PART V. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS SAFE ADPE PROCUREMENT ISSUE: VALUE OF COMPATIBILITY WITH EXISTING ODP HARDWARE/SOFTWARE
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Part V. Summary and Conclusions
SAFE ADPE Procurement Issue:
Value of Compatibility with Existing
ODP Hardware/Software
This study has attempted to evaluate the impact of a
non-compatible SAFE architecture on the functioning of the
Office of Data Processing. By non-compatible, it is meant
a mainframe architecture other than the current ODP archi-
tecture used in the Ruffing and Special Centers: this archi-
tecture happens to be IBM, but this is not relevant to the
study conclusions. We have in fact addressed the general
problem of the value of a common ODP architecture.
SAFE will be a large complex system that will have a
significant impact on ODP. We have attempted to isolate the
additional impact that would occur if the SAFE hardware/soft-
ware were not compatible with existing ODP Processing resources.
This impact, as often as possible, has been expressed in terms
of dollar cost and an effort has been made to minimize the
qualitative assessment required.
Complex problems can rarely be treated in quantitative
term exclusively and this problem is no exception. Cost has
been used because it is the only readily understandable common
denominator among a multiplicity of different categories where
it is judged that ODP will feel an impact. This impact may
take the form.of an increase in direct cost (such as for
training) or the loss of a capability (such as disaster backup).
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For the latter type, cost serves to bound the impact and improve
understanding. The use of cost allows total impact to be
estimated through aggregating the costs (with some quali-
tative factors still remaining). The resultant aggregate
cost (and aggregate impact) can then be "folded-in" to proposal
evaluation to aid in the selection of SAFE ADPE.
It is interesting to speculate as to why there is an
impact associated with a non-compatible architecture. In terms
of the model used in this study, a non-compatible SAFE creates
a "barrier" within ODP. The basic task of ODP is to apply office
resources to ADP problems (i.e., the workload). The architecture
barrier, however, impedes the transfer of these resources. In
addition, the barrier also impedes the alternative to the
transfer of resources to workload: the transfer of workload,
or load sharing. To cross this architecture barrier with
workload or resources implies an additional cost and, if this
transfer is precluded, a loss of capability as compared to a
homogeneous architecture environment.
The summary sheet lists the general resource/workload
category and details the specific impact and estimated cost
of non-compatibility. The estimated aggregate cost of non-
compatibility (ignoring qualitative factors) is $6030K (in
undiscounted 1979 dollars) over the seven year systems life
of the CIA SAFE configuration. There is obviously a large
amount of uncertainty in a study of this type. Due to this
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uncertainty, it is reasonable to place a range of + 50% around
the aggregate cost impact: i.e., $3015K to $9045K. The majority
of this cost (i.e., 68%) is in the Increased Personnel Require-
ments category (Cost Element B-3) and represents the systems life
cost of 13 additional people, 6 of whom are systems programming
personnel supporting a new operating system.
To put this result in perspective, the systems life cost
of the CIA/DIA SAFE IOC configuration (excluding workstations
DIA SAFE IOC configuration systems life cost and is not an
insignificant impact.
STATINTL
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TABLE III
Summary Sheet: Cost of Non-Compatibility
with Existing ODP Hardware/Software
Resource/Workload Impact
Category (Cost Element No)
A. Management Expertise A-l: Increased Management Complexity and
Program Risk
B. People B-1: Impact on Personnel Management
B-2: Increased Vendor System Training
B-3: Additional Personnel Requirements
C. Hardware/Software C-1: Limitations on Reconfiguration &
Reutilization
C-2: Unavailability of Emergency and
Limited Disaster Hardware Backup
C-4: Software Exchange Limitations
( Continued)
Costs are over seven year systems life of CIA SAFE IOC configuration (undiscounted), rounded to nearest $10K.
Qualitative factor, see cost element for further discussion.
***
No cost impact or impact can be evaluated directly in procurement, see cost element for further discussion.
Estimated
Cost of Non-Compatibility*
(Undiscounted 1979 $)
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TABLE III
Summary Sheet: Cost of Non-Compatibility
with Existing ODP Hardware/Software (con'.t)
Resource/Workload Impact
Category (Cost Element No.)
D: Technical Barriers to Load Sharing (see following)
D-1: Routine Production Load Sharing
D-2: Routine Development Load Sharing
D-3: Backup Load Sharing (see following)
D-3(a): Overflow Load Sharing
D-3(b): Disaster Backup
Costs are over seven year systems life of CIA SAFE IOC configuration (undiscounted), rounded to nearest $10K.
**
Qualitative factor, see cost element for further discussion.
No cost impact or impact can be evaluated directly in procurement.
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Estimated
Cost of non-Compatibility*
(Undiscounted 1979 $)
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STATINTL
STATINTL
Part Vi. References
1. Consolidated SAFE Requirements Document, Volume I, CIA
Operational and Performance Requirements, April 1979,
SAF-D0005X/79, (OUO).
2. MF, D/CSPO, C/SA/CSPO/ODP, subject Study
of Consolidated SAFE versus Separate DIA and CIA Systems,
dated 21 May 1978, SAF-E096-79.
3. MFR fro C/PPAC/CSPO. Subject: SPS/ODP
STATINTL4-
STATINTL
Staffing Increase, dated 13 July 1979.
a) =SAFE Proposal, Vol. I, "Executive Summary
Technical" dated 15 January 1979, (SAFE 102-3/79).
STATINT
b) -SAFE Proposal, Vol. II, "Cost" dated 16 March 1979
STATINTL (SAFE-_002-3/79).
5. C.E. Walston and C.P. Felix, "A Method of Programming
Measurement and Estimation," IBM System Journal, Vol. 16,
No. 1, 1977, reprinted in the IEEC COMPSAC 77 Tutorial
on Quantitative Management: Software Cost Estimating,
1977, pages 269-288.
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Part VII: Notes on Terminology
An attempt is made to clarify the meaning and intent of
certain significant terminology used in this study. No claim
is made that either the terms or their usage are conventional.
Compatibility
An H/S Compatible SAFE refers to SAFE hardware and software
(H/S) that is compatible with ODP Ruffing and Special Center
H/S. This is equivalent to saying that SAFE hardware is IBM
or IBM plug-compatible and SAFE system software is ODP-supported
IBM system software, either MVS or VM. Other terms used inter-
changeably for H/S compatible are IBM-compatible or IBM architecture.
A Non-Compatible SAFE, Non-Compatible Architecture or just
Non-Compatibility as used herein, refers to a SAFE system that
uses neither IBM or IBM plug-compatible hardware. (The situation
of IBM or IBM plug-compatible hardware but non-ODP-supported
system software is not evaluated in this study.)
Part II, "Introduction" discusses the compatibility situation
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Organizations
ODP Processing refers to CIA/DDA/ODP/DD/P current organiza-
tional components and/or the computer centers currently managed
by them: i.e., the Ruffing and Special Centers.
SAFE Operations Group refers to personnel (staff or
contractors) primarily assigned to SAFE support post- Initial
Operational Capability (IOC). SAFE Operations Group staff
are not necessarily slotted in ODP or a unique organizational
component in ODP (e.g., an NFAC database administrator or an
ODP Processing individual whose primary function is SAFE support.)
Costs (1979 Dollars)
All dollar figures, unless otherwise noted, are in terms
of 1979 dollars with no escalation for inflation (i.e., constant
1979 dollars). (For convenience, FY-79 dollars are assumed
equivalent to 1979 dollars.)
Evaluated Cost is a present value cost (i.e., discounted at 10%
annually). Evaluated costs have not been developed
at this time. All costs are in 1979 dollars.
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