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NSC MEETING - THURSDAY, 25 MARCH, 1:30 - 2:30 P.M.

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
38
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 2, 2009
Sequence Number: 
14
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 24, 1982
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4.pdf1.78 MB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 State Dept. review completed THE DIRECTOR O~ CEPdTRAI INTELLIGENCE DDI #2428-82 24 March 1982 MEMOftANUUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence Deputy Director of Central Intelligence VIA Richard Lehman Acting Chairman, National Intelligence Council Acting National Intelligence Officer for USSR-EE SUBJECT : NSC Meeting - Thursday, 25 March, 1:30 - 2:30 p.m. 1. The announced purpose of the meeting is a debriefing of the Buckley high-level meeting to Europe. The hidden agenda item is what to do in the wake of the mission. 2. As you will recall, the presidentially-directed purpose of the mission was to "address restricting medium- and long-term government and government- guaranteed export credits to the Soviet Union and convening a conference of these countries and others to consider the establishment of a standing mechanism of the management of such credit restrictions in the future." The mission was also to seek a pause in the granting of government-guaranteed credits pending the convening of the conference (See Attachment 1 for NSC Directive). rtions of this memo ossified SECRET NSC review completed. Derv Cl By Signer Revw on Mar 88 Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 Q Next 1 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 SUBJECT: PJSC Meeting - Thursday, 25 March, 1:30 - 2:30 p.m. Attachments: 1. NSC Directive 2. High-level Mission Meeting in Bonn 3. High-level Mission Meeting with NATO Council 4. Message from SECSTATE to French, FRG, UK, and Italian Foreign Ministers 5. FRG Reaction to USG Position 6. State Assessment and Guidance on West European Gas Purchases from the USSR. -4- SECRET f Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 MEHORAI~DDi7l~E POR TAE VICE PRESIDENT CONFIDENTTA;" Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 TH? M/i~BTE HOUSE w~sr~~ro~TON ? . .c?. 3:~ti r4.. THE SECRETARY OF STATE ~ ==~~=' ~~ y~-;~; ~-s~;._ THE SECRETARY OF THE TRE~SIIRY :~.~:~;'~?"~;~ _' THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE. - .:::;`~~"""~--,?~,~..~ -~'-~ TAE SECRETARY OF COMMERCE;,~.~.-'"~ = ?~'Y: '-;;~:~,: c~ . THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL~~:INTELLIGENCE ~'~ THE UNITED STATES REPRESEN:ATIVE~:TQ THE- UNZT~'D idATIONS -.._~ ... ::^~'~ ~ . '_TRE DIRECTOR dF OFFICE MANAGI~T~.AND BQDGET~` THE UNITED STATES TI2AE}E REPRESENTATIVE ,_ THE CHAIRMAN, JOINT? CHIEFS OE~' STAFF High Level Mission to Europe 'The President has determi.n~-d to defer his decision 1~T9 ~~~'' applicability of the December 3n, i98I, sanctions invni~;.,rr".` ??v~aGY .-~ :Onion pending return of a yission to Europe headed by itnder~;~:: -Secretary of State Jar:~es Buckley to cans~~t t ~; th ra?ra..-_...._.: ~?y~e yr zne covarnments or the United Kingdom, Franc, Italy . The consultations will address restricting ~edivm -and' Ior~- term government and 4overnment QilarantF+?aA csvr~n.-4- .?...~: a._ i_ _ and others to consider the. establishment ~of ais ending me~c3:a8is~:e .-._ =for the management of such cre*3it rest-;~-t,~~a ;,, +.~,e s..~._.~~ ~. v.+wJ~.4a. bV 4vliG:l3s~~a'"~CL - _ y the' governments involved that no new government or goverrmesxt-; guaranteed. medium - or,lonq-term credit commitments w311 be._.~ made to the Soviet-Union in the interim.== - -c -~?~ ~?-?-???s-.. v y ~.crc rz.L~~2.LiSt SF~i}i~.113 ? also encourage thes:~ to ~cve aE.'~ead w~~t~ fL~~-?w?r ~-~c~.~,.+~.;....s . should also encourage the Allied~Gavernmeritsvto~' join vtith~aa ? in an effort to limit European energy dependence on the ar~~aiet iTwir~w v._~_~,~ .t ~ _ _ to the key objective of significantvrestraints on credits~? to tin c+....4..~ r,.. __ --- In addition to Under Secretary Buckley, the Mission will " incl~zde representatives from the Departments of Treasury, Defense, Commerce az~d the National Security Council staff. W~ Rev ew or, 1-L3rch 19 R A Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 STATE ccrpC'T FRP! . . ~ ~ ib? 00 kUEAII6 Z~vY SSSSS ZOC STATE ZZH STU126u UU kUEHC DE ZNY RUEHLD SSSSS .#5926/01 ZZH 07,60903 O 1708382 MAR 82 FM A~C~!t'sASSY LONDOPJ TU RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 7901 I'~f0 kUFNOI/AMEMBASSY gOriN 3329 RUEHBS/AMEMEiASSY BRUSSELS 1953 RUEhRO/AMEMBA5SY Rh~'~E 7235 i~;;FHNA/USMISSI~~N USNATO 9303 BT S E C k E T LONDON 05926 COMBINED SECTION E.O. 12465; RDS?1 3/16/92 tBUCKLEY, JA-~ES L.) TAGS: E.FIN, EFWTo UR SUBJECT; INTERAGENCY MISSION ON EAST-BEST ECONOMIC - RELATIONS: REPORT Q~+ BO~+N CONSULTATIONS 1. tSECRET - ENTIRE TEXT.) 2. SUMMARY: INTERAGENCY MISSION'S TALKS IN BONN WITH FRG COUNTERPARTS HEADED BY FOREIGN OFFICE STATE SECRETARY LAUTENSCHLAGER AND EC4rJOMiC MINISTRY STATE SECRETARY VON wUERZEN FEATURED LENGTHY AND INCONCLUSIVE TALKS ON SECRET Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 ',~ Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 82 8213857 SSO PAGE 00? TOR; 1710582 MAR 82 4y~+ETHER HERS"ES CREDIT GUARANTEE SYSTEr" REPP.E5ENTS ELEMEryT OF STATE SU3SIDiZATIO~f pF CREf`IFS, GERMANS INSISTED THAT ~~C~~TRAIyTS Ord FUTURE EXTENSIOrv OF THESE GUARANTEES WOULD Rtsul.T IN DECLINE IN FRG TRADE ~-ITN THE SOVIET UryION, AS tXPECTED, GERMANS STRESSEn rjEED FOR "EC~UITY" AryD "BU~raErv SHAHIr~G" IN ANY RESTRAINT REGIME, CLAIMING TMAT Ti-~E Y r~ERE ALREADY DISApVAryTAGEU BY CREDIT SUBSIDIES OF UTHE.R COUNTRIES. ALTHOUGH GERr1ANS RESISTED GIVIr~G AraY C:?'~MITME"yT BEYQrdD AGREEMENT TO PROVIDE FURTHER INFORMATION 0,>> THEIR CREDIT SYSTEM, GERMANS SNOULp gE tJr)DER r+0 ILLUSIONS TMAT RESTRAINTS Dry HERMES OPERATIONS HILL 8E EsSEr1TIAL IF IJ~S~ PROPpSALS ARE TO SUCCEED. GERMANS ALSrJ REvtALED r~ISe~NDERSTANDING REGARDING NATURE OF U.S. POSITION ON "NO UNDERCUTTING.'? STATIrJG THAT THEY A.;'yTICIPATED U.S. ~iOULO NOT PUT RE9TRAINT ON CONTRACTS IN E3EIr'G, THEY ASKED THAT THE U.S. AGAIN CONSIDER ALLOi~iNG EXI5TIhG CONTRACTS (AEG KANIS) TO BE FULFILLED 6Y APPkaVING EXPORT LICENSE REQUESTS. REPORT ON GROUP r^Er:TING WITH FOREIGN MINISTER GErd3CHER SEPTEL. ENU SUMMARY. 3, AFTER I*yITIAL wELCC1ME BY L.A1.lTE^ySCHLAGER~ UNDER SECRETARY BUCKLEY MADE INITIAL U.S. PRESENTATION IN WHICH HE STRESSED; A, WE ARE SEEKIryG SIGNIFICANT RESTRICTIONS IN OFFICIAL CP,EDITS AND GUARANTEES TO THE SOVIET UNION, 8, THIS iS NOT PART OF CONFRnNTATIONAL STRATEGY E3UT RATHER REFLECTS THE PRESIDENT'S STkanGLY HELD ViEw TMAT wESTER;v SUBSIDIES OF SOVIET ECONOMIC DEVELOPMEPyT ARE FUrvDAMENTALLY lNRONG ANp THAT ECONOMIC COMPONENT OF EA5T- ~rEST RELATIOraSHIP MUST gE BROUGHT INTO A COHERENT WESTERN STRATEGY. C. EVENTS LAST FRIDAY IN MADRID SYMBOLIZED DIS- APPOINTMENT OF WESTERN HOPES REGARDING SOVIET BEHAVIOR D. FOP, ECONOMICi POLITICAL AND STRATEGIC REASONS, FLOW OF SUkiSIDIZED CREDIT TA THE SOVIET UNION MUST 8E GUKBED, Approved For Release~2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 , CC~'dCT Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 STATE -w-sAr.-.~s-~w.rw ww ~wrylw w-ww.r--wOw+M-it?~I-w-wwrwElO-6~wf wa qc?-lswwwO--O?w-aowscC--:--lAw 82 n2 ] 3fl57 SSU PAGE 003 riC $~ 13>3S? TUR; 1710582 MAR 82 E. wE REALIZE THAT THIS TRUST 8E DONE ctrl MULTI LATERAL SAgIS, AND PaUST INCLUDE JAPAN, CANADA AND OTHER KEY COUNTfZIES. F. WE SEEK AGREEMENT ON A MECHANIS`^ TU MONITOR CRkDITS~ A TEMPQRARY PAUSE IN FURTHER EXTENSIONS FENDING ESTABLISHMENT OF THIS MECHANISM AND GREATER EXCHANGE OF INFORMATION Tfl 5ET UP THE MECHANISM AND INSURE ITS GOOD oRE~aTION. - r. ~!ISSIOr1 WILL REPORT ON ITS TALKS TO THE PRESIDEhiT, WHO hAS DEFERRED A DECISION ON APPLICABILITY OF NIS !)ECE"!8ER 30 DECISION TO PEriDING CONTRACTS. 4, Ur,DER SECPETARY IKLE THEr1 PRESENTED 06JECTIVES OF THE MIS5I!~r+ IN TER^~S OF THE MILITARY STRATEGIC INTERESTS OF THE ALIIANCE~ NOTI~~G THAT RESTRAI~~T ON CREDITS ~`iAS AN EBSErtTIAL YET MISSING ELEMENT OF THE WESTERN 5TRkTEGY. nEVifr:~ItiG THE POST-WAR ERA, HE N07ED THAT EFFORTS D-)RING THE b0'S ArlD 70'S TO MODERATE SOVIET BEHAVIOR THROt1GFi GREATER TRADE AND ARMS CONTROL f~AQ FAILED: IrISTEAD, VaE HAD WITNESSED Er!ORMOUS SOVIET MII.ITAR+/ 8UILD UP, -~ITHOl1T A MtiRE COMPKEHEriSIVE ALLIANCE STRATEGY, HE WARMED. CHE ALLIANCE MIaHT NUT SUP.ViVE A PERIgD ~F CRISIS WHICH LIES AHEAp~ UNDER SECRETARY IKLE SAID THAT A. COHERENT NATO STRATEGY SHOULD INCLUDE THREE ELEMENTS PIAMELY; LEAD. i. DEFENSE BUILC-UP IN 4vhICH U,S. WAS TAKING THE ~, AN APPPOACH EXEMPLIFIED BY THE TvrO-TRACK INF GEGISIUN TO REINVIGORATE THE ARM5 CONTROL EFFORT ANDS EXDIS 3. A NEW APPROACH IN THE ECONOMIC AREA TO STOP TRANSFER OF RESOURCES TO THE SOVIET UNION. WIThOUT THIS LATTER ELEMENT, WE WILL BE UNABLE TO CLOSE THE GAP IN THE EAST?WEgT MILITARY BALANCE. HE ARGUED THAT WESTERN SUBSIDIZATION OF TRADE WITH THE SOVIET UNION Hqp MADE IT EASIER FOR THE SOVIET LEADERS TO CARRY OUT THEIR UNtf2ECEDENTED rILITARY BUILD-UP NHICH COULD 9RING THE _ Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 8~ n213aS7 SSO PAGE ooU rtc 6213557 TOR: 17i'~58Z MAR 62 .~wwwwwwww~ww ww~wwwsw/rwww~w~~ow~~i~~~s~w~r.u'4aw+fYr~woww irsaww~w~laTO wa~~rsw~ls s~eEwF?o ww~w DEFENSE SNARE OF THE SOVIET GNP TO 15 PERCENT BY 1985. HE uRGEU THAT vtESTERf~ COUr?tTRIES ALLOW "^ARKET FORCES TU OPkRATE ANU RESIST SOVIET F~P.ESS+JkE FOP CREDITS, VIE DD fJ01 SF_t.K EC(tr~pr^IC hARFgRE, HF_ SAIU, HUT QNLY AN EVE+v- NANDED NDNwSrJBSIDIZED TRADE POLICY. Irt CONCLUSIOPtr Ut'vOER SECRETARY IKLE DREW A CO~~-PARISION f3ET~vEEN ~tESTERN ASSISTANCE TD Pl1LA~iD ANp TURKEY. WHILE HE ACKNOWLEDGED 5U8ST,~NTIAL FRG ASSISTANCE TO TURKEY HE SAID THAT ASSISTANCE IN RECEr~T YEARS TO POLA~`JD HAp IN FACT BEEN TyrICE AS GREAT AS THAI' TD TURKEY. 5, UNDER SECRETARY DLMER POINTED OUT THAT U.S., THROUGH ACTIONSTAKEN 8Y THE PRESIDENT ON DECEMBER 29, 1981. HAS LOaT PEKHaP, 5~o MILLION OrILLARS I'~ ExE'ORTS ar}NUALLY, THIS HA5 SUBSTANTIAL IMPACT ON JOR~ SITUATION IN U.S., t3U7 HE SAID THAT WE REGARD THIS AS PRICE 1vE MAST PAY FDR SECURITY. HE ACKNOWLEDGED THAT U.S. HAS HAD TRADE SUKPL~IS WITH SOVIETS IN RECENT YEARS, h3UT HE SAIp THIS WAS UUE Tp SOVIET AGRICULTURAL FA1l.URE AND NOT OUR MARKET CEVEIOP""E'tT. HE ALSO CALLED ATTEr~TION TO ONGOIrtr, U,S. EFFi~RTS TJ ASSIST IN VuESTERN EURQPEArJ ENERGY INDEPENDENCE THi~pUGH FACI'.ITATION OF GREATER COAL EXPORTS THE CAPACITY FOu hh1ICN MIGHT PEACH 25A ~~ILLIOr; "METRIC TOr,S IN 1983. a. ASSISTANT SECRETARY LELArdD Mt7TE~ THAT THERE AkE DIFFEkENCES EiETWEEN U.S, AND EUROPEAr~J AS5E.SSME-~~TS DF EAST" WEST RELA7IO~:ISNIP BUT ADDED THAT A COMPROMISE HERE 5HOt)LD 8E POSSIBLE. HE EXPRESSED DISAPPOINTMENT WITH THE WAY Iii ~'+HICH EC t?ECISIO'v ON ItitPORT PESTRICTIONS AGAj~;ST SOVIET Ur~ION HAD BEEN IM?LEMENTED. THE CREDIT AREA, HE SAID, STRIKES US AS A pAkTICULARIY IMPORTANT AREA dT THIS TIME. HE ACxNOwLEDGEp THAT GERr~ANS HAt) PROVIDED RELATIVELY LUv~(:R t~EGREE (:F St18SIDIZATION THA~i OTHER EUROPEAN COUrVTRIES BUT MAINTAINEp THAT FACT OF GOVERNMENT INVDLVE? MENT IN HERMES SYSTEM Ig INDEED EQUIVALENT TO SUBSIDI- ZATION. HE POINTED OUT THAT ?SUCH HAS CHANGED IN LAST Z/3. YEt+RS, AS SOVIET CREDIT RATING HAS FALLEN, AND PRIVATE BANi~S HAVE BECOME EXTREMELY RELUCTAyT TO LEND DN ANY TEk~!S, LELAND POINTED DUT THAT U.S. WAS EFFECTIVELY OUT DF THE SOVIET MARKET FOR INDUSTRIAL GOODS AND THAT OUR PAST-AFGHAftISTAN GRAIPJ EMI~ARGO HAD COST US A SUBSTANTIAL SHAs~E OF THE GRAIN MARKET, TAKEN UP BY ARGENTINA AND CArJADA. HE SUGGESTED THAT IT t~QUL6 9E RELATIVELY EASY Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 82 82131357 SSO PACE 005 NC ~?~13857 TOR: 17105f3Z MAR 82 w~++~~.rww--?-w--..ww-www~.wyw.'wwsww rw+.ww~.-wws..w-w~ww rwnwr.aw?w-w.o ec a. ww www-'.w ww~w w--v. C.ewi.? FOR THE GERMAt~~s To AROPT POSTUP.E SIMILAR TO OURS, I.E. NO GOVE.F?N`"ENT GUA~?A"1TEESi IT 1'vOUID 8E "Ai)kE DIFFICULT FnR OT-1Ej< ALLIES. tvHILE END OF HERMES GUARArjTEES COULp RESULT I+~~ SOA'E TR,Apf LO;i, "'tCTt1Al OUTCOMEw hAfit? TO PFEDICT. HE ACnNOWLk.DGEn THAT WESTERr~ PRESSURE MOULD r~EVEP CNA~dGE SOVIET SYSTE'`~i HC11'!EVER, f~E COt?LD Y~AKE CHOICES MODE CIFFICULT F(3R S()VIEt LEA7FRS. HE S'RESSED THE Ni:Et~ FOR BETTER i"~FGRMATIO^~ EXChANGE Or! CPFDTTS/GLAFANTEES, ;WHICH COULD >NURK Tn THE ADVAraTAGE OF FRG, (LELAf?;f; GAVE VON ir1JEf~ZEN COPY qF FQRMAT WNICN COULI) BE USED TO REPORT GUAfkANTEiS.) IN CONCLUSIOrJ, LELAND SAID HE hOPED THAT 11.5. tNOt1L0 NOt HEAR AF3OUT HOW 1975 FRG-SOVIET TREATY PREVEPfTED A1Y ACT1,j~'v RESTRICTI~~jG HERPES ACTTVITIES In! USS-~. (FnR 1riHATEVER REASON, GEf~MANS DID MOT RAISE THIS TREATY, IN CON- TRAST TO THEIR POST-AFGHANI5TAP~ PERFORMAtvCE.) 7. MR. BAILEY NOTED THAT PKESIDF_NT REAGAN HAD DEFERRED ..ANY DECISIOr~ ON APPLICATION OF c~ECEyBER 29 DECISIONS, ADDING T+iAT THE PPCSIDFPJT WAS COr.-FIDENT TNP{T THE ALLIES ~vOULD SE ABLE TO Wt)RK OUT AN AGREEMENT wHICN COULD PF2Ut7ENTLY REVERSE NESTwTO-EAST CAPIT'L FLOW. HE Ex1~RE5sED HOPE THAT TF+ERE ~,oULD t1>~ NO MORE "1.2 eiLLioN MAkK SUh',PRISES" WHILE EFFORT TO DEVELOP SUCH A SYSTEM PkOCEEDS, AND OUTLINED CONSULTATIVE PROCESS ~~'OVI^+G THttOUGH FURTHER BILATERAL MEETINGS TO A CONFERENCE, PE1iHAPS IN WASHINGTOr~, WHERE t+aE WOULD NUPE THAT FINAL AGREEMENT CO~.JLD eE F2EACHED. 8. LAUTENSCHLAGER NOTEp BROAD RANGE OF TOPICS RAISED BY U.S. SIDE. HE CHARACTERIZED TODAY'S MEETING AS OraE IN A SERIES P3ET~nEEN JArdUARY 11 NAC FOREIG~~ MIr~iSTERS ~~EETINGS ANU ,TUNE SU"~MITS- IN PARTICULAR VEF.SAILLES, WHERE PRESENCE OF JAPAN ~tOt1Lp MAKE DISCUSSION OF EAST?wEST TRADE PROHLEMS APPROPRIATE. AS RkGARf)S Cor3SIDERATiONS MEPv7I0"~ED DY DR. IKLE, GERMANS HAVE SINCE JArJUARY it TAKEN STEPS AGAINST SOVIET UNION, IP~CLUDING REFUSAL TO PIEGGTIATE TECHNOLOGY Af~p MARITIME AGREEMENTS AND GUT IN IMPORTS FR0,4 THE USSR. LATTER WAS NOT EASY, HE SAID, Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 STATE 82 9213857 S5U WAGE OOb NC 8213B57 ' TOR: 1710582 MAk 92 ~~..~w~~ww.wrw.r ~w~ws~w a.~~w~~,~w~saw4.~~as~.s,~~ee ca~s4~w~sser su..-.w~s,.~~.~wsvm~~~~o?t~, au:?soal~~~[o ~~ C AND ADVISED U.S, iJU? TO BE SO DISAPPOIr1TED WITH OUTCOME Si'}CE EC UNITY M10ULD IMPRESS 50VIF_TS r~t7RE THAT! A NIGHER { r ICUpE, HE ARGt1EU. CONTINUING, t, ,n~)TF'NSCHLAGER P~OTED THAT U.5. NOT PROPOSING TRADE WAR ENITh SOVIETS gUT a~AS SEE.KItrvG E~+!' TO~ OFFICI.~L SUF3SIDIZATIUP+ OF C~?EDITS, ~iHICh h!E ~ ChARACTERIZED AS A I~;ORTHWtHILE GOAD, HE ALSO i'JOTED US?FRG AGkEE,MENT THAT NO 4vESTERiV SANCTIOi'J3 Ir10UL0 CAUSE SOVIETS TO CHANGE COUR5Ei H~.E COULD I`"AKE T?~INGS MOkE DIFFICULT FOk THEM, HE SAID, BUT NO MORE, LAUTE~~BCHLAGER STRESSED NEED FAR COtJSENSUS OF ALL KEY COUi??,TRTES ON BUTS 04JECTIVES AND PROCEDURES, AND HE RAISED QUESTION OF U,S, GRAIiJ SALES., REJECTING BY IMPLICATION (1UR CONTENTION THAT THESE. ARE PURELY COMMERCIAL AND SNOI)LD DAVE ~:O I~~PACT OPT CREt1IT RESTRAINTS ISSUE, DUE TO DIFFERENT TRADE STRUCI?UkES, AraY CUT F3ACK IN CREDIT WOULp HAVE VERY ADVERSE AFFECT ON FRG EXPORTS. HE RECALLED FAMILIAR GERMAN ARGUMENT THAT ' NE-~MES GUARANTEES DO NOT CONSTITUTE SUi35IDiZaTIOti OF CREDIT FLOWS, BUT 'DOTED THAT U.S. DOES NOT ACCEPT THIS .REASONING. HER"DES, NE SAID, WA5 A TOTALLY NON- DISCRI~"INATORY SYSTEM, WITH NO SPECIAL, B}eEAKS FOR SOVIETS. 9, LAUTENSCNCAGER ALSO RAISED FRG St~PPOfcT FOR RAISING }ISSk Fk~M rATEGURY II TO I IN OECD) CONSENS~JS, AND ASKED FOR GREATER U,S. SUPPORT. tLELAr1Q SAID NEE SHARED OBJECTIVE BUT REGARDED IT AS "TUO LITTLE, TOO SUON,"3 GERMANS CONTINUED TO BELIEVE, HE SAID, THAT OECD WOULD gE APPkOPRIATE FORUM FOR MULTILATERAL 4vORK oN cREDIT }~ESTRAIivT MECHANISMS HOWEVER, GERMAN$ UNDERSTAND tJ,S. "ANXIETIES" REGARDING NEUTRALS AND NrOUL~? BE PREPARED TO viQRK IN A DE FACTO, SMALLER FORUM ON MARGINS OF OECD, HE MADE REFERENCE TO EXPERIENCE OF ESTABLISHMENT OF LEA AS EkAMPLE OF WHAT GERMAr~+S BELIEVE MAY BE POSSIBLE, Ids CONCLUSION, LAUTENSCHLAGER AGREED WITH NEED FOR GREATER TRANSPARENCY ON CREDITg/GUARANTEES, }4AINTAINED THAT U,S~ EFFORTS TO REDUCE LEVEL OF HERMES GUARANTEES WAS AIMED, IN PRACTICE, AT FRG EXPORTS, AND STATED FRG COMMITMENT TO FULFILL SIGNED CONTRACTg. OPJ LATTER POINT, LAUTENSCHLAGER CLAIMED THAT GERMANS HAD ORIGINALLY U[dDERS70OD THAT U.S~ tNUULD ALLOW Ft1LFiLLMENT OF SIGNED CONTRACTS CAUGHT BY OUR DECEMBER 29 MEASURES ONCE -THE MEANING OF "NO UNDER.. ;CUTTING" WAS PROPERLY DEFIP}ED, SINCE THEN, U.S. NAO CHANGED COURSE AND WAS NOW SETTINr, CONDITION OF AGREEMENT Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 SECRET Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 STATE 82 5213857 SSO PAGE X07 TOR: 1710582 MAR 82 wawwwwr~wwwww~rww.~wwwww,~Mwawwwwwww~w?wwewr ww 4rwww~wwss wwwwwwwwo~e.w ewww rw s.rw sic. e~.CSmw~ F Qiv GpEDITS/GUARANTEES. U,S, PARTICIPAr+TS STROr+GLY DENIED TrtAT THERE h/1p EVER BEEN U.S. PROPOSAL TO LI~~x AGREEMENT U."1 "NC! tJNDERC+,1TTItlG" 4^IITN 11.S, F'ELEASE OF RfITORSr FOR ExA~"PLE. I~~ FACT, Tt~EY POIrdTED Ol1T, FFG FULFILL~AE~IT OF COQ+tRACTS COULD fjE SEEtJ AS UNDERCIJTTTtiG OtJR '~EAS~JRES, (Tl~IS SAME EXCHA~lGE 'SAS REPEATED LATER IN MEETIlvG,) 10, STATE SECRETARY VON t~UERZE-`! Si1~'PORTEU LAUTEraSCHLAGER?5 P!+E5ErdTATION, AND STRESSED .AT SEVERAL POINTS THAT ANY r~EGkEASE. IN HERHES GUARANTEES tro0lJLD LEAD TO FAIL IN FRG Fks'URTS, HE REJECTED U,S. CONTEr~TION THAT HERHES Ct1NSTITUTED EITHER A SUBSIDY OR A TECH"PIQUE USED BY THE STATE ARTIFICALIY TO DIRECT CRFnIT FLO~tS TO THE USSR. HE EX-'IAINEO NECESSITY OF HERHES ARRANGEME"!TS ON GROi'^~~S T~1aT Flc1v~STATEwO'~triED ANp RELATIVELY Ui~t~r.f?CAPITALIZED GEF?MAN ElANKI,,IG SYSTEM COULD NOT OTHERI~dISE PROVIDE NECESSARY GUARANTEES FpR GERMANY'S HEAVY VOLUME OF EXPORTS. VO~'- ~+UE~tZEN MADE STRONG PLEA, ON BASIS OF "MAINTAI*iING U~+ITY," THAT U,S. TAKE INTO ACCpUA~7 U"~.IDUE GEhiMAN SIiuATIORi, IN PARTIC~.ILAR STRUCTURE OF EXPORT ANp t/nkTICIPATION OF MANY SRtALL FIR`S THERE TN, IF GUARANTEES fALL, HE REPEATEn, TRADE WILL ALSO DECLINE, ON Er1ERGY CU,?PERATIONr VO~I riUERZEN STRESSEr: FRGS DESIRE TO COuf~EkATE WITH U.S, tiUT ARG~!EC THAT t1.S. COAL EXPORTS ALUME CQl1Lp r.lOT ELIMIr~~ATE nlEED Fou Sr1vIET GAS. 11. RESPONDING TO FRG .PRESENTATIONS, UNDERSECRETARY E3UCKLEY OBSERVED THAT REFERENCE TO JUNE SUMMITS DOES NOT SUGGEST SENSE OF URGFriCY WHICH tvE ATTACH TO PRINCIPAL ISSUE UNDER DISC'1SSION; WE NEED TO DISCOVER NOW WHETHER THEEcE I5 A WILL AMOEiG KEY ALLIES TO REACH NE4y CONSENSUS Or! F_~XPOR7 CREpiTSIGUARANTEES TO SUViET UNION. us FAVORS HE SAID, iM-'ROVED MECHANISM LIKE CUCOM BECAUSE OF THE U"r'If~UENESS OF BOTH THE PROBLEM Ar~lD THE OBJECTIVES, WITH SUCH A SYSTEM, wE CAN WAVE TANGIBLE, THOUGH MARGINAL IMPACT QN TflE SOVIET UNIOr~ WHICH taAULp BE OF REAL VALUE TO THE WEST. BUCKLEY pBSERVEO THAT GERMANS HAD CITED ALL THE PRaeLEMs itiE MUST FACE IN REACHING AGREEMEN7i WE ARE ANAkE OF THESE OB5TACLESr BUT BELIEVE THEY CAN BE OVER- CLIME IF ALL Il~1VOLVED COOPERATE, A'V E(JUITABLE ARRANGEMENT, IN WHICH NO PARTICIPAMT SEES ITS INTERESTS SUFFERING IN RELATIVE TERUS, I3 THE ONLY KIrJD t~iHICH riOULD WORK, HE ADDED, AND POIMTED OUT THAT UNLESS GER"MANS ARE PREPARED Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 ; Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 82 S2i3857 SSO PAGE 008 NC 8213857 t TOR; 1710582 MAR 82 r~~~w.-S~~AYr~w~1~r~~Y~w~sf`i~1~~~1rr~rw AS~mrr ~~ww~w1 M~A~~~tR6l~ws_~~~i~6A0O4 Arc@wMCeC ~a^.~~s+~~ TO MAKE AbJUST-~ENTS IPA HERMES, THEY COULD NOT EXPECT UK A!`iU FKANGE TO ELIr?~INATE ELEMENTS OF Su9SIDIZATID!v Ira THEIR SYSTEMS, AS FAR AS THEORY OF HER?~ES IS CONCEf~NEUi BUCKLEY ARGUED. FACT THAT GOVERN~''ENT STANDS BEHIND IT AS EXDIS GUAkANTOR INVOLVES ELEMENT OF SUBSIDY, WHY NOT REMOuE THIS STATE GUARANTEE, HE ASKED, APfO LET MARKET QECIOE WHETHER A GIVEN CREDIT IS SECURE? HERMES HAS t?UGTAS, HE POINTED OUTr FOR COUNTRIES IN POOR FINAP~CIAL STRAITS, WHY NOTE DO THIS IN CASE OF USSR, PARTICl1LARLY SINCE t"E? AL.L AGREE THAT ~JSSR IS pIFFERENT FRO" OTHER COU*rTRIES, VON WUERZEN ACKNOWLEDGED THAT USSR AS A COUNTRY AND TRADE WITH USSR WEP.E DIFFERENT, RUT HE REJECTED CONTENTION THAT THIS REQiJIREO ADJUSTMENTS IN HERMES, WHICH HAD BEEN APPLIED WITHOUT CHANGE FOR 30 YEARS, TO DEMON5TfdATE ALLk:GEULY WEAK FRG TRADI~~G POSITI~~^~, VO~~ ~~+UERZEN CITED tAND P,EPEATED SEVERAL TI"~ES LATER IN CONVERSATIOr~? FACT THAT Gt,RMANS APPEAR LIKELY TO RECEIVE ONLY 2.S BILLION P~AFtKS IN PIPELIFlE ORDERS ALTHOUGH 10 }iTLLION HAD F3EEN Ar~,TICI}'aTED. NE CO'dCLUDED t~iITH ARGUMEP~T THAT SI~`~CE LI~~ITS ON HE P,~"ES MEAN LIMITS Or?~ TRADE, WE SHOULD DISCUSS LATTER 5U8JEGT, 1~. IN REPLY, LEIAP}D STRESSED NEED FOR EgUALLY SHARED FUkDEk; Irl WHICH PJO COUP~TRY WOULD SUFFEP IP! RELATIVE 5Ey5E, HE CHARACTERIZEp GERMAcd STATEMENT THAT FRG PREF'AKED GO TO MARKET RATES IN Of CD YET RETAIN HERMES AS A SIT LIKE JAPANESE pOSITIO~~ ON SALES OF U.S, CARS IN JAPAN, IF MARKET TO RE FaLLOwEa, WHY NOT DISPENSE WITH HERMES, HE ASKED? AS FAR AS U.S. POSITION ON RECLASSIFICATION OF USSR IPA OECD CONSEP~SUS, OUR ONLY PRU6LEM WAS TO HAVE GENERAL RECLASSIFICATION WITHIN CONSENSUS SO THAT NUETRALS WOULD GO ALONG. AS FAR AS FOKUM FOR SEPARATED NEW CONSENSUS ON CREDITS/GUARANTEES To THE USSR, LELAND ARGUED THAT OECD WOULD NOT ttiORK, DUE IN LARGE MEASURE TO ITS MEM6EP,SHIp, VON WUERZEN ACCEPTED THIS POINT ANp SAID FRG PROPOSED FO WORK WITHIN A SMALLER CTP.CIf ON MARGINS OF Of CD. IN SOMEWHAT CONTRIDICTORY P,EMARK, HE SAID THAT IF U,S, WAS INTERESTED Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 SFrRPr Approved For Release 2009/09/02 :CIA-RDP84B00049R000200420014-4 STATE i`32 8213857 SSO PAGE" 0179 TOR: 1710582 MAR 82 -~r-wwws----w---ww.w---rw-w..rw-~w~r-rr,~~...----ww.w--~--?--ww---