BRIEFING ON SOVIET ECONOMY IN THE 1980S

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84B00148R000300790014-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 28, 2007
• Sequence Number: 14
• Publication Date: August 10, 1982
• Content Type: REPORT

. Approved For Release 2007/12/28: CIA-RDP84B00148R000300790014-3
Briefing on Soviet Economy in the.1980s
I. Mr. Chairman, you have asked for a briefing on three
topics--prospects for Soviet economic growth in the 1980s, the
degree of Soviet economic dependence--on the West in general an
c t,
on the US in particular--and vulnerability of Soviet military
r3V
programs to Western use of economic measures.
B. My colleagues and I, however, would be happy to try to
answer any questions you may have at any stage of my
presentation.
II. Let me turn first to the general economic prospects for the
J~2 - 41W 'Al-11
1vv VHrcrci.
A. I propose to discuss each of these questions in fairly
summary fashion.
USSR, a subject that has attracted' a great deal of attention
both within the government and in the Western academic
community and indeed in Soviet publications over the past
several years.
A. There is general agreement on the Western side at least
that Soviet economic growth will be markedly slower in
the 1980s.
B. We believe that Soviet GNP growth is unlikely to average
more than 2 percent per year in the 1980s, compared with
3 percent per year in the 1970s, and 5 percent per year
in the 1960s.
SECRETI - 25X1
Approved For Release 2007/12/28: CIA-RDP84BOO148R000300790014-3