THE PLANETARY PRODUCT IN 1980: A CREATIVE PAUSE?

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August 1, 1981
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Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 The Planetary Product in 1980: A Creative Pause? STAT Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 STAT Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 The Planetary Product in 1980: A Creative Pause? Prefatory Note The views and conclusions in this report are solely the author's and should not be interpreted as representing the official opinion or policy of the US Government. In compiling my figures on world output, I have made use of a "Third World Supplement" to adjust for the substantial understatement of economic activity in the poorer regions of the globe. This adjustment is explained in the text (see p. 11) and is reflected in the numerical estimates of the summary. Unless otherwise indicated, figures in the text include the Third World Supplement for less developed countries. In preparing this paper I have drawn on many sources and have received helpful advice and information from many scholars. To all of them my warmest thanks, in particular to =who reviewed and edited the manuscript carefully and understand- ingly. As to the errors and shortcomings that undoubtedly mar my report: mea culpa! Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 The Planetary Product in 1980: A Creative Pause? Summary This latest edition of a one-man effort to assess the world's total output over three decades encounters numerous factual, conceptual, and method- ological hurdles. Part I describes these difficulties, explains the meaning and reliability of the detailed statistical tables, and examines the relation- ships between a hard-to-grasp reality and its representation in figures. Part II considers the political and economic influences that have led to wide regional differences in growth. Even counting recent years of economic sputtering, the past third of this century has proved a period of unprecedented luxuriance. Much of it has been beneficial, some of it problematical. In 1980, according to this report, 4.5 billion people shared a planetary product of $11.3 trillion, or $2,500 per capita. (See table 1; all figures in this report are in 1980 US dollars, unless otherwise stated.) From 1950 through 1980 the planetary product quadru- pled in real terms, rising at an average annual rate of 4.6 percent. Meantime, world population grew about 2 percent annually, or to 1.8 times its 1950 level. This has meant an average per capita increase in output of 2.6 percent per annum; thus, per capita output slightly more than doubled in the 30-year period. All these rates represent a historical quantum jump over preceding decades and centuries. How did demographic and economic development interact? In advanced countries modest population increase was not a drag on economic expansion; in backward areas the population explosion definitely retarded the well-being of the masses. The level of well-being and the rate of advance differed by period, by region, and by individual nation-state. The planetary product grew at 4.8 percent in the 1950s, accelerated to 5.2 percent between 1960 and 1973, then fell back to 3.3 percent-all high rates by historical standards. We are now probably in a "creative pause" rather than in the transition from a long boom to an era of sluggish growth. In the economic marathon, nations performed at different speeds with variations over time. The United States with a 3.3 percent average annual rate of growth over 30 years was somewhat below the world average. This was a reversal of the long-term American record before the First World War. Then the US economy grew by an above-average yearly rate of more than 4 percent; by the turn of the century it was the largest unit in the world economy with a share in the planetary product of almost one quarter. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 The Planetary Product, 1980: Summary Figures (GNP/GDP includes Third World Supplements) GNP/GDP (Billion 1980 US Dollars) Share of World GNP/GDP (Percent) Population, Mid-1980 (Millions) Share of World Population (Percent) Per Capita GNP/GDP (1980 US Dollars) World 11,269.1 100.0 4,487.9 100.0 2,511 Developed countries 8,475.6 75.2 1,185.2 26.4 7,151 Less developed countries 2,793.5 24.8 3,302.7 73.6 846 Non-Communist countries 8,792.4 78.0 2,962.2 66.0 2,968 Developed 6,655.2 59.1 787.8 17.6 8,448 Less developed 2,137.1 19.0 2,174.4 48.5 983 Communist countries 2,476.7 22.0 1,525.6 34.0 1,623 Developed 1,820.4 16.2 397.4 8.9 4,581 Less developed 656.4 5.8 1,128.3 25.1 582 NATO countries of which: 4,951.9 43.9 578.5 12.9 8,560 United States 2,556.7 22.7 227.6 5.1 11,231 France 504.9 4.5 53.6 1.2 9,420 Germany (Federal Republic) 642.8 5.7 61.3 1.4 10,487 Italy 303.5 2.7 57.2 1.3 5,308 United Kingdom 297.6 2.6 55.9 1.2 5,323 Warsaw Pact countries 1,748.1 15.5 375.0 8.4 4,662 USSR 1,280.1 11.4 265.5 5.9 4,822 Bulgaria 29.9 0.3 8.9 0.2 3,368 Czechoslovakia 85.0 0.8 15.3 0.3 5,540 Germany (Democratic Republic) 99.6 0.9 16.8 0.4 5,945 Hungary 39.4 0.3 10.7 0.2 3,664 Poland 124.9 1.1 35.6 0.8 3,511 Romania 89.3 0.8 22.2 0.5 4,015 OPEC countries 559.7 5.0 335.4 7.5 1,669 Japan 955.3 8.5 117.0 2.6 8,163 China (Mainland) 591.7 5.3 1,032.1 23.0 573 India 302.1 2.7 680.1 15.2 444 Note: The dividing line between developed and less developed countries in this report is a 1979 per capita product of $2,245 (excluding Third World Supplements), expressed in constant dollars of 1980 purchasing power. This is roughly equivalent in purchasing power to the $1,000 divide established in this series in 1967 (see the text, p. 6). Totals and per capita figures in this table are computed from unrounded components. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 It became a managerial-technical inspiration to other advanced economies and, with a hegemonial position after the Second World War, its modes of production, distribution, and consumption radiated across other lands. Yet US economic growth remained below that of the rest of the world-not only in the interwar period with its Great Depression. In the 1950s the US rate versus that of all other countries was 3.2 percent versus 5.4 percent; between 1960 and 1973, 4.0 percent versus 5.6 percent; from 1973-80, 2.1 percent versus 3.6 percent. The American share in the planetary pie, during the war perhaps 40 percent to 50 percent, dropped by 1980 to 22.7 percent, close to the percentage of 1900. Do these rates inspire a feeling of deja vu? They echo the British experience: growth above the world average during the Industrial Revolution and up to the second third of the past cen- tury; afterwards below average. And there is a third case of a model slowing down. During the Great Depression and again during Khrushchev's years of "growthmanship," the USSR had been a wonderment-and not only for confirmed Communists. But in the three subperiods just mentioned its average annual growth rates declined from 5.9 percent to 4.9 percent to 2.7 percent. The circumstances responsible for growth variations by country and period can be grouped into seven categories. Some of them are mutually exclusive; most of them may be present in combination with others. First, the degree of resource utilization differed, normally as a result of cy- clical fluctuations. In quite a few postwar years American rates were depressed by recessions, mild though most of them were. During the 1950s, the West European countries, Japan, and others expanded with the speed peculiar to reconstruction after war. More recently, individual countries have experienced fluctuations in growth rates because of local wars and revolutions, usually followed by periods of rehabilitation. Second, productivity gains or losses, especially as a result of changes in management and technology, have been of key importance. Managerial- technical developments-with the United States the leading innovator and others taking over American achievements-remain a crucial source of economic growth. Advances of this kind are hard to quantify since productivity, i.e., output per unit of inputs, is a residue or even an open- ended miscellany, while advance in knowledge is even a residue within the residue and a miscellany in the miscellany. Productivity measures are illustrative rather than precise. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Third, the extent of liberalization or obstruction of international flows of goods and services has changed among countries and from period to period. With the United States shedding much of its previous protectionist inclination, trade liberalization has prevailed through most of the postwar period. Economic expansion profited from' a climate of freer trade and greater financial mobility. This is exemplified by the European Communi- ty, by Japan, and by many less developed countries, above all by the so- called New Industrializing Countries (usually including the Republics of China and Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore, Greece and Portugal, and Brazil and Mexico). The experience of the New Industrializing Countries attests to the success that market economies can achieve through a dynamic and inventive use of the worldwide division of labor. Recently, however, protectionism seems to be staging a comeback as the result of a rash of global economic difficulties. Fourth, growth performance has reflected differences in inputs of labor, capital, and land. Economic growth has been registered under widely varying circumstances, e.g., with productivity gains compensating for small inputs, with both inputs and productivity soaring, and with massive inputs boosting output in the absence of productivity gains. The United States expanded up to 1973 through sharp increases in productivity but with small additions to inputs. Japan achieved its sensational growth with a combina- tion of productivity gains in a creative adaptation of the American model and extraordinary and well-directed increases in physical and human capital (made easier because the United States took care of the country's defense needs). The USSR owed its GNP growth to massive increases in inputs while productivity improved little; it even declined in recent years. The current ma! Russe is easily explicable in terms of the competition of military outlays with investments in new productive equipment and methods; diminishing returns in the production of primary goods; the limitations on growth in the labor force caused by low birth rates in previous years; and the need to bolster sagging morale with offerings of consumer goods. Fifth, "resource power" or the lack thereof has figured in the fortunes of some countries. OPEC's apex is a prime example of the successful exploitation of raw material resources on a market ripe for cartel action under auspicious political circumstances, namely, superpower rivalry for the support of small countries. To judge from shaky statistics, the 13 OPEC members in 1980 had more than 10 times their combined GNP of 1950. But the case of Iran shows that enrichment may have its own drawbacks. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Sixth, there is the distortion of rates of economic growth and productivity because of variations or vagaries in statistical procedure. Examples: in the case of government' activities and some other service sectors, productivity gains may be undercounted and increasing capital intensity may not be captured in the data; economic growth may be exaggerated, on the other hand, as long as environmental damage is neglected. Finally, the elements enumerated have been strengthened and weakened by forces of cyclical, structural, systemic, and accidental character. Toward the end of the 1950s a hubris developed both in East and West. It was fueled by Khrushchev's boasts that the USSR would soon overtake the United States-boasts given substance by the high Soviet growth rates of the time and by the Sputnik flight in 1957. The United States, in turn, rose to counter the challenge in the economic, space, and military realms. American policymakers subsequently overrated their ability to pay for Great Society programs and a distant war without recourse to inflationary financing and without provoking international currency troubles. An overheated economy in the United States, and in much of the rest of the world, added to OPEC's ability to exploit the energy market in 1973-74. The "oil crunch," in turn, worsened the gathering recession by dislocating key industries and disarranging financial flows. And yet, the Western market economies withstood the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune with a remarkable flexibility and resourcefulness. On the other hand, the Soviet-style command economy-actually favored by the rise in gold and energy prices and the decline of the dollar-responded with the nimbleness of a mastodon; the Kremlin had to face new shortages at home and increased difficulties in its orbit, such as de facto bankruptcy in Poland. Output in combination with population data can be used as an indicator of world power relations as long as other elements of the game are kept in mind, to wit, leadership, popular moods, geopolitics, military prowess, and Fortune. Our figures show that East-West balances have been more stable than North-South balances. The US-USSR demographic ratio, which in Russia's imperial days, e.g., 1860, was 44:100, rose to 85:100 by 1950 and has not changed since then. The NATO-Warsaw Pact demographic ratio has remained at 155:100. As soon as we compare developed and underde- veloped countries, however, shifts are encountered. The combined popula- tions of NATO plus Warsaw Pact as a share of mankind declined from 27.2 percent in 1950 to 21.2 percent in 1980; by the year 2050, only one lifespan away, the percentage may drop to 11 percent-or even lower if bear and eagle devour each other with nothing left but their tails. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 The US-USSR GNP ratio-roughly 250:100 on the eve of both the First and the Second World Wars-was 300:100 in 1950 and declined to 200:100 by 1970; since then it has not appreciably changed. The GNP .ratio between NATO and the Warsaw Pact was 355:100 in 1950 and is now 285:100, the difference being chiefly attributable to lower US growth. The American share in NATO's output declined from 59 percent in 1950 to 52 percent in 1980, while the Soviet share in Warsaw Pact output increased from 71 percent to 73 percent. The political implications for the leader's position in each alliance are obvious. By counting in the US allies in the Pacific and Soviet associates like Cuba, Mongolia, and Indochina, the demographic ratio between West and East increases to 170:100, and the economic ratio-with Japan a heavyweight- increases to 350:100. The Japanese-Soviet demographic ratio has been as stable as East-West ratios in general (now about 45:100), but the GNP ratio has changed dramatically; Japanese GNP, which was 28 percent of Soviet GNP in 1950, had risen to 75 percent of Soviet GNP by 1980. Statistics are highly uncertain for the People's Republic of China, which harbors about 23 percent of all ankind. We have adopted the estimates which put Chinese GNP at about 45 percent of Soviet GNP, or twice as large as Indian GNP. The implied 30 percent per capita edge of the PRC over India may be on the high side. Within the Third World (i.e., the non-Communist less developed countries), India is the largest unit with 31 percent of the population and 14 percent of the combined GNP; the difference between these percentages suggests the dire poverty of the average Indian. The Third World accounts for 2,174 million inhabitants, or nearly half of the world total, and $2.1 trillion in GNP, or 19 percent of total world output. In both the non-Communist and Communist spheres, the ratio of per capita GNP between developed and underdeveloped nations is about 8:1. OPEC members, ranging from very rich to very poor, have a 7.5-percent share in mankind (two-thirds of this percentage being attributable to Indonesia and Nigeria) and a 5-percent share of the planetary product. STAT Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Contents iii Summary 1. Statistical Preliminaries 1 Interdependence Between Reality and Its Statistical Reflection 1 General Remarks on Statistics 1 Communist and Non-Communist: A Problematical Distinction 2 Developed and Less Developed Countries-Another Troublesome 4 Pair of Concepts Demographic Revisions 6 What Concept of National Aggregates? 7 Exchange Rates and Purchasing-Power Parities 9 Trouble With OPEC 12 Comparing Soviet and US Aggregates 13 Statistical Options on the PRC 14 The Catchalls, or Sundries 15 II. Economic and Political Findings 17 An Era of Luxuriance 17 US Growth Below World Average 18 The Factors at Work 19 Different Degrees of Resource Utilization 19 Managerial-Technological Progress 19 Trade Liberalization 20 Growth Through Massive Inputs 21 "Resource Power" 22 Statistical Procedures Affecting Growth Rates 22 Hubris and Despondency in Economic History 23 East-West Ratios 24 PRC and India in the World Balance 25 Coda on the North-South Problem 27 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 1. The Planetary Product, 1980; Summary Figures (GNP/GDP iv Includes Third World Supplements) 2. Number of Independent States, by Region and Major Category, 5 1980 Appendix Tables Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 The Planetary Product in 1980: A Creative Pause? This issue of The Planetary Product presents, as in previous years, estimates of the nations' product in total and per capita for practically all countries and important groups of countries between 1950 and 1980. The report grew out of a comparison of East- West economic strength in 1949, a time of grave American-Soviet tension. In the 1940s decolonization was already on its way; as it gathered speed, North- South relations became a universal problem. In the 1960s this publication was extended to include North- South comparisons; it became planetary. Interdependence Between Reality and Its Statistical Reflection In covering this planet, the author has kept his distance from other celestial bodies, except for a facetious Lorenz curve for the moon after the 1969 Apollo flights. Even so, the reader will quickly note that output calculations over time and space have an Einsteinian quality. The economic concepts and statis- tical methods employed to grasp an elusive "reality" yield often bewilderingly different results, each of them presumably reflecting the peculiar "true-to-life" General Remarks on Statistics Comparative statistics should ideally be constructed with exactly the same concepts and methods. For example: one should measure output either (a) in terms of gross domestic product (GDP) in purchasers' values or at factor cost or (b) in terms of correspond- ing data for the gross national product (GNP); one should move national statistics over time with a specific type of deflator; and one should convert national values into dollars with a single rate of exchange for each currency or, if the official or market rates are problematical, at purchasing power parities of a given definition and composition. The statistics in this report do not match these ideal specifications. As will be noted on subsequent pages, different approaches could not be avoided, either because the desired figures are not available and it would be far too time consuming to replace existing figures with estimates, or because the method used in general did not yield a reasonable result in a specific case. This leads to a related situation, which must be openly confronted. Occasionally the statistician faces a di- lemma. Either he puts up with conclusions inherent in the underlying materials and lets the chips fall as they may (in this case the chips off the old Block), or he cannot reconcile himself to findings strongly at odds with his picture of "reality" and so, his eyes in a fine frenzy rolling, he tinkers with the figures. I do not believe that any statistician escapes this dilemma entirely. I favor an occasional tinkering, provided the tinker puts his cards on the table and lets the readers judge. then, in a second part, to a more detailed discussion of The observer of the global economic scene must be the substantive results. alert to the manipulation of statistics for political or ideological reasons. The greater the role of govern- ment in the economy, the greater the temptation for assumptions adopted. Insofar as the findings influence the perceptions of public opinion and leadership, the mirrors of reality begin to influence reality itself. To use an overworked expression, an "interdependence" exists between the happenings in the economy and their analysis. (The interplay between reality and perception is still more consequential when military "gaps" between powers are calculated and acted upon.) Since major findings of this report are briefly enumerated in the Summary, we turn first to the concepts and methods underlying the statistics and Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 statistical offices to accommodate the policymakers, and the greater the need for control and for checks and balances. This warning applies even to countries with a respectable tradition of objective reporting. Farther down the line one can only wonder. On one little developed country it was reported that statistics are made ad hoc according to expectations. In many nation-states a sizable part of economic activity consists of illegal or extralegal activity that normally is not captured in official statistics. The extent of this "second economy" is largely a function of the scope of government. Centrally planned econo- mies (CPEs) almost inevitably have a large second economy. The second economy in the USSR is prob- ably second to none.' But the scope of the "second" or "parallel" or "hidden" economy is growing also in mixed economies. Some of these activities are meant to escape taxes and similar levies, others trade in goods and services under prohibition for health and moral reasons. In one Caribbean country, marijuana shipments are said to exceed all legal exports. Need- less to say, the extent of surreptitious outputs and sales is uncertain. Given the sometimes titillating circumstances of the transactions and their detection, reports may well exaggerate the volume of activity. In a worldwide survey covering a third of a century, many data are estimates or even outright guesses. This is particularly true of states that restrict the publication of information; possess only a limited statistical know-how; and face extensive social turmoil (such as Lebanon or Iran); also, data for the earlier years in our tables are less solid than for the later years. I remarked in a previous report that what is to the right of the decimal point is usually beside the point. What is to the left is occasionally almost as bad. Yet our demographic figures in the appendix tables are represented in thousands; total product, in millions of dollars; and per capita product in dollars. They do not indicate precision; they were presented because in totaling up or extrapolating figures too much rounding off distorts the results. In the appen- dix table showing shares of the planetary product and 'See Gregory Grossman's well-reasoned "Notes on the Illegal Private Economy and Corruption" in the Joint Economic Commit- tee report Soviet Economy in a Time of Change, vol. 1, pp. 834- 855, Washington, D.C., 10 October 1979. population, the two decimal places reflect only a desire not to let the smaller countries drift into the statistical limbo of "0.00"! Even this heroic measure fails to provide a significant figure for the products of Belize and The Gambia; and it leaves us with anoma- lies such as Qatar, the country with the highest per capita product, not registering in the population-share table. The dollars used in this report reflect their 1980 buying power, unless otherwise stated. The revised official US deflators for gross national and domestic product indicate between 1978 and 1979 a price rise of 8.5 percent, for 1980 over 1979 of 9 percent (the consumer price index rose in each year by 11.3 percent). For conversion of 1979 dollars to 1980 dollars, the less rounded (not necessarily more exact) factor of 1.0896 has been used. All the data for 1980, official or not, are preliminary and will undergo some revision in the course of 1981 or even thereafter (everything in life is preliminary). Revisions published in recent weeks for 1980 or earlier years were taken into account as much as possible either in the tables (e.g., US population figures increased in the wake of the 1980 Census) or in the text (such as recalculated estimates for US national accounts and new census data for Indonesia and Brazil). Communist and Non-Communist: A Problematical Distinction Political nomenclature shares the unstable character of the human species. Animals and plants transform themselves over aeons, political bodies in a matter of years. Their ever changing groups affect even the meaning of geographic designations. Western Europe, for instance, used to describe European countries bordering the Atlantic; now the term often includes Finland (lying to the east of Poland) and Turkey (97 percent in Asia Minor). Israel, a country entirely in Asia, is shifted to "Europe" in UN population statis- tics. Another Asian country, Indonesia, in its charac- ter thoroughly Asian, becomes in the World Bank Atlas part of Oceania, a name that we limit to two large island nations (colonized by Europeans) and Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 assorted small isles. Japan belongs in modern lingo to the "West," Cuba to the "East." This report began 32 years ago as a comparison between East and West in the context of postwar political rivalry; it still uses the expressions East and West, irrespective of what the magnetic needle shows, as synonyms for Communist and non-Communist. The latter pair of designations has its own problems as a global subdivision. It was appropriate 30 years ago when (with the sole exception of Yugoslavia after the 1948 break with Moscow) the entire Communist world was identical with the Soviet Bloc and as such in a not exactly splendid isolation from the outside world. But the term non-Communist was never satis- factory, because a negative was used to cover a great variety of mainly positive political and economic structures embracing two-thirds of mankind and four- fifths of its product. Any justification for this label must turn to Spinoza's "omnis determinatio negatio" (every definition must be negative). The negation indicates the diverse character of countries that were not created in the Soviet image and thus do not exhibit the combination of institutions and policies peculiar to the USSR. These characteristics include the "centrally planned economy" that the United States and the World Bank highlight in their classifi- cations. Indeed, Communist countries do their level best to own and administer practically everything and to regiment everybody, market forces playing a sub- sidiary role except on the thriving gray and black markets. But this economic system is blended with an ideology in the name of Marx and a governance in the name of Lenin; with the help of the police, a self- appointed leader or leaders dominates a one-and-only party, the government apparatus, trade unions, and the enterprises. Some of these features can be found in various countries of the "non-Communist" world; their deliberate combination makes a country Com- munist. But a common system does not prevent humans from starting quarrels among themselves. From a political angle the entries at the end of appendix table 1 tell the current story better than a division between Communist and non-Communist. They provide data for: ? The Western camp, i.e., the whole of NATO and our "Pacific Allies," namely Japan, Australia, New Zealand, and the Republics of China and Korea. ? The People's Republic of China, in isolation, though former Secretary of Defense James R. Schlesinger has called it the 16th member of NATO. ? The Eastern camp, i.e., the members of the Warsaw Pact (the East European Mutual Assistance Treaty) and other Soviet associates (Mongolia, Cuba, and Vietnam, which, in turn, has a hold over Kampu- chea and Laos). On both sides we find mugwumps, a role much more difficult in the East than in the West. Among Com- munist countries the People's Republic of Korea appears to sit on the fence, and Albania manages to sit in judgment over all the rest as the only outfit truly Communist. We do not classify as "Communist" Soviet-occupied Afghanistan and several countries in Asia (such as the People's Democratic Republic of Yemen, Aden), in Africa (Ethiopia, etc.), and Latin America. These may or may not become Soviet-type Communist countries within Moscow's realm. Some of them may disentangle themselves from the Soviet connection, as did Chile in 1973 after three *ruinous years of "Marxist" rule under Allende. However, the brittleness of alliances is not limited to one side. In all the attached tables, the term "Communist" or "non-Communist" refers to the status of a country in 1979, likewise the lines labeled NATO, Warsaw Pact, OECD, European Community, or OPEC (the War- saw Pact was formed in 1955; the EC, then six members, in 1958; OPEC in 1960; etc.). Cuba fell under Castro's rule in 1959 and soon became Com- munist. The Socialist Republic of Vietnam conquered South Vietnam in 1975 and Laos and Kampuchea at about the same time. The exclusion for the year 1950 of Cuba, South Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia would reduce the combined national products of "Commu- nist" regions by less than 2 percent, their population by less than 3 percent. Between 1960 and 1974, with Cuba Communist, the economic difference is 0.5 percent, the demographic difference 2 percent. In other words, including these countries under "Com- munist" in years when they were still non-Communist makes hardly any difference in a comparison of the two camps. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 But the other "Soviet associates" are not to be overlooked as adjuncts to the Warsaw Pact. Together with Mongolia they increase the Warsaw Pact prod- uct by a mere 2 percent but the Warsaw Pact population by 20 percent, the latter percentage chiefly because of the large number of Vietnamese. Economi- cally Cuba and Indochina are a drain on the USSR (and Kampuchea and Laos on Vietnam); the Kremlin must consider the cost worth the strategic advantages in its power game with the United States and the PRC. The importance of the Soviet associates as political opportunities (as well as risks) greatly exceeds their significance in economic or even in demographic terms. The Communist world has its own North-South ten- sion; in fact, the Sino-Soviet rivalry appears at times more virulent than the East-West conflict. This report lists as "developed Communist countries" the seven members of the Warsaw Pact plus Yugoslavia; all other Communist countries, with the PRC providing the bulk, are considered "less developed." Developed and Less Developed Countries-Another Troublesome Pair of Concepts This leads to the second main subdivision, namely between developed and less developed countries. The concepts represent a euphemism hiding embarrass- ment. After all, it would be most impolite as well as impolitic to divide the world into advanced and backward nations; it would also subordinate the Tat- ter's cultural qualities to a classification derived from the dismal science. In a desire to avoid judgments on spiritual, social, and political values, I established in the Planetary Product report for 1967 a divide of $1,000 product per capita between developed and less developed countries. At 1980 prices the $1,000 has risen to roughly $2,245. For each group, I established three subgroups (see the brackets in table 2). Because the 1980 GNP/GDP data are still relatively fluid, the ranking of countries by per capita product is based on 1979 product expressed in 1980 dollars. As time passes, nations may change their rank within a bracket or move from one group to another. Many nations manage to overcome their underdevelop- ment-after all, in past centuries all mankind was underdeveloped-and join the club of developed na- tions. The transition involves not just passing a magi- cal statistical point, but moving through a lengthy period of wrenching social adjustments. In our list Argentina is still carried as "less developed," while Spain has been considered "developed" for about 10 years. Their economic character is basically not dif- ferent, except that Argentina has lingered on its present level for many years; Spain, on the other hand, has expanded rapidly. Hong Kong moved into the developed ranks around 1970, Greece by 1972. On the Communist side, Poland crossed the divide in 1966, Bulgaria and Romania roughly one year later, and Yugoslavia in 1973.' Certain cases do not easily fit into this scheme of things. South Africa's product per capita is clearly below the divide, but the country has a dual economy, one part modern and affluent, one part backward and indigent. India likewise has a sizable modern sector, yet it does not elevate the country into the realm of a developed economy; the same is true of South Africa in its entirety. In other instances, a few countries with material resources much in demand have soared into a category of super-rich nations without a correspond- ing change in the mores and technical skills that accompany development. It is misleading to say that oil-producing Qatar or phosphate-producing Nauru have "overtaken" the American per capita GNP; Beverly Hills, California, or Chevy Chase, Maryland, would be in the same position if they were to declare their independence. These countries are statistical curiosities; their sovereignty gives them an influence in world affairs that they could not claim if they were counties or colonies. A backward country does not necessarily become advanced in the wake of a sudden bonanza-the lucre may lead not to true development but to waste and strife; nor does a developed country become underde- veloped during afew years of internal or external hostilities. Advanced countries are usually capable of staging a strong comeback when peace is restored, though it is thinkable that in a peculiar case the 'The GNP figures for non-Soviet Warsaw Pact countries were calculated by Thad P. Alton and Associates of the Research Project on National Income in East Central Europe in Economic Growth in Eastern Europe (Occasional Paper OP-59, New York, 1980). Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Number of Independent Sates, by Region and Major Category, 1980 ? North America (US, Canada) Latin America Europe World 2 30 35 37 51 11 166 Non-Communist Countries 2 29 26 31 51 11 150 Developed 2 4 24 10 2 3 45 With 1979 per capita product of: $6,733 or more 2 14 5 1 2 24 84,489-6,732 1 3 1 1 6 $2,245-4,488 3 7 4 1 15 Less Developed 25 2 21 49 8 105 With 1979 per capita product of- $1,123-2,244 10 1 4 4 1 20 $562-1,122 11 1 5 6 5 28 $561 or less 4 12 39 2 57 Communist Countries 1 9 6 16 Developed 8 $ With 1979 per capita product of. $4,489-6,732 3 3 $2,245-4,488 5 5 Less Developed 1 1 6 8 With 1979 per capita product of: $1,123-2,244 1 $562-1,122 1 2 3 $561 or less ^ The determination of status as "developed" or "less developed" and the related per capita product categories are based on 1979 product (excluding Third World Supplements) expressed in 1980 US dollars. This table includes 26 independent states distributed among the "sundry" groups shown in the appendix tables and excludes Puerto Rico, Hong Kong, and Belize. population may get stuck in the quagmire. To give several different examples: Venezuela (per capita product 1960, $2,120; 1980 about $3,400) appears headed toward a reasonably sound expansion. Iran (1960, $850; 1977 $3,290; 1980, a guessed-at $1,460) had managed its wealth badly. West Germany was below the divide in the first years after the Second World War, had rgcovered to $2,860 by 1950, and stood in 1980 with $ 10,490 per capita GNP as one of the three or four most advanced countries on the globe. Lebanon tumbled from about $2,060 in 1974 to perhaps half that amount by 1980 and faces a be- clouded future; unquantifiable transfers from abroad play a big role in determining Lebanon's well-being. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Demographic Revisions In 1980, mankind numbered approximately 4.5 billion persons. These multitudes inhabited 166 "independ- ent" or "sovereign" states (see table 2) and a few dozen dependencies left over from the day of colonial empires. Since my last report, which covered 1978, five more "nations" came into being; several depend- encies will become sovereign in the near future. Of all humankind, 58 percent lived in seven countries with a population of more than 100 million each (China, India, the USSR, the United States, Indonesia, Bra- zil, and Japan); and an additional 18 percent lived in 13 countries with populations between 40 and 100 million. Thus, a number of demographic issues are decisively affected by the nose counts in a few large nations. The difficulties in counting the world's people in an age of rapidly growing population and mass migrations need not be reviewed here. This report adopts the foreign population estimates published by the US Bureau of the Census in its annual volume for the year 1979.' In addition to extrapolations to 1980, a few figures differ (the major change concerning Saudi Arabia). As to this country, results of the US census of 1980 are included in the tables; the new official figure for 1 July 1980 is 227.64 million, or 2.5 percent higher than had been projected with the help of estimates for the immediately preceding years. In appendix table 2 the difference of 5.443 million people according to the official reading is distributed at a constant rate of growth over the years 1971-79; thus the US 1970 population in the table remains the estimate according to the 1970 census. As is well known, there have been voices charging that not only the old but also the new census undercounted certain minorities and districts. The Environmental Fund, a research organization in Washington, D.C. apprehen- sive about an overpopulated world, opts for a US population in mid-1980 of 232.4 million. Since immi- gration, legal and illegal, from Latin America and particularly from Mexico has contributed to raising the 1980 census result, the countries of provenance require demographic downward revisions. Our 1980 population figure for Mexico, 67.4 million, may be too high; the Environmental Fund guesses at 64 million. ' U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, World Population 1979, Washington, D.C., October 1980. While the US census added 5.4 million people to the world population count, two large nations, Brazil and Indonesia, reduced it apparently by a combined 6.8 million. The Brazilian 1980 census lowers the popula- tion total from an extrapolated 121.7 to a recorded 119 million, the Indonesian from 151.2 to 147.4 million, i.e., by over 2 percent in each case. The new figures have at this writing not yet been sufficiently scrutinized to warrant incorporation in this report. If confirmed, the Brazilian per capita product (excluding Third World Supplement) for 1980 would rise from $2,067 to $2,113 (at the official rate of exchange); in other words, Brazil is nearing the threshold of a developed country in our definition. The Indonesian announcement of the first census results contains interesting new insights on the coun- try's natural increase during the 1970s. The Central Bureau of Statistics has lowered its figure not only for 1980 but also for 1970, and this means that the Indonesian population is believed to have grown dur- ing the past decade not by 2.1 percent but by 2.34 percent. Does this revision for a typical underdevel- oped country suggest that the supposed decline in population growth during recent years was less than what demographers expected? Were the lower birth rates in some countries the result of wishful counting by governments trying to solve their population prob- lem through the statistical offices? In India a census was conducted in January 1981; the PRC count, repeatedly postponed, may also come to pass. The two countries are inhabited by 1.7 billion people together; demographic uncertainties of even a few percent involve multitudes. The Government of the PRC appears to have underestimated the Chinese population until recently (see The Planetary Product for 1978, pp. 21-23) but has now moved close to the median estimate of John S. Aird of the US Bureau of the Census. Aird has devised alternative series which, for 1980, range from 976.9-1,077.3 million; this re- port uses 1,032.1. Aird's latest revisions reduced the 1978 estimate of 1,003.9 (as quoted in our 1978 report, p. 36) to 997.2 million. At the same time, however, he raised the figure for 1975 from 943 to 949.7 million and, as a consequence, migration being insignificant, the natural increase declined from an Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 apparent 1.6 percent to 1.25 percent. There is no way to verify either rate; all I can do is append a question mark and hope for better figures after the contem- plated census.` Percent4l ewise the difference between Aird's high and low series for the PRC is plus or minus 5 percent compared to the mean value. Population data for high income OPEC members are quite dubious, since their boom has attracted large numbers of legal and illegal immigrants. Although the US Bureau of the Census (World Population 1979, p. 246) features a figure of over 9 million for Saudi Arabia in 1979, I use a more conservative 7.0 million for 1980 and adjust back to the 1970 figure using a constant rate of growth. In small countries like Qatar or Kuwait the natives are now a minority. What Concept of National Aggregates? For the purpose of this report I would prefer data in terms of national income, which is the gross national product (GNP) less an allowance for capital consump- tion and less payments (such as indirect taxes and ' Between 1975 and 1980 population growth in the less developed regions of the world was an estimated 2.2 percent per annum according to UN statistics. In a country like Nigeria the crude birth rate in 1977 was 5.0, the death rate 1.8 percent, in Mexico 3.8 percent and 0.8 percent, respectively (World Development Report, 1980, The World Bank, August 1980, pp. 144-145). Some stray figures from a past age put these data in relief. In 1824 the birth rate in Berlin was 3.5 percent, the death rate almost 3 percent, yielding a natural increase of 0.5 percent. Every seventh child was born out of wedlock; half of these little tots died before their first birthday (from a guidebook for Berlin and Potsdam, published in Berlin in 1933, p. 59; facsimile edition, Berlin 1980). Of Naples it is reported that the 1780 census came up with a birth rate of 3.6 percent for the lay population on the tenuous assumption that monks, nuns, and other clerics, representing 5.5 percent of the population, took their vows seriously. If not, the birth rate was 3.4 percent. The death rate is given as no less than 4.6 percent. In other words, Naples had a natural population decrease, Vedere Napoli e pal moire. While the Neapolitan census of 1780 is perhaps shakier than the censuses taken all over the world in 1980, death rates exceeding birth rates were at that time a common experience in cities, with frequent epidemics and pathetic health conditions in general. In the 18th century London had every year 6,000 more deaths than births (see the stimulating account in William H. McNeill's Plagues and Peoples, New York, N.Y., 1976, p. 275). The deficit was more than offset by in-migration from a healthier countryside. Rural folks filled the city jobs vacated through illness and death-an important difference, as McNeill points out, from the condition encountered in many fast-growing modern cities with unemployed migrants from rural areas in slums. subsidies) that distort the conceptually correct com- pensation for labor, capital, and land. However, sets of national income for international comparison are not easily available (depreciation is particularly hard to estimate). So I used GNP data throughout previous reports. I did so because US statisticians had and still have a preference for the GNP concept, not without good reasons. As a result American economists at universities and in government have recalculated the official Soviet, East European, and Chinese aggre- gates in terms of Western-style GNP by (a) adding services to the Marxist total of Net Material Product; (b) adapting administrative prices to something ap- proaching factor cost prices; and (c) eliminating some distortions in the underlying statistics of those countries. Gross national product includes all final goods and services newly produced in an economy during the year, i.e., the domestic output of goods and services plus or minus the balance of foreign transactions. This balance includes factor payments from other coun- tries, namely interest, profits, and other earnings from assets abroad, together with earnings of manpower temporarily at work abroad and government receipts from abroad-all of this reduced by corresponding factor payments to the outside world. The gross national product, when adjusted by subtracting net factor payments from other countries, becomes the gross domestic product (GDP). A country with large factor payments abroad thus will have a bigger GDP than GNP, and vice versa. For the world as a whole, such differences cancel each other out (just as emigra- tions and immigrations); in this respect, the planetary product is a single concept. Whether one prefers a concept focusing on national availabilities or on domestic output depends on the purpose of one's inquiries. The US Department of Commerce satisfies the needs of individual research undertakings by offering data on all components of the national accounts in their relation to each other. In general, US statistics operate with GNP as a yardstick, as do World Bank statistics in global surveys published in the Bank's World Development Reports and its Atlas. The UN, in turn, has a Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 preference for GDP, as has the International Com- parison Project (ICP), which is frequently quoted in this report. The ICP is a comprehensive undertaking aimed at calculating purchasing-power parities for as many countries as feasible; it is sponsored by the United States and the World Bank and is directed by Professor Irving B. Kravis who, together with Milton Gilbert, almost 30 years ago devised an improved method to compare the outputs of nation-states. Using the UN System of National Accounts (SNA), the OECD is now publishing standardized GDP series in purchasers' prices; the present report, making use of such comparable data for about two-thirds of the planetary product, has switched from GNP to GDP for as many countries as possible.' The main excep- tions are the Communist countries; as will be shown presently, use of their GNPs hardly affects an inter- national comparison. The width of the gap between GDP and GNP de- pends, first, on the size of the economy. The gap normally is small in countries with vast domestic markets, and contrariwise. It also varies with the intensity of international relations. Since the USSR and likewise the PRC are very large economies with an inward orientation, their GNPs and GDPs cannot be far apart. It hardly matters when we compare their GNPs or GDPs with Western aggregates. The gap must be slightly larger for the East European coun- tries and other associates of the USSR. In the United States the gap was 0.6 percent of GDP in 1950 and 1.9 percent in 1980. The ratio is small but has grown, as has the ratio of foreign trade to GDP in the US and practically everywhere. The US 1980 gap ' Milton Gilbert and Irving B. Kravis, An International Compari- son of National Products and the Purchasing Power of Currencies, Paris, OECD, 1954; extended in a second, 1958 volume. The first major publication under the ICP was United Nations International Comparison Project: Phase One. A System of International Com- portion s of Gross Product and Purchasing Power, by Irving B. Kravis, Zoltan Kenessey, Allen Heston, Robert Summers, and assistants, published for the World Bank by The Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore and London, 1975. Further ICP books and papers are mentioned in Robert Summers, Irving B. Kravis, and Alan Heston, "International Comparisons of Real Product and Its Composition: 1950-77," The Review cfIncome and Wealth, Series 26, No. 1, March 1980. ' The GDPs of OECD members are taken from that organization's National Accounts of OECD Countries, 1950-1978, Paris, 1980. resulted from the margin of factor income ($79.5 billion), over factor outlays to the rest of the world ($29.9 billion). In Canada factor payments made GNP 2.3 percent less than GDP; in Switzerland they made GNP 4.3 percent larger than GDP. The diver- gence between GNP and GDP becomes important in small economies which, whatever their strategic clout, are, so to say, outriggers of a large country. In Djibouti, French activities in various service sectors have been extensive enough to make (in 1976) the country's GDP 3.1 times the size of its GNP. In Saudi Arabia, GDP in 1974 was nearly twice the size of GNP; the ratio declined to 1.2 percent by 1978. Kuwait's GDP is given as 22 percent higher than GNP in 1970 and 9 percent higher in 1974; GDP equaled GNP in 1976-79, according to the data. In Indonesia, on the other hand, i.e., in an OPEC country with a relatively large economy, the GDP was reportedly only 4 percent higher than the GNP in 1973 as well as in 1978. We will return to these OPEC statistics in a later context. The GDP figures for the United States in appendix table 1 are based on those supplied by the US Department of Commerce to the OECD for its na- tional accounts publications. They were about 4 per- cent higher than the data the US published with its own definitions until the Commerce Department's recent revision of its national income and product accounts back to 1929.' At the time of this writing, the revised data had not been used to recalculate the GDP series for OECD use. When the new figures are published, the US GDP data presented here may require a slight upward correction. (The preliminary recalculation for the 1979 GDP, SNA concept, is $2,590.7 billion 1980 dollars as against the old figure of $2,561.8 billion, i.e., 1.1 percent higher.) From a purely American angle, the difference between the old and the new figures for both GDP and GNP is small. For 1972, the base year for the official US series in constant dollars, the new GDP figure is 0.9 percent higher in constant and current dollars, the GNP ' See the article in the Survey of Current Business. No. 12, December 1980. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 figure 1.3 percent higher. For 1979, the difference rises to 2.3 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively. Such changes are tolerable in view of the many uncertain- ties, estimates, and assumptions incorporated in even the most sophisticated and objective national accounts. But given the size of the American economy, the upward adjustment of its 1979 GDP approximates Finland's GDP; the GNP increase, almost the Danish GNP. Furthermore, the difference raises the US share in the 1979 planetary product by almost half a percentage point. The revision has also increased measured US economic growth (from 1969-79, for example, the new figures show national product up 34.8 percent, compared with 32.6 percent in the old series). The resulting increase in the average annual rate of growth is less than 0.25 percent. The revision slightly accelerates overall growth in the developed West and in the world at large. While the US GDP figures in our tables could not be changed, the population data take the 1980 census into account. Appendix table I shows a 1979 US GDP per capita of $11,373 dollars of 1980 buying power using the outdated OECD GDP figure and the new population estimate. The 1979 GDP per capita would have been $11,579 with old data for both population and GDP; with the 1980 census result and the revised GDP calculation it would be $11,501. Exchange Rates and Purchasing-Power Parities The base currency for our planetary comparisons is the US dollar, not so much because this publication views the world from an American point of view, but because the dollar has been and continues to be the universal currency numeraire. Even the Soviet Gov- ernment compares its net material product with its American counterpart in dollars and, incidentally or accidentally, in a way quite consistent with the series for the USSR in appendix table 1 Until the monetary crises of the early 1970s, the dollar was overvalued, and since then it has been undervalued, at least through 1980. These currency troubles affect the dollar value of other countries' GDPs or GNPs. An extreme example is the ratio between dollars and Swiss francs. The Swiss GNP in 1970 when converted at the 1970 exchange conversion factor amounted to $20.51 billion, or, adjusted to 1980 dollars with the US deflator, $39.80 billion; the Swiss 1980 GNP was $100.5 billion at the official rate of exchange. During these 10 years the Swiss GNP rose in real terms by an annual 1.1 percent; the seeming increase by an annual 9.7 percent is almost entirely monetary illusion. Economists dabbling in international comparisons try to get away from exchange rates that, explainable though they are in view of existing money flows and policies, cannot be used to measure adequately ratios of economic activity; comparisons aim at purchasing- power equivalents. But the concept is actually of a twofold nature. In one definition, two countries are at purchasing- power parity when exporters, importers, and travellers are able to convert their respective currencies so as to sell or purchase roughly the same amount of goods or services in either money. This state of affairs can be approached-rarely reached-through several meth- ods. In a system of fixed rates of exchange, the price levels are expected to fluctuate around the purchasing power parity. With currency rates in a "clean" float (the global float of the past eight years has been exceedingly "dirty," i.e., managed, and poorly man- aged at that), the exchange rates tend to adapt to the price levels in the countries concerned. There exists still a third method of determining the rate of ex- change, namely a system of strictly regimented for- eign transactions with the country's currency legally limited to the domestic market; black market rates at home and abroad would reflect purchasing power parities plus a risk premium for loss of money or loss of life and liberty for those out of luck. Under all these sytems, the rates of exchange may at times be close to the purchasing-power equivalent, if only by happenstance. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Another type of purchasing power parity encompasses not just a limited number of goods and services entering (actually or potentially) international mar- kets but the entire economies of two or more coun- tries. In a laborious procedure, purchasing power equivalents are calculated for each segment within the GNP of two countries; the sectoral results are then built up to two sets of GNP for each country, reflecting the difference in scarcity relations underly- ing prices here and there. The two sets are reconciled by applying-as in Irving Fisher's Ideal Index-the geometric means between the two (or through a similar method). This procedure was devised, as men- tioned before, by Gilbert and Kravis and is now being used for an increasing number of countries by Irving B. Kravis under the ICP. Economists in the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of Economic Research (CIA/OER) have used this method in assessing the level and growth of Soviet GNP; and Thad Alton's group does the same for Eastern Europe. When two countries on the same level of development are compared, say the United States and Canada, their purchasing-power parity based on goods that are or could be traded internationally is quite close to the parity based on all goods produced in the economies. The two types of parity tend to diverge greatly in a comparison of a highly developed country with an underdeveloped country, say, the United States and India. It was Colin Clark who about 40 years ago explained that exchange rates-which reflect foreign commercial and financial relations-easily understate the real product of less developed nations; he spoke of "oriental" societies. Differences in development exist, of course, not only between countries but also between time periods within one country. When we compare American scarcity relations today with those 100, 50, or even 30 years ago, we discover that the earlier era had, so to say, an "oriental" flavor. The scarcity relations that differ between countries or periods with a higher or lower stage of development are, inciden- tally, value ratios for goods and services sold and bought on markets. Still a different problem is the degree of monetization in an economy, namely the changing value of goods and services that are pro- duced and consumed by members of the society without the use of money. Since it is beyond the production possibilities of this one-man planetary effort to calculate purchasing- power parities even for two countries, I have handled the task of converting products of other nations into dollars in the following fashion. I selected, first, official rates of exchange that appeared to conform to the purchasing-power parity, type one. Then I applied Third World Supplements to less developed economies to bring their products closer to purchasing-power parity, type two. In the first step, I converted the national accounts of OECD members for 1973 into dollars at rates of exchange prevailing in March-April 1973. To obtain values for the years before or after 1973, I extrapo- lated the GNPs (and now GDPs) of the individual countries backward and forward with their real rates of growth, hoping-somewhat against hope-that the various indexes were correctly deflated. Then I con- verted the 1973 dollars into the dollars of the respec- tive issue of the Planetary Product (in this issue, 1980 dollars) with the help of the US GNP (and now GDP) deflator. For the products of Third World countries, I used the 1976 dollar values calculated by CIA/OER and moved backward and forward with CIA/OER growth rates, all data converted for this issue into dollars of 1980 buying power. I selected a different procedure in the case of the OPEC members, as will be explained later in this section. As repeated comparisons of our figures with the findings of the ICP have shown, the rates of early 1973 have served quite well for the larger areas of chief concern to US policymakers. Let me, for in- stance, compare for 1977 (the latest year in the ICP publications) the GDPs of developed OECD countries without the United States as the measure of compari- son (and, of course, without Portugal and Turkey, which for the purposes of this report are regarded as less developed) in different calculations. The ICP total is 3.1 percent to 3.3 percent larger than the figures in appendix table 1. At average official 1977 exchange rates, the total would be 8.9 percent larger than the result in the table. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 The 3.1-percent difference just mentioned refers to the ICP set of purchasing power parities with the terms of trade frozen as of 1970; the 3.3-percent difference from another ICP series takes account of changes in the terms of trade. For individual coun- tries, the comparison yields varying fits. Purchasing power equivalents of any type are not precision tools; they differ with alternative aggregation procedures; they require revisions even for the base year; their extrapolation is hazardous. Comparing, again for 1977, the figures in appendix table 1 and the ICP results (adjusted for changes in the terms of trade), we find that the difference is a mere 0.13 percent in the case of Japan, 1.4 percent for France, 3.5 percent for the Netherlands, 4.8 percent for Canada, 5.8 percent for Belgium, 7.5 percent for Italy, and a negative 6.3 percent for the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG}-Le., the ICP value for West Germany is below the figure in the table. These are tolerable variations. As in the case of the FRG, the ICP findings are below the figures of this report for Switzerland and a few other smaller but highly developed nations. The Swiss per capita GDP of the ICP is almost 26 percent below ours; as in later years, the Swiss franc may have been over-valued in 1973. The ICP per capita GDP of the UK, on the other hand, is by far higher than the findings presented in our table. The difference, now 30.8 percent, has risen with ICP revisions of the UK-US relationship of per capita GDP for the base year, namely from 60.3 percent to 63.5 percent (a 5.3 percent increase); whatever the exact adjustment needed, the pound sterling was indeed undervalued in 1973, with the deplorable result that the series in appendix table I understates British performance.' We will return to the British development in Part II. Since the UK economy is large, its differing evaluation is a major source of the 3.3 percent deviation mentioned above. In the case of Italy-also discussed in the cited issue of the Planetary Product-the higher ICP figure is probably explicable in terms of Italy's less developed ' See a previous statement on the UK in the Planetary Product for 1977-78, p. 16. southern provinces, lesser development being associat- ed with higher exchange-rate deviation indexes. This leads to the statistical problem of adjusting the prod- uct of the less developed world to purchasing power parity. To cope with this problem, this report-to quote the 1977-78 issue of Planetary Product (pp. 5-6)- "applies the Third World Supplements I devised years ago, in the full realization that the supplements appear low." I also indicated that they may be useful for whole groups of nations but not necessarily for any particular country. I have now, first, raised the Third World Supplements for the three national-product brackets of the less developed world from 10 percent, 30 percent, and 60 percent to 30 percent, 60 percent, and 120 percent. Only reluctantly did I apply the supplements to all the less developed countries (except Mainland China) in appendix table 1. For the less developed non-Communist world the output total for 1980 is raised through the increased supplements from $1,347.8 billion to $2,137.1 billion, i.e., by $789.3 billion, or nearly 60 percent. Since I apply the supplements also to less developed Communist coun- tries with the exception of the PRC (see below), the supplements increase the planetary product for 1980 from $10,455 billion to $11,269 billion, i.e., by 7.8 percent. The effects of the supplements on major aggregates in the planetary product (developed, less developed; non-Communist, Communist) are set forth in appendix table 9. As of now the ICP has published purchasing power equivalents for seven less developed countries out of a total of 16 thoroughly researched economies (includ- ing the United States as the base country). The equivalents for 111 additional countries, presented in the 1980 publication cited above, were obtained by making each of the 16 economies studied in detail the "representative country" for countries with a similar structure. The list covers most non-Communist coun- tries of any substantial size, developed or less devel- oped. For countries that the present report calls "less developed," the ICP's average exchange rate devi- ation index for 1975 is roughly 2; in other words, the ICP doubles their combined GDPs. It lowers, in turn, ~LL_Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 the GDPs of the so-called industrialized group (i.e., practically the OECD membership) by about 10 percent below the exchange-rate total, chiefly to offset the relative dollar undervaluation. If I were to adopt Third World Supplements averaging 100 per- cent instead of the average 60 percent used in this report, the product of the less developed non-Commu- nist world for 1980 would rise an additional $559 billion, from $2,137 billion to $2,696 billion, and the world product from $11,269 billion to $11,828 billion, or by another 5.0 percent. The purchasing power parities vis-a-vis the dollar ought to reflect, aside from vicissitudes on the curren- cy markets, the economic structure of the country in question. We would expect the Third World Supple- ment or the exchange-rate deviation index to be higher, the lower the level of economic development. In the ICP calculations India has, understandably, a large deviation index; for the base year 1970 it was originally no less than 3.70; later it was reduced to 3.35. I still feel, as I argued in my preceding report, that the index for India may overstate the real value of Indian services as compared with services in an advanced country and, particularly, the United States as the base country. But even Turkey has in the ICP estimate for 1977 a deviation index of 1.7 (without accounting for changes in the terms of trade) or of 1.8 (terms of trade considered), with the result that, expressed in 1980 dollars, its 1977 GDP per person amounts to $2,322 or $2,500 compared with slightly over $1,400 (which includes a Third World Supple- ment of 60 percent) shown in this report. The ICP estimates that in 1977 Turkey's GDP per capita was 23 percent of the US figure and no less than 33 percent of the ICP's (relatively low) estimate for Switzerland. A product per person one-third that of Switzerland's is something Turks might dream about, even Turkish guest workers in West German cities, much less their relatives at home. And it must be remembered that GDP embraces not only personal consumption but also public consumption and invest- ments which, per head of the population, differ widely between countries like Turkey and Switzerland. Whether or not the progress of a country from a lower to a higher stage of economic development is to be gauged by a reduced Third World Supplement or by a smaller exchange-rate deviation, its growth statistics encounter an issue closely related to the troublesome index number problem. The index problem arises when we compare for a specific country scarcity and price relations in, say, 1950 with those in a later year, e.g., 1980. The relations change continuously all over the world, but particularly fast in countries that undergo great structural shifts. Measured in prices of the earlier year, growth is in general more rapid than when measured in prices of a later year. Let us now compare the increase in "real" product of a rapidly changing country (such as the Republic of Korea) as measured against the growth in the product of an advanced country with a more stable structure (the United States). If the base year for the purchasing power calculation remains unchanged (the ICP oper- ates throughout with a 1970 base), the growth rate of the less developed country will be the same in constant local currency and in dollars. But if we compare the real products in purchasing power equivalents, first of an early base year and then of a later base year, growth between the two base years will be slower than in local currency. Disregarding disturbances on the currency markets of the types we witnessed in the 1970s, the difference in the growth rate would be attributable to changes in the scarcity and price relations of the base country (the United States), but the theoretical explanation does not eliminate the practical inconsistencies of growth rates when, as is inevitable after some time, base years are changed for purchasing power equivalents. Statistics for the 13 OPEC countries exhibit all the difficulties mentioned above. They were, and some of them still are, statistically underdeveloped. Their population numbers are unusually uncertain, if only because of heavy migration. Their incomes have skyrocketed; in several cases OPEC countries moved from poverty to an embarras de richesses in a few short years, with correspondingly abrupt shifts in their pattern of demand and their output mix. They share in a worldwide inflation to which they contributed Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 substantially through their cartel pricing policy (crude oil had on average a posted price in current dollars of $3.39 per barrel in 1973 and $34.86 in January 1981, an increase which, after deflation with the OECD consumer price index, averages 24 percent per an- num). The GNP-GDP gap in many OPEC countries had been wide because of major factor payments abroad; more recently, the gap has declined in per- centage terms, as a larger share of factor income stays at home. For the present calculations, I used as a starting point the countries' GNP data as published by CIA/OER for 1976 in 1976 dollars. I converted them to 1980 dollars with the US GNP deflator. Then I extrapolat- ed the 1976 OPEC GNPs backward and forward with growth rates that, of all those I scrutinized, I found most convincing, namely the rates inherent in the ICP series accounting for changes in the terms of trade. These rates refer to GDP per capita between 1950 and 1977. GNP and GDP growth differ somewhat; the inconsistency is regrettable but appears tolerable given the wide margins of errors of the entire exercise. For the years 1978-79, I used rates from the CIA Handbook a! Economic Statistics for 1980, and for 1980 I consulted specialists working on OPEC coun- tries. Finally, I added Third World Supplements to the product data of "indigent" OPEC members ac- cording to the three brackets for less developed countries. The results are far from ideal. I feel the OPEC members should donate some of their money for a thorough revision of their statistics; in the process they would improve their self-knowledge. Of the numerous problems concerning individual countries and specific time periods, I wish to mention two. One concerns Indonesia. I applied in this case the growth rates mentioned above with some misgivings. Accord- ing to the ICP table, Indonesia in 1950 had a population of 75.449 million and a per capita GDP 3 percent that of the US; in 1977, with 141.777 million inhabitants (a figure possibly overtaken by the new census), its GDP per capita was 10 percent that of the US. Since US GDP per capita in 1977 was 1.74 times the 1950 figure, Indonesia turns out to have 10.8 times as much GNP in 1977 as in 1950. Such an expansion might take place in one of the tiny oil- producing countries but is unlikely in a nation with the fifth-largest population in the world. However, I did not want to treat that country differently from the other OPEC members, so I just add a modest demurrer. The second problem concerns Kuwait in earlier years. It was obviously well heeled, even at the beginning of our 30-year time period. Our tables show for 1950 a population of 145,000 and in 1980 dollars a per capita GNP of $9,836 (see appendix tables 2 and 3). This is a bewildering figure. The 1950 per capita GDP of the ICP is $7,751. The Kuwaiti GDP should be higher than the GNP; instead it is lower. Comparing Soviet and US Aggregates The Soviet ruble is strictly an inland currency; its official valuation has fluctuated widely. Compared with the rough purchasing power equivalents present- ed in appendix table 1, the ruble was greatly overval- ued until 1961. Up to then, one old ruble had the official value of $0.25. Applied to an estimated GNP of 2,040 billion old rubles in 1960, the official valu- ation would yield a GNP of $510 billion, or $1,317.3 billion in terms of 1980 dollars. My figure in appendix table 1 of $573.5 billion in 1980 dollars is equivalent to $222.0 billion in 1960 dollars. In 1961, Khrushchev introduced a new ruble worth 10 old rubles. At the same time he devalued the curren- cy. The new rate of exchange was 1 ruble = $1.11. By 1965 the Soviet GNP amounted to 260.6 billion new rubles-at the official rate, $234.8 billion in 1965 dollars or $560.3 billion in 1980 dollars. Appendix table I presents a GNP estimate for 1965 of $728.5 billion in 1980 dollars (equivalent to $305.3 billion in 1965 dollars). The ruble had become undervalued. By 1980 the dollar was floating while the Soviet stalwarts stuck to their peculiar gold standard. On average the 1980 official rate was 1 ruble = $1.462. An assumed GNP of 462.6 billion rubles translates into 676.3 billion 1980 dollars. Compared with the $1,280.1 billion in appendix table 1, the ruble was even more undervalued in comparison with a still r~,--------.- ~.... Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 undervalued dollar. It was also undervalued compared with corresponding values in the latest (1980) issues of the World Bank Atlas or in the CIA Handbook of Economic Statistics 1980. This leads to a brief discussion of the Soviet GNP figures presented in the preceding paragraphs. They were derived by extrapolating backward and forward the Soviet GNP for 1970 in 1970 rubles (340.2 billion at factor cost) as calculated by 'The USSR has long been suffering from a mild inflationitis, which cannot be quantified for lack of adequate price indexes. Consequently the 1960 and 1965 ruble and dollar estimates underlying the conversion with official rates may be on the high side; even the 1979 estimate could be on the low side without affecting the general statement that the ruble was overvalued until 1961, thereafter undervalued. Nor is this observation changed by substituting for uble figure and for the data in appendix a e le A's more recent ruble and dollar figures, which were revised upward. The Soviet values in the table are 8 percent below the dollar figure for 1975 in CIA's Handbook for 1976, 16 percent lower than the series in the Handbook for 1980. The Joint Economic Committee will soon publish a detailed reexamination by CIA of its Soviet national accounts, following up the sophisticated article lin the JEC's 1979 volume.` In the meantime I stick to my series for reasons explained in my contribution to the same publication." The paper by the three authors just mentioned states explicitly (on p. 390): Committee, Soviet Economy in a Time of Change, 10 October 1979. " Ibid., p. 115. The ruble-dollar ratios for consumer durables, machinery and equipment, and construction were not adjusted to account for quality differ- ences beyond those reflected in the original matches. The ratios of established prices in the two countries ignore the substantial advantage that the American consumer has in terms of conven- ience, variety, and availability. These "serv- ices" are covered in the U.S. price but not in the Soviet counterpart. Therefore, the dollar value of Soviet output is overstated and the ruble value of U.S. production is understated. The ruble-dollar ratios for services-especially health and education probably are too high ... I fully agree. My figures for the six smaller Warsaw Pact members in Eastern Europe come from the publication of Thad P. Alton and Associates of the Research Project on National Income in East Central Europe cited above. As in previous years, I voice my doubts on the Romanian GNP per capita on the suspicion that dubious investments and their spurious yields, as well as quality claims, ought not to be taken at face value. The Yugoslav GNP data are taken from CIA's Handbook of Economic Statistics 1980, table 9. Statistical Options on the PRC The group of "less developed Communist countries" in this report consists of one future superpower, the PRC, and seven small or medium powers on three continents (Cuba, Albania, Mongolia, North Korea, Vietnam, Laos, and Kampuchea). Most of the seven smaller countries have their own particular influence for geopolitical, military, or ideological reasons. Their economic weight, however, is inconsiderable, their statistics are poor or nonexistent, and many of the measures of their economic performance can only be guessed at. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Three different estimates are available for the PRC's national product. One has an official or semiofficial background. The Washington Post of 28 June 1980 reported that Beijing gave the World Bank's Interna- tional Development Agency a figure of $250 billion (converted to 1980 dollars) for 1978 output, which translates into 270 billion 1980 dollars for the year 1980. The figure refers in all likelihood to Marxist- style net material product and may include Taiwan. This piece of news from Beijing seems to be the source of the 1978 figure for "China" in the 1980 edition of the World Bank Atlas, namely $219.010 billion in 1978 dollars. Although the amount appears to include the Republic of China (with its 1978 GNP of $25.8 billion in 1978 dollars), it ranks "China" in the World Bank category with Sierra Leone. Quite a comedown from the preceding Atlas, which listed a 1978 figure for China of exactly $424.620 billion. Secondly, in "An Approximation of the Relative Real Per Capita GDP of the People's Republic of China," we have a calculation published by Professor Kravis after a journey through that country (Addendum to the Report of the Economics Delegation to the PRC, March 1980). Professor Kravis arrives at a 1975 per capita GDP for the PRC that is 10 percent that of the American, using a binary comparison with the United States, and 12 percent in a multilateral comparison. This yields a total 1975 GDP of $963 billion in 1980 dollars under the binary concept, or of $1,144 billion under the multilateral. Extra olated to 1980-at our own risk-with the help o NP index, the binary figure would be $1,305 billion; the multilateral estimate $1,550 billion. The most painstaking work on PRC national accounts has been done by recently joined by K. C. Yeh (pub- lished by the Joint Economic Committee in past volumes and in a forthcoming book)." Their present GNP estimates (all in 1980 dollars) are: for 1975, $437 billion; for 1978, $526 billion; and for 1980, $592 billion. Their year-by-year series, which runs from 1949 through 1980, poses problems both in regard to growth rate and volume of GNP. Economic growth is presented as amazingly rapid in a country with so much political turbulence and repeated peri- ods of steep decline. The average annual growth rate is 6.7 percent for the past 31 years, or 6 percent, if the base year is 1952, i.e., a time when the country was more or less rehabilitated. It is 6.6 percent for 1970- 80 and 7.9 percent for the past four years. Field's GNP totals combine two output series, one for agri- culture, another for industry, both derived from phys- ical production estimates; the services sector is as- sumed to expand at the combined rate of the agricultural and industrial sectors. Farm output has moved in line with the long-term population growth, an average of slightly more than 2 percent per annum, which appears to be a reasonable finding. Industrial output has skyrocketed at annual rates of 10 percent to 11 percent. In my judgment, this rate does not take sufficient account of the difference between product in physical and in value terms (including the likeli- hood of quality deterioration in some manufactures and the Gerschenkron Effect) and likewise overrates the growth in services. Faced with the choice between GNP or GDP figures ranging, extrapolated to 1980, from $270 billion to $592 billion to $1,550 billion, I opted mirthlessly for that is, the middle series. I will return tote statistics in Part II to discuss their economic and political significance. The Catchalls, or Sundries Of the 166 sovereign nations in existence in 1980 (see table 2) 140 are specified as line items in appendix table 1 together with three countries (Puerto Rico, Belize, and Hong Kong) that still are dependencies of a sort. An additional 26 sovereign states and 14 small dependencies are distributed in the income divisions of appendix table 1 as "sundry." These entries cannot be precise; they are memorandum items signaling the existence of additional units. Together, they account for perhaps 0.2 percent of world population and world product. Such ratios, of course, do not detract from the dignity and tradition of these tiny states, some of Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 which have a long and noble history. To any faraway coral reef that has escaped my attention in the "sundry " catalogue, my apologies, coupled with the wish that it may soon acquire sovereignty and a vote in the UN. Grouped by per capita product, the sundry categories include the following: ? $6,733 or more: states-Vatican City, Monaco, Liechtenstein, Nauru; dependencies-Brunei, Ber- muda, French Polynesia. ? $4,489 - 6,732: dependencies-Reunion, New Caledonia. ? $2,245 - 4,488: states-Andorra, San Marino, Oman; dependencies-Martinique, Guadeloupe, French Guiana, Netherlands Antilles. ? $1,123 - 2,244: state-Seychelles; dependencies- Namibia, Macao, Antigua. ? $562 - 1,122: states-Western Samoa, Kiribati, Vanuatu, Tuvalu, Grenada, St. Lucia; dependen- cy--St. Christopher-Nevis-Anguilla; also since the 1967 war this pigeonhole includes the West Bank, i.e., Jordanian territory occupied by Israel. ? $561 or less: states-Dominica; St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Bhutan, Maldives, Djibouti, Guinea- Bissau, Equatorial Guinea, Sao Tome and Principe, Cape Verde, Comoros, Tonga, Solomon Islands; special status-Western Sahara. Thus "developed" sundries (per capita product greater than $2,244), include seven states and nine dependen- cies; "less developed" sundries, 19 states, four depen- dencies and two special cases; and the total under "sundry," 26 states, 13 dependencies and two special cases. Some other nonsovereign areas are listed in Status of the World's Nations, a periodic publication of the US Department of State, latest edition (Sep- tember 1980). Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 The past three decades were an era of luxuriance, with many good features and others that have become increasingly irksome. In arts and humanities I cannot detect much brilliance; I see only a superabundant quantity of output. At the same time, the physical and biological sciences have made sensational strides; this, after all, was the time when Americans visited the moon. The world economy grew more than ever, cyclical downturns and local flaps notwithstanding; monetary creation outpaced growth, alas! Humanity itself multiplied at an unprecedented pace-the de- mographic counterpart of inflation. And the era wit- nessed a proliferation of so-called sovereign nations, often with ill-defined borders, dubious viability, and inadequate leadership. The great powers have re- mained at peace (of sorts); wars and revolutions have been local affairs (which is no consolation for the many victims). But the general prosperity and general peace were and continue to be viewed with ill ease; the Planetary Product's subtitles for 1968 and 1972 apply to more than one year: "Deeply Troubled Prosperity" and "Systems in Disarray." The following facts and figures will elaborate the picture. held back the improvement of the great masses of poor people. The psychological and political draw- backs of a society turned into a rabbit warren are only too obvious. Product and population growth combined worldwide to provide a 2.6 percent average annual growth in per capita output, with the developed countries running at 3.2 percent, and the less devel- oped countries at 3.0 percent." All these rates represent a historical quantum jump. Long-term demographic and economic growth was imperceptibly small until the Industrial Revolution began about 200 years ago. Then it accelerated. From the middle of the 19th century until the First World War the planetary product is believed to have in- creased-with strong fluctuations from year to year- by about 3 percent per annum and half that much per capita. In other words, total growth at that time was not much larger than per capita growth in the past third of a century. The period between the two world wars was at first prosperous but then turned dismal with the Great Depression and barriers to internation- al trade. The planetary product in 1980 was an amazing 3.8 times the planetary product of 1950, representing an average annual rate of growth in real terms of 4.6 percent. The 30-year period excluded the first four postwar years of reconversion and reconstruction and included several lustreless years of the recent past. During the same 30 years, mankind multiplied at an average annual rate of nearly 2 percent, so that population in 1980 was 1.8 times the population of 1950. Demographic changes interact with economic development in a complicated fashion through the size and composition of the labor supply, the structure of demand for consumer and capital goods, and the stimulation of knowledge. The below-average rate of population growth in the developed world has not been a drag on economic expansion-with immigration alleviating some labor scarcities at the price of ethnic friction. In contrast, the population explosion in back- ward regions offset much of the increase in output and The planetary growth indicated above for 1950-80 conceals important differences by period and region, differences that are the essence of history. In the first subperiod, namely the 1950s, the average annual rate of growth worldwide happened to be the same as in the past 30 years as a whole, that is, 4.6 percent. In the following 13 years, it increased to no less than 5.2 percent. After 1973 the rate fell to 3.3 percent. These last years were not seven lean years in the Biblical sense; average growth was still above the "historical" rate of 3 percent; their hallmark were violent ups and downs, from 1.4 percent in 1975 to 4.4 percent in the three years 1976-78 to a preliminary 2.0 percent in 1980. The question arises whether the lower growth rate of the final seven years was only a "creative pause" in the course of an era with a new, higher " The apparently contradictory numerical results stem from the much greater growth in population in the less developed countries. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 "historical" rate of, say, 4 percent or more, or, conversely, whether the period up through 1973 was nothing but an extended boom which planted the seeds of its own destruction and which would even generate into a protracted period of, sluggish world growth. Such a question can be asked on purely economic grounds, laying aside the political question of whether the world will enter an era of good feelings or of heightened tensions and quarrels. But interpret- ing the past is as difficult as predicting the future. At any rate, we must examine conditions by region and country. US Growth Below World Average The runners in the world race can be grouped into five classes: star performers, somewhat above average, average, somewhat below average, and laggards. Needless to add, over time many runners vary their speed and change from one category to another. Let us begin with the United States, the largest compo- nent in the global economy and the creator of stand- ards for the whole world in the twentieth century. Indeed, the role of the United States as a model helps explain why American economic growth was below average, although an average rate of 3.3 percent per year is really not to be despised. In the 19th century the United States, moving ahead at more than 4 percent per annum, expanded above the world average. Around 1900 the US share of the planetary product had grown to nearly one-fourth of the total. The frontier spirit in organizational, man- agerial, and technical affairs in the United States invited imitation in other advanced countries. After the Second World War, when the United States occupied a hegemonial position in the West, its modes of production, distribution, and consumption radiated around the globe, a process helped by large US grants and investments abroad. Even Communist govern- ments hankered after American technical and man- agerial know-how. Immediately after World War II, the US share in the output of a devastated world economy was probably 40 percent or more; in 1950, with much reconstruction completed, it was still one- third. But by 1970 the US share in the planetary product had receded to 25 percent (without Third World Supplements, nearly 27 percent), and by 1980 to 22.7 percent (24.5 percent). This is as much as the share in 1900; however, in this century the pace of US growth has changed from above to below the world average. In the 1950s average annual growth was 3.2 percent in the US as compared with 5.4 percent in the rest of the world; between 1960 and 1973, 4.0 percent versus 5.6 percent; and between 1973 and 1980, 2.1 percent versus 3.6 percent. Should these ratios inspire a deja vu feeling? For the first hundred years of the Industrial Revolution, Great Britain led the way in economic growth- outstripping most other countries in overall growth and the United States at least in per capita growth. Then the UK rate fell below average, as did the American in this century. Great Britain's 2.4 percent average growth rate in the past 30 years is actually half a percentage point above its average growth from 1870 to 1913, but further below the increased world average than before the First World War and, in any case, inadequate by today's more demanding standards. Our century has produced a countermodel to the American economy. The Russia of the last two tsars was hardly anybody's example, though its industrial- ization showed encouraging progress until the disas- ters of World War I. After the October Revolution, sympathizers viewed the new Bolshevik state as the future ("and it works"). Some Western observers were impressed later by the USSR's fast expansion at the time of the Great Depression and again during Khru- shchev's campaign "to catch up with and overtake" the United States in the late 1950s. Communist governments that came into being after the Second World War copied institutions and policies of the USSR as a matter of course. Soviet economic growth was indeed a wonderment in the 1930s. Even though Stalin's First Five-Year Plan was a mess and only a few years later the country began to prepare for war, the average annual growth between 1928 and 1940 was 5.3 percent at the minimum, depending on the price basis used and not counting the waste of people and materials. In the Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 1950s the average annual Soviet growth rate was 5.9 percent (as against 4.8 percent in the world with and 5.4 percent without the US). But between 1960 and 1973 Soviet growth declined to 4.9 percent, compared with the planetary product's 5.2 percent with or 5.6 percent without the United States; it was 2.6 percent from 1973-80 while the world expanded by 3.3 per- cent with or 3.6 percent without the United States. The circumstances responsible for these worldwide changes can be grouped into seven categories. The sequential discussion of these categories does not imply a rigid pecking order or absence of interaction between them. Different Degrees of Resource Utilization First, fast growth occurs when, after a war or similar troubles, materials and equipment are again supplied in sufficient quantities so that both facilities and manpower may be better utilized; or when, at the end of a cyclical downturn, a rising demand results in a flood of new orders. Between 1945 and 1950, Italy's output is believed to have more than doubled, Soviet output to have risen by perhaps one-third. (Such calculations convey only a sense of general magnitude.) The West German GNP rose by a reported 120 percent between 1948 and 1950, the Japanese by 100 percent between 1947 and 1955, that of the PRC by 70 percent in its three recovery years, 1950-52. The United States, on the other hand, after some dislocations during reconver- sion from war to peace production, was fully em- ployed or even overemployed until it became afflicted by minor recessions between 1954 and the early 1960s. But, even at a remarkable average growth of 4.2 percent in the first half of the 1950s (only 2.3 percent in its second half), the US could not be expected to match European and Asian economies recovering from the war. The 1950-55 average annual rates were calculated at 10.9 percent for the PRC, about 9.4 percent for Japan and West Germany, 6.5 percent for East Germany, and 5.8 percent for the USSR. In later years, declines and recoveries with a political- military background were strictly local, dramatic though they were for everybody concerned. To cite some rather speculative percentage changes, the GNP in Cyprus dipped by 30 percent from 1973 to 1975 and then rose by 41 percent in the two following years; in Lebanon it declined by 44 percent from 1974 to 1976 and rose by 20 percent in 1977 with a new plunge thereafter; and Iran had its GNP cut in half between 1977 and 1980. Managerial-Technological Progress The better or poorer utilization of existing facilities, for the political or business reasons just mentioned, denotes changes in productivity. Productivity statis- tics, despite a large amount of indisputably productive research, are tricky. High productivity resembles the ,fie ne sais quoi that makes a pretty girl attractive: her charm is obvious but hard to spell out. Not that productivity lacks a definition; it is output per unit of input. Output is the value of goods and services turned out in a specific period; input is the value of the factors of production used up in the process, i.e., the services of the labor, capital, and land required. Depending on how output and input are calculated, the two, if not by chance identical, yield a residue- either positive or negative, either large or small. Not only is productivity a residue, it is also a miscellany and an open-ended one, at that. One component of this miscellany is a residue within a residue, a miscel- lany in the miscellany. It is meant to measure chiefly productivity gains due to advances in managerial, organizational, and technological skills. These ad- vances are at times extraordinary, either because of a nation's creativity or its ability to absorb foreign innovations. British progress during the Industrial Revolution (with American contributions from the very beginning, for example, from Benjamin Franklin and Eli Whitney) was later assimilated by Germany and other European countries; in this century Ameri- can knowledge has been taken over on a still larger scale. Transfer is easier, the closer the social and economic systems of the two countries. It was a great success in Western Europe and Japan and likewise in several other Asian countries. Though not the heirs of Max Weber's Protestant ethic, the Asians have exhib- ited the requisite dynamics, a willingness to save and invest, and a managerial and technical ability of their Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 own. In the Soviet realm, great native talents have been frustrated and deflected by the defects of the Marxist-Leninist-Stalinist system. In a number of underdeveloped countries, the modernizing effort has been counterproductive; they have retrodeveloped, at least per capita, sometimes in toto. A people reaps what Professor Alexander Gerschenkron called "the benefits of backwardness" only if they have the will and ability at least to copy. The following estimates illustrate how advances in knowledge influenced the growth of the national income according to Edward F. Denison's seminal research: such advances (and some minor residual sources of growth) contributed in the United States (1948-69) 1.19 percentage points of a 4 percent prod- uct growth, in Japan (1953-71) 1.97 points of 8.81 percent, in France (1950-62) 1.51 points of 4.70 percent, in Italy (1950-62) 1.30 points of 5.60 percent. In other words, according to Denison's findings, be- tween one-fourth and one-third of the progress during the respective periods was due to advance in techno- logical and managerial knowledge." The high per- centages in foreign countries testify to their reception of American know-how. By now they have proceeded from imitation to creation, and this country, in turn, profits by their advances (while bemoaning their keen competition). An internationally broadened basis for progress makes the often portended technological stagnation or, at least, slackening less likely than ever. Future technological progress (in energy generation and transmission, in a wide application of computers, including for industrial robots, in biological innova- tions, etc.) in conjunction with trade liberalization will hopefully be a powerful factor in overcoming what I called the "creative pause" of current years. Trade Liberalization One aspect of Americanization in the past third of a century was trade liberalization. The United States, despite a long protectionist tradition (and some temp- tation to revert to it) has worked for a freer trade since the days of Franklin D. Roosevelt and Cordell Hull through autonomous measures as well as international " See Edward F. Denison and W. K. Chung, How Japan's Econo- my Grew So Fast, The Brookings Institution, 1976, pp. 42-43. Also, Denison's latest book, Accounting for Slower Economic Growth, The Brookings Institution, 1979, Table 8-1, p. 104. initiatives. Larger markets improve the cost-reducing division of labor (facilitated by speedier transportation and product miniaturization). Consequently, from 1950 until the price revolution that started or, at least, accelerated in 1973, world trade in real terms rose by an average annual 8.3 percent as compared with a 5 percent rise in the planetary product. Such a ratio was experienced only once before, namely in the free trade era of the mid-19th century (the respective rates at that time were roughly 5 percent and 3 percent). In past decades the share of international trade in GDP or GNP has risen everywhere, likewise the importance of international investment and its reflection in a widening gap between GDP and GNP. The trade-creating and output-stimulating force of liberalization was particularly visible in Western Eu- rope in the heyday of the European Community (between its beginning in 1958 and its extension to Great Britain, Ireland, and Denmark in 1973), when its combined GNP rose by an average annual 4.9 percent and the exports of goods and services by 10.2 percent. The same is true of the Far East, where the unique development of Japan, the Republics of China and Korea, and the city-states of Hong Kong and Singapore would not have been possible without a freer trade climate throughout the world. Even in the past seven years, with disturbed commodity and cur- rency markets and an upsurge in protectionism, real trade in goods and services increased at least as fast as world output. The name "New Industrializing Countries" (NICs) is now frequently applied to some fast-growing Third World countries-the Republics of China and Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore, Greece and Portugal, and Brazil and Mexico. Their combined products (without Third World Supplements) rose from $100.0 billion in 1950 to $175.6 billion in 1960 to $445.0 billion in 1973 to $647.8 billion in 1980; i.e., at average annual rates of 5.8 percent, 7.4 percent, and 5.5 percent during the respective periods. These are very high rates of growth, particularly considering that Portugal lagged behind because of its colonial troubles. The NIC expansion is attributable to the rapid rise of dynamic entrepreneurs who have made use of ample Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 and low-cost labor to supply relatively free world markets; one can now observe a tendency for wages to rise and a movement toward industries with higher technology and a more highly skilled labor force." Growth Through Massive Inputs Extraordinary economic growth can also be achieved through massive additions of labor, capital, and also land, despite insignificant productivity gains. Let us begin with some passing remarks on the US economy during the. 19th century. As mentioned above, average output growth seems to have exceeded 4 percent, with heavy inputs of labor (including immigrants), capital, and land. The productivity gain was allegedly only 0.3 percent per annum between 1800 and 1890.16 A rate so low is hard to swallow for a period of rapid technical development, large economies of scale, and improvements in labor education and health. I suspect that the ratio of inputs to output was affected by the index problem, with the result of an undercounted productivity gain. If the analysis was correct-which I disbelieve-19th century America would be a prime example of expansion fueled almost entirely by the use of more manpower, more capital, and more land of practically unchanged overall quality. From 1890 on, American productivity growth is shown as improving. Between the end of the Second World War and the oil crunch, the United States was a country with unusually high productivity gains and only small increases in the factors of production. Denison has calculated that in the period 1948-73 national income in private nonresidential business (three quarters of the economy) grew in the average year by 3.65 percent, input (with labor education moved from input to productivity) by 1.72 percent (labor 1 percent, capital 0.71 percent, land 0 percent), and output per unit of input 1.93 percent (advance in knowledge almost 1 percent)." American capital for- mation was on the low side (though not quite as low as previously calculated; in the revised statistics of the " See Werner L. Chilton's informative article, "Labor Costs: Why Factories Leave Home" in the Citibank's Monthly Economic Letter, November 1980, pp. 9-12. " Moses Abramovitz and Paul A. David, "Economic Growth in America: Historical Parables and Realities," De Economist, 121, No. 3, 1973; also referred to by John W. Kendrick, "Productivity Trends and the Recent Slowdown," in the American Enterprise Institute's Contemporary Economic Problems, 1979, p. 22. " Denison, ibid., p. 104. US Department of Commerce, gross investment as a percentage of GNP is now given as 16.0 percent instead of 15.7 percent for 1948-72, as 17 percent instead of 15.5 percent for 1978-79). This explains to a degree the below-average performance of the Unit- ed States even in the boom period before the oil crunch. Large military expenditures (in 1957, 10 percent of GNP; in 1967, at the height of the Vietnam war 9.7 percent; later declining to 5 percent) may help explain the modest capital formation, though they do not justify an economic policy that failed to stimulate capital formation and finance defense outlays through taxation on consumption. In 1973-80, total US GNP grew by 2.5 percent per annum, with labor input slightly up (larger participation in the labor force), capital formation down, and productivity gains mini- mal. The failure of productivity to grow appreciably was statistically puzzling and, more important, eco- nomically and politically disturbing. The author holds that with large investment requirements accumulat- ing-for housing, energy projects, the modernization of traditional industries, and the application of revolu- tionary new technologies-we can expect a return to a more typical productivity rate. Such a resumption of productivity gains, however, requires an improvement in the general investment climate and an end to the monetary pollution, a.k.a. inflation. In past decades the USSR was the prime example of an economy pressing its growth through heavy inputs with little productivity gain. Factor productivity grew by only 1.2 percent per annum in the 1950s; the rate of increase declined to about 0.8 percent in the 1960s; in the past seven years, factor productivity declined in the USSR, by roughly 0.7 percent per annum." The decline in the growth rate of Soviet GNP reflects not only the longstanding difficulties in boosting the productivity of the command economy but also a leveling off of inputs. Fixed capital investment, for example, increased between 1954 and 1958 by 13 percent to 14 percent per year, in the 1960s by less than 7 percent per year, and between 1976 and 1979 " CIA, Handbook of Economic Statistics 1980, p. 59. 21 ,,----....__ Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 by 4.1 percent per year; the plan for 1981-85 provides for an average rate of growth of only 2.6 percent. Since GNP has grown less than capital formation, the share of investment in GNP has risen almost uninter- ruptedly; it is now close to 30 percent. Labor partici- pation already is high; the annual increase in man- power has been falling off because of the low birth rates in past years. Japan offers the case of a country that had had the best of two worlds, combining high gains in productiv- ity with substantial increases in plant and equipment. With an iron will to save and invest and with defense expenditures below 1 percent of GNP, Japan has maintained investment at about one-third of GNP. Whereas population growth is only about 0.8 percent per annum, the Japanese have effectively avoided labor shortages through emphasis on education and training. Denison calculated an annual increase in inputs of 3.6 percent and of factor productivity of 5.2 percent, for the period 1953-71. "Resource Power" Command over vital raw materials has provided some nations with extraordinary growth rates. The free market anticipates in general, though not without shocks, the approaching scarcity of some primary commodity by increasing the land rent in its cost price and thus stimulates the use of substitutes. When timber became quite scarce in the 16th and 17th centuries, coal technology took over (and played a vital part in England's economic ascent). The question of whether the early 1970s was the right moment for markets to signal a growing long-term scarcity of energy sources need not be discussed in the abstract; OPEC provided the concrete answer in its own inimi- table manner. OPEC members were able, first, to wrest control of oil supplies from the Western corporations and to orga- nize an effective cartel for political, economic, and financial purposes. OPEC's success has stemmed from the worldwide decline in proven oil reserves in relation to current production; the heavy dependence of West- ern Europe and Japan on oil from the Middle East and the switch of the United States from being a large exporter to being a large importer; the highly danger- ous superpower rivalry in the area; and the emotional cement among most OPEC members, derived from a blend of religious and anticolonialist elements. Oil exporters like the USSR and Mexico, though outside the cartel, readily seized the opportunity to enrich themselves. The combined GNP of the 13 OPEC members in 1980 was more than 10 times their combined GNP in 1950. While enrichment appears preferable to impoverishment, both can be trouble- some. Iran's per capita GNP reached $3,300 in 1976; the guess for 1980 is $1,465. Still, this is not much below the 1971 estimate of $1,530; if Iran were able to overcome its convulsions, it might-after a severe loss of wealth and time-resume its progress and even benefit from a costly lesson in self-government. OPEC's apex tempted other nations exporting prima- ry commodities to imitate its example, but rarely were the economic and political bases for monopoly action as solid as in the case of crude oil. Still, the 1970s- with its flight into inflation-proof goods and repeated crop failures-favored the terms of trade of raw material and foodstuffs exporters in a reversal of previous trends. There were also special cases of countries reaping unusual gains from products, such as narcotics, banned in other countries; their excessive profits were, so to speak, guaranteed by the continual interdiction of supplies by the police of the importing countries. Statistical Procedures Affecting Growth Rates As remarked in Part I of this report, statistical methods of measuring reality may have affected output and productivity figures in recent decades. We name two problem areas: services and environment. The product of some service sectors (for example, government and nonprofit organizations) is calculated in terms of their input, in practice only their labor input, thus disregarding investments and productivity gains. Such services have represented a rising share in the product of advanced countries especially, and the way they are measured may have contributed to an understatement of growth rates both in the United States and the UK. Second, environmental damage was insufficiently assessed until the early 1970s. If adequate steps to alleviate external diseconomies would have been taken earlier, they would have Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 reduced the high growth rates of the 1950s and 1960s. However, these purely statistical peculiarities have only marginal influence on the description of events in the past decades. Hubris and Despondency in Economic History Explaining the past is actually as difficult as foretell- ing the future. We view life through hypotheses and theories which change like fashions. Moreover, per- iods have their peculiar moods which affect everybody except born naysayers. Currently, opinionmakers are as plaintive and skeptical as they were upbeat in the 1960s, despite plenty of turbulence at that time. Their despondency will be as temporary as the hubris of earlier days. In short, humans do not understand themselves, much less their history, economic history included. It is worth recalling that Edward Gibbon, a man who knew something about the decline and fall of empires, wrote in 1788 from Paris that the. French monarchy "stood founded, as it might seem, on the rock of time, force, and opinion ... " " Worse still, he backed his misjudgment by investing a tidy sum in French Government loans. The disorders of the 1970s (let us save the word crisis for future happenings) were a compound of cyclical, structural, systemic, and accidental elements; they grew out of the preceding prosperity and will, in turn, determine the course of the 1980s. Whether on top of the usual business cycles of intermediate duration the world economy is under the influence of long waves (a la Kondratief or Kuznets) is beyond our knowledge; extrapolation of long cycles observed in a past age into present and future economic history is a risky under- taking. What is a hard fact is the almost universal boom of 1973. Then the planetary product expanded by no less than 6.9 percent, the US GNP or GDP, depending on the computing method, by 5.4 percent or 5.8 percent. A downturn was anticipated and came to pass under the influence of a variety of unusual events. In March 1973 the Bretton Woods system of currency management gave way and, already proced- ed by several years of makeshift arrangements, the Great Float began. In many parts of the world the crops were abnormally poor. And in October 1973 the "oil crunch" began. " Quoted from the Durants' Story of Civilization, Vol. X, pp. 805-6. The mistake of a Gibbon teaches us how easy it is to err. There was, to begin with, Khrushchev's boast that the USSR would overtake the United States in per capita output and consumption, a boast made in 1957 and later enshrined in a Party Program adopted in 1961. Khrushchev had hardly voiced his prediction when Soviet economic growth began to plunge, from 7.8 percent in 1956 to slightly below zero in 1963. One year later Khrushchev was ousted. As appendix table 4 shows, the USSR is nearly as far from overtaking the United States as in 1957. But the boast, backed by the high Soviet growth rates of much of the 1950s (for reasons outlined above) and the prestigious Sputnik flight, reverberated throughout the world. The United States rose to counter the Soviet challenge in the economic, space, educational, and military realm. "Growthmanship" began. In the 1950s Western practitioners of economics became convinced that policymakers could harmonize full employment, fast output growth, accelerated gov- ernment spending for welfare and defense, stable prices, and a sound balance of payments. In the 1960s it was decided not to cut Great Society programs because "this would finance the war in Vietnam and fight inflation at the expense of the poor" and it was believed that "this country, with its prodigious pro- ductive capacity, faces no runaway inflation, no breakaway price-wage spiral."" Hubris in the East bred hubris in the West; this is the essence of "interdependence." Even before October 1973, American prices were rising considerably (consumer price index, December to December, was plus 6.1 percent in 1969). And then OPEC struck. In the preceding year a well-reasoned book on the world petroleum market had predicted that "in the years to come, world prices will weaken, not strengthen." Though an oil cartel "might be effective in slowing price erosion," it would be more 0 Walter W. Heller, "Adjusting the 'New Economics' to High- Pressure Prosperity," in Managing a Full Employment Economy, Committee for Economic Development, New York, N.Y., May 1966, pp. 16, 20. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 likely that by the end of the 1970s "there may well be a rapid and disorderly price decline." " History, mali- cious as always, spoilt a discerning forecast. And OPEC's action had by far greater consequences than simultaneous price increases for, say, foodstuffs or bauxite. It dislocated important industries, prompted government interventions, incited environmental dis- putes, disturbed world trade and world finance, and made the West look weak and disunited. And yet, the Western market economies withstood those severe cyclical and structural as well as political shocks with remarkable flexibility and resourcefulness. A "deepening crisis" of the system exists not in the West but in the East where shortages of labor, capital, and material resources are complicated by low and even deteriorating productivity and where two coun- tries (Poland and North Korea) are for practical purposes bankrupt. But in the vise of archconservative autocracy, the Soviet-type economies stumble on, and while change is the essence of history, it is beyond human intelligence to foresee the character of future leaders, of popular moods, and of foreign adventures. Remember the decline and fall of Gibbon's securities. Using output and population as indicators in world power relations-and fully aware of other elements in the game such as leadership, the national will, geo- politics, strategies, and, last but not least, Fortune- we find that in recent decades East-West ratios have ,been more stable than North-South ratios. Beginning with the demographic picture we note that the US population in 1950, 1960, and 1970 was 84.6 percent, 84.3 percent, and 84.4 percent of the respective Soviet population; its slight increase to 85.7 percent by 1980 was due to the new benchmark US census data. The UN projection of the ratio for the year 2000 is essentially the same as for 1980. In other words, the demographic development is alike in both industrial societies (the United States compensating for a slightly smaller natural increase through-under- counted!-net immigration). Compare this stability " M. A. Adelman, The World Petroleum Market, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1972, pp. 8-9. with past changes in the US-USSR population ratio: in 1860 it was 43.6:100, in 1913 61.6:100, and in 1940 67.7:100, an impressive change between countries with heavy immigration or emigration before 1913 and without or with frightful loss of life in wars and other upheavals. Compare the recent US-Soviet de- mographic stability furthermore with the US popula- tion as a percentage of the Latin American (according to UN data) every 10 years, 1950 to 1980: 93 percent, 84 percent, 72.5 percent, 62 percent-and, extrapolat- ed to the year 2000, 43 percent (not counting the increase of Latins in this country). The NATO-Warsaw Pact demographic ratio, which reflects the far higher population of the Western alliance, has been equally stable: 156:100 in 1950, 155:100 since 1960. Compared with a less developed country like India, on the other hand, we notice a dramatic change; the NATO-Indian population ratio was 113:100 in 1950, 85:100 (or, if the Indian census is correct, less than 84:100) in 1980; in the next 20 years the ratio may decline to 72:100. When we add up the slowly increasing populations of both alliance systems and compare the totals with the world popula- tion, we find that NATO plus Warsaw Pact were 27.2 percent of mankind in 1950, 21.2 percent in 1980. If we apply the UN median projection for the year 2050 to the populations of NATO and Warsaw Pact, their share in the world total would be a mere 11 percent. We do not predict that NATO and the Warsaw Pact will still be alive and kicking by the middle of the next century (though, given the hardy life of organizations, their liquidation may still occupy bureaucrats). Still, the member nations will be around, although perhaps somewhat diminished as the results of the Third and Fourth World Wars. Whatever the future demogra- phic reality, that world-which is less than a lifespan away-will have utterly different national, military, and cultural relations, with changes even more pro- nounced than those of the past 70 years. Turning to the economies and leaving the future to the next generation, we note a US-USSR GNP ratio of about 250:100 on the eve of the First World War and of 240:100 on the eve of the Second. In 1950, the ratio had increased to 300:100 (it had been even Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 higher in 1945). Then, as the result of economic developments previously touched upon, it declined to 200:100 by 1970 and has not changed noticeably since then. When the comparison is extended to NATO and the Warsaw Pact, the change in favor of the East is less pronounced, because the output of Canada and the West European allies grew faster than the US GNP in 1951-70. The NATO-Warsaw Pact GNP ratio was 355:100 in 1950, 304:100 in 1960, 291:100 in 1970, and 283:100 in 1980. Because of the differential growth of output within NATO, the share of the United States in NATO's output fell from 59.1 percent in 1950 to 51.6 percent in 1980, while the Soviet share in the combined outputs of the Warsaw Pact increased from 70.7 percent to 73.2 percent. In terms of 1980 populations, the United States repre- sented 39 percent of NATO, the USSR 71 percent of the Warsaw Pact. As remarked in previous reports, the Eastern protagonist has a stronger position in his alliance than the United States enjoys in NATO. The Soviet and US roles in their alliances differ mainly because of the characteristics of Eastern auth- oritarianism and Western democracy; the roles differ also because one bloc consists of a superpower and six middle-sized countries and the other, one superpower and 14 nations, great, medium, and small. The largest member of the Soviet orbit, Poland, has in relation to its mighty neighbor a demographic ratio of 13:100, a GNP ratio of 10:100. Add to this Poland's encircle- ment by hostile brethren, and the dissent of its population in matters of ideology and policy becomes the more astounding. In NATO, on the other hand, each of the four major European nations boost a population one-fourth of the US population. Their combined GDPs equal 70 percent of U.S. GDP. The weight of Western Europe would be even greater by now if the European Community had fulfilled its earlier promise; demographically the EC surpassed the United States in 1980 (i.e., before Greece became its 10th member) by 15 percent, and its combined GDP fell short of US GDP by only 20 percent. The East-West gap widens further when we add the other associates of the two superpowers. When the chips are down, the powers that actually unite around their protagonist may differ from those with formal links and further changes in alliances are likely during protracted conflicts, whether these be diplomatic, economic, or military. As mentioned in Part I, the associated nations included are (a) on the US side, Australia and New Zealand, Japan, and the Repub- lics of China and Korea; and (b) on the Soviet side, Cuba, Mongolia, Vietnam, Kampuchea, and Laos. These additions raise the GDP ratio between West and East to 347:100 and at the same time slow down the decline of the ratio over time (it was 386:100 in 1950), because the American partners in Asia belong to the fastest growing economies in the world. The population ratio rises to 172:100. Extension of the East-West comparison to include the nations just mentioned adds unequal weights on the two sides because of the much greater power potential of Japan and the other Western associates. Japan's military and strategic strength need not be discussed here; its economic importance can be illuminated by the following percentages. In 1950, when Japan was still struck low after the war (the USSR had not yet fully recovered either), the Japanese-Soviet GNP ratio was 28:100, in 1980 it was 75:100. In contrast, Japan's population has remained at about 45 percent of Soviet population. If the economic growth differen- tial of the past seven years is extrapolated into the future, Japan's GNP would surpass Soviet GNP before the end of the century, but it is wiser not to strain the predictive capabilities of a calculating machine. Let us read what Herman Kahn wrote in 1970: "... there will be an increasingly widely held belief-first in Japan and then elsewhere-that Japan will actually surpass the United States in GNP per capita and possibly in total GNP by the year 2000." The demographic dimensions of the PRC, highly controversial until a few years ago, are currently set aside, although the forthcoming Chinese census may reopen the discussion. The PRC, with perhaps 1,030 million inhabitants in mid-1980, harbors about 23 " Herman Kahn, The Emerging Japanese Superstate, Hudson Institute, 1970, p. 181. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 percent of mankind. This represents an enormous potential for global political power but also for domes- tic trouble. The Chinese share in the world population has changed greatly in the very long run-insofar as historical statistics can be trusted-and is expected to change again in a not too distant future, with projec- tions as uncertain as peeks into the past. Six hundred years ago, after epidemics had destroyed large num- bers everywhere, there lived 65 million Chinese in a world population of maybe 350 million; their share was apparently less than one-fifth. Two hundred years ago more than 300 million Chinese represented about one-third of mankind." The Occident's population, which up to the 18th century had grown little, exploded thereafter and the Chinese share dropped correspondingly. Demographers now surmise that by the middle of the next century China will have 1.5 billion inhabitants, i.e., 13 percent to 14 percent of mankind, and that India, with a faster birth rate, will have a population of 2.2 billion. But these are simply extrapolations of uncertain rates of growth. Leroy- Beaulieu predicted in 1874 that in a few hundred years the world would contain 300 to 500 million Chinese, Russians, and Anglo-Saxons as well as 200 million Germans." This appears absurd-but then history is absurd. Unfortunately we are as uncertain about the size of the PRC economy today as about population numbers in a remote future. As mentioned at the end of Part I this report adopts the GNP data developed, for through 1980. While their growth rates over time appear excessive, the values for the recent past can be fitted more or less convincingly into a picture of the world. Expressed, as throughout this report, in 1980 dollars, the Chinese GNP for 1980 amounts to $592 billion in toto, or $573 per capita. This compares in our tables with an Indian GNP per capita of $444, which incorporates the Third World Supplement de- vised for countries in India's low per-capita product bracket. The 30-percent margin of the PRC over India appears high, but I cannot disprove it either. The per capita ratio makes more sense than the one D Derived from statistics in William K. McNeill's stimulating book on Plagues and Peoples, New York, 1976, pp. 163, 229. " Leroy-Beaulieu, De la Colonisation chez leg Peoples Moderns, 1874. Quoted in Gustav Schmoller, Grundriss der Allgentetnen Volkswirtscl,aftskhre, Leipzig, 1900, V. 182. calculated with the figure coming out of Beijing, namely $262, which would give India a much larger advantage. Professor Kravis, in his tentative estimate of the PRC's GDP, operates for the year 1975 with a Chinese-Indian ratio of almost 2:1, namely, expressed as percentages of the US GDP per capita, of 12.3:6.6. Using_(very high) growth rates for the PRC STAT and the generally accepted official growth rates for India, the per capita comparison would yield for 1980 on the Chinese side $1,509 multilaterally (or $1,271 in the binary calculation), on the Indian side $691, i.e., the PRC-Indian ratio would be 218 (or 184): 100. I cannot bring myself to accept this ratio. It would yield a PRC-USSR per capita ratio of 31:100, a ratio much too advantageous to the Chinese side (even the 26:100 ratio arrived at with CIA's higher Soviet GNP estimate is high). Looking at the economies as a whole, GNP for 1980 is given in the attached tables as $591.7 billion for the PRC $302.1 billion with Third STAT World Supplement or India, and $1,280.1 billion for the USSR. In other words, the Chinese GNP is 46 percent of Soviet GNP, and nearly twice Indian GNP. In the ICP calculation, the PRC's GDP is 121 percent that of the USSR (even with the high CIA estimate, 102 percent) and more than three times the Indian GNP. I am considerably more comfortable with my own ratios. Extrapolated backward to 1950-in the face of statis- STAT tical gaps and a formidable index problem-the at- tached tables yield product estimates of $85.0 billion for the PRC and $108.9 billion for India, implying per capita figures of $155 and $294. As repeatedly men- tioned, the PRC growth rates are high; as a result, the level of PRC output in 1950 appears to me to err on the low side. The ICP calculations would yield-with PRC growth rates-a PRC total of $231 STAT i ion compared with an Indian total of $193 billion or, per capita, $422 for the PRC, $520 for India. The Maoist regime had just conquered China in 1949; the country was prostrate. But India, so soon after the bloody division of the subcontinent, was also in a poor shape. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Deducting the two alliances (including associated nations), and the PRC from world totals yields a residual population of 2,236 million, or 50 percent of mankind, and a combined product (with Third World Supplements) of $2,737.4 billion, or 24 percent of the planetary product. These other countries range from the very rich to the very poor, with the poor far more numerous; they are politically as diverse as Vatican City and Mozambique. Included in this remnant is OPEC in its entirety. OPEC's share in the world population is 7.5 percent, i.e., half as much as India's; two OPEC members, Indonesia and Nigeria, are populous. OPEC's share in the planetary product of 1980 is 5 percent, or twice as much as India's; 10 years earlier it had been 2.5 percent, or less than the Indian share. Both alliances contain countries defined as developed and less developed in this report, while the third member of the triangle, the PRC, is less developed by our definition. Of all the countries labeled non- Communist, 73.4 percent of the population belongs to the less developed world; of all Communist countries, 74.0 percent. The share of the less developed countries in the total output of each group is 24.3 percent among non-Communists, 26.5 percent among Com- munists. Of 150 sovereign states in the non-Commu- nist category, some 105, or 70 percent are in the Third World (49 in Africa). The Communist world consists of only 16 states, divided evenly between developed and less developed countries. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Tables 1. Planetary Product With Third World Supplements, Selected Years, 1950-80 30 2. Population, Selected Years, 1950-80 3. Per Capita Product, Including Third World Supplements, Selected Years, 1950-80 60 4. Shares in the Planetary Product, Selected Years, 1950-80 74 5. Shares in the Planetary Population, Selected Years, 1950-80 88 6. Growth Rates for the Planetary Product, by Component Country- Groups and Countries, Selected Years, 1950-80 102 7. Ranking by Total Product, Per Capita Product, and Population, 1980 116 8. Ranking by Average Annual Rate of Growth, 1971-80 119 9. Effect of Including Third World Supplements in Major Aggregates in the Planetary Product, Selected Years, 1950-80 120 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 1 Planetary Product With Third World Supplements, Selected Years, 1950-80 a GNP/GDP 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 World 2939527 3781275 4678310 5985920 7673252 8019629 8408318 8991257 Non-Communist countries 2364386 2994419 3651784 4692088 5995396 6265320 6600830 7046456 Communist countries 575141 786857 1026526 1293832 1677856 1754309 1807488 1944800 Developed countries 2355407 3017292 3722902 4787441 6058881 6290309 6599160 7019502 Non-Communist countries 1884598 2399110 2903260 3757862 4748068 4925986 5198957 5529396 Communist countries 470809 618182 819642 1029579 1310813 1364323 1400204 1490105 Less-developed countries 584120 763984 955409 1198479 1614371 1729320 1809158 1971755 Non-Communist countries 479787 595309 748524 934227 1247328 1339334 1401873 1517060 Communist countries 104332 168674 206885 264252 367043 389985 407284 454695 US6733 or store per capita (1979) 1588193 2031848 2458500 3195717 4042441 4197683 4442200 4714300 Non-Communist countries 1588193 2031848 2458500 3195717 4042441 4197683 4442200 4714300 North America 1020469 1255569 1415128 1779684 2085697 2152738 2276612 2403917 United States 958994 1176205 1318621 1652391 1925054 1980850 2094755 2208420 Canada 61475 79364 96507 127293 160643 171888 181858 195497 OECD-Europe 432083 577780 756612 974452 1229789 1277585 1334393 1401451 Sweden 35524 41943 49598 64046 77534 77688 78932 81615 Germany (Federal Republic) 142902 224356 307593 391874 487099 502686 521285 546830 Denmark 17986 19821 24547 31714 39874 40843 43052 45309 Switzerland 23393 29755 36717 47365 58212 60598 62538 64414 Norway 12383 14947 17548 22145 26618 27843 29291 30491 France 125174 153089 207585 274635 356750 376014 398200 419702 Luxembourg 1351 1512 1748 2068 2476 2577 2729 3008 Belgium 28439 33639 38281 49039 62082 64503 68244 72680 Netherlands 31558 40458 49197 62253 81365 84863 87749 92750 Iceland 427 576 673 923 1033 1165 1240 1338 Austria 12946 17683 23126 28392 36747 38805 41133 43314 Oceania 38783 46754 56913 71910 96576 102024 104778 110750 Australia 38783 46754 56913 71910 96576 102024 104778 110750 ? Product brackets and country groups in descending order of the 1979 per capita product (excluding supplements) shown in the last column of this table. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Product in Million 1980 US Dollars; Population, Thousand Persons; Per-Capita Product, 1980 US Dollars 1979 1979 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Population Per Capita Product 9296146 9422251 9867146 10285627 10709652 11048971 11269078 4408026 2329 7270511 7338883 7715579 8038070 8347612 8625294 8792355 2907320 2706 2025635 2083368 2151567 2247557 2362039 2423677 2476723 1500706 1599 7167265 7189690 7546114 7831455 8126005 8366308 8475592 1175514 7117 5615023 5599561 5887747 6113846 6351240 6569306 6655228 781122 8410 1552242 1590128 1658367 1717609 1774764 1797002 1820364 394392 4556 2128881 2232561 2321031 2454172 2583647 2682662 2793486 3232512 588 1655488 1739322 1827832 1924224 1996372 2055987 2137127 2126198 611 473393 493239 493200 529948 587275 626675 656359 1106314 545 4762729 4755534 5008832 5213583 5421729 5605711 5674083 562489 9966 4762729 4755534 5008832 5213583 5421729 5605711 5674083 562489 9966 2382295 2363674 2497265 2619817 2734205 2798472 2793595 248942 11241 2179955 2159108 2281039 2397772 2504222 2561820 2556706 225254 11373 202340 204566 216226 222045 229983 236652 236889 23688 9990 1431072 1415934 1483156 1518458 1563900 1622333 1648402 170579 9511 85043 85723 86838 84555 86923 90400 91666 8296 10897 549564 539847 567919 583253 603667 631435 642801 61302 10300 44906 44715 47831 48754 49256 50980 50476 5118 9961 65380 60933 60091 61534 61657 63014 65031 6343 9934 32077 33423 35362 36812 38468 40200 41687 4074 9867 432293 433157 454815 467551 482979 498434 504914 53478 9320 3150 2880 2964 3014 3111 3195 3211 358 8924 76095 74531 78779 79803 81392 83346 84513 9849 8462 95996 95046 100083 102885 105355 107672 108534 14029 7675 1391 1385 1433 1516 1579 1620 1661 226 7169 45176 44294 47040 48780 49513 52037 53910 7506 6933 113851 116470 120895 122225 124303 129772 133277 14417 9001 113851 116470 120895 122225 124303 129772 133277 14417 9001 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 1(cootlined) GNP/GDP 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 OPEC 4312 7175 12273 18988 32269 39880 46040 58039 Qatar 363 512 782 960 1962 2731 2889 3741 Kuwait 1426 2639 4875 5462 6606 9502 10798 14894 Saudi Arabia 1710 2987 5213 7611 11955 14083 17260 22723 United Arab Emirates 381 534 817 1362 4119 4653 4947 5949 Libya 431 503 586 3594 7626 8912 10146 10733 Japan 91904 143647 216477 349179 595160 622538 677320 736925 Sundry Group 1 642 923 1097 1504 2951 2918 3056 3219 US4489-US6732 per capita (1979) 624396 798505 1027373 1275002 1611189 1659208 1698531 1816256 Non-Communist countries 239036 290994 349450 428155 526766 539452 556938 598400 OECD-Europe 227850 276397 330669 402627 495068 506095 521306 560314 Finland 8772 11649 14212 18390 23660 24156 25992 27707 United Kingdom 144058 167223 188797 219759 248987 255958 262101 283069 Italy 75019 97525 127660 164477 222422 225981 233213 249537 7900 9482 11520 14659 16785 17205 17968 19258 7900 9482 11520 14659 16785 17205 17%8 19258 1776 3231 4930 7957 11268 12451 13955 14918 1776 3231 4930 7957 11268 12451 13955 14918 360 469 621 817 1060 1049 968 968 360 469 621 817 1060 1049 968 968 Sundry Group 2 1152 1416 1710 2094 2585 2652 2743 2943 Communist countries 385360 507511 677923 846847 1084423 1119756 1141592 1217857 Communist Europe 385360 507511 677923 846847 1084423 1119756 1141592 1217857 Germany (Democratic Republic) 31764 43485 55443 63313 73887 75533 78129 80535 U55K 323118 427970 573479 728548 945437 976920 993742 1065291 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Product in Million 1980 US Dollars; Population, Thousand Persons; Per-Capita Product, 1980 US Dollars 1979 1979 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Population Per Capita Product 102102 108764 116962 120646 125458 133466 138453 12191 10948 3526 4690 5394 4816 5202 5346 5506 210 25455 23260 18171 18105 16175 16984 19277 17525 1277 15096 50689 62194 64291 68144 72164 77648 83860 6913 11232 6756 7900 9033 9501 9098 9185 9553 871 10546 17872 15809 20140 22010 22010 22010 22010 2920 7538 729629 746410 785970 827626 869007 916803 955308 115880 7912 729629 746410 785970 827626 869007 916803 955308 115880 7912 3780 4283 4584 4812 4856 4865 5048 480 10136 1871690 1885852 1%2951 2018765 2076882 2109546 2140103 420735 5014 606852 596033 621598 630422 646835 666712 675405 125338 5319 567276 555661 580758 589906 607506 626220 633770 117542 5328 28622 28794 28880 28995 29402 31519 32753 4764 6616 278886 276125 286343 290065 300216 302919 297562 55901 5419 259768 250742 265536 270846 277888 291783 303455 56877 5130 19815 20191 20212 19680 17548 17723 18202 3107 5704 19815 20191 20212 19680 17548 17723 18202 3107 5704 15783 16319 16617 16744 17548 18390 18988 3783 4861 15783 16319 16617 16744 17548 18390 18988 3783 4861 987 924 944 976 1030 1066 1097 236 4515 987 924 944 976 1030 1066 1097 236 4515 2990 2938 3067 3115 3202 3312 3347 670 4944 1264838 1289819 1341353 1388343 1430048 1442834 1464698 295397 4884 1264838 1289819 1341353 1388343 1430048 1442834 1464698 295397 4884 84397 87562 89525 92564 94843 97059 99583 16758 5792 74616 76815 77970 81599 82753 83303 84969 15239 5466 1105825 1125442 1173859 1214181 1252452 1262472 1280146 263400 4793 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table I (continued) GNP/GDP 1950 1955 1960 1965 US2245_US4488 per capita (1979) 142817 186939 237028 316722 405251 433418 458430 488945 Non-Communist countries 57369 76268 95309 133989 178861 188851 199818 216696 35711 46664 55079 81265 110098 115173 121775 131133 4732 5283 5606 6782 8552 8903 9411 9843 4960 6855 8973 13208 18702 20030 21813 23405 26019 34526 40500 61275 82843 86240 90551 97885 Other Europe 544 668 811 1033 1495 1632 1737 1761 Cyprus 349 452 544 757 1063 1191 1269 1302 Malta 195 216 267 276 431 441 467 459 11%3 16283 22261 28309 35583 38449 40130 44508 337 339 340 454 705 615 763 1054 8552 11751 16173 20056 25174 27257 28652 31851 3074 4193 5748 7798 9704 10577 10715 11603 Other Asia 2713 4011 5677 9136 14215 15072 16448 18039 Singapore 1122 1564 1910 2531 4630 5208 5907 6586 Hong Kong 1438 2229 3462 6180 8991 9270 9947 10843 Bahrain 153 218 305 425 594 594 594 611 Other Latin America 4958 6685 9099 10799 12796 13616 14517 15630 Puerto Rico, at al. 4032 5230 6756 7954 9371 10133 10896 11986 Trinidad and Tobago 708 1199 2040 2464 2875 2947 3098 3098 Barbados 218 256 304 381 550 535 523 547 1957 2383 3447 4674 4909 5213 5625 Communist countries 85449 110672 141719 182732 114,20 244567 258611 272249 Communist Europe 85449 110672 141719 182732 226389 244567 258611 272249 Romania 16057 22769 28257 37797 48154 54919 58434 60325 Poland 35998 45070 56382 70175 85331 91431 98092 105314 Hungary 13374 17413 21035 25841 30027 31346 32017 33697 Bulgaria 6328 8518 12113 16695 21403 22121 23173 24091 13691 16901 23932 32225 41475 44751 46895 48822 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Product in Million 1980 US Dollars; Population, Thousand Persons; Per-Capita Product, 1980 US Dollars 1979 1979 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Population Per Capita u 574330 599107 627394 651051 661406 192290 3386 245442 247994 257317 269841 282677 296883 305740 93295 3182 136354 138993 143964 148244 153466 155670 157909 49886 3121 10297 10420 10722 11333 12025 12254 12376 3365 3641 22592 23970 25502 26369 28136 29205 29380 9444 3092 103465 104603 107741 110542 113305 114212 116154 37077 3080 1610 1513 1785 2076 2272 2445 2541 968 2526 1106 910 1079 1284 1393 1486 1560 621 2393 504 604 706 792 879 959 981 347 2763 67567 67157 68116 73152 77253 85298 89096 28084 3037 2022 2104 2312 2428 2023 2330 2469 637 3657 44945 41810 40726 44643 47321 49063 51025 14539 3375 20600 23243 25078 26082 27908 33906 35602 12908 2627 18702 19031 21573 23747 25942 28653 31027 7633 3754 7001 7288 7820 8445 9172 10025 10928 2363 4243 11005 11092 12944 14485 15933 17766 19187 4900 3626 6% 650 808 816 837 862 913 370 2329 15404 15397 15704 16201 17049 17909 18098 4824 3712 11768 11550 11659 11800 12389 13075 13075 3395 3851 3098 3318 3506 3832 4066 4200 4369 1150 3653 538 530 539 569 594 633 654 279 2269 287404 300309 317014 329266 344717 354168 355666 98995 3578 287404 300309 317014 329266 344717 354168 355666 98995 3578 63726 66560 75141 77748 82323 86026 89295 22057 3900 111554 116813 121651 125016 129925 129854 124859 35227 3686 34575 35325 35273 37418 38477 38%8 39359 10710 3639 24825 26878 27%3 27630 28398 29149 29878 8827 3302 52722 54733 56986 61453 65594 70170 72275 22174 3165 it----- -----w- Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table I (continued) US1123-US2244 per capita (1979) 185060 237886 308892 396578 544843 594492 643589 710812 228594 298523 384580 531334 581390 630416 696832 5383 7332 9121 12413 16603 17698 19114 21254 5383 7332 9121 12413 16603 17698 19114 21254 773 820 885 997 15581 21754 30654 33242 49020 61708 71427 87204 10118 13537 18246 21458 31524 45458 52782 65712 5463 8217 12408 11784 17496 16250 18645 21492 Other Africa 18173 21573 26325 36185 47799 50370 52560 54804 South Africa 16610 19831 24151 32678 43344 45483 46716 48854 Tunisia 1564 1742 2174 3507 4455 4887 5844 5949 Other Asia 15474 21077 25822 36361 55937 61036 65824 74294 China (Taiwan) 3824 5935 7847 11983 18683 20822 23301 26106 Malaysia 4604 5609 6771 9080 12238 13003 13754 15142 Korea (South) 7046 9533 11204 15298 25015 27211 28769 33046 Other Latin America 120513 154966 204309 263628 358532 386998 417714 455272 Argentina 26177 30454 37423 46461 57736 60852 63161 66192 Brazil 40214 55880 77793 96916 140288 158957 177542 202401 Mexico 31432 39761 53359 74294 103715 107242 115075 123815 Suriname 170 279 402 579 814 831 885 885 Chile 9235 10723 13442 17182 20808 22409 22395 21615 Jamaica 1551 2266 3313 4164 5391 5487 5938 5788 Costa Rica 870 1244 1779 2256 2819 3009 3255 3544 Uruguay 3344 4458 4458 4632 5201 5150 4986 5031 Panama 735 892 1205 1789 2595 2776 3019 3210 Peru 6785 9009 11134 15355 19165 20284 21460 22791 2670 2761 2891 3006 Communist countries 8343 9292 10369 11998 13509 13102 13173 13981 Communist Latin America 8343 9292 10369 11998 13509 13102 13173 13981 Cuba 8343 9292 10369 11998 13509 13102 13173 13981 7 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Product in Million 1980 US Dollars; Population, Thousand Persons; Per-Capita Product, 1980 US Dollars 1979 1979 1978 1979 1980 Population Per Capita Product 929504 964576 992338 431437 1720 769286 799573 851807 886708 911940 946587 974164 421613 1727 23800 24776 25940 9843 1936 23800 24776 25940 9843 1936 1125 1193 1265 618 1485 1125 1193 1265 618 1485 116470 126448 141668 145049 130261 113495 93013 55575 1571 90743 98927 113416 116218 98489 79435 56739 37430 1632 25728 27521 28252 28831 31772 34061 36275 18145 1444 59155 61594 63019 63345 65470 67845 72504 34111 1530 52580 54421 55129 55129 56518 58270 62353 27799 1612 6575 7173 7890 8216 8952 9575 10150 6312 1167 78091 81674 92369 100783 112440 120453 122059 70270 1319 26262 26899 29973 32381 36885 39661 42248 17456 1748 16134 16544 18400 19873 21389 23159 24661 13674 1303 35695 38231 43996 48529 54166 57632 55151 39140 1133 489989 505036 528545 549941' 575092 614972 655473 249756 1894 70966 69988 68019 71008 68204 74001 73780 27210 2092 222232 234682 256270 268310 284408 302610 326819 119175 1953 131124 136492 139353 143957 154042 166366 179342 65770 1946 871 847 874 933 952 970 992 404 1847 22494 19930 19987 21700 23287 25270 26913 10848 1792 5669 5612 5259 5057 4972 4860 4718 2215 1688 3742 3822 4031 4342 4598 4782 4854 2184 1684 5112 4986 5296 5434 5758 6235 6485 2910 1648 3417 3506 3506 3562 3659 3786 4174 1876 1553 24363 25171 25950 25638 25213 26092 273% 17164 1169 3071 3194 3316 3516 3752 3853 3909 1440 2058 17564 17989 18173 9824 1409 15425 15907 16304 16927 17564 17989 18173 9824 1409 17564 17989 18173 9824 1409 . Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 ApKadix Table 1(contiaued) US562-U51122 per capih (1979) 82377 107640 135442 174992 229323 250308 261539 280367 --- ---- LJuw aw>> LIILsi 12727 17306 22291 27461 37733 41168 43884 45812 12727 17306 22291 27461 37733 41168 43884 45812 12744 17470 24017 28710 36450 43443 41201 45059 2320 2784 3358 4538 5774 6543 6511 7571 10424 14686 20659 24172 30676 36900 34689 37487 13694 15987 17704 21952 27815 29055 30565 31958 Ivory Coast 2284 2742 3290 4554 6588 6898 7292 7620 Mauritius 511 537 563 762 765 798 865 968 Morocco 7322 8717 9039 10739 13305 13931 14642 14862 Congo 614 654 697 818 1137 1105 1121 1199 Angola 2964 3337 4114 5080 6020 6321 6644 7308 Other Asia 19547 25462 31977 44876 58469 62918 66246 71652 Syria 2676 2955 3251 47% 6177 6993 7559 7601 Jordan 385 628 1025 1752 1928 1970 2028 2035 Thailand 6973 8316 10687 15167 23030 24843 26116 28556 Philippines 7985 11837 15063 20955 24843 26307 27545 30195 1527 1726 1951 2205 2491 2805 2999 3265 19316 23853 28647 36508 48003 50798 54618 58584 2643 2960 3841 4962 6569 6939 7451 7958 Dominican Republic 1715 2299 2946 3408 4897 5417 6088 6733 Belize 52 70 91 117 153 162 171 181 Paraguay 1259 1444 1599 2075 2549 2660 2796 2999 Colombia 8717 11259 13717 17270 22826 24149 26056 28037 Nicaragua 865 1294 1491 2303 2798 2934 3044 3171 Guyana 401 485 586 710 833 851 914 919 Bolivia 2291 2326 2359 2852 3879 4027 4233 4524 El Salvador 1374 1717 2019 2812 3499 3659 3865 4062 227 291 359 375 1173 1243 1318 1395 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Product in Million 1980 US Dollars; Population, Thousand Persons; Per-Capita Product, 1980 US Dollars 1979 1979 1980 Population Per Capita Product 312138 336041 357659 381557 401314 286546 308618 330794 354570 372514 390030 409754 334499 729 3150 3225 3323 3422 422 3150 3225 3323 3 58049 65078 71621 81392 85669 91825 100296 82358 697 4 7763 1040 9283 9979 10727 11478 12259 12913 1349 48765 55099 60894 69914 73409 78911 86802 74595 661 34259 34991 36424 37259 38912 40043 40999 37121 674 7761 931 7894 8438 9493 9939 10992 11564 11968 941 857 1036 1009 1079 1138 1212 1290 1374 20368 611 16347 16904 17869 18579 19322 19900 20298 1257 1283 1295 1234 1321 1400 1470 1508 580 6543 563 7725 7357 6688 6368 6065 5889 5889 77128 84319 90240 96087 101903 108620 114361 111186 611 8506 978 9486 11459 11701 12543 12920 13307 13706 3189 739 2258 2416 3019 3262 3523 3769 4146 46687 576 29986 32304 34954 37116 40341 43009 45589 32182 34379 36680 38982 40725 43915 46077 47678 576 5126 563 3216 3760 3884 4184 4393 4620 4843 62824 65451 69039 73613 77822 80773 84555 54946 919 6849 1062 8467 8637 9276 10582 11133 11633 12041 5551 1051 7333 7706 8199 8560 8886 9330 9704 152 1047 192 202 214 227 239 255 262 3117 966 3248 3412 3668 3964 4381 4819 5349 0 26205 946 29859 31143 32576 34498 37257 39679 4206 19 2365 832 3593 3658 3884 4179 3961 3149 36 832 756 983 1032 1079 1016 1006 1006 1016 4 5213 703 4827 5098 5394 5593 5744 5865 592 4662 675 4322 4564 4747 4995 5214 5038 4580 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4_ Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 1 (continued) GNP/GDP 1950 1955 1960 1%5 3330 6337 9344 13654 17545 19102 21206 23136 Communist Asia 2354 5073 7723 11701 15192 16644 18626 20434 Korea (North) 1918 4358 6625 10460 13773 15167 17085 18828 Mongolia 436 715 1098 1241 1419 1477 1541 1606 USS61 or iso per capita (1979) 316682 418457 511075 626910 840204 884519 904030 980575 224023 265412 323904 388309 504215 526738 531125 562997 OPEC 10538 12592 15099 19903 41329 52027 55568 69682 Indonesia 10538 12592 15099 19903 41329 52027 55568 69682 Other Africa 65976 78626 97898 121903 149480 157299 160902 162669 Liberia 784 916 1072 1146 1661 1843 1925 2002 EgM 14052 16300 18829 27342 33986 35262 34236 32920 Swaziland 82 115 163 256 408 446 479 494 Ghana 4916 5406 10229 11895 13215 14246 14332 15121 Zimbabwe (Rhodesia) 1894 3270 3785 5190 6652 7469 8045 8366 Zambia 2157 2869 3797 5298 5871 5825 6384 6338 Cameroon 3447 3572 3689 4279 6005 6448 6599 6856 Botswana 77 89 101 122 268 326 393 436 Senegal 3164 3644 4145 4567 4622 5154 4914 5003 Sudan 5842 7280 9056 9891 10356 10787 12163 11410 Madagascar 3751 3979 4202 4622 5818 5935 5741 5616 Togo 479 542 614 920 1318 1364 1357 1412 Mauritania 261 309 369 594 748 734 757 801 Kenya 2960 3514 4159 4905 7076 7573 8088 8534 Benin 959 1079 1247 1333 1333 1652 1661 1745 Uganda 3699 4598 5068 6206 7750 7875 7994 7899 Mozambique 1918 2229 4099 4794 6496 6942 7352 8088 Gambia, The % 110 132 177 221 245 256 254 Sierra Leone 695 863 1064 1402 1666 1652 1676 1700 Lesotho 168 216 256 360 463 470 453 487 Tanzania 2124 2548 3080 3852 5336 5506 5837 6070 Guinea 1175 1386 1649 2004 2284 2332 2400 2471 Malawi 544 669 815 959 1266 1510 1625 1752 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Product in Million 1980 US Dollars; Population, Thousand Persons; Per-Capita Product, 1980 US Dollars 1979 1979 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Population Per Capita Product 25593 27423 26865 26987 28800 30021 31023 22959 817 2824 2964 3103 3208 3295 3382 3452 2626 805 2824 2964 3103 3208 3295 3382 3452 2626 805 22768 24459 23762 23779 25505 26639 27571 20333 819 21095 22664 21966 21966 23535 24581 25453 18717 821 1674 1796 1796 1813 1970 2057 2118 1616 796 1032031 1081039 1095261 1168980 1252828 1298036 1360371 2443617 367 599656 631131 645230 682947 711918 719371 753209 1370086 239 90057 101053 107938 114705 122963 129109 138793 148085 396 90057 101053 107938 114705 122963 129109 138793 148085 396 171866 169675 168896 176656 180669 185228 191988 287006 293 2088 2018 2076 2081 2117 2160 2138 1788 549 36657 36920 35501 41998 45442 49079 53005 40993 544 515 578 594 606 623 642 674 541 540 15876 14124 13647 13702 13251 13119 13381 11742 508 9203 9111 8898 8323 7925 7925 8323 7254 497 6616 6424 6527 6362 6362 5837 5837 5649 470 7095 7201 7417 7714 8100 8594 9205 8323 469 484 539 592 623 654 681 707 764 405 5602 5159 5044 4849 4329 4404 4003 5532 362 11638 12091 12755 13457 13994 13855 14203 18167 347 5847 5904 5933 5962 5990 6019 6050 8349 328 1551 1350 1484 1558 1637 1719 1841 2544 307 875 817 889 885 885 973 1016 1474 300 8884 8946 9394 9243 9612 9910 10109 15778 285 1798 1834 1781 1848 1949 2047 2165 3379 275 7899 7743 7712 8021 8021 7863 7709 13225 270 8630 7846 6822 6376 6072 5782 5782 10030 262 285 297 297 297 312 326 340 585 253 1733 1798 1781 1798 1803 1836 1872 3309 252 520 556 594 628 662 702 738 1305 245 6211 6496 6822 7088 7335 7556 7767 17364 198 2268 2138 2076 2138 2203 2268 2335 5275 195 1841 1942 2076 2203 2361 2515 2678 5862 195 - Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 1 (continued) 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 Rwanda 846 853 863 935 1419 1436 1407 1505 Central African Republic 559 583 606 657 781 791 815 832 Zaire 2819 3790 5075 6515 8574 9080 9308 9895 Burundi 851 791 731 805 997 1009 1026 1036 Niger 578 695 827 1117 1256 1311 1263 1112 Upper Volta 820 959 1131 1282 1508 1534 1503 1537 Ethiopia 2476 3409 4689 5909 7232 7558 7920 8141 Somalia 530 594 666 702 853 901 976 930 Mali 319 431 580 757 885 916 968 920 Chad 935 1019 1110 1110 1155 1167 1048 988 143614 169836 205853 240589 306515 310183 307100 322799 1779 2093 2462 3150 3955 4322 4833 5075 820 925 1045 1182 1328 1412 1357 1467 Sri Lanka 2881 3560 4490 5384 7064 7079 7306 7541 Pakistan 11242 13160 15270 21143 29293 29293 29700 31906 Afghanistan 3356 3740 4075 4730 5415 5549 5705 5784 India 108877 128917 157203 181007 229141 232808 230267 241774 Burma 3632 5075 6688 8213 8886 9250 9545 9632 Nepal 1798 2050 2354 2785 3013 3011 3071 3157 Bangladesh 9229 10317 12266 12997 18419 17458 15315 16463 Other Latin America 3140 3459 3936 4521 5187 5437 5720 5986 Honduras 1378 1556 1872 2390 2951 3054 3167 3332 Haiti 1762 1903 2064 2131 2237 2383 2553 2654 Communist countries 92660 153045 187171 238601 335989 357781 372905 417578 Communist Asia 92660 153045 187171 238601 335989 357781 372905 417578 China (Mainland) 84989 142738 173028 219663 311299 333091 348454 393128 Kampuchea 959 1199 1438 1846 2397 2397 2157 2157 Vietnam 6472 8797 12273 16540 21574 21574 21574 21574 Laos 240 312 431 551 719 719 719 719 OECD-total 1872809 2380931 2873809 3713650 4683509 4852223 5117150 5430814 OECD-Europe 713752 925479 1173771 1498218 1889291 1957719 2040471 2159965 European Community 571220 742907 951013 1202600 1509607 1562328 1625984 1722728 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Product in Million 1980 US Dollars; Population, Thousand Persons; Per-Capita Product, 1980 US Dollars 1979 1979 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Population Per Capita Product 1522 1664 1781 1906 2028 2109 2193 4955 194 846 865 889 935 954 964 992 2284 192 10240 9624 9493 9634 9380 9286 9104 28090 150 1079 1100 1187 1256 1314 1352 1393 4192 147 1237 1249 1484 1541 1587 1666 1750 5346 142 1573 1697 1781 1884 1925 2038 2155 6661 139 8352 8579 8603 8690 8776 8865 9219 31780 127 909 889 889 870 844 820 865 3474 107 909 1088 1187 1275 1287 1364 1445 6464 96 1086 1086 889 904 935 954 992 4528 96 329621 352326 359832 382590 398842 395204 412367 921790 195 5338 4449 2965 3560 3236 3083 3068 2943 476 1525 1400 1484 1587 1652 1716 1767 1863 419 7783 8064 8306 8670 9382 9965 10562 14594 310 34063 34782 36484 37491 40511 43052 45497 84075 233 5928 6070 6233 6388 6580 6851 6851 14699 212 243715 265409 269652 289045 299209 290483 302087 667326 198 9881 10356 10976 11679 12451 13199 14109 33590 179 3358 3409 3560 3675 3749 3900 3979 14608 121 18029 18388 20172 20495 22073 22955 24446 88092 118 6146 6096 6525 6873 7280 7616 7769 9315 372 3356 3303 3560 3809 4109 4384 4473 3645 547 2790 2793 2965 3064 3171 3231 3296 5670 259 1966 1980 2040 2124 2165 2215 2292 3890 259 432375 449909 450031 486034 540910 578665 607162 1073531 531 432375 449909 450031 486034 540910 578665 607162 1073531 531 408164 436821 435840 471579 526168 563323 591653 1012197 557 1918 1678 1582 1582 1582 1582 1582 5767 125 21574 10931 11938 12177 12441 13016 13184 52127 114 719 479 671 695 719 743 743 3440 98 5451483 5432066 5712793 5930332 6156897 6355309 6430578 774757 8165 2205893 2185322 2288450 2340984 2411834 2492539 2530197 392411 6277 1750956 1727463 1814991 1857504 1915889 1982017 2007841 260277 7615 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 1 (continued) NATO-total NATO-Europe Pacific allies Of which: Japan China (Mainland) Warsaw Pact USSR Non-Soviet Warsaw Pact Other Soviet associates OPEC Affluent Indigent 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 1622836 2040208 2419140 3051653 3687440 3814066 4008527 4239102 602367 784639 1004012 -- 1271969 1601743 1661328 1731914 1835185 149457 215351 303962 463030 752220 789799 852136 926085 91904 143647 216477 349179 595160 622538 677320 736925 84989 142738 173028 219663 311299 333091 348454 393128 457118 601282 795710 997354 1269338 1319572 1353308 1441284 323118 427970 573479 728548 945437 976920 993742 1065291 134000 173312 222230 268806 323901 342652 359566 375993 16450 20315 25610 32176 39618 39269 39165 40037 55137 75275 104304 129152 194651 235507 254366 304492 16274 23458 34534 47297 67852 78329 86170 102547 38863 51817 69770 81855 126799 157177 168196 201945 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 i i1- Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Product in Million 1980 US Dollars; Population, Thousand Persons; Per-Capita Product, 1980 US Dollars 1979 1979 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Population Per Capita Product 1499520 1535396 1601381 1656156 1709171 1726832 1748089 372218 4639 1105825 1125442 1173859 1214181 1252452 1262472 1280146 263400 4793 393694 409953 427522 441976 456719 464360 467943 108818 4267 434245 468500 506304 534944 541603 553193 559651 326293 1294 169669 175921 185078 193798 202710 218764 227549 40275 5432 264576 292579 321226 341146 338892 334429 332102 286018 711 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 2 Population, Selected Years, 1950-80 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 World 2526077 2771663 3058426 3356513 3726758 3804258 3880781 3957608 Non-Communist countries 1643633 1799860 1986357 2200308 24331,60 2483428 2534101 2586121 Communist countries 882444 971803 1072069 1156205 1293598 1320830 1346680 1371487 Developed countries 848350 906354 968823 1031287 1083515 1094454 1105323 1116254 Non-Communist countries 563429 599935 639536 681107 717391 725196 732910 740802 Communist countries 284921 306419 329287 350180 366124 369258 372413 375452 Less-developed countries 1677727 1865309 2089603 2325226 2643243 2709804 2775458 2841354 Non-Communist countries 1080204 1199925 1346821 1519201 1715769 1758232 1801191 1845319 Communist countries 597523 665384 742782 806025 927474 951572 974267 996035 US6733 or more per capita (1979) 400747 429795 460257 491470 518126 523895 529501 535068 400747 429795 460257 491470 518126 523895 529501 535068 166008 181667 198580 213981 226202 228643 231063 233529 United States 152271 165931 180671 194303 204878 207048 209241 211457 Canada 13737 15736 17909 1%78 21324 21595 21822 22072 OECD-Europe 137186 142929 150274 159075 165274 166741 167928 168946 Sweden 7014 7262 7480 7734 8043 8098 8122 8137 Germany (Federal Republic) 49986 52364 55423 58619 60714 61294 61672 61971 Denmark 4271 4439 4581 4758 4929 4963 4992 5022 Switzerland 4694 4980 5362 5943 6267 6324 6385 6431 Norway 3265 3427 3581 3723 3877 3903 3933 3961 France 41829 43428 45670 48763 50787 51285 51732 52157 Luxembourg 2% 305 314 332 339 342 347 350 Belgium 8639 8868 9153 9464 9656 96673 9711 9742 Netherlands 10114 10751 11486 12292 13032 13194 13330 13438 Iceland 143 158 176 192 204 206 209 212 Austria 6935 6947 7048 7255 7426 7459 7495 7525 8267 9277 10361 11439 12660 12937 13177 13380 8267 9277 10361 11439 12660 12937 13177 13380 5141 5746 6567 7686 9214 9441 9703 10059 47 52 59 70 111 122 134 146 145 187 292 476 748 793 842 894 3901 4288 4768 5384 6174 6252 6331 6411 87 97 110 138 225 249 275 365 961 1122 1338 1618 1956 20 55 2121 2243 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Mid-Year Population; in Thousands of Persons 4034248 4109890 4184761 4258951 4333082 4408026 4487858 2638244 2690866 2744305 2798045 2852288 2907320 2962211 1396004 1419024 1440456 1460906 1480794 1500706 1525647 1126961 1137153 1146697 1156395 1165896 1175514 1185166 748305 755285 761665 768187 774580 781122 787792 378656 381868 385032 388208 391316 394392 397374 2907287 2972737 3038064 3102556 3167186 3232512 3302692 1889939 1935581 1982640 2029858 2077708 2126198 2174419 1017348 1037156 1055424 1072698 1089478 1106314 1128273 540365 545177 549417 553791 558145 562489 566997 540365 545177 549417 553791 558145 562489 566997 236091 238686 241271 243838 246393 248942 251629 213696 215959 218246 220558 222894 225254 227640 22395 22727 23025 23280 23499 23688 23989 169595 169796 169774 169983 170257 170579 170811 8161 8193 8222 8252 8278 8296 8312 62041 61832 61513 61396 61310 61302 61294 5045 5060 5073 5088 5104 5118 5137 6443 6405 6346 6327 6337 6343 6324 3985 4007 4026 4043 4059 4074 4090 52503 52748 52914 53096 53302 53478 53602 356 359 359 358 358 358 358 9772 9801 9818 9830 9840 9849 9860 13541 13653 13770 13853 13937 14029 14106 215 218 220 222 224 226 228 7533 7520 7513 7518 7508 7506 7500 13599 13771 13916 14074 14249 14417 14556 13599 13771 13916 14074 14249 14417 14556 10466 10893 11222 11564 11874 12191 12490 158 170 181 191 201 210 220 948 1006 1068 1133 1203 1277 1357 6492 6574 6657 6741 6826 6913 7000 486 646 713 770 823 871 920 2382 2497 2603 2729 2821 2920 2993 I I Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 2 (continued) Other Asia 83805 89815 94092 98883 104345 105697 107188 108707 Japan 83805 89815 94092 98883 104345 105697 107188 108707 Sundry Group 1 US4489-US6732 per capita (1979) 340 315985 361 335517 383 357315 406 378891 431 394467 436 397548 442 400673 447 403875 Non-Communist countries 105133 108487 112274 116788 120321 121014 121706 122588 OECD-Europe 101477 104067 107187 110929 113789 114329 114853 115558 Finland 4009 4235 4430 4564 4606 4612 4640 4666 United Kingdom 50363 51199 52559 54378 55522 55712 55869 56000 Italy 47105 48633 50198 51987 53661 54005 54344 54892 1908 2136 2372 2628 2811 2854 2902 2956 1908 2136 2372 2628 2811 2854 2902 2956 1267 1750 2117 2563 2974 3069 3173 3278 1267 1750 2117 2563 2974 3069 3173 3278 70 87 112 139 171 177 183 190 Sundry Group 2 411 447 486 529 576 585 595 606 Communist countries 210852 227030 245041 262103 274146 276534 278967 281287 Communist Europe 210852 227030 245041 262103 274146 276534 278%7 281287 Germany (Democratic Republic) 18388 17832 17058 17020 17070 17061 17043 16980 Czechoslovakia 12389 13039 13654 14147 14319 14390 14465 14560 USSR 180075 196159 214329 230936 242757 245083 247459 249747 US2245-US4488 per capita (1979) 131618 141042 151251 160926 170922 173011 175149 177311 Non-Communist countries 57549 61653 67005 72849 78944 80287 81703 83146 OECD-Europe 38544 40089 41614 43482 45522 45915 46329 46731 Ireland 2%9 2921 2832 2876 2950 2978 3024 3072 Greece 7566 7966 8327 8550 8793 8831 8889 8929 Spain 28009 29202 30455 32056 33779 34106 34416 34730 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Mid-Year Population; in Thousands of Persons 116087 116502 116841 117104 117353 117542 117840 4691 4711 4726 4739 4753 4764 4772 56011 55981 55959 55919 55903 55901 55898 55385 55810 56156 56446 56697 56877 57170 179682 182073 184585 187185 189615 192290 194829 47151 47665 48242 48815 49357 49886 50399 3123 3176 3226 3269 3311 3365 3409 8962 9047 9167 9268 9360 9444 9490 35066 35442 35849 36278 36686 37077 37500 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 2 (controlled) Other Europe 806 844 902 910 941 945 945 956 Cyprus 494 530 573 591 615 620 626 634 Malta 312 314 329 319 326 325 319 322 10724 12442 14900 17558 20668 21397 22141 228% 416 429 446 469 493 498 503 508 5145 6110 7632 9119 10709 11101 11497 11891 5163 5903 6822 7970 9466 9798 10141 10497 Other Asia 3374 3926 4878 5676 6253 6380 6493 6640 Singapore 1022 1306, 1646 1887 2075 2110 2147 2185 Hong Kong 2237 2490 3075 3598 3959 4045 4116 4213 Bahrein 115 130 157 191 219 225 230 242 Other Latin America 3061 3198 3431 3803 3984 4041 4152 4246 Puerto Rico, at al. 2218 2250 2358 2594 2718 2766 2864 2945 Trinidad and Tobago 632 721 841 974 1027 1033 1045 1058 Barbados 211 227 232 235 239 242 243 243 Sundry Group 3 1040 1154 1280 1420 1576 1609 1643 1677 Communist countries 74069 79389 84246 88077 91978 92724 93446 94165 Communist Europe 74069 79389 84246 88077 91978 92724 93446 94165 Romania 16311 17325 18403 19027 20253 20470 20663 20828 Poland 24824 27221 29590 31262 32526 32776 33034 33321 Hungary 9338 9825 9984 10153 10338 10368 10398 10432 Bulgaria 7250 7499 7867 8201 8490 8536 8576 8621 Yugoslavia US1123 - US2244 per capita (1979) 16346 218051 17519 235806 18402 268986 19434 306996 20371 348818 20574 357414 20775 366271 20963 375178 Non-Communist countries 204266 229425 261959 299186 340267 348722 357409 366142 8443 8693 9037 9129 9044 8990 8970 8976 8443 8693 9037 9129 9044 8990 8970 8976 287 332 393 463 521 533 544 556 287 332 393 463 521 533 544 556 OPEC 25420 28686 32518 36939 42738 43962 45230 46535 Iran 16357 18728 21573 24997 28906 29729 30573 31443 Algeria 9063 9958 10945 11942 13832 14233 14657 15092 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Mid-Year Population; in Thousands of Persons 965 946 942 945 956 968 974 641 618 613 613 616 621 622 324 328 329 332 340 347 352 23679 24518 25379 26275 27163 28084 29035 515 550 586 622 629 637 655 12299 12722 13153 13605 14064 14539 15023 10865 11246 11640 12048 12470 12908 13357 6796 6915 7011 7145 7294 7633 7788 2219 2250 2278 2308 2334 2363 2387 4320 4396 4444 4514 4606 4900 5020 257 269 289 323 354 370 381 4345 4458 4572 4702 4764 4824 4906 3030 3123 3217 3321 3358 3395 3460 1067 1082 1098 1117 1133 1150 1161 248 253 257 264 273 279 285 94980 95823 96654 97480 98220 98995 99787 21029 21245 21446 21658 21855 22057 22240 33629 33951 34277 34595 34899 35227 35560 10479 10541 10599 10648 10684 10710 10743 8679 8721 8759 8804 8814 8827 8870 21164 21365 21573 21775 21968 22174 22374 47906 49362 50850 52408 54029 55575 57547 32360 33332 34329 35372 36447 37430 38718 15546 16030 16521 17036 17582 18145 18829 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 2 (continued) Other Africa 17090 19056 21271 24173 27550 28206, 28945 29708 South Africa 13573 15210 17122 19607 22465 23022 23655 24295 Tunisia 3517 3846 4149 4566 5085 5184 5290 5413 Other Asia 35562 38661 44779 51756 58484 59907 61317 62647 China (Taiwan) 7981 9486 11209 12978 14598 14918 15226 15526 Malaysia 6434 7312 8428 9648 10910 11196 11491 11785 Korea (South) 21147 21863 25142 29130 32976 33793 34600 35336 Other Latin America 116740 133182 153043 175693 200767 205933 211183 216471 Argentina 17150 18928 20611 22179 23758 24106 24458 24807 Brazil 53443 61774 71695 83093 95684 98241 100797 103304 Mexico 26715 30781 36182 42601 50078 51679 53334 55055 Suriname 208 240 285 337 373 377 382 386 Chile 6091 6743 7585 8510 9369 9533 9703 9875 Jamaica 1385 1489 1632 1777 1944 1968 1999 2039 Costa Rica 867 1032 1248 1488 1736 1786 1835 1886 Uruguay 2194 2353 2531 2693 2824 2826 2830 2835 Panama 855 978 1112 1294 1497 1538 1581 1624 Peru 7832 8864 10162 11721 13504 13879 14264 14660 Communist Latin America 5785 6381 7027 7810 8551 8692 8862 9036 Cuba 5785 6381 7027 7810 8551 8692 8862 9036 US562-US1122 per capital (1979) 161353 182773 210989 242653 279440 287412 295630 303989 1453 1650 1875 2130 2418 2490 2552 2620 1453 1650 1875 2130 2418 2490 2552 2620 36537 41067 46789 53810 62304 64211 66189 68228 3307 3812 4422 5134 5958 6146 6336 6515 33230 37255 42367 48676 56346 58065 59853 61713 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 L_ Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Mid-Year Population; in Thousands of Persons 30458 31157 31953 32659 33373 34111 34863 24915 25466 26099 26650 27217 27799 28391 5543 5691 5854 6009 6156 6312 6472 63933 65179 66428 67705 68981 70270 71587 15824 16122 16450 16788 17118 17456 17806 12082 12388 12702 13024 13348 13674 14007 36027 36669 37276 37893 38515 39140 39774 221899 227398 232984 238568 244161 249756 255153 25154 25519 25931 26351 26777 27210 27645 105889 108474 111094 113748 116441 119175 121650 56842 58692 60546 62343 64087 65770 67499 386 374 371 382 393 404 407 10047 10214 10375 10531 10689 10848 11014 2074 2109 2139 2163 2189 2215 2266 1931 1978 2026 2077 2129 2184 2218 2839 2842 2860 2878 2894 2910 2928 1670 1711 1754 1793 1835 1876 1912 15067 15485 15888 16302 16727 17164 17614 70345 72554 74850 77250 79749 82358 85111 6697 6891 7090 7308 7532 7763 8020 63648 65663 67760 69942 72217 74595 77091 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 2 (continued) 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 17570 19781 22378 25279 28919 29797 30710 31629 2860 3164 3564 4288 5424 5697 5971 6240 481 572 663 756 830 841 851 861 Morocco 9343 10782 12423 14066 15909 16313 16752 17207 Congo 768 840 931 1044 1183 1214 1246 1279 Angola 4118 4423 4797 5125 5573 5732 5890 6042 Other Asia 48513 56142 65231 75755 87508 90028 92578 95153 Syria 3495 3938 4533 5326 6258 6473 6697 6930 Jordan 1335 1469 1648 1905 2262 2347 2438 2533 Thailand 20042 23451 27513 32062 37091 38152 39215 40281 Philippines 20647 24000 27898 32415 37540 38614 39703 ' 40808 Yemen (North) 2994 3284 3639 4047 4357 4442 4525 4601 24736 28511 33032 38233 43979 45170 46384 47573 3024 3452 3969 4595 5262 5407 5572 5743 2312 2685 3159 3703 4343 4477 4611 4747 Belize 66 77 92 107 122 125 128 131 Paraguay 1476 1683 1910 2170 2477 2545 2614 2684 Colombia 11592 13588 15953 18646 21430 21993 22543 23069 Nicaragua 1084 1247 1438 1659 1908 1964 2020 2068 Guyana 428 491 571 640 715 730 746 761 Bolivia 2814 3070 3366 3708 4140 4242 4350 4460 El Salvador 1940 2218 2574 3005 3582 3687 3800 3910 Communist countries 11190 11213 13167 15155 17569 18086 18622 19181 1215 1379 1607 1865 2136 2188 2241 2297 1215 1379 1607 1865 2136 2188 2241 2297 Communist Asia 9975 9834 11560 13290 15433 15898 16381 16884 Korea (North) 9196 8990 10605 12200 14185 14615 15060 15524 Mongolia 779 844 955 1090 1248 1283 1321 1360 US561 or less per capita (1979) 1306323 1446730 1609628 1775577 2014985 2064978 2113557 2162187 Non-Communist countries 725775 798940 887040 992517 1113631 1140184 1166774 1194369 OPEC 83414 90727 100655 112269 122671 125353 128175 131020 Indonesia 83414 90727 100655 112269 122671 125353 128175 131020 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Mid-Year Population; in Thousands of Persons 32388 33113 34018 35085 36157 37121 38107 6497 6754 7008 7258 7509 7761 8028 872 883 895 909 925 941 950 17682 18177 18692 19229 19787 20368 20967 1314 1349 1386 1425 1466 1508 1546 6023 5950 6037 6264 6470 6543 6616 97746 100360 103014 105717 108441 111186 112890 7171 7420 7677 7944 8220 8506 8675 2633 2736 2843 2955 3070 3189 3300 41350 42422 43492 44562 45626 46687 47419 41925 43059 44204 45356 46515 47678 48274 4667 4723 4798 4900 5010 5126 5222 48764 49984 51198 52472 53735 54946 56298 5919 6096 6253 6447 6646 6849 7058 4876 5010 5144 5280 5415 5551 5691 134 138 141 145 148 152 156 2754 2825 2897 2971 3044 3117 3252 23576 24092 24618 25146 25673 26205 26754 2129 2196 2265 2336 2387 2365 2410 775 787 797 808 819 832 840 4576 4697 4822 4950 5080 5213 5355 4025 4143 4261 4389 4523 4662 4782 17408 17953 18518 19104 19708 20333 21011 16005 16507 17028 17571 18134 18717 19318 1403 1446 1490 1533 1574 1616 1693 2210640 2258216 2305228 2351151 2397018 2443617 2495301 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Tabk 2 (continued) Other Africa 139503 155322 174183 197368 224143 230090 236174 242593 Liberia 694 816 960 1132 1335 1380 1427 1474 Egypt 20480 23033 25944 29384 33011 33703 34411 35149 Swaziland 253 284 320 365 420 432 444 457 Ghana 5297 6049 6958 8010 8789 9068 9360 9663 Zimbabwe (Rhodesia) 2853 3409 4011 4685 5546 5735 5937 6115 Zambia 2553 2869 3254 3694 4251 4386 4527 4675 Cameroon 4888 5211 5609 6104 6727 6870 7021 7179 Botswana 408 462 528 583 630 639 649 661 Senegal 2751 3065 3435 3873 4385 4498 4615 4735 Sudan 8063 9147 10397 11837 13575 13993 14435 14946 Madagascar 4620 5003 5482 6070 6759 6912 7072 7238 Togo 1172 1298 1456 1648 1964 2018 2075 2134 Mauritania 909 984 1066 1155 1254 1276 1298 1321 Kenya 6121 7034 8157 9549 11256 11649 12068 12513 Benin 1611 1812 2049 2327 2653 2724 27% 2871 Uganda 5522 6328 7286 8432 9806 10127 10462 10810 Mozambique 5726 6069 6577 7289 8133 8330 8555 8786 Gambia, The 282 317 357 404 458 470 483 496 Sierra Leone 1927 2106 2302 2516 2753 2805 2860 2916 Lesotho 726 786 859 952 1066 1090 1115 1141 Tanzania 8313 9212 10328 11673 13286 13667 14066 14483 Guinea 2466 2734 3067 3510 4069 4195 4322 4451 Malawi 2817 3088 3450 3914 4450 4556 4669 4789 Rwanda 2431 2704 3038 3269 3786 3896 4010 4128 Central African Republic 1279 1369 1490 1652 1855 1898 1939 1974 Zaire 13055 14468 16151 18651 21638 22283 22938 23627 Burundi 2393 2616 2864 3221 3589 3659 3621 3663 Niger 2291 2572 2913 3574 4128 4246 4368 4494 Upper Volta 3756 4110 4497 4941 5465 5581 5702 5826 Ethiopia 16251 18009 20093 22550 25450 26078 26725 27387 Somalia 1823 2001 2221 2495 2806 2872 2941 3010 Mali 3277 3622 4050 4571 5143 5266 5393 5525 Chad 2495 2735 3014 3338 3707 3788 3870 3956 Other Asia 4%534 545801 604182 673765 756468 774124 791519 809553 Lebanon 1362 1550 1767 2026 2330 2394 2459 2524 Yemen (South) 993 1089 1209 1352 1498 1527 1556 1596 Sri Lanka 7533 8679 9879 11202 12532 12776 13011 13239 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Mid-Year Population; in Thousands of Persons 249317 256236 263470 270793 278730 287006 294766 1523 1573 1625 1678 1734 1788 1848 35966 36861 37835 38838 39889 40993 42042 470 483 497 511 526 541 549 9979 10308 10650 11002 11366 11742 12133 6347 6562 6749 6938 7110 7254 7438 4829 4981 5138 5302 5472 5649 5832 7346 7522 7706 7901 8106 8323 8332 674 689 706 725 744 764 790 4857 4983 5113 5245 5387 5532 5664 15450 15926 16424 16949 17550 18167 18672 7409 7587 7771 7947 8145 8349 8563 2196 2260 2327 2397 2469 2544 2600 1345 1369 1394 1420 1446 1474 1500 12983 13481 14008 14568 15158 15778 15942 2948 3028 3111 3198 3287 3379 3478 11172 11549 11943 12353 12780 13225 13692 8988 9108 9284 9504 9753 10030 10314 510 524 538 554 569 585 601 2976 3037 3101 3168 3237 3309 3432 1166 1193 1220 1248 1276 1305 1336 14920 15374 15845 16334 16840 17364 17907 4582 4714 4850 4988 5130 5275 5426 4938 5156 5344 5526 5690 5862 6040 4242 4368 4506 4651 4800 4955 5100 2013 2063 2114 2168 2225 2284 2475 24327 25009 25741 26297 27152 28090 28917 3725 3814 3894 3987 4088 4192 4418 4626 4761 4901 .5045 5193 5346 5504 5954 6087 6223 6364 6510 6661 6815 28069 28770 29490 30230 30992 31780 32586 3081 3155 3231 3310 3391 3474 3552 5662 5807 5963 6123 6290 6464 6641 4044 4134 4228 4324 4425 4528 4627 827593 846106 865267 884191 902853 921790 941134 2589 2656 2725 2796 2868 2943 3020 1637 1680 1727 1777 1820 1863 1910 13443 13655 13879 14106 14347 14594 14845 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 2 (continued) Pakistan 39448 44434 50387 57495 65706 67491 69326 71206 Afghanistan 7766 8669 9677 10803 12059 12327 12601 12882 India 369880 404478 445857 494882 553619 566180 578712 591328 Burma 17927 1%82 21726 24167 27078 27718 28378 29059 Nepal 8990 9479 10035 10862 11919 12155 12401 12667 Bangladesh 42635 47741 53645 60976 69727 71556 73075 75052 Other Latin America 4528 5038 5675 6436 7288 7474 7678 7888 Honduras 1431 1662 1952 2299 2683 2767 2864 2964 Haiti 3097 3376 3723 4137 4605 4707 4814 4924 Communist countries 580548 647790 722588 783060 901354 924794 946783 967818 Com munist Asia 580548 647790 722588 783060 901354 924794 946783 %7818 China (Mainland) 547364 611585 681559 736054 848348 870699 891601 911544 Kampuchea 4163 4702 5364 6142 7060 7133 7201 7270 Vietnam 27072 29357 33283 38212 42984 43935 44889 45845 Laos 1949 2146 2382 2652 2962 3027 3092 3159 NAT O-total 419150 446043 477302 508119 532503 537645 542603 547704 NATO-Europe 253142 264376 278722 294138 306301 309002 311540 314175 Of which: Japan 83805 89815 94092 98883 104345 105697 107188 108707 War saw Pact 268575 288900 310885 330746 345753 348684 351638 354489 USSR 180075 1%159 214329 230936 242757 245083 247459 249747 Non-Soviet Warsaw Pact 88500 92741 %556 99810 102996 103601 104179 104742 OPE C 161236 178668 201429 228262 257595 264364 271438 278738 Affluent 15865 18188 21467 25244 29882 30838 31844 32955 Indigent 145371 160480 179962 203018 227713 233526 239594 245783 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Mid-Year Population; in Thousands of Persons 73164 75195 77299 79477 81735 84075 86473 13168 13461 13760 14067 14379 14699 15030 603797 616551 629760 642552 654895 667326 680059 29760 30482 31226 31992 32782 33590 34412 12952 13257 13580 13913 14256 14608 14896 77083 79169 81311 83511 85771 88092 90489 8104 8331 8566 8808 9058 9315 9573 3066 3174 3287 3403 3522 3645 3765 5038 5157 5279 5405 5536 5670 5808 988397 1007468 1024985 1041484 1057494 1073531 1094636 931042 949711 966710 982185 997225 1012197 1032064 7334 6726 6191 6012 5899 5767 5767 46792 47728 48751 49922 50969 52127 53325 3229 3303 3333 3365 3401 3440 3480 744322 751011 757090 763038 768945 774757 781016 381455 383910 386037 388157 390298 392411 394686 257777 258420 258788 259255 259762 260277 260834 552529 557149 561426 565612 569818 574002 578498 316438 318463 320155 321774 323425 325060 326869 178627 181206 183508 185724 187887 190000 192281 110162 111573 112771 113863 114898 115880 117025 931042 949711 966710 982185 997225 1012197 1032064 357492 360503 363459 366433 369348 372218 375000 252065 254393 256674 258932 261200 263400 265500 105427 106110 106785 107501 108148 108818 109500 67952 68535 69229 70429 71550 72774 74207 286220 293905 301650 309684 317910 326293 335380 34145 35411 36601 37839 39037 40275 41525 252075 258494 265049 271845 278873 286018 293855 i Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 3 Per-Capita Product, Including Third World Supplements, Selected Years, 1950-80 1950 1955 1960 1%5 1970 1971 1972 1973 1164 1364 1530 1783 2059 2108 2167 2272 Non-Communist countries 1439 1664 1838 2132 2464 2523 2605 2725 652 810 958 1119 1297 1328 1342 1418 Developed countries 2776 3329 3843 4642 5592 5747 5970 6288 Non-Communist countries 3345 3999 4540 5517 6619 6793 7094 7464 Communist countries 1652 2017 2489 2940 3580 3695 3760 3969 Less-developed countries 348 410 457 515 611 638 652 694 Non-Communist countries 444 4% 556 615 727 762 778 822 Communist countries 175 253 279 328 396 410 418 457 US6733 or snore per capka (1979) 3963 4727 3342 6.502 7802 8012 8389 8811 North America 6147 6911 7126 8317 9221 9415 9853 10294 United States 6298 7089 7298 8504 93% 9567 10011 10444 Canada 4475 5043 5389 6469 7533 7960 8334 8857 OECD-Europe 3150 4042 5035 6126 7441 7662 7946 8295 Sweden 5065 5776 6631 8281 9640 9594 9718 10030 Germany (Federal Republic) 2859 4285 5550 6685 8023 8201 8453 8824 Denmark 4211 4465 5358 6665 8090 8229 8624 9022 Switzerland 4984 5975 6848 7970 9289 9582 9794 10016 Norway 3793 4362 4900 5948 6866 7134 7447 7698 France 2993 3525 4545 5632 7024 7332 7697 8047 Luxembourg 4565 4959 5566 6229 7303 7535 7866 8595 Belgium 3292 3793 4182 5182 6429 6668 7027 7460 Netherlands 3120 3763 4283 5065 6243 6432 6583 6902 Iceland 2987 3648 3826 4807 5063 5654 5933 6311 Austria 1867 2545 3281 3913 4948 5202 5488 5756 4691 5040 5493 6286 7628 7886 7952 8277 4691 5040 5493 6286 7628 7886 7952 8277 839 1249 1869 2471 3502 4224 4745 5770 7720 9848 13260 13713 17679 22381 21556 25621 9836 14112 16695 11475 8832 11983 12824 16660 Saudi Arabia 438 697 1093 1414 1936 2253 2726 3544 United Arab Emirates 4383 5504 7429 9870 18305 18685 17988 16299 Libya 449 449 438 2221 3899 4401 4784 4785 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 2304 2293 2358 2415 2472 2507 2511 2756 2727 2811 2873 2927 2967 2968 1451 1468 1494 1538 1595 1615 1623 6360 6323 6581 6772 6970 7117 7151 7504 7414 7730 7959 8200 8410 8448 4099 4164 4307 4424 4535 4556 4581 732 751 764 791 816 830 846 876 899 922 948 %1 967 983 465 476 467 494 539 566 582 8814 8723 9117 9414 9714 9966 10007 10091 9903 10350 10744 11097 11241 11102 10201 9998 10452 10871 11235 11373 11231 9035 9001 9391 9538 9787 9990 9875 8438 8339 8736 8933 9186 9511 9650 10421 10463 10562 10247 10500 10897 11028 8858 8731 9233 9500 9846 10300 10487 8901 8837 9429 9582 %51 9961 9826 10148 9513 9469 9726 9730 9934 10283 8049 8341 8783 9105 9477 9867 10192 8234 8212 8595 8806 9061 9320 9420 8848 8022 8255 8419 8689 8924 8969 7787 7604 8024 8118 8272 8462 8571 7089 6%2 7268 7427 7559 7675 7694 6472 6353 6513 6827 7048 7169 7283 5997 5890 6261 6488 6595 6933 7188 9756 9985 10423 10433 10566 10948 11085 22316 27586 29798 25215 25879 25455 25026 24536 18063 16952 14276 14118 150% 12915 7808 9461 9658 10109 10572 11232 11980 13900 12228 12669 12339 11055 10546 10383 7503 6331 7737 8065 7802 7538 7354 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 AppendixfTable 3 (continued) Japan OECD-Europe 2245 2656 3085 3630 4351 4427 4539 4849 Finland 2188 2751 3208 4029 5137 5238 5602 5938 United Kingdom 2860 3266 3592 4041 4484 4594 4691 5055 Italy 1593 2005 2543 3164 4145 4184 4291 4546 Other Latin America 5137 5385 5545 5879 6200 5928 5287 5092 Communist Europe 1828 2235 2767 3231 3956 4049 4092 4330 Germany (Democratic Republic) 1727 2439 3250 3720 4328 4427 4584 4743 Czechoslovakia 2460 2765 3589 3887 4546 4677 4820 4947 USSR 1794 2182 2676. 3155 3895 3986 4016 4265 US2245-US4488 per capita (1979) 1085 1325 1567 1968 2371 2505 2617 2758 OECD-Europe 926 1164 1324 1869 2419 2508 2628 2806 Ireland 1594 1809 1980 2358 2899 2990 3112 3204 Greece 656 860 1078 1545 2127 2268 2454 2621 Spain 929 1182 1330 1911 2453 2529 2631 2818 Other Europe 675 791 899 1135 1589 1727 1838 1842 Cyprus 706 853 949 1281 1729 1921 2028 2054 Malta 625 687 811 864 1324 1358 1465 1425 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 6623 6690 6970 7269 7563 7912 8163 6623 6690 6970 7269 7563 7912 8163 8362 9352 9901 10259 10245 10136 10387 4599 4601 4756 4860 4%7 5014 5055 4887 4770 4970 5037 5177 5328 5378 6101 6112 6111 6118 6186 6616 6864 4979 4932 5117 5187 5370 5419 5323 4690 4493 4729 4798 4901 5130 5308 6572 6575 6531 6336 5648 5704 5834 4459 4509 4651 4775 4879 4884 4922 4459 4509 4651 4775 4879 4884 4922 2892 2916 2984 3037 3109 3121 3133 3297 3281 3324 3467 3632 3641 3630 2521 2650 2782 2845 3006 3092 3096 2951 2951 3005 3047 3089 3080 3097 1669 1600 1895 2196 2376 2526 2609 1725 1472 1760 2094 2261 2393 2509 1557 1840 2146 2386 2586 2763 2786 r Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 -- Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 3 (costieued) 1116 1309 1494 1612 1722 1797 1812 1944 809 790 762 969 1430 1234 1516 2074 1662 1923 2119 2199 2351 2455 2492 2679 595 710 843 978 1025 1079 1057 1105 Other Asia 804 1022 1164 1610 2273 2362 2533 2717 Singapore 1098 1197 1160 1341 2231. 2468 2751 3014 Hong Kong 643 895 1126 1718 4271 2292 2417 2574 Bahrain 1326 1676 1943 2225 2712 2639 2582 2526 Other Latin America 1620 2090 2652 2840 3212 3369 3496 3681 Puerto Rico, at al. 1818 2324 2865 3066 3448 3664 3804 4070 Trinidad and Tobago 1121 1662 2425 2529 2800 2853 2964 2928 Barbados 1033 1128 1310 1623 2302 2211 2152 2251 Communist Europe 1154 1394 1682 2075 2461 2638 2767 2891 Romania 984 1314 1535 1986 2378 2683 2828 28% Poland 1450 1656 1905 2245 2623 2790 2969 3161 Hungary 1432 1772 2107 2545 2905 3023 3079 3230 Bulgaria 873 1136 1540 2036 2521 2592 2702 2794 Yugoslavia 838 %5 1301 1658 2036 2175 2257 2329 US1123-US2244 sr apE. (1979) 851 11e9 1148 1292 1562 1663 1757 1895 1484 1539 1627 1794 1484 1539 1627 1794 OPEC 613 758 943 900 1147 1404 1579 1874 Iran 619 723 846 858 1091 1529 1726 2090 Algeria 603 825 1134 987 1265 1142 1272 1424 Other Africa 1063 1132 1238 1497 1735 1786 1816 1845 South Africa 1224 1304 1411 1667 1929 1976 1975 2011 Tunisia 445 453 524 768 876 943 1105 1099 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 2853 2739 2684 2784 2844 3037 3069 3927 3825 3946 3903 3217 3657 3770 3654 3286 3096 3281 3365 3375 3396 1896 2067 2154 2165 2238 2627 2665 2752 2752 3077 3324 3557 3754 3984 3155 3239 3433 3659 3930 4243 4578 2547 2523 2913 3209 3459 3626 3822 2709 2418 2798 2527 2364 2329 2397 3545 3454 3435 3446 3579 3712 3689 3884 3698 3624 3553 3689 3851 3779 2903 3066 3193 3431 3589 3653 3763 2170 2093 2099 2154 2175 2269 2294 3391 3377 3459 3522 3026 3134 3280 3378 3026 3134 3280 3378 3510 3578 3564 3030 3133 3504 3590 3767 3900 4015 3317 3441 3549 3614 3723 3686 3511 3299 3351 3328 3514 3601 3639 3664 2860 3082 3193 3138 3222 3302 3368 2491 2562 2642 2822 2986 3165 3230 2042 2071 2153 2190 2202 2236 2250 2259 2369 2430 2517 2611 2259 2369 2430 2517 2611 2431 2562 2786 2768 2411 2042 1616 2804 2968 3304 3286 2702 2122 1465 1655 1717 1710 1692 1807 1877 1927 1942 1977 1972 1940 1%2 1989 2080 2110 2137 2112 2069 2077 2096 2196 1186 1260 1348 1367 1454 1517 1568 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 3 (continued) Other Asia 435 545 577 703 956 1019 1074 1186 China (Taiwan) 479 626 700 923 1280 1396 1530 1681 Malaysia 716 767 803 941 1122 1161 1197 1285 Korea (South) 333 436 446 525 759 805 831 935 1032 1164 1335 1501 1786 1879 1978 2103 Argentina 1526 1609 1816 2095 2430 2524 2582 2668 Brazil 752 905 1085 1166 1466 1618 1761 1959 Mexico 1177 1292 1475 1744 2071 2075 2158 2249 Suriname 817 1163 1412 1719 2184 2206 2318 2294 Chile 1516 1590 1772 2019 2221 2351 2308 2189 Jamaica 1120 1522 2030 2344 2773 2788 2970 2839 Costa Rica 1003 1205 1426 1516 1624 1685 1774 1879 Uruguay 1524 1894 1761 1720 1842 1822 1762 1775 Panama 860 912 1084 1383 1733 1805 1909 1976 Peru 866 1016 10% 1310 1419 1461 1504 1555 Communist Latin America 1442 1456 1476 1536 1580 1507 1486 1547 Cuba 1442 1456 1476 1536 1580 1507 1486 1547 US562-US1122 per capita (1979) 511 589 642 721 821 871 885 922 709 809 858 868 903 349 425 513 534 585 677 622 660 702 730 759 884 969 1065 1028 1162 314 394 488 497 544 635 580 607 Other Africa 779 808 791 868 962 975 995 1010 Ivory coast 799 867 923 1062 1215 1211 1221 1221 Mauritius 1062 939 849 1008 922 949 1016 1124 Morocco 784 808 728 763 836 854 874 864 Congo 799 778 749 783 961 910 900 938 Angola 720 754 858 991 1080 1103 1128 1210 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1221 1253 1391 1489 1630 1714 1705 1660 1668 1822 1929 2155 2272 2373 1335 1336 1449 1526 1602 1694 1761 991 1043 1180 1281 1406 1472 1387 2208 2221 2269 2305 2355 2462 2569 2821 2743 2623 2695 2547 2720 2669 2099 2163 2307 2359 2443 2539 2687 2307 2326 2302 2309 2404 2530 2657 2257 2265 2356 2444 2422 2402 2436 2239 1951 1926 2061 2179 2329 2444 2733 2661 2459 2338 2271 2194 2082 1938 1932 1990 2090 2160 2190 2189 1801 1754 1852 1888 1990 2143 2215 2046 2049 1999 1987 1994 2018 2183 1617 1625 1633 1573 1507 1520 1555 2401 2438 2473 2561 2669 2676 2650 1678 1705 1723 1764 1809 1831 1828 1678 1705 1723 1764 1809 1831 1828 999 1048 1085 1126 1153 1175 1203 1258 1336 1415 1442 1451 1426 1404 1258 1336 1415 1442 1451 1426 1404 1158 1120 1091 1084 1080 1083 1081 1158 1120 1091 1084 1080 1083 1081 825 897 957 1054 1074 1115 1178 1386 1448 1513 1571 1628 1663 1682 766 839 899 1000 1017 1058 1126 1058 1057 1071 1062 1076 1079 1076 1215 1249 1355 1369 1464 1490 1491 1188 1143 1206 1252 1310 1371 1446 925 930 956 966 976 977 968 957 951 935 866 901 928 951 1283 1236 1108 1017 937 900 890 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 3 (continued) 403 454 490 592 668 699 716 753 Syria 766 750 717 900 987 1080 1129 1097 Jordan 289 427 622 920 852 839 832 803 Thailand 348 355 388 473 621 651 666 709 387 493 540 646 662 681 694 740 510 526 536 545 572 631 663 710 Other Latin America 781 837 867 955 1092 1125 1178 1231 Guatemala 874 858 968 1080 1248 1283 1337 1386 Dominican Republic 742 856 933 920 1128 1210 1320 1418 Belize 792 906 985 1092 1258 1297 1335 1384 Paraguay 853 858 837 956 1029 1045 1070 1117 Colombia 752 829 860 926 1065 1098 1156 1215 Nicaragua 798 1037 1037 1388 1467 1494 1507 1533 Guyana 937 987 1026 1109 1165 1165 1225 1207 Bolivia 814 758 701 769 937 949 973 1014 El Salvador 708 774 784 936 977 992 1017 1039 977 1103 1197 1102 1173 1212 1252 1291 298 565 710 901 999 1056 1139 1206 804 917 1009 1047 1102 1123 1151 1176 804 917 1009 1047 1102 1123 1151 1176 236 516 668 880 984 1047 1137 1210 209 485 625 857 971 1038 1134 1213 559 847 1150 1139 1137 1151 1167 1181 USS61 or low ,per capita (1979) 242 289 318 353 417 428 428 454 126 139 150 177 337 415 434 532 Other Africa 473 506 562 618 667 684 681 671 Liberia 1129 1122 1116 1012 1244 1336 1349 1358 Egypt 686 708 726 930 1030 1046 995 937 Swaziland 322 405 509 703 970 1032 1080 1081 Ghana 928 894 1470 1485 1504 1571 1531 1565 Zimbabwe (Rhodesia) 664 959 944 1108 1199 1302 1355 1368 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 789 840 876 909 940 977 1013 1323 1544 1524 1579 1572 1564 1580 857 883 1062 1104 1148 1182 1256 725 762 804 833 884 921 961 768 798 830 859 876 921 954 689 7% 810 854 877 901 927 1288 1309 1348 1403 1448 1470 1502 1431 1417 1484 1641 1675 1699 1706 1504 1538 1594 1621 1641 1681 1705 1431 1465 1521 1563 1614 1675 1676 1179 1208 1266 1334 1439 1546 1645 1266 1293 1323 1372 1451 1514 1572 1688 1666 1715 1789 1659 1331 1502 1269 1311 1354 1258 1228 1209 1210 1055 1085 1119 1130 1131 1125 1106 1074 1102 1114 1138 1153 1081 958 1308 1362 1283 1245 1294 1310 1312 1318 1373 1290 1250 1298 1313 1318 1193 1242 1205 1183 1252 1273 1251 467 479 475 497 523 531 545 673 740 775 807 847 872 918 673 740 775 807 847 872 918 689 662 641 652 648 645 651 1371 1283 1277 1240 1221 1208 1157 1019 1002 938 1081 1139 1197 1261 1097 1196 1196 1187 1185 1187 1227 1591 1370 1281 1245 1166 1117 1103 1450 1389 1318 1200 1115 1092 1119 r _ ___~ Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 3 (continued) Zambia 845 1000 1167 1434 1381 1328 1410 1356 Cameroon 705 685 658 701 893 939 940 955 Botswana 188 192 191 210 426 510 606 660 Senegal 1150 1189 1207 1179 1054 1146 1065 1057 Sudan 725 796 871 836 763 771 843 763 Madagascar 812 795 767 761 861 859 812 776 Togo 409 417 421 559 671 676 654 662 Mauritania 287 314 346 515 596 575 584 606 Kenya 484 500 510 514 629 650 670 682 Benin 595 595 608 573 502 606 594 608 Uganda 670 727 6% 736 790 778 764 731 Mozambique 335 367 623 658 799 833 859 921 Gambia, The 340 348 369 439 482 520 531 512 Sierra Leone 361 410 462 557 605 589 586 583 Lesotho 231 274 299 378 434 431 406 426 Tanzania 255 277 298 330 402 403 415 419 Guinea 476 507 538 571 561 556 555 555 Malawi 193 217 236 245 284 331 348 366 Rwanda 348 316 284 286 375 369 351 365 Central African Republic 437 425 407 398 421 417 420 421 Zaire 216 262 314 349 396 407 406 419 Burundi 356 302 255 250 278 276 283 283 Niger 252 270 284 313 304 309 289 247 Upper Volta 218 233 252 260 276 275 264 264 Ethiopia 152 189 233 262 284 290 296 297 Somalia 291 297 300 282 304 314 332 309 Mali 97 119 143 166 172 174 180 167 Chad 375 372 368 332 312 308 271 250 Other Asia 289 311 341 357 405 401 388 399 Lebanon 1306 1350 1393 1555 1698 1805 1965 2011 Yemen (South) 826 850 864 874 887 925 872 919 Sri Lanka 382 410 454 481 564 554 562 570 Pakistan 285 296 303 368 446 434 428 448 Afghanistan 432 431 421 438 449 450 453 449 India 294 319 353 366 414 411 398 409 Burma 203 258 308 340 328 334 336 331 Nepal 200 216 235 256 253 248 248 249 Bangladesh 216 216 229 213 264 244 210 219 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1370 1290 1270 1200 1163 1033 1001 966 957 962 976 999 1033 1105 718 783 839 860 880 891 895 1153 1035 986 925 804 796 707 753 759 777 794 797 763 761 789 778 763 750 735 721 707 706 597 638 650 663 676 708 651 597 638 623 612 660 678 684 664 671 634 634 628 634 610 606 573 578 593 606 622 707 670 646 649 628 595 563 960 861 735 671 623 576 561 559 567 552 537 548 557 566 582 592 574 567 557 555 545 446 466 487 503 518 538 553 416 423 431 434 436 435 434 495 454 428 429 429 430 430 373 377 388 399 415 429 443 359 381 395 410 422 426 430 420 419 421 431 429 422 401 421 385 369 366 345 331 315 290 288 305 315 321 323 315 267 262 303 306 306 312 318 264 279 286 2% 296 306 316 298 298 292 287 283 279 283 295 282 275 263 249 236 244 160 187 199 208 205 211 218 269 263 210 209 211 211 214 398 416 416 433 442 429 438 2062 1675 1088 1273 1128 1047 1016 931 833 859 893 907 921 925 579 591 598 615 654 683 711 466 463 472 472 496 512 526 450 451 453 454 458 466 456 404 430 428 450 457 435 444 332 340 352 365 380 393 410 259 257 262 264 263 267 267 234 232 248 245 257 261 270 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appadix Table 3 (cootLned) 1950 1955 1960 1%5 1970 1971 1972 1973 Other Latin America 694 687 694 702 712 727 745 759 Honduras 963 936 959 1040 1100 1104 1106 1124 Haiti 569 564 554 515 486 506 530 539 Sundry Group 6 420 438 476 520 557 570 569 562 Communist countries 160 236 259 305 373 387 394 431 Communist Asia 160 236 259 305 373 387 394 431 China (Mainland) 155 233 254 298 367 383 391 431 Kampuchea 230 255 268 301 340 336 300 297 Vietnam 239 300 369 433 502 491 481 471 Laos 123 145 181 208 243 238 233 228 3304 3950 4478 5449 6547 6714 7010 7366 2327 2893 3490 4225 5115 5255 5432 5703 European Community 2650 3333 4095 4939 6000 6164 6376 6713 3872 4574 5068 6006 6925 7094 7388 7740 2380 2968 3602 4324 5229 5376 5559 5841 1214 1624 2123 2986 4494 4640 4923 5265 1097 1599 2301 3531 5704 5890 6319 6779 China (Mainland) 155 233 254 298 367 383 391 431 Warsaw Pact 1702 2081 2559 3015 3671 3784 3849 4066 USSR 1794 2182 2676 3155 3895 3986 4016 4265 Non-Soviet Warsaw Pact 1514 1869 2302 2693 3145 3307 3451 3590 Other Soviet associates 414 468 523 576 631 613 599 601 OPEC 342 421 518 566 756 891 937 1092 Affluent 1026 1290 1609 1874 2271 2540 2706 3112 Indigent 267 323 388 403 557 673 702 822 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 758 732 762 780 804 818 812 1095 1041 1083 1119 1167 1203 1188 554 542 562 567 573 570 567 437 447 439 467 512 539 555 438 460 451 480 528 557 573 261 249 256 263 268 274 274 461 229 245 244 244 250 247 223 145 201 207 211 216 214 4195 4259 4406 4520 4628 4639 4662 4387 4424 4573 4689 4795 4793 4822 3734 3863 4004 4111 4223 4267 4273 466 471 479 486 1517 1594 1678 1727 1704 1695 1669 4%9 4%8 5057 5122 5193 5432 5480 1050 1132 1212 1255 1215 1169 1130 ~,-,------- Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 4 Shares in the Planetary Product, Selected Years,1950-80 a 1950 1955 1960 1%5 1970 1971 1972 1973 World 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Non-Communist countries 80.43 79.19 78.06 78.39 78.13 78.12 78.50 78.37 Communist countries 19.57 20.81 21.94 21.61 21.87 21.88 21.50 21.63 Developed countries 80.13 79.80 79.58 79.98 78.96 78.44 78.48 78.07 Non-Communist countries 64.11 63.45 62.06 62.78 61.88 61.42 61.83 61.50 Communist countries 16.02 16.35 17.52 17.20 17.08 17.01 16.65 16.57 Less-developed countries 19.87 20.20 20.42 20.02 21.04 21.56 21.52 21.93 Non-Communist countries 16.32 15.74 16.00 15.61 16.26 16.70 16.67 16.87 Communist countries 3.55 4.46 4.42 4.41 4.78 4.86 4.84 5.06 US6733 or esere per capita (1979) 54.03 53.73 52.55 53.39 52.68 52.34 52.83 52.43 Non Communist countries 54.03 53.73 52.55 53.39 52.68 52.34 52.83 52.43 North America 34.72 33.20 30.25 29.73 27.18 26.84 27.08 26.74 United States 32.62 31.11 28.19 27.60 25.09 24.70 24.91 24.56 Canada 2.09 2.10 2.06 2.13 2.09 2.14 2.16 2.17 OECD-Europe 14.70 15.28 16.17 16.28 16.03 15.93 15.87 15.59 Sweden 1.21 1.11 1.06 1.07 1.01 .97 .94 .91 Germany (Federal Republic) 4.86 5.93 6.57 6.55 6.35 6.27 6.20 6.08 Denmark .61 .52 .52 .53 .52 .51 .51 .50 Switzerland .80 .79 .78 .79 .76 .76 .74 .72 Norway .42 .40 .38 .37 .35 .35 .35 .34 France 4.26 4.05 4.44 4.59 4.65 4.69 4.74 4.67 Luxembourg .05 .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Belgium .97 .89 .82 .82 .81 .80 .81 .81 Netherlands 1.07 1.07 1.05 1.04 1.06 1.06 1.04 1.03 Iceland .01 .02 .01 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 Austria .44 .47 .49 .47 .48 .48 .49 .48 1.32 1.24 1.22 1.20 1.26 1.27 1.25 1.23 1.32 1.24 1.22 1.20 1.26 1.27 1.25 1.23 OPEC .15 .19 .26 .32 .42 .50 .55 .65 Qatar .01 .01 .02 .02 .03 .03 .03 .04 Kuwait .05 .07 .10 .09 .09 .12 .13 .17 Saudi Arabia .06 .08 .11 .13 .16 .18 .21 .25 United Arab Emirates .01 .01 .02 .02 .05 .06 .06 .07 Libya .01 .01 .01 .06 .10 .11 .12 .12 ' Country group and country product, including Third World supplements, as percent of world total. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 78.21 77.89 78.19 78.15 77.94 78.06 78.02 21.79 22.11 21.81 21.85 22.06 21.94 21.98 77.10 76.31 76.48 76.14 75.88 75.72 75.21 60.40 59.43 59.67 59.44 59.30 59.46 59.06 16.70 16.88 16.81 16.70 16.57 16.26 16.15 22.90 23.69 23.52 23.86 24.12 24.28 24.79 17.81 18.46 18.52 18.71 18.64 18.61 18.96 5.09 5.23 5.00 5.15 5.48 5.67 5.82 51.23 50A7 50.76 50.69 50.62 50.74 50.35 25.63 25.09 25.31 25.47 25.53 25.33 24.79 23.45 22.91 23.12 23.31 23.38 23.19 22.69 2.18 2.17 2.19 2.16 2.15 2.14 2.10 15.39 15.03 15.03 14.76 14.60 14.68 14.63 .91 .91 .88 .82 .81 .82 .81 5.91 5.73 5.76 5.67 5.64 5.71 5.70 .48 .47 .48 .47 .46 .46 .45 .70 .65 .61 .60 .58 .57 .58 .35 .35 .36 .36 .36 .36 .37 4.65 4.60 4.61 4.55 4.51 4.51 4.48 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .82 .79 .80 .78 .76 .75 .75 1.03 1.01 1.01 1.00 .98 .97 .96 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .49 .47 .48 .47 .46 .47 .48 1.10 1.15 1.19 1.17 1.17 1.21 1.23 .04 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .25 .19 .18 .16 .16 .17 .16 .55 .66 .65 .66 .67 .70 .74 .07 .08 .09 .09 .08 .08 .08 .19 .17 .20 .21 .21 .20 .20 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 4 (continued) 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 3.13 3.80 4.63 5.83 7.76 7.76 8.06 8.20 3.13 3.80 4.63 5.83 7.76 7.76 8.06 8.20 Sundry Group 1 .02 .02 .02 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 US4489-US6732 per capia (1979) 21.24 21.12 21.% 21.30 21.00 20.69 20.20 20.20 Non-Communist countries 8.13 7.70 7.47 7.15 6.86 6.73 6.62 6.66 7.75 7.31 7.07 6.73 6.45 6.31 6.20 6.23 .30 .31 .30 .31 .31 .30 .31 .31 4.90 4.42 4.04 3.67 3.24 3.19 3.12 3.15 2.55 2.58 2.73 2.75 2.90 2.82 2.77 2.78 .27 .25 .25 .24 .22 .21 .21 .21 .27 .25 .25 .24 .22 .21 .21 .21 .06 .09 .11 .13 .15 .16 .17 .17 .06 .09 .11 .13 .15 .16 .17 .17 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Sundry Group 2 .04 .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Communist countries 13.11 13.42 14.49 4.15 14.13 13.96 13.58 13.54 Communist Europe 13.11 13.42 14.49 14.15 14.13 13.96 13.58 13.54 Germany (Democratic Republic) 1.08 1.15 1.19 1.06 .96 .94 .93 .90 Czechoslovakia 1.04 .95 1.05 .92 .85 .84 .83 .80 USSR 10.99 11.32 12.26 12.17 12.32 12.18 11.82 11.85 US2245-US4488 per capita (1979) 4.86 4.94 5.07 5.29 5.28 5.40 5.45 5.44 Non-Communist countries 1.95 2.02 2.04 2.24 2.33 2.35 2.38 2.41 OECD-Europe 1.21 1.23 1.18 1.36 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.46 Ireland .16 .14 .12 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 Greece .17 .18 .19 .22 .24 .25 .26 .26 Spain .89 .91 .87 1.02 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.09 Other Europe .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Cyprus .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .02 .01 Malta .01 .01 .01 .00 .01 .01 .01 .01 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 6.10 5.90 5.89 5.74 5.67 5.67 5.62 .31 .31 .29 .28 .27 .29 .29 3.00 2.93 2.90 2.82 2.80 2.74 2.64 2.79 2.66 2.69 2.63 2.59 2.64 2.69 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 13.61 13.69 13.59 13.50 13.35 13.06 13.00 .91 .93 .91 .90 .89 .88 .88 .80 .82 .79 .79 .77 .75 .75 11.90 11.94 11.90 11.80 11.69 11.43 11.36 5.73 5.112 S.A2 4.82 5.86 5.89 5.87 1.47 1.48 1.46 1.44 1.43 1.41 1.40 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 24 .25 .26 .26 .26 .26 .26 1.11 1.11 1.09 1.07 1.06 1.03 1.03 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 4 (continued) .41 .43 .48 .47 .46 .48 .48 .50 Gabon .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Venezuela .29 .31 .35 .34 .33 .34 .34 .35 Iraq .10 .11 .12 .13 .13 .13 .13 .13 Other Asia .09 .11 .12 .15 .19 .19 .20 .20 Singapore .04 .04 .04 .04 .06 .06 .07 .07 Hong Kong .05 .06 .07 .10 .12 .12 .12 .12 Bahrain .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Other Latin America .17 .18 .19 .18 .17 .17 .17 .17 Puerto Rico, et al. .14 .14 .14 .13 .12 .13 .13 .13 Trinidad and Tobago .02 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .03 Barbados .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Communist Europe 2.91 2.93 3.03 3.05 2.95 3.05 3.08 3.03 Romania .55 .60 .60 .63 .63 .68 .69 .67 Poland 1.22 1.19 1.21 1.17 1.11 1.14 1.17 1.17 Hungary .45 .46 .45 .43 .39 .39 .38 .37 Bulgaria .22 .23 .26 .28 .28 .28 .28 .27 Yugoslavia .47 .45 .51 .54 .54 .56 .56 .54 6.30 6.29 6.60 6.63 7.10 7.41 7.65 7.91 6.01 6.05 6.38 6.42 6.92 7.25 7.50 7.75 .18 .19 .19 .21 .22 .22 .23 .24 .18 .19 .19 .21 .22 .22 .23 .24 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .53 .58 .66 .56 .64 .77 .85 .97 .34 .36 .39 .36 .41 .57 .63 .73 .19 .22 .27 .20 .23 .20 .22 .24 Other Africa .62 .57 .56 .60 .62 .63 .63 .61 South Africa .57 .52 .52 .55 .56 .57 .56 .54 Tunisia .05 .05 .05 .06 .06 .06 .07 .07 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 .73 .71 .69 .71 .72 .77 .79 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .48 .44 .41 .43 .44 .44 .45 .22 .25 .25 .25 .26 .31 .32 .20 .20 .22 .23 .24 .26 .28 .08 .08 .08 .08 .09 .09 .10 .12 .12 .13 .14 .15 .16 .17 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .17 .16 .16 .16 .16 .16 .16 .13 .12 .12 .11 .12 .12 .12 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 3.09 3.19 3.21 - 3.20 3.22 3.21 3.16 .69 .71 .76 .76 .77 .78 .79 1.20 1.24 1.23 1.22 1.21 1.18 1.11 .37 .37 .36 .36 .36 .35 .35 .27 .29 .28 .27 .27 .26 .27 .57 .58 .58 .60 .61 .64 .64 8.44 8.65 8.80 5.79 8.68 8.73 8.81 8.28 8.49 8.63 8.62 8.52 8.57 8.64 .23 .22 .22 .22 .22 .22 .23 .23 .22 .22 .22 .22 .22 .23 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 1.25 1.34 1.44 1.41 1.22 1.03 .83 .98 1.05 1.15 1.13 .92 .72 .50 .28 .29 .29 .28 .30 .31 .32 .64 .65 .64 .62 .61 .61 .64 .57 .58 .56 .54 .53 .53 .55 .07 .08 .08 .08 .08 .09 .09 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 4 (continued) 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1971 1972 1973 Other Asia .53 .56 .55 .61 .73 .76 .78 .83 China (Taiwan) .13 .16 .17 .20 .24 .26 .28 .29 Malaysia .16 .15 .14 .15 .16 .16 .16 .17 Korea (South) .24 .25 .24 .26 .33 .34 .34 .37 Other Latin America 4.10 4.10 4.37 4.40 4.67 4.83 4.97 5.06 Argentina .89 .81 .80 .78 .75 .76 .75 .74 Brazil 1.37 1.48 1.66 1.62 1.83 1.98 2.11 2.25 Mexico 1.07 1.05 1.14 1.24 1.35 1.34 1.37 1.38 Suriname .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Chile .31 .28 .29 .29 .27 .28 .27 .24 Jamaica .05 .06 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .06 Costa Rica .03 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 Uruguay .11 .12 .10 .08 .07 .06 .06 .06 Panama .03 .02 .03 .03 .03 .03 .04 .04 Peru .23 .24 .24 .26 .25 .25 .26 .25 Sundry Group 4 .04 .04 .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .03 Communist Latin America .28 .25 .22 .20 .18 .16 .16 .16 Cuba USS62-US1122 per capita (1979) 2.80 2.85 2.90 2.92 2.99 3.12 3.11 3.12 Non-Communist countries 2.69 2.68 2.70 2.70 2.76 2.88 2.86 2.86 .43 .46 .48 .46 .49 .51 .52 .51 .43 .46 .48 .46 .49 .51 .52 .51 .03 .02 .02 .02 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .02 .02 .02 .03 .03 .03 .03 .43 .46 .51 .48 .48 .54 .49 .50 .08 .07 .07 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .35 .39 .44 .40 .40 .46 .41 .42 Other Africa .47 .42 .38 .37 .36 .36 .36 .36 Ivory Coast .08 .07 .07 .08 .09 .09 .09 .08 Mauritius .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Morocco .25 .23 .19 .18 .17 .17 .17 .17 Congo .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Angola .10 .09 .09 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 .84 .87 .94 .98 1.05 1.09 1.08 .28 .29 .30 .31 .34 .36 .37 .17 .18 .19 .19 .20 .21 .22 .38 .41 .45 .47 .51 .52 .49 5.27 5.36 5.36 5.35 5.37 5.57 5.82 76 .74 .69 .69 .64 .67 .65 2.39 2.49 2.60 2.61 2.66 2.74 2.90 1.41 1.45 1.41 1.40 1.44 1.51 1.59 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .24 .21 .20 .21 .22 .23 .24 06 .06 .05 .05 .05 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .06 .06 .04 .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .04 .26 .27 .26 .25 .24 .24 .24 .17 .17 .17 .16 .16 .16 .16 .17 .17 .17 .16 .16 .16 .16 3.36 3.57 3.62 3.71 3.75 3.80 3.91 .62 .69 .73 .79 .80 .83 .89 .10 .11 .11 .11 .11 .12 .12 .52 .58 .62 .68 .69 .71 .77 .37 .37 .37 .36 .36 .36 .36 .08 .09 .10 .10 .10 .10 .11 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .18 .18 .18 .18 .18 .18 .18 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .08 .08 .07 .06 .06 .05 .05 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 4 (continued) Other Asia .66 .67 .68 .75 .76 .78 .79 .80 Syria .09 .08 .07 .08 .08 .09 .09 .08 Jordan .01 .02 .02 .03 .03 .02 .02 .02 Thailand .24 .22 .23 .25 .30 .31 .31 .32 Philippines .27 .31 .32 .35 .32 .33 .33 .34 Yemen (North) .05 .05 .04 .04 .03 .03 .04 .04 .66 .63 .61 .61 .63 .63 .65 .65 .09 .08 .08 .08 .09 .09 .09 .09 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .07 .07 .07 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 Paraguay .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Colombia .30 .30 .29 .29 .30 .30 .31 .31 Nicaragua .03 .03 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 Guyana .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Bolivia .08 .06 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 El Salvador .05 .05 .04 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .01 .01 .01 .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 .11 .17 .20 .23 .23 .24 .25 .26 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Communist Asia .08 .13 .17 .20 .20 .21 .22 .23 Korea (North) .07 .12 .14 .17 .18 .19 .20 .21 Mongolia .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Non-communist countries 7.62 7.02 6.92 6.49 6.57 6.57 6.32 6.26 .36 .33 .32 .33 .54 .65 .66 .77 Other Africa 2.24 2.08 2.09 2.04 1.95 1.96 1.91 1.81 Liberia .03 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Egypt .48 .43 .40 .46 .44 .44 .41 .37 Swaziland .00 .00 .00 .00 .01 .01 .01 .01 Ghana .17 .14 .22 .20 .17 .18 .17 .17 Zimbabwe (Rhodesia) .06 .09 .08 .09 .09 .09 .10 .09 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 .83 .89 .91 .93 .95 .98 1.01 .10 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .02 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .04 .32 .34 .35 .36 .38 .39 .40 .35 .36 .37 .38 .38 .40 .41 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .68 .69 .70 .72 .73 .73 .75 .09 .09 .09 .10 .10 .11 .11 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .09 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .05 .32 .33 .33 .34 .35 .36 .37 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .03 .03 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .04 .24 .26 .24 .23 .24 .24 .24 .23 .24 .22 .21 .22 .22 .23 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 11.10 11.47 11.10 11.37 11.70 11.75 12.07 .97 1.07 1.09 1.12 1.15 1.17 1.23 .97 1.07 1.09 1.12 1.15 1.17 1.23 1.85 1.80 1.71 1.72 1.69 1.68 1.70 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .39 .39 .36 .41 .42 .44 .47 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .17 .15 .14 .13 .12 .12 .12 .10 .10 .09 .08 .07 .07 .07 - Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 4 (condoned) Zambia .07 .08 .08 .09 .08 .07 .08 .07 Cameroon .12 .09 .08 .07 .08 .08 .08 .08 Botswana .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 Senegal .11 .10 .09 .08 .06 .06 .06 .06 Sudan .20 .19 .19 .17 .13 .13 .14 .13 Madagascar .13 .11 .09 .08 .08 .07 .07 .06 Togo .02 .01 .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Mauritania .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Kenya .10 .09 .09 .08 .09 .09 .10 .09 Benin .03 .03 .03 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Uganda .13 .12 .11 .10 .10 .10 .10 .09 Mozambique .07 .06 .09 .08 .08 .09 .09 .09 Gambia, The .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 Siam Leone .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Lesotho .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Tanzania .07 .07 .07 .06 .07 .07 .07 .07 Guinea .04 .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Malawi .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Rwanda .03 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Central African Republic .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Zaire .10 .10 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 Burundi .03 .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Niger .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .01 Upper Volta .03 .03 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Ethiopia .08 .09 .10 .10 .09 .09 .09 .09 Somalia .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Mali .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Chad .03 .03 .02 .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 Other Asia 4.89 4.49 4.40 4.02 3.99 3.87 3.65 3.59 Lebanon .06 .06 .05 .05 .05 .05 .06 .06 Yemen (South) .03 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Sri Lanka .10 .09 .10 .09 .09 .09 .09 .08 Pakistan .38 .35 .33 .35 .38 .37 .35 .35 Afghanistan 11 .10 .09 .08 .07 .07 .07 .06 India 3.70 3.41 3.36 3.02 2.99 2.90 2.74 2.69 Burma .12 .13 .14 .14 .12 .12 .11 .11 Nepal .06 .05 .05 .05 .04 .04 .04 .04 Bangladesh .31 .27 .26 .22 .24 .22 .18 .18 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 .07 .07 .07 .06 .06 .05 .05 .08 .08 .08 .07 .08 .08 .08 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .06 .05 .05 .05 .04 .04 .04 .13 .13 .13 .13 .13 .13 .13 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .05 .05 .02 .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 '.01 .01 .01 .01 .10 .09 .10 .09 .09 .09 .09 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02. .02 .02 .08 .08 .08 .08 .07 .07 .07 .09 .08 .07 .06 .06 .05 .05 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .11 .10 .10 .09 .09 .08 .08 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .02 .01 .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .09 .09 .09 .08 .08 .08 .08 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 3.55 3.74 3.65 3.72 3.72 3.58 3.66 .06 .05 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .02 .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .08 .09 .08 .08 .09 .09 .09 .37 .37 .37 .36 .38 .39 .40 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 2.62 2.82 2.73 2.81 2.79 2.63 2.68 .11 .11 .11 .11 .12 .12 .13 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 ---r-..--.- Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 4 (continued) 1950 1955 1960 1%5 1970 1971 1972 1973 Other Latin America .11 .09 .08 .08 .07 .07 .07 .07 Honduras .05 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 Haiti .06 .05 .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .03 Sundry Group 6 .03 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Communist countries 3.15 4.05 4.00 3.99 4.38 4.46 4.43 4.64 Communist Asia 3.15 4.05 4.00 3.99 4.38 4.46 4.43 4.64 China (Mainland) 2.89 3.77 3.70 3.67 4.06 4.15 4.14 4.37 Kampuchea .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .02 Vietnam .22 .23 .26 .28 .28 .27 .26 .24 Laos .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 OECD-total 63.71 62.97 61.43 62.04 61.04 60.50 60.86 60.40 OECD-Europe 24.28 24.48 25.09 25.03 24.62 24.41 24.27 24.02 European Community 19.43 19.65 20.33 20.09 19.67 19.48 19.34 19.16 NATO-total 55.21 53.96 51.71 50.98 48.06 47.56 47.67 47.15 NATO-Europe 20.49 20.75 21.46 21.25 20.87 20.72 20.60 20.41 China (Mainland) 2.89 3.77 3.70 3.67 4.06 4.15 4.14 4.37 Warsaw Pact 15.55 15.90 17.01 16.66 16.54 16.45 16.09 16.03 USSR 10.99 11.32 12.26 12.17 12.32 12.18 11.82 11.85 Non-Soviet Warsaw Pact 4.56 4.58 4.75 4.49 4.22 4.27 4.28 4.18 Other Soviet associates .56 .54 .55 .54 .52 .49 .47 .45 OPEC 1.88 1.99 2.23 2.16 2.54 2.94 3.03 3.39 Affluent .55 .62 .74 .79 .88 .98 1.02 1.14 Indigent 1.32 1.37 1.49 1.37 1.65 1.96 2.00 2.25 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 .07 .06 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 0.2 4.65 4.77 4.56 4.73 5.05 5.24 5.39 4.65 4.77 4.56 4.73 5.05 5.24 5.39 4.39 4.64 4.42 4.58 4.91 5.10 5.25 .02 .02 .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .23 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 58.64 57.65 57.90 57.66 57.49 57.52 57.06 23.73 23.19 23.19 22.76 22.52 22.56 22.45 45.72 44.73 45.04 44.87 44.76 44.60 43.94 20.09 19.64 19.73 19.40 19.23 19.27 19.15 9.95 10.06 10.15 10.21 10.29 10.51 10.69 7.85 7.92 7.97 8.05 8.11 8.30 8.48 16.13 16.30 16.23 16.10 15.96 15.63 15.51 11.90 11.94 11.90 11.80 11.69 11.43 11.36 4.24 4.35 4.33 4.30 4.26 4.20 4.15 4.67 4.97 5.13 5.20 5.06 5.01 4.97 1.83 1.87 1.88 1.88 1.89 1.98 2.02 2.85 3.11 3.26 3.32 3.16 3.03 2.95 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 5 Shares in the Planetary Population, Selected Years, 1950-80 World 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Non-Communist countries 65.07 64.94 64.95 65.55 65.29 65.28 65.30 65.35 Communist countries 34.93 35.06 35.05 34.45 34.71 34.72 34.70 34.65 Developed countries 33.58 32.70 31.68 30.72 29.07 28.77 28.48 28.21 Non-Communist countries 22.30 21.65 20.91 20.29 19.25 19.06 18.89 18.72 Communist countries 11.28 11.06 10.77 10.43 9.82 9.71 9.60 9.49 Less-developed countries 66.42 67.30 68.32 69.28 70.93 71.23 71.52 71.79 Non-Communist countries 42.76 43.29 44.04 45.26 46.04 46.22 46.41 46.63 Communist countries 23.65 24.01 24.29 24.01 24.89 25.01 25.10 25.17 US6733 or same per capita (1979) 15.86 15.51 15.05 14.64 13.90 13.77 13.64 13.52 Non-Communist countries 15.86 15.51 15.05 14.64 13.90 13.77 13.64 13.52 North America 6.57 6.55 6.49 6.38 6.07 6.01 5.95 5.90 United States 6.03 5.99 5.91 5.79 5.50 5.44 5.39 5.34 Canada .54 .57 .59 .59 .57 .57 .56 .56 OECD-Europe 5.43 5.16 4.91 4.74 4.43 4.38 4.33 4.27 Sweden .28 .26 .24 .23 .22 .21 .21 .21 Germany (Federal Republic) 1.98 1.89 1.81 1.75 1.63 1.61 1.59 1.57 Denmark .17 .16 .15 .14 .13 .13 .13 .13 Switzerland .19 .18 .18 .18 .17 .17 .16 .16 Norway .13 .12 .12 .11 .10 .10 .10 .10 France 1.66 1.57 1.49 1.45 1.36 1.35 1.33 1.32 Luxembourg .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Belgium .34 .32 .30 .28 .26 .25 .25 .25 Netherlands .40 .39 .38 .37 .35 .35 .34 .34 Iceland .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Austria .27 .25 .23 .22 .20 .20 .19 .19 .33 .33 .34 .34 .34 .34 .34 .34 .33 .33 .34 .34 .34 .34 .34 .34 OPEC .20 .21 .21 .23 .25 .25 .25 .25 Qatar .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 Kuwait .01 .01 .01 .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 Saudi Arabia .15 .15 .16 .16 .17 .16 .16 .16 United Arab Emirates .00 .00 .00 .00 .01 .01 .01 .01 Libya .04 .04 .04 .05 .05 .05 .05 .06 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Country-Group and Country Population As Percent of World Total 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 65.40 65.47 65.58 65.70 65.83 65.96 66.01 34.60 34.53 34.42 34.30 34.17 34.04 33.99 27.93 27.67 27.40 27.15 26.91 26.67 26.41 18.55 18.38 18.20 18.04 17.88 17.72 17.55 9.39 9.29 9.20 9.12 9.03 8.95 8.85 72.07 72.33 72.60 72.85 73.09 73.33 73.59 46.85 47.10 47.38 47.66 47.95 48.23 48.45 25.22 25.24 25.22 25.19 25.14 25.10 25.14 13.39 13.27 13.13 13.00 12.88 12.76 12.63 5.85 5.81 5.77 5.73 5.69 5.65 5.61 5.30 5.25 5.22 5.18 5.14 5.11 5.07 .56 .55 .55 .55 .54 .54 .53 4.20 4.13 4.06 3.99 3.93 3.87 3.81 .20 .20 .20 .19 .19 .19 .19 1.54 1.50 1.47 1.44 1.41 1.39 1.37 13 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .11 .16 .16 .15 .15 .15 .14 .14 .10 .10 .10 .09 .09 .09 .09 1.30 1.28 1.26 1.25 1.23 1.21 1.19 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 24 .24 .23 .23 .23 .22 .22 .34 .33'0 .33 .33 .32 .32 .31 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .19 .18 .18 .18 .17 .17 .17 .02 .02 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .16 .16 .16 .16 .16 .16 .16 .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .06 .06 .06 .06 .07 .07 .07 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table S (continued) 3.32 3.24 3.08 2.95 2.80 2.78 2.76 2.75 3.32 3.24 3.08 2.95 2.80 2.78 2.76 2.75 Sundry Group 1 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 US4489-US6732 per capita (1979) 12.51 12.11 11.68 11.29 10.58 10.45 10.32 10.21 Non-Communist countries 4.16 3.91 3.67 3.48 3.23 3.18 3.14 3.10 OECD-Europe 4.02 3.75 3.50 3.30 3.05 3.01 2.96 2.92 Finland .16 .15 .14 .14 .12 .12 .12 .12 United Kingdom 1.99 1.85 1.72 1.62 1.49 1.46 1.44 1.41 Italy 1.86 1.75 1.64 1.55 1.44 1.42 1.40 1.39 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .07 .07 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .07 .07 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 Sundry Group 2 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Communist countries 8.35 8.19 8.01 7.81 7.36 7.27 7.19 7.11 Communist Europe 8.35 - 8.19 8.01 7.81 7.36 7.27 7.19 7.11 Germany (Democratic Republic) .73 .64 .56 .51 .46 .45 .44 .43 Czechoslovakia .49 .47 .45 .42 .38 .38 .37 .37 USSR 7.13 7.08 7.01 6.88 6.51 6.44 6.38 6.31 US2245-US4488 per capita (1979) 5.21 5.09 4.95 4.79 4.59 4.55 4.51 4.48 Non-Communist countries 2.28 2.22 2.19 2.17 2.12 2.11 2.11 2.10 OECD-Europe 1.53 1.45 1.36 1.30 1.22 1.21 1.19 1.18 Ireland .12 .11 .09 .09 .08 .08 .08 .08 Greece .30 .29 .27 .25 .24 .23 .23 .23 Spain 1.11 1.05 1.00 .96 .91 .90 .89 .88 Other Europe .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .02 .02 .02 Cyprus .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Malta .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Country-Group and Country Population As Percent of World Total 2.73 2.71 2.69 2.67 2.65 2.63 2.61 2.73 2.71 2.69 2.67 2.65 2.63 2.61 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 10.09 9.97 9.86 9.75 9.65 9.54 9.43 2.88 2.83 2.79 2.75 2.71 2.67 2.63 .12 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 1.39 1.36 1.34 1.31 1.29 1.27 1.25 1.37 1.36 1.34 1.33 1.31 1.29 1.27 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .08 .08 .08 .08 .09 .09 .09 .08 .08 .08 .08 .09 .09 .09 .00 .00 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .00 .00 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 7.03 6.% 6.89 6.83 6.76 6.70 6.63 7.03 6.% 6.89 6.83 6.76 6.70 6.63 .42 .41 .40 .39 .39 .38 .37 .36 .36 .36 .35 .35 .35 .34 6.25 6.19 6.13 6.08 6.03 5.98 5.92 4.45 4.43 4.41 4.40 4.38 4.36 4.34 1.17 1.16 1.15 1.15 1.14 1.13 1.12 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .22 .22 .22 .22 .22 .21 .21 .87 .86 .86 .85 .85 .84 .84 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 _~w. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 5 (continued) OPEC .42 .45 .49 .52 .55 .56 .57 .58 Gabon .02 .02 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Venezuela .20 .22 .25 .27 .29 .29 .30 .30 Iraq .20 .21 .22 .24 .25 .26 .26 .27 Other Asia .13 .14 .16 .17 .17 .17 .17 .17 Singapore .04 .05 .05 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 Hong Kong .09 .09 .10 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 Bahrain .00 .00 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Other Latin America .12 .12 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 Puerto Rico, et at. .09 .08 .08 .08 .07 .07 .07 .07 Trinidad and Tobago .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Barbados .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Sundry Group 3 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 Communist countries 2.93 2.86 2.75 2.62 2.47 2.44 2.41 2.38 Communist Europe 2.93 2.86 2.75 2.62 2.47 2.44 2.41 2.38 Romania .65 .63 .60 .57 .54 .54 .53 .53 Poland .98 .98 .97 .93 .87 .86 .85 .84 Hungary .37 .35 .33 .30 .28 .27 .27 .26 Bulgaria .29 .27 .26 .24 .23 .22 .22 .22 Yugoslavia .65 .63 .60 .58 .55 .54 .54 .53 US1123-US2244 per capita (1979) 8.32 8.51 8.79 9.15 9.36 9.40 9.44 9.48 Non-Communist countries 8.09 8.28 8.57 8.91 9.13 9.17 9.21 9.25 1.01 1.03 1.06 1.10 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.18 .65 .68 .71 .74 .78 .78 .79 .79 .36 .36 .36 .36 .37 .37 .38 .38 Other Africa .68 .69 .70 .72 .74 .74 .75 .75 South Africa .54 .55 .56 .58 .60 .61 .61 .61 Tunisia .14 .14 .14 .14 .14 .14 .14 .14 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Country-Group and Country Population As Percent of World Total .59 .60 .61 .62 .63 .64 .65 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .30 .31 .31 .32 .32 .33 .33 .27 .27 .28 .28 .29 .29 .30 .17 .17 .17 .17 .17 .17 .17 .06 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 2.35 2.33 2.31 2.29 2.27 2.25 2.22 .52 .52 .51 .51 .50 .50 .50 .83 .83 .82 .81 .81 .80 .79 .26 .26 .25 .25 .25 .24 .24 .22 .21 .21 .21 .20 .20 .20 .52 .52 .52 .51 .51 .50 .50 9.53 9.58 9.64 9.69 9.74 9.79 9.83 1.19 1.20 1.22 1.23 1.25 1.26 1.28 .80 .81 .82 .83 .84 .85 .86 .39 .39 .39 .40 .41 .41 .42 .75 .76 .76 .77 .77 .77 .78 .62 .62 .62 .63 .63 .63 .63 .14 .14 .14 .14 .14 .14 .14 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table S (continued) Other Asia 1.41 1.39 1.46 1.54 1.57 1.57 1.58 1.58 China (Taiwan) .32 .34 .37 .39 .39 .39 .39 .39 Malaysia .25 .26 .28 .29 .29 .29 .30 .30 Korea (South) .84 .79 .82 .87 .88 .89 .89 .89 Other Latin America 4.62 4.81 5.00 5.23 5.39 5.41 5.44 5.47 Argentina .68 .68 .67 .66 .64 .63 .63 .63 Brazil 2.12 2.23 2.34 2.48 .2.57 2.58 2.60 2.61 Mexico 1.06 1.11 1.18 1.27 1.34 1.36 1.37 1.39 Suriname .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Chile .24 .24 .25 .25 .25 .25 .25 .25 Jamaica .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 Costa Rica .03 .04 .04 .04 .05 .05 .05 .05 Uruguay .09 .08 .08 .08 .08 .07 .07 .07 Panama .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 Peru .31 .32 .33 .35 .36 .36 .37 .37 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 Communist Latin America .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 Cuba .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 .23 USS62-US1122 per Capita (1979) 6.39 6.59 6.90 7.23 7.50 7.56 7.62 7.68 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .07 .07 .07 Papua New Guinea .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .07 .07 .07 1.45 1.48 1.53 1.60 1.67 1.69 1.71 1.72 .13 .14 .14 .15 .16 .16 .16 .16 1.32 1.34 1.39 1.45 1.51 1.53 1.54 1.56 Other Africa .70 .71 .73 .75 .78 .78 .79 .80 Ivory Coast .11 .11 .12 .13 .15 .15 .15 .16 Mauritius .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Morocco .37 .39 .41 .42 .43 .43 .43 .43 Congo .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Angola .16 .16 .16 .15 .15 .15 .15 .15 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Country-Group and Country Population As Percent of World Total 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1.58 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.60 .39 .39 .39 .39 .40 .40 .40 .30 .30 .30 .31 .31 .31 .31 .89 .89 .89 .89 .89 .89 .89 5.50 5.53 5.57 5.60 5.63 5.67 5.69 .62 .62 .62 .62 .62 .62 .62 2.62 2.64 2.65 2.67 2.69 2.70 2.71 1.41 1.43 1.45 1.46 1.48 1.49 1.50 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .25 .25 .25 .25 .25 .25 .25 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .23 .23 .23 .23 .22 .22 .22 .23 .23 .23 .23 .22 .22 .22 7.74 7.81 7.88 7.95 8.03 8.11 8.16 .99 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.02 1.74 1.77 1.79 1.81 1.84 1.87 1.90 .17 .17 .17 .17 .17 .18 .18 1.58 1.60 1.62 1.64 1.67 1.69 1.72 .80 .81 .81 .82 .83 .84 .85 .16 .16 .17 .17 .17 .18 .18 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .44 .44 .45 .45 .46 .46 .47 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .15 .14 .14 .15 .15 .15 .15 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 5 (continued) 1950 1955 1960 1%5 1970 1971 1972 1973 Other Asia 1.92 2.03 2.13 2.26 2.35 2.37 2.39 2.40 Syria .14 .14 .15 .16 .17 .17 .17 .18 Jordan .05 .05 .05 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 Thailand .79 .85 .90 .96 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 Philippines .82 .87 .91 .97 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03 Yemen (North) .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 Other Latin America .98 1.03 1.08 1.14 1.18 1.19 1.20 1.20 Guatemala .12 .12 .13 .14 .14 .14 .14 .15 Dominican Republic .09 .10 .10 .11 .12 .12 .12 .12 Belize .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 Paraguay .06 .06 .06 .06 .07 .07 .07 .07 Colombia .46 .49 .52 .56 .58 .58 .58 .58 Nicaragua .04 .04 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 Guyana .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Bolivia .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 El Salvador .08 .08 .08 .09 .10 .10 .10 .10 .44 .40 .43 .45 .47 .48 .48 .48 Communist Europe .05 .05 .05 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 Albania .05 .05 .05 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 Communist Asia .39 .35 .38 .40 .41 .42 .42 .43 Korea (North) .36 .32 .35 .36 .38 .38 .39 .39 Mongolia .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 USS61 or lea per capita (1979) 51.71 52.20 52.63 52.90 54.07 54.28 54.46 54.63 Non-Communist countries 28.73 28.83 29.00 29.57 29.88 29.97 30.07 30.18 Other Africa 5.52 5.60 5.70 5.88 6.01 6.05 6.09 6.13 Liberia .03 .03 .03 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 Egypt .81 .83 .85 .88 .89 .89 .89 .89 Swaziland .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Ghana .21 .22 .23 .24 .24 .24 .24 .24 Zimbabwe (Rhodesia) .11 .12 .13 .14 .15 .15 .15 .15 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Country-Group and Country Population As Percent of World Total 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 2.42 2.44 2.46 2.48 2.50 2.52 2.52 .18 .18 .18 .19 .19 .19 .19 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.08 .12 .11 .11 .12 .12 .12 .12 1.21 1.22 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.25 .15 .15 .15 .15 .15 .16 .16 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .13 .13 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .58 .59 .59 .59 .59 .59 .60 .05 .05 .05 .05 .06 .05 .05 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .11 .11 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 .11 .11 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .43 .44 .44 .45 .45 .46 .47 .40 .40 .41 .41 .42 .42 .43 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 54.80 54.95 55.09 55.20 55.32 55.44 55.60 30.30 30.43 30.59 30.75 30.91 31.08 31.21 6.18 6.23 6.30 6.36 6.43 6.51 6.57 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .89 .90 .90 .91 .92 .93 .94 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .25 .25 .25 .26 .26 .27 .27 .16 .16 .16 .16 .16 .16 .17 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 5 (continued) 1950 1955 1960 1%5 1970 1971 1972 1973 Zambia .10 .10 .11 .11 .11 .12 .12 .12 Cameroon .19 .19 .18 .18 .18 .18 .18 .18 Botswana .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 Senegal .11 .11 .11 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 Sudan .32 .33 .34 .35 .36 .37 .37 .38 Madagascar .18 As .18 .18 .18 .18 .18 .18 Togo .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 Mauritania .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Kenya .24 .25 .27 .28 .30 .31 .31 .32 Benin .06 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 Uganda .22 .23 .24 .25 .26 .27 .27 .27 Mozambique .23 .22 .22 .22 .22 .22 .22 .22 Gambia, The .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 Sierra Leone .08 .08 .08 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 Lesotho .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Tanzania .33 .33 .34 .35 .36 .36 .36 .37 Guinea .10 .10 .10 .10 .11 .11 .11 .11 Malawi .11 .11 .11 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 Rwanda .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 Central African Republic .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 Zaire .52 .52 .53 .56 .58 .59 .59 .60 Burundi .09 .09 .09 .10 .10 .10 .09 .09 Niger .09 .09 .10 .11 .11 .11 .11 Al Upper Volta .15 .15 .15 .15 .15 .15 .15 .15 Ethiopia .64 .65 .66 .67 .68 .69 .69 .69 Somalia .07 .07 .07 .07 .08 .08 .08 .08 Mali .13 .13 .13 .14 .14 .14 .14 .14 Chad .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 Other Asia 19.66 19.69 19.75 20.07 20.30 20.35 20.40 20.46 Lebanon .05 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 Yemen (South) .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 Sri Lanka .30 .31 .32 .33 .34 .34 .34 .33 Pakistan 1.56 1.60 1.65 1.71 1.76 1.77 1.79 1.80 Afghanistan .31 .31 .32 .32 .32 .32 .32 .33 India 14.64 14.59 14.58 14.74 14.86 14.88 14.91 14.94 Burma .71 .71 .71 .72 .73 .73 .73 .73 Nepal .36 .34 .33 .32 .32 .32 .32 .32 Bangladesh 1.69 1.72 1.75 1.82 1.87 1.88 1.88 1.90 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Country-Group and Country Population As Percent of World Total .12 .12 .12 .12 .13 .13 .13 .18 .18 .18 .19 .19 .19 .19 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .02 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .13 .13 .38 .39 .39 .40 .41 .41 .42 .18 .18 .19 .19 .19 .19 .19 .05 .05 .06 .06 .06 .06 .06 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .32 .33 .33 .34 .35 .36 .36 .07 .07 .07 .08 .08 .08 .08 .28 .28 .29 .29 .29 .30 .31 .22 .22 .22 .22 .23 .23 .23 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .08 .08 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .37 .37 .38 .38 .39 .39 .40 .11 .11 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .13 .13 .13 .13 .13 .13 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .11 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .06 .60 .61 .62 .62 .63 .64 .64 09 .09 .09 .09 .09 .10 .10 .11 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .15 '.15 .15 .15 .15 .15 .15 .70 .70 .70 .71 .72 .72 .73 .OE .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .14 .14 .14 .14 .15 .15 .15 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 .10 20.51 20.59 20.68 20.76 20.84 20.91 20.97 .06 .06 .07 .07 .07 .07 .07 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .04 .33 .33 .33 .33 .33 .33 .33 1.81 1.83 1.85 1.87 1.89 1.91 1.93 .33 .33 .33 .33 .33 .33 .33 14.97 15.00 15.05 15.09 15.11 15.14 15.15 .74 .74 .75 .75 .76 .76 .77 .32 .32 .32 .33 .33 .33 .33 1.91 1.93 1.94 1.96 1.98 2.00 2.02 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 5 (continued) Other Latin America .18 .18 .19 .19 .20 .20 .20 20 Honduras .06 .06 .06 .07 .07 .07 .07 . 07 Haiti .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 .12 . 12 . 22.98 23.37 23.63 23.33 24.19 24.31 24.40 24 45 22.98 23.37 23.63 23.33 24.19 24.31 24.40 . 24 45 China (Mainland) 21.67 22.07 22.28 21.93 22.76 22.89 22.97 . 23 03 Kampuchea .16 .17 .18 .18 .19 .19 .19 . 18 Vietnam 1.07 1.06 1.09 1.14 1.15 1.15 1.16 . 1 16 Laos .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 . 08 20.98 20.30 19.20 19.00 18.81 . 18 63 9.79 9.68 . 9 57 European Community 8.53 8.04 7.59 6.66 6.57 . 6.48 21.67 22.07 22.28 21.93 22.76 22.89 22.97 23 03 Warsaw Pact 10.63 10.42 10.16 9.85 9.28 9.17 9.06 . 8 96 USSR 7.13 7.08 7.01 6.88 6.51 6.44 6.38 . 6 31 Non-Soviet Warsaw Pact 3.50 3.35 3.16 2.97 2.76 2.72 2.68 . 2 65 1.68 . 1 68 OPEC 6.38 6.45 6.59 6.80 6.91 6.95 6.99 . 7.04 Affluent .63 .66 .70 .75 .80 .81 .82 83 Indigent 5.75 5.79 5.88 6.05 6.11 6.14 6.17 . 6.21 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Country-Group and Country Population As Percent of World Total .20 .20 .20 .21 .21 .21 .21 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .12 .13 .13 .13 .13 .13 .13 .08 .09 .09 .09 .09 .09 .09 24.50 24.51 24.49 24.45 24.41 24.35 24.39 24.50 24.51 24.49 24.45 24.41 24.35 24.39 23.08 23.11 23.10 23.06 23.01 22.96 23.00 .18 .16 .15 .14 .14 .13 .13 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.17 1.18 1.18 1.19 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 .08 18.45 18.27 18.09 17.92 17.75 17.58 17.40 9.46 9.34 9.22 9.11 9.01 8.90 8.79 13.70 13.56 13.42 13.28 13.15 13.02 12.89 7.84 7.75 7.65 7.56 7.46 7.37 7.28 4.43 4.41 4.39 4.36 4.34 4.31 4.28 2.73 2.71 2.69 2.67 2.65 2.63 2.61 23.08 23.11 23.10 23.06 23.01 22.96 23.00 8.86 8.77 8.69 8.60 8.52 8.44 8.36 6.25 6.19 6.13 6.08 6.03 5.98 5.92 2.61 2.58 2.55 2.52 2.50 2.47 2.44 7.09 7.15 7.21 7.27 7.34 7.40 7.47 .85 .86 .87 .89 .90 .91 .93 6.25 6.29 6.33 6.38 6.44 6.49 6.55 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 6 Growth Rates for the Planetary Product, by Component Country-Groups and Countries, Selected Years, 1950-80 55/50 60/55 65/60 70/65 73/70 76/73 79/76 71/70 5.2 4.3 5.1 5.1 5.4 3.1 3.8 4.5 Non-Communist countries 4.8 . 4.0 5.1 5.0 5.5 3.1 3.8 4.5 6.5 5.5 4.7 5.3 5.0 3.4 4.0 4.6 Developed countries 5.1 4.3 5.2 4.8 5.0 2.4 3.5 3.8 Non-Communist countries 4.9 3.9 5.3 4.8 5.2 2.1 3.7 3.7 Communist countries 5.6 5.8 4.7 4.9 4.4 3.6 2.7 4.1 Less-developed countries 5.5 4.6 4.6 6.1 6.9 5.6 4.9 7.1 Non-Communist countries 4.4 4.7 4.5 6.0 6.7 6.4 4.0 7.4 Communist countries 10.1 4.2 5.0 6.8 7.4 2.7 8.3 6.3 US6733 or more per capita (1979) 5.1 3.9 5.4 4.8 5.3 2.0 3.8 3.8 North America 4.2 2.4 4.7 3.2 4.8 1.3 3.9 3.2 United States 4.2 2.3 4.6 3.1 4.7 1.1 3.9 2.9 Canada 5.2 4.0 5.7 4.8 6.8 3.4 3.1 7.0 OECD-Europe 6.0 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.5 1.9 3.0 3.9 Sweden 3.4 3.4 5.2 3.9 1.7 2.1 1.3 .2 Germany (Federal Republic) 9.4 6.5 5.0 4.4 3.9 1.3 3.6 3.2 Denmark 2.0 4.4 5.3 4.7 4.4 1.8 2.1 2.4 Switzerland 4.9 4.3 5.2 4.2 3.4 -2.3 1.6 4.1 Norway 3.8 3.3 4.8 3.7 4.6 5.1 4.4 4.6 France 4.1 6.3 5.8 5.4 5.6 2.7 3.1 5.4 Luxembourg 2.3 2.9 3.4 3.7 6.7 -.5 2.5 4.1 Belgium 3.4 2.6 5.1 4.8 5.4 2.7 1.9 3.9 Netherlands 5.1 4.0 4.8 5.5 4.5 2.6 2.5 4.3 Iceland 6.2 3.2 6.5 2.3 9.0 2.3 4.2 12.8 Austria 6.4 5.5 4.2 5.3 5.6 2.8 3.4 5.6 3.8 4.0 4.8 6.1 4.7 3.0 2.4 5.6 3.8 4.0 4.8 6.1 4.7 3.0 2.4 5.6 10.7 11.3 9.1 11.2 21.6 26.3 4.5 23.6 7.1 8.8 4.2 15.4 24.0 13.0 -.3 39.1 Kuwait 13.1 13.1 2.3 3.9 31.1 6.7 2.1 43.8 Saudi Arabia 11.8 11.8 7.9 9.5 23.9 41.4 6.5 17.8 United Arab Emirates 7.0 8.9 10.8 24.8 13.0 14.9 .6 13.0 Libya 3.1 3.1 43.7 16.2 12.1 23.3 3.0 16.9 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 72/71 73/72 74/73 75/74 76/75 77/76 78/77 79/78 80/79 4.8 6.9 3.4 1.4 4.7 4.2 4.1 3.2 2.0 5.4 6.8 3.2 .9 5.1 4.2 3.9 3.3 1.9 3.0 7.6 4.2 2.9 3.3 4.5 5.1 2.6 2.2 4.9 6.4 2.1 .3 5.0 3.8 3.8 3.0 1.3 5.5 6.4 1.5 -.3 5.1 3.8 3.9 3.4 1.3 2.6 6.4 4.2 2.4 4.3 3.6 3.3 1.3 1.3 4.6 9.0 8.0 4.9 4.0 5.7 5.3 3.8 4.1 4.7 8.2 9.1 5.1 5.1 5.3 3.7 3.0 3.9 4.4 11.6 4.1 4.2 -.0 7.5 10.8 6.7 4.7 5.8 6.1 1.0 -.2 5.3 4.1 4.0 3.4 1.2 5.8 6.1 1.0 -.2 5.3 4.1 4.0 3.4 1.2 5.8 5.6 -.9 -.8 5.7 4.9 4.4 2.4 -.2 5.8 5.4 -1.3 -1.0 5.6 5.1 4.4 2.3 -.2 5.8 7.5 3.5 1.1 5.7 2.7 3.6 2.9 .1 4.4 5.0 2.1 - 1.1 4.7 2.4 3.0 3.7 1.6 1.6 3.4 4.2 .8 1.3 -2.6 2.8 4.0 1.4 3.7 4.9 .5 -1.8 5.2 2.7 3.5 4.6 1.8 5.4 5.2 -.9 -.4 7.0 1.9 1.0 3.5 -1.0 3.2 3.0 1.5 -6.8 -1.4 2.4 .2 2.2 3.2 5.2 4.1 5.2 4.2 5.8 4.1 4.5 4.5 3.7 5.9 5.4 3.0 .2 5.0 2.8 3.3 3.2 1.3 5.9 10.2 4.7 -8.6 2.9 1.7 3.2 2.7 .5 5.8 6.5 4.7 -2.1 5.7 1.3 2.0 2.4 1.4 3.4 5.7 3.5 -1.0 5.3 2.8 2.4 2.2 .8 6.5 7.9 4.0 -.5 3.5 5.8 4.2 2.6 2.5 6.0 5.3 4.3 -2.0 6.2 3.7 1.5 5.1 3.6 15.4 26.1 75.9 6.5 7.5 3.1 4.0 6.4 3.7 5.8 29.5 -5.7 33.0 15.0 -10.7 8.0 2.8 3.0 13.6 37.9 56.2 -21.9 -.4 -10.7 5.0 13.5 -9.1 22.6 31.6 123.1 22.7 3.4 6.0 5.9 7.6 8.0 6.3 20.3 13.6 16.9 14.3 5.2 -4.2 1.0 4.0 13.9 5.8 66.5 -11.5 27.4 9.3 .0 .0 .0 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 6 (condoned) 55/50 60/55 65/60 70/65 73/70 76/73 79/76 71/70 9.3 8.5 10.0 11.3 7.4 2.2 5.3 4.6 9,3 8.5 10.0 11.3 7.4 2.2 5.3 4.6 7.5 3.5 6.5 14.4 2.9 12.5 2.0 -1.1 US4489-US6732 per capita (1979) 5.0 5.2 4.4 4.8 4.1 2.6 2.4 3.0 OECD-Europe 3.9 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.2 1.2 2.5 2.2 Finland 5.8 4.1 5.3 5.2 5.4 1.4 3.0 2.1 United Kingdom 3.0 2.5 3.1 2.5 4.4 .4 1.9 2.8 Italy 5.4 5.5 5.2 6.2 3.9 2.1 3.2 1.6 3.7 4.0 4.9 2.7 4.7 1.6 -4.3 2.5 3.7 4.0 4.9 2.7 4.7 1.6 -4.3 2.5 12.7 8.8 10.0 7.2 9.8 3.7 3.4 10.5 12.7 8.8 10.0 7.2 9.8 3.7 3.4 10.5 5.4 5.8 5.6 5.3 -3.0 -.8 4.1 -1.0 5.4 5.8 5.6 5.3 -3.0 -.8 4.1 -1.0 4.2 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.4 1.4 2.6 2.6 5.7 6.0 4,6 5.1 3.9 3.3 2.5 3.3 Communist Europe 5.7 6.0 4.6 5.1 3.9 3.3 2.5 3.3 Germany (Democratic Republic) 6.5 5.0 2.7 3.1 2.9 3.6 2.7 2.2 Czechoslovakia 3.4 6.3 2.3 3.4 3.4 2.7 2.2 3.4 USSR 5.8 6.0 4.9 5.4 4.1 3.3 2.5 3.3 US2245-US4488 per capita (1979) 33 4.9 6.0 5.1 6.5 5.5 4.3 7.0 5.9 4.6 7.1 5.9 6.6 5.9 4.9 5.6 OECD-Europe 5.5 3.4 8.1 6.3 6.0 3.2 2.6 4.6 Ireland 2.2 1.2 3.9 4.7 4.8 2.9 4.6 4.1 Greece 6.7 5.5 8.0 7.2 7.8 2.9 4.6 7.1 Spain 5.8 3.2 8.6 6.2 5.7 3.2 2.0 4.1 Other Europe 4.2 3.9 5.0 7.7 5.6 .5 11.1 9.2 Cyprus 5.3 3.8 6.9 7.0 7.0 -6.1 11.3 12.0 Malta 2.0 4.4 .6 9.4 2.1 15.5 10.7 2.3 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 72/71 73/72 74/73 75/74 76/75 77/76 78/77 79/78 80/79 8.8 8.8 -1.0 2.3 5.3 5.3 5.0 5.5 4.2 8.8 8.8 -1.0 2.3 5.3 5.3 5.0 5.5 4.2 4.7 5.3 17.4 13.3 7.0 5.0 .9 .2 3.8 2.4 6.9 3.1 .8 4.1 2.8 2.9 1.6 1.4 3.2 7.4 1.4 -1.8 4.3 1.4 2.6 3.1 1.3 3.0 7.5 1.2 -2.0 4.5 1.6 3.0 3.1 1.2 7.6 6.6 3.3 .6 .3 .4 1.4 7.2 3.9 2.4 8.0 -1.5 -1.0 3.7 1.3 3.5 .9 -1.8 3.2 7.0 4.1 -3.5 5.9 2.0 2.6 5.0 4.0 4.4 7.2 2.9 1.9 .1 -2.6 -10.8 1.0 2.7 4.4 7.2 2.9 1.9 .1 -2.6 -10.8 1.0 2.7 12.1 6.9 5.8 3.4 1.8 .8 4.8 4.8 3.3 12.1 6.9 5.8 3.4 1.8 .8 4.8 4.8 3.3 -7.8 .0 2.0 -6.4 2.1 3.5 5.5 3.5 3.0 -7.8 .0 2.0 -6.4 2.1 3.5 5.5 3.5 3.0 3.4 7.3 1.6 -1.7 4.4 1.6 2.8 3.4 1.1 2.0 6.7 3.9 2.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 .9 1.5 2.0 6.7 3.9 2.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 .9 1.5 3.4 3.1 4.8 3.8 2.2 3.4 2.5 2.3 2.6 3.6 3.3 3.6 2.9 1.5 4.7 1.4 .7 2.0 1.7 7.2 3.8 1.8 4.3 3.4 3.2 .8 1.4 5.8 6.7 9.0 2.9 4.7 4.3 4.7 3.8 1.6 5.8 8.4 13.3 1.0 3.8 4.9 4.8 5.0 3.0 5.7 7.7 4.0 1.9 3.6 3.0 3.5 1.4 1.4 5.7 4.6 4.6 1.2 2.9 5.7 6.1 1.9 1.0 8.9 7.3 -3.5 6.1 6.4 3.4 6.7 3.8 .6 5.0 8.1 5.7 1.1 3.0 2.6 2.5 .8 1.7 6.4 1.4 -8.5 -6.0 17.9 16.3 9.4 7.6 3.9 6.6 2.6 -15.1 -17.7 18.6 19.0 8.5 6.7 5.0 5.9 -1.9 10.0 19.7 17.0 12.2 11.0 9.0 2.3 I- Approved_ For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 6 (continued) 55/50 60/55 65/60 70/65 73/70 76/73 79/76 71/70 OPEC 6.4 6.5 4.9 4.7 7.7 15.2 7.8 8.1 Gabon .1 .1 6.0 9.2 14.3 29.9 .3 -12.8 Venezuela 6.6 6.6 4.4 4.7 8.2 8.5 6.4 8.3 Iraq 6.4 6.5 6.3 4.5 6.1 29.3 10.6 9.0 Other Asia 8.1 7.2 10.0 9.2 8.3 6.1 9.9 6.0 Singapore 6.9 4.1 5.8 12.8 12.5 5.9 8.6 12.5 Hong Kong 9.2 9.2 12.3 7.8 6.4 6.1 11.1 3.1 Bahrain 7.4 7.0 6.9 6.9 1.0 9.8 2.2 .0 Other Latin America 6.2 6.4 3.5 3.5 6.9 .2 4.5 6.4 Puerto Rioo, at al. 5.3 5.3 3.3 3.3 8.6 -.9 3.9 8.1 Trinidad and Tobago 11.1 11.2 3.8 3.1 2.5 4.2 6.2 2.5 Barbados 3.3 3.5 4.6 7.6 -.2 -.5 5.5 -2.8 6.4 3.2 3.8 5.0 6.3 5.2 3.8 8.0 Communist Europe 5.3 5.1 5.2 4.4 6.3 5.2 3.8 8.0 Romania 7.2 4.4 6.0 5.0 7.8 7.6 4.6 14.0 Poland 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.0 7.3 4.9 2.2 7.1 Hungary 5.4 3.9 4.2 3.0 3.9 1.5 3.4 4.4 Bulgaria 6.1 7.3 6.6 5.1 4.0 5.1 1.4 3.4 Yugoslavia 4.3 7.2 6.1 5.2 5.6 5.3 7.2 7.9 US1123-US2244 Per calla (1979) 5.2 S.4 S.1 6.6 9.3 6.9 3.6 9.1 8.6 .9 4.3 6.6 8.6 .9 4.3 6.6 6.9 7.1 1.6 8.1 21.2 17.6 -7.1 25.9 6.0 6.2 3.3 8.0 27.7 20.0 -11.2 44.2 8.5 8.6 -1.0 8.2 7.1 9.5 6.4 -7.1 Other Africa 3.5 4.1 6.6 5.7 4.7 4.8 2.5 5.4 South Africa 3.6 4.0 6.2 5.8 4.1 4.1 1.9 4.9 Tunisia 2.2 4.5 10.0 4.9 10.1 9.9 6.7 9.7 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 72/71 73/72 74/73 75/74 76/75 77/76 78/77 79/78 80/79 4.4 10.9 51.8 -.6 1.4 7.4 5.6 10.4 4.5 24.1 38.1 91.9 4.0 9.9 5.0 -16.7 15.1 6.0 5.1 11.2 41.1 -7.0 -2.6 9.6 6.0 3.7 4.0 1.3 8.3 77.5 12.8 7.9 4.0 7.0 21.5 5.0 9.1 9.7 3.7 1.8 13.4 10.1 9.2 10.4 8.3 13.4 11.5 6.3 4.1 7.3 8.0 8.6 9.3 9.0 7.3 9.0 1.5 .8 16.7 11.9 10.0 11.5 8.0 .0 2.9 13.9 -6.6 24.3 .9 2.5 3.0 5.9 6.6 7.7 -1.4 -.0 2.0 3.2 5.2 5.0 1.1 7.5 10.0 -1.8 -1.9 .9 1.2 5.0 5.5 .0 5.1 .0 .0 7.1 5.7 9.3 6.1 3.3 4.0 -2.2 4.6 -1.6 -1.6 1.9 5.5 4.4 6.6 3.3 5.7 5.3 5.6 4.5 5.6 3.9 4.7 2.7 .4 6.4 3.2 5.6 4.4 12.9 3.5 5.9 4.5 3.8 7.3 7.4 5.9 4.7 4.1 2.8 3.9 -.1 -3.8 2.1 5.2 2.6 2.2 -.1 6.1 2.8 1.3 1.0 4.8 4.0 3.0 8.3 4.0 -1.2 2.8 2.6 2.5 4.8 4.1 8.0 3.8 4.1 7.8 6.7 7.0 3.0 8.3 10.4 10.4 3.9 6.5 4.1 2.9 3.8 2.9 15.8 22.1 33.6 8.6 12.0 2.4 -10.2 -12.9 -18.0 16.1 24.5 38.1 9.0 14.6 2.5 -15.3 -19.3 -28.6 14.7 15.3 19.7 7.0 2.7 2.1 10.2 7.2 6.5 4.3 4.3 7.9 4.1 2.3 .5 3.4 3.6 6.9 2.7 4.6 7.6 3.5 1.3 .0 2.5 3.1 7.0 19.6 1.8 10.5 9.1 10.0 4.1 9.0 7.0 6.0 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 6 (continued) 55/50 60/55 65/60 70/65 73/70 76/73 79/76 71/70 Other Asia 6.4 4.1 7.1 9.0 9.9 7.5 9.3 9.1 China (Taiwan) 9.2 5.7 8.8 9.3 11.8 4.7 9.8 11.4 Malaysia 4.0 3.8 6.0 6.2 7.4 6.7 8.0 6.2 Korea (South) 6.2 3.3 6.4 10.3 9.7 10.0 9.4 8.8 Other Latin America 5.2 5.7 5.2 6.3 8.3 5.1 5.2 7.9 Argentina 3.1 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.7 .9 2.8 5.4 Brazil 6.8 6.8 4.5 7.7 13.0 8.2 5.7 13.3 Mexico 4.8 6.1 6.8 6.9 6.1 4.0 6.1 3.4 Suriname 10.4 7.6 7.6 7.1 2.8 -.4 3.5 2.1 Chile 3.0 4.6 5.0 3.9 1.3 -2.6 8.1 7.7 Jamaica 7.9 7.9 4.7 5.3 2.4 -3.1 -2.6 1.8 Costa Rica 7.4 7.4 4.9 4.6 7.9 4.4 5.9 6.7 Uruguay 5.9 .0 .8 2.3 -1.1 1.7 5.6 -1.0 Panama 4.0 6.2 8.2 7.7 7.3 3.0 2.6 7.0 Peru 5.8 4.3 6.6 4.5 .5.9 4.4 .2 5.8 Communist Latin America 2.2 2.2 3.0 2.4 1.2 5.3 3.3 -3.0 Cuba 2.2 2.2 3.0 2.4 1.2 5.3 3.3 -3.0 USS62-US1122 per capita (1979) 5.5 4.7 5.3 5.6 6.9 8.5 5.5 9.2 Turkey 6.5 6.6 3.6 4.9 7.3 16.7 8.6 19.2 3.7 3.8 6.2 4.9 9.5 12.3 6.4 13.3 7.1 7.1 3.2 4.9 6.9 17.6 9.0 20.3 Other Africa 3.1 2.1 4.4 4.8 4.7 4.5 3.2 4.5 Ivory Coast 3.7 3.7 6.7 7.7 5.0 7.6 6.8 4.7 Mauritius 1.0 1.0 6.2 .1 8.1 3.7 6.1 4.3 Morocco 3.5 .7 3.5 4.4 3.8 6.3 3.7 4.7 Congo 1.3 1.3 3.2 6.8 1.8 2.6 2.6 -2.8 Angola 2.4 4.3 4.3 3.5 6.7 -2.9 -4.1 5.0 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 72/71 73/72 74/73 75/74 76/75 77/76 78/77 79/78 80/79 7.8 12.9 5.1 4.6 13.1 9.1 11.6 7.1 1.3 11.9 12.0 .6 2.4 11.4 8.0 13.9 7.5 6.5 5.8 10.1 6.5 2.5 11.2 8.0 7.6 8.3 6.5 5.7 14.9 8.0 7.1 15.1 10.3 11.6 6.4 -4.3 7.9 9.0 7.6 3.1 4.7 4.0 4.6 6.9 6.6 3.8 4.8 7.2 -1.4 -2.8 4.4 -3.9 8.5 -.3 11.7 14.0 9.8 5.6 9.2 4.7 6.0 6.4 8.0 7.3 7.6 5.9 4.1 2.1 3.3 7.0 8.0 7.8 6.5 .0 -1.6 -2.8 3.2 6.8 2.0 1.9 2.2 -.1 -3.5 4.1 -11.4 .3 8.6 7.3 8.5 6.5 8.2 -2.5 -2.1 -1.0 -6.3 -3.9 -1.7 -2.3 -2.9 8.2 8.9 5.6 2.1 5.5 7.7 5.9 4.0 1.5 -3.2 .9 1.6 -2.5 6.2 2.6 6.0 8.3 4.0 8.7 6.3 6.4 2.6 .0 1.6 2.7 3.5 10.3 5.8 6.2 6.9 3.3 3.1 -1.2 -1.7 3.5 5.0 4.7 4.0 2.2 4.0 3.8 6.0 6.7 2.7 1.5 .5 6.1 10.3 3.1 2.5 3.8 3.8 2.4 1.0 .5 6.1 10.3 3.1 2.5 3.8 3.8 2.4 1.0 4.5 7.2 11.3 7.7 6.4 6.7 5.2 4.7 4.9 -5.2 9.4 28.8 12.1 10.1 13.6 5.3 7.2 9.2 -.5 16.3 22.6 7.5 7.5 7.0 6.8 5.3 4.5 -6.0 8.1 30.1 13.0 10.5 14.8 5.0 7.5 10.0 5.2 4.6 7.2 2.1 4.1 2.3 4.4 2.9 2.4 5.7 4.5 3.6 6.9 12.5 4.7 10.6 5.2 3.5 8.3 11.9 7.0 -2.5 6.9 5.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 5.1 1.5 10.0 3.4 5.7 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.4 7.0 4.8 2.1 1.0 -4.7 7.1 5.9 5.0 5.1 10.0 5.7 -4.8 -9.1 -4.8 -4.8 -2.9 .0 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 6 (continued) 55/50 60/55 65/60 70/65 73/70 76/73 79/76 71/70 5.4 4.7 7.0 5.4 7.0 8.0 6.4 7.6 Syria 2.0 1.9 8.1 5.2 7.2 15.5 4.4 13.2 Jordan 10.3 10.3 11.3 1.9 1.8 14.1 7.7 2.2 Thailand 3.6 5.1 7.3 8.7 7.4 7.0 7.2 7.9 Philippines 8.2 4.9 6.8 3.5 6.7 6.7 6.2 5.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 9.4 6.0 6.0 12.6 Other Latin America 4.3 3.7 5.0 5.6 6.9 5.6 5.4 5.8 Guatemala 2.3 5.3 5.3 5.8 6.6 5.2 7.8 5.6 Dominican Republic 6.0 5.1 3.0 7.5 11.2 6.8 4.4 10.6 Belize 5.9 5.4 5.2 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.7 Paraguay 2.8 2.1 5.4 4.2 5.6 6.9 9.5 4.4 Colombia 5.3 4.0 4.7 5.7 7.1 5.1 6.8 5.8 Nicaragua 8.4 2.9 9.1 4.0 4.3 7.0 -6.8 4.9 Guyana 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.3 3.3 5.5 -2.3 2.1 Bolivia .3 .3 3.9 6.3 5.3 6.0 2.8 3.8 El Salvador 4.6 3.3 6.9 4.5 5.1 5.3 2.0 4.6 5.1 4.3 .9 25.6 5.9 5.7 4.9 5.9 13.7 8.1 7.9 5.1 9.7 5.1 3.8 8.9 5.3 5.1 3.8 3.8 4.7 4.7 2.9 4.4 5.3 5.1 3.8 3.8 4.7 4.7 2.9 4.4 Communist Asia 16.6 8.8 8.7 5.4 10.4 5.2 3.9 9.6 Korea (North) 17.8 8.7 9.6 5.7 11.0 5.3 3.8 10.1 Mongolia 10.4 9.0 2.5 2.7 4.2 3.8 4.6 4.1 US561 or less per capita (1979) 5.7 4.1 4.2 6.0 5.3 3.8 5.8 5.3 3.6 3.7 5.7 15.7 19.0 15.7 6.2 25.9 3.6 3.7 5.7 15.7 19.0 15.7 6.2 25.9 Other Africa 3.6 4.5 4.5 4.2 2.9 1.3 3.1 5.2 Liberia 3.2 3.2 1.4 7.7 6.4 1.2 1.3 11.0 EgM 3.0 2.9 7.7 4.4 -1.1 2.5 11.4 3.8 Swaziland 7.1 7.2 9.5 9.7 6.6 6.4 2.6 9.4 Ghana 1.9 13.6 3.1 2.1 4.6 -3.4 -1.3 7.8 Zimbabwe (Rhodesia) 11.5 3.0 6.5 5.1 7.9 2.1 -3.8 12.3 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 72/71 73/72 74/73 75/74 76/75 77/76 78/77 79/78 80/79 5.3 8.2 7.6 9.3 7.0 6.5 6.1 6.6 5.3 8.1 .6 24.8 20.8 2.1 7.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 .3 11.0 7.0 25.0 8.0 8.0 7.0 10.0 5.1 9.3 5.0 7.7 8.2 6.2 8.7 6.6 6.0 4.7 9.6 6.6 6.8 6.7 6.3 4.5 7.8 4.9 6.9 8.9 -1.5 16.9 3.3 7.7 5.0 5.2 4.8 7.5 7.3 7.2 4.2 5.5 6.6 5.7 3.8 4.7 7.4 6.8 6.4 2.0 7.4 14.1 5.2 4.5 3.5 12.4 10.6 8.9 5.1 6.4 4.4 3.8 5.0 4.0 5.4 6.1 5.8 5.5 6.0 5.7 5.4 6.6 2.7 5.1 7.2 8.3 5.0 7.5 8.1 10.5 10.0 11.0 7.9 7.6 6.5 4.3 4.6 5.9 8.0 6.5 6.0 3.7 4.2 13.3 1.8 6.2 7.6 -5.2 -20.5 15.0 7.4 .6 7.0 5.0 4.6 -5.8 -1.0 .0 1.0 5.1 6.9 6.7 5.6 5.8 3.7 2.7 2.1 1.0 5.6 5.1 6.4 5.6 4.0 5.2 4.4 -3.4 -9.1 11.9 9.7 11.4 7.4 -2.9 .1 7.3 4.4 3.5 12.6 10.2 12.0 7.4 -3.1 .0 7.1 4.4 3.5 4.4 4.2 4.2 7.3 .0 1.0 8.7 4.4 3.0 2.2 8.5 5.2 4.7 1.3 6.7 7.2 3.6 4.8 2.3 1.1 5.7 -1.3 -.5 4.6 2.3 2.5 3.6 4.4 4.0 4.3 -3.3 2.9 .2 1.7 2.0 -1.0 -2.9 -3.8 11.4 .7 -3.8 18.3 8.2 8.0 8.0 7.5 3.0 4.4 12.1 2.9 2.0 2.8 3.1 4.9 .6 5.5 5.0 -11.0 -3.4 .4 -3.3 -1.0 2.0 7.7 4.0 10.0 -1.0 -2.3 -6.5 -4.8 .0 5.0 I 1 11 _....._.....,.. Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 6 (continued) 55/50 60/55 65/60 70/65 73/70 76/73 79/76 71/70 Zambia 5.9 5.8 6.9 2.1 2.6 1.0 -3.7 -.8 Cameroon .7 .6 3.0 7.0 4.5 2.7 5.0 7.4 Botswana 2.9 2.6 4.0 17.0 17.6 10.7 4.8 21.4 Senegal 2.9 2.6 2.0 .2 2.7 .3 -4.4 11.5 Sudan 4.5 4.5 1.8 .9 3.3 3.8 2.8 4.2 Madagascar 1.2 1.1 1.9 4.7 -1.2 1.8 .5 2.0 TWO 2.5 2.5 8.4 7.4 2.3 1.7 5.0 3.5 Mauritania 3.4 3.6 10.0 4.7 2.3 3.6 3.1 -1.9 Kenya 3.5 3.4 3.4 7.6 6.4 3.3 1.8 7.0 Benin 2.4 2.9 1.3 .0 9.4 .7 4.8 23.9 Uganda 4.4 2.0 4.1 4.5 .6 -.8 .6 1.6 Mozambique 3.1 13.0 3.2 6.3 7.6 -5.5 -5.4 6.9 Gambia, The 2.8 3.6 6.1 4.5 4.8 5.4 3.1 10.9 Sierra Leone 4.4 4.3 5.7 3.5 .7 1.6 1.0 -.9 Lesotho 5.2 3.5 7.0 5.2 1.7 6.9 5.7 1.6 Tanzania 3.7 3.9 4.6 6.7 4.4 4.0 3.5 3.2 Guinea 3.4 3.5 4.0 2.7 2.7 -5.6 3.0 2.1 Malawi 4.2 4.0 3.3 5.7 11.5 5.8 6.6 19.3 Rwanda .2 .2 1.6 8.7 2.0 5.8 5.8 1.2 Central African Republic .8 .8 1.6 3.5 2.1 2.3 2.7 1.2 Zaire 6.1 6.0 5.1 5.6 4.9 -1.4 -.7 5.9 Burundi -1.4 -1.6 2.0 4.4 1.3 4.6 4.4 1.2 Niger 3.8 3.5 6.2 2.4 -4.0 10.1 3.9 4.4 Upper Volta 3.2 3.4 2.5 3.3 .6 5.0 4.6 1.7 Ethiopia 6.6 6.6 4.7 4.1 4.0 1.9 1.0 4.5 Somalia 2.3 2.3 1.1 4.0 2.9 -1.5 -2.7 5.6 Mali 6.2 6.1 5.5 3.1 1.3 8.8 4.8 3.5 Chad 1.7 1.7 .0 .8 -5.1 -3.4 2.4 1.0 3.4 3.9 3.2 5.0 1.7 3.7 3.2 1.2 Lebanon 3.3 3.3 5.1 4.7 8.7 -16.4 1.3 9.3 Yemen (South) 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 3.4 .4 5.0 6.3 Sri Lanka 4.3 4.8 3.7 5.6 2.2 3.3 6.3 .2 Pakistan 3.2 3.0 6.7 6.7 2.9 4.6 5.7 .0 Afghanistan 2.2 1.7 3.0 2.7 2.2 2.5 3.2 2.5 India 3.4 4.0 2.9 4.8 1.8 3.7 2.5 1.6 Burma 6.9 5.7 4.2 1.6 2.7 4.5 6.3 4.1 Nepal 2.7 2.8 3.4 1.6 1.6 4.1 3.1 -.1 Bangladesh 2.3 3.5 1.2 7.2 -3.7 7.0 4.4 -5.2 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 72/71 73/72 74/73 75/74 76/75 77/76 78/77 79/78 80/79 9.6 -.7 4.4 -2.9 1.6 -2.5 .0 -8.3 .0 2.3 3.9 3.5 1.5 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.1 7.1 20.6 11.0 11.0 11.4 9.8 5.3 5.0 4.0 3.9 -4.7 1.8 12.0 -7.9 -2.2 -3.8 -10.7 1.7 -9.1 12.8 -6.2 2.0 3.9 5.5 5.5 4.0 -1.0 2.5 -3.3 -2.2 4.1 1.0 .5 .5 .5 .5 .5 -.5 4.1 9.8 -13.0 9.9 5.0 5.1 5.0 7.1 3.3 5.7 9.3 -6.6 8.8 -.5 .0 10.0 4.4 6.8 5.5 4.1 .7 5.0 -1.6 4.0 3.1 2.0 .6 5.1 3.0 2.0 -2.9 3.8 5.4 5.0 5.7 1.5 -1.2 .0 -2.0 -.4 4.0 .0 -2.0 -2.0 5.9 10.0 6.7 -9.1 -13.0 -6.5 -4.8 -4.8 .0 4.9 -.9 12.3 4.2 .0 .0 4.8 4.6 4.4 1.5 1.4 2.0 3.7 -.9 .9 .3 1.9 2.0 -3.6 7.4 6.9 6.9 6.9 5.6 5.3 6.2 5.1 6.0 4.0 2.3 4.6 5.0 3.9 3.5 3.0 2.8 2.9 3.0 -8.2 -5.7 -2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 7.6 7.8 5.1 5.5 6.9 6.1 7.2 6.5 6.5 -2.0 7.0 1.1 9.3 7.1 7.0 6.4 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.1 1.7 2.3 2.8 5.1 2.1 1.0 3.0 2.5 6.3 3.5 -6.0 -1.4 1.5 -2.6 -1.0 -2.0 1.7 .9 4.2 2.0 7.8 5.9 4.6 2.9 3.0 -3.7 -12.0 11.2 1.0 18.8 3.9 3.0 5.0 5.0 -2.0 2.2 2.3 7.9 4.9 5.8 2.2 5.9 5.8 4.8 2.8 2.6 2.7 .3 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 8.2 -4.7 -2.3 -2.1 .0 -2.2 -3.0 -2.8 5.6 5.8 -5.0 -1.3 19.8 9.0 7.5 .9 6.0 6.0 -10.3 -5.7 10.0 .0 -18.1 1.6 3.4 2.1 4.0 -1.0 5.1 2.1 6.9 2.1 6.3 4.2 -.9 4.3 11.8 5.0 5.2 -16.7 -33.4 20.0 -9.1 -4.7 -.5 -3.9 8.1 3.9 -8.2 6.0 6.9 4.1 3.9 2.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.6 3.0 4.4 8.2 6.2 6.0 1.4 7.4 6.8 2.1 4.9 2.8 8.1 6.3 5.7 2.8 1.4 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.5 3.0 4.1 .0 - 1.1 5.0 .8 8.9 1.6 7.2 3.5 -2.9 4.0 3.2 .9 2.6 4.8 6.0 6.4 6.6 6.0 6.9 2.0 2.8 6.4 1.5 4.4 3.2 2.0 4.0 2.0 -12.3 7.5 9.5 2.0 9.7 1.6 7.7 4.0 6.5 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 6 (continued) 55/50 60/55 65/60 70/65 73/70 76/73 79/76 71/70 Other Latin America 2.0 2.6 2.8 2.8 4.9 2.9 5.3 4.8 Honduras 2.5 3.8 5.0 4.3 4.1 2.2 7.2 3.5 Haiti 1.6 1.6 .6 1.0 5.9 3.8 2.9 6.5 Sundry Group 6 3.5 4.4 4.5 4.1 3.0 3.1 2.8 5.2 Communist countries 10.6 4.1 5.0 7.1 7.5 2.5 8.7 6.5 Communist Asia 10.6 4.1 5.0 7.1 7.5 2.5 8.7 6.5 China (Mainland) 10.9 3.9 4.9 7.2 8.1 3.5 8.9 7.0 Kampuchea 4.6 3.7 5.1 5.4 -3.5 -9.8 .0 .0 Vietnam 6.3 6.9 6.1 5.5 .0 -17.9 2.9 .0 Lan 5.4 6.7 5.0 5.5 .0 -2.3 3.5 .0 5.3 4.9 5.0 4.7 4.6 1.9 2.9 3.6 4.7 3.5 4.8 3.9 4.8 1.6 3.5 3.4 5.4 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.6 2.0 3.0 3.7 9.3 8.5 10.0 11.3 7.4 2.2 5.3 4.6 Warsaw Pact 5.6 5.8 4.6 4.9 4.3 3.6 2.5 4.0 USSR 5.8 6.0 4.9 5.4 4.1 3.3 2.5 3.3 Non-Soviet Warsaw Pact 5.3 5.1 3.9 3.8 5.1 4.4 2.8 5.8 OPEC 6.4 6.7 4.4 8.6 16.1 18.5 3.0 21.0 Affluent 7.6 8.0 6.5 7.5 14.8 21.8 5.7 15.4 Indigent 5.9 6.1 3.2 9.1 16.8 16.7 1.4 24.0 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 72/71 73/72 74/73 75/74 76/75 77/76 78/77 79/78 80/79 5.2 4.7 2.7 -.8 7.0 5.3 5.9 4.6 2.0 3.7 5.2 .7 -1.6 7.8 7.0 7.9 6.7 2.0 7.1 3.9 5.1 .1 6.2 3.3 3.5 1.9 2.0 4.2 12.0 3.5 4.1 .0 8.0 11.3 7.0 4.9 4.6 12.8 3.8 7.0 -.2 8.2 11.6 7.1 5.0 -10.0 .0 -11.1 -12.5 -5.7 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 -49.3 9.2 2.0 2.2 4.6 1.3 .0 .0 .0 -33.3 40.0 3.6 3.4 3.3 .0 5.1 5.8 .3 -.8 5.5 3.8 3.9 2.8 .5 4.2 6.0 1.8 -.9 5.2 2.5 3.2 3.4 1.4 2.6 6.5 4.0 2.4 4.3 3.4 3.2 1.0 1.2 1.7 7.2 3.8 1.8 4.3 3.4 3.2 .8 1.4 4.9 4.6 4.7 4.1 4.3 3.4 3.3 1.7 .8 8.0. 19.7 42.6 7.9 8.1 5.7 1.2 2.1 1.2 10.0 19.0 65.5 3.7 5.2 4.7 4.6 7.9 4.0 7.0 20.1 31.0 10.6 9.8 6.2 -.7 -1.3 -.7 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 7 Ranking by Total Product, Per Capita Product, and Population, 1980 Total Product a (million 1980 US dollars) United States 2556706 Iraq 35602 Dominican 6065 Iceland 1661 USSR 1280146 Finland 32753 Republic Cyprus 1560 Japan 955308 China (Taiwan) 32498 Vietnam 5993 Haiti 1498 Germany (Fed- 642801 Bulgaria 29878 Qatar 5506 Lebanon 1395 oral Republic) Greece 29380 Uruguay 4988 Mongolia 1324 China (Mainland) 591653 Philippines 28798 Sri Lanka 4801 Malawi 1217 France 504914 Thailand 28493 Kenya 4595 Bahamas 1097 Italy 303455 Algeria 27904 Trinidad and 4369 Guinea 1061 United Kingdom 297562 Colombia 26288 Tobago Rwanda 997 Brazil 251399 Egypt 24093 Ethiopia 4191 Benin 984 Canada 236889 Libya 22010 Cameroon 4184 Malta 981 Mexico 137955 Peru 21074 Zaire 4138 Upper Volta 980 India 137312 Chile 20702 Zimbabwe 3783 Fiji 973 Australia 133277 Pakistan 20681 (Rhodesia) Liberia 972 Poland 124859 Portugal 19954 Costa Rica 3734 Congo 919 Spain 116154 Hong Kong 19187 Bolivia 3702 Bahrain 913 Netherlands 108534 Israel 18988 Angola 3681 Mauritius 859 Germany (Demo- 99583 Malaysia 18970 Jamaica 3629 Sierra Leone 851 cratic Republic) New Zealand 18202 Tanzania 3530 Togo 837 Sweden 91666 Kuwait 17525 Uganda 3504 Yemen (South) 803 Romania 89295 Korea (North) 15908 Paraguay 3343 Niger 795 Czechoslovakia 84969 Cuba 13980 Luxembourg 3211 Suriname 763 Belgium 84513 Puerto Rico, 13075 Panama 3211 Kampuchea 719 Saudi Arabia 83860 et al. Afghanistan 3114 Mali 657 Yugoslavia 72275 Morocco 12686 Yemen (North) 3027 Barbados 654 Switzerland 65031 Ireland 12376 El Salvador 2862 Guyana 635 Indonesia 63088 Bangladesh 11112 Madagascar 2750 Burundi 633 Argentina 56754 Singapore 10928 Zambia 2653 Mauritania 462 Nigeria 54251 United Arab 9553 Mozambique 2628 Central African 451 Austria 53910 Emirates Jordan 2591 Republic Venezuela 51025 Syria 8566 Gabon 2469 Chad 451 Denmark 50476 Ecuador 8434 Nicaragua 2262 Somalia 393 South Africa 47964 Tunisia 7808 Albania 2157 Laos 338 Iran 43645 Guatemala 7526 Papua New 2139 Lesotho 336 Korea (South) 42424 Ivory Coast 7480 Guinea Botswana 321 Norway 41687 Sudan 6456 Honduras 2033 Swaziland 306 Turkey 40109 Burma 6413 Senegal 1820 Belize 163 Hungary 39359 Ghana 6082 Nepal 1809 Gambia, The 155 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Per Capita Product ^ (1980 US dollars) Qatar 25026 Trinidad and 3763 Ecuador 1052 Botswana 407 Kuwait 12915 Tobago Belize 1048 Sudan 346 Saudi Arabia 11980 Hungary 3664 Paraguay 1028 Sri Lanka 323 United States 11231 Ireland 3630 Syria 987 Togo 322 Sweden 11028 Poland 3511 Colombia 983 Senegal 321 Germany (Fed- 10487 Venezuela 33% Nicaragua 939 Madagascar 321 eral Republic) Bulgaria 3368 Ivory Coast 932 Mauritania 308 United Arab 10383 Yugoslavia 3230 Mauritius 904 Kenya 288 Emirates Spain 3097 Turkey 878 Benin 283 Switzerland 10283 Greece 3096 Korea (North) 823 Haiti 258 Norway 10192 Malta 2786 Albania 804 The Gambia 257 Canada 9875 Iraq 2665 Jordan 785 Uganda 256 Denmark 9826 Cyprus 2509 Mongolia 782 Mozambique 255 France 9420 Bahrain 2397 Guyana 756 Lesotho 251 Australia 9156 Barbados 2294 Nigeria 704 Sierra Leone 248 Luxembourg 8%9 Brazil 2067 Bolivia 691 Pakistan 239 Belgium 8571 Argentina 2053 Papua New 676 Afghanistan 207 Japan 8163 Mexico 2044 Guinea India 202 Netherlands 7694 Portugal 2009 Moroooo 605 Malawi 202 Libya 7354 Chile 1880 Thailand 601 Tanzania 197 Iceland 7283 Suriname 1874 El Salvador 599 Guinea 1% Austria 7188 China (Taiwan) 1825 Philippines 597 Rwanda 195 Finland 6864 Uruguay 1704 Congo 594 Burma 186 Germany (Demo- 5945 South Africa 1689 Yemen (North) 580 Central African 182 cratic Republic) Costa Rica 1684 China (Mainland) 573 Republic New Zealand 5834 Panama 1679 Egypt 573 Niger 145 Czechoslovakia 5540 Jamaica 1602 Swaziland 558 Upper Volta 144 United Kingdom 5323 Fiji 1547 Angola 556 Burundi 143 Italy 5308 Algeria 1482 Honduras 540 Zaire 143 Israel 4907 Cuba 1406 Liberia 526 Ethiopia 129 USSR 4822 Malaysia 1354 Zimbabwe 509 Kampuchea 125 Singapore 4578 Tunisia 1206 (Rhodesia) Bangladesh 123 Bahamas 4534 Peru 11% Cameroon 502 Nepal 121 Romania 4015 Iran 1127 Ghana 501 Vietnam 112 Hong Kong 3822 Korea (South) 1067 Lebanon 462 Somalia 111 Puerto Rico, 3779 Guatemala 1066 Zambia 455 Mali 99 at al. Dominican 1066 Yemen (South) 420 Chad 97 Gabon 3770 Republic Indonesia 417 Laos 97 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 7 (continued) Population (thousands) China 1032064 Sudan 18672 Mali 6641 Uruguay 2928 (Mainland) Tanzania 17907 Angola 6616 Albania 2684 India 680059 China (Taiwan) 17806 Tunisia 6472 Togo 2600 USSR 265500 Peru 17614 Switzerland 6324 Central Afri- 2475 United States 227640 Germany 16750 Malawi 6040 can Republic Indonesia 151197 (Democratic Zambia 5832 Nicaragua 2410 Brazil 121650 Republic) Haiti 5808 Singapore 2387 Japan 117025 Kenya 15942 Kampuchea 5767 Jamaica 2266 Bangladesh 90489 Czechoslo- 15337 Dominican 5691 Costa Rica 2218 Pakistan 86473 vakia Republic Panama 1912 Nigeria 77091 Afghanistan 15030 Senegal 5664 Yemen 1910 Mexico 67499 Venezuela 15023 Niger 5504 (South) Germany 61294 Nepal 14896 Guinea 5426 Liberia 1848 (Federal SriLanka 14845 Bolivia 5355 Mongolia 1693 Republic) Australia 14556 Yemen 5222 Congo 1546 Italy 57170 Netherlands 14106 (North) Mauritania 1500 United 55898 Malaysia 14007 Denmark 5137 Kuwait 1357 Kingdom Uganda 13692 Rwanda 5100 Lesotho 1336 France 53602 Iraq 13357 Hong Kong 5020 Trinidad and 1161 Vietnam 53325 Ghana 12133 El Salvador 4782 Tobago Philippines 48274 Chile 11014 Finland 4772 Mauritius 950 Thailand 47419 Hungary 10743 Chad 4627 United Arab 920 Turkey 45702 Mozambique 10314 Burundi 4418 Emirates Egypt 42042 Cuba 9942 Norway 4090 Guyana 840 Korea (South) 39774 Portugal 9934 Israel 3870 Botswana 790 Iran 38718 Belgium 9860 Honduras 3765 Gabon 655 Spain 37500 Greece 9490 Somalia 3552 Fiji 629 Poland 35560 Bulgaria 8870 Laos 3480 Cyprus 622 Burma 34412 Syria 8675 Benin 3478 Gambia, The 601 Ethiopia 32586 Madagascar 8563 Puerto Rico, 3460 Swaziland 549 Zaire 28917 Cameroon 8332 et al. Suriname 407 South Africa 28391 Sweden 8312 Sierra Leone 3432 Bahrain 381 Argentina 27645 Ivory Coast 8028 Ireland 3409- Luxembourg 358 Colombia 26754 Ecuador 8020 Jordan 3300 Malta 352 Canada 23989 Austria 7500 Paraguay 3252 Barbados 285 Yugoslavia 22374 Zimbabwe 7438 Papua New 3165 Bahamas 242 Romania 22240 (Rhodesia) Guinea Iceland 228 Morocco 20967 Guatemala 7058 New Zealand 3120 Qatar 220 Korea (North) 19318 Saudi Arabia 7000 Lebanon 3020 Belize 156 Algeria 18829 Upper Volta 6815 Libya 2993 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 8 Ranking by Average Annual Rate of Growth, 1971-80 Saudi Arabia 21.5 Iceland 4.9 Netherlands 2.9 Iraq 13.9 Japan 4.8 Yemen (South) 2.9 Gabon 13.4 Papua New Guinea 4.8 United States 2.9 Indonesia 12.9 Lesotho 4.8 Bangladesh 2.9 Libya 11.2 Burma 4.7 Nepal 2.8 Nigeria 11.0 Greece 4.6 Germany (Federal Republic) 2.8 Qatar 10.9 Norway 4.6 India 2.8 Kuwait 10.2 Portugal 4.6 Hungary 2.7 Botswana 10.2 Egypt 4.5 El Salvador 2.7 Singapore 9.0 Pakistan 4.5 Czechoslovakia 2.7 Ecuador 8.9 Rwanda 4.5 Luxembourg 2.6 Brazil 8.8 Gambia, The 4.4 Nicaragua 2.6 United Arab Emirates 8.8 Bahrain 4.4 Chile 2.6 Tunisia 8.6 Cameroon 4.4 Congo 2.6 Malta 8.6 Bolivia 4.3 Liberia 2.6 China (Taiwan) 8.5 Morocco 4.3 Argentina 2.5 Syria 8.3 Trinidad and Tobago 4.3 Ethiopia 2.5 Korea (South) 8.2 Honduras 4.2 Central African Republic 2.4 Jordan 8.0 Sri Lanka 4.1 Denmark 2.4 Hong Kong 7.9 Mongolia 4.1 Afghanistan 2.4 Malawi 7.8 Canada 4.0 Zimbabwe (Rhodesia) 2.3 Paraguay 7.7 Haiti 4.0 Uruguay 2.2 Algeria 7.6 Cyprus 3.9 Guyana 2.0 Venezuela 7.3 Austria 3.9 Suriname 2.0 Malaysia 7.3 Albania 3.9 United Kingdom 1.8 Dominican Republic 7.1 Poland 3.9 Barbados 1.7 Thailand 7.1 Tanzania 3.8 Sweden 1.7 Yemen (North) 6.9 Ireland 3.8 Sierra Leone 1.2 China (Mainland) 6.6 South Africa 3.7 Switzerland 1.1 Philippines 6.4 Peru 3.6 New Zealand .8 Romania 6.4 Upper Volta 3.6 Zaire .6 Korea (North) 6.3 Kenya 3.6 Madagascar .4 Colombia 6.3 France 3.5 Bahamas .3 Guatemala 6.2 Spain 3.4 Laos .3 Ivory Coast 6.2 Burundi 3.4 Guinea .2 Iran 6.1 Togo 3.4 Somalia .1 Mauritius 6.0 Bulgaria 3.4 Ghana .1 Yugoslavia 5.7 Puerto Rico, et al. 3.4 Uganda -.1 Mexico 5.6 Niger 3.4 Zambia -.1 Costa Rica 5.6 Finland 3.3 Angola -.2 Belize 5.5 Australia 3.3 Mozambique -1.2 Turkey 5.5 Sudan 3.2 Jamaica -1.3 Israel 5.4 Italy 3.2 Senegal -1.4 Swaziland 5.2 Belgium 3.1 Chad -1.5 Fiji 5.0 Mauritania 3.1 Lebanon -2.5 Mali 5.0 USSR 3.1 Kampuchea -4.1 Benin 5.0 Germany (Democratic Republic) 3.0 Vietnam -4.8 Panama 4.9 Cuba 3.0 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Appendix Table 9 Effect of Including Third World Supplements in Major Aggregates in the Planetary Product, Selected Years, 1950-80 Non-Communist countries Communist countries Developed countries Non-Communist countries Communist countries Less-developed countries By political alignment: Non-Commu- nist countries Communist countries $1,123-$2,244 $562-$1,122 $561 or less b Memorandum: $561 or less, excluding China (Mainland) Without Supplements With Supplements Percent Increase 2,171,768 2,364,386 8.9 567,783 575,141 1.3 2,355,407 2,355,407 0.0 1,884,598 1,884,598 0.0 470,809 470,809 0.0 384,144 584,120 52.1 287,170 479,787 67.1 96,974 104,332 7.6 142,354 185,060 30.0 51,486 82,377 60.0 190,304 316,682 66.4 105,315 231,693 120.0 a Based on 1979 per-capita product (without supplement) expressed in 1980 US dollars. b The supplement applied to national product of all countries except China (Mainland) in this group is 120 percent; the smaller differential between the "without" and "with" supplement values in the table reflects the large and growing weight of China's product in this group total. Without Supplements With Supplements Percent Increase 3,358,933 3,651,784 8.7 1,012,915 1,026,526 1.3 3,722,902 3,722,902 0.0 2,903,260 2,903,260 0.0 819,642 819,642 0.0 648,946 955,409 47.2 455,673 748,524 64.3 193,273 206,885 7.0 237,609 308,892 30.0 84,651 135,442 60.0 326,686 511,075 56.4 153,658 338,047 120.0 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Without With Percent Supplements Supplements Increase Without With Percent Supplements Supplements Increase 6,058,881 6,058,881 0.0 8,475,592 8,475,592 0.0 4,748,068 4,748,068 0.0 6,655,228 6,655,228 0.0 419,110 544,843 30.0 763,337 992,338 30.0 143,327 229,323 60.0 275,486 440,777 60.0 551,710 840,204 52.3 941,070 1,360,371 44.6 ,, .......... Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4 Approved For Release 2009/04/20: CIA-RDP84T00896R000200560002-4