MONTHLY WARNING REPORT (INITIAL) --NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83B00100R000300030029-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 2, 2004
• Sequence Number: 29
• Publication Date: October 20, 1978
• Content Type: MF

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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Officers
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
NFAC 4641-78
20 October 1978
VIA: Deputy Director for National Foreign Assessment
National Intelligence Officer for Warning
FROM: National Intelligence Officer for Nuclear Proliferation
SUBJECT: Monthly Warning Report (Initial)--Nuclear Proliferation
1. Action Requested: None; for your information only in conjunction
with the new procedures for warning intelligence.
2. Background: I convened a meeting of the Interagency Intelligence
Working Group on Nuclear Proliferation (IIWG/NP) on 18 October to identify
possible items for this report and to introduce Richard Lehman (NIO/W) who
led a discussion of the procedures and criteria for warning. The discussion
during the two and one-half hour meeting was about one-half substantive and
one-half procedural.
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3. Among the numerous items discussed, several are worth noting:
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 4. Attached is a checklist of the kinds of items on which warning
would be desirable in the area of nuclear proliferation according to the
include the following:
Arms Control and Disarmament Agency. The list should be expanded to
u
--Preparations for the deployment or employment of suspected nuclear
weapons by a non-weapon state anywhere and of known nuclear weapons
by a nuclear weapon state in a nuclear weapon free zone or against
a non-weapon state.
--Indications that anti-nuclear political forces or movements will
nullify the authority of important governments.
--Plans for the disclosure or transfer of critical technology for
nuclear weapons, reprocessing, e~hment, ~r-~ieavy water production.
Attachment:
Checklist
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Approved For Release 2004/04/19 :CIA-RDP83B00100R000300030029-0