TRENDS IN COMMUNIST PROPAGANDA

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CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1
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RIPPUB
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C
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36
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November 9, 2016
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April 7, 1999
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34
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Publication Date: 
August 14, 1974
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REPORT
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~T P 3 Appr ved. FoP Reieas '}999/09/25: CIA RDP85T00875R00010007C~Q~?# ~r~rren.ds In Cam9rnu -4{ ist~~rQpa;g'ian~dc~~ ~~14 Aju Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Confidential F'BIS TRENDS In Communist Propaganda HIGHLIGHTS: First Communist Reaction to Ford Presidency - page 1 USSR Concerned Over Cyprus Troops, Partition - page 10 Confidential 14 AUGUST 1974 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R006 MM'63$'h 33) Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL nil propaipnde analysis report is bared exclusively on material carried in foreign brmdcut and press media. It to publlrhed by FB[S without coordination with other U.S. ('.ovemment componen-^r. STATSPEC I v~.w l1sWn M rAJW eMMIMI w~efbm Approved For Release 199!~ &DP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 CONTENTS Moscow Puts Best Face on Leadership Change, Hails Continuity. . . . . 1, East Europeans See Ford Continuing Detente Impetus. . . . . . . . . . 3 DRV, FRG Media Negative on Ford's Following Nixon Doctrine. . . . . . 4 Chinese, Other Asian Communists Briefly Note Ford Presidency. . . . . 6 Cuban Media Restrained on Ford, Abusive of Nixon. . . . . . . . . . . 8 CYPRUS USSR Concealed Over Troop Occupation, Threat of Partition . . . . . . 10 MIDDLE EAST Moscow Advises Arab Unity, Political Use of Oil in EC Talks . . . . . 14 INDOCHINA Vietnamese ..oomunists Charge .VN Airstrikes, U.S. Overflights . . . . 17 Le Tn nh Nghi Delegation Visits China, Discusses Aid. . . . . . . . . 18 THAILAND Thai CP Lauds Political Struggle, Calla for People's War. . . . , . . 20 PRC-MONCOLIA Sharpenrid Polemics Show Worsening of Sino4Mongolian Relations . . . . 22 KOREA Pyongyang Highlights Reunification on Kim Speech Anniversary. . . . . 24 SUPPLEMENTARY ARTICLE: Conten*ion Over Party Role in Leading Soviet Economy . . . . . . . . . . as as . . . . . . . . . . . . . Sl APPENDIX Moscow, Peking Broadcast Statistics . . . i Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL F81S TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 U, S, PRESIDENCY Preliminary communist reactlons to the resignation of President Nixon and President Ford's euecaesion range from the cautious optimism of Moscow and its East European allies and a limited reportorial response by Peking to the doctrinaire reactions of the Vietnamese communist and North Korean media. Soviet media have put the best possible appearance or. the change and expressed satisfaction with President Ford's aesvrr,nces of continuity in U.S. foreign policy. Moscow's East European allies have followed a similar tack, with perhaps greater ex- pressions of concern over the sudden change. Peking's very restrained and cautious handling of the change stands in sharp contrast to the Vietnamese communist media, which have combined highly vituperative personal attacks on President Nixon with open skepticism that President Ford is likely to change U.S. policy toward Indochina in any manner favorable to peace. North Korean media reported the Nixon resignation in abusive terms, but--alone among communist countries--has not yet acknowledged President Ford's succession. Cuban media have thus far treated President Ford in restrained, unemotional reportage that contrasts sharply with venomous personal attacks on the resigning President. MOSCG4 PUTS BEST FACE ON LEADERSHIP CHANGE. HAILS CONTINUITY Moscow has endeavored to put the best possible face on the change in the U.S. presidency. Attributing the Nixon resignation exclusively to internal phenomena, Moscow has expressed complete satisfaction with President Ford's avowals of his desire to follow the previous Admiuistration's policy in U.S.-Soviet relations, and it has emphasized other i:igns of continuity in U.S. policy. Moscow has ignored the President's stress in his initial public statements on the need for a strong defense posture, while noting instead his past statements of support for the SALT negotiations. These themes were capsulized in Podgornyy's 10 August congrat- ulatory telegram to President Ford, which expressed satisfaction with the President's initial foreign policy statements and confidence that U.S.-Soviet relations would continue to improve. A PRAVDA editorial article on the 11th, which presented the most authoritative assessment to date of the circumstances surrounding the change in Administration, reaffirmed the "great Approved For Release I 999/O DEeTi 'DP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1.974 significartula" that Moscow attnches to the U.S.-Soviet relation- ship and noted such signs of continuity as the new President's expressed desire that Kissinger remain as Secretary of State. Like other commentary, the editorial article pointed out that the changes in Washington were a result of Internal develop- ments in the political and economic arena and emphasized that objective, long-term factors--independent of individual lead- ers--lay at the basis of the new U.S.-Soviet relationship. Moscow has long stre38ed this' point in countering concern that the new relationship with Washington was too dependent on the whims of the U.S. domestic political scene. Assessments of President Ford's political history have singled out positive elements, such as his past statements in support of detente and the President's visits to the Soviet Union. Reports of his speeches upon being sworn in on 9 August and before Congress on the 12th also singled out his remarks on the need for continuing the Nixon Administration's policy toward the Soviet Union. Moscow's posture on the strategic aspects of the relationship has followed the same Fattern. In reports of the Pres'ident's remarks and elsewhere r'oscow has ignored Presidcnt Ford's emphasis on the need for a strong defense posture to support detente. Public assessments have instead publicized his comments' in support of SALT. The PRAVDA editorial article cited a 1 August Christian Science MONITOR interview in which he expressed "support for the Soviet-U.S. SALT accords and hope that an agreement will be reached as a result of the second stage of talks on this problem." In a 10 August discussion of the changes on Soviet TV, TASS director Leonid Zamyat in-- spokesman for Brezhnev at recent summits--cited similar feelings expressed to him by Ford during Zamyatin's visit here last May with a Supreme Soviet delegation. De%:;ite the pervasive confidence in the continuity of U.S. policy, there have been hints that Moscow anticipates a greater focus on domestic problems at the expense of foreign policy initiatives in the new Administration. A 10 August assessment of the U.S. changes by IZVESTIYA political observer Vikentiy Matveyev noted that the U.S. change came in the wake of a rash of governmental changes in other Western countries, such as France, Britain and the FRG. While noting that the new leaders in all. cases had confirmed their interest in continuing detente, he acknowledged as well their intention to "give priority to domestic problems." Approved For Release 1999/09; ' DO DP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FINS '."KENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 Reports from Moscow carried in the Yugoslav media--a suurae whi:h has frequently provided reliable insights intu Mcseow's thinking on sensitive issues it has been reluctant to discuss openly--tend to confirm this note of ;-ration in the Soviet assessment of the changes in Washington. According to a 9 August TANJUC news agency report, "political observers" in Moscow feel that under the new President relations could be expected to develop at a slower pace, though probably along the recently established lines. The same observers were reported ad expressing particular concern about the President's history of strong support fat military programa. EAST EUROP.ANS SEE FORD CONTINUING DETENTE IMPETUS Moscow's East guropean fillies. though indicating concern over President Nixon's resignation, have generally expressed cautious optimism that President Ford would continue the detente-oriented policies of the last ndminiAtration. Among the signs of continuity highlighted by the media have, been the PresidefY's assurances that he would pursue the Nixon Administration's policies in foreign affairb and the President's retention of Set.tatary Kiecinger. Explanations of the Nixon resignation itself have been inconaietent, pointing out on the one hand that domestic affairs, not foreign affairs, brought about his downf.:ll, and on the other that the Watergate issue had boen exploited by "forces" who "mistakenly" believed they could undermine detente by toppling the President. Yugoslav re- action--though more critical of American foreign policy--was markedly similar to that o' the orthodox Warsaw Pact countries, while Pact maverick Romania was ro,atrained in its commen' and eschewed any details of domestic U.S. events. Albania, characteristically, expressed pleasure over President Nixon's humiliation, but foresaw nothing good coming out of the curre.at U.S. ;nlitical system. A common theme in the comment of the East European countries on the prospects for detente under the new Administration hap been the argument that detente depends not on individual leaders but on objective factors. While Nixon is credited for hia "r 11sm" in recognizing the objective changes in the world balance of forces, it is implied that the present U.S. Administration will make much the same assessment and adjust it@ policies accord- ingly. CONF ENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: GIA-RD P85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CANFT.DENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 At thA vamc time, some, reservations have been voiced concerning the ; cesibility that the new Adailnietration may neglect foreign af.fai,% in favor of c new concautration on domestic problems. BudapRSt radio an the 10th, for example, expressed concern that the new President may become "praoccuuiud" with domestic problems, espc+eial]y since he is more familiar with them. Biographical data on President Ford has been sketcny but generally favorable. Doecribed consistently as either "conservative" or "moderate conservative," Ford has nevertheless been portrayed as a supporter of detente. The Bulgarian press on the 10th, for exr'mple, depi.ted him s "calm and moderate," and as "a serious and intense leader, a realist in his actions and intentirns>" One paper, TRUD, though also generally complimentary, cited reports that the new President lacked a brilliant intellect and imagination and that he "has not produced any original ideas in politics." While the East European media frequently reported that President Ford had supported an "aggressive" foreign policy during the cold war years, it was also pointed out that he steadfastly supported the Nixon Administration's foreign policy. The President's lack of exposure on the fcreign scene has alan been noted. Whereas East Berlin's Voice of the GDR on the 10th referred to his "great experience as a politicietu and statesman," Budapest Radio of the same day noted that he was picked as Vice President because he was "suitably undistinguished." The Bulgarian party daily RABOTNICHESKO DELO, also on the 10th, pointed out that before Ford had joined the Administration, he had not been "known for any particularly active participation" in foreign affairs. The President's 12 August speech to a joint session of Congres.3 was summari.ned by every East European capital--all of them emphasizing his pledge to continue his predecessor's foreign policy, particularly the improvement of relations with the Soviet Union. Budapest, Prague, Sofia and Tirana media singled out his call for a continued strong national defense policy to insure peace. Although comment on the speech was sparse, favorable fate 'as taken of the President's remarks on U.S.-Soviet relations. DRV. PRG M A NEGATIVE ON FORDS FOLLOWING NIXON DOCTRINE Hanoi and Liberation radios reacted quickly to President Nixon's resignation, blaming his demise on the "total crisis and deadlock of all internal and foreign policies" of the United States, CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL k'8IS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 of which Watergate was only a "manifestation." Initially sparse and essentially factual references to President Ford by Va.etnamass communist media have now given way to critical comment, whereas the relatively restrained treatment accorded Nixon in their first response has since developed into an unbroken barrage of invective, reviling him for alleged "crimes." Hanoi radio's first, lengthy commentary on President Nixon's resignation, broadcast on 9 August less than four hours after the event and before Ford's swearing-in, even then observed that President Ford would be "very limited" in his ability to make changes because the "capitalist ruling clique formulates U.S. policy." The same commentary noted in its lead paragraph that Kissinger would continue as Secretary of State, and the.. U.S. policy remains bipartisan irrespective of who is Pres!dent. Describing the shortcomings of the present U.S. international position, Hanoi noted that Nixon had been "wearing a false peace mask and upholding the label of detente" in foreign affairs. It characterized the Vietnam war as a U.S. "fnilu:e" that weakened the United States "militarily, politically, and economically." A briefer, more sharply worded Liberation Radio commentary aired an hour later took the same tack, stressing that the President's "warmongering and cruel policy" against Vietnam was one of the "root" causes of his downfall. While claiming that the President's "collapse" was a strong blow to the Nixon Doctrine and that it "clearly exposes the weakness of the U.S. imperialists," the Liberation Radio commentary characterized Thieu as "bitter and bewildered" by Nixon's end and predicted that Thieu cannot "avoid being seriously affected'by Nixon's resignation. Hanoi's first substantial appraisal of President Ford came in a broadcast late on 9 August presenting biographic data on him. Citing "foreign news agencies," the report said he was a "represen- tative of the Republican conservative faction" and that he has agreed "85 to 95 percent" of the time with Senator Goldwater--"a most reactionary and conservative politician." The biography noted that Ford actively supported the U.S. "policy of aggression" in Vietnam. Reaction to President Ford's inaugural address was confined to brief Hanoi radio reports citing U.S. press agencies. A Hanoi broadcast of the 10th noted that, according to AP, the State Department had affirmed that the Nixon Doctrine would continue to serve as a guideline for U.S. policy in Southeast Asia under the Ford Administration. An interview given by PRG CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FB1S TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 Foreign Minister Nguyen Thi Binh, aired on the 11th, by Liberation Radio, observed that Gerald Ford's policy toward South Vietnam would "remain unchanged " in view of the recent support for the Thieu administration expressed by the U.S. Embassy in Saigon. A Hanoi radio broadcast in Mandarin on the 11th reflected mild antagonism in noting what it considered President Ford's first acts affecting Vietnam. These ware listed as the continuation of the Nixon Doctrine under Secretary Kissinger, the assurances given Thieu by the U.S. Embaeny in Saigon, and the alleged over- flights of DRV territory by U.S. reconnaissance aircraft on the afternoon of the 9th--after Ford bad already bean sworn in--as evidence that Nixon's policies were being continued. A Hanoi radio broadcast of the 13th contained the first monitored reaction to Ford's speech before a joint sesoion of Congress on the 12th. In an otherwise straightforward account of the address, the broadcast took predictable exception to his remarks on Indochina, saying that his "ballyhoo" about wanting the cease-fire observed was belied by "grave sabotage" of it by the United States and Thieu. PERSONAL ABUSE The venomous barbs that Vietnamese communist media AGAINST NIXON have aimed at the outgoing President appear intend- ed not only to arouse revulsion for his policies but for the man as well. A 10 August NHAN DAN commentary, analyzing the "bankruptcy of the Nixon Doctrine and the crisis of U.S. imperial- ism," charged Nixon with being "the most bellicose, most reactionary, and most malicious" U.S. President in history and described his resignation speech as that of a "born liar, a quack, an abuser of powc:i, and mastermind of many political scandals and swindles." Similarly, a QUAN DOI NHAN DAN commentary of the same date portrayed him as an "ambitious tyrant" whose "golden dream" of presiding over the U.S. bicentennial had been "shattered." Liberation Radio, in a broadcast of the 11th, declared in equally abusive language that Nixon would be remembered as a "criminal who has squandered hundreds of billions of dollars in taxes on war" and declared that his name would continue to "nauseate the world for thousands of years." CHINESE., OTHER ASIAN CQ IWISTS BRIEFLY NOTE FORD PRESIDENCY Peking has been circumspect in treating President; Ford, avoiding all comment while reporting briefly on his 12 August address to Congress and noting the President's 9 August meeting with P'RC CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FlIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 Liaison Office Chiof Huang Chen following his swearing-in that day. The 13 August NCNA account of the President's address, transmitted to both domestic and foreign audiences, cited his statement that bringing inflation under control was his Administration's "first priority" and noted his determination to continue the foreign policy of President Nixon. Though Ignoring the President's remarks addressed to other foreign nations, NCNA replayed in full his pledge to continue the now relationship with the PRC based on the principles of the Shangh&i communique. Peking also reported President Ford's determination to stand by past foreign policy commitments and his opposition to unwarranted cuts in U.S. defense spending, quoting his affirmation that a strong defense provides the surest way to peace, while weakness invites war. China's sole report on President Nixon's resignation was a brief, straightforward NCNA report on 9 August, also broadcast on the national radio, based on President Nixon's 0 August television address. The report cited the President's exrlanation that loss of Congressional support due to "the Wateargate matter" prompted his resignation, but it did not amplify on the meaning of Water- gate, a subject Chinese media had never previously mentioned. NCNA ignored other aspects of the Nixon address except his reference to having "unlocked the doors thp: for a quarter of a century stood between the United States and the PRC?" NORTH KCREAN, Pyongyang has not yet mentioned that Gerald MONGOLIAN REACTION Ford has become President, but a single Pyongyang radio broadcast late on 9 August briefly noted President Nixon's "falling out" of the presidency ou that date. The broadcast described him as the "wicked boss" of the U.S. imperialists and a "notorious anticommunist villain and master of the traitorous Pak Chong-hui puppet clique," a rather typical Pyongyang appellation for President Nixon. The item was otherwise devoted to an attack on ROK President Pak. According to a 10 August Ulan Bator MONTSAME report, the Mongolian press that day informed its readers about the resignation of President Nixon and the swearing-in statement of President Ford. No details are yet available. COMMUNIST CLANDESTINE The Pathet Lan clandestine radio on RADIOS, FRONTS 10 August characterized President Ford's accession to the presidency as portending little change in U.S. "reactionary" foreign and d'iestic policies. Initial reports soon after President Nixon's 8 August resignation speech were brief and factual, but a 10 August commentary stressed his interventionist policy in Indochina and the "crimes" of Watergate. Approved For Release 1999/09/25C LAA-K~ 5T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FUIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 The Cambodian Front news agency warmed President Ford in com- mentaries on 11 and 13 August that if he followed "Nixon's beaten path" of interference in Indochina, he would most a fate similar to his predecessor and "be hanged by the American people and the peoples of the world." The Thai CP radio has not commented on President Ford's policies, but it seized upon U.S. Ambassador Kintner's assurances regarding U.S. policy in the wake of the Nixon resignation to warn that "the United States will not change its policy of aggression and control over Thailand." CUFAN MEDIA RESTRAINED ON FORD. ALUSIVE OF NIXON Havana media have combiLied harsh, abusive criticism of outgoing President Nixon with restrained, unemotional reportage on new President Ford, as well as some tentative leadership remarks suggesting Cuban caution and reiterating willingness to negotiate with the United States if the blockade of Cuba was lifted. The new President was described in a Havana TV biography, quoting a U.S. news agency, as "c conservative in financial matters, a moderate in domestic matters, and a liberal in foreign policy." Aside from one 8 August Havana TV reference to President Ford as "one of the strangest figures in the entire Watergate scandal," a Havana allusion to Ford's changing position on supporting President Nixon in previous months, Cuban media have refrained from further evaluations. Cuban officials, in line with recent Castro remarks, have intimated some receptiveness to the idea of a U.S.-Cuban dialog, but re- iterated the position that a lifting of the blockade must come first. Thus, First Vice Prime Minister Raul Castro, responding to a newsman's question about the possibility of relations with the United States now that Ford had become President, was reported by PRENSA LATIhA on 9 August as replying that "we are willing to sit down for talks" with the United States but only "after they have unconditionally lifted the blockade." Foreign Minister Roa, in a press conference in Sweden reported by Havana's international service on the 10th, assailed Nixon in vituperative terms but did not directly comment on the new U.S. Administration, although he did rdmark that the U.S. blockade had "fallen apart, and logically it is to be expected that the situation will change." And a 9 August Havana domestic service commentary noted that some U.S. Senators opposed "the cruel isolation ordered against Cuba by the Nixon Administration." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FiIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 Havana's longstanding hostility toward President Nixon was summed up on 9 August by the Cuban Communist Party organ GRANMA, which said that the Watergate "vultures" reared by President Nixon ended up "devouring the insides of one of the most mediocre political hacks who ever passed through the Presidency of the United States." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDtNTIAL FBI8 TRKNDS 14 AUGUST 1974 CYPRUS USSR CONCERNED OVER TROOP OCCUPATION, THREAT OF PARTITION Soviet reaction thus far to the renewed Turkish attacks in Cyprus on 14 August, following the breakdown of the Geneva negotiations, has been confined to brief TAPS reports noting the resumption of "military actions," Greece's withdrawal from NATO's military structure, and UN Security Council adoption of a resolution calling for an immediate and to hostilities and resumption of peace talks. In the pant wack, coincident with the opening of the second phase of the tripartite Cyprus talks in Geneva, major articles in IZVESTIYA and PRAVDA criticized the 30 July Geneva Doclaration by Britain, Greece and Turkey and argued that the Security Council, not the NATO guarantor states, should bear the responsibility for de.:ing with the Cyprus problem. These articles and other Soviet comment conveyed a tone of increasing concern over the presence of foreign troops on the islend, charging that this "effective occupation" of large areas of Cyprus world lead to division of the country, threatening Cyprus' existence as an independent state. Moscow, having previously softpedaled Turkey's military involvement in Cyprus and evaded attributing federation proposals to Ankara, has now edged toward reluctant acknowledgment that at least some of the difficulties stem from the Turkish attitude. Soviet eoumnent in general has continued to avoid any suggestion of a possible Soviet initiative in the Cyprus problem. However, A NEW TIMES article reviewed by TASS on the 8th did inject a Soviet offer of Help into the usual Moscow formula on the Cypriots' right to decide their future themselves. It said that the USSR "is willing to help the Cypriot people, both Greek and Turkish," to secure for themselves the right to decide their own problems and the destiny of their common motherland. CURRENT SITUATION Soviet reportage on the renewed Turkish military operations in Cyprus has been confined, as of this waiting, to a single TASS English item datelined London noting that "military actions have been resumed" following.the breakdown of the Geneva talks. TASS reported that Turkish planes had bombed military installations near Nicosia and in the airport area, Turkish tanks had been observed ot: the road between Kyrenia and Famagusta, and fighting had broken out along the Green Line in Nicosia. TASS promptly picked up Greek Foreign Minister Mavros' statement in Geneva CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FB1S TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 that Greece no longer considered itself a NATO member, as well as the subsequent Athens announcement that Greece was withdrawing its armed forces from NATO while remaining a "political member" of the alliance. TASS cited a Greek Government spokesman as saying the decision was due to NATO's inability "to prevent a conflict" between Craaco and Turkey; the Athens announcement in fact referred to NATO's inability "to restrain Turkey from creating a situation of conflict." Thus for. Moscow's only account of the emergency Security Council session has been a two-sentence TASS report noting that the council unanimously demanded an immediate end to military operations in Cyprus and resumption of the peace talks, and that the session had been hold at the request of Britain, Greece and Cyprus after the failure of the Genova talks and "a now outbreak of hostilities" in the island. TURKISH PROPOSALS As the Geneva talks broke up over Turkish FOR FEDERATION demands for a federal structure for Cyprus, finally abandoned its efforts toavOid acknowledging Turkish authorship of proposals for autonomous administration and geographical separation. Up to this time, Soviet comment had warned vaguely of "Wescern" plans for changes in the islant i internal structure which would open the door to dismember- ment of the island. As Moscow in the past week voiced increasing alarm over threats of partition, a Moscow domestic service commentary ;t the 8th, in what was apparently the first.mention of the Turkish demands, cited "acting" Cypriot President Kliridhis as saying that Ankara's proposal for a geographic partition of the two communities was unacceptable. On the 13th, after a Turkish ultimatum for acceptance of its proposals at the Geneva conference, TASS finally acknowledged that a Turkish plan was the focus of attention at Geneva. While "the particulars are not yet finally clear," TASS said, the proposal envisaged establishing "autonomous regions (cantons) with Greek and Turkish population which are to be united in a federal state." TASS, in a dispatch from Ankara on the 13th,. subsequently cited "news agency" reports that the Turkish proposals provided for two independent administrations and "completely autonomous federative states" enjoying equal rights "in the formation.of.a.federal government." TASS noted that Turkey.proposed.that the "Cypriot Turks' state" occup 33 percent of Cyprus territory and consist of five cantons and that it also called for."radical changes" in the Cyprus constitution. A Moscow domestic service newscast early CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85TOO875ROO0300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL 1t11IS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 on the 14th, without mantit:,ing the fighting -in Cyprus, reported that the Geneva talks had been broken off of tar Turkey insisted on "unconditional accaptanto" of its plan for establishing two autonomous administrations in Cyprus. The report noted that after Kliridhis rejected the plan as unaccoptabin and proposed postponing consideration of it for the time being, Turkish Foreign Minister Gunas said that if the Turkish proposals were rejected the talks would be terminated, and "this is exactly what happened." CC*1ENT ON Setting the stage for the reopening of what he STATUS OF CYPRUS called the "narrow secret talks in,Goneva," an 8 August PRAVDA commentary by Svetlov in effect indicated opposition to.Turkish federation proposals by complaining that conditions in Cyprus were such that the legitimate government could not exercise authority "throughout the country." Objecting to the provisions of the Geneva. Declaration , Svotiov noted that there wac no hint in that document as to when and haai foreign military interference would be ended and.the Cyprus Government would be guaranteed the opportunity of "exercising its own authority to the full" in the country. Svetlov noted that the Geneva participants had no objection to a review of Cyprus' status and its constitution, and IZVPSTIYA political observer Matveyev, in his article the same day, charged that talk about possible formulas for the internal structure of. Cyprus .failed to take account of the opinions of the Cypriots themselves. Matvay*v observed that while Greek. Cypriot, and. Turkish Cypriot representatives were to be.invited to the Geneva.talk,. the three guarantor states were "circumventing" the question of ,-qual participation by "representatives of .the Government ,i Cyprus," TASS director general Zamyatin, in a Moscow domestic service "answers to listeners" program on the 10th, enlar1,ed on.Matveyev's complaint, remarking that representatives of the Gre.. Cypriot and Turkish Cypriot communities had been invited to the.second phase of the Geneva conference, but that "neither of the. communities can represent the government as a whole, which means that here toop from the beginning a course is being steered toward division of the island." Zamyatin sidestepped a question as to why Makarios had not yet returned to Cyprus, responding that Makarios himself bad iaid that so far it was not possible to "implement authority" on the island, and that in the current conditions his return as "lawful president" would be dangerous. Matveyev's.IZVESTIYA.article .did call for restoration of the "constitutional government led.by President Makarios," declaring that there "can be no other way" of protecting Cyprus' sovereign rights. Approved For Release 1999918U71v1JX-RDP85TOO875ROOO3OOO7OO34-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 TROOP ISSUE The Matveyev I`!VESTIYA article, #ocusin3 on the need for withdrawal of foreign troops from Cvpt,us, offnrad the first Sovfdt interpretation of the relevant paragraph in Sacurlty Council resolution 353, assorting that it calls for immediate withdrawal "of all foreign military personnel there wxcopt the UN troops." (The resolution in feet calls for withdrawal of "foreign military personnel present otherwise than under the authority of International agreements, including those whose withdrawal was requested" by President Makarios on 7 July.) Matveyov declared that the scale of "foreign inrarfere.tce had constantly been increasing, that large areas of thu islitd were "effectively In a state -f occupation," .*nd that the number of foreign troops was rising rather than di,,ressing. Criticizing the Geneva Declaration, Matveyev Sall it wap extremely ambiguous in that it mentionni troop withdrawal in the "moot indefinite and diffuse form." It went no further, he said, than "the formula that 'the territories under the control of the armed forces of the parties to the dispute . . . must not be extended," and he charged that even this "half-hbnrted commitment" was not being observed. In asserting that the major sources of tension in Cyprus were the foreign troops moved there "in defiance of Standards of inter- national law," ttatveyev made no mention of the guarantor states' right t: act under the 1960 Treaty of Guarantee. But NEW TINE" commentator Sharov, in an article broadcast by Moscow domestic service on the 9th, noted that Britain retained the right to keep forces on Cyprus "as a so-called guarantee" of the state's independence, and the "other 'guarantors,"' Britsis'? NATO allies Greece and Turkey, also stationed military contingents on Cyprus. Sharov asserted that the Cypriot people were well aware of the threat to them represented by "these NATO-drilled contingents." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FB1S TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 MIDDLE EAST MOSCOW ADVISES ARAB UN I . Yj POLITICAL USE OF OIL IN EC TALK,". In limited comment on t'.'l first round of talks hold 31 July in Faris to initi.te therocg-awaited formal dialog between the European Community and Arab tats on mutual economic cooperation, Moscow has profemsed a favorable svaluacZcn of the development, noting briefly the prospective oronomie advantages for both sides while focusing primarily on potcmtial political benefits for the Arab side, The Soviet reaction has been generally in line with Moscow media treatment of EC-Arab relations in past months, although lacking the previously pronounced emphasis on the theme of disarray in U.S.-European relation@ add European refusal to fall into line with U.S. proposals fir unifl.ed policies by the maj,.L' tl-consuming nations to meet the variour problems related r,c the one ly crisis. BAC!.CROUNDs Init& tion of a formal EC-A:ab dialog has been long in preparation, and over the past months Moscow media have followed the highlights of its gradual realisation. Soviet reporting on the EC Copenhiger conference in mid-December 1973, for example, noted that theme had been discussion of direct cooperation between the European and Arab countries as a means of resolving the energy crisis. Moscow media also noted French Foreign Minister Jobert's proposals fcr such cooperation in January 1974 and the EC formal decision at Brussels in March 1974 to enter into direct talks with the Arab states. In commenting on those developments, Moscow has generally presented them as evidence of U.S.-European disunity and of a desire by Europe to avr1d depund.nce ot; the United States, often adding that the developments represent a victory for Arab unity and offer the Arab states ?.. omic and political advantages. ECONOMIC BENEFIT.. Moscow has almost certainly been displeased by the prospects of expanded, long-term economic cocierition between the Arab states and Europe, but in its public comment has nevertheless Avoided criticism of thn development, seeking instead to emphasise its positive aspects for Arab int`eests. In reporting the recunt initiation of the EC-Arab dialog, Moscow has characterised the sides' interosts,in it as "understandable" and explained itts emergence primarily in terms of the anticipated mutual ecotwi is benefits. Thus, the Europeans are said to seek to ensure a continuous Fupply of Arab oil, the source of almost 75% of Europe's fuel coodsa and to sea in direct talks with .:he Arab states a way, Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL F3318 TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 as well, to avoid the "costly middlemanship" of U.S. oil companies. for their part, the Arab countries seek, In largo part, to obtain Western equipment and advanced technology. POLITICAL. ASPECTS Moscow has emphasised at the same time, however, that the Arab states are motivated not only by economic concerns but ale, by national political interests in the achievement of a desirable Middle East settlement. Recently, Moscow has on occasion advocated that the Arab states shou)d exploit their new dialog with Europe by pursuing a unifi.ad policy on oil supplies designed to force appropriate changes in European foreign policies. A particularly explicit c.xaaple, an unattributed commentary broad- cast in Arabic on S August on the "unofficial" Radio Peace and Progress, stated as a general proposition that the Arabs viewed their dialog with Europe as a moans to help create "the proper intetiational atmosphere" for a final Middle it settlement. Warming to the subject, the commentary apsertsd that "no serious cooperation" was pcsaible between the two sides wit'iotrt "precise commitments" by the Europeans to take the Arab side against Israel. The commentary added that "there is no harm in recalling that the very possibility of conducting a Euro-Arab dialog appeared after the Western states were forced to charge their pro-Israel Middle East policy under the influences tef the Arab oil embargo." Somewhat less explicitly, PRAVDA commentator Yu. Kharlanov in an article on 23 Ju17' asked rhetorically, "who is creatirg thft obstacles" to establishment of direct relations bswten the Arab states and Europe. He predictably located the culpritA to major U.S. oil interests which fear a lots of monopoly positrons in the fuel market. Echoing some of the points he And other Soviet comsntaiors had made in their analyses of the energy crisis and Arab oil embargo in late '973 and early 1774, Kharlanov urged the oi1?produ0.ng developing countries to maintain a "unified front." He concluded with the reminder that only a unified policy "independent of presours from the Douopoliss can lead to results that meet the true interests of Third World nations." TOLKJNDV ARTICLE A major IZVESTIYA article on 1 August, third an.14 last in a series on the Middle East by chief edicoz Lev Tolkuonv, was addressed in large part to the issues of Arab unity and use of oil as a political weapon. Opening his article vith the observation that "it would be incorrect to represent the Arab world as united and harsonious,` Tolkunov readily acknowledged that the numa:oua "inter-Arab-contradictions"--linguistic, religious, ethnic, sc-cial, and others--wars goo deeply sutablished to be Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FM TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 eradicated short of "changing the vary class structure of the Arab world, a lengthy and complicated process." Against the background of these "existing realities," Tolkunov nevertheless found ctrtain "unifying factors," chief among which were Arab cooperation with the USSR and the Arib countries' own joint struggle on the oil front, which is linked to an increase of Arab world proff.te and the striving to exert pressure on the Western states ?o that they pursue a policy advantageous to the Arab states, particularly on the questions of the liberation of the lands occupied by the aggressor. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 INDOCHINA VIETNAMESE CCt4IJNISTS CHARGE GVN AIRSTRIKES, U,S1 OVERFLIGHTS Alleged GVN airstrikes against targets in the PRG "liberated tons" of South Vietnam on 6 and 7 August have drawn numerous protests from Vietnamese communist sources, including PRG and DRV foreign-ministry level statements. The ^RG's reaction to the bombings has again raised the specter of the 15 October 19'3 PLAF Command order.--heretofore noted only occasionally since the period shortly after its issuance--which threatens communist counterattacks in retaliation for alleged Saigon violations of the Paris peace agreement.* At the same time, a DRV Foreign Ministry spokesman's stat,iment of the 9th has charged the United States with conducting aerial reconnaissauce over North Vietnam with SR-71 aircraft. This routine protest was issued at the usual level cf authority and couched in standard terms. The authoritative PRG and DRV foreign ministry statements on 7 and 8 August, respectively, claimed that Saigon aircraft--including "many F-SE's"--bombed and strafed Loc Ninh and Bu Dop in Binh Long Province on 6 August. The PRG statement described the attacks as hitting "densely populated" areas with "demolition, fragmenta- tion, and napalm bombs" which "killed dozens" and caused "extensive damage." The later, somewhat more strident DRV statement upped the death toll, accusing Saigon of conducting "wanton genocidal bombings and etrafings" that resulted in "hundreds of dead." Both statements asserted U.S. complicity in the bombings, with the PRG statement declaring that the United States "must be held responsibl, for Saigon's "violation" of the Paris agreement. A 9 August PRG Fora:Qn Ministry spokesman's statement charging continued GVN bombings on the 7th, while issued at a lower level of authority, ominously referred to implementation of the 15 October PLAF Command order to punish "acts of war." While the threat of PL AF counterattacks are occasionally brandished in the media, the 15 October order has rarely been evoked since its issuance. The only known recent tafarence was in a Liberation Radio commentary of the 8th on the capture of Thuong Duc by communist forces, which declared that the "southern armed forces and people are * For a discussion of the-PLAF Command order, see the TRENDS of 17 Oc? bar 1973, pages 7-9. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL l'BIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 determined to execute" the order as long as Saigon continues its "acts of war." A 9 August QUAN DOI NHAN DAN commentary on the capture of Thuong Duc, while not directly cuing the PLAF Command order, used terminology reflecting its intent by describing the ection as "appropriate punishment . . . right at the bass which serves as a departure point" for ARVN operations. A mildly worded DRV Foreign Ministry spokesman's statement of the 9th-- likewise protesting the alleged bombings on the 7th--avoided mention of the FLAP order or the possibility of retaliation. The DRV Foreign Ministry spokesman's statement on overflights of the North, transmitted in English by VNA on 9 August and in Mandarin by Hanoi radio on the lOt%, described u.d. "encroachments" of the DRV by SR-71's on two occasions on the 9th over Hanoi, Haiphong, and "many other parts" of North Vietnam. This statement has apparently been disseminated thus far only on Hanoi's inter- national transmissions, which would he a departure from past practice. Customarily, statements charging overflights have been broadcast by Hanoi's Vietnamese domestic service, as was the last such protest, a virtually identically worded DRV Foreign Ministry spokesman's statement issued on 15 July charging a similar SR-71 overflight. The only known attendant publicity for the latest protest has been limited to passing references in Hanoi Mandarin broadcasts. LE T ANH NGHI DELEGATION VISITS CHINA, DISCUSSES AID The North Vietnamese economic delegation led by Vice Premier Le Thanh Nghi capped its recent tour of the USSR and East Europe with a 1-8 August stay in Peking and Kwangsi Province before returning to Hanoi on the 8th. _During his stay in Peking, Nghi held talks with PRC economic and aid experts headed by Vice Premier Li Haien-nien, who &lso-attanded airport arrival and departure ceremonies for the DRY leader and feted him at a banquet on 2 August. Li had also been Nghi's host when the latter'stopped off in Peking on 5-7 July, on the first lag of his foreign tour. During his August Peking visit Nghi held separate talks with Prince Sihanouk and RGNU Prime Minister Penn Nouth on the 4th. VNA reported that the DRV Vice Premier and his entourage were welcomed home in Hanoi on the 8th by officials headed by Vice Premier Nguyen Duy Trinh. The delegation aecompaaying Nghi to China included Vice Chairman of the DRV State Planning Commission Le Khan, who had been with Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL PHIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 Nghi during earlier talks in Moscow rend East Europe.* Joining the delegation in Peking was DRV Vito Foreign Trade Minister Ly Ban, who in the past has played a crucial role in the annual negotiation of Sino-VisC:i::.4se aid agreements. While NCNA merely stated that the DRV delegation was on an "official visit" to China, VNA disclosed on 6 August that the two sides hold talks on "China`s aid to Vietnam in 1975" and on the "development of economic, scientific and technical cooperation between the two countries." No agreements were noted during the visit. Though Peking gave full honors to the visitors and described effusively the "very cordial and friendly" atmosphere .hat prevailed in the bilateral talks, evidence of persisting Sino- Vietnamese differences was reflected throughout the visit. Thus, at the 2 August banquet, Li Hsien-nien failed to echo Nghi'e sharp assessment of the "grave situation" in South Vietnam caused by continuing .a, intervention designed to establish "neocolonialism." Li stressed instead Chinese approval of Vietnamese postwar reconstruction and support for their implementation of the Paris agreement. He mildly criticized peace agreement violations by Saigon "with the support of the U.S. Government." Peking spokesmen duly testified to the "proletarian inter- nationalist" basis of Sino-DRV relations, but they discreetly muffled statements committing Chinece aid to Vietnamese endeavors. NCNA even dropped references to Chinese aid that appeared 1.n VNA accounts of Nghi's speeches, not reporting the DRV leader's stress at the 2 August banquet that Chinese support and assistance zontributod to the "great victory of the Vietnamese people's anti-U.S. strug;le for national salvation." NCNA also failed to carry Ngri'a prediction that as a result of the talks in Peking, "the great and precious assistance of China will be strengthened and developed." ? * For s discussion of the delegation's-earlier stops, see the TRENDS of 17 July 1974, pages 12-13, and of 31 July 19746 pages 14-16. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FBI8 TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 THAILAND THAI CP LAUDS POLITICAL STRUGGLE, CALLS FOR PEOPLE'S WAR The China-based clandestine radio of the Thai Communist Party, the Voice of the People of Thailand (VOPT), marked the anniversary of the 7 August 1965 start of communist-led armed insurrection in Thailand with an editorial reiterating traditional calls for people's war while giving favorable new stress to recent polit?cal struggle. This year's editorial, in contrast to last year's, which preceded the demonstrationp in October that, brought down the Thanom administration, noted that Thai political struggle had achieved an "unpreeedentaf ly large-scale and violent upsurC4." It lauded the October demonstrations as evidence that the mass movements had developed to a "high tide," it characterized civil strife leading to the 21 May resignation of the first Sanya cabinet as a reflection of the "upsurge in the people's struggle," and it claimed that "unprecedentedly large-scale struggles" are being waged against. the present Sanya cabinet. The editorial reaffirmed longstanding Thai CP reliance on people's war by linking the political struggles in the cities with the need for armed insurrection. It stated that the people's experience in anti-government demonstrations and strikes over the past year had shown that "democracy and Justice cannot be obtained through begging, nor can they be handed out by anyone." The editorial added that "no peaceful means" can solve the conflict between the people and the rulers, and stressed that the seizure of political power by armed force "is the only correct way to solve the problems of the country and the people." Reelecting the gradually reduced U.S. role in Thailand and the winding down of Indochina conflicts, the editorial this year muffled criticism of the United Stites and made no reference to Indochina-- subjects previously commanding high priority in the anniversary editorial. The editorial also struck a more optimistic note on the insurgents' prospects, highlighting the present "excellent" situation and the enemy's "very difficult position," in contrast to past years when the insurgents' future "tortuous" road full of "difficulties" was emphasized. FOREIGN REACTION In contrast to its silence on the date last year, Peking marked the anniversary with selective 10 August NCNA replays of the VOPT editorial and of a VOPT report reviewing the insurgents' battle successes over the CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 past six months. The change conforms with Peking's increased attention to Thai insurgent battle reports and to demonstrations against the Thai government since the change of administration in B-ugkok 'nst October. It seems to reflect an appreciation that the weak and vascillating Sanya administration is lose likely than the previous, anticommunist Thanom government to allow such low-level NCNA reports to impede the normalization of Sino-Thai relations sought by Peking. NCNA'e replay of the VOPT anniversary editorial focused on its praise for armed struggle while ignoring its discussion of political struggle against Bangkok. It dropped all references Co the United Sr tea and criticism of the Sanya administration. NCNA's replay of the VOPT battle review did contain a passing reference to the "Sanya administration." Vietnamese communist media marked the date with lrt:-ievel commentary that praised the Thai armea struggle and highlighted the U.S. role in Thailand. A QUAN DOI NRAN DAN commentary replayed by VNA on ? August did not criticize the Sanya government by name, but LPA on the sam,~ data scornfully equated the current government with the previous military regime. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875Rb00300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL PRC-MONGOLIA FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 SHARPENED POLEMICS SHOW WORSENING OF SINO-MONGOLIAN RELATIONS Against the backdrop of recent Soviet-fostered moves to convene an international communist conference, presumably to castigate the Maoist leaders, Sino-Mongolian relations have recently taken a turn for the worse. Ulan Bator media have slavishly followeC Moscow's lead in broad-ranging anti-China attacks, while Poking has responded with bitter charges against Soviet exploitation of the MPR. Peking's relations with Mongolia have long been among the poorest of China's traditionally cool relationanips with close Soviet allies--a fact vividly underlined by the official termination of bilateral aid relations following talks held in Ulan Bator eariy last,year.* But the present sharp pitch in mutual polemics--surpassing the propa- ganda exchanges of other Soviet bloc states with tha PRC--points up a hardening in relations over crucial bilateral disputes and more general questions concerning the Sino-Soviet split. Ulan Bator has acted as the chief foreign sounding board for Soviet- inspired charges geared to China's "anti-socialist" policies in Asia, sharply condemning Peking's opposition to the "Asian Collective Security system," calling attention to alleged PRC territorial claims and expansionism in Asia, and charging Maoist pursuit of "Great Han chauvinism" against Mongolian and other minority peoples in China. The Mongolians have issued long treatises documenting the history of Maoist "deviation" as well as searing attacks in the dgily press. Typically, MONTSAME on 6 August replayed an MPR j)urnal'e historical discussion of PRC policies toward ethnic Mongolians in China, scathingly equating Mao's approach with the "chauvinism" practiced by previous dictators in China. It criti- cally juxtaposed Peking's promises of autonomy for national minori- ties with its alleged policies of discrimination and importation of Han Chinese into minority areas. The article even delved into past alleged Chinese leadership disputes over the issues, charging that Ulanfu, an ethnic Mongolian and former alternate PRC Politburo member, was purged because he opposed these policies. It added that subsequent massive influxes of Red Guards into Inner Mongolia during the Cultural Revolution had resulted in the confiscation of Mongolian weRlth and the arrest of older Mongolian males who still retained ethnic identity. * NCNA reported on 27 March 1973 that a PRC Government delegation had returned to Peking, after talks in the MPR which resulted in formal transfer to Mongolia of incomplete PRC-aided projects stemming from past PRC economic and technical assistance agreements with the MPR. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 Though Peking has not responded with equal harshness and has avoided direct attacks against tlL,ta MPR leadership, Chinese comment has recently gone to greater lengths to discredit the MPR's close ties with Moscow. Characterizing Mongolia as the paradigm of Soviet exploitation abroad, the Chinese have charged that Moscow not only dominates Mongolia militarily and politically but also completely controls major aspects of MPR economic life through such means as joint stock companies and technical cooper- ation agreements. Recent commentaries have e,-en alleged that Moscow directly appoints Soviet representativ.os to key Mongolian government ministries, in order to manage closely MPR economic development. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL PSIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 KOREA PYONGYANG HIGHLIGHTS REUNIFICATION ON KIM SPEECH ANNIVERSARY in cormamcorating the annt',ersary of a 6 August 1971 Kl,m I1-song spoe.h, during a visit by Cambodian Prince Sihanouk,'?yongyang has highlighted Kim's statement that "we are ready to come !n touch at any tie.e with all political parties, including the Democratic Republican Party," the South's dominant party. Comparatively little attention was given to the major theme of the original address, which postulated that U.S. rapprochement with China actually evidenced a decisive shift in the world against the imperialist camp. While past aLnivorsarica of this speech have received little media attention, this year's was greeted by a NODONG SINMUN editorial, a speech by Political Committee member Yang Hyang-sop, and a meeting of the central committee of the North's unification front. The front followed through on numerous anniversary calls for wide ranging North-South negotiations with an appeal for convening a "great national congress" this year. Such a congress had been proposed by Kic on 23 June 1973, and appeals for its convocation have been made frequently ninca, but never with such a specific time frame. Moreover, the apkaal wont beyond Kim's original proposal in urging attendance rot only by representatives from people of various strata in both North and South but also from "overseas compatriot organizations." Yang's 5 August speech included the standard litany of Py ntgyang charges against Seoul's perfidy while taking cars to emphasize the North's conciliatory attitude and positives moves for peaceful reunification. Yang characterized Kim's proposal in the 6 August 1971 speech for contacts with the South as a chance for "many peopit" to atone "at least so;aewhit" for past crimes against the nation. He stated that the North could negotiate with the Soutb Korea authorities, "at any place to be agreed on with them," if they would "repent for their wrongdoings in the past" and "return to the position of independence." Blaming the current deadlock in North-South negotiations on the ROK, Yang downgraded the importance of the Red Cross talks, call- ing them the "least" of Pyongyang's many proposals, and stated bluntly that overall the North-South dialog "has made no progress to speak of." He noted, however, that it has been quite success- ful in reveailing the Pak government as "splittist, bellicose and Approved For Release 199& CJA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CrNFIDENTIAL P318 TrJOIDS 14 AUGUST 1974 fascist," in isolating it internationally oven from important segments of U.S. and Japanese public opinion, and in adding to Pak's domestic difficulties. As he did in July on the second anniversary of the North-South joint stateeant, Yang called on South Koreans to "smash the Pak Chong-hui fascist military dictatorship," and he also pointedly cited events in Thailand, Portugal, and Greece to back his claim that the world no longer tolerates such dictatorships. PEKING, MOSCOW A 10 August Peking domestic broadcast noted the DPAK proposal for a national congress. but no original Chinese comment or, the initiative has yet been monitored. Moscow, however, has been quick to hail the plan in selected media. An 8 August Moscow broadcast in Hungarian lauded the rroposal and went on to n.ce the presence of foreign troops in South Korea, stating that the existence of "almost 200" Pentagon m.litary bases formed a "potential hotbed for military eoi U ets." A commentary in Korean on the 9th repeated tt;kt leinguage and contrasted the general "affirmative political detente in the Asian continent" with the "cold war" division of Korea. Approved For Release 1999/09151WDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 -51- SUPPLE1ENTARY ARTICLE CONTENTION OVER PARTY ROLE IN LEADING SOVIET ECONOMY Breshnev's `power at the noeember 1973 CPSU plenum appears to have aggravated the long-standing conflict over the party's rote in the economy, both by its proposals for changes in the economic system and by its blatant call for a more direct party role in management of the economy. The contentiousness of Broihnov's remarks is evidenced by the fact that when a published version of his speech appealed in February, all his specific economic proposals were om'?ted and his call to place economic leadership on a "party basin'- w,-is deleted from a senttanco. This censored clause, as well as hia warnings at the plenum against a "tech- nocratic" approach, have recently bean revived in a June KO UNIST article and a Jul!- RADYANSKA UKRAINA editorial that defacd the party's right for intervene in the economy, suggesting that the issue in still under debate so efforts continue to draft now economic measures based on the plenum. Although Breshnev himself described his proposals at the ple.tm as very important, representing a sweeping reform of the sysL.sm of economic administration and planning, it is unlikely that they include many proposals to grant economic organisations mcra freedom to operate on the basis of economic levers, in view of Breshnev's past coolness toward economic reform and hib plenum remarks calling for more party control. His plenum attack on "narrow-economic" or "technocratic" approaches to economic management presumably referred precisely to those who want more independence for government and economic organisations, and also amounted to an indirect swipe at Kosygin, who has promoted measures to facilitito wider use of economic levers. This has not prevented Kosygin from winning approval of the April decree allowing light industry associations and enterprises more freedom to adjust their own production. Nor has Breshnev received public support from other Politburo members, who have ignored his plenum statements. BREZH EV STATEMENTS According to the 12-page abbreviated version of Brezu..ev's December 1973 plenum speech published in a collection of his &gricultur&l speeches signed to press on 14 February, Breshnev called for a "persistent" struggle for a "party approach in all spheres of economic activity" and 2eclared ? that "era cannot approach leadership of the economy, questions of improving this lsad.rship, from narrow economic, such less technocratic CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENT.AL FBIB TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 positions," since this is "a party matter, a political matter." He also stated: "Both today and in the future the party as and will have two pillars in economic construction. One of them is the improvement of the leader- ship of the economy. imd the other is the mobilisation of t.te widest masses of the workers, arousing of their creative activity and initiative in the struggle for e^ar,cmic progress." In fact, Brashnev's definition of "two pillars" when publicised earlier had included an additional clauia implying an increased party role tunderlinod below). PRAVDA editorials on 27 January and 14 Hareh quoted Breshnev directly as having said: "Both today and in the future the party has and .ail have two pillars in economic construction. One of them is the improvement of the leader- ship of the economy, placing it on a really scien0iM.. really party basis. And the other is the ilization of the wide masses of workers, arousing of their creative activity and initiative in the struggle for economic progress." The siitnificance of the excision is underscored by the fact that although 11 paragraphs of his elaboration on the second pillar, mobilisation of the masses, were published in the Februa.y collection of speochss. no elaboration was included on measurer to improve the administration of the economy. This was all the more striking because his introductory remarks on this subject. which were not cut, had stressed the impo?tance of his proposals, which he termed "a whole system of importan#. measures for improving administration and planning and for improving the whole scotomic mechanism." The sensitivity of the clause is further suggested by the fact that it was cut out of the middle of a paragraph when published in the book. Moreover. It was omitted--along ??ith the rest of the "two pillars" statement--from the initial PRAVIIA editorial on the ilanum published on 16 December, which had included Breshnev's attack on a technocratic approach. This editorial did refer to a part of the omitted clause* but the omission of the reference to "party" had the affect of changing Breshnev's Approved For Release 1999/0/ 25 : CIA RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFyDIWIAL I'Blil TRENDS 14 AUGUI'* 1914 waaning. It said that he had pointed to the need for "further improvement of the 1,,adership of the economy on a Acientif?.c hosts." Alth-ugh 'cbe full "two pillars" statement wan quoted in the 27 January and 14 March PRAVDA editorials, it was omitted from editorials on 28 December, 17 January, 25 February, 11 March, and 13 May, which cited his statement on taking a party approach in all spheres, and also emitted in the editorials on 11 and 15 February and 24 May which cited his condemnation of a technocratic approach. In contrast to PMVDA, IZVESTIYA has largely ignored all those Brpahnev statements on these issues. Its long 16 December editorial on the plenum totally ignored all of Brezhnev's comments on the party's role in the economy--although 1ZVESTIYA, like other papers, reprinted PRAVDA's 16 December editorial in its next issue. In the months since the plenum, IZVESTIYA editorials have only once mentioned Brezhnev's "two pillars" statement (9 February) and his - atement that managing the economy wan a party and political matter (7 Marc:i). The Politburo members in their statements on the plenum have virtually ignored all these statements also, although Mazurov did repeat one formulation in twisted form in his 7 June election speech. Whereas Brezhnev had declared it necessary "to persistently fight for assertion of a truly party style of work, a party approach in all spheres of economic activity," Mazurov declared that the Central Committee coi,siders it necessary "to persistently fight for assertion of a truly party style of work, a scientific approach In all spheres of economic activity." One 'f the few officials to pick up Brezhnev's statements was conservative Moscow gorkom ideology Secretary V.N. Yagodkin, who used Breriinev'm condemnation of a technocratic approach and his insist,'nce on a party approach to leading the economy to launch attacks on liberals in February articles in the journals QUESTIONS OF ECONOMICS and KOMMUNIST. RECENT REFERENCES Two recent references to Brezhnev's "two TO "TWO PILLARS, pillars" formula suggest that this Issue remains very much alive. In a June KOMMUNIST article entitled "The Party Approach to Economic Construction," Latvian First Secretary Voss, a p:apaganda specialist, cited the "two pilla-s" statement in well as Brezhnev's warning against a techrocratic approach an,1 criticized the Theory that the party should "separate 4tself from leadership of the economy and wholly and fully leave this to econotic organs." A 19 July editorial under the identical title in the Ukrainian Central Committee organ Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release I 999/GVi34 'pNRDP85T008Y 0N0070034-1 14 AUCUSA X974 N RADYAHSKA UKRAINA stressed that "party leadership of the economy to an objective necessity" and also repaate. Breshnev's warning against a technocratic approach, quoting the full version of brezhnev's "two pillars" statement. An opposing point of view, in the meantime, has been posed by Central Committee official F.F. Petrenko.* In a 19 October 1973 PRAVDA article he had argued that government and economic organizations now had such skilled cadres that it was no longer necessary for party organs to intervene in their work, and the party could therefore concentrate on its leading political role. In an April 1974 QUESTIONS OF CPSU HISTORY articl4i he argued that a fast-growing economy had made changes necessary in the system of economic administration and even in some features of the political system. In addition, In an April 1971 POLITICAL SELF-EDUCATION review Pstranko had written that Len:n had strictly distinguished between the role of the party as "political leader and organizer of the people" and t-tie functions of state organs and had insisted that the party should not load society directly but through governmen? and public organizations. Petrenko noted that people sometimes ask whither the party organizations "should so thoroughly 'push their way' into economic problems and whether state and economic organs could not themselves handle economic matters and decide them." BACKGROUND While Kosygin has not publicly addressed the issue of the party role, he clearly supports at least some extension of independence for economic enterprises and organizations, a position which would imply some r.ttenuation of central planning red ministerial control as ball as of party control. In addition to his association with the original 1965 economic reform, Kosygin won adoption of a March 1973 decree ordering ministries to switch to a structure of production associations and an April 1974 decree allowing light industry associations and enterprises to set their output on the basis of consumer demands.** Both decrees increase the opportunity for economic units to make decisions on a strictly economic basis. The associations operate on principles of economic self-sufficiency (cost accounting) and can utilize rights granted to enterprises by See the TRENDS of 30 May 1974, pages 23-29. '''* See the TRENDS of 17 July 1974, pages 21-23, and 24 July 1974, page 35. CONFIDENT%AL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDKNTIAL FStS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 the 1965 reform which, in practice, the plants themselves have often been unable to implement. As economist !.. Slyakhman wrote in the April NBVA, "economic independence, the s+bility to fully pay for themselves and all other attributes of full cost acco 't- ing are conceivable and possible only" fur ascaciationr,. not individual enterprises. Further, the spread of associations may strengthen the case for granting more decision-making to economic units, even in such iwnsitive areas no price setting. QUESTIONS OF ECONOMICS chief editor T.S. Khachaturov, urging more flexibility in the price formation system in a May QUESTIONS OF ECONOMICS article, rejected the idaA of allowing enterprises to Wablieh prices for their products, but in a Juno PLANNED ECONOMY article did acknowledge that the "overly rigid and centralized" price formation system alight he improved by granting more rights to associations to set prices for certain types of products, as long as the "general line of state price policy" is observed. The system of "direct ties" between light industry units and retail cutlets permitted by the April 1974 decree, limited though it is, does permit enterprises and associations new rights to adjust output, slightly loosening the central plan's control. When the 1965 economic reform extended more righte to economic enterprises, party spokesman soon asserted the need for a greater party role to insure adc.ption of the correct economic decisions. A March 1968 PARTY LIFE editorial declartd that "now, in connection with the economic reform and a significant widening of rights of economic leaders," party checking oa economic organizations "must be especially deep and cffective," that pv.rty checking is "an effective form of party leadership of the economy,? and that if a party secretary sees that an economic leader "is adopting incorrect decisions," he must resolutely oppose this. Gorkiy Obkom Secretary V. Tikhcmirov wrote in an April 1968 ECONOMIC GAZETTE that "the economic reform grants more rights and more independence to 1'iRders of enterprises" and local party o!ficials therefore feel that "party checking on economic activity must be strengthened," since "there still are economic officials who are not ashamed of deceiving the scat,-." The stage was set for increased interference by the December 1969 CPSU plenum, after which the Central Committee adopted a decree on the party organization of the Ministry of Meat and Dairy Industry, laying down the principle that party organizations of all ministries must intervene more actively in running their ministry and must ii?fvrm the Central Committee of shcrtcomi;ige in the work of the ministry and any of its officials. As Mazurov acknowledged in a 4 June 1970 Minsk speech, "de'tper penetration of party organizations Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL p6I8 TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1V74 into the essence of all processes taking place in the economy is characteristic for the present stage." Against this back- ground, the recent calls by Patrenko to reduce party interference in economic organs may be read as an effort to r4varss the trend begun in the late 1960's. As Petranko argued in the 19 October 1973 PRAVDA article, the weaknesses in state and economic organs which necessitated past intervention by the party apparst have been largely corrected and the party could return to its political work. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1 FBIS TRENDS 14 AUGUST 1974 APPENDIX MOSCCJ, PCF:ING BROADCAtT STATISTICS 5 - 11 AUGUST 1974 Moscow (2453 items) Peking (820 items) China (7%) ')X Law of the Sea Conference (8%) 13% U.S. Presidential Change (--) CX Criticism of Lin Piao and Confucius (9%) 7% [Podgurnyy Greetings to Ford (--) 4%] Romanian Foreign Minister Macov escu in PRC (--) 5% Cyprus Crisis (6%) 7% Cyprus Crisis (7X) 5% Chile (3%) 3% Indochina (5X) 5% [Vietnam (3%) 3%) USSR/Japan Northern Terri- tories Dispute (--) 3X These statistics are based on the volcecast commerV-ry output of the Moscow and Peking domestic and Inter, atlonal radio services. T* a term "commentary" Is used to denote the lengthy Item- .radio talk, speech, press article or editorial, govern- ment or party statement, or dlylomattc note? Items of extensive reportage are counted as crmmentarlea. Figures in pakenthesec indica ' volume of comment during the preceding week. Topics and events given major attention in terms of volume are not always discussed In the body of the Trends. Some may have been covered in prior issues; In other cases the propaganda content may be routine or of minor significance. Approved For Release 1999/09/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R000300070034-1