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December 19, 2016
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December 21, 2001
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June 15, 1972
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oc. ips ? ?, ?, ,?? t I t J.', 1.1 , APPr?"'''''1"11 ri 11,1 .? ,:i? Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R00080 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Centr, 1 Intelligence ?State Dept. declassification & release instructions on file ^fie 1.1) No Foreign Dissem Soc[ret N2 592 15 June 1972 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020134-0 Approved For Release 2005/06/nastDP85T00875R000800020134-0 The CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN is produced by the Director of Central Intelligence to meet his responsibilities for providing current intelligence bearing on issues of national security to the President, the National Security Council, and other senior government officials. It is produced in consultation with the Departments of State and Defense. When, because of the time factor, adequate conadtation with the depart- ment of primary concern is not feasible, items or portions thereof are pro- duced by CIA and enclosed in brackets. Interpretations of intelligence information in this publication represent immediate and preliminary views which Ire subject to modification in the light of further information and more complete analysis. Certain intelligence items in this publication may be designated specifically for no further dissemination. Other intelligence items may be disseminated further, but only on a need-to-know basis. WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. GROUP Excluded from automatic downgradou and declassification Secret Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020134-0 25X6 Approved For Release 2005/06ff6A-Pp85T00875R000800020134-0 No. 0143/72 15 June 1972 Central Intelligence I.ulletin CONTENTS VIETNAM: Situation report. (Page 1) CIVIL AVIATION: Soviets will support UN statement on air piracy. (Page 3) YUGOSLAVIA: New vice-president will be selected next month. (Page 5) CHILE: New electoral regulations (Page 6) Approved For Release 2005/06/D.9 ? CIATP85T00875R000800020134-0 SEC Kt ? Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020134-0 SECRET KVIETNAM: The Communists are maintaining pres- sure on government positions in the northern Mekong Lelta area, but there is a general lull throughout the remainder of the country. Heavy fighting continues around Tuyen Binh District town in Kien Tuong Province for the third straight day, and casualties are high on both sides. Elements of the Communist 5th Division, which re- cently moved into this region, apparently are in- volved in the fighting in Kien Tuong as well as in nearby Kien Phong Province. Enemy forces in Dinh Tuong Province directed several mortar rounds against the provincial capital of My Tho early yes- terday, causing numerous civilian casualties. Government forces have cleared enemy units from much of An Loc and have reoccupied the airstrip on the northern edge of the town. Government reinforce- ments are meeting little resistance while moving from landing areas just outside of An Loc, but the main elements of the relief column remain.7talled south of the town. * North Vietnam's leadership is raising the pros- pect of an indefinite extension of the war. Writing in the daily newspaper on 1 June, an unknown offi- cial named hong Ha calls for the reorganization of society "so that we can wage a protracted war." He insists that a Communist victory does not require all the heavy equipment and materiel which the US has at its disposal. The article makes no reference to Soviet or Chinese aid, but its boastful claims about the country's ability to survive on its own serves implicitly to minimize the importance of such assistance for Hanoi's war effort. 15 jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin (continued) Approved For Release 2005/06/gEM-g11985T00875R000800020134-0 1 SECRET Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-KDP85T00875R000800020134-0 (Hong Ha gives the impression that the regime has only recently decided on the political line he articulates. He alludes to an "assessment" of a "new situation" in respect to Vietnam--presumably that created by great power summitry, developments in the Communist offensive, and the US interdiction campaign against the North. (SECRET NO FOREIGN DIS- SEM) 15 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 2 Approved For Release 2005/3MIDP85T00875R000800020134-0 Approved For Release 2005/064AqTATEP85T00875R000800020134-0 CIVIL AVIATION: The UN Security Council may take some action on aviation security by the end of this week. The Soviet representative at the UN has been instructed to support a Security Council consensus statement on air piracy. US representatives have been consulting with the Soviet Union and the UK on the possibility of such a statement, which could be issued without a formal meeting or debate. The statement would call upon states to deter, prevent, or suppress acts of hijacking or other interference with air travel and to ensure the prosecution of those who commit such acts. Security Council adoption of a consensus state- ment probably would cause the International Federa- tion of Airline Pilots Association to call off the 24-hour strike it has threatened for 19 June. UN Secretary-General Waldheim will try to find out what the association means by its request for "ef- fective action" by the Security Council when he meets with representatives of the pilots this after- noon. A Security Council consensus statement might also facilitate the adoption of the resolution the US has been circulating among members of the Council of the International Civil Aviation Organization. That resolution, among other things, urges states to implement the security measures which the ICAO has adopted and to become par-ies to the Tokyo, Hague, and Montreal conventions on air piracy. More important, it provides for resuming the prepa- ration of a convention that would establish pro- cedures for taking joint action, within the ICAO framework, against countries that fail to deal with hijackers. (SECRET) 15 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3 Approved For Release 2005/0AcRAZP85T00875R000800020134-0 25X6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020134-0 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020134-0 Approved For Release 2005/06/06,ROMM5T00875R000800020134-0 YUGOSLAVIA: A Muslim from Bosnia-Hercegovina probably will become the next vice-president for one year beginning on 2 August. The constitution provides that the vice-presi- dent be elected for a one-year term on a rotating basis from among the members of the collective pres- idency--three from each republic and two each from the provinces of Vojvodina and Kosovo. The position is important in the governmental structure because the incumbent automatically takes over as a care- taker president if Tito resigns or dies. By virtue of his post, the caretaker will play an important role in post-succession politics, but he will not dominate the ccllective presidency. Presidents after Tito will be elected by their peers on the collective presidency for a one-year term according to the rotational system. Tito's title of president-for-life is a specific constitutional exception that future leaders are unlikely to achieve. The leading candidate in the election on 15 July among the Bosnian-Hercegovinian members of the collective presidency is Hamdija Pozderac. He is a 49-year-old Muslim ex-professor who has been described as a dedicated advocate of Yugoslavia's self-management system and policy of non-alignment. His election would pose one problem. The present premier, Dzemel Bijedic, is also a Muslim from Bosnia-Hercegovina. His and Pozderac's joint terms in office would create a nationality imbalance at the top level of the government. Bosnian Muslims represent only 3.5 percent of the Yugoslav popula- tion. The rotation for the five following years will be Slovenia in 1973, then Serbia, Croatia, Monte- negro, and the province of Vojvodina in that order, 15 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin Approved For Release 2005/06/TEEIH785T00875R000800020134-0 5 25X1X Approved For Release 2005/06/06EQUE5P85T00875R000800020134-0 NOTE CHILE: New electoral regulations that author- ize federations of political parties to offer common lists of candidates improve the prospects for Pres- ident Allende's coalition in the 1973 congressional elections. The requirement that federations be registered by 7 July poses problems for the opposi- tion Christian Democrats in particular. Party lead- ers must now commit themselves quickly on the thorny issue of close cooperation with conservative parties, the surest way to avert a coalition majority in the Congress. Such action, however, would be anathema to the Christian Democratic left and would abandon the party's hope of forging a leftist political bloc with moderate breakaway Radicals. The Popular Unity coalition won the 1970 presidential elections by exploiting such a split in its opposition According to press reports, Allende will an- nounce his long-awaited new cabinet today. The ad- justed ministerial lineup will probably be the first indication of the changes that will be made in eco- nomic policies as a result of the recent prolonged meeting of the Popular Unity parties. (CONFIDENTIAL) 15 Jan 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 6 Approved For Release 2005/06/gtaff85T00875R000800020134-0