ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150036-7
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RIPPUB
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S
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15
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December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 28, 2009
Sequence Number: 
36
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Publication Date: 
August 21, 1974
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Secret Economic Intelligence Weekly Secret CIA No. 8139/74 21 August 1974 Copy N2 249 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY 21 August 1974 booming steel industry faces shortages of coking coal and scrap that will hold output below previously anticipated levels.) (See page 1.) Reported OPEC Investments Buoy the Dollar; Reports that oil producers are investing more funds in the United Britain's Labor Party, hoping to avoid backlash at the polls, has narrowed the scope of its program for increasing state control over industry. The Conservatives, in anticipa- tion of a fall election, have come up with an economic package designed to appeal to party moderates and the middle class . The package calls for restraints on pay, prices, and public expenditures and for the encourage- ment of private investment. Japan: Searching for Foreign Funds; Tokyo is seeking as much as $2 billion in medium-and long-term loans to help pay its oil bills in the remainder of 1974. (See page 4.) 25X1 Italy's Austerity Program: Amended But Not Gutted; The Rumor government's austerity package of tax increases was pushed through parliament with amendments that lessened the impact on low-income groups. (See page 3.) 25X1 The Greek Government has announced a series of measures to deal with the country's pressing economic problems, the result of overexpansion in 1973 and the dislocations of the Cypriot crisis. The measures include the reduction of quantitative restrictions on financing, particularly for industrial enterprises, cuts in the budget deficit, and a tight rein on credit expansion. 25X1 Input Squeeze Hits Steel Industry; The Free World's States helped push the dollar up sharply on foreign exchange markets last wick.F - - - - - - I (See page 5.) The Price of Gold rose by $3.00 an ounce last week to 25X1 $155.25. Copper Prices in London reacted to news of pending settlement of US copper strikes by sliding 3 cents a poured to 81.5 cents on Monday. Lead and zinc followed copper prices down to monthly lows on Monday of 24.6 cents and 47 cents a pound, respectively. US steel scrap prices dropped to their lowest level in two months to $112.80 per long ton after a steady increase since mid-May. International Shipping Depressed by World Slowdown; 25X1 The reduced pace of the international economy has forced down shipping rates and has led to a cutback in orders for new ships. F-----](See page 6.) Financing Exports to the USSR Without Eximbank; Sale of General Electric gas compressors requires new pattern of financial arrangements. (See page 6.) China: Petroleum Export Prospects; PRC exports of petroleum, mainly to Japan, could reach 5 million tons in 1974, 10 million tons in 1975, and 50 million tons (1 million b/d) in 1980. (See page 4.) Canadian prospects for a smaller wheat harvest and transportation difficulties point to lower than expected exports of wheat. If the current Lakers ship strike and west coast dock workers slowdown are not quickly settled, demand for US wheat could strengthen. Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Jump in US Sugar Prices; Tight supplies in the free market for sugar have led to a 70% rise in US prices since April. (See page 6.) DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Iran Nears Concorde Purchase; The managing director of Iran Air reported the "almost certain" purchase of three of the supersonic craft by yearend. 0 (See page 7.) PUBLICATION OF INTEREST Economic Intelligence Statistical Handbook (See page 7.) COMPARATIVE INDICATORS Recent Data Concerning Internal Economic Activities (See page Al.) Recent Data Concerning External Economic Activities (See page A-2.) Metal Prices (See page A-3.) Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 ^ Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01500150036-7 INPUT SQUEEZE HITS STEEL INDUSTRY The Free World's booming steel industry faces shortages of coking coal and scrap that will hold output below previously estimated levels. Unprecedented Demand After slipping in 1971, Free World crude steel production climbed by 10% in 1972. In 1973, production jumped another 13%, to a record 490 million tons. Despite the economic slowdown in several developed countries in the first half of 1974, demand for steel has remained strong. Large orders flowed in from the oil industry, and many other consumers expanded inventories in expectation of rising prices. In the EC, order backlogs lengthened to two months, even though steel mills drew down inventories. Demand also edged ahead of production in Japan and in the United States, where output declined slightly because of shutdowns for blast furnace maintenance. Continuing strong demand is forecast by the International Iron and Steel Institute, the EC Commission, and most industry officials. Shortages of Coking Coal Industry experts in Japan, Western Europe, and the United States cite the shortage of coking coal as their principal concern. Pressures on supplies are reflected Prices of Steel, Scrap, Free World and Coking Coal Crude Steel Output --- 500 Finished Steel (Weighted Average World Price) 100 r 1973 'Estimated. Coking Coal (US Export Price) 350 ---I--- ~- _ L__ I 1969 70 71 72 73 74 est. Note: Comments and queries regarding the Economic Intelligence Weekly are welcomed. Ferrous Scrap ?' (Weighted-US Price) Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150036-7 in the 40% to 50% rise in the export price of US coking coal in 1974. Metallurgical coal stocks in Japan, which imports most of its needs, were down 48% in June 1974 from a year earlier. The coke shortage in the EC is acute. In March 1974, pit-head stocks of coking coal were down 50% in West Germany and the United Kingdom, 36% in France and Belgium, and 80% in the Netherlands, compared with March 1973. The EC shortage stems from: ? labor disputes in the first quarter of 1974, which reduced output in the United Kingdom and in Australia, an important supplier for the EC; ? reduction of French and Dutch output due to high costs and depleted reserves; ? diversion of high-grade coking coal from steel production to electric power production in the wake of the oil supply crisis and soaring oil prices; and ? strong domestic demand for coal in the United States and Canada, which held down exports. Tight Scrap Supplies West European supplies of ferrous scrap have become increasingly tight during the past few years. One reason is the greater use of electric-arc furnaces, which require a large scrap input. Another reason is expanded steel production in scrap-deficient countries such as Italy. West Germany is the only major European source of scrap for other EC countries. Projected EC scrap demand for 1974 is 55 million tons, with nearly 3 million tons scheduled to be imported from outside the Community - almost half from the United States. In fact, these import needs probably will exceed 3 million tons. The failure of EC scrap recovery programs, especially in West Germany, has reduced the supply of West German scrap for export while increasing import demand by other EC nations. Meanwhile, reduced activity in scrap-producing industries such as automobile manufacture has diminished scrap availabilities throughout the world, and US scrap exports to the EC are limited by government quota to 197,000 tons per quarter. 2 Secret Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150036-7 ITALY'S AUSTERITY PROGRAM: AMENDED BUT NOT GUTTED After lengthy discussion and numerous anlendnlents, the Rumor government succeeded in pushing its austerity package of tax increases through parliament last week. Tho amendments apparently will not cut the increase in revenues much below the government's initial goal of $4.7 billion for the next 12 months. In conjunction with tight monetary policies, the new tax bill foreshadows a drop in domestic demand during the second half of 1974. Rumor's coalition amended its proposals under pressure from the labor unions and the Communist Party. The amendments lighten the tax burden on low-income groups at the expense of corporations and high-income groups. The amended bill provides for: ? a one-time surcharge on incomes of more than $15,000; ? an increase in income tax exemptions on wages and salaries; ? a boost in the corporate income tax rate from 25%, to 35% instead of the 30%%o originally suggested; ? an increase from 18%, to 30'70 in the new value-added tax on luxury goods and an expansion of the items covered; and ? an increase from 6%% to 18%% in the value-added tax on most beef and veal products - not on all of them, as initially proposed. This deflationary tax package should hold the deficit in the 1974 cash budget to about $12 billion, the same as in 1973. With prices up 20% or more, the deficit in real terms would fall sharply. Certain of the amendments, notably the increase in the corporate income tax rate, threaten to restrict investment rather than consumption. Private investment has already been weakening because of tight monetary policy - another aspect of the government's austerity program. The monetary authorities held credit expansion in the second quarter to within the lin-As accepted in exchange for an IMF loan; in July they even ordered the ..umnlercial banks to freeze their short-term borrowing abroad to minimize growth in domestic credit. Interest rates remain very high in nominal terms, with the prime rate at 18%7o to 20 The austerity program will cut import demand and lic p reduce the trade deficit. Italy nevertheless faces a serious balance-of-paynlctits problem. The government, therefore, is likely to follow up ratification of its tax package with formal requests for long-term loans from West Germany and other sources. 3 Secret Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150036-7 Secret A. The PRC will earn about $350 million from the sale of 4 million tons of crude to Japan during 1974 and may offer another million tons before yearend. C. So far, exploitation of the promising offshore deposits is confined to the shallow waters of the Pohai Gulf. Activity in the deeper waters of the continental shelf has been limited to geological surveys. D. Unless China encounters unexpected difficulties in achieving the output of crude oil necessary to meet increased domestic and export requirements! Peking will shun joint ventures, direct foreign investment, or product sharing. E. The abundance of oil will case, not solve, China's deep-seated problems grounded in population pressure, low productivity, and technological !ags. 25X1 JAPAN: SEARCHING FOR FOREIGN FUNDS Tokyo is seeking as much as $2 billion in medium- and long-term loans to help pay its oil bill in the remainder of 1974. The first-half deficit in the basic balance of $8.4 billion was more than offset by short-term borrowing of commercial banks in the Eurodollar and US acceptaii e markets. Concern over the rapid buildup in short-term foreign debt motivates the shift in borrowing patterns. Some Japanese banks, already overextended, are having trouble refinancing loans in Europe. Although the payments picture is improving, Japan is heading for a deficit of about $3 billion in the second half u111OSS new sources of long-term loans are tapped. Tokyo hopes to obtain funds from the Eurodollar market, US banks, and the oil producers themselves. * This article presents the key findings of a forthcoming memorandum, Chiria: Petroleum Export Prospects, 4 Secret 25X1 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150036-7 Even if these efforts are successful, Japan probably will incur a payments deficit of $1 billion or so in the second half. Such a deficit could readily be covered by official foreign exchange reserves. Heavy foreign borrowing by commercial banks and a subsequent drawdown by the Bank of Japan of dollar deposits in these banks enabled Tokyo to raise official holdings to $13.4 billion on 30 June, up $1 billion from 31 December. The official reserve position remains strong even though the central bank transferred $750 million to commercial banks during the past month to compensate for the increased difficulty of borrowing abroad F~ 25X1 Reports that oil producers are investing more fluids directly in the United States were a major factor pushing the dollar up sharply on foreign currency exchanges last week. The pound declined nearly 2% against the dollar on news that Kuwait was transferring some funds from the United Kingdom to the United States. Other European currencies declined from I 'lo to 2%, in relatively active trading. The yen was down only slightly for the week. The reports of a movement of oil funds from sterling to dollars apparently stem from the receipt by Kuwait of a larger portion of its mounting oil revenues in dollars; we believe that Kuwait's sterling balances continue to increase. Under an agreement reached in May between Kuwait and the oil companies - retroactive to the beginning of the year -- payments are now being made predominantly in dollars. Formerly, the taxes and royalties that c?-nstituted 75% of Kuwaiti oil receipts were paid mainly in sterling. The remaining 25% consisted of payments made in dollars for government-owned oil. At the current production level, company payments in dollars for government-owned oil will make up more than half of Kuwaiti receipts. If Kuwait continues to receive the bulk of its revenues in dollars, the United Kingdom will be forced to seek further financing to cover its oil import bill. Oil-related sterling deposits by the producing countries financed much of Britain's $4.75 billion current account deficit for the first seven months of 1974. Although the British arranged mediunm-term Eurodollar credits this year to meet their current account deficits, they have had to publicly borrow only $1.7 billion. This level of public borrowing will have to increase sharply if the present trend continues. 5 Secret Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 International Shipping Depressed by World Slowdown The worldwide economic rlowdown is depressing the international shipping and shipbuilding markets. Reduced demand for oil has caused major dislocations in the world tanker market; charter rates have plummeted to one-fourth of their pre-October War levels. The outlook for bulk and dry cargo shipping is likewise gloomy. Trade has been growing more slowly in major industrial countries while shipping capacity has been increasing substantially. The switchover of multipurpose oil-bulk-ore carriers from the oil trade is aggravating the situation and forcing rates down. As a result, ship orders in the second quarter of 1974 fell for the first time in three years. Orders for new tankers plunged, especially for those in the 250,000-DWT-and-up class. Some longer range contracts have been canceled or sold, and production schedules are being stretched out. Jump in US Sugar Prices Tight supplies in the fr,c market for sugar have led to a 701 rise in US prices since April, to 31 cents per pound f.o.b. Caribbean ports. Brazil and India have fallen behind on shipments because higher prices could be obtained in the free market. Other countries apparently are holding back supplies in expectation of further price increases. Contributing to the slowdown in US imports is the scheduled expiration of the US Sugar Act after 1974; suppliers now have less incentive to fill their quotas. Pressure on US prices should abate later this year, when demand eases From its seasonal peak and when some suppliers probably will step up shipments as a hedge against extension of the Sugar Act. s Secret Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Iran Nears Concorde Purchase General Ali Khadenti, managing director of Iran Air, rccently stated that it is "almost certain" that Iran will purchase three Concordcs by the end of the year. Iran currently has preliminary purchase agreements on two Concordes and options on a third. The supersonic aircraft was recently on display in Tehran and has been demonstrated to many of the world's major airlines. Firm sales orders for the Concorde currently stand at nine -- all these to the captive markets of British Airways or Air France. Economic Intelligence Statistical Handbook, 1974 (ER H 74-1, July 1974 The Handbook provides economic data for selected non-Communist counties and all the Communist countries. In general, the statistics cover 1965-73 and inciude information on economic aggregates, international trade, foreign aid, key commodities, transportation, coin munications, and . uarg;f. 7 Secret Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 INTERNAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS GNP' WHOLESALE PIIICES Constant Market Prices Average Annual Growth Rate Since Average AnnuaI Industrial Growth Rain Since Percent Change Latest from Previous I Year Previous 0uarter Quarter 1970 Earlier Quarter Perconr Change Latest Irony Previous I Year 3 Months Month Month 1970 Earlier Earlier United States 74 II 0.3 3.6 -1.1 -1.2 United States Jul 74 2.7 9.3 25.1 34.2 Japan 741 -5.0 5,8 -3.6 -18.6 Japan Jul 74 1.1 11.3 34.2 13.2 West Germany 74 I 1,2 3.5 1.5 5.0 West Germany Jun 74 0.2 7.0 13.1 10,3 France 73 IV 1.8 5.8 5.1 7.3 France Jun 74 -1.0 12.8 34.3 13.0 United Kingdom 74 I -3.5 1.9 -1.4 -13.3 United Kingdom Jul 74 1.5 11.2 25.0 20.9 Italy 73 IV 1.9 3.7 5.3 7.7 Italy May 74 0.7 14.5 43.0 35.6 Canada 74 1 1.7 5.4 3.0 7.0 Canada May 74 0.8 11,2 23.9 30.4 Average Annual Growth Rate Since Average Annual Growth Rate Since Percent Change Latest Irony Previous 1 Year 3 Months Percent Change latest from Previous I Year 3 Months Month Month 1970 Earlier Earlier Month Month 19717 Earlier Earlier United States Jul 74 0 4.5 -0.6 4.0 Unit ed State s Jun 74 1.0 6.1 11.1 11.7 Japan Jun 74 -2.5 6.6 -0.9 -7.1 Jap an May 74 0.3 11.3 23.1 15.7 West Germany May 74 1.1 3.5 0 -0.7 Wes t German y Jon 74 0.4 6.3 6.9 5.5 France May 74 2.4 6.1 2.4 -1.1 Fran ce Jun 74 1.1 8.0 13.8 16.9 United Kingdom Jun 74 0 2.1 -2.6 20.3 Unit ed Kingd om Jul 74 0.9 10.6 17.1 14.0 Italy Jun 74 5.7 5.8 6.5 3.9 Italy Jul 74 2.4 9.9 18.7 22.3 Canada May 74 -0.5 6.2 2.6 2.5 Can ada Jul 74 0.8 6.6 I 11.3 15.9 RETAIL SALES' Current Prices Average Annual Growth Rate Since Average Annual Growth Rate Since Percent Change Latest From Previous 1 Year 3 Months Percent Change Latest Irani Previous I Year 3 Months Month Month 1970 Earlier Earlier" Man Or Month 1970 Farber Earlier" United States Jul 74 4.2 10.2 8.4 14.6 Unit ed States Jul 74 -0.1 6.7 5.4 9,5 Japan Apr 74 1.2 12.5 13.8 -5.8 Japa n May 74 3.0 17.9 14.6 19.8 West Germany Mar74 -1.3 8.2 5.6 14.6 Wes t German y May 74 0 8.8 4.1 10.1 France Apr 74 -3.1 6.1 5.0 5.5 Fran ce Feb 74 -0.3 11.9 9.0 l 4.9 United Kingdom Mar 74 1.3 12.0 9.4 6.5 Unit ed Kingdo m Jun 74 - 0.6 8.7 0.8 8.3 Italy Canada Dec 73 May 74 3.1 5.1 17.2 12.4 25.5 18.2 47.1 17.7 Italy Cana da, Dec 73 Jun 74 2.6 - 2.0 21.2 13.0 17.9 11.2 22.1 21.2 I Year 3 Months 1 Month Representative Rates Latest Date Earlier Earlier Earlier United States Dealer-placed linance paper Aug 7 11.43 6 50 9.00 9.00 Japan Call money Jul 31 13.25 7.50 12.00 12.63 West Germany Interbank loans (3 Months) Aug 7 9.44 15.08 8.70 9.10 France Call money Jul 31 13.50 8.75 12.88 14.25 ll 'S di d United Kingdom Sterling interbank loan 13 ntal Aug 7 13.08 11.75 13.29 13.27 easona y a usta . "Average for latest 3 months compared Canada Finance paper Aug 7 11.63 7.50 11.15 11.05 with average for previous 3 months. Euro?Dollars Three?monih deposits Aug 7 13.60 11.50 11.74 13.91 21August 1974 Office of Economic Research/CIA Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 EXTERNAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS EXPORTS" Ln.b. United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada IMPORTS" lab. United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada TRADE BALANCE" f.o.b./f.o.b. United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Million US $ 1974 1973 change 8,622 48,871 133.0581 41.8 Million US $ 1974 1973 Change Jun 74 8,357 40,608 32,110 45.1 Jul 74 4,878 29,498 10,789 49.1 Jun 74 0,320 42,780 20,793 43.0 Jul 74 3,000 20,110 20,200 28.9 Jul 74 3,237 20,234 10,109 26,0 Jun 74 2,270 13,285 9,401 41.3 Jun 74 2,653 15,465 12,148 27.3 Cumulative Lalusl 4nnth ----------- Million US S Purcenl Jun 74 Jul 74 Jun 74 Jul 74 Jul 74 Jun 74 Jun 74 4,744 4,828 4,515 4,402 2,827 2,735 Cunudation Million US $ Purcenl 30,939 30,420 28,508 27,521 16,852 14,931 16,937 23,250 19,405 18,398 10,708 11,101 82.7 30.8 46.5 49.6 57.4 34.5 Jun 74 Jul 74 Jun 74 Jul 74 Jul 74 Jun 74 Jun 74 1973 Change -265 133 1.491 -615 -1,166 -556 -82 BASIC BALANCE"" Current and Long-Term-Capital Transactions United States' Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada 74 I Jul 74 May 74 73 IV 73 IV 73 II 74 I -263 -948 685 -1,441 2,852 -4,293 12,366 6,543 6,824 -2,393 801 -3,194 -7,287 -2,289 -4,998 -3,586 -1.307 -2,259 534 1,047 -512 Million US S 1973 I 2,065 I 2.065 -590 1,247 -431 -1,394 -336 -195 United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdrin Italy Canada End of Billion US S Jun 1970 Jun 74 14.9 14.5 Jul 74 13.2 4.1 Jun 74 34.2 8.8 Jun 74 8.2 4.4 Jul 74 6.7 2.8 Jun 74 5.3 4.7 Jul 74 6.0 4.3 1972 -1,006 -5,158 1,391 -369 -1,954 971 -191 1 Year Earlier 12.9 15.2 32.3 11.6 6.6 6.0 5.8 'Seasonally adjusted, ""Converted into US dollars at current market rates of exchange. 21 August 1974 -9,010 4,500 -2.471 -3,164 639 -195 Change 3,071 -3,852 3,108 -2,102 -1,210 -332 -4 3 Months Earlier 14.6 12.7 32.9 8.1 7.0 6.7 6.2 EXPORT PRICES US$ United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada EXPORT PRICES National Currency United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada IMPORT PRICES National Currency United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Purcunl Clmogo Latest Irma Wgvmus Mmah Month Jun 74 Jul, 74 Jun 74 Mar 74 Mar 74 Jeff 74 Apr 74 3.1 0.0 0.2 7.2 - 1.2 3.2 1970 11.8 17.1 14.0 13.1 11.0 10.0 14.8 Average Annual Growth Role Sit cu 1 Year 3 Months Enrhm Earlier I 28.0 I 14.7 36,1 18.0 12.8 19.4 19.1 43.0 Average Annual Growth Role Since Purcenl Change Lolust real Previous I year Manlh Monlli 19711 Earlier Jun 74 3.1 11.8 28.0 Jun 74 2.7 10.2 44.5 Jun 74 0.2 4.7 17.7 Mar 74 3.4 8.8 20.2 Mar 74 4.2 11.8 26.4 Jan74 4.9 10.9 31.3 Apr 74 2.7 12.5 38.2 Percent Change' Latest Irom Previous Month Month Jun 74 Jun 74 Jun 74 Mar 74 Mar 74 Jan 74 Apr 74 0 2.3 U.2 5.9 6.4 10.8 -1.5 19 Mar 1973 1.42 -15.12 7.93 -7.27 -6.52 -17.04 3.31 Average Annual Growth Rate Since 1970 18.5 17.7 6.4 14.2 20.9 19.6 9.9 I Year Earlier 47.8 83.2 27.7 52.1 60.9 65.5 27.6 EXCHANGE RATES Spot Rate As of 16 Aug 74 l JapanIron West Germany IMaflhlche France Irrancl RP unit United Kingdom Sterling) Italy aural Canada (Donlan Us S Per Unit 0.0033 0.3810 0.2076 2.3390 0.0015 1.0217 Dec 66 19.68 51.55 2.82 -16.18 -4.68 10.77 18 Dec 1971 1.69 22.78 5.43 -10.23 -11.28 2.40 19 Mar 1973 -13.17 7.60 -5.81 -4.96 -13.79 2.41 As of 16 Aug 74 United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Dec 60 -14.40 10.21 29.87 -18.20 -35.10 -25.26 8.27 18 Dec 1971 -5.15 -3.33 12.94 -4.82 -20.91 -23.94 1.67 29.7 24.8 8.7 49.6 -9.8 78.7 3 Months [other 14.7 30.6 13.5 32.7 44.5 52.2 62.0 3 Months Earlier 34.8 27.7 9.9 177.0 107.4 125.4 57.1 9 Aug 1974 -0.06 -1.42 -1.47 - j,+o -0.52 -0.21 9 Aug 1974 0.61 0.31 -0.43 -0.44 -0.56 0.61 0.02 "'Weighting is based on each listed country's trade with 16 other industrialized countries to reflect the competitive impact of exchange-rate variations among the major currencies. Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7 METAL PRICES (Monthly Average Price) 'Approximates world market price frequently used by major world producers and traders, although only small quantities of these metals are actually traded on the LME. "Producers' price, covers most primary metals sold in the United States. tGuoted on New York market. ft Composite orice for Chicago, Philadelphia, and Pittsburgh. tttNew York dealers' price. 140[ OPPER !.'\ 0 350 a a. 300 (Wire bar) fj ~h TIN 1501 I I Jul 1972 73 COMMODITIES LEAD 10 LI J1972 73 Jul STEEL SCRAP 25l 1 Jul 1972 73 60 0 50 CL U 40 101 1 lu1972 73 1251 I 1 Jul Jul 1972 73 74 Copper-LME (C per pound) 19 Aug Week 81.5 82 Ago .8 Jul 74 Average 87.3 Aug 73 Average 94.1 Copper-US (C per pound) 85.6 85 .6 85.6 59.5 Lead-LME (C per pound) 24.6 25 .7 24.8 19.7 Lead-US (C per pound) 24.5 24 .5 24.5 16.5 Zinc-LME (C per pound) 47.0 49 .4 50.0 41.2 Zinc-US (C per pound) 35.0 35 .0 34.8 20.3 Tin-LME (C per pound) 391.9 339 .4 386.8 226.1 Tin-US (C per pound) 418.8 414 .2 426.6 243.6 Steel scrap ($ per long ton) 112.8 119 .2 126.7 55.1 Platinum ($ per troy ounce) 187.5 187. 5 190.1 '165.1 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150036-7