AFRICAN REGIONAL GROUPINGS: A STATUS REPORT

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7
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S
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21
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December 21, 2016
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November 18, 2008
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122
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Publication Date: 
November 15, 1972
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IR
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Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 1 1-.?1M/ 0L 4,/ .17 - a`/3 ), Secret DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Intelligence Report. African Regional Groupings: A Status Report Secret 15 November 1972 No. 2434/72 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 202' Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 SECRET CENTII2AL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence 15 November 1972 African Regional Groupings: A Status Report Coining together is a beginning; keeping together is progress; working together is success -Henry Ford Apart from displaying a remarkable capacity for survival, the per- formance of regional groupings in Africa has not been spectacular. The African countries have made some headway in thew. direction of closer ties, but the gains have been small and uneven. Norirtheless, the Africans are gradually becoming more aware of the need for greater cooperation amongst themselves. African regions have only just entered their second decade of ine.pendence and collaboration. Nonetheless, in spite cf the many obstacles to unity, the impetus for greater cooperation is slowly increasing. Although the Arab states of North Africa have made a stab at limited cooperation and wh;te-ruled South Africa finds it expedient to collaborate with some of its black-governed neighbors, the search for satisfactory forms of cooperation is of special concern to the nations of black Africa. Here a large array of inter-governmental organizations ar.- found. African regional groupings range in size from a union of two countries to attempts at cou:.nental unity and serve many different political and economic purposes. Most, however, are small and weak groupings that lack both the resources and administrative machinery to play the ambitious roles they have assumed. Note: This report was prepared by the Office of Current Intelligence and coordinates within CIA. SECRET Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET PRINCIPAL AFRICAN REGIONAL GROUPINGS: FUNCTION Grouping Effective Headquarters Stated Aims Organization of May 63 Addis Ababa, promote continental solidarity and African Unity Ethiopia cooperation; defend members' sover- eignty and territorial integrity; eradi- cate all forms of colonialism; coordi- nate Africa's social and economic development Economic Commis- 1958 Addis Ababa, facilitate concerted African economic sion for Africa I Ethiopia and social progress; strengthen eco- nomic relations among members; and with outside world; development re- search and planning; production of technical information African Develop- Sep 64 Abidjan, Ivory plan and finance African development ment Bank Coast projects; mobilize all source invest- ment capital Afro-Malagasy and Jun 66 Yaounde, reinforce OAU's mission; political Mauritian Common Cameroon consultation; suppression of subver- Organization sion; cooperation in economic, social, technical, cultural fields Conference of East Apr 66 no permanent promote better bilateral relations and and Central African secretariat mutual political and economic co- States Council of the Entente operation Aug 60 Abidjan, Ivory coordination of foreign and economic Coast policies; promotion of common eco- nornic development and technical co- operation Organization for the Mar 72 Dakar, Senegal ensure navigational freedom on and co- Development of the ord inated development of Senegal Senegal River River West African Customs Union I A UN Body Dec 66 Ouagadougou, gradual establishment of a protected Upper Volta free trade zone SECRET Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET Liptak,,)-Gourma Authority Nigeria-Togo Economic Union Lake Chad Basin Commission Niger River Commission Central African Customs and Economic Union Union of Central African States East African Community Regional Economic Organization of the Maghreb Southern African Customs Union Effective Headquarters Stated Aims first day of yet to be deter- progressive establUFhinent of common calendar mined market; harmonized development of year fo!low- agriculture, industry, and transport ing date on which rati- fied by 5 sig- natories Jun 71 Ouagadougou, Upper Volta Jun 72 yet to be deter- mined May 64 Fort Lamy, Chad late 65 Niamey, Niger common development of resource;; of tri-state Liptako-Gourma region Co operation in transport, telecom- munications, trade, industry, and fiscal matters reuulate navigation 'r Lake Chad; promote cooperative use and develop- ment of Lake Chad basin formulate navigational rules and proj- ects to develop resources of Niger river basin Jan 66 Bangui, Central progressive establishment of common African Republic market; balanced and integrated eco- nomic development, especially in in- dustry and transport Apr 68 Fort Lamy, gradual establishment cf regional Chad market with common transport and telecommunications; coordination of economic policy and development; mutual security cooperation Dec 67 Arusha, eventual common market, accelerated Tanzania and balanced economic development, administration of common infrastruc- ture services and research activities Oct 64 Tunis, expanded economic and cultural co- Tunisia operation; eventual Maghrebian com- munity Mar 70 Pretoria, South establishment of area of generally free A?irica trade; stimulation of economic devel- opment and diver 3ification of poorer members sECxET Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 CAPE VE00E ICLAIII0 IYr Port.) EE Dahit GAM CIA C.naklon 11. onalnnn` 0,,,,l EA 611011A L V IINIIN ARAJ. MAURITANIA, INou.bcholl GAL A.... Monlorlo* A, LIBERIA IVORY COAET Millis I:b~~tl f't"iCni Jabal Yaoui Llblerlll GABON L18YN.c`' ROEP.01 CONGO $OUTH?WIIT? AF.RICA. Ind lm wlninoibr ~ ~tlmlMll1 J'~ r.,,\~I .,^:.,0111011'? I l i 1 11 nvPT?` BOTSWANA Gaborone Z Khuloum* SUDAN Addis Allabaor ETHIOPIA 1 cnaoen t~i4 i(; 1 N.a ttj 55111 \ 1?I ,) I~1J a ..ba,y1? ..C'r qt OZAMBIQUE Ianmatlrel .. ," van l or, Vna1 Maue,Tlua REPUBLIC olunur,{) !Poll Louis .r.r 1UNIEIA Illtuh ;Nraaol Ha.ting, Kamutu Banda. Pros. Population-4,370,000 MALI-1550 Cat. Mouses Triore RN Military Commmee of Natant Liberal ion Poputeron-4.ee000 MAI IRITANIA-1960 MoAtu Ovid Deddah, Pre,, Popualnn-L147000 MAURITIUS-1068 Soewooaagur Ramgo olam, Pr a Mr.mater Populaton-707,000 MOROCCO-1856 Hunan II, King PopuatIon-14,840,000 MOZAMBIQUE Portuguese Over.nn, Pro,. Populatmn-7,252,000 Famanl Drool, Rea. Population-3.723,000 Met. Gen, Yekubu Gowon, Head Federal Mllaary Go?rnmsrd Popuaton-6L450,000 PORTUGUESE GUINEA Palugr,e,e Ones.,, Pro Popualon-520.000 REUNION- French One,..,,, Territory Popul.torr-433,000 Gregoke Banda. F4e., population- 486,000 SENEGAL-1"0 Leopold Sedar Senghor, Re.. Population-3010,000 SIERRA LEONE-1551 Suk. Steven, Pros. Popuallnn-2.404.000 SOMALIA-1960 Supleno Rerdulonary Council Population-2,706,000 SOUTH AFRICA-1010 B John Vorslnr, Prim- Min.alnr Popul.hon-10.400.000 THO SOUT1iERN RHODESIA Brdah Colony laeltgororninpl Ian Smote Run. M'nl,ter (de (ido) P.I.I,lan-4,733000 SOUTH-WEST AFRICA Declared International Territory by U.N. Ad-stored Pry of S Alr,ca Poputahnn-609.000 SPANISH SAHARA Spanish Ab.aln Pro, PoMdallon-48.000 SUDAN-1256 M fox a1.Num.yr6 Pree. RmdurNmary Command Council PopulMOn-16,002,000 AFRICA Black African country A National or colonial capital 171---r_~dl2 ___ _ 101111 MOP. 11 !din 1111111 Kllumnlrn .nUNnaeY NI nNIaaMrarinN le NOI Naelaa, N.LY aU111n Nria11Y1 tors TANZANIA /L1t.NImsN Der es Salon", TA.I )Ilbn~r~~ OMALIA Moiadllctu SWAZILAND-1965 3obhuca II, Kind Pop.181,7n-401,000 TANZANIA-1961 Jul.. Nyerme, P.M. Populaton-12,703,000 T000-1550 Brig Gen Eireann Ey.dema, Pros Populaton-1.792,000 TUNISIA-1886 Hatnb Onurgwtm, Pros Pullulnhon-4,714000 UGANDA-1962 Gen Id. Amin, Pres. Populaton-8.235.000 UPPER VOLTA-1900 Brig Con. Sangoule Lamuana. Pros. Popua1on-6,206.000 ZAIRE-1960 Mobutu Snore Sek. Popualon-16,921.000 ZAMBIA-1964 Kenneth Kau-d. Pros. Populat roe-4,135.000 D.I. of Independence follows country name. Population figures based on United Nations mid-1969 deer. Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Umled Kingdom France p Italy Belgium Portugal to wondml country ALGERIA-1952 Hou.rl Doomed.,, Pres. Haile Uses., Emperor of Re,olutonary Cnunul Po ulat on- 13 1M UOO Popula)ioe-24,16L000 p , , FRENCH TERRITORY OF THE ANGOLA- Pon. On..ees Prow, AFARS AND ISSAS IF.T.A.I.) Popula1ion-6.530000 French Orer.es. Territory Poputatron-OL000 BOTSWANA-INS Sarelse Kham& Pre.. GABON-1960 Population-6111,000 Alban Bongo, Pre., Populaton-48L000 BURUNDI-1552 Col. MkMI MfoomMro. Pre.. GAMBIA-INS Populyan-3,442,000 Dawde Jawera, Pam. Abwter Populatgn-351.000 CAMEROON-1550 Ahmadou MPr... OHANA-195'7 Populello r-6,6511000 Col, I. K AcMampong, CnalrmaA Notlonel Redorption Counts CAPE VERDE ISLANDS-Pal. Populaton-8,450,000 ovens... Prow Population-224,000 GUINEA-1869 Sekou Tour., Pre,. CENTRAL AFRICAN REP-1960 Population-3040,000 Gen. Jean Sell Dokuaa Pre.. , Population-LRla000 IVORY COAST-1960 CHAD-IM Francom Tombdboye. Pre., Population-3,402,000 000 Pre,. latron-076 4 LESOTHO-INS , Leabua Jonathan, Prime DAHOMEY-1910 Minlater Population-024,010 M.loe MNhleu K.r.kou PopoIMlon-2,687,000 LIBERIA-1947 EGYPT-1922 Wm, Rohard Tdben, Jr, Pre., Muhammad Ahmad Anwar .4Sada6 Population-L34 L000 Pres. Population-32.080,000 LIBYA-IP,61 Mu'amn v AJOadd.h, No., EQUATORIAL GUINEA-INS Francisco Maria., Pre Population-205 000 , MALAGASY REP.-I WO Gcn. Gabn.l Ramanantsoa Popualroe-6,582,000 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET incentives for Closer Cooperation Prior to Africa's march to nationhood and during the early years of its first decade of independence, Pan-African propagandists, epitomized by the late Kwame Nkrumah of Ghana, glamorized the ideal of ultimate African political and economic integration. Practical considerations, however, have led to a shift from the original conception of Pan-Africanisnn that called for immediate continental union to a gradualist approach that would begin with economic cooperation at the subregional level. From there, accelerating economic development could progress to eventuai political unity. Underlying the Africans' aspiration to broad cooperation is a loose sense of community built around the widely shared experience of colonial rule and ceme ited by the continued presence in Africa of racist white minority regimes. As the need for accelerated economic development and collective political influence becomes more and more apparent, the emergent African states are viewing expanding cooperation with a greater sense of urgency and realism. A trend toward greater African self-reliance in seeking solutions to African problems is leading many of the countries-especially in West Africa-to re-examine established patterns in their relations with each other and with the outside world. Increasingly, the African states want to alter relationships that perpetuate neo-colonialism. The African countries' interest in regionalism has been spawned by heavy economic dependency on former European colonizers, by the de- clining position of Africa in the priorities of the developed nations, and by Africa's inability to advance its interests internationally. Expanded inter- African cooperation seems to offer hope for casing Africa's heavy reliance on Western markets, aid, investment, and expertise, as well as for enabling Africa to achieve some influence as an international bloc. Moreover, it is seen as helping to compensate for generally declining levels of foreign economic assistance and the lack of great power action against colonialism and white racist regimes in Africa. Barriers to Unity The obstacles to unity are no less real than a decade ago. Indeed, in certain respects, they have become more formidable. Today the continent is more of a mosaic than ever, encompassing 42 independent nations with sweeping political, social, and economic differences. Centrifugal forces have prevented more sweeping regional groupings, such as the once proposed West African Regional Group, and have periodically threatened, or actually forced, the dissolution of several lesser ones. SECRET Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET African countries seem increasingly wedded to the idea of sovereignty and are deeply absorbed in the basic task of forging internal unity. Such factors as conflicting national interests, the ideological gulf between pro- gressive and moderate governments, frequent changes of regime, and territorial and other disputes make it all the more difficult to muster the will to cooperate more closely. Major cultural and linguistic divisions between the former French and British territories, on the one hand, and the Arab countries of North Africa and the black states south of the Sahara, on the other, are still firmly fixed, and misunderstandings remain very much alive. The barriers to infra-African trade that originated in the colonial era persists. Africcan economics are based mainly on exports of competing, rather than complementary, agricultural and mineral products that almost invariably go to the former metropole, which remains the principal supplier of manufactured products. Moreover, the African countries are aligned against one another in non-convertible currency arrangements and preferen- tial customs groupings. Indeed, the Paris-dominated African franc zone of 14 former French colonies effectively prevents its members from pursuing independent fiscal and monotary policies that are contrary to the interests of the French Government in Francophone Africa. In most cases, direct com- munications with Europe are easier than with adjoining states. On top of Ekah-Nghaky Secretary General of Organization of African Unity this, the growing economic disparities be- tween Africa's wealthier countries and their poorer neighbors make it increas- ingly difficult to agree on a formula for distributing the costs and benefits of mutual undertakings. Attempts at Continental Unity The Organization of African Unity and the African Development Bank stand as testaments to the: ideal of Pan-African- ism. Concentrating its loose consultative energies in the political field, the Organ- ization of African Unity has attempted to pull Africa together and to keep its frac- tious members at peace. It has also been the spokesman for the region and has overseen the continent's struggle against C E Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET racist and colonial rule. The organization may possibly become more effec- tive under its second secretary general, Cameroonian Nzo Ekhah-Nghaky who was elected last June to replace the mercurial Diallo Telli of Guinea. Among other things, the new secretary general hopes to strengthen economic cooperation in Africa. The annual summit of chiefs of state provides a stage for Africa's unity to be proclaimed anew and injects a certain spirit of cooperation, however transitory it may be. As an articulator of African opinion and a lobbyist for African interests, the organization manages to project enough moral author- ity on important issues to focus greater regional and world attention on African problems, though it succeeds in producing few concrete changes. The organization enjoys observer status in the UN, and the African group there functions as the OAU's informal UN arm. At times the Organization of African Unity has managed to patch up minor ;l^arrels between me-nuber states, but it is generally ineffective in coping %~,i h serious African problems, and last year's maiden venture into Middle mast conciliation is not likely to be repeated soon. Nonetheless, most African countries look to the Organization of African Unity first for media- tion, and it has become a more obvious force against unilateral boundary changes and secessionist movements. The organization, hampered by the bickering of its members and the paucity of financial support, has so far contributed little beyond rhetoric to the various African freedom movements. Agreement has yet to be reached on a common defense policy to deal with military reprisals by white-ruled countries against their African neighbors who harbor and give varying degrees of support to insurgents. Even so, the decolonization resolutions are becoming progressively stronger, and with each passing year the pressure grows for meaningful and decisive action. The organization backs the UN's Economic Commission for Africa, which has undertaken the coordination of Africa's economic and social development. Answerable only to UNESCO, the commission shares its accommodations in Addis Ababa with the Organization of African Unity. A Ghanaian, Robert Gardiner, who is one of Africa's most able economists, is the commission's chairman. Despite the economic commission's resistance to political direction from the OAU, liaison between the two is improving, and the commission is trying to move beyond research and planning to opera- tional activities, such as the projected Trans-African Highway from Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 STi;CR 1''1:' Mombasa, Kenya to Lagos, Nigeria. The Commission has alr~'arly clone much to persuade African governments to h,n?monire their policies and has estab- lished several new cooperative inst;lutions like the African Development Bank. The African Development Bank, [lie world's smallest regional bank in terms ol? both resources and activity, is getting ready to assume the financial and technieaI role assigned it. Since taking over in 1()70, the hank's second president, 'T'unisian Abdcl Wahah Labidi, has moved energetically to enhance its potential. The predominantly European staff is being upgraded and the training of Africans is being accelerated to impart a nwre distinctively African operational approach. Willi Libya's application to join, the hank's capital subscription goal of S250 million has been nearly realized. Fewer members are in arrears and loan Commitments have doubled. Political hurdles to participation of non-Africans in the b..nk remain. but two out- side??!'unded affiliates with possible resources of S 100 million have been set up: an investment Corporation of private hanks and the multi-national African Development Fund, which will offer sol't loans. Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET Robert K. A. Gardiner Chairman of Economic Commission for Africa The Larger Regional Groupings Abdel Wahab Labidi President of African Development Bank Embracing parts of'sevelral subregions, the Afro-Malagasy and Mauritian Common Organization and the Conference of East and Central African States are modestly successful, though unspectacular, groupings. There is some overlapping of membership. The Afro-Malagasy and Mauritian Conn neon Organization, built with French backing around a core of moderate former French colonies in West and Central Africa, is mainly an economic service association with cultural sidelines. France's use of the organization to help preserve its influence in Africa was the reason cited by Zaire and Congo for their withdrawal this year. The organization does not try to resolve bilateral quarrels between its members and exercises little influence on the Organization of African Unity. Functional cooperation in agriculture and air transport is encountering difficulties, and proposals for common industrial projects have gone nowhere. This regional grouping excels, however, as an advocate of its members' economic interests More international organizations. It regularly presents a common front, endorses candidates for posts, and keeps members abreast of Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET developments. In its capacity as the semi-official spokesman of the 19 African EC associates, the group wants to extend contacts with the English- speaking Commonwealth nations that have been offered various kinds of EC association. Senegal's Leopold Senglior, the current president of the organ- ization, hopes a majority of the Commonwealth countries will opt for a comprehensive type of association with the EC. This, he believes, would reduce barriers to intra-African trade and enhance Africa's political weight. The loosely structured Conference of East and Central African States is mainly an annual exercise in good-neighborliness, but it has attracted a slowly growing nmenmbership. Meetings provide a useful forum for bilateral talks and for conciliating disputes. The geographical location of the member states and the preponderance of progressive governments lead to a special interest in liberating white-ruled southern Africa; the conference's increas- ingly militant stand helps on occasion to toughen the positions of the Organization of African Unity. On the other hand, nothing tangible is emerging from the unhurried committees set up to study possible joint action in various development fields. West Africa: Moving Together or Further Apart? Once again the nations of West Africa are trying to achieve closer cooperation by refurbishing old subregional organizations and erecting new ones. More subregional groupings already exist in West Africa than anywhere else on the continent. They are mainly the handiwork of the area's small French-speaking states; among West Africa's English-speaking countries, only Nigeria is attempting to play a major regional role. The two basic groupings of West Africa are those sponsored by its senior Francophone leaders, presidents Houphouet-Boigny of Ivory Coast and Senghor of Senegal. The Council of Entente, fashioned by Houphouet- Boigny as a loose political association, is held together by its modest economic activities. I-louphouet's partners do not always back his foreign policy initiatives, and they are somewhat dissatisfied with the Entente's economic limitations. The mutual aid and guarantee fund underwritten by Ivory Coast has provided its poor associates with few new development projects and little more in foreign investments, while the market and labor supply offered by the Entente are substantial contributors to Ivorian prosperity. Until Niger, Togo, Dahomey, and Upper Volta perceive more tangible benefits elsewhere, however, the Entente is unlikely to fall apart, and Houphouet will continue to adapt the organization to meet the minimal needs of its members. sECREr Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET Senghor's assemblage seems at last to be on a sound foundation. Recast this year as the Organization for the Development o,' the Senegal River, it is billed as an improved model of the Organization of the Senegal River States, which was formed in 1968 and broke up three years later over political dirl'erences between Senegal and Guinea. The new organization is more narrowly focused and administratively more streamlined than its predeces- sor, and Guinea has so far been excluded from the group. Mali threatens to re-raise the contentious issue of Guinean membership, however, and, if it does so, this could be disruptive. Moreover, if the organization is to succeed in getting its long-stalled program under way, it must rind international funding for such expensive projects as the proposed Manantali dam. The ineffective West African Customs Union, which includes all ex- French territories of West Africa except Guinea and logo, is to be super- seded if and when the West African Economic Community becomes opera- tional. A pre-independence convention of 1959 called I'or a total customs union with free internal trade and a common external tariff, but this proposal was later modified as the members progressively retreated from so large a commitment. Because of its inability to establish a common customs policy, the union has given only a marginal boost to inter-member trade and economic development. President Houphouet-Boigny Ivory Coast Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET The West African Economic Community is a more ambitious version of the West African Customs Union. It has set it tail task for itself', The treaty signed last June establishing she organization is to be amended and ratified this December, Senghor and Ilouphouet-l3oigny, the prime movers behind the West African Economic Community, and the French Government view the grouping as a Francophone counterweight to the growing strength and influence of Nigeria. They are cautious about any early inclusion of West Africa's English-speaking countries in the grouping, which initially will have the same membership as the West African Customs Union, but which theoretically is open to participation by any state in the area, The less developed countries in the community, coastal Mauritania and Dahomey and inland Niger, Upper Volta, and Mali, are already seeking special arrangements to preserve their growing economic relations with neighboring Anglophone and Arab states and to guarantee a fair distribution of the community's benefits. The landlocked states also want the immediate inclusion of the English-speaking countries (all of whicl. are on the coast), although none appears ready to join. If the community retains its present proposed form, its long-term future would seem to be in doubt. The frustration of the community's inland states is reflected in the expansion of their fledgling Liptako-Gourma Authority, Established to develop the Liptako-Gourma region, which encompasses northern Upper Volta and d a jacent areas in mail and Niger, the authority might with time sup- plant the Entente's functions in meat marketing and grain stabilization. The authority has only begun to search for outside financing, however, and few of its dreams are likely to be realized. Nigeria's answer to the West African Economic Community was an economic union with French-speaking Togo, which is envisioned by General Gowon as an alternative nucleus for a subregional eco- nomic grouping. Gowon plans to invite all West African leaders to Nigeria in Novem- ber for a conference to discuss an accept- able institutional framework for coopera- tion. Dahomey, wedged between Togo and Nigeria, and Niger have even stronger sEc;xE'r Nigeria Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 SECRET economic ties with Nigeria than does Togo, and doubtless are attracted by the idea. They probably will not risk displeasing Paris, however, by joiniag such an inauspicious undertaking. West and Central Africa: Tentative Bridges The Niger River Commission, one of the two predominantly Francophone groups that include English-speaking Nigeria and that bridge West and Central Africa, has proved unwieldly and ineffective. Niger's great enthusiasm for the grouping is not shared by the other West African countries, particularly Guinea and Dahomey. The commission has not progressed beyond trying to agree on concrete projects for submission to potential aid donors. Nigeria and Cameroon are giving greater attention to the Lake Chad Basin Commission, already of concern to equatorial Chad, and the grouping is taking on more functions in spite of Niger's indifference. A development fund, proposed by Nigeria, is being created, and Cameroon has approved the grouping's long-stalled telecommunications and roads projects. Specialized agencies concerned with agricultural and livestock production have also been established. So long as the member's new-found willingness to adapt their national objectives to the commission's regional program continues, and an adequate level of international funding is maintained, the grouping should gradually become more effective. Central Africa: Mixed Success The Central African Customs and Economic Union is the preferred regional vehicle of the former French equatorial countries, except for Chad. This grouping, which grew out of the French colonial equatorial customs union, is committed to a more balanced integration than that envisaged in the projected West African Economic Community. Even so, the Central African Customs and Economic Union is progressing very slowly, and its provisions for equal benefits for all members still function imperfectly. As a result of this disparity, Chad withdrew four years ago and the Central African Republic temporarily defected. Customs cooperation within the grouping is little better than that within the West African Customs Union, but a preferential single tax scheme for the few local manufacturers serving the equatorial region has provided a mild stimulus to interstate trade in industrial goods. Joint industrial planning efforts continue, and two union oil refineries, now under construction, will soon be added to the one already existing in Libreville. SECRET Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 SECRET Chad remains linked with Zaire in the inert Union of Central African States. Zaire President Mobutu Sese Seko's hope that the union would grow into a grouping of all ex-French and ex-Belgian territories in central Africa has never materialized. With the return of the central African Republic U,,) the. Ccutral African Customs and Economic Union in late 1968 and the refusal of Burundi and Rwanda to join, the Union of Central African States is left with two 11o11-contiguous members having little in common. Mobutu's attempt in 1969 to forge a separate organization with Burundi and Rwanda also was unsuccessful primarily because of the strong tribal animosity be- tween the two mini-states and their fear of further Zairian economic domina- tion. East Africa: Marking Time The East African Community's fabric of cooperation has become unraveled in recent years, Er.:eted around a customs union and common services established under British rule, and with some quasi-governmental functions and institutions, the community started out as the most compre- hcnsive and promising regiciial organization in Africa. Although Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda still derive certain common benefits from its opera- tion, they are reluctant to move toward further integration. Unless the original spirit of mutual cooperation and short-term sacrifice is rekindled, the community probably will have to be restructured if it is to stay afloat. Political differences pose the most immediate problem. One obstacle is Tanzanian President Nyerere's continuing refusal to recognize, or even meet with, Uganda's General Amin. Tanzania's commitment to socialism and Kenya's to capitalism pose a larger if less immediate barrier to closer cooperation. These political uncertainties have prevented community action on pending applications for membership from Zambia, Ethiopia, Somalia, and Burundi for four years. Also unsolved are the economic problems of distributing development costs and benefits among more industrialized Kenya and its less endowed partners. While the community has helped boost inter-state trade and East African experts, rising economic competition of the members is preventing the establishment of multinational industries and has led to restrictions on the free movement of goods, capital, and workers. In the absence of policy direction, the community';,t role as an international lobby is also suffering. Kenya has been the main beneficiary of a tri-state market, while Tanzania and Uganda have profited disproportionately from joint transport Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 SECRET and telecommunications services and the East AI'rican Development Bank. Kenya has recently conic to question the whole East African Community arrangement. Not only has Kenya's Tanzanian market been disrupted by the influx of Chinese goods, but, more important, its Ugandan market, Kenya's largest, has been dislocated by General Amin's policies. Tanzanian and Ugandan arrears to East African Airways have led Kenya to consider going it alone on a national airline. North Africa: Inching Along Libya under President Qadhafi has veered in the direction of Egypt and the eastern Arab states, but the other countries of the Maghreb or Arab West-Algeria, Tunisia, and Morocco-are inching along toward closer eco- nomic and cultural collaboration. The Regional Economic Organization of the Maghreb provides little more than a loose framework for consultation and study. It has produced only a handful of cooperation agreements and of small joint undertakings, like the esparto grass agency. But in recent years, the three Maghreb nations have made a determ;ned effort to compose their differences and to create a more peaceful atmos- phere. There could therefore be some progress, albeit very slow, in their joint pursuit of common interests. Southern Africa: Reinforcing White Rule Since 1910, when all were British territories, white-ruled South Africa and its black-governed economic satellites--Botswana, Lesotho, and Swaziland-have been joined in the Southern African Customs Union. The organization was revised in 1969 to accommodate black African desires for more equitable treatment and closer cooperation, but the result has been only to reinforce South Africa's hold over the three land-locked countries by providing a three-fold increase in their still small share of total customs revenues. The union does not as yet go beyond a partial free-trade area, since the tariff-related investment incentives to spur development in Botswana, Lesotho, and Swaziland have not been implemented by South Africa. Prior consultation '-ith the three states is presumably required, but Pretoria still unilaterally sets the union's customs rates. South Africa continues to receive indispensable African migratory labor and to enjoy protection of its industry plus privileged access to union markets. Nevertheless, the three black African states would be hard pressed without the customs union, which is their only hope for increased development capital and expanding exports. -11- SEURET Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 SECRET Functional Groupings At the base of the pyramid of African regional groupings is a host of minor functional organizations that have been set up in various special fields, Since their aim is to fulfill short-term needs requiring fewer political re- sources, they are both the most widespread and generally the most successful inter-governmental mechanisms. A number of functional holdovers from the colonial era, such as the French-created International African Migratory Locust Organization, perpetuate the collaboration established by the former metropole. Functional organizations usually are not specifically designed to further cooperation and integration, but there are a few exceptions. The African Institute for Economic Development and Planning, for example, has as its sole task the development of programs for training and research that will encourage economic integration. The limited progress that regional groupings are making in Africa is likely to continue. Although the continent's fundamental divisions and the inter-governmental squabbles over the mechanics and extent of unity will not diminish appreciably, regional collaboration will probably not suffer. Regional organizations, despite their many shortcomings, are proving to be oi' value, and African leaders have repeatedly acted to preserve and to improve them. The search for increased cooperation, moreover, seems here to stay. The Organization of African Unity and the African Development Bank will probably be slowly strengthened, but the Afro-Malagasy and Mauritian Common Organization and the Conference of East and Central African States are not likely to become more important. Although functional groupings will continue to proliferate, the best. prospects for wider African unity are at the subregional level. Experimentation with transitional groupings of small scope could eventually lead to somewhat larger and more ambitious regional efforts as the African states look for solutions to their pressing needs. Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 AGRICULTURE BANKING COMMUNICATIONS DEVELOPMENT EDUCATION HEALTH TOURISM TRADE TRANSPORT al O 01i81111atlon of African Unity4l PRINCIPAL AFRICAN REGIONAL GROUPINGS African Uevoirpomnl Bank 35 Alto. Malagasy and Maurillan Common Ugl,udzaIlan 131 Caadasencn at cast and Central African Slates 1 Gil Council of the Enlenle 5 UrUanieallon lot life Ueyclopment at the Senegal River 3 West Allman Cusionis Union 7 West African Economic Commonly 7 Lips latn?0nmma Aulounly 3 Nigetla-logo Ecmmmic Orion 2 lake Chad Basin Commission 4 Niger River Commission 9 Centr I African Customs 4 and Economic Union East African Community 3 Regional Economic Uglanizalinn of the Maghreb 3e SELECTED AFRICAN FUNCTIONAL ORGANIZATIONS Used Locust Control Otganuai,on lot Eastern Africa (Asmarn) Es Association of Altisan Central Rana (Accra) 11 Union of National Radio and television Urganirahnns of Africa (Oalar) 23 Afrnao Center for Training anti Aeseatch in A(lnnnislraban lot Uevrinpment (Tangiers) 12 Ihgher Council of Central African Universities IFu+i Lamy) 4 Urganiral,or I;, Cnnrdinalion in the Fight Against Endemic Diseases in Central Africa (Yaounde) 5 Regional Tourist Organization for Southern Africa lItantyte) 51 African Groundnut Council (logos) 8 Agency lot the Safety of Aerial Navigation In Africa and Madagascar (Oala4 1 511 i. I.I.. .i.. OI O Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 553816 11-72 -0/11.)-recognized liberation movements also attend OAU summit conle ences bA United Nations body whose associate men Sers Include then United Kingdom ?Non?mombers Congo and Mauritania sit on OCAM tuclrnical committees "Algeria, Egypt, Guinea, and OAU?recognizod libeiW 'Mauritania participates as an observer In Maghrebian conferences I Includes Franca and French Territory of Afars and Issas glncludes Port, ll, N "r a Qd~\ n ~~ o\. 4+~ ro ~1f di ~i' e 9i ~' ~\ \ GC! o~ ~y\ d r \ e\A b\~?\D pi \ J\~i\r4 \ "+\ y0 '~ r r C? v to ~ ash ,e ~~v `r o + r '~ .' i ~o r,,r i o ~?\~' r\ ?~ l 0 O O O O O O O O O O 0 0 O O Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100130122-7 o~? ?? ?I ? -recognized liberation movements also attend OAU summit conforoncas bA United Nations body whose associate members include the non-self governing ferritoNas of Africa, France, Spain. and Kingdom cNon?members Congc and Mauritania sit on OCAM technical committees dAlgeria, Egypt, Guinea. and OAU?recognized liberation movements are formal observers han.a participates as an observer In Maghreblan conferences I Includes France and French Territory of Afars and Issas gIncludes Portuguese Angola and Mozambique I Includes France Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7 Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100130122-7