THE SOVIET UNION IN THE 1980 S: PROJECT SUMMARY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 24
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 5, 2007
• Sequence Number: 12
• Publication Date: August 19, 1982
• Content Type: LETTER

Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T0096D66O/QQ 0J066600~12822
Central IntelligenceA,ency t tt yy 4
19 AUG 1982
Dr. David M. Abshire, President
The Center for Strategic and International Studies
Georgetown University
1800 K Street,.N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20006
Dear Dr. Abshire:
I am delighted that the Center has undertaken to. explore the
tlook for the-USSR in the 1980s. This is a subject of great interest
us in CIA and the Intelligence Community and of considerable
importance to our country.
i"h^re has already been some informal contact between Agency
personnel and some of the study participants, but I quite agree that a
more -Formal exchange of views would be useful. I suggest that your .
office get in touch with Stan Moskowitz, National Intelligence Officer
for the USSR and Eastern Europe, on the arrangements.
Sincerely,
John .McMahon
Acting Director of Central Intelligence
Ar)r)roved For Release 103/05 : IA-R DP83T00966R000100060012-2
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83TOO966ROO0100060012-2
SUBJECT: CSIS Study Internal Factors of the Sovie lnion (DDI/NIC #6699-82)
C/NIC:HSRowen:lm (17 Aug 82)
Distribution:
1 - Addressee
1 - DCI
1 - DDCI
1 - EXDIR
1 - ER
1 - DDI
NI0/USSR
1 - C/NIC
1 - DDI Registry
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T6LM~r~Bj16m060012
EXECUTIVE SECROARIAT
Routing Slip
SUSPENSE 19 August
Date
Remarks:
Please coordinate with DDI and prepare
reply for Acting DCI" s signature.
12 Aug 82
pproved For Release 2007/03L05_,:.. _ 1.A-RDP83T00966ROOO1 OnnRnn12-
ACTION
INFO
DATE
INITIAL
1
DCI
X
2
DDC
X
3
EXDIR
4
D/ICS
5
DDI
X
6
DDA
7
DDO
8
DDS&T
9
Chm/NIC
X
10
GC
11
IG
12
Compt
13
D/EEO
14
D/Pers
15
D/OEA
16
C/PAD/OEA
17
SA/IA
18
A0/DCI
19
C/IPD/0IS
20
21
22
 ?avid M. Abshire
Chairman
Anos A. Jordan, Jr.
Vice Chairman
Chriata D. K. Dantzler
Chief Financial Officer
EXECUT VE DIRECTORS
Alvin,,. Cottrell
Rc bert Kupperman
SENIOR FESEARCH AND
ADMINI#TRATIVE STAFF
'eonah Alexander
Michael Blaker
Robert F. Byrnes
Sevinc Carlson
Gecrge A. Carver, Jr.
Anr, C. Coffey, C.S.J.
Robert Downen
Charles K Ebinger
Georges Fauriol
Mazher Hameed
Penelope Hartland-Thunberg
/ Robert E. Hunter
Rodney W. Jones
Helen Kitchen
Robert Leiken
Edward N. Luttwak
Francis X. Murray
F;enneth A. Myers
William Perry
Pzul Craig Roberts
Barry Rubin
Thibact de Saint Phalle
Nic colas J. Spiliotes
John A. Shaw
William J. Taylor
W. Scott Thompson
Allen Weinstein
Wayne Berman
Patricia Denny
Pamela Scholl Mahatfee
Michael Moodie
Jean C. Newsom
Etta S. Pollock
Lea Rogers
Sterling G. Slappey
N. Jon Vondracek
David A. Wendt
John Yochelson
ADVISORY BOARD
Anne Armstrong
Chairman
Sen. Sam Nunn
Frederick Seitz
Cochairmen
Tr eodore A. Burtis
Leonard H. Marks
Ra ph A. Pfeiffer, Jr.
Vice Chairmen
Richard V. Allen
Sen. Lloyd Bentsen
Flep. Don Bonker
Emile Boursier
Rep. Clarence Brown
W. Glenn Campbell
Rep. Richard Cheney
Leo Cherne
Lester Crown
Carlo De Benedetti
Sen. Robert Dole
Henry Dudley
Oscar Dystel
Rep. Dante B. Fascell
Rep. Millicent Fenwick
Sen. Jake Garn
3en.John Glenn
Sen. Barry Goldwater
Armand Hammer
Silvia Hassenleld
Ichiro Hattori
Eric Hotung
Sen. J. Benrett Johnston, Jr.
Donald M. Kendall
Donald Kerr
William F. Kieschnick
Lane Kirkland
Joseph Kraft
Paul Laxalt
James E. Lee
Walter J. Levy
John C. Marous
Sen. James A. McClure
Warren Meeker
Thomas H Moorer
Robert Mosbacher
Martha T. Muse
Robert G. Naumann
Eddy Nicholson
Most Rev. John J. O'Connor, D.D.
Suliman Olayan
Sen. Claiborne Pell
Rep. John J. Rhodes
J. Hugh Rofl, Jr.
Arthur Ross
Sen. Wi liam V. Roth, Jr.
Mic iael A. Samuels
Rep. James D Santini
George T.:icharflenberger
Stephan Schmidheiny
Sen. Harrison Schmitt
Brent Scowcrott
Harvey L. Silbert
Joseph Sisco
Floward K. Smith
William French Smith
Frank Stanton
Rep. Samuel Stratton
Robert S. Strauss
Yasuo Takeyama
Vi illiam Timmons
Sen. John Tower
Sroichiro Toyoda
Jean-Louis van den Branden
George Will
Vincent A. We fington
A., ames Woolsey
Rep Clement J. Z zb ocki
Gordon 8 Zecks
Harriet V. Zimmerman
.Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Center for Strategic and International Studies
Georgetown University/ 1800 K Street! Washington DC20006/Telephone [phone]
Henry A. Kissinger, Counselor James R. Schlesinger, Senior Adviser Thomas H. Moorer, Senior Associate
Robert J. Henle, S.J., Counselor Zbigniew Brzezinski, Senior Adviser Ray S. Cline, Senior Associate
Jack H. Bridges, Senior Associate
Robert G. Neumann, Senior Associate
Cable Address: CENSTRAT
TWX: 7108229583
EXECUTIVE BOARD: Leonard H. Marks, Chairman / Anne Armstrong, Vice Chairman/ David M. Abshire IT. Byron Collins, S.J. /Leo Cherne/ Peter F. Krogh/ Morris I. Leibman /
Nathaniel Samuels / Richard Schwartz / Frederick Seitz / Ronald L Smith
August 9, 1982
Honorable William Casey
Director
Central Intelligence Agency
Washington, D.C. 20505
As you are aware, CSIS has underway the. largest nongovernmental
study on the internal factors of the Soviet Union. I enclose
an outline of our study.
As you will see from the list of people involved, we have assembled
a first-rate team, some of whom have been with the Agency previously
or have colleagues there now. Our participants.are delighted at
the prospect of pooling knowledge with their government counterparts.
We would be willing to have a representative group of scholars
from our study meet with interested people at the Agency for an
exchange of views on their findings and observations. Who should
be our point of contact?
With-warm regards,
Davi . Abshire
erely
OVERSEAS REPRESENTATIVES: Joyce R. Starr / Kenichi Ito / Joseph Godson
RESEARCH COUNCIL: Walter Laqueur, Chairman/ B. Boutros-Ghali/Melvin Croan/Stephen Gibert/ Ernst Halperin/ Pierre Hassner/ Robert J. Henle, S.J./ David Hubbard/
Charles Issawi / J. Clayburn LaForce/ Bernard Lewis / Richard Lowenthal / Laurence W. Martin/ Klaus Mehnert /Robert Osgood / Paul Seabury/ Frederick Seitz / Gaston J. Sigur/
Hen-i Simonet / Robert E. Ward / Albert Wohlstetter Ahar n Yari
Approved For Release 2t~07L03/u5 : CIA 'I DP63TO09661,,0001,00060012-2
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Center for Strategic and International Studies
Georgetown University / 1800 K Street Northwest / Washington DC 20006 / Telephone 202 / 887-0200
Cable Address: CENSTRAT
TWX: 7108229583
THE SOVIET UNION IN THE 1980s: PROJECT SUMMARY
Background
The Georgetown Center for Strategic and International
Studies is conducting a major examination of the significant
trends and developments within the Soviet Union that will shape
Soviet foreign policy over the next decade. The Soviet Union is
facing critical choices in the political, economic, military, demo-
graphic, technological and social spheres, all of which will affect
its behavior in the international arena. Of these many factors,
seven broad areas stand out as particularly important.
Key Issues
1. The Political Succession
At the recent 26th Congress of the Soviet Communist Party,
no major changes were made in the Soviet leadership. This develop-
ment suggests that when the succession occurs, it will be dramatic.
What will be the effects on Soviet foreign policy? Will the so-called
generational change in leaders make a dramatic impact?
2. Economic Developments: The Military, Industry, Agriculture and-Energy
The basic problems of the Soviet economy are fairly well known:
a decline in overall growth rates, in productivity, in investment, and
in the working age population;, a lagging agricultural sector; and a large
share of resources dedicated to national defense. What are the policy
alternatives for the Soviet Union? Can it have both guns and butter?
If not, what are the implications of the Soviet choice? What will and/
or should be the role of external economic relation's? Can or will the
Soviet Union continue to pursue an economic strategy that gives a high
priority to external credits, trade, technology? How will the Soviet
Union's agricultural performance affect its foreign policy behavior
and goals?
Although there are differing assessments about the severity
of the Soviet Union's energy problem, energy policy is also a clear
priority in Moscow. How dependent on imported oil is the Soviet
roved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
 Approved For Regase 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966ROO 100060012-2
Union likely to become? What will be the impact of developments in
the energy sphere on Soviet policy?
3. Demographic Trends and Social Tensions
The balance of the Soviet population is so changing that
ethnic Russians will soon be a minority. Nevertheless, they remain
in-the majority of the key decision making roles in the Soviet hier-
archy. How will the Soviet Union adapt to its changing demographic
character? To what extent will the non-Russian and non-European
elements of the Soviet population play a greater role in Soviet policy-
making? What are the prospects for minority unrest in the Soviet
Union? What will be the likely impact on Soviet economic and mili-
tary structures, and what tradeoffs between them are probable, in
light of the much smaller age groups which will be joining the labor
pool? How will Soviet leaders meet rising consumer demands and dis-
satisfaction?
4. Developments in Eastern Europe
Unlike earlier crises in Eastern Europe, the current crisis
in Poland does not stem from a disloyal or "misguided" Communist
leadership, but a weak leadership confronting social unrest. To
what extent does this crisis reflect a more general systemic crisis
that could be repeated elsewhere--in Eastern Europe? To what extent
is it a harbinger of development in the Soviet Union itself?
5. The Military
Unlike the political leadership, the military has largely
experienced its succession already, although little is known-about
these new leaders. What are their goals, tactics and strategies?
How do they view relations with the West? What level of technological
skill does their weaponry indicate, and how does such weaponry com-
pare with its Western counterparts in numbers and quality?
6. Intellectual and Cultural Life
Soviet society is undergoing considerable changes that bear
on future policy problems. How will the growth of modern communications
technology necessary for development affect the Soviet leadership's
imperative of a closed society? What are the effects of external
contacts, with both the West and the Third World? Will the status
of Marxism-Leninism change? What is the state of art, religion,
and intellectual life in the Soviet Union today?
7. External dynamics
Just as in the United States, the distinction between domestic
politics and foreign policy in the Soviet Union is increasingly
difficult to draw. External factors will interact with the above
mentioned internal elements to shape Soviet policy creating dilemmas
for the Soviet leadership. Among the external sources influencing
Soviet policy are perceptions (and facts) of the future balance
of power, especially with the United States, questions of political
and military opportunity, relations with the People's Republic of
China, developments in Western Europe and the evolution of NATO,
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
9
military developments, technological change, and arms control con-
siderations. How are these external factors likely to influence
Soviet policy in light of domestic developments?
Methodology
This 18-month program will be built around in-house and com-
missioned research from the top experts in the Soviet field, seminars
and briefings for the executive and legislative branches of govern-
ment, a major international conference, and a series of publications
designed to reach the widest possible audience.
In addition to the Project Director, Dr. Robert Byrnes, and
a Steering Committee of CSIS expects and advisors, the Center has
commissioned a number of authorities in the Soviet field to cover
the various facets of the project. Each broad area outlined above
will be covered in depth by a working group of three or four scholars
under the leadership of a group chairman. The chairmen, all of whom
represent the most substantive and up-to-date scholarship in their
respective specializations, are responsible for delineating the
boundaries of their research, choosing their group members, and writing
a definitive monograph based on their findings. Group members will
stimulate discussion and write commentaries and critiques of the
chairmen's papers.
Communications
CSIS will communicate the findings of its study to the widest
possible audience, not only in government but in the business and
and academic communities as well. The Center will use a variety
of publication vehicles, including articles in the Washington Quarterly,
pieces in the nation's leading newspapers.and a special series of mono-
graphs produced by the chairmen and the working groups. The culmination
of the project will be a major volume drawing chapters from each working
group into a cohesive entity under the editorship of the Project Director.
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
9 -4- ?
In addition, the Center will sponsor Congressional meetings,
CSIS roundtable discussions in various cities, special corporate
briefings, and a variety of other forums for participants to share
their findings.
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Soviet Union in iie 1980s
?
Robert F. Byrnes, DIRECTOR
Professor of History
Dept. of History
Ballantine Hall
Indiana University
Bloomington, IN 47405
(812)
335-5484
B.A.
(1939)
Amherst
College
M.A.
(1940)
Harvard
University
Ph.D.
(1947)
Harvard
University
Author, Pobedonostsev: His Life and Thought (Indiana University
Press, 1968.)
Author, Soviet-American Academic Exchanges, 1958-1975 (Indiana
University Press, 1976.)
Aileen Masterson, COORDINATOR
Center for Strategic and
International Studies
1800 K Street, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20006
(_202) 775-3257
(202) 887-0200
B.A. (1977) Duke University
M.A. (1978) University of Toronto
Co-author, "Morality and Pragmatism in the Superpower Relation-
ship," in World Communism at the Crossroads, ed. Steven
Rosefielde, (University of North Carolina Press, 1980.)
 Affwed For Release 2Q 7fi3105 : CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Sovi union in e s 0
Robert' Campbell (-CHAIRMAN)
Professor of Economics
Chairman, Department of Economics
Indiana University
Bloomington, IN 47401
(812) 335-7808
B.A. (1948) University of Kansas
M.A. (1950) University of Kansas
M.A. (1952) Harvard University
Ph.D. (.1956) Harvard University
Author, Soviet Energy Technologies: Planning, Policy, Research
and Development (Indiana University Press, 1980).
Morris Bornstein
Professor of Economics
University of Michigan
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
(_313)
763-4153
B.A.
(_1947) University
of Michigan
M.A.
(1948) University
of Michigan
Ph.D.
(.1952) University
of Michigan
Editor (with Zvi Gitelman and William Zimmerman) and contributor,
East-West Relations and the Future of Eastern Europe (Allen
and Unwin, 1981).
John Hardt
Associate Director for Senior Specialists
Senior Specialist in Soviet Economics
Congressional Research Service
Library of Congress
LM 203 JMMB
Washington, D.C. 20540
(202) 287-8888
B.A. (1945) University of Washington
M.A. (1948) University of Washington
L41.A. (1950) Columbia University
Ph.D. (1955) Columbia University
Author, "Economic Factors and Soviet Foreign Policy," in
Roger Kanet, ed., Soviet Foreign Policy in the 1980s
(Praeger Special Studies, 1982).
Ar)r)rovp,d For Release 2007/03/05 ~ A- R D P 83T00966 R 000100060012-2
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Soviet Union in0e 1980s
THE ECONOMY (cont.)
Gale Johnson
Professor of Economics
Chairman, Department of Economics
University of Chicago
1126 East 59th Street
Chicago, IL 60637
0
(312)
753-4532
B.S.
(1938)
Iowa State College-
M.S.
(1939)
University of Wisconsin, Madison
Ph.D.
(1945)
Iowa State College
Editor and contributor, The Politics of Food: Producing and
Distributing the World's Food Supply (Chicago Council on
Foreign Relations, 1980).
Thomas Wolf
Associate Professor of Economics
Ohio State University
Columbus, OH 43210
(614) 422-6701
B.A. (1962) Amherst College
M.B.A. (1965) Columbia University
Ph.D. (1971) New York University
Author, "Optimal Foreign Trade for the Price-Insensitive Soviet-
Type Economy," Journal of Comparative Economics (forthcoming
October 1982).
Author, "The Distribution of Economic Costs and Benefits in U.S.-
Soviet Trade," in Soviet Economy in Time of Change, vol. 2,
compendium of papers submitted to the Joint Economic Committee
of the U.S. Congress (Government Printing Office, 1979).
 The Soup Uni orl el athe
s40,9912?105: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
? ?
Seweryn'Bialer (CHAIRMAN)
Professor of Political Science
:Research Institute on
International Change
Columbia University
420 W. 118th St.
New York, NY 10017
(212) 280-4639
M.A. (.1952) Institute of Social Sciences, Warsaw
Ph.D. (.1955) Institute of -Social Sciences, Warsaw
Ph.D.'(1966) Columbia University
Editor and contributor, The Soviet'Union at the Crossroads
C"The International and Internal Contexts of the 26th
Congress of the CPSU"-), (Allen and Unwin, 1982).
Author, Stalin's Successors: Leadership, Stability and Change
in the Soviet Union (Cambridge University Press, 1980).
George Breslauer
Associate Professor of Political Science
University of California, Berkeley
Department of Political Science
.210 Barrows Hall
:Berkeley, CA 94720
(.415)
642-4655
B.A.
(.1966) University
of
Michigan
M.A.
(.1968) University
of
Michigan
h.D.
(1973) University
of
Michigan
Author, Khrushchev and Brezhnev as Leaders: Building Authority
in Soviet Politics (Allen and Unwin, forthcoming June 1982).
Author, Five Images of the Soviet Future: A Critical Review
and Synthesis (Institute of International Studies, Univ-
ersity of California at Berkeley, 1978).
Thane Gustafson
Department of Social Sciences
Rand Corporation
:1700 Main Street
Santa Monica, CA 90406
(213) 393-0411
B.S. (1966) University of Illinois
Ph.D. (1974) Harvard University
Author, Reform in Soviet Politics (Cambridge University Press,
1981)
Author, Selling the Russians the Rope? (Rand Corporation R-2649-
ARPA, 1981)
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Soviet Union in e 1980s
THE SYSTEM (.cont.)
Myron Rush
Professor of Government
Cornell University (on leave)
6808 Melrose Drive
McLean, VA 22101
(703) 893-9716
B.A. (1942) University of Chicago
Ph.D. (.1951) University of Chicago
Author, How Communist States Change Their Rulers (Cornell Univ-
ersity Press, 1974).
Author, Political Succession in the USSR (Columbia University
Press, 1965, revised 1968)
 The S ov~I oyMiF Rtw4gak?40i ( : CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
Coit Blacker (CHAIRMAN)
Associate Director
Arms Control and Disarmament Program
Stanford University
Stanford, CA 94305
c818'(202)-__775-3257
A.B. (1972). Occidental College
M.A. (.1973) Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy
M.A.L.D. (1975) Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy
Ph.D. (1978) Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy
Author, "The Kremlin and Detente" and "The Undoing of Detente,"
in George, ed., U.S.-Soviet Rivalry (Boulder: Westview Press,
forthcoming).
Author (with.Fa.rooq.Hussain), "European Theater Nuclear Forces,"
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (October 1980).
Fritz Walter Ermarth
Senior Technical Analyst
Northrop Corporation
1015 18th Street, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20006
(202) 861-0861
B.A. (19611 Wittenberg university
M.A. (1963). Harvard University
Author, "Contrasts in U.S. and Soviet Strategic Thought,"
International Security, Fall 1978.
David Holloway
Visiting Fellow and Visiting
Professor of Government
Cornell University
Peace Studies University
(Lecturer in Politics, University of Edinburgh)
Ithaca, NY 14850
(607) 256-6484
M.A. Cambridge University
Author, "Innovation in the Defense Sector," in R. Amann and J.
Cooper, eds., Industrial Innovation in the Soviet Union (Yale
University Press, June 1982).
Author, "Military Power and Political Purpose in Soviet Policy,"
Daedalus (Fall 1980).
Anoroved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Soviet Union inWe 1980s
THE MILITARY (cont.)
Arnold L. Horelick
Director, Soviet and East European Studies
Associate Director, International. Studies
The Rand Corporation
1700 Main Street
Santa Monica. CA 90406
[phone]
B.A. (1948) Rutgers University
M.A. (1950) Harvard University
?
Co-author (with Myron Rush), Strategic Power and Soviet Foreign
Policy (University of Chicago Press, 1966).
Author, "Soviet Policy Dilemmas in Asia," Asian Survey (June 1977).
Lt. General Brent Scowcroft (ret.)
International Six, Inc.
1875 I Street, N.W. Suite 4.40
Washington, D.(' 2000
[phone]
B.S. (1947) U.S. Military Academy
M.A. (1953) Columbia University
Ph.D. (1967) Columbia University
Former Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs
(197.5-1977)
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
? The Soviet Union i e 1980s
Gail Lapidus (CHAIRMAN)
Associate Professor of Political Science
Chair, Center for Slavic and East
European Studies
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA 94702
(415) 642-3290
?
B.A. (.1960) Radcliffe College
M.A. (1963) Harvard University
Ph.D. (1974) Harvard University
Author, Women in Soviet Society: Equality, Development and
Social Change (University of California Press, 1978;
paperback edition, 1980).
Walter Connor
Director, Soviet Studies
Foreign Service Institute
1400 Key Blvd.
Arlington, VA 22209
(.703) 235-8841
B.A. (1963) Holy Cross College
M.A. (1966) Princeton University
Ph.D. (1969) Princeton University
Author, Socialism, Politics and Equality: Hierarchy and Change
in Eastern Europe and the USSR (Columbia University Press,
1979).
Murray Feshbach
Member, CSIS Research Council
Senior Research Scholar
Georgetown University
Department of Demographics
37th and 0 Streets, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20057
(202)
625-4333
B.A.
(1950)
Syracuse University
M.A.
(1951)
Columbia University
Ph.D.
(1974)
American University
Co-author (with Christopher Davis), Rising Infant Mortality in
the USSR in the 1970s (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1980).
Author, "Between the Lines of the Soviet Census," Problems of
Communism (January/February 1982),
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05
: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Soviet Union in?e 1980s
?
DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIAL FACTORS
(cont.)
Gregory Massell
Hunter College, City University of New York
659 Park Avenue
New York, NY 10027
(_212) 570-5570
B.A. Columbia University
M.A. Harvard University
Ph.D. Harvard University
Author, The Surrogate Proletariat: Muslim Women and Revolutionary
Strategies in Soviet Central Asia (Princeton University Press,
1975).
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Soviet Union i he 1980s
Maurice Friedberg (CHAIRMAN)
Professor of Russian Literature
Head, Department of Slavic Languages
and Literatures
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
707 S. Matthews, Room 3092
Urbana, IL 61801
?
(217)
333-0681
B.S.
(1951)
Brooklyn
College, City University of New York
M.A.
(1953)
Columbia
University
Ph.D.
(19581
Columbia
University
Author, Russian Classics in Soviet Jackets (Columbia University
Press, 1962),.
Author, A Decade of Euphoria: Western Literature in Post-Stalin
Russia, 1954-1964 (Indiana University Press, 1977).
John Dunlop
Professor of Russian
Chairman, Department of German and Russian
Oberlin College
Oberlin, OH 44074
(_216) 775-8651
B.A. (1964) Harvard College
M.A. (2965) Yale University
Ph.D. (1973) Yale University
Author, The New Russian Revolutionaries (Nordland, 1976).
Author, The Faces of Contemporary Russian Nationalism (Princeton
University Press and Hoover Institution Press, forthcoming).
Leopold Labedz
Editor, Survey
Fellow, Center of International Studies
London School of Economics and Political Science
30 Western Road
London N2-9HY England
(01)- 883-9239
Warsaw University
Paris University (1938-39)
London School of Economics (1950-57)-
Editor, Solzhenitsyn: A Documentary Record, (.Harper and Row, 19711.
Author, Detente, 1976.
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Soviet Union i e 1980s
lw~
INTELLECTUAL AND CULTURAL FACTORS (cont.)
?
Sidney Monas
Professor and Chairman, Department of Slavic Languages
University of Texas, Austin
Austin, TX 78703
(512) 471-3607
B.A. (1948)_ Princeton University
M.A. (1951) Harvard University
Ph.D. (1955) Harvard University
Author, The Third Section: Police and Society in Russia under
Nicholas I (Harvard University Press, 1961)
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Soviet Union i e 1980s
Andrzej Korbonski (CHAIRMAN)
Professor of Political Science
University of California, Los Angeles
Los Angeles, CA 90024
(213) 825-3784
9
B.S. (1950)_ University of London
M.A. (1954) Columbia University
Ph.D. (.1962) Columbia University
Co-editor (with Roman Kolkowicz) and contributor ("The Military
as a Political Actor in Poland"), Soldiers, Peasants and
Bureaucrats (Allen and Unwin, 1982).
Author, "The Dilemmas of Civil-Military Relations in Contemporary
Poland," Armed Forces and Society (Fall 1981).
Charles Gati
Professor of Political Science
i
U
C
ll
n
on
o
ege
Schenectady, NY 12308
(518)
370-6224
B.A.
(1961)
Indiana
University
M.A.
(1961)
Indiana
University
Ph.D.
(1965)
Indiana
University
Author, The Gradual Road to Power: Stalin and the Hungarian
Communist Party, 1944-1947 (forthcoming 1983).
Author, "The Stalinist Legacy in Soviet Foreign Policy," in
Stephen F. Cohen, Alexander Rabinowitch and Robert Sharlet,
eds., The Soviet Union Since Stalin (Indiana University
Press, 1980).
Sarah Terry
Assistant Professor of Political Science
Tufts University
Medford, MA 02155
(_617) 628-5000, ext. 275
B.A. (1959) Cornell University
M.A. (1961) Radcliffe Graduate School
Ph.D. (1974). Harvard University
Author, Poland's Place in Europe: General Sikorski and the Origin
of the Oder-Neisse Line, 1939-1943 (Princeton University Press,
1982).
Editor and contributor, Soviet Policy in Eastern Europe (Council
on Foreign Relations, 1982).
Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
 T- ? 'Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The Soviet Union i e 1980s
EASTERN EUROPE (cont.)
Jiri Valenta
Council on Foreign Relations
The Harold Pratt House
58 East 68th Street
New York, NY 10021
(212) 734-0400
Graduate. degree (1968) Prague School of Economics.
Ph.D. (.1975)_ Johns Hopkins University, School of
Advanced International Studies
Author, Soviet Intervention in Czechoslovakia, 19.68: Anatomy of
a Decision. (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1979)..
 The Sovi j8KO e j1 p& 2100~I9 I05 : CIA-RD P83T00966ROO 100060012-2
Adam Ulam (CHAIRMAN)
Professor of Government
Gurney Professor of History
and Political Science
Director, Russian Research Center
Harvard University
Archibald Cary Coolidge Hall
1737 Cambridge Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
(.617) 495-4037
B.A. (.1943) Brown University
Ph.D. (1947) Harvard University
Author, Expansion and Coexistence (Praeger, Holt, Rinehart and
Winston, 1968).
Author, Stalin: The Man and His Era (Viking, 1973).
David E. Albright
Professor of National Security Affairs
National Security Affairs Dept.
Air War College
Maxwell Air Force Base, AL 36112
(205) 293-2386
B.A. (_1958) Indiana University
M.A. (1960) Indiana University
Ph.D. (1971) Columbia University
Editor and contributor, Communism in Africa (Indiana University,
Press, 1980).
Author, "The Communist States and Southern Africa," in Gwendolyn
Carter and Patrick O'Meara, eds., Southern Africa: International
Issues and Responses (Indiana University Press, forthcoming).
Raymond W. Baker
Associate Professor of Political Science
Williams College
Williamstown, PIA 02167
(413) 597-2162
B.A. (1964)_ Ripon College
M.A. (1967) Harvard University
Ph.D. (1972) Harvard University
Author, Egypt's Uncertain Revolution Under Nasser and Sadat
(Harvard University Press, 1978).
Armroyed For Release 2007/03/05 ~ I -RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
 ApprQyed For Release 2007/03105: CIA-RDP83T00966R000100060012-2
The bovi union i e 1980s
THE OUTSIDE WORLD (-cont.)
Gerrit W. Gong
Research Associate
Center for Strategic and
International Studies
1800 K Street, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20006
(_202) 775-3255
B.A. Brigham Young University
M. Phil. Oxford University
D. Phil.. Oxford University
Abraham-Lowenthal
Director, Latin American Program
Woodrow Wilson International
Center for Scholars
Smithsonian Institution Building
Washington, D.C. 20560
(202) 357-1446
?
B.A. (1961) Harvard College
M.P.A. (1964) Harvard University
Ph.D. (_1971) Harvard University
Author, "Changing Patterns in Inter-American Relations: Facing
the 1980s," The Washington Quarterly (Winter 1981).
Editor and contributor, Armies and Politics in Latin America
(Holmes and Meier, Inc., 1976).
Angela Stent
Visitinq Scholar
Center for Strategic and
International Studies
1800 K Street, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20006
(202) 775-3233
B.A. (1969) Cambridge University
M.Sc. (1970) London School of Economics and Political Science
M.A. (1972) Harvard University
Ph.D. (1977) Harvard University
Author, From Embargo to Ostpolitik: The Political Economy of
West German-Soviet Relations, 1955-1980 (Cambridge University
Press, 1981).
Author, "The USSR and Germany" Problems of Communism (September/
October 1981).
 Approved For Release 2007/03/05: CIA-RDP83T00966 0100060012-2
The Soviet Union 0 the 1980s
OUTSIDE WORLD (cont.)
Rebecca Strode
National Institute for
Public Policy
Suite 301
6870 Elm Street
McLean, VA 22101
(703) 442-4820
B.A. (1977) University of Virginia
M.A. 019791 Harvard University
Author, "Soviet Strategic Style," in Comparative Strategy
(forthcoming).
Co-author (.with Colin Gray), "The Imperial Dimension of
Soviet Strategy" Problems of Communism (November/December 1981).