hxtara) - Ai Hira 70 1,111 2,800 2,000 1 200 _ niBA Abu Shaybr:h 793 3,300 4,000 6,499 2,350 5,925 1,100 5,628 , 1,4pp 3 2pp Bir al Ghancm 973 2,000 4,850 3,800 , 3 450 Wadi Athel 4,500 6,143 12,066 7,000 , 6 4pp Abu Ayshah 20 - 3,397 1,250 , 1 385 Ajaylat Wadi el Hai 800 11900 4,000 4,136 4,425 - 300 - , 3,296 Nalut , qgp _ _ Tarhunah - 2,170 3,700 2,705 3 296 A1 Qassabal 500 1,300 - - , Khums-Sawfeggin - - 657 806 1,200 (13,056) (31,841) (40,170) (27,891) (24,827) Production (tons) AI Hira 16 706 673 6 410 DiBa 176 498 433 8 377 Ahu Shaybah 129 1,686 1,303 607 2,ppp Bir al Ghanem 37 465 1,166 - 229 - Wadi Athei 45 1,093 3,393 qpp Abu Ayshah - 287 370 140 ~ Ajaylat 22 476 1,068 - 677 Wadi el Hai 1226 893 - - - Nalut 137 _ _ _ "farhunah - 146 I 202 AI Qassabat 3 3 _ Khums Sawfeggin - _ 11 _ _ (553) (5,960) (8,480) 992) (4,435) Yield per hxtaro (kg) AI Hira 725 635 240 3 342 - Diga - 2:') 125 184 7 270 Abu Shaybah 37 260 220 108 625 Bir al Ghanem 38 232 240 - 66 Wadi Athel IQ 178 281 - 63 Abu Ayshah - _ gq 297 101 Ajaylat 27 119 241 - 205 Wadi el Hai 66 216 - - _ Nalut - 285 - - - Tarhunah - 154 396 3 77 AI Qassabat 65 24 - - - Khums-Sawfeggin - 161 _ - (42) (187) (211) (36) (179) Rainfall at Aziziyah (mean annual is 210 mm) C)ctober-May 255 435 198 224 October-Febru:.ry 245 245 165 189 Soura: Ev.�ing (1978) and Metcrological Department, Tripoli Nr;irS of :iho%c a%cravc raiiv,, hul vcry ,rrioNsly dcfikicnt in 1976 1977 ;ind ti�ati al�o poor in 1978-1979. Cire;tt ticcrUcism %%as hring capic~,rkl ahoul the %iahilit} of W:idi Athcl, 13ir nl Ghancm a::d Ajaylat, all Iyini! in arcas with mcan annual rainfall bclow 175 mm. Thc othcr schcmcs arc ahlc te rroducc hch%ecn 200 and (a kE of whcat Pcn cectarc in good rainfall ycars, which though not a high yield showed the cereal scheme to be capable of produciag approximately 5,000 tons of grain per yeaT. An important eRe^.t of the interest in medicago species has been the promotion of the idca that extensive areas of the Gefara with less than 200 mm but more than 150 mm could be sown with medic pastures. Such pastures 43 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R400540010002-3 rOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY sensitivity of the natural resources, and especially the water resouras to their casual management. 'I'he ground- water upon which irrigated farming depended H�as readily accessible to tcchnology available at costs %%ell w:thin the competcnce of most individuai farmers. Very soon the rate of withdrawal was far in excess of recharge, and 3CCCICfBiI'L as a resuh of the absence of regulation on withdrawal. lt w�as a situation rcinforxd by the traditional approach to watcr use and by the wish of governmcnt to cncouragc the privatc sector as a bal4nce to the othcrwise inescapable inertia which oil revenues promotc, Icading to a public scctor monopoly of all cconomic activity. Similar force.g aiT'ected another natural resourcc, not dcalt with in this papcr, the scmi-natural grazinF resources. Thesc resources too were severely degradec?, in this case by the increase in stocking level H hich was far bcyond the carrying capacity of the vul- ncrable Libyan rangclands (Gintzburger and Bayoumi, 1977). The pulitical changes of 1969 for a time brought a very untimcly acccleration in the rate of resource utiliza- tion and virtually a full decade passed before the revolu- tionary government was able to escape the bondage of its own rhetoric; it cannot, however, escape the justifi- able criticism t}iat cnvironmental realities were discarded hy implcmenting policies which caused irreversible rrsource degraclation rather than via a]earning proeess which involvrd the rational weighing of predecessors' crrors and the consideration of the available scientific evidence The efTect of the policies of the revolutionary govcrnmcnt was to cause groundwater withdrawals to average four times the rate of recharge in the Gefara Plain as awhole by the mid-,970s, and in the areas of serious ovcrpurnping, such as at Bin Gashir, the rate of withdrawal was eight times rcchargc. 6y 1980 the very difficult position oi agriculture of coastal Libya had bcen rccognizcd and the government turned its attention to the intractable prohlems of resource an(i institutional engincenng rcquired to re- ;trrange lan;i tcnure and create viabie farming units raising crops wvith water-conserving irrigation systems. Such chanees will require a revulution in the pe*ceptior of resourccs and a revolution in attitudes to watcr use ind espccially concerning its regulation at farm and regional levcl. The past ttirce decades of experience in matiiaging rcnewable natural resources in Libya has unfortunately induced a complex of confusion which has freyuently emerEed amongst those cvaluating such resourccs in marginal scmi-arid areas (Amiran and Wil- ,on, 1973, p. 417). Rencwable natural resources are cxtremcly vulnerable to misuse, but it has been demon- strated that unconvcntional resource appraisal and innovative projects can lead to the viable long-term use of such resuurccs (Amiran, 1978, p. 124). Libya's oil wealth should make possible innovation and economic have a useful carrying capacity (up to one ewe per hxtare) and can be generated at less than 10 per cent of the aum requind to establish perennial shrubs as envisaged in a number of parts of Libya (Allen and Ewing, 1978, p. 8; Halsc, 1978, p. 6). The al Marj Plain on the Jabal al Akhdar has attracted settlement and agricultural activity ti:roughout history, but has never managed to live up to tlie promise of its apparently rich red soils and generally reliable rains. Rains are usually above 300 mm at al Marj itself, falling to 200 mm towards al Abyar. Some harvests have been remarkable, for example that of 1978 when both of the 20,000 ton silos at al Abyar and al Marj were filled or almost filled. 7'he 1977-1978 season was one of rainfall, however, with 530 mm zt al Marj instead of the average 340 mm. Experiments similar to those in the Gcfara are being conducted on the al Marj Plain to improve soil fertility through medic rotations and phosphate applications. Evidence is being assembled that the above average yield of 12 tons of wheat per hectare for the region achicved in the good rainfall year in 1977-1978 should be possible regularly. With attentive management of sowing it might be possible to move output to over 2 tons per hecta-e. Sustained production at this level will only be possible if soil fertility is susta;ned, and care should be taken in applying gross incentivcs such as the very high grain pricc subsidy (Libyan Dinars 150 per ton for wheat in 1978), which will promote increases of production possibly zt the expense of the soil resources. However, outputs of grain of SO,WO tons per year are achievable from the farms on the 3abal al Akhdar which was about 5 per cent of the Libyan annual grain requirement in 1980. Resource Rcalities and Politicai Fantasy The foregoing discussion of Libya's past thirty years of agricultural developmcnt experience is particularly interesting in that first the economic and then the political circumstances of the country changed. The three decades, the 1950s, the 1960s and the 1970s can be con- trasted; with the 1951-1961 period being one of economic and political dependence on the Westem powers; the 1960s were years qf increasing economic iadependcnce but Libya was still in those years uncier the shadoN+, of Wcstern oil and strategic interests, finally after the rcvo- lution in 1969, Libya took advantage of its cconomic strength and gained the will to be cconomically and rolitically asseriive. The renewablc natural resource base was profoundly aflected by the chunges in the economic circumstances after oil revenues began to be significant in the early 1960s. The reason that the impact of the new economic circumstances was so great was not the scale of the burgeoning investment resources of the 1960s. but the 44 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000500010002-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000504010002-3 FOR OFFICIAI. USE ONLY A risks not feasible for those with more limited capital resoutces. But Libya's planners should escape from the notioti that the country should become green like coun- trics in hamid latitudes, and assess agricultural develop- ment projects primarily in terms of their returns to water. AcknoNlcdhmcnls 1 should likc to thank the Socicty for Lihyan titudics for providing the expcnscs fur the visit lo Libla a�hich cnablcd me to obscrvc the devcloPmcnts described hcrc. I am also indchtcd to sta(i of the Sccrctariat of Land Reclamation and Settlemcnt, the Director of the Gefara Cereals Projcct and the Western Australian stafl led by Mr. Mike Ewing; the Director of the )abal al Akhdar Authority, Mr. Bashir Jodali and his South Australian advisers led hy Mr. Bcrt fvinnes. In the Secretariat of Dams and Watcr Rcsourccs 1was gratcful for the hclp of the Director Mr. Taher Rtifila and his stafT' especially Mr. Fituri Dcgais and Atitiociatcd UN stafi' Dr. Phil- lippe I'allas and Mr. H. Flocgel. For secretarial and cartographic assistance 1 am indebted to stafl of the School of Oriental and African Studies. REFERENCES Amiran, D. H. K. (1978)'Geoaraphial aspects of national planning in Israei: the managanent of 1'united resouroes', Tiansnerions oj rh, :._.itule ojBrlllsh Geographers (New Series), Vol. 3, No 1, lIS-128. Atniran, D. H. K. and Wilson (1973) Coestal Drstrts: Their Natural cnd Nun:an Environmcnls (Tuscon, Arizona). Allan, J. A. (1971) 'Change- in the xonomic use of land in the vicinity of Tripoli', unpublisl,:d PhD, University of London, 302 pp. Allan, J. A., McLachlan, K. S and Penrosc, E. T. (1973) Lihya .4,criCuhrirr and Lronnnric Dcvclopmcnt (Frank Cass, London), 214 pp. plus maps. Allan, J. A. (1979) 'Managing agricultural resourccs in Libya: rcccnt cxpcricncc', Libynn Studies, Vol. X, 17-27. Allan, J. A. and McLachlan, K. S. (1975) 'Libyan agriculcural devclopment since independena', Ajrican A,(j4irs, Vol. 75, No 300, 331-348. Allen, S. M. and Ewing, M. A. (1978) Report onjour yeors experience (1974-1978) Rrazing annnal medics in the Grfara region, Western Australian Advisory Group, Cerea rojxt, Gefara Develapment Authority, 7'ripoli, 10 pp. Census and Statistical Department ( ) Slatrstical Abstroct: 1970, Ministry of Planning,'Tripoli, 323 pp. Census and Statistical Dcpanment (1972b) Narional Accounts, I962-1971, Ministry of lanning, Tripoli. Census and Statistical Department (1977) SratlstrcalAbslract: 1975, Secretariat of Planning,'Tripoli, 302 pp. Ccnsus and Statistical Dcpartment (1979) Abslracl oj Starislics: 1476, Secretariat of Planning, 325 pp. Ewing, M. (1978) Reporl on the exptrience winc cereals and medic pnrru.es on he C'rreafs Pr%c1, Gejara Plain, Gcfara Develop- ment Authority, 7'ripoli, S pp. Exautive Autharity for Jabal al Akhdar (1978) Harvesrs in a!l srn.sons /n the Jobal al Akhdar, Council for Land Reclamation and Construction, Tripoli, 127 pp. Farlcy, R. (1971) Planning jor Dcvrlopmrnt in Lrl.iu 0'racgcr, Ncw York). Flocgel, H. (1978) !so-picznmrtric map and isadraM�duMn nrnp fui 1976J77 for the first resrnoir in the Gtfara, Sccretariat nf Uams and Water Rcsources, Tripoli. Gintzburger, E. and Bayoumi, M. (1977) Survey oJ the pr<