NAKASONE VISIT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85M00363R000100010009-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 26, 2007
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: January 12, 1983
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2007/08/05: CIA-RDP85M00363R000100010009-5
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 Approved For Release 2007/08/05: CIA-RDP85M00363R000100010009-5
Office of East Asian Analysis
DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE
12 January 1983
Special Assistant to the Director
for Interdepartmental Affairs
Attached is a two-page briefing paper
for the DCI's use at the forthcoming NSC
meeting on Japan.
Deputy Director
East Asian Analysis
Attachment:
as stated.
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 Approved For Release 2007/08/05: CIA-RDP85M00363R000100010009-5
12 January 1983
DCI Talking Points for NSC Meeting
SUBJECT: Nakasone Visit
Based on our reading of Prime Minister Nakasone's first 50 days
in office, we believe he will be more likely than his predecessor
to take the bold initiatives necessary to forestall increased
tensions in bilateral relations. In preparation for his visit to
Washington, he has already made decisions that are sure to cause
political trouble for him at home.
-- He pushed through a 6.5 percent defense budget increase
and intervened to force a decision on sharing defense
technology, both over the objections of many of his
advisers.
-- The Tariff reduction on tobacco announced last month has
made spokesmen for agriculture wary
Nakasone's freedom of action is constrained, however, by his
unstable political base.
-- He has the support of the most powerful faction in the
LDP, but its leader, former Prime Minister Tanaka, is on
trial for bribery.
-- Nakasone's standing in the polls is improving, but many
in the LDP and bureaucracy still see him as an
opportunist and prone to impulsive actions.
The political schedule itself will impose severe tests on him and
the LDP over the next six months.
-- The Diet convenes three days after he returns from
Washington and will take him to task on defense and
economic questions, especially if his trip to US does not
go well.
-- Elections for the Upper House of the Diet are scheduled
for early summer and Nakasone may decide to call
elections for the Lower House at the same time.
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TOP SECRET
The Prime Minister wants the visit to be seen in Japan as a
success in part because it will shore up his own political
position. At his press conferences, he continues to emphasize
that the issue of trust is crucial.
-- We believe Nakasone wants to establish a personal
relationship with the President and convince him that he
can carry through on promises on trade and defense.
Nakasone believes he cannot change US attitudes or satisfy all US
demands immediately, but he hopes through personal diplomacy
He does not want bilateral issues to dominate the agenda. He
wants to discuss:
-- Relations with the Soviet Union, China, Korea, the Middle
East and Southeast Asia.
-- The world recession and the pressures it has created on
international trade and finance.
-- Methods to improve consultations with the US and EC on
major international issues such as arms control.
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Approved For Release 2007/08/05: CIA-RDP85M00363R000100010009-5