SOVIET STRATEGY SEMINAR

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83M00914R001900230097-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Sequence Number: 97
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2007/05/16: CIA-RDP83M00914R001900230097-5
17 September 1982
MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director for Intelligence
National Intelligence.Officer for USSR-EE
FROM: Director of Central Intelligence
SUBJECT: Soviet Strategy Seminar
1. I had a little dialogue with George Shultz at lunch today on
Paul Wolfowitz' summary of the Soviet strategy seminar conducted a few
weeks ago. I said that I didn't think the three schools of thought--
the bargainer, the proponent of breaking up the Soviet Union, and the
advocate of blocking Soviet misbehavior--exhausted the number of schools
of thought on this subject.
2. I am inclined to put my views in the fourth school which would
concentrate on maintaining an adequate defensive posture, avoiding any-
thing which would help the Soviets increase that burden by enhancing their
own military capabilities and competing in economic and political performance,
including Third World development, to establish and strengthen the superiority
of our system. What Would you think about developing an analytical product
which would look ahead and speculate on where the risks, opportunities, and
likely outcome of pursuing various possible policies with respect to the
William J. Casey
SECRET
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