HABIB MISSION(Sanitized)

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP84B00049R000701850018-7
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
3
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 2, 2006
Sequence Number: 
18
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 19, 1982
Content Type: 
CABLE
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP84B00049R000701850018-7.pdf172.45 KB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2007/02/05 : CIA-RDP84B00049R000701850018-7 25X1 9 201 PAGE 001 TOP: 192344ZAUG 82 ?ww~r~r~r~rr~~wr~iwr~.~ww.w~r~r.~~.~,srsw~w.~.~r?~~ww~wwrw~.w~w~.~.wr~w~~~ww+~~rwwa~ww~ww~rw~~r,w~r*.iw~s~~~? 00 RUEAIIB ZNY SSSSS ZOC STATE ZZH STU4532 00 RUEHC DE RUQMAE #5534 2312215 ZNYSSSSS ZZH ZZK 0 192210ZAUG 82 ZFF4 FM AMEMBASSY BEIRUT TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC NIACT IMMEDIATE 8147 RUEHTV/AMEMBASSY TEL AVIV NIACT IMMEDIATE 6R2 INFO RUEHAM/AMEMBASSY AMMAN IMMEDIATE 479 RUEHEG/AMEMBASSY CAIRO IMMEDIATE 477 RUEHJM/AMEMBASSY DAMASCUS IMMEDIATE 553 RRUEHJI/AMEMBASSY JIDDA IMMEDIATE 476 0 RUEHJM/AMCONSUL RUFHFR/AMEMBASSY RUEHRO/AMEMBASSY JERUSALEM IMMEDIATE 618 PARIS IMMEDIATE 56 ROME IMMEDIATE 57 RUEADWW/WHITEHOUSE WASHDC IMMEDIATE BT S E C R E T BEIRUT 5534 0 E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR TAGS: PINT, PEPR, MILI, MOPS, LE, IS, SY, XF, PLO SUBJECT: HABIB MISSION: BASHIR GEMAYEL'S THREAT 1, SECRET - ENTIRE TEXT. 0 0 2, ONLY HOURS AFTER THE ISRAELI CABINET MADE ITS POSITIVE DECISION, AND EVEN WHILE THE IDF AND LAF HAD COME TO A GOOD UNDERSTANDING REGARDING THE LAF State Dept. review completed Approved For Release 2007/02/05 : CIA-RDP84B00049R000701850018-7 I ? I Approved For Release 2007/02/05 : CIA-RDP84B00049R000701850018-7 0 0 0 0 0 9 82 9281704 SSO PAGE 002 TORS 192344ZAUG 82 0 TAKEOVER OF THE PORT OF BEIRUT TOMORROW NIGHT, A MAJOR NEW COMPLICATION AROSE WHICH THREATENS TO JEOPARDIZE EVERYTHING WE HAVE PUT TOGETHER, BASHIR GEMAYEL IS THINKING OF TAKING STEPS TO PREVENT THE LAF DEPLOYMENT IN THE PORT TOMORROW NIGHT AND, FOR THAT MATTER, THE DEPLOYMENT OF THE FRENCH MNF UNIT ON SATURDAY MORNING, AUGUST 21, 0 0 3, BASHIR'S REASONING IS AS FOLLOWS: 0 ?? MANY SUNNI MUSLIM FIGURES, IN PARTICULAR SA'B SALAM, INTEND TO BOYCOTT ANY MEETING OF PARLIAMENT SO AS TO FORESTALL 0 A QUORUM; IN THIS WAY, THEY INTEND TO FRUSTRATE THE POSSIBILITY THAT BASHIR WOULD BE FLFCTED PRESIDENT, 0 ?? IF THIS WERE NOT ENOUGH, THE SYRIANS, PALESTINIANS, AND LEFTISTS ARE APPLYING HEAVY PRESSURE AND INTIMIDATION TO PREVENT ANY CONVENING OF PARLIAMENT 0 OR, IF IT CONVENES, THE ACHIEVEMENT OF A QUORUM, THE FIRING AND OTHER INCIDENTS NEAR PARLIAMENT YESTERDAY STOPPED A MEETING TODAY; HOWEVER, EXTREMELY 0 HEAVY PRESSURE, THREATS AND INTIMIDATION ARE ALSO BEING PRACTICED BY THE SYRIANS ELSEWHERE TN THE COUNTRY TO PREVENT DEPUTIES FROM ATTENDING. 0 ?- AT THE SAME TIME, HOWEVER, THE LEADING SUNNI MUSLIM FIGURES IN WEST BEIRUT ARE DESPERATELYANXIOUS THAT THE WITHDRAWAL PLAN TO THROUGH AND THAT AN MNF CnME IN AS PART OF THE PROCESS, 0 ?? SA'B SALAM AND HIS COLLEAGUES DESPERATELY WANT TO SAVE WEST BEIRUT; BUT HE, HASHIR, WANTS TO BE ELECTED PRESIDENT AND PURSUE HIS VISION OF FORMING A STRONG GOVERNMENT, 0 ?? THEREFORE, BASHIR'S STRATEGY IS TO POSTPONE THE ENTRY OF THE MNF AND THE PLO WITHDRAWAL UNTIL 0 THE SUNNI OPPOSITION HAS AGREED TO ALLOWING PARLIAMENT TO MEET WITH A QUOV M SO THAT THE ELECTION CAN RE HELD. THE PARLIAMENT IS TO CONVENE AT A NEW LOCATION ON 0 MONDAY, AUGUST 23, AND BASHIR IS WORKING TO FORESTALL THE BEGINNING OF A PALESTINIAN WITHDRAWAL OPERATION 0 0 Approved For Release 2007/02/05 : CIA-RDP84B00049R000701850018-7 0 Approved For Release 2007/02/05 : CIA-RDP84B00049R000701850018-7 0 ? 0 9 -wwwr~+wwwa.rww. w-wwwwww .swww lw?w-lwwS S- ?ww-wwwwllswwlwww.IlwwwwwwwwwSSwwwww5 555I A2 9281704 SSO PAGE 003 TOR: I92344ZAUG 82 UNTIL AT LEAST TUESDAY. 4. BASHIR SENT TANKS AND MEN TO THE PORT, APPARENTLY IN THE EARLY EVENING, AND CONFRONTED GENERAL ETTAN. HARSH WORDS WERE REPORTEDLYEXCHANGED, WITH ETTAN TELLING BASHIR HE WAS UPSETTING THE ENTIRE APPLE CART. 5, I WILL NOT RECOUNT HERE THE ARGUMENT I MARSHALLED AGAINST THIS DISASTROUS, COUNTERPRODUCTIVE STRATEGY ON WHICH BASHIR HAS BEEN EMBARKED. SARKIS FIRST INFORMED ME OF THIS DEVELOPMENT IN THE EARLY EVENING, AND I URGED UPON HIM, SUTRUS, AND ABDU THAT THIS NOT BE ALLOWED TO TAKE PLACE. LATER IN THE EVENING, I SPENT AN HOURHRDD 45 MINUTES WITH BASHIR AND ABDU TOGETHER. I BELIEVE I SHOOK BASHIR UP A BIT. WHEN HE LEFT, HE PROMISED TO THINK OVER WHAT I SAID CAREFULLY. HOWEVER, HE 18 A DETERMINED MAN WHO SEES HIS CHANCE FOR THE PRESIDENCY SLIPPING AWAY. HE MAY SHIFT HIS TACTICS AND TRY TO GET SARKIS TO ALTER THE REQUEST FOR THE MNF UNTIL AT LEAST AFTER THE MONDAY SESSION OF THE PARLIAMENT. THIS FORM OF PRESSURE WILL NOT BE SO EASYTO APPLYOVER EXPECTED CABINET OPPOSITION. 6. TEL AVIV FOR AMBASSADOR LEWIS: I SUGGEST YOU GET IN TOUCH WITH DAVID KIMCHE AS EARLY IN THE MORNING AS POSSIBLE TO REVIEW THESE DEVELOPMENTS. IT IS CERTAIN THAT KIMCHE WILL HAVE BEEN INFORMED ABOUT THEM BY THEN, AND HE MAY HAVE ANOTHER PERSPECTIVE TO OFFER. KIMCHE IS ONE OF THE RELATIVELY FEW ISRAELIS WHO WILL UNDERSTAND FULLY THE INTRICACIES AND COMPLICATIONS IN THIS EXTRAORDINARY LEBANESE POLITICAL SCENE. I WOULD APPRECIATE IT IF YOU WOULD SEIZE THE OPPORTUNITY TO ENCOURAGE THE ISRAELIS THROUGH KIMCHE ?w TO PERSUADE BASHIR AWAY FROM THIS COURSE OF ACTION. WHATEVER YOU CAN REPORT TO ME, I WILL USE IN MY FURTHER EFFORTS DURING THE DAY, DILLON 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 M 0 i ? Approved For Release 2007/02/05 : CIA-RDP84B00049R000701850018-7 0