PIPELINE PAPER

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85T00153R000300020050-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2008
• Sequence Number: 50
• Publication Date: September 13, 1982
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2008/01/30: CIA-RDP85T00153R000300020050-2
JL VI\L 1
13 September 1982
FROM:
SUBJECT:
Pipeline Paper
1. Let's combine the best ideas and intelligence from your draft memo
to Cabinet members, the Ernst piece I revised on Friday, and the draft of
the SNIE.
2. The objective would be a 10-12 page paper available on Wednesday
for study by Cabinet members prior to the SIG-IEP that's scheduled for
Thursday.
3. The paper would run like this:
a) The importance of the Yamal roject to Soviet power.
This section, drawn large y from pages ~ of the revised Ernst
piece with examples from the SNIE draft, would show how the
Soviets have come to depend on hard currency to enable a
continuation of their arms buildup despite economic troubles,
how much hard currency the Yamal project could earn, and the
consequences to the Soviets of a hard currency squeeze if the
Yamal project is delayed, or cut in half by agreement to abandon
thoughts of a second strand.
b) The prospects for the Allies relieving pressure on
themselves by reach~nq agreement on an approac to oing mousiness
with the Soviets that would take advantage o an un recedented
op ortunity. T is section, whic wou d inc ude paragraph 3 of
t e revise Ernst piece, would include virtually all of your
draft memo to Cabinet members.
c) An optional third section would cover the material
on pages 11-19 of the Ernst piece, on the kinds of agreements we
might be able to reach with our Allies.
4. The point is, an intelligence paper is required for the Thursday
meeting. Nothing we have in hand fills the fill by itself; the SNIE won't
be available until at least next week. The sort of paper outlined above
should do the trick.
5. Starti~ig Tuesday morning, I could have a draft ready for you by
close of business. Let me know if you wane me to proceed.
Approved For Release 2008/01/30: CIA-RDP85T00153R000300020050-2