NIC WARNING PROCEDURES
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP83B00100R000300070018-8
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
4
Document Creation Date:
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date:
January 20, 2005
Sequence Number:
18
Case Number:
Publication Date:
April 9, 1980
Content Type:
MF
File:
Attachment | Size |
---|---|
CIA-RDP83B00100R000300070018-8.pdf | 114.26 KB |
Body:
Approved For iWease 2005/03/24: CIA P83j0010003000700 8-8
THE DIRECTOR OF CEN L INTELLIGENCE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20505
Deputy Director for National Foreign Assessment
9 APR 1980
MEMORANDUM FOR: National Intelligence Officers
SUBJECT : NIC Warning Procedures
1. DCID 1/5, which established a National Intelligence Warning
System, assigned specific responsibilities to the NIO for Warning and
the regional NIOs. The NIO/W, among other things, is charged with being
"alert to alternate interpretations within the Community" and with de-
veloping a "warning consciousness and discipline throughout the Com-
munity." The NIOs, who have substantive responsibility for warning in
their respective fields, are directed to conduct Community-wide monthly
reviews of situations potentially requiring the issuance of warning.
2. The establishment of the NIC offers an opportunity to take
advantage of the collective expertise of the NIOs to enhance the monthly
warning reviews and assist the NIO/W. With a view to strengthening the
ability of the NIC collectively and the NIOs individually to conduct
disciplined and systematic examinations of trends and developments which
may have potential warning significance and eventually require the is-
suance of an Alert Memorandum, the following procedures are established:
a. The NIC as a warning committee:
1. The Chairman of the NIC will convene the Council
as a warning committee at least once a month --
more often when required by events.
2. NIC warning meetings will discuss in depth an
agenda of not more than three or four principal
items, and review briefly less urgent items of
potential warning significance.
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1. The NIO should make it clear to the participants
that their purpose is not to arrive at consensus
judgments, but rather to test prevailing assump-
tions and explore reasonable alternative inter-
pretations of data and events.
2. He should routinely circulate an agenda well
enough in advance of the meeting to allow atten-
dees to prepare themselves.
3. Should it seem appropriate, he might consider
assigning topics to individual attendees.
4. The monthly report to the DCI is a unique op-
portunity for the NIO to express his views, but
he may on occasion be inhibited by the broad
dissemination these memoranda receive. While
a report of the proceedings at the meeting
is, of itself, valuable to the DCI, in such
cases the NIO should consider a limited dis-
tribution cover memorandum expressing his own
views.
3. NIO monthly meetings will be held, as before, during the third
full week of each month. Reports are due to Chairman, NIC by COB Tuesday
of the following week. The NIC monthly meeting will be held at 0900 on
the Tuesday of the second week, combined with the DD/NFA's regularly
scheduled NIO meeting.
4. These procedures are designed to facilitate a more orderly and
disciplined examination of potential warning problems, articulate and
evaluate assumptions underlying current assessments-with greater pre-
cision, and identify analytic and collection deficiencies. This sys-
tematic approach should have a valuable cumulative effect in enhancing
the NIC's awareness of and sensitivity to potential warning problems
and its ability to set in motion at the earliest possible time analytic
and collection actions that will strengthen the Community's ability to
issue timely and accurate warning.
Bruce Clarke, Jr.
All portions of this memo
are classified SECRET -3-
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SECRET
C/NIC
1m (2 Apr 80)
Distribution:
1 - Each NIO
1 - DD/NFA
1 - DD/NFAC
1 - C/NIC
1 - AC/NIC
1 - EXO/NIC
1 - NFAC Registry
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