AGENDA SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY ADVISORY PANEL

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CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0
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T
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47
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December 20, 2016
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3
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MEMORANDUM
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Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE Science and Technology Advisory Panel AGENDA Science and Technology Advisory Panel Twenty-sxith Meeting Room 1S06, Wednesday, 15 September 1982 0830-0900 Coffee & Administration 0900-1000 Battlefield Lasers 1000-1200 1200-1330 Lunch 1330-1400 Executive Session Preparation for Meeting with DCI 1400-1500 Consultation with DCI 1500-1600 1600-1700 Alternate 1800-2100 Collection Cocktails & Dinner* * Black Horse Tavern 1240 20th Street., NW Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE Science and Technology Advisory Panel AGENDA Science-and Technology Advisory Panel Twenty-sixth Meeting Room 1S06, Thursday, 16 September 1982 0830-0900 Coffee & Administration 0900-1030 Electronic Warfare 1030-1130 S&T Manpower 1130-1300 Lunch 1300-1400 Small Systems R&D 1400-1600 Executive Session Input for Minutes 25 Approved Fobs c6 fry. -Eqg?ii~E?eE4ELa00330003-0 Science and Technology Advisory Panel AGENDA Science and Technology Advisory Panel Twenty-sxith Meeting Room 1S06, Wednesday, 15 September 1982 0830-0900 Coffee & Administration 0900-1000 Battlefield Lasers 1000-1200 1200-1330 Lunch 1330-1400 Executive Session Preparation for Meeting with DCI 1400-1500 Consultation with DCI 1500-1600 1600-1700 Alternate 1800-2100 Collection Cocktails & Dinner* * Black Horse Tavern 1240 20th Street, NW 25X1 Approved For. Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE Science and Technology Advisory Panel AGENDA Science and Technology Advisory Panel Twenty-sixth Meeting Room 1S06, Thursday, 16 September 1982 0830-0900 Coffee & Administration 0900-1030 Electronic Warfare 1030-1130 S&T Manpower- 1130-1300 Lunch 1300-1400 Small Systems R&D 1400-1600 Executive Session Input for Minutes Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049RO01700330003-0 Approved F(pfAq" OMOC*: ALR W OLON Wt700330003-0 Science and Technology Advisory Panel STAP RESUME The Science and Technology Advisory Panel (STAP) was formed by the Director of Central Intelligence in 1976. It serves the DCI as a source of independent advice and expertise on a variety of scientific, technical, and management issues. The membership includes renowned senior scientists, executives, and other leaders from industry, academe, and government. The STAP meets quarterly in plenary session where, inter alia, formal briefings are presented, reports approved, and direct consultation with the DCI is effected. At other times small working groups or sub-panels are formed to respond tb DCI tasking, address specific issues, and provide STAP participation in technical studies or other ongoing projects. The STAP also responds to requests for assistance from any Deputy Director or senior line manager who believes a STAP member's expertise may contribute to resolving a difficult technical intelligence problem. STAP assistance may be in the form of an informal discussion, a written memorandum, or a formal study or report signed by the Chairman and forwarded to the DCI. Principal functions of the STAP include: - To insure the DCI and senior Intelligence Community managers are forewarned of significant advances in state-of-the-art technology and in new applications of existing technology. - To identify and highlight the implications of current and future S&T developments for intelligence activity. - To provide linkages and interactions between the intelligence community and the scientific and technical communities in industry, academe, and government, as appropriate. - To provide a quality control mechanism; an outside source for objective evaluation of current and planned S&T-related intelligence activity. - To review evidence on existing S&T intelligence "enigmas" and to introduce new thinking and suggest avenues for solving these unknowns. Approved Fc1D PMOf E q 9, aossaoas-o ,,TqD4 4R Science and Technology Advisory Panel STAP RESUME The Science and Technology Advisory Panel (STAP) was formed by the Director of Central Intelligence in 1976. It serves the DCI as a source of independent advice and expertise on a variety of scientific, technical, and management issues. The membership includes renowned senior scientists, executives, and other leaders from industry, academe, and government. The STAP meets quarterly in plenary session where, inter alia, formal ,briefings are presented, reports approved, and direct consultation with the DCI is effected. At other times small working groups or sub-panels are formed to respond tb DCI tasking, address specific issues, and provide STAP participation in technical studies or other ongoing projects. The STAP also responds to requests for assistance from any Deputy Director or senior line manager who believes a STAP member's expertise may contribute to resolving a difficult technical intelligence problem. STAP assistance may be in the form of an informal discussion, a written memorandum, or a formal study or report signed by the Chairman and forwarded to the DCI. Principal functions of the STAP include: - To insure the DCI and senior Intelligence Community managers are forewarned of significant advances in state-of-the-art technology and in new applications of existing technology. - To identify and highlight the implications of current and future S&T developments for intelligence activity. - To provide lirkages and interactions between the intelligence community and the scientific and technical communities in industry, academe, and government, as appropriate. - To provide a quality control mechanism; an outside source for objective evaluation of current and planned S&T-related intelligence activity. - To review evidence on existing S&T intelligence "enigmas" and to introduce new thinking and suggest avenues for solving these unknowns. Approved For Release 2006I04 5 U-; DP84B00049R001700330003-0 Discussion Topics for Science and Technology Advisory Panel (STAP) Meeting, 1400-1500, Wednesday, 15 September 1982 (Room 1S02 Agenda Issues, schedule of briefings and designated guests for the forthcoming meeting are attached. STAP Studies and Projects Technology Transfer: STAP assisting I land Technology Transfer 25X1 Intelligence Committee (TTIC) in review o ;successful Soviet efforts to improve their ICBM accuracy. Key issue is to determine to what degree Soviet acquisition of western technology (legally or otherwise) contributed toward Soviet advances in this strategic capability. Status-Establishing terms of reference, gathering data, initial discussion with TTIC on 10 September 1982. S&T Personnel: STAP participating in IC Staff study Office of Planning) regarding efforts to insure the U.S. Intelligence Community has, and will have, an adequate supply of qualified scientific and technical personnel. Review generated by requirement identified in Long Range Capabilities Study. STAP will examine those technical, management, and security policies which impact on the recruitement, retention and development of S&T manpower. Status-Terms of reference and study outline approved. Steering group established. Data collection underway. roved For Release 2006/6-A4STTRDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Approved For Release 2006/04 Sk5lWEADP84B00049R001700330003-0 Small Systems R&D: STAP examining desireability and feasibility of a theoretical proposal to have the Intelligence Community establish a research and development "agency" to support basic R&D on small intelligence systems; those which do not warrent large program support (i.e., satellite systems) but which are ne and m ti ..., l- -- - so e m m nsl Status-Research nearing completion. Several members have drafted papers on this issue. Papers to be considered during itc CPnfamhnv- 100':) M....a....._ roved For Release 2006/I 24EG3Lz,TRDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Discussion Topics for Science and Technology Advisory Panel (STAP) Meeting., 1400-1500. Wednesday. 15 SentPmhar 1QR? (Room 1S02, A enda Issues, schedule of briefings and designated guests for the forthcoming meeting are attached. STAP Studies and Projects Technology Transfer: STAP assisting land Technology Transfer Intelligence Committee (TTIC) in review o successful Soviet efforts to improve their ICBM accuracy. Key issue is to determine to what degree Soviet acquisition of western technology (legally or otherwise) contributed toward Soviet advances in this strategic capability. Status-Establishing terms of reference, gathering data, initial discussion with TTIC on 10 September 1982., S&T Personnel: STAP participating in IC Staff study Office of Planning) regarding efforts to insure the U.S. Intelligence Community has, and will have, an adequate supply of qualified scientific and technical personnel. Review generated by requirement identified in Long Range Capabilities Study. STAP will examine those technical, management, and security policies which impact on the recruitement, retention and development of S&T manpower. Status-Terms of reference and study outline approved. Steering group established. Data collection underway. 24rr Q' Pr-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Small Systems R&D: STAP examining desireability and feasibility of a theoretics proposal to have the Intelligence Community establish a research and development "agency" to support basic R&D on small intelligence- systems; those which do not warrent large program support (i.e., satellite systems) but which r and sometimes limited n Status-Research nearing completion. Several members have drafted papers on this issue. Papers to be considered during 16 September 1982 Mpptinn Approved For Release 2006/dg1P24S%U-'PDP84B00049R001700 Approved For Release 2006/05124_:CIA-R DP84B00049R001700330003-0 25X1. 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/05IIE4e. q~-R DP84B00049R001700330003-0 14 September 1982 MEMORANDUM FOR: Special Assistant for the Director of Central Intelligence Chief, Technology Transfer Assessment Center Recent TTAC Inv ent With the DCI STAP 1. This memorandum is for your information only. 2. Recently, TTAC initiated an historical study of Soviet ICBM guidance system technology. The effort is to be a thorough examination of the role of Western technology transfers in ICBM accuracy improvements noted in the 1970s. A contractor,0 will conduct the study with the assistance of experts from OSWR. I have asked the DCI STAP to oversee and advise us in the direction of this effort. I expect they will provide a and suggestions on analytic methods and data sources. Approved For Release 2006/05125 F6IF,TRDP84B00049R001700330003 0 ,z23/-9Z DDS&T 2-_/-- 2-82 15 June 1982 MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director of Central Intelligence FROM Leslie C. Dirks Deputy hirector for Science and Technology SUBJECT STAP Suggestions 1. Attached are comments keyed to the subject note that you received from the DCI. I fully agree with the recommenda- tions in paragraphs 1, 2, and 3, and believe that we have been working in this direction for some time. However, I am concerned about the criticism in paragraph 4. If there's something we've missed we're grateful for the comments. But I am skeptical that this is the case. Because of CIA's limited R&D budget we are very conscious of taking advantage of what others are doing. Furthermore, because of CIA's unique mission, "small systems" should be, and I believe are, our strength. The STAP people just haven't spent enough time trying to understand-what we do to criticize with confidence the state-of-the-art used in CIA clandestine systems. Before expressing their concerns to you and the Director, the STAP should do their homework by having an ad hoc investigative team talk with those involved. As has been suggested, we will gladly identify someone from the S&T to lead the sub-panel members to the right people and help them ferret out the facts. 2. We believe that you and the Director would be better served if the STAP would talk d others before giving their counse.3~sx1 We'll contact about his suggestions. If the STAP has found some ing tnat we have not, we will be happy to take a close look. Leslie C. Dirks Attachments: STAP Suggestions and Comments on same SECRET Approved For Release 2006/05124': CIA-R DP84B00049R00170033000~3 O SECRET .Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Attachment to: DDS&T 2712-82 COMMENTS ON STAP SUGGESTIONS 1. The facts on the number of vacancies in the DDS&T suggest that we are meeting our goals in recruiting the high quality people we need to do our work. We have long recognized the importance of having our line people, usually mid-level managers at grades 14 and 15, participate directly in recruiting. They do this to satisfy their staffing needs as well as the general needs of CIA. We try to match the "line recruiter" with the school from which he or she graduated, the type of individual being recruited (electrical engineer, photo scientist, etc.) and the specific office(s) having vacancies; We think that this is an effective way to recruit and that we're doing a good job. Our recruiting problem is not who is doing the recruiting but whether we can compete with industry salaries and industry's ability to quickly make firm job offers and commit- ments on employment starting dates. 2. We've had a two-track system available for certain technical experts for some time. Recently, the "SPS" category was de-emphasized, in general over our objections, but not in fact eliminated. This has caused some problems. We have recently Personnel to help us expand 2 x1 the number of non-managerial senior positions and he has, we believe, agreed to do this. This will make approximately 10 percent of our GS-15 and SIS positions non-managerial in nature. If experience shows this to be too few to retain our talent, we'll increase the percentage. With regard to clearances for new technical recruits, we're sympathetic to the DCI's objective. We are pleased with the recent progress that Personnel and Security have made, recognizing that we can still speed things up. However, a few months will always stand between our first contact with a recruit and his or her final approval. From the time a recruit completes the PHS we have been seeing a 4 to 5 month span until a full clearance is issued. 3. I am told that all applicants who are asked to come to Washington for,an interview are given a GTR for round-trip airfare, $75 per diem, plus airfare and per diem for a return when polygraphs and.medicals are given. Nevertheless, we probably look bad when compared to industry. For a small investment this could be correct- ed. First impressions are lasting and we are often penny wise and dollar foolish. Applicants within a 50 mile radius of Washington are not reim- bursed for their travel by the office of Personnel. Individual components can bear this cost if they wish. Here again for a small investment we can improve the chance of making a good first impres- sion. roved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 .Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-R DP84B00049R001700330003-0 Because the Director's paragra h 4 is stated generally, we can- not be sure what the STAP has seen iI We are confident, howeve~t5;1 that we are not "behind". One of ORD's principal responsibilities is to keep tuned into the R&D efforts others. For example, ORD hosted a presentation bout five weeks ago which 25x1 was attended by individuals from tour S&T offices. The briefing represented a tour de force of that Group's efforts. There were no "technology" surprises. As expected there were some areas of research and development at NSA that are not being considered for application at CIA. These reflect the differences between CIA's and NSA's way of doing business. However, there were far more examples of commonality in interest and pursuit (optical disc recorder technology, 25X1 collection techniques, artificial intellig methodologies, among others). To better understand STAP's criticism, we briefly talked with I I and learned that NSA may have picked up on nnt= n7r 25X1 t suggesions The second is a concept that we've looked at ourselves. Dr. I I who recently retired, came up with this idea 5x1 of years ago. We believe that it will work and so do the 25x1 SECRET .Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 This is a rather. sophisticated technique that should be employed, we believe, when more conventional antennas are not suitable. Be- cause more conventional techniques are usually suitable, we have not pursued a general solution of this technique. Because we recognize the benefits of keeping close to the technologies that others are pursuing we try to do this well. We use consultants to the maximum extent and, as mentioned above, innovativa5 aroua r th f . ,_ . ~L - ? r e e ore p ___ _ *missed something that will make our case officers's and agent's lives significantly easier or safer. Nevertheless, if there are areas where. we can do better we're ready to step up to the challenge. SECRET Annroved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 - Jtl.Kt 1 " ~~_~ 'Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R0017!Op.3300~-4r},- 1 June 1982 MEMORANDUM FOR: Executive Director FROM: Director of Central Intelligence SUBJECT: STAP Suggestions 82-1442 1 1. My discussions with STAP this morning brought forth some suggestions about improving the recruitment of scientific and technical personnel. Their study shows that NSA has the largest and most difficult requirements and they believe that NSA is making significant progress by having middle-level managers go out and do interviews at colleges and elsewhere. This is an approach which commends itself to me for analytical personnel and career trainees as wall. 2. They recommended a two-track system, a technical track and an executive track, something which more and more corporations are developing and which we have made a modest beginning at with respect to analysts. It seems to me we should be able to reduce the 10-12 months required t3 get clearances for new technical recruits. 3. Another impediment cited was failure to reimburse travel expenses for candidates coming iri for recruitment interviews. I don't know what the pros and cons of that policy may be, but it seems like a small issue to stand in the way of more successful recruitment. 4. A significant criticism is that the Research and Development and Technical Service elements of the Science and Technology Directorate are well behind the curve in exploiting state-of-the-art technology to develop small systems. PISA, they say, is using state-of-the-art technology with which CIA components have not yet worked. If that is true there is something wrong, and we should have Ev Hineman look into it very thoroughly. William J. Casey SECRET Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 :.~~ -vr'S3TJ 7 7 07, -------- 1 September 1982 NOTE TO: Deputy Director for Administration FROM: Director of Central Intelligence SUBJECT: Redirection: of '"Project SAFE.; REFERENCE: Memo to DCI dated 27 July 1982 from DDA and Vice Assistance Director (R&S), DIA Requesting Approval of Project SAFE Harry: Accordingly, since the steps that have been taken are in line with the memorandum I received from the General Counsel dated .5 August 1982, I am approving your plan for redirecting the SAFE Project as outlined in your memorandum to me of 27 July 1982. If there are any changes with respect to any of the matters set fo th in your merpprandum, I would very much appreciate hear,incj\frpm you. E Approved For Release 200 < GIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 $Z-= ~ .>3 y 2 7 JUL 1982 MEMORANDUM FOR:. Director of Central Intelligence' Director, Defense Intelligence Agency FROM : Harry E. Fitzwater Deputy Director for Administration/CIA D Vice Assistant Director for Resources and Systems/DIA REFERENCE . DDA Memo. to DCI of 25 June 1982, same subject (DDA 82-0538/35). 1. This memorandum transmits four documents on the SAFE Project. Tab A provides general background, with emphasis on project activities since the completion of the audit in April, 1982. Tab B is a status report on actions taken subsequent to the meeting with the DCI on 22.June. Tab C outlines the management procedures we propose to use to ensure effective control of this effort. Tab D contains recommendations for your consideration and approval. 2. As indicated in the earlier report prepared b in response to your request, and as further mentioned in portions of Tab B,'the number of technical details to be studied and the complexity of the problem we are trying to solve require a more exhaustive study than can be carried out in thirty days. .The evaluation phase continues, with a target completion date of late September. We are still projecting a design review in February 1982. In order to proceed with the evaluation and the design, we need your approval of the development approach outlined in the attachments. 3.. If you concur with our findings, we request you initial in the appropriate space below. We are ready to meet at your convenience, either .to brief the attachments or to answer any questions you may have. Coordination: Ha y E. Fit ater The recommendations.in Tab D are: Director of Central Intelligence Director, Defense Intelligence Agency Approved Approved Disapproved Disapproved 25x1 This document becomes UNCLASSIFIED when separated from attachment D06/0 n! -RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Next 4 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049RO01700330003-0 CENCE pproved For Releas!~rWQPP~9?/~,~4~I~ II1 -RDP84~B00049 001700330003-0 Attachment to BYE 2726/82 1 March 1982 MEMORANDUM FOR: Director, Intelligence Community Staff SUBJECT: Funds Required for 1. STAP has for a long time been concerned that the Intellineor Community is not paying sufficient attention to We believe that a significant opportunity exists t experimental data. The attached memo describes the r e importat needed funding. proposed experiment and the 2. We suggest that a number of organizations would be interested in supporting this effort. These include CIA/ORD, office, SAMSO, and DARPA. 3. STAP recommends prompt attention so that this opportunity is not lost. Attachment: Memo I Copy No. SECRET 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 14 September 1982 On 1 June 1982, you were briefed by the Science and Technology Advisory Panel on the results of a survey it sponsored at the request of the Office of Planning, Intelligence Community Staff. The results of the survey were to be used by the STAP to prepare a report and set of recommendations on the ? Community's future ability to recruit and retain personnel with technical backgrounds. The key points pertaining to recruitment are: -- the hiring delays necessitated by security clearance procedures is a major impediment to hiring; - -- the Community cannnot compete with the private sector on the basis of salary; recruitment procedures vary across the Community from aggressive to passive; regulations prohibit the IC from covering many expenses involved in recruitment such as travel expenses of candidates to headquarters and the inability to recognize qualitative differences among schools; and, -- these problems are not present to the same extent throughout the IC--NSA and CIA appear to have a competitive advantage. roved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84BOO049ROO1700330003-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 This initial effort was sufficiently informative that the scope of the study was expanded by OP to include area specialists and language specialists; an effort is being made to include clerical/secretarial skills as well. A copy of the terms of reference and a propose report outline is attached. Approved For. Release 2006/0512C40NEJR l3 S4B00049ROO1700330003-0 Agenda 10 September 1982 MANPOWER/PRODUCTIVITY INITIATIVE STEERING COMMITTEE AGENDA THURSDAY, 16 SEPTEMBER 1982 1. Introduce Steering Committee members Discuss background and scope of effort 3. Identify composition of Working Committees 4. Determine scope of each WC's responsibilities 5. Discuss TOR and Report Outline and revise where necessary 6. Discuss data collection strategies 7. Establish schedule 8. Determine administrative support Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 TOR 13 August 1982 LONG-RANGE MANPOWER AND PRODUCTIVITY INITIATIVE INTRODUCTION Of all the issues to emerge from the 1985 Capabilities Study requiring coordinated and sustained Community attention, none did so more clearly than that of manpower. The Community relies on the interdependent efforts of a skilled workforce to ensure the successful collection, processing, and analysis of timely and useful intelligence. For the remainder of this decade, the Community will compete in a labor market that will grow increasingly tight, as in the case,of scientists and engineers, or shrink, as in the case of language specialists. The earliest that advanced technologies can be expected to make a significant contribution to the increasing number of responsibilities being assigned to the Community is the beginning of the 1990's; some limited machine assisted capability will begin in the mid- eighties. As a consequence, the Community must seek to retain, retrain, and recruit as aggressively as possible in the coming years, while at the same time planning to take maximum advantage from such innovations as the Artifical Intelligence based office and workshop of the future. Dedicated and insightful planning will be required to assure that the necessary specialty and managerial skills will be available throughout this transition period. Approved For. Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 OBJECTIVES The objective of this effort is to present the DCI with an investment strategy that addresses the manpower/productivity requirements of the Intelligence Community into the 1990's. This requires detailed knowledge of the Community's historical employment trends as well as reasonable estimates of the likely demand for specific manpower skills in both the public and private sectors for the time frame from 1985 and into the 1990's. At the same time, the supply situation during these periods must be addressed in order to determine the Community's relative competitive position, and where it might best invest its limited resources in order to meet its manpower requirements. Budgetary, personnel, and grade-scale ceiling constraints are likely to impinge further on the Community's ability to meet additional demands for services with pure manpower. Hence the need for the IC to investigate aggressively the opportunities available in the man/machine tradeoff provided by the "office" and "workshop" of the future. Finally, the working environment of the 1990's is likely to make additional demands on managers and executives which will necessitate particular attention to total career development. ORGANIZATION The study effort will involve three working committees, and a steering committee. The working committees will consist of the following: o Science and Technology Advisory Panel o Intelligence Production Council o Foreign Language Training Committee Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 They will be responsible for pursuing a line of investigation along the general terms outlined in this document with regard to the following three general skill categories: o foreign languages o area studies o physical and biological sciences Their efforts will be coordinated by the steering committee composed of a representative from each of the working committees and from the Office of Planning; this group will issue a common terms of reference, a report on findings, and a set of recommendations. METHODOLOGY The manpower/productivity study will consist of three parts: a compilation of forecasted demands and a survey of the likely supply of skilled manpower in the categories noted; a survey of the office and work shop technologies likely to be available into the 1990's that address specific problems, e.g., language translation; and a series of recommended investment strategies as a function of projected budgetary constraints and manpower ceilings. The coordinating committee will manage the preparation of more detailed terms of reference which address the following subjects: a) Supply and Demand for Skilled Manpower (1985 and into the 1990's) Discuss the present IC manpower complement by specific skills categories, and estimate their size and composition for the time periods under Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 consideration. Identify those skills which are likely to be in generally short supply, and those which will be in excess supply. b) Office Automation Discuss the extent to which office automation has been employed by the Community, and where it is being considered, and identify those technologies under development both internall and externally that hold promise for broader Community application. c) Recommended Investment Strategies -- Determine those factors which impact adversely on the Community's ability to recruit, retain, and retrain manpower. o Recommend general and specific incentives to retain Community o Recommend internal and external training/retraining particularly for skills that will be in excess supply due to changing requirements. o Recommend IC/US Government stimulation to academia for those skills in short supply, or establish specific programs to support the development of specific critical skills. Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 Determin.e.where office automation must be introduced in order to maintain a current capability, where it should be introduced to enhance a current capability or provide a new capability. o Recommend a phased acquisition program, and a research program where needed. -- Determine the organizational and managerial changes likely to result from the anticipated changes in the man/machine ratio. o Recommend career development patterns appropriate to this changing environment. TIMING The response to the Manpower/Productivity Initiative, by necessity, will be sequential. The f-irst order of business will be to develop coordinated' terms of reference for each of the two major areas of investigation; this should be accomplished by 30 September 1982. The Recommended Investment Strategies should be accomplished jointly by the various working groups. The manpower issues--supply, demand, and training--will be due by 31 March 1983. Recommendations on capital acquisition and career development-will be due on 30 June 1983. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 MANPOWER/PRODUCTIVITY INITIATIVE REPORT OUTLINE Present Community critical skills profile (technical, language, area, and if possible, clerical/secretarial) 1. comfortable? 2. short? 3. in excess? b. What are the turnover rates? c. Figure of Merit II Demand What skills will be needed and in what magnitudes? a. What present skills will: 1. remain in demand? 2.. require further development? 3. become obsolete? Approved For Release 2006/05/9NFdIRE- 4B00049ROO1700330003-0 b. . What new skills will be required? III Supply a. National population and education trends b. Other competition for skills: (1) DoD (2) Private Sector (3) Academia IV Changing expectations of the work force. a. Participation b. Career determination c. Alternative career patterns d. Leadership legitimacy e. Salary and benefits V Implications for the Intelligence Community in its ability to: CONFIDENTIAL UMIUMIAL Approved For. Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84B00049R001700330003-0 VI Productivity enhancements (distinction between required automation-- dictated by the nature of the capability--and discretionary automation-- suggested by the nature of available resources) a. Where is basic mechanization/automation still lacking? b. Identify present advanced and emerging office technologies of potential use to the IC. c. Determine where in the IC these technologies are being employed or are contemplated. d. Determine where in the IC these technologies will be: (1) critically needed. (2) highly. desirable. (3) nice to have. VII Recommendations a. Recruiting - The Intelligence Community is burdened by a very cumbersome recruitment process, largely as a result of very stringent security requirements. A preliminary survey by the STAP indicated that a number of the barriers in the current process are of questionable validity, and apparently easily and inexpensively eliminated. Each element of the recruitment process needs to be challenged with the objective of eliminating those that are no Approved For Release 2006/05124 URbF 4B00049R001700330003-0 longer valid. .Techniques in practice by the private sector should be reviwed for possible adoption. b. Retention - The Community has begun to experience difficulty in retaining sufficient numbers of personnel in particular skills categories. So far this is confined primarily to technically qualified personnel and economists, although-competition for other skills also is likely to increase as the private sector and DoD compete within a shrinking manpower pool. While attention has focused on competitive pay with the private sector, this is an incentive over which the IC has the least amount of control. Qualitative issues must gain in importance as a means of recruiting and retaining skilled manpower if the Intelligence Community is to compete successfuly with the private sector. c. Training - Training and education are likely to become an increasingly signficiant element in individual career plans. The IC will need to respond with g.-eater personal career enrichment opportunities in its competition with the private sector, and training will be a significant element in that effort. Thus, training will be called upon to: retrain personnel with obsolete skills for position in high demand areas; remedy deficiencies in formal education; impart skills unique to intelligence; and provide personal career enrichment. d. Government stimulation - The chasm that developed between government and academia during the Vietnam War years has-yet to repair itself CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2006/05/24: CIA-RDP84BOO049ROO1700330003-0 completely. The IC has suffered from the diminished access to the full range of academic research, while the academic community has had to adapt to a reduced level of Federal funding. The Community must address the issue of whether the separate initiatives of its members are sufficient to encourage the repair of this rupture and provide increased financial support to the academic sector, or whether the Community-at-large, or even the Federal Government, needs to be mobilized. e. Automation - The nature of the tasks to be performed by the Community, their volume and variety, and the likely restraints on manpower growth will result in an increasing reliance on automated office technologies. In addition to identifying where they will be most needed, the Community also needs to identify which technologies will be developed by the private sector regardless of Community demands, which will require some Community encouragement, and which will be done only in response to Community requirements. f. Career enhancement - Dual track is an issue that has-been raised time and again, yet there appears to have been little visible .results from all the discussions. Dual track systems exist throughout the Federal system in varying forms, and particularly in a number of agencies whose personnel are similarly qualified and employed. It is perhaps time to address the pros and cons of this issue in a comprehensive manner, and decide to do something or declare it not worth considering. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2006/05/2'4':E VW B00049R001700330003-0 Career development - Whatever the recommendation concerning dual track, the Community must address the issue of career development. The emerging generation of skilled manpower is demanding a greater role in determining its career goals and options. The private sector has begun to respond to this demand and will likely do so to a greater degree in the future, thus increasing its competitive advantage with respect to the public sector. This subject has received a great deal of lip service, but to date has remained an issue of third order priority. h. Community managerial needs - The need for personnel with broad Community experience is increasing with the-growing interdependence of its members. This interpendence is a result of the increasing size of its budget, the growing complexity of its systems, and the expanding scope of its mission. The Community in large measure has been led by-people who acquired broad experience by virtue of their having grown with intelligence since its inception. If this attribute is to be perpett'ated, the Community will have to take deliberate steps to see that it happens.