CIA S LONG-RANGE PLANNING SCHEDULE FOR 1982

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83M00914R002000090004-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 22, 2007
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: February 1, 1982
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2007/10/22: CIA-RDP83M00914R002000090004-1 ~----
a ,` Exe=:;i4e Hegisup
,,,
l-Ui'1 1L)L11 11}-tL
0 1 FEB 1982YL' %C--
Memorandum for: Deputy Director for Administration
Deputy Director for Intelligence
Deputy Director,for Operations
Deputy Director for Science. and Technology
Director of Personnel
Comptroller
FROM: Executive Director
SUBJECT: CIA's Long-Range Planning Schedule for 1982
REFERENCE: ER 81-8722, 12 November 1981
1. On 30 October 1981, the Executive Committee approved a new long-
range planning process for the Agency. This memc?andum reaffirms my commitment
to that process and establishes this year's planning cycle. The basic approaLn
is described in the reference and a more detailed description of the process
and schedule is attached. I have altered the timing of the planning phases
somewhat and have asked my Planning Staff to work.out detailed procedures and
formats with your representatives on the Interdirectorate Planning Group.
The broad outline of this year's cycle is as follows:
- Phase I: EXDIR Planning Guidance by 31 January.
- Phase II: Agency Intelligence, Counterintelligence,
and Covert Action Ten-Year Goals and
Objectives by 15 April. .
- Phase III: Collection, Processing, Analytical, and
Operational Capabilities-by 30 June.
- Phase IV: Support Capabilities by 15 September.
- Phase V: An integrated CIA Long-Range Forecast.by
15 October.
2. For 1982, CIA's long-range planning should focus on identifying
important currently unmet and likely new information and operational needs;
innovative concepts for alternative means of meeting these neeos; and imaginative
concepts for building the necessary support infrastructure. Your planning
should take. into account the challenges posed in the 1985 Intelligence Capabilities
Study, and should include those program concepts contained in that study which
are too complex to be refined in time for inclusion in the 1984 budget request
now being prepared. We will need to build on the present programs and
MORI/CDF
q D !
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
 Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
VU3'11 JLs'J I I!
the capabilities approved in the 1985 Intelligence Capabilities Study by
taking a longer view of the needs and direction of the Agency and by con-
sidering a wider range of options than has been the case in the past. It
is critically important that the planning process identify important future
needs and present Agency management with innovative alternatives. This process
should not constrain itself by specific resource considerations or current
capabilities. I would expect the materials prepared for -EXCOM review to be
brief, deal with fairly broad issues and concepts, and focus on the need for
significant change or improvement. While the process is structured to use
Agency-wide teams, your personal involvement is essential. Our long-
range plan will be the blueprint for FY 1985 through 1990 future Agency
programs, including guidance to the Comptroller for FY 1985 and beyond program
and budget formulation.
3. In the attachment, you will find the list of planning teams and
directorates responsible for appointing team chairmen. Please notify the
Planning Staff of these appointments by 15 February.
ohn N. McMahon
Attachment:
as stated
cc: DCI
DDCI
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
 Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
PHASE I: PLANNING INITIATION, JANUARY 1982
PURPOSE: To provide guidance on the scope of the planning report and
details of the process and schedule.
ACTION: PLANNING STAFF:
- develop memorandum on planning implementation for EXDIR signature
- develop CIA Planning Book
INTERDIRECTORATE PLANNING GROUP:
- review implementation plan
EXDIR
- issue planning implementation memorandum
DOCUMENTATION:
Planning Implementation Memorandum
- outline of procedures and schedules
- guidance for emphasis of effort
- attachment which provides details of process
Planning Book
- begins with Base Capability statements from 1983 budget
(Target Capability. System)
- each phase of planning cycle adds specific contributions
to planning book
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83M00914R002000090004-1 =
 Approved For Release 2007/10/22 CIA-RDP83M00914R002000090004-1
:3 d% e f1'i~
Cp
PHASE 2: INTELLIGENCE AND OPERATIONS GOALS AND OBJECTIVES, FEBRUARY-15 APRIL .1982
PURPOSE: To establish the needs and relative priorities for-new intelligence
information, and develop goals for operational activities.
ACTION: DDI: form a team to:
- develop goals and objectives
- define current unmet information needs
- define likely new information needs
- propose priorities for information needs at
the area category level of the budget structure
DDO: form teams to establish the long-range needs for Covert
Action and. Counterintelligence
- develop goals and objectives
INTERDIRECTORATE PLANNING GROUP:
- review the product of this phase for Directorate impact
- review and establish areas for emphasis in the next
planning phase
DOCUMENTATION:
Intelligence Needs Statement:
- overview
- current unmet information needs
- likely new information needs
- revised Base Capability statements
- statement on Area Category priorities
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
 Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
PHASE 2 (continued)
Covert Action Statement:
- overview
- likely long-term areas for involvement
- impact on infrastructure
- priorities
- review and revision of CA Category Base.Capability statements
Counterintelligence:
- overview.
- long-term threat assessment
- review and revision of CI Category Base Capability Statements
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
 Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
PHASE 3: INTELLIGENCE AND OPERATIONAL CAPABILITIES, 15 APRIL-30 JULY 1982
PURPOSE: To develop innovative alternatives for meeting
future intelligence information, CA, and CI needs
ACTION: ODI: form a team to develop alternatives for needed analytical
capabilities in terms of:
- analyst skills
- use of external expertise
- methodology needs
- application of technology
- support from external USG programs (i.e., State, Commerce,
etc.
ODO: form a team to develop new methods and refinements in existing
techniques for:
clandestine collection
overt collection
- counterintelligence
- impact of non CIA HUMINT
- covert action
DDS&T: form a team to develop alternatives to meet long-term intelligence
information needs through:
- SIGINT
- Imagery
other technical sensors
foreign media coverage
- processing of information from technical systems
INTERDIRECTORATE PLANNING GROUP:
- review team reports for Directorate impact
EXCOM:
- review alternatives and study.proposals, and
establish priorities
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
 Approved For Release 2007/10/22: CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
PHASE 3: (continued)
DOCUMENTATION:
Analytic Capabilities Team:
- capabilities overview
- impact of unmet current and likely new information needs
- review of on-going initiatives
- proposed CIA initiatives
- initiatives needed from external USG programs
- recommendations for study of specific issues
HUMINT Team:
- overview
- assessment of possible changes in the operating environment
- impact of unmet current and likely new information needs
- review of on-going initiatives
- proposed CIA initiatives
- likely support to other USG HUMINT activities
- recommendations for study of specific issues
CA Team:
- review of on-going initiatives
...- proposed initiatives
.- recommendations for study of specific issues
DDS&T Technical Collection Team:
- overview
- impact on SIGINT, Imagery,...etc.
- review of on-going initiatives
- proposed initiatives
- impact on external programs
- recommendations for study of specific issues
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
 PHASE 4: SUPPORT CAPABILITIES, 1 JULY-15 SEPTEMBER 1982
PURPOSE: To determine the impact of proposed capability initiatives on the
support infrastructure, define optional concepts for meeting needs,
and to review specific existing special management plans (R&D,
Communications, Personnel, Space, Information Handling, etc.
ACTIONS: DDA: Form a team to develop alternatives for needed capabilities for
- logistics, training, communications, security, etc.
- space
- information handling
DDS&T: Form a team to develop R&D alternatives, including
specialized D/0 support.
D/Personnel: Form a team to develop alternative for the,
recruitment, management, and retention of people.
C/PS/EXDIR: Form a team to determine the impact on Agency-wide
management functions.
INTERDIRECTORATE PLANNING GROUP: Review for Directorate impact.
EXCOM: Review alternatives and proposed priorities.
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
DOCUMENTATION: (All groups)
overview
- impact of proposed capability changes
review and revision of Base'Capability statements
(where applicable)
- review of on-going initiatives
- proposed alternatives
- recommendation for priorities
- recommendations for studies of specific issues
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
 Approved For Release 2007/10/22 CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1
%J'*J a i3 :i 6 'uY ~_.. a e a' .r-
PHASE 5: LONG-RANGE FORECAST, 16 SEPTEMBER-15 OCTOBER 1982
PURPOSE: To develop the CIA Long-Range Forecast including courses of action
for program and budget development.
ACTION The Planning Staff will develop a Long-Range Forecast for CIA
from the output of the separate planning phases. This statement
will provide strategic guidance for Agency activities, in-
cluding guidance to the Comptroller for development of the
1985 through 1990 program..
IPG: review for Directorate impact
'EXCOM: review the draft forecast
EXDIR: issue the forecast
CONTRIBUTION: Long-Range Forecast
- intelligence overview
- review of current goals and objectives
- new concerns
- information needs
- needed capabilities
- priorities
- guidance for the the 1985 Program
- requirements for studies on specific issues
and implementation plans
Approved For Release 2007/10/22 : CIA-RDP83MOO914R002000090004-1 - -