PORTUGAL: POLITICAL CULTURE AND NATIONAL CHARACTER

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3
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RIPPUB
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C
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5
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 20, 2010
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1
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REPORT
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20: CIA-RDP85T00287R00 100 16 2 0001-3 ( ~ , 1 25X1- Memorandum for: This paper was prepared by IA 25X1 Branch for Ty Cobb, National Security Council Staff. Distribution: Original - Ty Cobb 1 - NIO/WE -Milt Kovner 1 - OD/EURA 2 - Production Staff 4 - IMC/CB 1 - WE File 1 - Branch File 1 - Author DDI/EURA/WE/IA 9Mar84 25X1 EUR M84-10050 E URA Office of European Analysis Directorate of Intelligence Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20: CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20 :CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3 I I Portugal: Political Culture and National Character Portugal became anation-state in 1140, when most of the countries of modern Europe had rot yet been formed, but it has failed bo keep pace with its reighbors in its political, ecanmic, or social development. The country has remained backward largely because the governing elites until the revolution in 1974 chose not to address sane fundamental problems: personalism, which encouraged political and ideological factionalism; divergent.rorth-south patterns of lard ownership; and the disparities between Lisbon and the less- developed camtryside. Fran the early 16th century until the mid-1970s, Portugal's extensive African and Asian colonies served as a safety valve for ~memployment pressures and provided a captive market and a guaranteed source of revenue. But they also allowed successive regimes - monarchies and dictatorships alike - to igrore domestic problems almost entirely. Now the colonies are gone, and Portugal is simply small and poor. With ro remaining foreign diversions, Portugal's leaders have slowly begun to realize that they A. Accepting the predominance of individual or personal interests and actions over collective or national interests has long been the norm in Portugal. - Because the country was governed for the benefit of a small elite, the concept of the legitimacy of constitutional law or goverrnment did rot take root. Most Portuguese still assume that those who make laws or govern do so to further their own interests rather than those of society as a whole. Protecting oneself and one's resources fran the government is widely perceived as a natural and legitimate activity. must now confront the historic inhibitors of development. I. Personalism - Oanpo~u~ding the problem of personalism is the ration of Sebastian-ism, the term given to a popular yearning for the sudden appearance of a great man who will miraculously solve. the country's problems. The idea dates back to the late 16th Century, when the Spanish Crown claimed the Portuguese throne after the heirless Portuguese Ring Sebastian fell in battle in Moroooo. Popular belief held that Sebastian would return as a savior to liberate the people from all oppression. B. Today's leadership is struggling to win acceptance for the idea that the goverrBnent must have the support err] participation of the population if it is tD modernize Portugal and restore it: to international respectability. - These efforts are made all the more difficult by the public's lea level of political sophistication err] a historic lack of sustained political mobilization. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20 :CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20: CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3 - The yearning of the population for a-"man on a white horse" has given partiwlar salience bo the ambitions of President Eames. The non-partisan Eames canrat succeed himself as President, and press statements show that the leaders of the democratic parties fear that he will use his wide popular appeal bo create a strong personalistic party that would undermine their efforts bo create a modern pluralistic system (of course; they also fear that he will take votes away from them.) B. Prime Minister Scares' experiences in office are illustrative of the practical effect of factionalism. He has formed three governments since 1976, the first two of which failed because of personal and party differences. parties and tQ the failure of governing coalitions. Political and Ideological Factionalism A. Personalism has encouraged the splintering of the political elite into small parties or groups. that fight among themselves. - Portugal's recent history, although not as violent as Spain's, has been a struggle between those holding`differing views of how politics and government should be conducted - supporters of liberal, parliamentary government versus authoritarian rulers; clericalists versus anti~lericalists; republicans versus monarchists; parliamentarians versus presidentialists. - The tendency toward factionalism has prevented the governing elites f ran reaching a vonsensus on fundamental issues, such as the degree of government involvement in the economy. - Factionalism has also delayed the development of a modern party system: most of the parties lack disciplined cadres, clear goals, distinct ideologies, or meaningful programs. - The weakness of the democratic parties in the early days of the Rewluticn allowed the Oa~miunists, with superior party discipline and organizatirn, for a short time bo play a leading role in deciding the political direction of the country. - Finally, factionalism has contributed tro the instability of the - At present, he sits atop a coalition that has a clearer program than most previous governments for confronting the country's _ problems - but it remains fragile because of the factional strains within the parties. - Eames, looking aver the politicians' shoulders, heightens the III. Land Ownership - North versus South A. The Tagus River - which flows through Lisbon - is a dividing line between North~outh land ownership patterns. _2_ Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20: CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20 :CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3 - In the rorth, geography, isolated markets, and an age~ld system of subdivision by inheritance have produced an economic structure based on numerous small private businesses and a patctn~ork of family-run farms. - By contrast, the south-an area of expansive anc3 arid plains - has the nation's largest concentration of landless rural workers, who are employed in the inefficient exploitation of vast land tracts with origins in the Rrn~an estates and the latifundia of B.' The rorth is. also the stronghold of Portuguese Catholicism, which has long buttressed a political conservatism marked by firm opposition to Marxism and a close identification with the traditional society and ecoryanic system. The Salazar-~aetaro regime that preceded the Revolution, ro less than the 19th Century monarchy, viewed this constituency as a key element of its power base. - Despite anticlerical initiatives mounted in the name of social and political reform -- especially during the First Republic and at the outset of the Revolution - the church has retained its hold on the rural rorth, playing a central role in the conservative backlashes that followed in both cases. C. Before the Rewlution, the social structure in the south was dominated by a rigidly hierarchical patron-client system of eoonrnucally oppressive and autocratic local rule. The Church played little role in social development in the south, and secularization took hold. - The peasants, confronting daily the uneven distribution of wealth, were attracted to the message of the CcRmunist Party and served as a ready-made, militant following when the Revolution came. D. The fundamental differences in the social arr] political attitudes of the landholding small farmers in the rorth and those of the landless southern peasants have created t4 scene extent "two Fortugals." - Implementing social and agrarian reforms to alleviate the vountry's severe food .shortages and tmenployment pressures is severely voc~licated by the conflicting pressures of these ownership patterns. IV. Lisbon versus the Provinces ' A. The tension between relatively oos~mpolitan Lisbon aryl the underdeveloped provinces stems primarily from the vonflict between the centralizing tendency. of the capital and the desire for decentralization prevalent in the provinces. -~- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20 :CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20 :CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3 - Since the program of centralization undertaken in the 18th century by the Marquis of Pambal b~ deal with recurring eoor~u c problems, a number of governments have attempted do give the regions greater autor~oimy in local administration and fiscal planning. Little has happened, however. - The failures are largely a result of the scarcity of resources in a limited eooinny and the clashes over how to divide those .resources. - All-the democratic parties today theoretically support decentralization as a means of strengthening democracy at the local level - and rot just at election time. But to date they have been ro more effective than their pre-revolutionary A. The image of Portugal as a o~lonial power was an integral part of the national psyche. Former dictator Salazar promoted the notion in defining the country's uniqueness, and the average Portuguese citizen accepted it. predecessors at turning talk into action. V. Reshaping the National Image - The sudden attairsnent of independence by Portugal's African o~lonies deprived the metropolis of its status as a world power almost overnight. Adjusting to that c3~ange has proven difficult B. Zb recover same prestige, Portugal is trying to regain a position in Africa, to secure a place in the European Oamttuiity, and to strengthen its relations with NATO and the United States. - Lacking the ecomnic resources to aid Africa, Portugal must rely on third parties - such as the IS - to underwrite its activities there. ._ - _. - Negotiations for EC membership have been long and arduous, and, ironically, Portugal's admission has became hostage to Spain's application. - Moreover, Spain's membership in NATO has ceused Portugal to worry that~its role in the Alliance will became even less important than .d. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/20 :CIA-RDP85T00287R001001620001-3