POSSIBLE ETHIOPIAN INVASION OF SOMALIA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83B01027R000300170002-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 29, 2007
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: July 25, 1980
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2~
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S-0074/SWS 25 July 1980
!MEMORANDUM FOR THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE OFFICER FOR WARNING
SUBJECT: Possible Ethiopian Invasion of Somalia
Reference: Memorandum for the Record, NFAC #4942-80, 14 July 1980,
subj: Soviet Military Intentions Toward Somalia.
can be made supPortin the u nt G sanaa- persttaslye case
for solving their problems in the Ogaden is throughianpl nnedvin asion
into northern Somalia. The evidence suggests that it would take place
relatively soon, probably within this cowing year provided the other
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A- R D P83 801027 R 000J00170002-8
 Approved For Release 2007 yRDP83B01027R000300170002-8
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e t
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i
op an intentions for invading Scm 1ia over the next year or so
and iprovide that nt to the policy makers in a timely fashion.
demands on the Ethiopians remain as they are now. Reliance on the con-
servatism of the Soviets to preach restraint after the completion of
Olympics may be misplaced, In any event, the risks to the SovieSmalis tsi 25X1
seems at overdrawn given that p
.ave been a anno i ressor in the area for stime. 55 ~
5. I rec nd that the community be required to make a judgment about
44.
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