NSC MEETING ON INTELLIGENCE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83M00171R001200210015-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 13, 2001
• Sequence Number: 15
• Publication Date: January 6, 1977
• Content Type: MF

Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP83M00171 R001200210015-5
6 JAN 11'7
Deputy to the DCI for the Intelligence
Community
and Improvement
Director o er ormance Evaluation
SUBJECT: NSC Meeting on Intelligence
1. The President has scheduled a meeting of the NSC on
intelligence for the week of January 10. Although the meeting is
billed as the semiannual NSC review of intelligence, we are told
that the agenda will focus on two items:
-- The competitive analysis of NIE 11-3/8-76
2. The largely inaccurate press discussion of the competitive
analysis will almost surely leave a distorted impression of the content
of NIE 11-3/8-76 in the minds of senior Government officials, both
outgoing and incoming. There will also be distorted views of the
estimating process. Therefore, I recommend you strongly urge
the DCI to take the following approach to the NSC meeting:
Present a briefing to the NSC which clearly states the
content of NIE 11-3/8-76 and the closely related NIE 11-4,
which address Soviet strategic objectives. This briefing
should also lay out the ways in which these estimates have
or have not changed over the last year or two. The
D/DCI/NI would, of course, be responsible for preparing
this briefing. The DCI should also announce his intention
to have a Community team present an expanded version of
this briefing to senior Government officials, in order to
ensure that press reports do not obscure the actual positions
of the Community on the Soviet military threat.
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With regard to the estimating process, the DCI should
follow the briefing with remarks on the following topics:
? The effect of the B Team report in producing
the rather harsh view of the Soviet threat taken
in the current estimates (little effect, Community
views have changed under the objective weight
of evidence).
? User dissatisfaction with the NIE process (based
on IC Staff semiannual review) and specific B
Team charges about deficiencies in the estimating
process (under review by NIOs, IC Staff, and
Community elements).
? The problem of leaks and the unfortunate effects
of the publicity attendant to the competitive analysis.
? Evaluation of the competitive analysis process
evaluation (still under way, but probably want to
retain the benefits of outside perspectives by
using the Estimates Advisory Panel, rather than
the costly adversary procedures of A and B Teams).
The IC Staff and the NIOs should work together to prepare
talking points along these lir es.
7
2
Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP83M00171 R001200210015-5
 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP83M00171 R001200210015-5
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IC 77-2407
Distribution:
Original - Addressee
1 - D/OPEI
1 - IC/Registry
1 - PAID
1 - PAID
1 - PAID Subject
1 - PAID Chrono
IC/PAID/I - `/mjs/4445/6Jan77
Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP83M00171 R001200210015-5