A COMPARISON OF OECD AND COMECON

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CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1
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June 30, 1961
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Approved For Rayease 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036P 0500020012-1 A COMPARISON OF OECD AND COMECON NOTE: Attached is the first draft of a paper in preparation by the Atlantic Institute Secretariat. Its purpose is to compare certain features of the structure and opera- tion of the OECD and the Comecon. The current draft is being submitted to several experts in various countries who are well- acquainted with the question. Rather than a full report, this paper consists of a June 30, 1961 Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 Approved For Ra1ease 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036WO500020012-1 Original: English A COMPARISON OF OECD AND COMECON A comparison is here attempted of the treaties which form at least the partial basis for economic coop- eration and coordination within the separate Eastern and. Western camps. Just such. a comparison would seem vital today now that the battlefield of the two blocs is shift- ing so clearly onto economic 't.:erarain. This type of report is designed on the one hand to call attention to the subject by sketching a general analysis of the question aia.d drawing tentative conclusions therefrom, but above all to serve as the starting point for further studies or research into the question. This presentation begins with a brief historical glance at-the background to the two treaties, only slightly less hurried for, Comecon, as its history is perhaps less known than. OECDBs. They are followed by a comparative analysis of the important features of the treaties . first from the forma.], viewpoint of the texts themselves, and second with a glance at their practical application. within their. respective spheres. Some of the present and pos- sible effects of the treaties are suggested as a conclusion. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 Approved For Release 2001/08/17: CIA-RDP83-00036BN0500020012-1 PART I Background: OECD The Organization, for Economic Cooperation and Development, still awaiting the formal blessing to be granted through its various member- countries' ratifying procediures, is today the latest child of the West's efforts at economic coop- eration.. Juridically, it. is dae to be born on, or before, September 30, 1961. It. will be full heir to the Or^gan.ization. for European Economic Cooperation which entered its thirteenth. a. d last year of operation or, April 16, 1961. The O O E O E 0 C. began. as a logical outcome of the program. outlined by Secretary of State Marshall in his Harvard, speech of June 5, 1947. Within less than. a year, the Convention for European Economic Cooperation. was ratified and Europe felt ready for this aspect of the American aid program's innplementation. At the outset the American observers held high hopes for a large degree of integration among the economies of the individual European member states. (1) In practice the results were considerably more modest. O.E.E.C.. Accomplishments - payments Besides] the initial task of administering effec- tively American aid. to Europe, the most notable of the OEEC's achievements have been. "the establishment of the European. Payments Union and the liberalization of i..ntra-European grade"". (2) From the initial phases of the recovery of European, commerce, the EPU, established in September 1950, produced the first "breakthrough into a multilateral system of settlements and credits". y.2) (1) A tentative United States participation was formalized by OEEC decision of June 2, 1950, admitting the 'U. S. and Canada as Associate countries. 2) Report by the Group of Four: OEEC, Paris, April 1.960. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R00050002Q0/12-1 Approved For pease 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036RDO0500020012-1 After EPU's more than eight year service of broadening the original bilateral basis of European trade, the European Monetary Agreement established non-resident convertibility in December 1958. - trade With the institution of the Code of Liberalization in August 1950, quantitative restrictions on imports for the member countries were gradually though not always regularly redu.c ed . These are the Organization's major accomplish- ments, and these, added to the initiatives stimulated 'by the European Production Agency, have had as one of their partial results the several economic miracles which seem. of late to have blessed numbers of these European countries. OEEC: Lacks None the less, on the deficit page must be noted the early failure to institute any serious degree of coordination in. the recovering economies of Western. Europe, the continued failure to obtain. any important degree of inte- gration. of policies, and the later growth of peculiar region- alistic tendencies - in particular, the complete failure of the "last chance" Paris meeting in December 1958 and with it the inability to avoid, before the zero .hour, (January 1, 1959), the split between the Common. Market and the rest of Europe. It was during t:.h.is same period that two factors carne to take on a major importance for the OEEC: first, with the general . convertibility of foreign exchange for these coiant.ries, the Organization's role was partially fulfilled and partly eclipsed, and second, the recovered European countries were now turning outwards towa:r?d, one of the greatest of today's world problems: the underdeveloped country. These factors, plus the immediate impulse of' Under- Secretary of State Douglas Dillon's November visit, produced a result seen. initially in the form of a communique ./. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 Approved Fo,r .,.Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036000500020012-1 from the meeting of Western heads of state held in Paris, December 1959. In this way began, the reshaping and "strength- eni:ng of the arrangements for European economic cooperation. to reflect changed economic conditions and the prospective full membership of the United States and Canada "r . (1) Then followed, this sequence of efforts to remodel, the Organization.-. January 12-13, 1960: Meeting of Ministers of 13 countries (including the U . S m and Canada) and the European. Economic Commission. recommending a reorganization study by the Group of Four. - ~.januar?y 1., 1.960: Recommenda.tio:n approved by the OEEC. April 7, 1960: Committee of Four (Chairman, W. Randolph Burgess, U , Go Permanent Representative to OEEC) gives report: "A Remodelled Economic Or?gan.i.zati on" . -December 1.4, 1960: Convention on the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development signed by the Ministers of Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, -Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal., Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, `rur.key, the United Kingdom and, the United States Bac.k.grLou:rad: Cornecon Paralleling this thirteen-yeas development in. Western. Europe was an effort on. the part of the Communist world. toward what su.pe.r?fi.cially appears to be a similar end. Following the war, in. an effort to rebuild her own. economy as fast as possible, the Soviet 'nion exploited to the full those favorable reparations clauses- in. her treaties with the East European. countries, over which. she came to have more and more control. Th.r?ough t:h,e transpla:nti:n.g of capital equip- ment, occasionally even. their operators, and by exploitation of joint-stock corporation.s, she was accomplishing an effective "milking" operation as early as 1.94 6. It was in the midst of (1) Report, ibid. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 Approved Fo lease 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00038' 000500020012-1 this that Marshall's idea exploded. After a hint of interest by Foreign Secretary Molotov the same month of June in Paris and the Soviet rapping of Czechoslovakia's knuckles for accept- ing so willingly, the Soviets began to interpret this move and all. its consequences (including the OE EC) as an American and capitalist desire to strengthen the existing regimes in Western Europe, and to attempt to maintain or re-establish economic ties between these countries and those of Eastern Europe. Thus in January 1949, nine months after the OEEC was formed, came the treaty establishing the Council on Mutual Economic Aid (sometimes "Cooperation" for "Aid"), or "Comecon". This move seems to have, been, specifically designed to counter the supposed. sinister motives of the Marshall Plan, and included initially the USSR, Bua.lgarla, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Poland and Rumania. Comecon'.--, first phase During the period since the war, the trade .relations of the East European countries had seen a complete reorientation. Not only due to the Soviets' own efforts, but with, the collapse of Germany as a market (especially for food- stuffs and. raw materials) and Western Europe's inability to meet the capital goods demands for reconstruction, the Soviet Union had become, by 1948, the largest single trader with these states. Comecon. could then, serve as a coordinator for this new trade orientation.. In fact, this seems to be its primary function. during the first phase of its existence, which continued through Stalin's death. Yet even. within this field there seems to have been little real, activity of the Council: only two conferences were held in these four years, during which time East Germany and Albania joined the Council. In this same period, through. more individual control, the Soviet Union was directing these countries towa:r?d, economic autarchy and a form of economy following in. the steps of the leading socialist country. These directions are clearly indicated in. the results of the first industrial drives of all these countries. (1) By 1953, 70% of their trade was within the Comecon area; the Soviet Union. (1) Heavy industry had an. average of 37% of the economy, agriculture - except for Bulgaria - less than 15%, light industry less than 10%. S . JJ . Zyzniewsky, Political Science Quarterly, Vol. LXXV, 2. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 . /. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 "Mol had become their chief market and supplier. (1) ' The West's own, embargo policy against Communist regimes had an. especially important effect in this 'trade deflection, between 1949 and. 1951. Second phase -(part one) The second phase began with. Stalin's death and continued, as a tortuous period of transition. until 1958. During the first half of this phase, 1953-1956, the need for greater :r rationalization of Comecon bloc production. was made evident by the constant shortage of raw materials (the Soviets' niggard- liness is explained by their own ambitious industrial plans). Comecon's orientation began to change slowly. In 1953 and 1954, the idea of "harmful parallelism" was emphasized. (2) A general reorganization and coordination of natural resource exploitation and distribution was begun, in 1955, though., despite Stalin's removal from. the scene, self-sufficiency for the individual states remained their ultimate goal. Finally, i.:n. 1956, a large degree of coordination was realized as five-year plans began simultaneously in all the Comecon countries, coinciding with the Soviet Union's sixth., In, fact, Comecon. seems to have come alive during this period. From June 1954 to September 1956 at least sixteen meetings of the different sections were held. Of particular importance for Comecon was Khrushchev's declaration at the Twentieth Party Congress in. 1956 that there was n.ow"no need for every socialist country to develop necessarily all, branches of heavy industry as the Soviet Union was compelled to do", but that each "can specialize in. the development of those branches of industry for which it has the most favorable natural. and economic conditions". (3) - (part two) The important May 19.56 meeting of Comecon and ,the immediate subsequent changes in Comecon policy were guided by this thesis, and began the second part of the Comecon's (1) Forty percent of their trade was with the USSR, 30% intra-East European. (2) Economic Survey of Europe for 1954, PP. 131-135. (3) As cited from :Pravda, Feb. 15, '1956, in the Political Science Quarterly, ,op_ c.i.t. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020'012-1 Approved For-release 2001/08/17: CIA-RDP83-00030000500020012-1 second phase. Thus, by the October revolutions in Poland and Hungary, the importance of .heavy industry per se had been scaled down, and 600 groups of machine products were distributed for production among the bloc members according to national abilities, and local resources - exemplifying a rising catch-word: the international division of labor. The effect of the October debacle was to increase this tendency and, as far as Comecon is concerned, to emphasize the idea of a "Socialist equality" to prevail in. future relations, using world prices to guide trade transactions. Third phase The beginning of the third phase coincides with the Eighth Comecon Council meeting in Warsaw in 1.958, at which time bold supranational plans were adopted, methodology standard- ized, plans laid down. for the linking of power networks (completed at Tirana in. May 1959) and sync hroni.zation of major economic plains, some as far into the future as 1975. It was the favor- able results of this third phase which prompted the formalization of these new forms of cooperation in the treaty signed in Sophia on December , 1959. Comparative Analysis Structural. Comparison Thus after more than. a decade's functioning of both regional. institutions, new treaties were signed for each within a year of one another, confirming new political directions and laying the basis for future expansion. Our first task will be to compare the two documents themselves. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 Approved For Pease 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036F00500020012-1 From a structural point of view, each organ- ization has at its head a body composed of representatives of all the member countries. (1) This organ has the power to make decisions or recommendations. The likeness, however, ends here - it might be noted, at a very early point. Whereas the Council of the OECD is both the investigating, deliberative, and d.eciding body for the activity of the Organization, in the Comecon its Assembly is set up to act more as a general guiding organ, which meets annually to review the past year's activity and formulate directions for the future. Recently, however, with increased activity, the Assembly has met in extraordinary sessions in 1958 and 1959. The Comecon. Council (2) is, in its turn, made up of one representative from each member country. It is relatively independent in that it too can make substantive decisions. It is designed to serve as the major working body, maintaining 'the real contact with member-countries, coordin- ating the work of the various permanent commissions, and following the general, lines established by the Assembly. Thus the functions fulfilled 'by OECD's Council correspond roughly to those of Comecon's Assembly plus its Council: the Assembly acting as the ultimate authority, though the Council is respon- sible for the practical implementation of plans. Each. council has a secretariat (called a "staff" by OECD) and is empowered. to create other organs as necessary. Whereas Comecon has its presidium-like Assembly as its directive organ, the OECD Council elects an individual Secretary-General, responsible for the guidance of the Organization, for a five-year term. (3) Given the elaborate provisions for Comecon's various permanent commissions, one is struck by, the breadth and depth of the cooperation envisaged: broad, since, as we shall see (p..11), the fields are many and varied; deep, inas- much as its planning coordination requires a total commitment. (4) (1) For OECD, a Council, cf. Arts. 7-9; for Comecon, an Assembly, cf. Art. 6. (2) cf . Art. 7. (3) cf . Arts. 10-11. (L.) Since the OECD is as yet non-existent, comparisons here are of course impossible. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 Approved For4 elease 2001/08/17: CIA-RDP83-00038M00500020012-1 OECD has no such provisions. With respect to the breadth, this Is to be expected, as numerous other organizations--especially i:n. Western. Europe--were already fulfilling these functions of cooperation and coordination. As to the depth, it would seem t.ha.: a substantial difference exists which is not presently other- wise complemented by the OECD Decision-ma..ki n.g mower One of the more interesting comparisons is to be made between the real decision-making power, of each organ- ization. The OECD is quite clear (1) : every member may either veto a. measure or abstain, and thus withdraw itself from participation "in the recommendation or decision". Comecon, though less clear on, this point (2), has a similar provision per- mitting countries to refuse participation. o:rn specific questions. Since, however, there is no veto possible for Comecon, countries, and so no means for an. individual country to prevent the insti- tution of an over-all program, either an. abstention (and thus a refusal, to participate) becomes an effective withdrawal, from the Council, or is so .minor as to be relatively meaningless. - Declared purpose The formal statements of the aims of each organization are perhaps somewhat revealing of the real purposes behind. each. Both pay allegiance in their preambles to the purpose of the United. Nations and to world peace. The OECD goes on to mention "1 the preservation of individual liberty and the increase in general well-being", whereas the Comecon emphasizes the "I building of socialism and communism in. their respective countri.es". Both state they are convinced that the economic development and cooperation among their members will lead to higher standards of living for their peoples, though the OECD indicates a more open concern for general world welfare through bettering world trade and improving international rela- ts.io.rl.s. This concern. of the OECD is seen. even more clearly in. its declaration to assist "the countries in process of economic development". ( I) cf . Art. 6. (2) T. Arts. ./. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 Approved For&elease 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-000368000500020012-1 - Other provisions Other parts of the treaties are roughly com- parable: both have provisions for the participation of non-member countries in their work. (1) Comecon's Article II provides for relations with the United Nations; OECD's Article 13, and a supplementary protocol provide for representation of other exist- ing European economic organizations. OECD's Council will meet permanently in Paris; Comecon's in Moscow, though the latter's Assembly meetings are held alternately in the various member countries. E oth organizations are to be financed by their member governments' contributions, though OECD leaves the method up to Its Council's decision. (2) The two organizations both have special provisions for the admission of new members; the OECD however must be unanimous in any decision for such admission. (3) Substantive comparison Any real comparison, of the more practical aspects is as yet almost impossible as OECD has yet to be ratified by its member countries. Still, the conception of this projected activity is known. - Regional characteristics - OECD First, of particular interest, is the regional characteristic of each. organization. One of the most striking aspects of OECD has been the change from "European" to "Atlantic" in its. geographical make-up, in which some see the loss of all. meaningful regional character (.) and others an important step forward in reinforcing the economy of the free world. (5) The more optimistic generally agree that the OECD - (1) cf. OECD Art. 12; Comecon, Art. 10. (2) cf . OECD Art. 20; Comecon., Art. 12. (3) cf . OECD Art. 16; Comecon Art. 2. (4) cf . Santero Report, March 3, 1960, in the Council of Europe. (5) cf . Dillon Report. Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 Approved Forllease 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036800500020012-1 countries are at least entering a new stage and form of economic cooperation. It does in fact seem a sign of maturity that these countries' preoccupation is now not only with their own recovery and development, but also with that of the lesser-developed parts of the world. - Regional characteristics - Comecon Comecon, on. the other hand, though representing, in Stalin's words, the formation, of a "second. socialist world market", has remained, limited to those countries which were members of the socialist bloc at its inception. It is true that China has had the token representation of an observer on the Council since 1956, North Korea, Outer Mongolia and North Vietnam all since 19.58; yet there has been no apparent effort to integrate these countries' economies in the same manner as those of Comecon. It would seem (despite Khrushchev's statement: at the Twenty-First Party Congress to the contrary) that a distinction had been. made between the popular democracies of Europe and those of Asia: the first forming an intimate econ- omic grouping on. the path to communism, the latter, on the same path, but neither organized nor cooperating in any evident manner, It is hard to imagine, in fact, how the integration of the economic quinquenniums and the international division of labor could be extended to countries in such a different stage of economic development. - Fields of activity The extension of Comecon, into other fields, not always strictly econ.om.ic, presents another significant point of comparison. While OECD is limited on the whole to the field of i.ntra-bloc and international economics, Comecon provides for scientific and even. cultural exchanges of engineers, specialists, and students, as well as close collaboration, among research institutes and the economic planners of the member countries, - Supranationality in Comecon On the question of supranational characteristics, there is a striking difference. Strictly speaking, OECD has none. Though in theory this is also true for Comecon, in ?/ Approved For Release 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-00036R000500020012-1 Approved For.. elease 2001/08/17 : CIA-RDP83-0003 00500020012-1 2 practice the Soviet. Union maintains a relatively tight control over all its activities. This fact has had two important= conse- quences. First, it has permitted the Soviet Union to give up its obvious "milking" tactics for much more subtle ones. For example, while acting as market and. supplier, still. often on a bilateral basis, for the other member countries, the Soviets can continue to milk through the establishment of prices lower than those on the world market when they buy, a:r:.d higher when they sell. (1) it has been argued that for this very reason: China, which has a favorable balance of payments with R:u s sia , has refused to enter Comecon. There are, of course, limits to these tactics, and recent trends seem to indicate Soviet awareness of them. This aspect of Comecon relations is in, particular contrast with the unformalized "method of cooperation" in. the "OEEC spirit" which. OECD so hopes to continu.re. The second consequaen.ce is that a high degree of control over non-Comecon, policies, economic and other, in. the East European countries flows through such strict economic planning coordination, regional anal. operational.. In this fashion. Soviet direction. can be made both effective and more easily palatable to these countries. Su.pranatio:r ality in OECD the long ran, political implications of a degree of continued effective economic cooperation and policy coordina- tion, are legion. Given. these conditions, some pooling of sover- eignities will inevitably take place also in OECD. A certain amount . ,o be necessary if OECD is to of "Intervention" will. be seen ,r work seriously to accomplish its stated goals. Further in.. this sense lies the implicit goal of orienting the under-developed countries' economies and. political institutions toward. the Wes',-- There exists an important difference, not only in the degree, but in. the kind of interventions to be used by the two organizations- in Comecon the intervention is by one country ---------- I l) of. Swiss Review of World Affairs, Vol. X, no. 12, Ma.r^e