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Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
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January 18, 2002
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August 30, 1972
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T ApPpfoved ForReleas7e _ z051061 9 ACA A-RRP ST0087?.0 0 2 2 .,, . ,. P, C .. .. . ... .... .. . .. ...: .. ... .. r ?e.F ; ;: # r #;,. #? t~~ 1 ~~ t. i ~~ { t t .. SEC 'Nf, Approved For Release 2005/06/09: CIA-RDP85T00875R0008000g(g No Porci~ n Distcm DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Central Intelligence V 10 ulletin State Dept. declassification & release instructions on file secm N2 534 30 August 1972 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/06/x89: A,-JDP85T00875R000800020196-2 The CENTRAL IN1'ELLICENCI BULLETIN is produced by the Director of Central Intelligence to meet his responsibilities for providing current intelligence bearing on issues of7 national security to the President, the National Security Council, and other senior government officials. it is produced in consultation with the Departments of State and Defense. When, because of the time factor, adequate consultation with the depart- ment of, primary concern is not feasible, items or portions thereof are pro- duced by CIA and enclosed in brackets. Interpretations of intelligence information in this publication represent immediate and preliminary views which are subject to modification in the light of further information and more complete analysis. Certain intelligence items in this publication may be designated specifically for no further dissemination. Other intelligence items may be disseminated further, but only on a need-to-know basis. WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Narning: Sensitive Sources and Methods Involved Seciret Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020196-2 25X6 5X6 Approved For Release 2005/06?.1P85T00875R000800020196-2 No. 0208/72 30 August 1972 Central .intelligence bulletin VIETNAM: Sharp fighting continues in the northern provinces. (Page 1) NATO-MBFR: Plans for talks on mutual and balanced force reductions are running into snags. (Page 3) INDIA-PAKISTAN: High-level negotiators in New Delhi are trying to work out differences between the two countries. (Page 4) FRANCE: The French plan more atmospheric tests in the Pacific. (Page 5) BOLIVIA: President Banzer relieves dissident army officers. (Page 7) ARGENTINA-CHILE: The Argentine Government is smart- ing over Chile's decision not to extradite hijackers (Page 8) HAITI: The Haitian economy has registered record gains (Page 8) JORDAN: Elections may result in violent incidents (Page 9) Approved For Release 2005/06c P85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/06fiig(d FTDP85T00875R000800020196-2 NVA talcs I,.=~ '~ moving south - t-te4vy fightin+g ,V., L(A05 THAILAND Trrdu.`?. sap B ~d ~.i'~. de: troyEd-1'V Gulf u x rhailand 911uan{j Tri iDa Nan ..\\ ` nR 1 deb Son FSB Ross f ~. I:Ui:. t_I 'I1 1 OUF! lrr. ~jj^~~; ' HiphWayc`I69a rE`d -MR 3 St:S:E'tET NO FOREIGN (ISSEM SOUTH VIETNAM MILLS Approved For Release 2005/0N?c;I4fDP85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/06/CRE, Jk P85T00875R000800020196-2 VIETNAM: Sharp fighting is taking place in Quang Tr i and Quang Nam provinces as South Vietnam- ese forces try to regain lost territory. In Quang Tri, South Vietnamese Marines have been encountering stiff enemy resistance to their prcbes north of Quang Tri City, and Airborne troops report a number of clashes to the south of the city. Enemy gunners continue to pump thousands of artillery and mortar rounds into government positions, and addi- tional enemy armor has been spotted moving south to- ward the city. In Quang Nam, a Ranger battalion is holding on in the district town of Que Son, and other South Vietnamese units are conducting limited clearing operations south of Fire Support Base Ross. New en- emy attacks in the coastal plains of northern Quang Tin Province probably are aimed at spreading govern- ment forces thin. In the southern half of the country, enemy ac- tion continues to consist largely of sapper attacks, isolated small-scale ground attacks, and sporadic shellings. Early yesterday, Communist sappers blew up a bridge some 13 miles northwest of Saigon and blocked a major highway no east of the capital. (SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM)th 30 Aug 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin Approved For Release 2005/06/Oi- IA-SP85T00875R000800020196-2 25X6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/06/0E19IR-gP85T00875R000800020196-2 NATO-MBFR: Movement toward exploratory talks with the Warsaw Pact on mutual and balanced force reductions (MBFR), is now blocked on two fronts. Consultations in NATO are currently hang up by disagreement over participation in the talks. The five "flank states"--Italy, Greece, Turkey, Norway, and Denmark--believe that since MBFR has been an initiative of the entire alliance, all members who so desire should be represented. All the allies except France and the US now support a Turkish pro- posal to rotate representation among the five. The US has argued that participation should be limited to those countries with forces or territory involved, in effect excluding the flank states from a direct role. The US wants MBFR exploration talks to parallel preparations for a Conference on Security and Coop- eration in Europe (CSCE), which Moscow has been seeking. Moscow is clearly aware of allied disarray on MBFR and probably believes that these difficul- ties give it a degree of flexibility regarding the recent US demarche urging agreement to start explor- ations. V. V. Kuznetsov, the acting Soviet foreign minister, told Ambassador Beam last week that the US-Soviet summit communique did not imply a commit- ment to begin MBFR explorations in parallel with preparations for a security conference. While Kuznetsov showed little enthusiasm for MBFR, he did not repudiate Soviet willingness to discuss it. Neither did he reject the possibility that MBFR explorations could parallel CSCE prepara- tions. His main concern was to keep the former from becoming a new precondition for CSCE. Most of the NATO allies are willing to wait a short time to see if the Soviets will be more forthcoming. Continued stonewalling, however, will build support in NATO for a further attempt to prod Moscow into opening MBFR explorations this fall. Even if Moscow stalls further, most of the allies would be unwilling to postpone CSCE preparations, which they expect to open in Helsinki in late November. (CONFIDENTIAL NO FOREIGN DISSEM) 30 Aug 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin SECRET Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/06/G j E R85T00875R000800020196-2 INDIA-PAKISTAN: High-level negotiations in New Delhi have bought more time for working out differences between the two countries, but the ne- gotiators apparently made no :significant progress on the basic issues. According to the official joint statement, the deadline for mutual troop withdrawals has been ex- tended ten days to 15 September. The Indians, who would have given up much the greater area, had de- cided against withdrawing pending progress on other issues. The Pakistanis had no means of forcing the Indians to meet the original deadline. One ostensible reason for India's reluctance to withdraw was the lack of an agreement on the line of control in Kashmir. Military negotiators are now to delineate this line--the location of troops at the time of the cease-fire last December-- by 4 September. The Pakistanis did not, :_owever, agree to the Indian contention that the new cease- fire line eliminates the need for UN observers in Kashmir. The Pakistanis satisfied another Indian con- cern about withdrawal by guaranteeing the safety of those Pakistanis--mainly Hindus--who remained in the occupied territory or fled to India during the war. The Pakistanis, however, have maintained that there was never any question of the refugee3' safety. The official statement mentions neither Paki- stan's refusal to recognize Bangladesh nor New Delhi's refusal to repatriate the Pakistani pris- oners of war without Dacca's approval. These two issues, nonetheless, are primarily responsible for the latest impasse, and could well continue to block progress toward any agreement. (CONFIDENTIAL) 30 Aug 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin SECRET Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85TOO875ROO0800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 AC EDPT5T00875R000800020196-2 25X1X p5X1X they may move such testing underground after that FRANCE: The French will conduct atmospheric nuclear tests in the Pacific in 1973 and 1974, but date, The French Government has acknowledged diplo- matic problems regarding continued atmospheric tests, but has given no indication that it would forgo any part of its testing program. The chair- man of the Joint Chiefs of Staff reiterated late last year that France planned to continue its nu- clear testing. program through at least 1-1,76, I Speculation by some sources that testing during most of these years is to be conducted un- derground has grown due to the presence of a French geological survey team on one of the islands of the Marquesas Archipelago, about 900 miles north of the present Pacific test site. French officials have been equivocal, however, when questioned about whether the team actually is looking for a possible site for underground tests. Underground testing would not be new to the French. They conducted 13 such tests in the moun- tainous area of southern Algeria between November 1961 and February 1966 before moving to the Pacific. (SECRET) 30 Aug 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin Approved For Release 2005/06/00?5T00875R000800020196-2 25X1X 25X6 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release ~ft_ 5 1C 25 1 C BOLIVIA: President Banzer has acted to avert a potential threat from the right. Second Army Division commander Colonel Juan Ayoroa has been relieved of his command, along with his chief of staff and the commander of an important subordinate Ranger unit. Ayo.roa's loyalty to the coalition government has been in question since his intervention early this month in the public feud 25X10 between his cousin, army engineer commander Colonel dose Patino, and the Nationalist Revolutionary Move- ment (MNR) . F_ I the army high command discovered that Ayoroa had e t his post without authorization in order to visit other divisions to seek support for himself. Patino, who was relieved of his command and later reinstated, may now again be removed, as may another cousin, Miguel, who commands the Santa Cruz Rangers and whom Ayoroa visited. The Ayoroa clan apparently has failed to gain significant military support for its militantly anti-MNR stand. Its members are personally dis- liked by the middle-ranking officers who command key units in and around La Paz. Some of the latter group who remain basically loyal to Banzer but who are at times critical of his handling of governmental and military affairs are reportedly planning to meet soon to discuss the political and military sit- uation. (SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM) 30 Aug 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin y~ fi Approved For Release 2005/06/09-: tA'R'P85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/06/9 i f 1P85T00875R000800020196-2 NOTES ARGENTINA-CHILE: Buenos Aires has expressed "deep displeasure" at Chilean President Allende's decision to send the terrorists who hijacked an airliner to Santiago two weeks ago to Cuba rather than back to Argentina. The recall of the Argentine ambassador to Chile was only the first step i, re- taliation Argentina intends to ig en a screws" on Chile and may resort to eco- nomic sanctions. Argentina is an important supplier of meat and grain to Chile, where shortages have led to some belt-tightening in recent months. It seems unlikely that Argentina will go so far as to turn its back on an important trading partner or halt several bilateral projects beneficial to both coun- tries, but President Lanusse's policy of dropping "ideological barriers" will suffer a major setback. (CONFIDENTIAL) HAITI: The economy registered a six-percent gain in 171, the largest in almost a decade. Light industry and tourism led the way, reflecting, in part, Port-au-Prince's slowly improving image with tourists and foreign investors. The economic situ- ation can be expected to show further moderate gains, given continuing political stability. Overpopula- tion and the lack of resources and effective insti- tutions, however, will keep the Haitian economy among the world's poorest. ;CONFIDENTIAL) (continued) 30 Aug 72 Central Intel!igenee Bulletin 25X1X SECRET Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020196-2 Approved For Release 2005/064 1}rkDP85T00875R000800020196-2 JORDAN: Elections for officers of the govern- ment-controlled Arab Nation=al Union (ANU), Jordan's only legal political party, may serve more to ac- centuate local animosities than to cement national unity. The scramble for. positions on the ballot has already led to intra-tribal feuding in the ncrth and could result in some localized violence during the elections, which start today and continue over an extended period. The Jordanian Government, at the insistence of the late Prime Minister Wasfi Tal, founded the ANU in 1971 to undercut radical movements, especially among Palestinians, by'bring- ing East Jordanians and Palestinians together in a mass political party. Most Jordanians, however, do not take the ANU seriously and would be happy to see King Husayn scrap the organization altogether. He will nonetheless probably allow the elections to proceed, only taking steps to ease the tensions they have generated. (CONFIDENTIAL) 30 Aug 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin SECRET Approved For Release 2005/06/09 : CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020196-2