SATELLITE RECONNAISSANCE SECURITY POLICY ALTERNATIVES

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CIA-RDP82M00591R000100050089-0
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RIPPUB
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C
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15
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December 19, 2016
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October 17, 2006
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89
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Publication Date: 
September 7, 1978
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MF
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Approved For Release 2006/10// gg -M00591 R000100050089-0 CONF iV~IA i "~.. MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy to the DCI for Resource Management FROM: John F. Blake Deputy Director for Administration SUBJECT: Satellite Reconnaissance Security Policy Alternatives (C) 1. (C) We have reviewed the final issue paper on Satellite Reconnaissance Security Policy Alternatives and find the paper basically incorporates the conflicting views of the differing parties on this matter. It would appear that probably more weight was given in the editing process to the State/ACDA position of opting for declassification of "fact of" without further study. 2. (C) We did note that under the heading IMPLEMEN- TATION CONSIDERATIONS, the final paper confines those con- cerns as solely re ated to release of imagery. The point was made more than once to OSTP that we believed that these considerations applied to both declassification of "fact of" and release of imagery, and that the original Work Group paper had stated it in that fashion. It was our belief that OSTP had agreed to incorporate that belief into the paper during a final consultation last week. 3. (U) The paper contains some unfortunate redundancies which we attribute to hurried editing but, since the paper is now on the street, it is not worth dwelling on at this time. *NSC Review Completed* OS 8 2471 E2 IMPDE"T CONFIDENTIAL CL BY-064594 Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP82M00591R000100050089-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/1d35D Q0591 R000100050089-0 4. (C) We believe that the points that need to be addressed during the Space Policy Review Council (SPRC) meeting include: a. Declassification of "fact of" solely for SALT II without proof of capability, i.e. release of imagery, is an empty shell which will not convert any Doubting Thomases. b. The thought of. merely informing the -Soviets of our declassification intentions as opposed to entering into consultation with them strikes us as ill advised in view of past Soviet concerns. The State Department representative should be asked to shed light on this problem as well as advising if there have been any recent discussions with the USSR in this area. The same would apply vis-a-vis the allies and the lesser Developed Countries. c. Assuming all agree that at least some imagery must be released to reflect the ability of the United States to monitor arms verification, an expression of concern should be made to reflect Intelligence Community concern about enabling the USSR to take action to take better protective and concealment action against observation. d. We continue to be concerned with the possible loss of classified information with the declassification of "fact of." Although the paper suggests that a security plan to maintain intelligence discipline, there will remain a body of formerly cleared people who will react with a variety of interpretations over the meaning of declassification of "fact of" and some will undoubtedly believe that such declassification includes declassification of "facts about," and this may do serious harm to over- head collection programs. CuNFIDENTIAL4J Approved For Release. 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP82M00591 8000100050089-0 Approved For Release 2006/1-OJI QA^P,82M00591 R000100050089-0 fIDEN- e. Most importantly, we understand there are political reasons for desiring an immediate decision to delcassify, followed by development of an imple- mentation plan. However, we are hard pressed to understand why any adviser would suggest to the President that he make a decision without adequate prior staffing. We would hope that the DCI, or his representative, would raise that point at the SPRC and recommend that the suggested two month study be undertaken prior to a decision to declassify "fact of." 5. (U) We will continue to follow this issue with interest as it makes its way toward decision.. cc: D/Security Distribution: Orig - Adse 2 DD/A 1 - D/Security 1 - D/Security 1 - OS Registry 1 - SECOM Subj l - SECOM Chrono SEC M/WJReilly:efn (7 Sept 78) Page 3 Retyped:jep (7 Sept 78) Robert W. Gambino Director of Security ,,,,INFInENTIAL Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP82M00591R000100050089-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000100050089-0 Please LOX one coPY~ Under Secretary of the Air Force 401000 Pentagon 697-8531 D r?ectcr, 3atiDnal Security Agency 9A197 Ft. Meade 688-7111 Director, Defense Intelligence Agency 3E258 Pentagon 695L7353 Director of Intelligence and Research Department of State 6531 New State 632-0342 Deputy Director for Administration 8 CIA Hgtrs. Deputy Director for Science and Technology 6E60 CIA Hqtrs. Director, National Foreign Assessment Center irrq rya I;gtrs . Thanks, Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP8Nf00591 R000100050089-0 Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000100050 P- Registry N%dC 78-5244 ..r' 5 SEP 1978 MEMORANDUM FOR: Under Secretary of the .fir Force i rect r,, t tiarzal Ses~2ri ty Agency Director of Intelligence and Research, k Department of State . Director, National Foreign Assessment Center Deputy Director for Administration Deputy Director for Science and Technology Deputy to, the DU for Collection Tasking '3irector, De"ease Intelligence Agency FROM: Deputy to the DC1 for Resource Management SUBJECT: Satellite Reconnaissance Security Policy Alternatives (C) 1. (C) An issue paper on this subject is forwarded for your review and cox ent (see Attachment 12 . It will be the basis for discussion at a special Space PRC meeting on 13 September. 2. (C) We have participated in the preparation of this paper and leave s ubirr? tted s td f ~ 1eve? conr+ents orr tNv pre0oas bra f'ts. r u>~Qr, some of our significant comments have not been incorporated. The comments we submitted were coordinated with your representative on the fnteffi- gence Community Civil Space Policy Working Group (see Attachment 2). 3. (C) I would appreciate it if you would provide cue wtth your formal comments on this I- u e b COU Friday, 8 S ber 1 78. Please forward these comments to (CHB, Room l telephone Attachments: 7. Sate77 t to Recorrna tssance Security Policy Alternatives it t& l i fence CO t ni ty Civil Space Policy Working Group Representatives SECRET LXSJ tT 33NJ .. 5t V)% SCHEDULE,4 4. 0. IltU. T_XFti""~+k?tr C. cO Y 5313 f4y .w ? W.I. -r- se r.tta5 AlT ATICALL'Z VEcLASMlH-LO l 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP'82M00591 R000100050089-.0 . Approved For Release 20MtY&ff?P,1,`-RDV11100591 R000100050089-0 August 31, 1978 MEMORANDUM FOR: ' -The Secretary of State n,e Se xetarg a? Zeiet'se Director, Office of Management and Budget Director, Arms Control and Disarmament Agency Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Director of Central Intelligence administrator, National Aeronautics and Space Administration ragrect,zm, office- of SciecLce amd `Cechanlogy Policy SUBJECT: Space Policy Review Committee Meeting The attached de -nc-rrt was extracted front the ongoing civilian space- Po-lice review. Because of its national security elements, declassification &f the ss azat 3.y i~~~=rg "fact of" [?,aororecornalssarrce sarellizea W111 ue aiso-053E-6 a Space Policy iieview Committee meeting an September 13, 1913. Christine Dodson Staff .Secretary 5rc r =US (,)(2) Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP82-M00591 R000100050089-0 SATELLiTpr !' gpA ea'tvE29? . Ot 1WDU0100050089-0 %"P~ N40 A. POLICY -SETTING When tlse unit~3 ~cates started its space reconnaissance program in the late 1930's and early 1960's, there was considerable uncertainty as to foreign reaction. The Powers U-2 incident in 1960 emphasized the high potential for a major confrontation and embarrassment, yet the need for strategic intelligence was overpowering. The US strategy was Co be as unobtrusive as possible, keeping the existence of the program covert and avoiding the necessity for foreign acknowledgment. In concert, the civil space program and benign appli- cations were emphasized in public and led, over the years, to implicit general acceptance of remote earth sensing for a variety of purposes. It is common knowledge that the US,and the USSR use satellite reconnaissance ronitor}ng techniques. For example, a .recent book by former DCI William Colby--cleared by the CIA prior to publication--discusses the use of overhead photography for arms control verification purposes. Secretary of State William Rogers stated. in 1972 that surveillance sateliltes were one of the means used to monitor SALT 1. Sack in the mid-296&'s President 3ohnson in a speech in te.waessee extemporaneously stated that the US used satellite photography to observe Soviet ICBM deployment. He added that this activity alone justified the oxj?Y.S?diture: on our space program. Furthermore, President Carter stated dnr,ag a ~tareh 1977 radio call-ice program that "as you probably know, with :pace satellite photography we . . guarantee the security of our PD/NSC-37 revised the security policy for space intelligence activities by downgrading the fact that the US conducts satellite r>?c >7flaissance fcr inte'LLi- gence pure uses--wit;gout aisciosLa& the generic tyI. --tn C.Q ISERTI9_i ;VMS) PD/NSC-37 specifies that the special product controls (over imagery and other space-derived data) is to be used sparingly by the DCI. This section examines two possible revisions to the current policy: F::zal, a simple deClarati?:e declassification only of the fact that satel- 14te p}:ti t.t. ectr:~naissance. is one of the national technical means used by ere es'S f.--Tr- c ~rif lcst:cra of c~~r~Z3 rice with SJ 7 ana nt.hrz alms c9T~t'to1 agreements. *On the recent yampiles espionage case--involving alleged sale of sensitive ##'L'i::dW~Ia~N~YJz~ L.,?' t' ~~ r sn~??isYSI n ml tea admit the "fact of" Vhotoreconnaissance but also facts abour the capabilities of US systems- in orJer tie pros :;ate Kampiles. .1. 3CK M.2) vi .lu..T rfis`fvyt SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-R DP82M00591tR0001100050089-0 i~Wadqd(FqrtW~ate 2 t i1 : IA E?f'& &1 11 OO6 6656685 1ectively declassify and"1r_ase photoreconnaissance intigence imagery for, furthering economic, social, foreign policy, defense, and prllftical objectives of the US. OF" a' T.BC AAeCTSTCp '~ L/fit*tr OF THE "fiTLA C: L LJ L`~e J+e5J.1 i a i v.T. a~ ?'r 1'1 Benefits and Risks. Claim is made in public forums that the SALT II agreement now being negotiated is unsound, in part because of public perceptions that the Soviets cannot be trusted to comply with its terms. Opponents of a SALT agree- me^,r charge that the S'aviets .ic t: teated Oct AL? I aad brat ene ~S ai .In. d !quote ;,7111ty ti 2' wzify seas aaFZ7ce W h S LT H. In, snsverirg these - charges, government spokesman are prohibited from "officially" stating that the ?IS conducts satellite photography to monitor Soviet compliance with SAIX. They are,.restricted to using the euphemism National Technical Means (NTM) when describing those elements of our verification capability. Members of Congress .have been briefed on US monitoring techniques, however, and the fact that ?ATM includes satellite photography is widely recognized and accepted by the press. and much of the informed foreign affairs cotmpunity. The; term NTM, however, may be lost on less-aware segments of the lay public. Direct referral to satellite photoreconnaissance can alleviate any feeling in the public mind that the Administration is being evasive and is trying to cover up an inherently weak case for SALT. This, however, may be inadequate and it may also be necessary to discuss facts about these capabilities to help allay public concern that we can adequately verify Soviet compliance with the terms of the agreement. Freclass lfyirg the "fact of" photo--satellite reconnaissance might enable go' ern- ment spokesmen to make a more effective case for a SALT 11 agreement. The tiilit tz sefex tv, sred:!hle inte.iligence capabiiitiea might help allay public concern that we can adequately verify Soviet compliance with the terms of the agreement. There are, owever, risks assrrci eed w1rh t'h ~~sla;sifiesrit of the ""fact of." , They are. --- The classification of the "fact of" satellite reconnaissance has served as the :first line of defense for the security of overhead intelligence programs. Titter declassification, US agencies and officials could be and .r ptess'ire, both ler,al f Freedom of information Act (FOIA) ( and other- t,% prn?t'de eve-t ircteasicng infcttronatioa about t e recactnafssactce programs, as well as imagery itself, Acknowledgment of imagery could lead to further prob-ing and speculation about even more 'ensttLve sar_aLL.f tes. Some agencies believe this pressure may be virtually irresistible and irreversible. Other agencies believe that the line case be drawn in this case as in others (e.g., nuclear weapons deployments), especially since the 'fact of" is already widely 2cnowtt, even if not otEtctallyy acknowledged. -2. SECRFS iliii's (B> 2 ) SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP82M0O591 R000100050089-0 d Even thoQ Ie FOS ~~:sa~t~~ 6~i~/L~e C S PR MOQ5f3'A+E~JOdTrl~l -~mP~i . cations that t'no Soviets have a similar Capabf 'Tfty. there may be adverse Soviet reaction to a public statement to the effect that we use Photo- satellites. Subsequent harmful consequences in various arms cant: t'l risculzions (e. g. , ASAT, CTS) and other outer-space issues also could result. At a high level we would need to inform or consult with the Soviets on the scope of and reasons for any change in US policy prior to any announcement that might ensue. There may be adverse reaction in the 1B Outer Space Committee to official US acknowledgment of its photoreconnaissance activities, particularly on the part of the developing countries. Some have already e-xpressed concern that civil remote sensing, activities pose a threat to their military and economic security. Such acknewledgment could result is increased pressures for controls on remote sensing from satellites and possibly demands that "military" satellites be banned. On the other band, the fact is already widely known, and increased demand for access could likewise result. Acknowledgment in the context of SALT verification, however, wou24 likely be applauded by developing countries _ C. ISSUE FG DECTSTOIN ON "FACT OF's Some believe that, with appropriate preparation, the "fact of" can be declassi_ tied now with real but acceptable risks to intelligence security and to US foreign and &'mestjc policy. According to this view, we could proceed to publicly acknowledge that photo-satellite reconnaissance programs are among the means used by the US to verify Soviet compliance with SALT and other arms control agreements. They believe there is an obvious, courraonsense value to the forthright admission of what is already widely known. Furthermore. they believe that implementation plans should be developed prior to public announce- ments on this ,utter. Such plans could be prepared within a few weeks and would include: . Presidcntial directive that (1) declassi.firatiau of "fact of" is limited to photorecoirnnissartcc for verification of SALT and other arms control ac;rea_rttents and that (2) all. data derived from overhead reconnaissance remain t_ lassified and comp~ttntextted in accordance with existing Videllines. A security plan to maintain intelligence discipline. -- A roan of action for informing Congress,, our allies, and the Soviets prior to a public announcement. Contingency planning to deal with reactions of other countries and a thorough set of Q's and Vs. Others believe that the "fact of" can be declassified but that not enough in presently known about the near- and long-term impacts on US satellite reconnats-? sauce and suggest that a study of a few months is required to make the best M SECRET XGDS (~) (L) SECRET Approved Fox-Release 2006/10/19: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000100050089-0 passible, Rehhdm 1aarlid&19TQr,Qt-ffGf!&~ 91RGOOM005 fQrs from acknowledgement of We "fact of," Without some Pub~Vf use of Information or imagery fret space reconnaissance, is of limited value. Further, they believe that prior to a decision on implementation more study is needed over the next few months. This study would evaluate the ramifications of declassifying the "fact of" and develop a full and detailed execution plan that would include: a security plan to 4Lta .CZtain intelligence discipline; a detailed consultation strategy with the Congress, our allies, the Soviet Union, and members of the UN Outer Space Cor=irtee; and contingency strategies by responsible agencies. They also believe that the implementation considerations outlined in the discussion on declassification of photographic imagery should be taken into account in any decision on the "fact of" as well. Essentially, under this approach the decision on declassifIcatIoa of the "'fact of`" In the context of SALT verifica- tion would be deferred for the few months necessary to complete the more detailed review. D. DECLASSIFIC.ATIDN OF PNDTDRECO NAISSA) CE IMAGERY Any decision to go beyond declassification of the "fact of" and to additionally include a selective and phased public release of'photoreconnaissance imagery or information from space reconnaissance increases both risks and benefits. Any steps taken In this area either measured or decisive would represent a signifi- cant Administration initiative in space that would have worldwide impact. [ Llniike other mator space initiatives--Fpollo or solar poet satellites--- dec 3.,ssi fi cat S cm would not have a budget impact. It is believed that the risks and the potential long-tent benefits of such a policy revision warrant a care- ful ssessme~ t of this possibility before acceptance or rejection. But, of course, such an assessment would be pursued only if the "fact of" were declassified. Br-nefi is ____ it ks. The- broader use of p-r a tly- lc~.salf e data could well be an efficient meRns of meeting -pertain domestic needs for an authoritative data base supplementing (ear In some cases replacing) imagery sources currently available to the private and public sector. For example, stereoscopic imagery of cartographic quality has already been collected over much of the world. Its exploitation has been largely limited to government intelligence and mapping functions. Its value to mineral and petroleum expl.cration--either in raw image form or as analyzed thematic geological map g)roducts --is Likely to be hlgb, representing a quantum Increase in the r set cra- tionn data base. Other potential economic applications of such data include, land use, disaster assessment and relief, environmental monitoring, forestry inventories, and crop productivity. Some of these applications require the repetitive coverage being offered by civil systems and not envisaged for intelligence systems which might E,e avaiLib e to the civil car=unity. 5o.-me ci1*11 uses Would benefit from the availability of a high-quality imagery data base in many instances even if it were quite old. If a decision were made to do so, much stored imagery could be Zad'e available today from suer performance reconnaissance systems no longer in operation as well as currALntly collected imagery. SECRET lGLS (9) (21t SECRET -- oved For Rele-ase 2-006/10119: CIA-R-DP82M00591 R00010005008970 ++s:# 3 e der A ppsgyeq For pile??e '.Oe CL q1s * J~` I P S.~..r91-%%QQt0Q '. $O e in SALT :;, f;exibilitt' could be provided in the 1)S innternational affairs by less-constrained use of remote sensing data. Vexif:abiiitY and verification could be more credibly demonstrated with the release of imagery or information derive chart rcm. Peacekeeping possib,lities might include private or }ublIc release of v=a:sual evidence or information and ana2ysle o"t smpena.Yrr,g cris?a?, Prosti'e attune, or threaterli.ng situations (weapons shipments, border viola- tions, nucleaz capabilities); economic development information could be pro- vided without sr.b erfuge as to data sources. The risks associated with limited declassification of satellite is agery can be categorized as follows: -- Imagery from -"Mteiligence systems provides information on militarily '` sibs if1ca:t targets such, as airffeLds, missile deployments, etc. With frequent monitoring, mi'Llrary deployment and levels of military production can be determined. As these capabilities are appreciated--more directly relevant to the national interests of the non-major powers--we could c pret resistance and pressure for restrictions by other countries. _- S~stb ?istio^ure tz?~sid be Qxpect.ed to beer to questtaes as to the legiti- macy of military uses of outer space systems. The Outer Space Treaty reserves the use of space for "peaceful purposes." Some states, such as .ga r. rr, ~rdva already called for rl rrfiitaxizatirrn of space. The release of imagery could exacerbate these Derr:ands. The Soviets have maintained the basis for flexibly distinguishing between legiti ate and illegitimate remote earth sensing. They recognize a sanctuary only for "NITh's." Use of cameras in space for other purpnses {..,1 +.?$. C .a.....+^?~.$. ~'.. _..?"fiJ...2 +......a~+ . they i.a^.tt:?5 pc,ti~.~r f to +r a the ic+ imsgery surely would stimulate discussion throughout the international community--nor Just the communist bloc, but the non-alligned countries as well as our allies--of limitations an remote sensing. The Soviets may also use the release of imagery to attempt to justify their ASAT activities. Disclosure of selected imagery provides some information on the design and capabilities of the imaging system. For film return systems, this may be more ac!ceprabie, although the i.mplicat1ons could cause adversary nations to increase concealment measures. The security ri k in unclassified use of the products of the latest operacioeal systems would be high. A policy of unclasslfled release of the most o rrent imagery could not be readily re'ersed. Thus, the e:ctent to which the decision to declassify satellite imagery would impact on a later option to provide special security protection for new systems must be carefully weighed. SECRET XGDF (B) SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/19 :-CIA-RBP82T 100591 R000100050089-0 ,~,~ ~xRVe nor R~ - ~Q4 A0119 : CIA-RDP82M0059911 R000100050089-0 S!;ould the add! r, r,na,+ decision re taken to select vely rele-ase l ~,gery , a number of additional factors would have to be taken into account in formulating an :.mpfeanentation, plan. Certain of rhe factor's are summarized b t w. The USSR. The USSR is sensitive to world opinion about the relative tethno- 2a9ica2 capabilities of the LAS and the Soviet Union. Comparisons between Soviet and US imagery capabilities produced by US release of imagery, would toad to cast :ire USSR in an unfavorable light. Second, the Soviets could view a public policy c;?.ar ,e as casting doubt on their ability to prevent "e-spio^.ae" from outer space. For internal and international prestige reasons, they might choose to take a hard line, including a more negative posture in SAT rnegoe.i- atious, au -merrteri deveiopment of their ASAT systems, and renewed efforts In the UN 'to estab.)Lisft strinent Limitatir)tls on. the conduct of remote sensing activi- ties. .'Last, declassification could be viewed as a form of international. "one- up4manship" by the US, especially in light of current US-USSR tensions. If imagery release were contemplated, any assessment would have to examine whether to inform the Soviets 'beforehand of the scope, purposes, and timing of any release. The Soviets would react more strongly to a 'OS decision to release imagery than to dec:las sifAcation of the "fact of." High level prior consulta- tion with the USSR tray be necessary In view of our tacit agreement with them on photorecornaissance use. hs such, a risk-benefit analysis of declassifying imagery must take. Soviet reactions into account. Intelligence Secur4y. The classification of the "fact of" satellite recon- naiasance has served as the first line of defense for the security of overhead sssace intelii-t nce programs. After declassification, US agencies and officials would be under considerable pressure to provide more information. More imSsortartcly, tui raver, information obtained from photography alone is often :u higuoius; intelligence judgments are derived from analysis of data from a variety of sources. We should not compromise other intelligence sources and afec?t4--kds as a ccsu2c of rel aslag photography. .Fell-thought-out strategies of Information release and management of requesss are necessary preconditions to eve*rt take seeps toward declasslflcatioa of Imagery. T.'i;;1orOr?e- Tnsuea. Ilecisfons on the future organization of the US route eosins pro ra r wc,tsf c he i pcacted by decisions to zelease pTev-ionslp z l ssifie'd imaV,ery. If the US sets up a new organization structure for remote sensing from apace, for c~.asslnle, this could raise issues concerning, the future eana%e- ment of satellite reconnaissance, particularly if the imagery presently classi.- fied were (3ecl'ssilied for wider civil application, Selective release of .im2~geTj would also blur the line B een civilian and military-intelligence remote sensing. Our heretofore highly touted international policy of open disseminatior. of remote sensing, data abased on acknowledgment only of MASA, data) would lose credibility, and new policies would have to be examined. SFa- .:,T Z,Ms IB j1 ) SECRET Approved For Release 2006/10/19: CIA-R?P82M00591 R000100050089-0 There isAjj'rqYf F ft~~~%e I ls~pa-LA Pe Q~~ 'qQWt under the FDLA and that, in allT probability, legal proceedings could force disclosures wt S.'d.~.,'.dzo~? t..E' t e ~