EASTERN EUROPE: REAL GNP GROWTH RATES, ACTUAL 1981-1982 AND PROJECTED 1983-1984 (IN PERCENT)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85T00287R000501890001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 19, 2010
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 24, 1983
• Content Type: REPORT

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/19: CIA-RDP85T00287R000501890001-0
r
Robert Harlow
Office of International
Monetary Affairs
Roan 5050
US Treasury
Attached are the estimates you requested of
East European current account balances and C
growth rates through 1984.
EURA/EE/EW
Roam 6G42 CIA
Acting Branch Chief
Date 24 Aug 83
FM 101 romos IOUs
,E-vl211 3/O/ 7
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 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/19: CIA-RDP85T00287R000501890001-0
MEMORANDUM FOR:
Robert Harlow/State
Distribution List:
1 D/ 1JRA
1 C/EURk/M
1 DC/QJRA,/EE
1 AC/TUPA/EE
1 Chrono
EIJR E/8K/ (24 Aug 83
FORIA 101 USE mPREVIOUS
5-75
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 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/19: CIA-RDP85T00287R000501890001-0
TABLE 1
EASTERN EUROPE: Real GNP Growth Rates,
Actual - 2 and Projected 1983-1984
(in percent)
1981
1982
1983
1984
Bulgaria
3.0
2.8
1.5
2.0
Czechoslovakia
-1.1
0.5
1.0
1.0
East Germany
2.4
0.5
0.5
1.0
Hungary
0.4
1.7
0.5
1.0
Poland
-5.4
-4.0
0.0
1.0
Romania
0.6
2.7
1.0
1.5
Yugoslavia
1.5
0.3
-1.5
-2.0
NOTE: GNP estimates are based on Western concepts and
procedures, with the exception of the data for Yugoslavia, which
are Gross Social Product based on a material product concept of
national income.
~ I m P3-.Cd/y
ca FIDIIarIAL
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/19: CIA-RDP85T00287R000501890001-0
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/19: CIA-RDP85T00287R000501890001-0
WIFIDENPIAL
TABLE
2
EASTERN EUROPE: Hard Currency Current Account Balances
(Billion USS)
1981
1982
1983a
1984a
Bulgaria
Current Account
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.5
Trade Account
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.4
Invisibles and Transfers
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
Czechoslovakia
Current Account
-0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
Trade Account
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.6
Invisibles and Transfers
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.2
East Germany
Current Account
-0.5
1.2
1.4
0.7
Trade Account
0.1
1.5
1.5
1.0
Invisibles and Transfers
-0.6
-0.3
-0.1
-0.3
Hungary
Current Account
-0.7
-0.1
0.4
0.3
Trade Account
0.5
0.8
0.9
0.8
Invisibles and Transfers
-1.2
-0.9
-0.5
-0.5
Poland
Current Account
-2.2
-1.0
-1.0
-0.5
Trade Account
-0.4
0.4
0.7
1.0
Invisibles and Transfers
-1.8
-1.4
-1.7
-1.5
Romania
Current Account
-0.8
0.7
0.8
0.8
Trade Account
0.2
1.5
1.6
1.3
Invisibles and Transfers
-1.0
-0.8
-0.8
-0.5
Yugoslavia
Current Account
-1.8
-1.4
-0.8
-0.2
Trade Account
-4.9
-3.8
-2.8
-2.2
Invisibles and Transfers
3.1
2.4
2.0
2.0
Projected
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/19: CIA-RDP85T00287R000501890001-0