(UNTITLED)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP84T00301R000400010178-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: January 12, 2017
• Document Release Date: August 12, 2010
• Sequence Number: 178
• Publication Date: August 21, 1982
• Content Type: REPORT

Director of
Central
Intelligence
National Intelligence Daily
(Cable)
Tom
CPAS F- NIDC 82-196C
August 1982
COPY 399
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/21 : CIA-RDP84T00301 R000400010178-7
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/21 : CIA-RDP84T00301 R000400010178-7
m Top Secret
Israel-Lebanon: Political Maneuvering . . . . . . . . . .
1
USSR: Alleged Use of Forced Labor on Pipeline . . . . . .
3
El Salvador: Military Initiatives . . . . . . . . . . . .
4
Iraq-Iran: Threats to Shipping . . . . . . . . . . . . .
5
Australia: Early Election Probable . . . . . . . . . . .
6
China-USSR: Results of Chinese Official's Visit . . . . .
7
France-US: Policy on Extraditing Terrorists . . . . . . .
7
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M Top secret
//Phalange leader JumayyiZ reaffirms his candidacy. Beirut
remained generaZZy quiet yesterday as preparations continued for
the beginning today of the evacuation of PLO fighters. There have
been two attacks by PLO roues on Israeli settlements in the Golan
Heights in recent da s.
have enlarged a detention camp in Lebanon near Ansar to
house additional prisoners captured since the invasion.
The camp now can accommodate 6,000 to 10,000 prisoners,
but the Israelis reportedly have set a ceiling of 7,000.
Although early reports indicated severe restrictions were
imposed on the prisoners, recent press reports claim
limited exercising is now allowed, enough water is avail-
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 The Soviet Charge in Washington on Thursday delivered
to the Department of State an "urgent" aide memoire claim-
ing the USSR has information indicating the Israelis plan
to take advantage of the PLO withdrawal from Beirut to
"massacre" the Palestinian fighters and leaders. The
note warned the US would bear full responsibility if it
failed to prevent the alleged Israeli move. Although
Moscow has not made the note public, Soviet media are
The Soviet Foreign Ministry's senior Middle East
specialist is due to begin a trip to Jordan, South Yemen,
and probably Syria within the next week. All three
Comment: The Soviets probably delivered the note
to put themselves in a position to blame Washington if
violence erupts during the PLO withdrawal or to claim
credit for deterring the US and Israel if it is carried
out peacefully. The note tacitly accepted the partici-
The Foreign Ministry official may use his visits to
meet with PLO leaders and provide a public indication of
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 USSR: Alleged Use of Forced Labor on Pipeline
The Soviets are denying widespread West European accusations
that political prisoners are, being used to build the Siberian gas
The allegation, which has been given considerable
attention by West European media, evidently was first
made early this month by a human rights organization
based in West Germany. The French and West German Gov-
ernments have instructed their Embassies in Moscow to
determine the validity of the charge. The Soviets yes-
terday again denied the accusation in an article in
Sovetskaya Rossiya, calling it a "dirty lie" intended to
(political prisoners are
not used on pipeline construction because they are not
eligible for parole. Paroled prisoners convicted of
bribery, robbery, or other crimes occasionally are
employed on such projects as manual laborers or service
compressor stations but not to lay pipe, because that
requires mobile crews. The Ministry of Internal Affairs
is under strong pressure to provide parolees for pipeline
construction projects, which are particularly important
Comment: The Soviets are plagued by serious labor
shortages and may be using some of the 2 million people
in forced labor camps, as well as parolees, to perform
such unskilled tasks as clearing forests for important
pipeline construction projects. There is no evidence,
however, that any of the estimated 10,000 imprisoned
political or religious dissidents are being used for any
phase of construction on the Siberian export pipeline.
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 EL SALVADOR: Military Initiatives
//The Salvadoran Army has begun a m 'or offensive amid signs
of increasing dissension in the military,
//The military operation in northern San Vicente
Department is designed to weaken guerrilla forces that
have often cut the Inter-American Highway. The offen-
sive is led by one of the Army's best field commanders
and includes all three US-trained battalions as well as
one trained by a Venezuelan Army team.//
//The guerrillas continue to demonstrate the ability
to avoid major losses, recover quickly, and hit isolated
government units. Early this month, they overran a small
town in San Miguel Department and ambushed relief units,
killing or wounding about 50 soldiers and capturing
Comment: //The Army has mounted a steady series of
large and small offensives designed to keep the initia-
tive. Since early July, none has succeeded in seizing
large amounts of supplies or caused heavy casualties,
although together they have helped keep the guerrillas
off balance. Garcia probably hopes a major victory will
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 IRAQ-IRAN: Threats to Shipping
The Iraqis are using a variety of tactics to restrict comer-
Last week Iraqi President Saddam Hussein expanded
the restricted military zone at the head of the Persian
Gulf and announced Iraq will attack all vessels appearing
in the zone, including those near Khark 'Island. The
Minister of Information reiterated Saddam's warning to
merchant ships calling at Iranian ports after Iraqi war-
planes conducted bombing attacks on Khark Island. On
9 August the Iraqis sank one Greek and one South Korean
The reaction in the maritime industry thus far has
been limited. Insurance rates, which doubled in July
following Iranian attacks on Al Basrah, are starting to
Comment: Most ships are reluctant to call at Bandar-e
Khomeini, which is deep in the exclusion zone, and some
may be shifted to other ports.
 //Prime Minister Fraser on Tuesday presented the
federal budget for the 1982-83 fiscal year that includes
major cuts in personal income taxes and increased expen-
ditures on social programs. The new budget, combined
with previously announced investment incentives, is
designed to stimulate the stagnant economy.// F
Comment: //Fraser may be putting himself in posi-
tion to call an early election, probably by November.
The government forecasts further economic deterioration
over the next year and fears the Labor Party plans to make
government economic management the principal campaign
issue. In his campaign, Fraser is likely to blame
international economic developments for Australia's
recent poor performance. According to the US Embassy,
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 CHINA-USSR: Results of Chinese Official's Visit
Chinese officials have told the US Embassy in Moscow
that they detect no changes in Soviet views on bilateral
relations as a result of the recent 10-day visit to Moscow
by the Chinese Foreign Ministry's Director for Soviet
Affairs. This was the first visit of an official of this
rank since 1979. The talks were informal and covered
Comment: The Chinese probably will continue such
political contacts as well as their selective expansion
of academic, cultural, and economic exchanges. The agree-
ment this week with the US over Taiwan is unlikely to
change this effort, which aims to reduce tensions with
the USSR and to demonstrate to US and other audiences
FRANCE-US: Policy on Extraditing Terrorists
//President Mitterrand's determination to root out
international terrorism apparently has not led to a
change in French policy on extraditing foreign terror-
ists. The French Appeals Court decided this week
against extraditing Vicken Tcharkhutian to the US, where
he is wanted for two bombing attempts in Los Angeles in
May. The only charge that could be levied against him
under the Franco-American extradition treaty of 1909 was
arson, which the court ruled did not apply. Tcharkhutian,
an Iraqi who admits membership in the leading Armenian
terrorist group, was immediately released.//
Comment: //Paris has refused to cooperate with its
allies in extradition cases that might complicate its
foreign policy, anger French leftists, or provoke ter-
rorist reprisal. It argues its hands are often tied
in such cases, because French law does not treat ter-
rorist activities as special crimes. In the latest case,
France probably felt particularly vulnerable to reprisals
by Armenian terrorists, who threatened to attack French
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 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/21 : CIA-RDP84T00301 R000400010178-7
Top Secret