WEEKLY SUMMARY SPECIAL REPORT THE 28TH UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001500050025-0
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RIPPUB
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S
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10
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December 16, 2016
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November 29, 2004
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25
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Publication Date: 
September 21, 1973
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2005/01/11 : CIA-RDP85T00875R00150005 Secret meekly Summary Special Report The 28th UN General Assembly DOCUIWEIgT Secret ~. Vic ~aa11~~1a~ ~a N2 661 s.,a cjp #13 NOW btSTA CIA DY 21 September 1973 No. 0388/73A 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/11 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001500050025-0 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/11 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001500050025-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/11 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001500050025-0 E LG I U M+B H U NrbBLirii a@TaS9bOM*O R AINRE"5TOdP56tbid-'K51i 5A&21 i M A+ B U R UN D I+ MBODIA+CAMEROON+CANADA+CENTRAL AFRICAN REP.+CEYLON+CHAD+CHILE+CHINA+CO ONGO REPUBLIC+COSTA RICA+CUBA+CYPRUS+CZECHOSLOVAKIA+DAHOMEY+DENMARK+E REPUBLIC+ECUADOR+EGYPT+EL SALVADOR+EQUATORIAL GUINEA+ETHIOPIA+FIJI+FiNLd RANCE+GABON+GAMBIA+GHANA+GREECE+GUATEMALA+GUINEA+GUYANA+HAITI+HONDL NGARY+ICELAN JAIDIA+InNnnnlRCiA-r-IRAnM--IRAs--IRRI Anln-4-I5ZR RY COAST APAN+JORDAN XEMBOUF MADAGASCAR 2 8 th ANIA+MAI AEXICO+MONGO UA+NIGEF RWAY+OMAN+P THE TUGAL+Q RUMANIA+RWAN LIA+SOUZ SOUTHERN YE UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY +TANZAN HAI LAND+TOG E+UNITED PER VOLTA+URL ION OF ARA ALBANIA+AFGHANISTAN+ALGER IA+ARGENTINA+AUSTRALIA+AUSTRIA+BAHRAIN+BARBd ELGIUM+BHUTAN+BOLIVIA+BOTSWANA+BRAZIL+BRITAIN+BULGARIA+BURMA+BURUNDI+ MBODIA+CAMEROON+CANADA+CENTRAL AFRICAN REP.+CEYLON+CHAD+CHILE+CHINA+CO ONGO REPUBLIC+COSTA RICA+CUBA+CYPRUS+CZECHOSLOVAKIA+DAHOMEY+DENMARK+D REPUBLIC+ECUADOR+EGYPT+EL SALVADOR+EQUATORIAL GUINEA+ETHIOPIA+FIJI+FINLI RANCE+GABON+GAMBIA+GHANA+GREECE+GUATEMALA+GUINEA+GUYANA+HAITI+HONDU NGARY+ICELAND+INDIA+INDONESIA+IRAN+IRAQ+IRELAND+ISRAEL+ITALY+IVORY COAST- APAN+JORDAN XEMBOUF MADAGASCAR Summary ANIA+MAI EXICO+MONGO The 28th General Assembly, which convened this week, will devote UA+NIGEF much of its time to going over familiar ground. The reluctance of the major RWAY+OMAN+P powers to bring new matters before a forum they find increasingly hostile TUGAL+Q d th d t i i f h li d erm e e nat on o t e nona gne states to publicize their standard 'ILIA+SOUT RUMANIA+RWA an litan of rievance will for th bl t l l d y g s ce y e assem o return to ong-sta emate SOUTHERN YE issues. The nonaligned states are primarily interested in obtaining commit- +TANZANI HAILAND+TOG ments for greater economic assistance from the developed nations ar'a E+UNITED censure of Israel and the white African regimes. The Korean question, a PER VOLTA+UR veteran of more than 20 years on the agenda, will be the only major N OF ARA ALBANIA+AFG East-West issue coming before a session otherwise likely to be marked by IN+BARB~ considerable superpower cooperation. This cooperation has brought the easy ELGIUM+BHUT approval of one new and important item: membership for the two Ger- URUNDI+E manies. The growing and more aggressive voting majority of the nonaligned MBODIA+CAMER will accentuate both these tendencies of great power disinterest and non- CHINA+COI CONGO REPUBLI aligned activism; the 28th session, is thus likely to see further confirmation of :NMARK+D h d " " t e tren toward North-South polarization of the UN. The assembly will REPUBLIC+EC also be called upon again to deal with terrorism, the UN's finarwial problems, FIJI+FINLA RANCE+GABON and various proposals for new disarmament mechanisms. TI+HONDU NGARY+ICELAND+INDIA+INDONESIA+IRAN+IRAQ+IRELAND+ISRAEL+ITALY+IVORY COAST4 JAPAN+JORDAN+KENYA+KUWAIT+LAOS+LEBANON+LESOTHO+LiBE RIA+LIBYA+LUXEMBOUR MADAGASCAR+MALAWI+MALAYSIA+MALDIVE ISLANDS+MALI+MALTA+MAURITANIA+MAU VIEXICO+MONGOLIA+MOROCCO+NEPAL+NETHERLANDS+NEW ZEALAND+NICARAGUA+NIGEF )RWAY+OMAN+PAKISTAN+PANAMA+PARAGUAY+PERU+PH I LIPPINES+POLAND I-PORTUGAL+Qi RUMANIA+RWANDA+SAUDI ARABIA+SENEGAL+SIERRA LEON E+SINGAPORE+SOMALIA+SOUT SOUTHERN Y~er31Ele~~ /1S1 E RIA+TANZANI THAI LAND+TOGO+TRINIDAD AND TOBAG TURKEY+UGANDA+UKRAINE+UNITED PI=P vn1 TL-r-IIPIIrIIAV-i.I-FI 71111 A-LVIMM-V11r-nQI AI 7AID .L7nnfDrrnlI nE7 Inft Approved For Release 2005/01/11 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001500050025-0 SECRET Al LAND+TOGO+TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO+TUNISIA+TURKEY+UGANDA+UKRAIN E+UNITED S' ER VOLTA+URUGUAY+VENEZUELA+YEMEN+YUGOSLAVIA+ZAI RE+ZAMBIA+UN ION OF ARAE Korea will provide the only major contest between East and West, and one of the few issues on which the Soviet Union and China will stand together. In past years, this confrontation has taken place in the 25 member General Com- mittee, which meets at the beginning of each session to determine the assembly agenda. This year, however, South Korea has indicated in ad- vance that it will not oppose inclusion of the Korean question on the agenda or North Korea's participation in the debate. South Korea has also announced that it will accept the dissolution of the UN Commission on the Unification and Re- habilitation in Korea. Thus, the assembly seems certain to take up the question of Korea and to dissolve the Korean commission. Kwon Min Jun First North Korean observer at UN Special Report One issue of debate will be whether the Koreas should eventually have dual membership in the UN or a single seat, as North Korea insists. Controversy will focus, however, on the future of the UN Command, which enforces the Korean armistice as an agent of the Securi- v Council. Although US forces remain in South Korea under the UN Command, a bilateral treaty of 1954 authorizes their presence and would continue in effect even if the command were disbanded. The US will cosponsor a resolution recommending dis- solution of the commission but preservation of the command; Algeria, along with the Soviet Union, China, and other allies of North Korea will offer an opposing resolution calling for the dis- mantling of the UN Command and the removal of all foreign troops. Even if approved, the Algerian resolution would have little immediate impact because the Security Council must act to disband the UN Command. Nevertheless, it would mark an important psychological defeat for the West and a dramatic swing of majority support to the North Korean position. The vote is expected to be close. German and Other Membership Questions Approval of membership for the two Ger- manies-which was quickly passed during Tues- day's opening session-will be one of the most important acts of the 28th assembly and one of the clearest demonstrations of East-West coopera- tion. The US, USSR, Britain, and France had carefully planned the entry of the two Ger- manies-which the Security Council approved this summer-to avoid reference to contentious issues such as the status of Berlin. The vote on German membership proceeded as smoothly as that of the Bahamas, which was offered at the same time. German membership will bring into the UN two important industrial states at a time when the 21 Zeptember 1973 Approved For Release 2005/0S43CWDP85T00875R001500050025-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/11 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001500050025-0 SECRET RVVAY+OMAN+PAKISTAN+PANAMA+PARAGUAY+PERU+PHILIPPINES+POLAND+PORTUGAL+C UMANlA+RWANDA+SAUDI ARAB IA+SENEGAL+SIERRA LEON E+SINGAPORE+SOMALIA+SOU' organization is becoming increasingly involved in leave the US isolated with an uncomfortably international economic and financial questions. small minority of countries. West Germany, in particular, is expected to pro- vide new impetus for economic cooperation, which has tended to lag in recent years. The Germanies will also make a substantial addition to the impoverished UN budget. Their entry may renow the drive for universal membership-last acclaimed two years ago with the seating of the People's Republic of China-and may set an example for the other divided states, Korea and Vietnam. Bangladesh membership may also be ap- proved if agreements between India and Pakistan on exchanges of prisoners can be completed be- fore the assembly adjourns in December. The only other membership issue before this session might be a decision on Cambodian credentials, if Prince Sihanouk succeeds in pressing his challenge of the Khmer delegation. After the debacle of this summer's Middle East review in the Security Council, there is little hope for any breakthroughs in the assembly. Sec- retary General Waldheim's recent visit to Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Egypt, and Jordan seems un- likely to provide the basis for a new initiative. The Arab states, huwever, will probably attempt io exploit the momentum generated by the actions of the Security Council, the International Civil Aviation Organization, and the nonaligned conference in censuring Israel for hijacking a Lebanese comm,;rcial aircraft. The assembly could provide the forum for another lengthy and bitter debate culminating in a resolution con- demning Tel Aviv in language stronger than the threat of great power vetoes would permit in the Security Council. This may be one of several votes sponsored by the nonaligned states that will Passengers fleeing a hijacked plane destroyed in Libya Entangled with the Middle East confronta- tion, the agenda item on terrorism will also con- sume long hours of debate. Arguing that pro- posals to control terrorism are in fact directed against their cause, the Arab states, assisted by other nonaligned members, blocked all progress in a committee established by last year's assembly to recommend anti-terrorism policy. The problem will now be tossed back into the lap of the 28t11 assembly. The US and several West European states will try to gain approval of the Convention on the Protection of Diplomats. The substantive recommendations of this convention and of a Belgian proposal on the taking of hostages may, Special Report - 3 - 21 September 1973 Approved For Release 2005/01 /C~&t~ &85T00875R001500050025-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/11 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001500050025-0 SECRET ELG IUM+BHUTAN+BOLIVIA+BOTSWANA+BRAZI L+BR ITAI N+BULGAR IA+BU RMA+BURUNDI+B MBODIA+CAMEROON+CANADA+CENTRAL AFRICAN REP.+CEYLON+CHAD+CHILE+CHINA+COL however, be lost among nonaligned contentions that violence is a justifiable tool of self-deter- mination. Measures Against Apartheid The Africans also will tap the full voting strength of the nonaligned majority when they press for stronger measures against the white south African regimes. The US may again be condemned for importing Rhodesian chrome: a resolution that singled out the US for violating the sanctions against Rhodesia was killed by veto in the Security Council this summer but is likely to be approved by the assembly. The African offensive may also include requests for recogni- Armed South African police at Carltonville where eleven workers were killed Special Report tion of liberation movements in Portuguese-con- trolled areas of Africa and censure of alleged Portuguese massacres in Mozambique. There will also be a call to censure South Africa for alleged repression in Namibia. All have good prospects for approval. The recent shooting o` mine workers by South African police will undoubt- edly aid the black Africans' cause. There may also be efforts to endorse the Oslo Conference on Apartheid and Colonialism, which passed many recommendations unacceptable to the US. Budget: Debts, Dollars, and Development Consideration of the UN's perennially strained budget will raise several issues of political significance. Proposals will probably be made for abandoning the devalued dollar as the organiza- tion's primary unit of account and for collecting assessments partially in another currency such as Swiss francs. The $9-million loss suffered by the UN during recent currency fluctuations and deval- uations has created pressu?es for such reforms. Despite US opposition, substantial support could develop for dual-currency assessments. The US will also resist efforts to reopen the issue of a maximum 25-percent assessment ceiling on the contribution of any one member state. Although this ceiling was approved in principle by last year's assembly, some nonaligned states may attempt to bar its implementation. A North- South confrontation can also be expected when developed states, the primary sources of revenue, support continuation of the austerity measures initiated last year by the secretariat. The less- developed states, the primary beneficiaries of UN expenditures, will argue against economy moves. Increased assistance programs will, in fact, be a primary goal of developing and nonaligned mem- bers this year. A scheduled review of the Economic and Social Council's second -4- 2..1 September 1973 Approved For Release 2005/01/19EC2 P85T00875R001500050025-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/11 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001500050025-0 SECRET GARY+ICELAND+INDIA+INDONESIA+IRAN+IRAQ-+-IRELAND+ISRAEL+ITALY+IVORY COAST PAN+JOR DAN+KENYA+KUWAIT+LAOS+LEBANON+LESOTHO+LI BERIA+LIBYA+LUXEMBOU F development decade will ;provide the occasion for various proposals for new and expanded pro- grams. Among them may be resolutions asking developed states to contribute one percent of their national incomr,; to assistance, and the crea- tion of a new fund for scientific and technical assistance. Disarmament Proposals Communist and nonaligned members can be expected to advance several disarmament propos- als. Their purpose will be to gain parliamentary advantage-since these are among the most diffi- cult initiatives to oppose-rather than realistically to expect any early reduction of arms. The Soviets will no doubt again urge preparations for a world disarmament conference, which they re- gard as a forum for offering new ideas on disarma- ment problems. A study committee established by last year's assembly was unable to agree upon even the terms for an initial meeting. This ex- perience, along v. ith US and Chinese opposition, may dampen enthusiasm for further steps toward such a conference. It is still possible, however, that the assembly will agree to reconstitute the study committee. The Soviets are also likely to push for a repeat of last year's lop-sided assembly endorse- ment of a resolution on non-use of force. This proposition has met strong Chinese opposition because of its close link with Soviet propaganda themes and because it allows for nuclear retalia- tion in the case of an attack with conventional arms-for example, a Chinese incursion over Soviet borders. The US and the Western camp in general abstained on the non-use of force resolu- tion last year, maintaining that the resolution constituted a new interpretation of the obliga- tions members assumed under the UN Charter. The Soviets may claim, however, that US signa- Special Report ture of the Prevention of Nuclear War agreement at the June summit should lead to US support for the resolution. Yet another Soviet proposal on "strengthening international security" can also be expected. Intended as an anti-Western catch-all and couched in very general terms, the proposal has been endorsed by succeeding general assem- blies without any effort toward implementation. The assembly will also hear the annual re- port of the Geneva Disarmament Talks, which for the second consecutive year have made no signifi- cant progress. This report is certain to stimulate harsh criticism of the US and USSR, co-chairmen of the talks, whom the nonaligned states hold responsible for the lack of movement. Some members of the Geneva talks may try to initiate debate on the Comprehensive Test Ban. If they succeed, a focal point of discussion will be the conflict between nonaligned interest in indirect methods of verification and US insistence on on- the-spot verification. The nonaligned states are also expected to attack the US, using the occasion of a secretariat report on the use of napalm and other incen- diaries. If sufficient support is garnered, proposals may be made to ban these weapons. Attitude of the Nonaligned States The nonaligned states will be aggressive, as well as more united and adept in part iamc itary procedures, when they press their grievances this fall. They may be particularly anxious to repay what they see as US inflexibility in vetoing three of their Security Council resolutions this year. Inspired by the recent nonaligned conference in Algiers, they will be prepared to use their strong majority in the assembly to argue their political and economic demands. 21 September 1973 Approved For Release 2005/01/ISECJ T'85T00875R001500050025-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/11 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001500050025-0 SECRET BODIA+CAMEROON+CANADA+CENTRAL AFRICAN REP.+CEYLON+CHAD+CHILE+CHINA+COL ELGIUM+BHUTAN+BOLIVIA+BOTSWANA+BRAZIL+BRITAIN+BULGARIA+BURMA+BURUNDI+B' One of their primary economic goals will be continued discussion of the Charter -)f Economic Rights and Duties of States, the product of the developing states' activities in the UN Confc;-c ice on Trade and Development. Some of them hope to use this document to extend the obligations, under international law, of economically ad- vanced states to help developing countries. The US and other developed countries, who abstained when the charter was originally approved, will urge consideration of a statement of economic principles rather than a legally binding document. f?. i Yugoslav Ambassador Lazar Mojsov Outspoken supporter of nonaligned During its two years of UN membership the People's Republic of China has used the General Assembly to spotlight its pose as champion of the Chinese Delegation underdeveloped states. China will continue to support many of their causes-particularly on issues of economic development, colonialism, and Peking's favorite theme of resisting superpower hegemony. The Chinese may, however, find their role as nonaligned champion complicated by their own interests as a great power. Peking is willing to sacrifice some of its influence among the non- aligned in order to pursue its own disputes with Moscow and protect vital Chinese interests. Dis- A similar North-South economic conflict will armament issues will bring the conflict between Fr arise when the assembly assesses the Economic Peking and Moscow into sharp focus: China will and Social Council's review of the UN's second campaign against Soviet proposals for a World development decade. Nonaligned states can be Disarmament Conference and non-use of force, expected to resist Western efforts to include in both of which are favored by the nonaligned. the final statement the principle that, although the developing countries need external assistance, As an emerging great power, China also occa- the primary responsibility for development rests sionally finds that it has less interest in using the upon the developing states themselves. General Assembly as a platform for venting Special Report -6- 21 September 1973 Approved For Release 2005/01 / 6ErC.IR TP85T00875R001500050025-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/97 8IRA-R ET85TOO875ROO1500050025-0 EXICO+MONGOLIA+MOROCCO+NEPAL+NETHERLANDS+NEW ZEALAND+NICARAGU_A+NIGEF WAY+OMAN+PAKIS'TAN+PANAMA+PARAGUAY+PE RU+PH I LIPPINES+POLAND+PORTUGAL+Q grievances than as an arena for demonstrating that it is a responsible member of the world commu- nity. Peking thus prefers not to take positions on various nonaligned causes that attract little sup- port from other nations. In the past, China has been able to abstain frequently, pleading that as a new member it had not yet formulated policy on all U111 matters, but after two years of broadening its ac`ivities to all aspects of General Assembly work t'lis defense will have limited value. Peking will meanwhile campaign, probably successfully, to accord Chinese the status of a UN working language-a measure representing an annual ex- pense of approximately $2.1 million, which some nonaligned states might prefer to direct to assist- ance programs. heim's tenure, the Secretariat has taken many initiatives but brought few to fruition. The role of the UN has become increasingly passive: it merely takes note of accomplished change-as the assem- bly will do when it acts on the Korean and German issues-and provides a forum for debate and measuring policy reaction. These functions are pale in comparison to the role of active par- ticipation in world affairs once envisaged for the UN. If the assembly debates thus largely reflect the frustrations of the less developed in the face of what they see as great power inertia-and their own divisions-the assembly nevertheless points up that such frustrations are increasingly likely to Outlook 25X1 pervade international affairs and will have to be The inability of the General Assembly to generate significant action-which its 28th session seems about to confirm-is a malady shared by other UN organs. The Security Council, still dom- inated by the great powers, has ended many of this year's meetings deadlocked by a veto or the threat of one. During Secretary General Wald- taken into account by the industrialized powers. The assembly's function as a reflector of political realities will also be evident in the increased caucusing of the nine European Community states-a reflection of their recently reaffirmed intention to consult and coordinate foreign policy positions as they attempt to define a "European identity." The General Assembly in Session