THE TRANSFORMATION OF NATURE IN CHINA

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CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4
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RIPPUB
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C
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46
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December 16, 2016
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September 15, 2004
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4
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Publication Date: 
September 1, 1973
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IR
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~lrgved Fo Release 2004/10/12: CIA-RDP85T00875R0006000400 f dential The Transformation of Nature in China Confidential CIA/BGI RP 74.3 September 1973 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL The Good Earth? 4 Man and Nature: Traditional View. . . . . 9 Man and Nature: Post - 1949 Developments . 13 Controlling the Huang Ho . . . . . . . 16 The Huai and Hai River Basin Projects 18 Afforestation . . . . . . . . . . 20 Nature in Transformation: Progress and . Prospects 24 Chronology of Water Control Projects and . . . Problems in the Hai I/o Basin . . . . . . foZ"Lowing text CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL Central Intelligence Agency Directorate of Intelligence September 1973 THE TRANSFORMATION OF NATURE IN CHINA SUMMARY Agriculture is a critical element in China's present and future. A key question -- and problem -- is the ability of the, People's Republic of China (PRC) to in- crease agricultural output sufficiently to keep pace with the annual rate of population increase. The answer is complex, but an important factor is China's progress in the protection, improvement, and management of its land resources. Maximum benefits must be realized from increased use of chemical fertilizers, larger supplies and improved distribution of water for irrigation, new crop varieties, and other technological advances. Although the PRC's land area of 3.7 million square miles is exceeded only by the USSR and Canada, its agricultural land resources are subject to major limitations. Specifically: The amount of cultivated land is virtually static; a number of reasons, mostly physical, suggest that this will continue to be true for the foreseeable future. Much 'land now cultivated is of average to low productivity. CONFIDENTIAL 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL Climatic conditions, particularly in North China, are highly variable, specifically in the amount, distribution, and intensity of rainfall, with resultant serious effects upon agricultural output. A sizable proportion of the land now tilled is subject to yearly damage from drought, flooding, erosion, and waterlogging. Environmental improvements were implicit in the major river basin and other water conservancy programs begun in the early years of PRC rule. Additionally, China's rural labor was mobilized periodically to engage in local compaigns of ditch digging, tree planting, and a host of other activities designed to improve agricultural conditions through the up- grading of environmental resources. Peking characterized these menial tasks as an opportunity to "remake nature" and to put an end 'to natural calamities. Nature, or the physical environment, was labeled an "enemy" that caused drought, floods, privation, and famine. Mastery of nature has not been an easy task, even to those inspired and guided by Mao Thought. shrubs on previously barren hillsides and extensive tree plantings results of China's "greening" campaign. increased water s orage aci i ies and the expansion 51- irrigated land. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 he record is not complete DUT at this time would include the following: Enough environmental improvements have been made to lessen the impact from either prolonged rainfall or lengthy dry periods. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL Water impoundments, canals, and related water control and storage facilities have been built by the millions, though most are small and many inadequate for intended needs. The Huang Ho (Yellow River) project, the most widely publicized and largest in scope of the river basin projects, has been scaled back drastically and altered -- principally because of the lack of effective anti-erosion work. Some improvements in the Huai and Hai basins apparently have been made; serious flooding is less likely and damage from waterlogging probably reduced. Millions of young saplings have been planted, but results in terms of original goals have been a patchwork of success and failure. The PRC has not claimed complete victory in its battles with nature, but some improvements in the overall picture are undeniable. That more has not been accomplished and initial goals have not been reached is due not to a lack of incentive or official dedication to the tasks at hand, but rather to the reliance upon mass labor, lack of technically trained personnel, failure to coordinate related projects, overall managerial weaknesses, and the immensity of the problem. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL The Good Earth? 1. The amount of cultivated land in China is relatively small -- approximately 11 percent of the total area -- and no sizable tracts of good agricultural land remain unused. The physical constraints that account for this situation can be summarized simply but aptly: most of China is too steep, too high, too cold, or too dry to support intensive, Chinese-style agriculture. 2. Hills, mountains, and high plateaus comprise more than two-thirds of the Chinese landscape -- land- forms ill-suited to intensive, Chinese agricultural practices (Map A). -4- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL PRC: Elevation and Major Areas of Cultivated Land Feet Meters C1842 30ou ~1 3281 y. 1000 r~ l Over 30% 090 200 In cultivation 3 ?- 0 Much of China is at comparatively hitch elevations: about one-third of the land is above 6,600 feet and two-thirds exceeds 3,300 feet. The lower summer temperatures, shortened growing season, and steep slopes usually found at these hioher elevations combine to preclude much agri- culture (Map B). Nevertheless, the pressure for additional agricultural land has been so severe in China that sizable upland areas have been painstakingly and laboriously terraced to obtain additional fragments of agricultural land. 3. Nearly half of China receives so little rainfall (15 inches or less annually) that crops cannot be grown CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL PRC: Mean Annual Precipitation Inches 39 147 394 591 0 100 500 1000 1500 Millimeters 501024 7.73 unless under full irrigation (Map C). Areas of deficient precipitation include almost all of western and northwest- ern China, but they contain overall only about 4 percent of C H na's total cultivated acreage. Although additional supplies of underground water probably can be tapped, no major areas of cultivated land are foreseen being developed there. 4. Of greater agricultural importance is the seasonal amount, variability, and intensity of rainfall in the major grain producing provinces. In North and Northeast China, where annual precipitation averages only 25 inches (about the same as central Kansas), 60 to 75 percent of this total CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL PRC: Annual Precipitation Variability (in percent) Precipitation variability data for western China are not available. is concentrated in only 3 summer months.* This concentration in so short a period poses an annual threat that meager spring and early summer rains will stunt the growth of spring-sown crops or that too much summer rain in too short a period will damage crops by local flooding and erosion. 5. The variability of rainfall also is a crucial factor in the major grain growing areas (Map D). The most serious In Kansas only about half the yearly rainfall is recorded during the May through August period; furthermore, average daily rainfall intensity in July is less than half of the amount for North China stations. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL PRC: June Precipitation Variability Map E (in percent) Prccipitntion variabifily data for western China ate not available. conditions exist in North C,ii na , where annual variability (departure from normal rainfall) ranges from 20 to 30 per- cent -- in agricultural terms a high figure because crop yields are considered unstable when departures from normal exceed 20 percent.* Spring and summer variability is especially critical and is extremely high on the North China Plain (Map E). Absolute variation in rainfall amounts is Variation is computed by averaging the absolute values of departures from the average., dividing this figure (mean variation) by the average, and multiplying by 100 to arrive at variation expressed as a percent. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL immense in North China: I;' ai -feng has received as much as 19.5 inches of rain in July and as little as 1.6 inches, and at Tientsin the range is from 15 inches to 1.6 inches. Finally, how much rainfall occurs during any one "rain" is another significant indicator of agricultural stability; here again, Ncrth China is frequently subject to brief gully-washing rains that cause flooding and erosion and damage water control works. Many of the weather stations in North China, for example, have recorded as mach as 9 to 10 i nc'ies of rain during a single 24-hour period.* 6. Not only is most of China's land poorly suited for agriculture because of terrain and climatic factors, but even the presently cultivated area possesses inherent physical liabilities. Only an estimated 31 percent of China's cultivated land is classified by PRC officials as "fertile," and of the remainder, 40 percent is "ordinary" and 29 percent "low-yielding." Although the precise meaning of these terms is unclear, they at least suggest the shortage of good land and the predominance of ordi nary and relatively poor agricultural land. The Chinese also have been explicit in stating that sizable percentages of their cropped land are subject to a variety of environmental hazards, all of which threaten yearly crop output and over- all economic stability. Again, evaluation of these assertions is difficult, but they do emphasize the necessity for the careful management and control of China's physical resources. Man and Nature: Traditional Views Let there be no action contrary to Nature, and there is nothing that will not be well regulated. --Taoist Commentary * Average July rainfall for most of North china is G to 9 inches recorded on 9 to 13 days per month; Washington, D.;;., averages about the same number of days of recorded rainfall but its total for the month is only 4.Z5 inches. -9- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL 7. Harmony between man and nature was a basi c philosophy of ancient China, originating in Chinese folklore with elaborations from those philosophical- ethical precepts of Taoisi,i and huddhism that were assimilated into Chinese culture. Practical observations of what happened when man tampered with his environwent undoubtedly helped strengthen these philosophical under- pinnings, as suggested by the following armorial of Ch'eng Hao to Emperor Shen-tsung, ca. A.D. 1075, which stated: It is not merely that the natu re of things has been violated, but that the mountains from which forests and woods grow have all been laid bare by indiscriminate cutting and burning. As these depredations still go uncurbed, the fish of the stream and the beasts of the field are cut short in their abundance and the things of nature are be- coming wasted and exhausted. What can be done about it? 8. The belief that China had achieved a harmonious relationship with the earth reinforced the belief of 18th century Western humanists in the superiority of Oriental culture in general and Chinese culture specifically. Chinese philosophical views toward nature were contrasted to those of Western man, conditioned by his Judeo-Christian heritage: man is created in God's image, he has been given dominion over the earth, and he shall subdue nature so that progress will continue and a better tomorrow he realized. 9. In spite of official injunctions against actions "contrary to nature," the Chinese in the course of more than three millennia of intensive occupance of their land probably altered their environment to a greater extent than has any other civilization. This record is impressive whether measured by the changed appearance of the Chinese CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL landscape or by the immense physical labor involved and the massive amounts of earth materials removed and re- shaped. The North China Plain, for example, has been under intensive cultivation for so long that its "natural" vegetation still is a subject of scholarly debate. Some 2,000 years ago almost a';1 of the lower Yangtze Valley was chokeu with thick forests and extensive swamps; several centuries of clearing and drainage work were necessary before the regulated, almost geometrical landscape of the present day c!nerged. Although continued tillage and expansion of cultivated land produced an often dramatic physical modification, the process itself was viewed as part of a never-ending cycle of life. The constant working and re?oork i ng of the soil, with continual return to the earth of its products in the form of compost and fertilizer, renewed the soil's abilit+,' to produce again sustenance for mankind. 10. Man thus was a much more active participant in altering the physical landscape of China than Western humanists realized. The Chinese recognized that environ- mental mastery was not only a legacy of their legendary founders but also a necessity. The manipulation and management of the environment were viewed, however, not as subjugation of nature but rather as cooperation with and adjustment to natural conditions. 11. A significant change in man-land relationships became apparent by the mid-19th century. The physical resources upon which agriculture depended had been stretched to the breaking point, and, increasingly, erosion and flooding damaged cropland, famine became more common, and the general standard of living of the peasantry declined markedly.* Much of this breakdown can be traced directly or indirectly to the rapid increase in population that had taken place since the beginning of the 18th century -- from about 150 million to perhaps 430 million by 1850. Other factors such as bureaucratic corruption cntd inefficiency, military ineffectiveness, the impact of the Western nations, and fiscal problems also played important roles. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL Although increased agricultural productivity was recorded during this time span, much new land was required to pro- vide sufficient food for tho. rapidly cirow'inq population. Most of this new land was in South China, where sett.l ers cleared forested uplands and planted mountain fi el ds of corn and sweet potatoes.* But careless tilling of the uplands speeded erosion, which in turn led to more frequent and serious -fl ood i ng in the valleys and plains, as indicated by a contemporary 19th century source: Formerly the bed of the Hsiang River [a tributary of the Han River located in south.:estern Honan and northern Hupeh] was several tens of feet deep. Ever since the systematic deforesta- tion consequent upon maize growing, the topsoil has been washed down by torrential rains . . The further upstream one goes, the shallower the ri""er bed becomes. Small wonder that from 1821 to the present [ca.1838] there has hardly been a year in which the Hsiang River did not flood. 12. Pessimism permeated the reports of both Western and Chinese earth scientists who in the 1912-1949 period investigated the status of China's physical resources and probl ems . The more striking and serious problems were in North China. Although locally some progress had been made to combat erosion through contour plowing of slope lands and the construction of terraces, erosion was so widespread and so little ground cover remained that improvement seemed Corn and cwcet potatoes, crops native to the Americas, Were introduced into Clnna in the late Z6th century. They soon were well established in the Chinese agricultural system bccauce of their high yields and adaptability to e720irOflm ntal conch tionc unsuited to rice, wheat, and other traditional staples. - 12 - CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL impossible without major capital-intensive projects under governmenL auspices . In contrast, management of land re- sources in the lowlands of South China was more successful principally because rice -- the dominant crop -- required the leveling and diking of small parcels of land and a carefully regulated flow of water into the fields (Figure 1). Consequently, irrigated rice farming produced an agricultural system that maximized the use of available land resources and minimized damage to them. Reckless use of nearby unland fields continued, however, and erosion often was so rapid that some land had to be abandoned because of exhausted soil fertility after no more than two or three seasons of culti- vation. By the end of Manchu rule in 1911 and the opening of China to wide-scale modernization, damage to the environment had so worsened that traditional methods cf combating these problems no longer were effective. The lack of technical knowledge of how best to combat environ- mental difficulties remained a serious drawback, and the lack of a truly effective national government prevented the introduction of enough technical advisors and sufficient capital to initiate large-scale land and water conservancy programs. Man and Nature: Post - 1949 Developments No matter how big the hiZZ,s are and how deep the gullies can be, they are inanimate things. But men are living being.. We have our hardworking hands. Mao Tse-tung -- "The Foolish Old San Who Removed the Mountain" 13. Since 1949 China's millions have been enjoined to "conquer" and "transform" nature, to "harness" the deserts, and in other ways to alter the physical environment for the benefit of man. Chairman Mao, the oft-cited source and in- spiration for these admonitions, over the years has issued a series of exhortations demanding fulfillment of a variety - 13 - CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 25X1 Figure 1. North China landscapes (above) reflect dry field agriculture, lack of protective upland vegetation, and severe erosion -- particularly in loess areas. Rice landscapes of South China (below) maximize land re- sources through elaborate water control measures and terracing. Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL of environment-related tasks. Recently, the "changing nature" theme has reappeared in the Chinese press, which features articles centered around Mao's instructions, in- dicati ng progress made and work currently underway. 14. The view of nature as an "enemy" and the glorification of man as an instrument of change contrasts with traditional Chinese views of adjustment to and harmony with nature. The aggressive tone of the PRC leaders' rhetoric is in keeping with Marxist-Maoist views that conflict, contrail-i ;Jon, and the struggle are the proper condition of society and, indeed, its most i im- portant dynamic. The emphasis in Chinese tr.,atment of its environmental problems has been on what man can do, under the guidance of the Party, to initiate change and bring about improvement. 15. Major Chinese efforts have focused on water conservancy and protective afforestation, including both large-scale state-directed and -financed projects and a host of local works involving little investment but massive amounts of rural labor. During the early years of economic rehabilitation (1949-52), emphasis was on repair of dikes, irrigation canals, locks, and similar facilities. Additionally, work commenced almost im- mediately on two major flood control projects, the Huai River and the Ching -- the latter name applied to that portion of the middle Yangtze River down to southern Hupeh.* Later, when the First Five-Year Plan (1953-57) was announced, a modest amount of state investment was allocated to initiate major, long-term programs designed to control the perennially unruly rivers of North China -- the Huang, the Huai , and the Hai (Map F) . The Ching project involved the construction of dikes and sluice gates to provide a flood retention basin for the Yangtze south of Sha-shih. - 15 - CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL PPRC: North (.:hind River Basins 1WII 16. More specific plans relating to protection and improvement of the physical environment were incorporated in the Twelve-Year Plan (1956-67) of the National Agri- cultural Development Program, adopted in 1958. These included such basics as increased development of water conservancy works, irrigation, and flood and drought control projects, with emphasis upon small and medium- sized projects, soil improvement, extension of soil and water conservation practices, promotion of afforestation, and expansion of the network of meteorological and hydrological stations. Use of the commune and its organizational structure to mobilize the rural masses was the principal means specified to implement the objectives of the Plan. 17. Planning and work on some early projects was hampered by an inadequate data base and the lack of scientifically trained personnel. Tc remedy the situation China's scientists undertook, with some Soviet help, a series of major surveys designed to inventory, describe, and interpret physical conditions of key areas and their s,rtghtti r,(' ~ + ~ nr'~ .. nliinn f ~ CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL specific problems. Priority was given to studies of the loess areas of the middle Huang Ho (Yellow River) basin and the extensive arid areas of western China. By the late 1950's the results of some of these efforts were beginning to be published in the form of major monographs and articles in technical and professional journals. More specific technical material undouhtedly was forwarded to appropriate ministries in Peking for use in particular projects. Controlling the Huang Ho If you zazit till the Huang 11o i clear, hots old will you be? --Chinese Proverb 18. Matteo Ricci, the pioneer Jesuit missionary to China in the late 16th century, remarked that: "The Yellow River has no respect at all for Chinese law and order. It comes from a barbarous region and . fre- quently ravages whole districts of the realm, silting them up with sand, and changing its course at will ." Though news to Europeans, Father Ricci 's description and characterization of the river merely reiterated what the Chinese had know-,n since earliest times: control of the turbulent Huang Ho was the most persistent and serious environmental problem in all of China. 19. The PRC leadership placed a high priority on a plan to permanently control the Huang, eliminating its periodic floods and erratic changes in course and at the same time more fully utilizing the river both for power generation and as a source of irrigation water. Ac- cordingly, in 1955 the "Report on the Multi-Purpose Plan for the Permanent Control of the Yellow River and Exploitation of Its Water Resources" was presented to the National People's Congress. The plan, ambitious in concept and massive in scope, was based upon earlier studies and recommendations, plus post-1949 investigations. It called - 17 - CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENT11.1 for construction of a series of multi-purnose dams desi 'ned for flood control , power generati on, irrigation , and navi gati on purposes . The most t~ubl i ci zed project was the building of a giant hydroelectric dam at San-men (Three Gates), a point on the Huang upstream a few miles from where the river and its volley widen before emerging on the North China Plain (Hap F) . Smaller dams were planned upstream from San-men, including two on the upper Huang near Lan-chou, plus a series of reservoirs on principal tributaries. But the key to success was, in the words of the plan, the necessity . . to develop at the same time large-scale water and soil conservation works in Kansu, Shensi, and Shansi Provinces and other loess regions." Numerous soil and water conservancy targets were spelled out in the plan (Figure 2). 20. It probably was inevitable that the massive physical changes required to reduce soil erosion did not in fact occur to any significant degree, given the short time schedule for construction of the San-men project (1957-61), the inmense size of the soil and water conser- vancy tasks (only 5 percent of the loess area was covered by trees), and the dizzying rural organizational changes of the period. The San-men Dam was essentially completed in 1961 and a mamnoth reservoir was to have been filled, taking several hundred thousand hectares of cropland out of production (Figure 3). But it was soon discovered that the silt load of the river had not been measurably reduced: by 1963 the penstocks were: clogged with mud. Since then the gates have remained open and the Huang Ho continues as before -- transporting its heavy burden of silt seaward. 21. Mention of the Huang Flo project, and particularly of San-mein Dam, virtually ceased in the PRC press after 1961. In late 1963 and continuing until the advent of the Cultural Revolution in 1966, an occasional article appeared on proper techniques to reduce erosion and soil and water losses in the middle Huang Valley. Only recently have press items reappeared commenting on the overall problem of the Huang. Progress is related in general terms, usually tied to one or more of Chairman Mao's statements, but specific references are to small-scale local achievements rather than a review of accomplishments throughout the Huang Ho basin. No mention, for example, is made of the 1955 plan nor of the great mass of concrete at San-men. - 18 - CONFIDENTIAL. Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Figure 2. The key to control of the Huang Ho is minimizing erosion from barren loess-covered uplands. Terracing and the planting of protective vegetation on non-cultivated slopes are essential. 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Figure 3. San-men Dam, nearing completion in 1961, was expected to prevent serious flooding (as below), provide irrigation water from its massive reservoir, and gen- erate power. Only limited flood control benefits have as yet been realized from San-men. Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL 22. It is clear that Chinese planners grievously underestimated the importance of systematic, long term soil and water conservancy work in the loess-mantled middle reaches (Shensi , Shansi , and eastern Kansu) of the Huang, origin of almost nine-tenths of the sediment load of the river. Press reports of 1963 and later clearly indicated that diverse physical factors present in the middle Huang Valley had not been taken into account. A December 1963 People's Daily article stated that hence- forth "geographical considerations based on actual practice" would be the criteria to be followed in future local land and water conservancy projects. Earlier, for example, projects suitable for a particular physical environment had been imposed on other areas with differing physical conditions -- with predictable results. In the future, according to the article, ". . . preventive measures [soil and water conservancy projects] should be geared exactly to the problems as they exist." The Huai and Hai River Basins Projects Water Conservcowy is the Lifeblood of Agriculture --Mao Tse-tung 23. Two other problem rivers, the Huai and Hai , received early attention from PRC leaders. Both river basins suffered from excessive loads of silt and from their inability to discharge through their silt-clogged channels a sufficient volume of water to prevent flooding during periods of heavy rains. Although flood prevention was the most immediate problem, other objectives included water for irrigation and the generation of electricity. 24. Early work on the Huai consisted principally of repair and rehabilitation of existing facilities. Because considerable engineering data were available from pre-1949 studies on control of the Huai , the PRC was able to shift quickly into a comprehensive program involving the building of new outlets, straightening river courses, and the con- struction of reservoirs. The pace, direction, and emphasis - 21 - Approved For Release 2004/10/1?~~- P85TOO875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL of the plans, however, frequently changed. Announced successes were often followed by later admissions of failure. Familiar problems arose -- uncoordinated efforts, incompetent planning, hasty work, poor maintenance of com- pleted works, and failure to complete basic erosion control in headwater areas. 25. By late 1972 a Chinese article proclaimed that the basin " . . had been transformed."* The construction work of over two decades certainly has superficially trans- formed the Huai basin landscape with new reservoirs, new river channels and outlets, and a host of lesser works ;.impleted. Whether the transformation has completely eliminated the chronic problems of the Huai awaits the test of prolonged heavy rains and lengthy dry spells before a final verdict can be reached (Figure 4). 26. The Hai River, a short but important stream in the northern port-ion of the North China Plain, serves as the outlet for five major streams that wind across the northern Plain and which unite just west of 'Tientsin. This portion of the Plain long has been subject to serious flooding and its agricultural potential limited by consider- able amounts of waterlogged and alkalinized or salinized land. Although some flood control projects were completed during tip,: 1954-1960 period, very serious flooding in 1963, when all five rivers overflowed, prompted a decree from Chairman Mao Tse-tung that "The Hai Ho must be brought under permanent control." (See Chronology of Water Control Projects and Problems . . . following text.) 27. A variety of projects were subsequently under- taken, including major drainage projects that have involved the digging of new channels and providing new outlets. Nevertheless, an April 1973 broadcast from Anhwei told of the "first stage" of a Huai project calling for a 123-km canal and the construction of bridges, regulators, and navigation locks to relieve some 400, 000 hectares of cultivated Zand from the threat of flooding. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Figure 4. Major Huai and Hai River projects have been carried out to reduce waterlogging through improved drainage and leveling of individual fields and to less- en flooding by construction of new channels and locks. Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 CONFIDENTIAL Progress also has been made in rd l ievi nn w-:ate.rlnclni ncj and sal inc conditions, thus ii,iprovino existing cultivated laud and reclaiming additional land. The area of alkaline land, according to recent reports, has been reduc:od by half. Overall, the amount of work done in the llai basin is impressive (flap G). 28. Although the probability of scri ous flooding in the Ilai basin certainly has been greatly reduced, the long term success of the present programs will depend upon efficient management of the newly created control and drainage systems. Dikes must be inspected and strengthened, protective ve,:-tation on the dikes maintained, water seepage from streams to areas of sandy soil control lei:, dr' dgi ng continued, and pumps continually maintained and repaired. Improved crop yields can be expected over the next few years from land that previously had been waterl ogped , although salinized soil must be leached fur years before it becomes fully productive. Some successes have been achieved in reducing the area of alkaline land, but the complicated network of new channels must be operatively synchronized to prevent the development of additional problems of water- logging and salinization following periods of above-normal rainfall. Afforestation Develop forestry and clothe all poscibZe bare land with green. --The National Program for Agricultural Development i ng of trees on previously 5arren hillsides, along major roads, and in the cities. Visible contrasts between pre-1949 conditions and the present are great (flap I-I) . How much has actually been accomplished is difficult to determine, even though abundant statistics have been released on land afforested -- particularly during the first decade of PRC rule. It is clear that the yearly figures have contained - 24 - CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/12 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000600040004-4 PRC: The Hai Ho Basin Chl?nlnp 1 Mongolia Shansi ~~llsllrurhun ,/ ? unlr?f loll hrking Municipality PEKING 0 Yang-cF ._!/,, .,'U I~q I In .Clrencl?to ;f'nncf?~ftin %,, .'tu'nt?,m Munici{,ehty T;?'nn LL \ w rr N thou I ) I'n Aui Map G --ShA ung Major water control project 117,7 Completed Under construction or planned ro oPo-shan ro 160 KAo,,1 Ito ?o,, sin I.tt~ .l