ANALYSIS OF WORLD TANK SHIP FLEETS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 40
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 1, 1999
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: October 1, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 1999/09/10 CIA-RDP83?~00423R000700650002-1
Analysis Of
World Tank Ship Fleets
OCTOBER 1, 1952
STATI*ICAL RESEARCH DIYISIOMN
SUN OIL COMPANY
PHILADELPHIA, PItHNA.
 t
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
Analysis Of
World Tank Ship Fleets
OCTOBER 1, 1952
STATISTICAL RESEARCH DIVISION
SUN OIL COMPANY
PHILADELPHIA, PENNA.
February 23, 1953
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The basic data for this analysis came principally from
two sources. Particulars of tank ships in existence were furnishe
by the Division of Ship Statistics of the United States Maritime
Administration, while those for vessels under construction or on
order were supplied by the Transportation Coordination Department
of Standard Oil Company (New Jersey). Without the gracious
cooperation extended by both organizations, this study could not
have been prepared.
As in the past, the Tabulating Division of the Sun Oil
Company prepared the basic tabulations from which the finished
tables were constructed. The saving in effort thus effected, con-
tributed materially to the amount of statistical detail which it
was possible to incorporate in the tables.
To the staff of the Statistical Research Division fell
the tasks of planning the statistical presentation and preparing
the analysis of the data. Both phases were under the general
supervision of Mr. J. Hunter McDowell of that Division.
Joseph T. Wilson, Jr.,
Manager, Statistical Research Divi
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
From an examination of the particulars of the existing tank
ship fleet as well as those for tank ships under construction, together
with relevant historical comparisons, the more important findings would
appear to be:
1) Both in the number of vessels and in their average
size and speed the present world fleet has shown
significant gains since 1945.
2) The average vessel presently under construction
materially exceeds in size and speed not only
the average tanker in existence, but also the
norms for ships under construction or on order
as recently as in 1950. Moreover, the unpre-
cedented number of tankers in the present peace
time building program will increase the carrying
capacity of the 1957 world fleet by 56.3% with
no losses or by 39.5% if all vessels over twenty
years of age are deleted. These extremes repre-
sent average annual increases of 9.3% and 6.9%,
respectively.
3) From the immediate postwar situation wherein
nearly 60% of the world's carrying capacity was
under United States registry, our relative portion
has successively declined to its present position
of just under 30%.
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
ANALYSIS
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
5)
b)
T',e United States' position will undoubtedly
evidence a further decline during the next
five years, since building programs of the
other major fleet owners far surpass that of
this country. Iresent indications are that at
the end of 1957 our portion of the world tank
ship fleet will not exceed 22%.
As a consequence of the practice adhered to by
many United States owners of placing vessels under
friendly foreign registry, this country controls
a considerably greater portion of the world fleet
than is indicated by flag statistics. On October
1, 1952 for example, United States flag vessels
represented 29.4% of the capacity of the world,
whereas our control extended to 44.1%. Neverthe-
less, the trends indicated in points 3 and 4 are
unmistakably in evidence whether our position be
judged by flag or by control.
Emanating from accelerated building programs in
,.,.e Aar period, at,(-- d'_stri'. ut : ns of tree major
fla,;s of the world and of : r.dividual fleet owners
reflect a : eavy conceritrat-orn of tonnage con-
striicted during- the period t :rouiTh 191'+ 3.
ur;balanced cond~ti ~r; will have a profound
effect on the timir.,; c tanker replacements for
many years to come.
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
-3-
CPYRGHT
ANALYSIS
WORLD INVENTORY
On October 1, 1952 the World fleet of ocean-going tank ships
(2,000 gross tons and greater) totalled 2,292 vessels. In sheer
numbers this represents an increase of 381 ships since the immediate
postwar date of September 1, 1945 and a gain of 161 since April 1, 1951,
the most recent prior date of comparable data extending back to 1900.
Physical numbers, however, are a poor yardstick for measuring
a fleet of vessels. Not only has the average size of tank ships grown
materially through the years, but also the speed at which they cruise.
On October lst, 1952 the aggregate deadweight of the world fleet was
31,318,300 tons. From April 1951 this was a gain of 3,063,200 tons
(10.8%), and from September 1945 an increase of 7,402,000 (30.9%). Of
even greater import are the changes in the world fleet if increases in
speeds are taken into account as well as greater physical capacity.
By equating the world fleet to an equivalent number of T2-SE-A1 vessels
on the basis of 16,765 deadweight tons and a speed of 14.5 knots, the
October 1st carrying capacity was 1,726.x' T-2's. This compares to
1,544.1 as of April 1, 1951 and 1,264.` in September of 1945, for per-
centage gains of ii.b and 36.6, respectively. Significantly, tii$
actual gain in T-2 equivalents in the last 1~ months, 1 2.7, matched
the carrying capacity of t:,e entire world fleet Ln 1920, and the 462.3
T-2 increase since tyre end of World War II pearl ;T equal led tie r of n1 -
tude of the world's tankers as recently as the beginnin- of 1930.
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
W:"ile a;gregates emp:;asize the phenomenal growth in over-
all carrying capacity, averages point out equally important trends
in the constitution of the tanker fleet. In October, the average
deadweight of the world fleet was nearly 13,700 tons. Comparisons
with earlier periods show an average capacity of about 13,250 tons
in April 1951 and 12,500 tons immediately postwar. Thus, in a period
of only slightly more than seven years the average tanker has in-
creased in size by nearly 10%.
In average speed a similar steady rise has been in evidence.
When weighted by deadweight tonnage the world fleet of September 1945
averaged 12.8 knots. By April 1951 this average had risen to 13.3
knots and still further to 13.4 knots on October 1st, Again, in this
period of approximately seven years there has occurred a rise of about
4 1/2% in the speed of the average tanker.
FLAG OF REGISTRY
The United States continued to hold its rank as the largest
single country of registration for tank ships, although our position
declined in both absolute terms and in percentage of the world fleet..
On October 1st, 1952 29.4% of the total carrying capacity (based on
T-2 equivalents) was under the United States flag. By comparison.
however, in April 1951 this was 33.0%, and at the end of the War, 59.8%.
We emerged from hostilities with a domestic fleet which was the equiva-
lent of 756.2 T-21s, Primarily through foreign sales of wartime built
T2-SE-Ai vessels, our fleet had declined to 510.0 T-2 equivalents by
April 1, 1951, and slightly further to 508.3 in'October of 1952. This
represents an overall decline of nearly one-third in the carrying
capacity of the United States tanker fleet between 1945 and 1952.
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
-5-
Obviously, where one country has declined as a per cent of
the world total, others must have advanced correspondingly. While
several smaller owners such as Honduras, Liberia, and Yugoslavia have
evidenced phenomenal relative growth since 1945, by far the greatest
portion of the actual increment has accrued to countries already owning
large fleets at that time. For example, in September of 1945 the British
Empire's tanker fleet was the equivalent of 190.8 T-2's and represented
15.1% of the world. By October of 1952 Britain's fleet had grown 78.5%
to 340.5 T-2 equivalents and it accounted for 19.7% of the world total.
Positionally, Britain was second in size on both dates. Even more
striking has been the development of the Norwegian fleet. At the end
of the War this country was third in size with 105.7 T-2 equivalents or
8.4% of the world fleet. Since that time Norway's fleet, although still
third, grew to nearly 2 1/2 times this size, and its fleet of 258.3 T-2
equivalents represented 14.9% of the October 1st world total.
While flag of registration has traditionally been the criterion
by which relative changes of countries' fleets are gauged, this measure
has certain inherent imperfections and limitations. These are a con-
sequence of the fairly widespread practice, particularly among United
States owners, of placing all or a portion of their fleets under a
friendly foreign flag. Consequently, a considerable additional portion
of the world fleet can be considered as being effectively under United
States control since it is owned either by United States nationals
or by subsidiaries of domestic corporations. To illustrate, in October
of 1952 there was a total of 761.0 T-2 equivalents either owned or con-
trolled by the United States, this being 44.1% of the entire world fleet.
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
Earlier comparisons reveal 755.9 T-21s as of April 1, 1951 for 49.0%
of the world fleet of 1,544.1 T-2's, and 704.2 of a total of 1,352.3
(52.1%) on September 1, 1949. Thus, while effective control as opposed
to a flag criterion yields considerably greater carrying capacities and
percentages, there is no change in the direction of the movement of the
United States' portion of the world fleet. Specifically, despite the
absolute growth of 56.8 T-2 equivalents under United States control
between September 1949 and October l9,32, our portion of the world's
tank ships declined 8 percentage points.
SPEED AND DEADWEIGHT TONNAGE
While the continuing increases in tanker speeds and sizes
were referred to under 'World Inventory', details of this growth deserve
specific mention. In October 1952, nearly 30% of the carrying capacity
of the world fleet was found in the 14 to 15 knot speed group and the
16,000 to 17,000 deadweight tonnage Troup, in which category falls the
T2-SE-A1. Also on this date, there were in service 149 tankers which
were both faster and larger than the T-2, this group be'ng the equiva-
lent of 2 2.1 T-21s, or 13.4% of the world total.- The growth trend is
emphasized by the change that has taken place since January 1, 1949,
at whic,i; time there were only hO
g;at i.ng the equivalent o
ese large, fast vessels, aggre-
T -;2 's or 6.2% of the then world fleet.
Taus, in this month; period, while the carryn-, capacity of the world
or;l,, ~"l_ ;tly p.or"_-t': of t,.e world
'Ice' r''f: ~sento 1 by Lh,,ese lar e ship? more than doubled, and their
eq., valent In terms of T-'.-"s nearly trebled.
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
-7-
Significant differences are noted in the speed comparison
of the world fleet by flags. All United States tankers averaged 14.6
knots on October 1, although with the exclusion of government owned
vessels the average for the private sector alone was only 14.2 knots.
This, however, was the fastest average speed among the major flags, with
Panama, Norway and the British Empire following in that order with
average speeds of 13.6, 13.2 and 12.5 knots. The average speed of all
vessels under United States control was 14.4 knots, although once again
with the exclusion of those owned by the Military and the Maritime Ad-
ministration this drops to 14.1. That portion of the U. S. controlled
fleet under Panamanian registry, however, averaged 14.5 knots, indicat-
ing that this flag has been chosen by a considerable number of the
owners of faster vessels. Since September 1945 all major flags have
contributed to the world increase in speeds. The rise, however, has
been uneven, led by Panama, up 2.5 knots, followed by the British
Empire and Norway, both faster by slightly more than one knot, and the
United States, up 0.9 knot.
Turning to average deadwei -`)t tonnages, the same kind of
disparity is noted with respect to the present composition by flags,
and the rates of increase since 194b. Amoni- the four major tanker
owning countries, the October 1, 1952 fleet of'te United States ranked
first in average size, 15,360 deadweigtt tons. Panamanian vessels with
an average of 15,190 tons were second, followed by Norway and the
British Empire, 14,t-t50 tons and 12,520 tons, respectively. An entirely
different picture is obtained, however, in the increases i averaf,e
aeadwei_r.ts from September 1, 1945. Among these same four countries,
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
the United States showed he smallest a on, or.l: In period
the average t nnage c ^dor _rn t L :rcers rose nearly 16%, that of the
British Empire 22%, ,-;Bile the Panamanian increase was in excess of
33%. All privatel;,r owned tankers under the United States flag averaged
15,772 deadweiTht tons on October 1st, wh~le all United States con-
trolled vessels excluding those owned by the Government were slightly
smaller, 113,1)u(" tons on tie avr e . Of the fogy earl`er mentioned
countri es , or1 the fleet of the itis , Empire was exceeded by the
world average of 1 j, 660 deadne l ?t tons .
AGE
In no other facet of fleet characteristics will tanker
owners and builders be confronted by a more perr.1exing_; problem than
is revealed by an age analysis. Obviously, the magnitude of the capital
outlay required for the purchase of a modern tanker requires consider-
able planning and foresight on the part of prospective owners. More-
over, successive cycles of a dearth of contracts followed by periods
in which orders greatly exceed the capacity of existing ways seriously
affect the shipbuilding industry and to a lesser extent the economies
of shipbuilding countries.
Assuming a twenty year life for tankers, the most desirable
age distribution would be one in which approximately 5% of carrying
capacity needs replacement each year. This, of course, would be 4%
annually if a life span of 25 years were assumed to be normal. Under
either assumption, any allowance for growth would obviously impart an
upward adjustment to replacement capacity based strictly on fleet
retirements. Naturally, individual operators seldom own enough vessels
to balance their fleets on an annual basis. But, if in the aggregate
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
-9
each country's fleet were so constituted, the problem -)f uneven
replacement would not now be facing tanker owning nations. Looking
at the present world fleet, it is apparent that as a result of wartime
building, wide discrepancies exist between the actual age distribution
and any reasonably well balanced pattern. Using twenty years as an ex-
ample, the optimum T-2 capacity for each of the last twenty years would
be 5% of the world total of 1,726.8 or approximately 86 T-2's. Pre-
sently, there exist 672 T-2 equivalents constructed in 1943, 1944, and
1945, an excess of approximately 414 T-2 equivalents over normal re-
placement in these three years combined,. Perspective on the magnitude
of the problem is afforded by the realization that 414 T-2 equivalents
are : ear ::r ,- e-fourth of the present world total.
When applied to the United States fleet, a similar com-
putation discloses an even greater relative imbalance. Our present
fleet of 508.3 T-2 equivalents would represent on a balanced twenty
year pattern an annual carrying capacity of approximately 25 1/2 T-2's.
On this basis, the four year period from 1942 through 1945 should
account for about 102 T-2 equivalents, whereas in the actual fleet,
vessels built during these years aggregate nearly 405 T-2's.. Thus,
in this span normal replacement is exceeded by approximately 303 T-2's,
or just under 60% of our existing total fleet. Substantially the same
result is obtained if only the private sector of the United States
fleet is examined. Of the present total of --9-).3 T-2 equivalents,
about 311 were built in the years 1942 through 1945. This number
exceeds the normal four year replacement expectation of nearly 80 T-2's
by about 231, equivalent to some 58% of the October 1st fleet.
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
 Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
CPYRGHT
''Block obsolescence'', by which term this situation is often
described, will perforce occupy the attention of tank ship owners for
many years to come. Moreover, as the are of large portions of present
fleets approaches twenty years, the greater is the need for a carefully
considered replacement program.
By the end of 1952 all tankers built in 1932 or earlier
years exceeded twenty years of age. Of the world fleet, 201.1 T-2
equivalents or ll.K
O
H
n
S
I
17Q
0I
Q1
`Q
~
O
S
S
Q
S S
H
1 1 O i l I 1
0
1 1 1 1 1 1
0 1 1 1 1 V
V V V V V
1 1 1 1 1 1
V
ACA
Un
:
IN~
co
W N N N VI\D co-4 co
'
-7
0
pQ~~
N O\W
?~
P 1'1
I H
O
N
0i
1
I I 1 1(
co
#
1 1 1 1 1 1
I I 1
1
VI 00w ~O Co Vt a\
-tr
1 1 1 1 1
ar
01 -4
VI ~D
n
1-'71
rt H
ro
-44
1
H
W
~Q
~JI
-1
H
V1 W
O N N) H
N
LO
0 W
I 1. I.
H N Co
a\ a' V1 Vl a' N H
C,). H Co a-W -i C1\ W VI N W H'D
. . . .
N
V.JI
Ni H
LA) 0 O W O VI ar
? I 1
H
'O N
VI W w
*
C
?
Y
G)
Oti
W
W
I I
. a?-7 -1
N
W U)
NWOH-7NHH-7WV10a'CT
ar NA'J+arO
0-.IH
O
O
0
'Iq
W
N
F,,
O,
0
H
N #
,Or
H N
?
6
Ar
ZO
H
O
#
N
W VI
-4 .u N
a
.a
VI
W 1 N H'C H -4w W
HwH--1-1 ~n N)
#H
W
H
N
01 19
O~O
VI 0
C~
~D tow
N
1-'?
H
A
HO
W
O0
~D
H
CT W W W
n
W
0
VI V1
-11 11 1
4
OVI-,NV
iw -1
1~
QO O C0i N)N) ?D ar~D I
I 1
1 1
1
`
}
~
m N Q
1
~
l
-4 W
CO
H
QQ~
Q
ls
V
O
-4 _
0 1 O 1 1 8
0
-
0 11 0 S
Q
Q
Q
Q
p S V V OS V ~VO ~V~
}~
f.
v
Q
S I 1 88888
V
888
H
`
)
0 8
mo
H
0
.
HS50S
L
000
ID '
O
.
-
H
VI
N
Q .
I
-'
w
I I
I ,
W -7N
co Ch O11
i
.
. . . . . . . . .
N
.
0Jl
C7~ N
1 I
.
-1H
1
0
p
N
O
++<
~O
-1 N 0 1 0
1~
O
H H (),,\.n
M
10
arO 0 H-1
01-4
VI ac fy
F+
10
h H
N
c
V
Ori
H
H
(
v
N
-.
r~
O
H
U
H H
W\D 0
-4 O 0 -1 T
H
V
H
N N 0W r*) 'O
H
w
O
?
O
-1
01
. I I
I I
N N
O W ~D
I 1 1 1 1 I ? 1 1 I
i.Tl O~ J+ --1 N
I 1 1
O N H w W
I I
O
H
w
N
H
tJ
0
Co
-or
w
-
W U)
w
Vi
N H FU i H
o 0 Ln \..n
Co H N O
O
~
HH 0 0 \D
W
-1
LAJ
W W LI) W
7
H
I) w Ui O
Co
-W
0
ID
Ar
8
S
4.,
0 W
01 1 1 81
L
O
p
OOOQ
~
-4
pp
C7o I 1
O 00 S O
p
~~p
pp
O OSO 00
1 1 1
8
H
H
H
W 8
H H H
S 880
ar H ar
~O
H H
N S S-4 'O IV
N
ID 1y
W
H
W
1
co H
? 1 1 I I I I I? I I
1 I I? .
I 1
[)
co
-i
I 1
w O
OO~O
ar Oar x w
N 000' ~O~
11i
ll~
1~ tl
cr
I%F
V P>
I
hIiNIIINNN
PYRGHT
1111111 Il 11 Nil
IINII~i~IillA
 (D
9
CA ti to ro ro ro z z r 4 ~~ H n n '~ '*
t e s 1 9$i09/1J :CIS-RD'8
?ro'e~ Fbr
Q9430 Q
,6 0
rD
It
:c
c
r- p
(b
ti
w
0 w 0 w
w
(D 4 r
r q
(D O
0
0 C/3 N
rD o
sa
w ~C ti
>
ro a m ~
1
n-
H
w
a
4
w
It
w
It
'! ?G
o
a
a
m
cr
K
m
1
F
\n I
N 1
I I
I I I I
I
I I I
w
I N
o
I I
Y._
N
r
t
?
w
o
O
N
'-3
L
N
W
'
I I
I
0 I
0 0
I
I I
I
I I I
I
w
7
`I
I
(
D
w
V1
'
.-3 w
.
0
O
U~
~
H
I I
w
I
I 1
I I I
1
I
F
I
N
?
F~
?
-mil
I I
I
I
1
W
W
w
z
0
F'
LA)
I I I
I N
I I N I
N I
I I
In
F' 1
N
d
0
8
0
0
0
O
I I
0
0
O I
-3
^
'
!
I
I 8
I
I I
I I
~
~
'~
F'
N
I
N
I
I
I I I I
.t=
FJ
I
W
N
O
~
N
Q1
O
~
_
,,
I
I
I
I I
I
I In I
O
\Jl
I
I
~
V
O
O
w
y
w
I I
I I I
I I
I
1 I I
I
0
1 O
I
O`
1-3
I
G
I
I I I
I
I I
I I
I I
I I I I
I
1
1 I
N
z
p
I
F' 1 I
I
n
C)
LA)
co
to
Q
F
N
~.
I O I I
I
0 I
O O
I
I I 1
I 0 I
0
I I I
I
.?S
H
O
O
O
O -t
I
CO
I I
D\
I I 1
I
N)
I
I
N I
I
!F
C7
N
z
0
a
to
N
GD
I
I I I I
?
. I I
I-'
1 1 I
- I N I
I
F' I I
I
ct
I
N
N
In
O
F
-
E
"1 c-r
1'
.
~~
Ty
I_n
O 1 1
1 I
?
a
A
Q
I
1 I I
I
1 I 1
1 1 1
1 I V 1
1
w
.-3
J
w
~]
N
1 I
N
1 1
I
N
1
1
I
N
N
I
1 I
I
?
N
0
H
rn
(~p
3,)
1-' 1
1 I
N H
I .0' - N
F'
O
1 w I
I I
1
I 1 I
1 1
O
r
A
?
~J1
01
H W
N
-
~
y
O
W
O~
I..
O+
In vU 0
u
'0
N
H
g
W
QY
V
4
V I 1
I 1
~~,j[s[~ ~7nyr~
I V 8 V
~[}y~~
V
1 V
1 0 I
I 1
I 1
O
4
`p
C
N
~
W F-+
. .
N
O
I W 1
1 'O 1 I
I
1 1 1
I I
r3
I
N
Y
I I I
O
I 1
I .
w I'D '.O
In
z
1 I I
1 I
0
Ol
I I N I
I I
I I I I
I
I IS I
I I I I
LA)
w
e
N
-pr
V
N
E
It
I_7i
W
w
O
0
0
y
w
... 'x
I
0
1 1 0 1
I I
1 I 1 1
1 0 I
I I I I
I
I I I
I I
N
N
a
1 I
I
0
1 I
I I I I
I
I I I
1
N
'D
1
I 1 ? I
r
1
GD
N
~Q
ON
N I I I
1
N
I 0 N I
F'
0\ I I
Cl) 1 I 1
F'
I 1 I
I I
O
~
~
Cl)
N)
o
pN
r
N
0
C
E
7
w
V)
OD
00
W
01 0
\O
W
v,
-j
0
0
8
4
w
rn
i
0
0
0
3
w
0
0
0
0 I I I
1 I
0 1
1 0
0
I
0
0 1 I
1 O
1 1 I
I I
?
?F
V)
N
VI
W
W F'
H
-1
I I
W
I I
H
I
-
I
N
3
co
p
'
in
I 1
0 N)
N
01
O
w
UVIL
O0
M C:
o
G
co F-' 1
w 0
z
N
0 7
0
00
n
13 0
N d
w t' 1
fA
w7 ~
0
r
N
VI
N
Appro ed For Release 1999/09/10 CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
iF
it y h
V I` IIll Qi r% ...+ li " II
IIY I~. II I, iII.. ! I l
02-1
CPYRGHT
 CO
N W
ro
W 'J ct ct CL FA ct C ~' 7"
0
6 :3
W W Vn
CO CO N
w
-gr
In I I I I I I N -4
H H
Iv i N
W^ W
o
CO
H1 rn
H
Cn ~ i -~ I I ~ I r I H O
N 1
H
H
N
Cn
S
W
yN
O
0
0
W
N
W
H II
I I
_
N
O
W
CO
W
-
to H
O
CO
N
0)
H
N
Ln
W
- Ul
~D
-
CO
CD
H
H
0
-
H
H
C D
N
W
0:7
W
N
Fl
0
0
0
0
00
0 0
0
0
0
0
D
N
p~
N)
~D
O
H
Co
CO
O
'o
co
0,
o
-n
-n
H,
H
H
H
H
H
H
' H
H
H
i
Cii
I CD
V1
t'
-C
.~
~n
N
C)
~
W
~
i O
W
O
V1
'
~
-7
O
'
N
C
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
0
H
co
1
(
0
l
H
Co W
N 'D
H H
r In
~ In
x x
H
4]
0
'
d
'd 1- -CT - n - - W
n
H
N
a
H
C H
W
N
'~
C
;
DC
H
0
(
D
3)
n
o,
'4
a
x
-K I
H
H
H
O
CO
'
Vl
co
0
O
0
0
O
0
C_
W
OD
N
CO
w
?~4
H
rn
r
w
o
I
0
I
0
0
N
F
am
H
H
-C
CD
0
W
r
0
W
O
00
H
O
O
O)
0
O
N
H
~D
Cn
H
N)
OD
-3
CD
H
H
OD
W
H
H
N)
N)
-4
co
0,
61
7
W
G
W
H
N
N
Cn N)
H
0
~
H
co
CO
N)
-Cr
W
H W
o
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cu
0
0
O
0 Ci'I
0
0
0
o
t
N
O
CD
-4
N
m
r\)
W
W
W
'
b
a,
a
N
'.D
Vl
a,
co
r
H
N
N
CO
I-_.
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
I-'
H
H
H
H H~
V~
t
In
N
-
In
V1
C7~
~D
in
o
w
H
3
4
in
co
co
w w
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
ovle: or a ease :
~'IBv,L
lulq) 11
uq 0
H 0 C
W CD ct
CO
H
CO
4-1
ro
o cn
0
me
wz
ate
0
F-''O
92
Cy
w O
Ui O
Ca
H H
fA O
N
O
Oz
O
c O
'A 30
o ),
D
m
0
a0
O
qa
h ha
Cl -RDP83-00423R00070065000~_1
C
YRGHT
 fl 4L Prt~ -F' -f=WWWW
LOU) WWW
WNNNN
NNNNN
NH F- F-'/-
F-'1-'F-'F-'FH
F-'
Cn V1 -CW N I-' 00) CO- 4 0)
In -0W N F--'
00) CO- 4 o-
VI kW N 1-'
O'.D 0)- 01
In .CW N H
O'.D CO 4 Ol 1J1 A'W
1:,
8
00
8008
8 888.88
00000
88888
8
80
88
0000
0
0
0 000
0000
y
l
000 00
0
00
0
8
0
0
0
(t
Ct (t Ct ct ct ct ct ct ct ct ct
ct (-r ct Cr 1-
[t cr ct ct cr
ct ct cr C-r ct
& ct ct ct rr
ct cr ct cr ct
ct ct ct ct ct ct ct cr
w
0 0 0 0 0 0 00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000 000
C)
-0 k-C'+=44= .0WWWW
WWWWW
WNNNN
NNNNN
NI. 1-+HH
HHHHH
1~
0
o V1 t W N N 0 W ~]
O,
' n -W N t/
O~oCO-O?
VI - W N N
O to OD-1 0)
In f W N N
O l0 CO ~I Gti 111 4=w
'0~D~D~D10 ~p 1010~D`,D
0 ~D 10
ID
0
101010~0~D
tO ~ \0 1_D
0
~D10~O~D~O
10 ~D 'O 10 1D
ti010~D1010
~ ~
10 X010 X010
101D~O~O~D
~0~O1D~O~0 ~O~D~O
co
1
1
~
'.0 ~
'.0 10'.0 '.0 'D '-D
O 0O
1
10'.O'`0'D ID
'-D 10'.O '-O 10
~'O'-O
'.0'.0 1010 1D
t0'.0 \D'D'D
'.O '.D 10'.0'.
~ ~D ~ D 0D
'O '.D 10 10
~ ~D 1D 1010 '.0 ~ ~
'-D'.0'O 10'.0 '.D 1-0
'
0
10
N
I 1 1 1 1 I I 1
I I I I I
I I I 1
I I I I I
1 1 1 1
I I I I
I I I I I I N I
CD
C7
0
g
O
1 I I I I I I I I
1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
I I I I I
I I I
1 1 1 1
0
1 1 1 1 1 I 01
y
0
N
'O
O
O
.-3
~
I I I I I I 1
I I I I I
I I I I
I I I I I
I I I I I
I I I I I
11 I 1 I I I
=
1
N
z
O
Q7-
I 1 1 I 1 1 1 I 1 1 1
I 1 1 1. 1
1 1 I I I
1 1 1 1 1
I I 1 i-' I
W F-' I 1_J1 I
'J I F-' 1 F-' {-' -) f-
r
N
-1
V1~ G
~ Ct1 v oW
E
C
0
o `S
0 0 00
:3
O
lJ1
I I I I 1 I I I I
I I 1 I 1
I I I I I
I I I I I
I I 1 O I
w
_n 0 I 01
1J1
O
0 100 0 0 0
F-'
N
)
W'
O
NO W
W O O 000
3
A -.
F'
I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1. 1
1 1 1 1 1
1 I 1 1 1
1 I I
10
11
W ~] 1--'
I. 1? ?
0) W W CD- 7 -Pr
N
N
--
zi
10
I I I I I 1 I 1 I I I
I 1 1 1 I
I 1 1 1 1
1 I I I I
I I 1 I N)
N W -C 01 1
F-' I 4-7 I I W 1-'
O
W
0
-j J
W
N
01 N W
N)
O WOo NW
8
~
~t
A
0000
0 00 00
;-3
0
I 1 1 1 I I I I
I I I 1. I
I I I I
I I I I I
I I I 10
0 0 0 0 1
O I O O I 1 0 0
1-'
1-
0NN4
0 NF-' OO
H
I I I 1 1 I I 1 I I I
I I 1 I 1
I I I I I
I 1 I I I
1 I I I.
CO
? .. I
CO Nlp O
1. I I
01 COV1 N
I
N
'
^'~
I 1 I I 1 I I 1 I
'
Pr
0
. -.
I I
I I I -
V
I N) I I I
-P= co N I
I W \_n o 0
\_n W 1_n" I
I I I I I I I 1-'
W
F-'
NW
m
l!1
W
OWN CO
O Cif W0
COW F-'
IN 1)1 NW r
O -4 Fes!` N
N N
w r0
W WON
W
l7
g
C=
- '~
-
0 0
00
0
0
0&0 0
00 0
0-r, 1J1 F-'
000
t0 -~ y0
0
Cif
' 3
r
0
I I I I I I I I I I I
I I 1 00
I 01 1 1
000 1 0
00
0 0 0 0 0
111
00
0000 1
0
I I I I I 1 1 0
N
N
I'
-3 F'
W
N
1)11)1 1-' 1J1
J-NOl
I-' W'O O -7
H N
W N 1-' 0
O
'-3
?
O
1 1 1 1 1 I I I 1 I I
1 I 1
I I I I
1
.
I
I I 1 I I I I
I
0\ N
lJ1
11 l71 -r N
N 0-F-' 0 W
CO 0)0)-)
N
N
N1 ,
N
O
r
I I I I I I I I I I
I I
O~
I 1~ N I N
I F-' F-'
H w CO W
N) W I
I I N I I I I I
N N
N
r- fi CO .-~ -1
10
1000
N N) N
N N W
N 1= QQ1w c
W .r='
r-'
O1
C) 0)
X07 Q1
O W N
O W O W N
O N
1J1
V101
00 4=
1;1 0 0
0 = N N'.O
0-4
0
-~'
1J1
I
0O
Q 0
OO 01
1310 0
000In.r?
01)1
0
I 1 I I I I I I
1 I I
1 0 0 0
1 00 10
0000 V7
00 I I I
I I 0, I I 1 I
~
jl
W
1
\0
N N
' N
'
0
'
y
C)
I 1 1 I I I I I
I I I
F-
1--
1 ? I.
W H
I. I
Cf1-J ~D CDW
...
1--
N
. I I
I-'
I I I I
N
-7O
'O CC) 0)
-4 W
H01 001111
'00)
O
`I
2-1
C~
h1
00
n U)
ro G
w C
O O
Oq -3
(D
U
N
H
P iJ
N U)
Approved For Release 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
Hit,
CPYRGHT
 CPYRGHT
Approved For Ikelease 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R00070065000
-
tz-c- .ci t= r
trw w W W
WWWWW
W N N N) N
N N N N N
NN)I-) H-
NI--Il-I Hr
-
N
(N
'.J1 .CW N N
010 N-l Ol
1.71 rw N
olO CO- (N
Vl .iW N t-'
010 OYJ 0)
111 -c
W N I-
0'D N-l Ol
In rW
d
00000
000
00
00000
00000
00000
000
0
00000
00000
00000
0
0
0
3
ct
ct t ct ct CI
ct it it ri ci
it ct ct Ci ct
ct Ct ct C1 CT
ri ct ct cl ct
tt cf ct ct ri
ct ct ti ct Ct
ct ct ct ct ct
0
ct cl ct
0 0 0
0
0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
.P~
-C r= t-- c-
r- w w w t,J
W W w W W
U N N N) N
N N) N N N)
to N 1-+ F-'
r~ N I-+ N N
r
0
(N
In .1=w N I-'
010 N11
177 w N r+
010 Nil O,
In w N r
010 OU~1 Ol
V1 fi'W N c
OIO NCI N
In W
G
?0
10
10 10 10 10 10
10 101010 /0
0101010 10
10 010 10 10
10 ID 10 10 10
0
O
0 10
ID 1O 1,0 ~O lO
101010 10 10
10 tD ID 10 10
1010 101010
101010 10 10
101010 1010
ID 10'0
101010
rn
10
lp
10 10 10 10 10
l0 10 l0 10 10
1010 10 lD
10 10'010 lO
/0101010 10
\,D,0,0\,00
0 1010 010
10 101010 10
'
? 1
1
'.0'O'.010'-0
1010 101010
1D 1010 It lO
\O 101010/0
1010 \D
I-,
z
N
r-.
N N
0
10
N
rn I I
I (N I I
I 4-I-'
w w (N
1J1 rn N -3
N I-' 1D N I
I 1 I I I
I I I I I
I I I
w
O~
N
N
t- I~
r O\ (N
I--' r-+ I-'
I~
t7
0
0
10
^I
N
W W cr N)
N -3 CA co N
N z C
i-
0
1
N
O
N
Olw N r=
O N r r+ 10
In -1 (N 10
010 r-
E
171
0
0
0000
0
013100N
1
0
00
01--'0 0
000 0
OOON
000131
3
1.31
0
0
0
O
0, I I I
0
1 1 0 1 1
000
1 0000
17
11)131
0 0 000
0 0 0 1 0
0000 1
I I I I
I 1
1 1
r
N
w
x. .c
1-'
'-3
.~
O?
co
171
ION 0 co
co -t= J1 V1 1J1
N.O W 10
NN 0t-'
I I I I
I I I I
I
I
I
I I 1 1 I
. 1 1 1 1
I I I
N
N
I~
I-
O
ON N 1-
- W 171 W
N -I r-' N
O1W Nh-'
z
w
H
o
-
I
I
I N I I
1 I I 1 I
o
I 1 F-' 171
N
I- -1= 131 I-
I I I I I
I I 1 I
I 1 1 1 1
I I I 1 1
I I I
IJ
pp1~
C
p~
ON
00)0 (N
#
Q1
W
-
O
coo
o
00000 `O
?
O
I
1 0 1 I
1 1 1
I I S
o
0 0 0 1
I I I
I I I I 1
11 I 1 I
1 1 1 1 1
I I 1
N
-4 cn
r N
3
-+1
O1
NN01
NN 10 1-'
1
I
I 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
1 1
0
I
'
1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
11 1
N
0
Co
N)
W N
I-
wN 10
z
I
I I I
I 1 I
I I N N I
I I I I
1 I I 1 I
1 1 -K I I
1 1 1 1 I
I I 1 I I
I I 1
0
C
-
LO
w W
-1
0
-I
W N)
N
E
ct
.3
O
0
00
O
0
I
1 1 I I I
1 1 I 1 I
I 1 0 0 1
11 I 1 1
1 I I I I
1 1 0 1 I
I I I I I
I I 1 1
1 1 1
I-'
N
H
O
N N
In
1
II I I I
1 1 1 1 1
1 1
1 1 1 1 1
I I I 1 1
1 1? 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1
N
0
131
171N
w N
W N
1-'
N Nf-'N
N - -'
N
W
N
(N N 1 I I
I I (N 1 1
I -N- W \71 W
171 O IC W N
out -t I N)
.47 -1 ?110 171
- O'D N I
CO --1 .C H
N 10 (71
W N
C
N
N
1-' -l -3
'
r' CON) -mil
1
N-
N ~p
O
V11D 131 N
'
'0
w r N 1-~
1 x
'
1
N
E
0
t
10
N)
-1N
O OD
N
N
W100) F-
0110 In,,)
171 -113
N
O 131 N w
N
IO Ol
In f N In
OOr-
1--
O \0 N-1 -7
=
N
13
-mow w In
N
N 13
N 10 N
D1
W
131 ON O
c
w
y
p
O
~]7p0
O?0
0
0
0Ow1f1
001310
Oln ON
01310 01,,
0- O 0
01310 0
O cc0V1
0
00x=
00-~
?NV100
000
O 000
818
0
00, I I
1 1 01 I
1 0000
00000
0001 0
0
0000111
1n000 I
01 000
N
N H'
N
N
N
I- In 1~
N C- N
N W -G W
01 NOl
111
lD Ol-~N
ON11131N
wN1.n 1D
'ON - Ow
NN-.4
- Wr'O
0-1--'
1
1 I I
I I 11
I
I
I
N
r+
I--' N)
O
010 N N
N 0 I w10
101010 N
IO N U) O11-,
co r-' 171 co
N N 1 1 U
W \D F-'
{4) zt zgns Approved .~II
For elease 1999/09/10 : CIA-RDP83-00423R000700650002-1
I iI !ilrX. .
IL ! i!~, II~~~~
.
M111.11.
~hl~~l~ i uil ,
w II~XMIM
W III I VIII !, m!
I.
N. IIId.IIIIIIIIIIXIII IINIXIXW'XXININNN