POST-NFIB ACTIONS ON NATIONAL ESTIMATES

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85M00364R002204150004-7
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 6, 2008
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: May 17, 1983
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2008/05/06: CIA-RDP85M00364R002204150004-7
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MEMORANDUM FOR THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
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SUBJECT: Post--?NFIB Actions on Nati_ona]. Estimates (U)
Reference: DCI/NIC Memorandum, NFIB-13.l/159, dated 26 April 1983, subject:
Results of a Review of Recent National Intelligence Estimates on
Nuclear. Topics (U)
1. (S) Harry Rowen is:;ued the referenced Memorandum to provide us the results
of a recent post-mortem Hans Heymann held on three nuclear-related national.
estimates. I have tasked my collection office to insure that we are conttihuti.ng
to the community effort to. address the key questions left unanswered by the
estimates.
2. (S) Similar post-mortems are held occasionally by other NIOs. Larry Gershwin's
recent meeting on NIE 11-3/8-82 is an example. Such post-NFIB reviews by the
agency experts who worked the individual estimates are useful. I feel strongly
that our intelligence thinking on the important issues addressed in national
estimates should not end with your and NFIB's approval of the documents. Rather,
they should also serve to crystalize our thinking on the gaps that exist in our
knowledge and how these gaps may be closed so that our cumulative knowledge
will improve.
3. (C) Along these lines, I believe the Intelligence Producers' Council is
making progress to better link the National Intelligence Topics (NITs) program
with planned production. Post-mortems on national estimates would provide an
excellent avenue to identify intelligence gaps that impact on our collective
ability to respond to the NITs.
4. (U) I do not want to suggest that every national estimate should have a
post-mortem review even though I recognize your July 1981, NIE guidelines call
for this. I do recommend, however, that.the use of NFIB post-mortems be
encouraged in those cases in which the community would benefit appreciably
from them.
J.i :!`.E+ A. 1 LLIAMS
Lieutz:ncni General, U. S. Army_
Director
DIA review completed.
SECRET
CLASSIFIED BY DIA/DE
Approved For Release 2008/05/06: CIA-RDP85M00364R002204150004-7