ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0
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RIPPUB
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S
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17
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December 21, 2016
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34
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 `31X:/le /,l Secret `opt, GPP1 SP-11310 to DO, t% t to I, Sq. Economic Intelligence Weekly State Dept. review completed Secret CIA No. 7812/73 4 October 1973 Copy No. 16 9 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 SECRET The Gold Market US-Soviet Trade Natural Gas Pipeline from the USSR to West Germany Completed Algerian Oil Demands Iran: Natural Gas Products for the United States Communist Withdrawal of Aid to Chile Worldwide Grain Developments Page The US Bid to Build the SUMED Pipeline Bechtel bid for the SUMED pipeline has a good chance of reaching fruition. 4 Improved US Trade Balance with the EC The US six-month balance-of-trade surplus with the EC tops one-half billion dollars. 5 International Monetary Reform Foreign reaction was one of general disappointment with the lack of progress in international monetary reform at the Nairobi conference. Japan Contracts for US. Farm Products Orders already cover most of Japan's requirements ,for US grain and cotton through June 1974. Comparative Indicators Recent Data Concerning Domestic and External Economic Activity SECRET 4 October 1973 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 _ Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 SECRET The price of geld dropped below $100 an ounce this week for only the second time since May. Speculative demand for the metal appears to have subsided, partly because there was no indication at the Nairobi meetings of an imminent increase in the official gold price. The dollar's stability and high interest rates also have dimmed gold's luster. Meanwhile,. gold suppliers continued their relatively heavy sales. Two weeks ago, South Africa, the world's largest producer, sold gold from reserves as well as new output to pay for increased imports. The Soviet Union, the world's second largest producer, also is believed to be continuing its weekly sales. Soviet sales through June totaled about 200 tons, compared with 158 tons in all of 1972. US exports to the USSR may reach a record $1.4 billion in 1973, if present trends hold. US imports from the USSR probably will amount to less than $200 million in 1973, giving the United States a trade surplus of approximately $1.2 billion. About two-thirds of US exports so far this year consist of agricultural products and much of the remainder is machinery and equipment. US imports include platinum-group metals, diamonds, and chrome ore. Natural Gas Pipeline from the USSR to West Germany Completed The USSR has completed a natural gas pipeline to West Germany on schedule. Trade agreements in 1970 and 1972 provided for delivery of almost $1 billion worth of large-diameter German pipe for construction of the line in exchange for 700 million cubic feet per day of Soviet gas during a 20-year period. During the next few years, Ukrainian and Central Asian gasfields will supply the gas instead of the West Siberian deposits specified in the original accords. Initially, Ukrainian gas may have to be the sole source until two major domestic pipelines from Central Asia to the Ukraine are built. SECRET 4 October 1973 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 _ Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 SE,CRE'l' Algerian Oil Demands The Algerian oil company, Sonatrach, has proposed an increase in price to $5 a barrel and seeks retroactive compensation for losses incurred in dollar devaluation. At the same time, it says that it will reduce 1974-75 supply commitments to all customers by 25% because earlier production forecasts will not be achieved. To help correct its lack of technical and managerial expertise and to bolster its lagging exploration activity, Sonatrac1 intends to induce customers' participation in exploration. The buyer will have to join Sonatrach in a 49%-51% joint exploration venture or pay an additional charge per barrel on all crude oil lifted. Iran: Natural Gas Products for the United States The United States will receive large quantities of natural gas products under a long-term agreement signed on 27 September 1973 between Transco Energy Company of Houston, Texas, and the Shah's National Iranian Gas Company. The agreement calls for joint ownership of a facility to be built on Iran's Kharg Island in the Persian Gulf. Some 750 million cubic feet of gas per day will be converted into methanol and related products for shipment to the United States. Deliveries are planned to get under way in 1975 and to have a total value of some $2 billion over the 22 years of the contract. This deal, together with existing US arrangements with Indonesia and Algeria, will satisfy about 30% of projected US annual import demands for natural gas by 1980. Communist Withdrawal of Aid to Chile Chile has approached the United States to replace scheduled food shipments from Communist countries, valued at $20 million. In addition, the suspension of Chilean-Soviet relations might affect the $100 million to $120 million of short-term revolving credits extend 3d by Soviet banks. Cancellation of these credits would seriously reduce Santiago's ability to import basic foods. In the short nun, Chile will not suffer from the loss of development aid from six of its eight major Communist donors since little of the $300 million of credits has been drawn and no major projects are under construction. The two donors with the highest delivery rates, China and Romania, have not broken with the junta* $40 million to $50 million remains in the pipeline from these sources. 25X1 SECRET 4 October 1973 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 SECRET Worldwide Grain Developments After refusing New Delhi's earlier requests, the Soviets have agreed to lend India 2 million tons of foodgrains, with deliveries to begin immediately. It is doubtful t at much Soviet grain could be delivered before the major Indian harvest begins in late October. Nevertheless, these shipments, along with the prospects for an excellent fall harvest, should encourage sales of hoarded stocks and ease the current shortages. South Vietnam's rice supply position is worsening. Deliveries from the Delta are apparently again at their normal seasonal lows, and prices in Saigon are soaring. More important, difficulties in obtaining PL-480 rice probably will delay imports until the year's end - two or three weeks after government stocks will run out, according to predictions now being made privately by Saigon officials. A black market for rice has sprung up in Saigon for the first time in many years. On 22 September, the government responded to the situation by issuing ration books to Saigon consumers. Sub-Saharan Africa Summer rains have improved crop prospects in the drought-stricken Sahel area. The grain crops now being harvested, primarily millet and sorghum, are described as good in Senegal, poor but better than last year in Chad, normal in Niger, promising in Mali and northern Nigeria, and favorable in Upper Volta. Reports have not been received from Mauritania, among the hardest hit of the Sahelian states. Even if larger than last year, the area's grain output probably will fall well short of requirements. Imports will continue to be needed to feed nomads deprived of their livestock, to rebuild stocks exhausted by emergency distributions, and to replenish seed supplies depleted by successive plantings last spring. 3 SECRET 4 October 1973 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 M Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 SECRET The US Bid to Build the SUMED Pipeline With Egyptian acceptance of the Bechtel bid for the SUMED pipeline, the project appears to have a good chance of reaching fruition, even though financing has not been secured and previous attempts to do so had failed. The new ingredient this time is increased interest on the part of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, which previously had offered only token support. Egypt's failure to accept the US financial proposal along with the Bechtel construction bid leaves financial arrangements up in the air. Sadat's political circumstances and misgivings about having a large US project in Egypt could be crucial in negotiations on financing the pipeline. There are some indications that Sadat hopes that the European consortium, confronted with competition for the first time, will endeavor to undercut the US bid. If he or his Arab sponsors stall too long, all offers will fall through because conditional throughput contracts with customers for the oil expire at the end of this year. 4 SECRET 4 October 1973 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 Total Denmark: Netherlands3 United Kingdom West Germany 7,984` , 36 1.171, 41, 20i: 50 1;160 44, 70 23 1,043 37 . 1,327 1;670, 1',742. US Imports: (MUlion US S) Change2 Change2 1. preexportina of fora goods. 2. Janua y.iune 1973 over January-4une 1972. 3. Including exports to Itotterdamdestined for transshipment to other West 1 uropan'countries. Jar,-Apr Soybeans Value (Million US$) Volume (Million bushels) Unit price (US $ per bushel) Value (Million US $) Volume (Million bushels) Unit price (US $ per bushel) Value (Million US $) ,Unit price (US $ perbushel) 1972 1973 217.0 469.8' 67.0 '98.4 3.24 -4.77- i i6.8 221.4 86.4 126.7.' 1.35 , 1.75. 30.6 68.9 18.0 34.8' 1.TJ 1.98'. '10;, . . . 81 195 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 SECRET Improved US Trade Balance with the EC After two years of rapid deterioration, the US trade balance with the expanded EC improved markedly in the first half of 1973. In sharp contrast to the 3% annual growth averaged during 1971-72, US exports .v the area jumped by 36% from the first half of 1972 - paralleling the rise in total US exports. US imports from the EC meanwhile grew by 21%, lagging somewhat behind the increase in overall US imports. As a result, the US trade balance with the EC shifted from a $291 million deficit in the first half of 1972 to a $559 million surplus this year* - a change accounting for almost one-third of the total improvement in the US trade account. A 70% increase in agricultural sales has been a prime factor boosting US exports to the EC. Such sales accounted for two-fifths of the $2.1 billion increase in US exports to the EC. Higher prices and increased volume apparently contributed about equally to the gain in agricultural exports. Soybeans, corn, and wheat posted particularly large gains and made up more than one-half of US agricultural sales to the Community. A sharp rise in prices accounted for about three-fifths of the jump in soybean exports, but increased volume was a more important factor in boosting wheat and corn earnings. Nonagricultural sales to the EC increased by one-fourth during the first half but probably continued to decline as a share of total EC imports of such goods. Of leading exports to the area, aircraft, computers, and electric machinery each increased by roughly one-third and chemical products rose by 20%. Much of the rise in US purchases of EC industrial products reflects higher dollar prices deriving from currency realignments, but scattered volume data suggest that the Community thus far has maintained its position in US markets. For example, the 30% jump in EC automobile exports to the United States, to $1.2 billion, resulted from a rise in sales volume as well as prices. Detroit's inability to meet the recent spurt in US demand for small cars helped to buoy European sales despite dollar depreciation. US imports of chemical and petroleum products also grew rapidly. West Germany is the only EC member that has improved its trade balance with the United States. Despite a rise in agricultural sales, US exports to West Germany grew only slightly faster than imports from it, allowing the US deficit to rise from $707 million in the first half of 1972 to $854 million in this year's first half. Apprehensive about the potential impact of the nark's appreciation on export volume, German producers ? US exports and imports, f.o.b.; trade data used in this article are not adjusted for seasonal variations or to a strict balance?of-payments concept. 5 SECRET 4 October 1973 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01500140034-0 US Exports to the ECI JanJun (Million US $) 1972 1973 Percent Change Total 5,558 7,556 36 Agricultural goods 1,160 1,984 71 Of which: Grains 420 902 115 Soybeans 284 582 105 Meat 42 60 43 Cotton .30 74 147 Tobacco 135 131 -3 Non-agricultural goods 4,399 5,572 27 Of which: Lumber products 235 310 32 Chemicals 593 710 .20 Textiles 84 118 40 Metal ores 54 97 80 Iron and steel 56 72 . 29 Nonferrous metals 110 131 19 Aircraft and components 575 767 33. Computers 278 367 33 Construction machinery 138 179 30 Agricultural machinery. 32 53 66 Electric machinery 416 563 35 Scientific instruments 148 192 30 1. Excluding data for Denmark and Ireland. US Imports from the ECI Jan-Jun (Million US e) Percent 1972 1973 Change Total 5,884 7,125 21 Agricultural goods 289 365 26 Of which: Meat 44 56 27 Dairy products 19 44 132 Fish products 15. 55 267 Non-agricultural goods 5,595 6,760 21 Of which: Chemicals 374 473 26 Petroleum products 62 129 108 Iron and steel products 447 . , 500 12 Diamonds. 178 225 26 Passenger cars 936 ? 1,210 29 Nonelectric wnrh,nery 948 1,077 14 Electric machinery 240 281 17 Textile products and footwear 525 621 1S Scientific instruments - 84 101 20 Excluding data for Denmark and Ireland . Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 SECRET trimmed profits to hold down prices to customers. Although German wholesale prices for export goods rose some 10% between the beginning of 1972 and mid-1973, average mark prices for industrial exports were stable. US demand for West German manufactures also remained strong because of the boom in this country and the Germans' reputation as a reliable supplier of quality goods. US sales to the United Kingdom, like those to West Germany, lagged well behind overall exports to the EC. During the first six months under the Common Agricultural Policy, the United Kingdom increased its food purchases from the original EC members by some 75% and from the United States by only 12%. Total British imports from the United States rose by 27%, compared with a 44% gain in imports from the Six. Prospects for further improvement in the US trade balance during the second half of the year are mixed. Supply shortages and self-imposed export restraints have slowed US agricultural sales since midyear. Factors favoring a rise in demand for US manufactures include Western Europe's continuing economic boom and a delayed impact from dollar depreciation. In particular, the midyear appreciation in major European currencies should further improve the US competitive position in the months ahead. Capacity limitations, however, are expected to limit US firms' ability to satisfy a pronounced rise in foreign demand, and sales of industrial goods probably will not rise fast enough to allow the United States to maintain the overall export rate established in the first six months. Chances, nevertheless, are good that exports will continue to run ahead of imports, adding at least moderately to the surplus achieved in the first half. Changes, of Selected EC Currencies e VS Dollar Percent Jan to Ja (Avera -Jun 72 n-Jun,73 ge Month- 11 May 73 End Rates) to, I Sep 73 German mark 13.3 17.6 French"franc 11.3 Dutch, guilder, 10.1 15.6 Belgian franc 10.6 10 5" Italian lira 0.5 4.9 British pound SECRET Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 SECRET International Monetary Reform The annual IMF meeting in Nairobi, originally planned to mark the halfway point in the schedule for world monetary reform, instead merely underscored the continuing disagreements among members. A new deadline of 31 July 1974 was set for general agreement on reform, with the important technical details of implementation to be worked out afterward. Many capitals are skeptical on whether even this schedule can be met. The French anticipate hard negotiations between Minister of Finance Giscard D'Estaing and Secretary of the Treasury Shultz before agreement can be reached. Giscard has presidential ambitions and French government circles think his chances for success in 1976 will depend largely on a successful performance in the negotiations. Giscard reportedly will wait for Washington to propose compromises and is e).pected to remain adamant on French demands for continued controls on short-term capital movements, mandatory currency convertibility, and ultimate national sovereignty over exchange rate adjustment. Paris is more flexible on the links between gold and Special Drawing Rights and between SDRs and development aid. Despite public protestations to the contrary, Paris does not attach much importance to the SDR-aid link. President Pompidou, in his recent press conference, also showed willingness to negotiate concerning gold's future role as a reserve asset. would infringe on their prerogatives to spend monetary reserves. West German Minister of Finance Schmidt supported Secretary Shultz's position that a new monetary system could not be introduced until the dollar is stabilized. Schmidt, however, reiterated Bonn's opposition to the US proposal that changes in reserves should be the primary indicator of a need for payments adjustment. He suggested IMF consultations -when a country experiences balance-of-payments problems, with a new politically sensitive body at the highest IMF levels to settle disputes. European and Japanese media generally have been unsympathetic to the US position. The British press criticized US insistence on prior stabilization of the dollar's value, and warned that regional monetary blocs probably would be formed if Washington did not alter its stand. The Japanese press noted the lack of progress toward reform and called for Tokyo to prepare for the internationalization of the yen. French media were optimistic that differences with the United States can be worked out in the coming year. The developing nations have strongly criticized US opposition to the SDR-aid link. They urge approval of the World Bank's $4.5 billion budget for international assistance during the next three years. The oil-producing states, led by Libya, are firmly opposed to any new monetary system that 7 SECRET 4 October 1973 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 = Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 SECRET Japan Contracts for US Farm Products Japan has lined up the bulk of its requirements for US grain and soybeans through June 1974 and is unlikely to make additional large-scale purchases. Total grain and soybean imports are expected to increase by 10% in FY 1974 to 21.8 million tons, and roughly three-fourths is to come from the United States. Imports of corn from the United States are expected to increase especially fast because of a crop shortfall in South Africa, which normally supplies 500,000 to one million tons. Japan already has placed orders for US corn exceeding last year's level by almost 30% to hedge against shortages from other traditional suppliers. The Japanese may not take delivery on all their orders, however, if crops are good in othe. exporting countries. The Japanese also have been buying unusually large amounts of US cotton in anticipation of a tight supply situation in the United States and Mexico, traditionally their two principal suppliers. Japanese trading firms have contracted for at least 70% more than their requirements of 240,000-250,000 tons of US cotton. They also have lined up about 250,000 tons from the 1974/75 crop. These purchases probably reflect the desire of Japanese firms to have large orders on the books in case the United States imposes export controls, and at least some of the contracts may not be followed through. In placing their orders for US cotton, the Japanese apparently are not acting as intermediaries for other Asian countries. South Korea, Tai and Hong Kong also have ordered much larger than normal amounts. Japanese Imports of US Agricultural` Products Thousand Tons Actual, Estimated Orders FY, 1973 FY 1974 Wheat 3,318 3,245; Corn 5,181 6,701;, Grain sorghum 2,597 2,9651] . Soybeans 3,437 3,735x'' Cotton 231 430,1 1. For. the marketing year ending in : July 1974. 8 SECRET 4 October 1973 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500140034-0 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 DOMESTIC ECONOMIC INDICATORS GNP" Constant Markel Prices Average Annual Growth Rate Since WHOLESALE PRICES Average Annual Industrial Growth Rare Since Percent Change latest hunt Pruvmus I Year Previous Quarter Quarter 1070 Earlier Quarter Percent Change Latest Iiruu Previous I Year 3 Months Month Month 1070 Earlier Earlier United States 73 It 0.6 5.1 6.3 2.3 United States Aug 73 0.4 4.8 7.5 5.2 Japan 73 11 1.4 9.1 13.0 5.9 Japan Aug 73 2.1 5.2 17.4 23.4 West Germany 73 II -1.1 3.9 7.2 -4.2 West Germany Aug 73 0.4 4.9 7.5 7,4 France 73 1 3.3 8.1 5.1 13.8 France Jul 73 1.5 8.7 14.9 13.9 United Kingdom 73 II 0.7 4.6 9.5 2.7 United Kingdom Aug 73 1.0 7.1 7.1 13 3 Italy 73 1 0.8 3.1 5.2 3.4 Italy Jun 73 2.3 7.5 16.2 . 23.2 Canada 73 II 0.9 6.1 6.8 3.7 Canada Jul 73 2.9 8.3 19.2 25.5 Average Annual Growth flute Since Average Annual Growth Rote Since United States P Latest I Mnnlh Aug 73 ercent Cha rons Previou Month 0.4 nge s 1070 6.0 1 Year Earlier 10,8 3 Months Earlier " 9.4 United States P Latest f Mmnh Aug 73 ercent Cha rom Previou Month 1 1.8 nge s 1970 1 4.9 I Year Earlier 7.5 3 Mumhs Earlier 11.4 Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada RETAIL SALES' Jul 73 Jun 73 Jun 73 Jul 73 Jun 73 Jul 73 - 0.4 -2.8 -1.5 -0.7 -1.0 0.1 8.7 3.7 7.1 3.8 2.9 6.9 19.2 6.7 8.9 8.2 10.2 10.7 14.6 0.8 1.4 0.8 26.5 7.1 Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Jul 73 Aug 73 Aug 73 Jul 73 Jul 73 Aug 73 0.7 -0.1 0.7 0.4 0.6 1.3 11.9 7.2 7.6 9.4 11.8 8.3 11.0 2.5 9.4 7.0 12.6 13.0 Current Prices Average Annual Average Annual Growth Hale Since Growth Hate Since Latest from Previous I Year 3 Months Percent Change Latest train Pruvious I Year 3 Munth~ Month Month 1970 Earlier Earlier" Month Month 1970 Earlier Earlier United States Aug 73 1 0.3 1 11.6 12.4 6.9 United States Aug 73 1 0.4 1 7.7 6.8 9.8 Japan May 73 0.5 11.9 21.3 25.4 Japan Jun 73 0.6 18.7 29.9 29.8 West Germany Jul 73 -1.8 8.4 6.4 -1.2 West Germany Jul 73 -3.4 9.0 3.1 -15.8 France May 73 6.7 5.3 13.4 4.2 France Apr 73 2.8 13.3 14.1 2.6 United Kingdom Jul 73 2.2 11.2 12.2 0 United Kingdom Jul 73 2.3 12.2 13.0 13.6 Italy Feb 73 9.0 11.5 18.8 14.8 Italy Apr 73 2.8 20.4 19.1 13.7 Canada Jul 73 3.4 11.3 13.7 1.5 Canada Aug 73 1.5 13.9 15.5 14.6 United States Japan West Germany France united Kingdom CanaJa Euro?Oollars Representative Rates Prime finance paper Call money Interbank Ioar's(3Months) Call money local authority deposits Finance paper Three-month deposits 1 Year 3 Months I Month Latest Date Earlier Earlier Earlier Sep 28 8.50 5.00 7.63 9.00 Sep 14 8.75 4.25 8.83 7.50 Sep 28 13.75 5.38 13.75 13.75 Sep 28 11.75 5.00 8.50 9.38 'S.esonelly adjusted Sep 28 13.13 4.43 6.32 14.25 Average for latest 3 months compared Sep 28 8.75 5.88 7.00 8.25 with evengri far pnvioua 3 months. Sep 28 10.38 5.31 9.06 11.50 4 OCt;'z3 F:.,-S tit _r. ,k.,, Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 EXTERNAL EXPORTS" Lob. United States Japan West Germany Franco United Kingdom Italy Canada IMPORTS" f.o.b. United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada TRADE BALANCE" f.o.b./f.o.b. United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Japan France Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 Aug 73 Aug 73 Aug 73 Aug 73 Aug 73 Jun 73 Jul 73 Current and Long-Term-Capital Transactions Latest Period Million US S Mdlmn US $ 1073 1972 0,004 44,182 31,692 2,880 22,632 17,700 0,684 42,002 30,166 3,208 23,501 16,908 2,522 18,639 14,742 1,937 9,479 8,888 2,071 14,054 11,252 Latest Month Million US $ Million US S 1973 1972 Aug 73 6,020 44,881 36,074 Aug 73 2,922 19,429 11,818 Aug 73 4,794 32,810 24,626 Aug 73 3,198 22,888 16,300 Aug 73 3,010 21,417 15,621 Jun 73 2,212 10,720 8,092 Jul 73 1,946 13,055 10,616 Aug 73 Aug 73 Aug 73 Aug 73 Aug 73 Jun 73 Jul 73 -719 -4,332 3,202 5.882 9,792 5,540 812 808 -2,778 879 -1,241 776 999 I 635 -16 -42 1,890 12 -488 -275 125 136 1,605 1972 -5,700 1,257 -448 Per cool Change 30.3 27.9 41.2 39.0 26.4 8.9 24.9 Pet tarn Change 24.4 64.4 33.2 39.2 37.1 32.5 23.0 Change 3,663 -2,680 4,252 204 -1.899 -2.017 364 EXPORT PRICES US$ United Status Japan West Germany Franco United Kingdom Italy Canada EXPORT PRICES National Currency United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada EXCHANGE RATES Spot Rate As of 28 Sep 13 aveat uvi nmry Murk) -1,988:, FrancelFranc) Percent Change Latest Irum Pmvines Month Mouth Jul 73 1 1.7 I Jun 73 Jun 73 May 73 Jul 73 Apr 73 May 73 US S Per Unit 0.4142 0.2358 2.4132 0.0018 0.9950 0.7 -1.6 2.2 3.3 3.3 1.4 36.46 64.76 16.69 -36.31 Percent Chani Latest Irma Prevmus Month Month 1070 Jul 73 2.2 7.3 Jun 73 1.2 0.9 Jun 73 -2,2 0.6 May 73 -2.3 3.7 Jul 73 1.1 8.7 Apr 73 2.6 5.7 May 73 0.5 4.4 National Currency G owlh Rele Since 1970 10.1 0 0.1 4.0 12.2 8.5 4.7 18 Dec 1971 15.95 19.65 Avenue Annmd Growth Role Since I Year Earlier 16.8 4,3 -0.2 3.5 11.4 10.4 11.4 I Year Earlier 19.2 4.9 3.3 7.7 31.7 16.7 8.9 1973 -1.00 6.90 0.28 3 Months Earlier 31.5 26.7 -3.7 -4.5 12.2 28.0 21.4 3 Months Earlier 15.1 18.7 3.2 29.3 39.7 49.2 26.6 United States irj Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada 73 II Aug 73 Jul 73 73 1 73 I 72 IV 73I Latest Month Eri: of Billion US S Jun 1970 Aug 73 Sep 73 Aug 73 Aug 73 Aug 73 Jun 73 Aug 73 14.0 15.0 37.9 10.3 6.5 6.0 5.6 16.3 4.1 8.8 4.4 2.8 4.7 4.3 1 Year Earlier 13.1 16.5 24.6 10.0 6.1 6.4 6.2 3 Months Earlier 14.C 15.2 32.2 11.0 6.7 is 6.3 8.1 18 Dec 1971 -9.60 8.87 15.08 1.40 -22.00 -14.99 -2.62 19 Mar 21 Sep 1973 1973 -2.81 -0.03 -3.19 -0.03 10.03 0.11 -1.04 0.18 -7.54 -0.23 -8.15 0.16 -0.97 0.36 21 Sep 1973 -0.05 -0.10 -0.08 Italy Approved For Release 2008/08/13: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500140034-0 Averagn Annual Growth Hato Since PercentChengB- Lulus! liom I'ievm,is I Year 3 Months Month Month 1070 Earlier Earlier Jul 73 2.2 7.3 18.8 31.5 Jun 73 1.1 11.5 19.9 32.9 Jun 73 4,7 13.2 22.7 42,8 May 73 0.1 11.8 16.8 27.1 Jul 73 -0.9 10.8 15.1 20.3 Apr 73 0.9 8.2 9.8 24.7 May 73 0.7 5.8 10.2 21.8