DCI BRIEFING NOTE: POLAND

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84B00049R000200320010-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 10, 2007
• Sequence Number: 10
• Publication Date: December 21, 1981
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 209~951SE061 JA-rB"P' #'B90049R000200320010-9
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
NATIONAL FOREIGN ASSESSMENT CENTER
21 December 1981
Information as of 0945
'50 1)
DCI BRIEFING NOTE: POLAND
25X1
25X1
The Church has not caved into regime pressure or been
coopted. According to US Embassy sources, police carrot and
stick tactics--offers of special privileges regarding the curfew
and access to gas in return for agreement not to read the tougher
bishop's message at Mass yesterday--were rebuffed by pastors.
The Church continues to play its long-term role of conciliator
and mediator between the communist government and the populace.
If anything, the Church's hand may have been strengthened by the
current situations. The regime is taking a desperate gamble, but
Jaruzelski realizes that a real solution to the crisis will have
to include a settlement with Solidarity in some form or other.
The Chur the only institution that can act as honest
broker. II 25X1
'emu
Our analysis that resistance to martial law has lessened at S4*h jJ
least temporarily and is mostly concentrated in two areas--the IrYi
Baltic coast and Silesian mines- JP'
The Soviets seem satisfied so far by the effectiveness of
the martial law administration. 125X1
the media, 25X1
frequently a barometer of regime concern, has reported growing
"normalization" in Poland. Soviet officials, however, have
expressed an awareness that the lid could blow at anytime,
ervention which they want to avoid.
25X1
049R00020032001C