VALIDITY STUDY ON NIE 33-56: TURKEY AS AN ALLY PUBLISHED 21 FEBRUARY 1956
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020043-7
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
2
Document Creation Date:
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date:
January 6, 2006
Sequence Number:
43
Case Number:
Publication Date:
January 5, 1957
Content Type:
NOTES
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CIA-RDP82M00097R000600020043-7.pdf | 48.55 KB |
Body:
Approved For Rele'e 2006/01/1 S CWA-RDP82M00097R0((00020043-7
USIB-D-l6, 2/7
5 January 1917
UNITE D STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
Validity Study of NIE 33-56:
Turkddy as an Ally
Published 21 February 1956
The attached Validity study of NIE 33-56 was approved by the
Intelligence Board on 30 December 1958 (USIB-M-18, item 8 c).
Executive Secretary
Approved For Release 2006/01S9EFjDP82M00097R000600020043-7
Approved For Rele 2006/01/17'SC17X'RD'82M00097R04a00020043-7
USIB-D-16.2/7
5 January 1959
Validity Study of NIE 33-56:
Turkey as an Ally
Published 21 February 1956
1. In many important respects, NIE 33-56 has help up well.
Its chief deficilancy was its estimate of the prospects for stabilizing
the Turkish economy. The govern~rn.ifailed to take the necessary
steps to put Turkey's economic and financial affairs in order, as
the estimate indicated it was probably prepared to do. As a result,
economic Onditions deteriorated to a degree not foreseen in the
estimate. The overestimate of the prospects for economic stabiliza-
tion resulted in an underestimate of the degree of economic deteriora-
tion and accompanying popular discontent.
2. The estimate also failed to foresee the Menderes adminis-
trations' readiness to resort to repressive measures against the op-
position--in great part a result of the government's increased vulner-
ability to opposition criticism of its economic policies.
3. The deterioration in Turkish-Greek relatio s as a result
of the Cyprus !controversy has been more serious than WIE 33-56
indicated it would be.
Approved For Release 2006/01/1Z A~~82M00097R000600020043-7