LOGISTICAL DEVELOPMENTS SINCE THE BOMBING HALT

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
14
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
October 1, 2009
Sequence Number: 
100
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 1, 1968
Content Type: 
IM
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9.pdf423.94 KB
Body: 
LOAN COPY Return to DSB j"11019 Nq? op LOAN COPS Return to OSb 1 H ! 107, H q. DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE R T -', n r 1.3 -r 'v\ i t Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 (25X1 Intelligence Memorandum Logistical Developments Since the Bombing Halt Top Secret 25X1 ER IM 68-150 November 1968 Copy No. -1ti Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 25X1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence 25 November 1968 INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM Logistical Developments Since the Be:mbing Halt S ummarv The North Vietnamese, predictably, have been quick to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the bombing halt since 1 November. The main lines of communication in the southern Panhandle have been restored and the logistical base is being extended further south. Supply movements into the southern Panhandle have increased significantly. Traffic moving into the Panhandle of Laos has also in- creased but not to the extent observed in North Vietnam. As yet there is no firm evidence that the North Vietnamese are undertaking a major logistical resupply effort in Laos that would jeopardize Allied forces in the I or II Corps areas. More evidence is needed before the significance of the resupply effort north of the DMZ can be fully evaluated. Key rail facilities in the Panhandle were repaired rapidly following the bombing halt, and through service to Vinh was possible as early as 4 November. Photography showed a large increase in the number of rail cars in the Vinh area and increased activity at transloading areas. The tram- way south of Vinh also came into greater use soon after the bombing halt, and tramway trains have been observed around Bai Duc Thom, a key supply area about 25 miles north of Mu Gia. Note: This memorandum was produced solely by CIA. It was prepared by the Office of Economic Research and was coordinated with the office of Current Intelligence and the Director's Special Assistant for Vietnamese Affairs. Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Large North Vietnamese coastal ships of up to 2,500 tons have been observed in southern waters for the first time since the bombing began in 1965. By using such coasters, the North Vietnamese are employing the most direct and effective method of moving large amounts of materiel from Haiphong to The level of observed truck activity in the Pan- handle of North Vietnam has increased markedly. Large convoys of trucks have been repeatedly de- tected moving or parked along the principal routes heading south toward the DMZ and southern Laos. Very heavy traffic has been observed around Vinh. It is not clear how much of this activity is an actual increase in supply movements and how much reflects a resort to overt daylight operations in a bomb-free environment. Observed truck traffic along coastal roads has also increased significantly with concen- trations of trucks photographed on Route 1A as far south as the DMZ. Several pieces of artillery and antiaircraft equipment have also been observed moving south. Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 In North Vietnam Railroads 1. Through rail service to Vinh was restored shortly after the 1 November bombing halt. photography showed small flatcars pulled by truck locomotives just north of Vinh. Of the seven trains sighted on these three days, three were heading south, three north, and one was in the Vinh railroad yard. The level of supplies noted in the Vinh rail yard increased significantly and rail-to-road transshipment areas in the rail yard were being expanded. 2. The rapid restoration of through rail service to Vinh was made possible by speedy repairs to the railroad bridges at Dien Chau and Tam Pa, the two main chokepoints south of the 19th Parallel that had been under heavy air attack. The original bridges and alternative crossings were unserviceable Their reconstruction by 10 November reconfirms the capability of the North Vietnamese to repair bomb damage rapidly. 3. Rail activity at Thanh Hoa also increased after the bombin halt. About 320 rail cars were noted in photography of the rail yard, compared with an average of 155 observed in photography. Activity at transloading areas also increased, and there was an overall increase in the numbers of POL tank cars. 4. The tramway south of Vinh also became more active soon after the bombing halt. Several small trains of tramcars were observed around Bai Duc Thom, a key supply area about 25 miles north of Mu Gia Pass. Pilots had reported that this area Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 appeared only nominally operable prior to the bombing hart. Several bridges have been recon- structed and there is evidence of reconstruction of a five-mile rail spur which heads south toward Mu Gia from Bai Duc Thom. A truck carrying rails was observed south of the present terminus of this spur, indicating that the North Vietnamese may plan to extend the spur to Mu Gia. Highways 5. The level of truck activity observed in the Panhandle of North Vietnam since the bombing halt has increased dramatically. Now free from attack, the North Vietnamese have been moving trucks and conducting major repairs and maintenance operations during the daytime. 6. Photographic coverage of Hanoi and areas just south of Hanoi since the bombing halt has yielded little evidence of an increase in north- trated on both banks of a ferry crossing. 7. Large concentrations and convoys of trucks have been repeatedly observed moving or parked along the principal routes heading south toward the DMZ and southern Laos. At Tam Da, ten miles south of the 19th Parallel, photography revealed more than 200 trucks on Route IA, concen- only light traffic had been noted on roads. important logistical center. Before the bombing halt, no more than 50 trucks were detected in the city at any given time, but since the halt more than 200 trucks have been counted within the city limits, and many more have been detected on nearby traffic has been noted in Vinh and the surrounding area, suggesting that Vinh is becoming an even more this heavily bombed road segment. Very heavy Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 The volume of goods reportedly moved was five times that shipped in October and two-fifths as much as that handled in the third quarter of 1968. 8. South of Vinh, most trucks have been moving inland toward the Laotian border along Ror'tes 82, 15, and 137. On Route 82, several hundred trucks have been observed on each of several different days. On Route 15, between 100 and 170 trucks have been observed, and a group of about 350 troops or construction workers was detected in daytime photography about ten miles from the Laotian border. On Route 137, as many as 100 trucks have been sighted in one photographic mission. On coastal Route 1A, truck traffic has also increased significantly, with concentrations of trucks observed along the route as far south as the DMZ. 9. Several pieces of artillery and antiai;:- craft equipment moving south have been noted in photography. On several different days, 37-mm and 57-mm antiaircraft pieces pulled by trucks were detected on Route 15 moving toward Mu Gia Pass. Four 100/122-mm field guns towed by trucks were on Route 1A near Dien Chau. howitzers pulled by three trucks were observed heading south on Route 72 northwest of Vinh. 10. Trucks carrying pontoon sections and large POL tanks have also been noted in recent photography. Pontoons similar to the ones observed have been recently used to repair several bridges on Route 1A. The large POL storage tanks being moved south are used at new dispersed POL sites under construction along key roads. Watercraft 11. Almost all of North Vietnam's small fleet of coastal merchant vessels and tankers have begun to move cargo from Haiphong directly to the Quang Khe and Dong Hoi areas since the bombing halt. Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Photography I I showed the Ben Thuy, North Vietnam's largest coaster with a capacity of about 2,500 tons, lightering into smaller high- speed coasters off Hon La Island, about 14 nautical miles northeast of Quang Khe. Three other North Vietnamese coasters -- the Hoa Binh, Thong Nhat, and Nuu Nghi -- also Dave been photographed off the coast of southern North Vietnam. This is the first time that large coasters have been active in southern waters since bombing began in 1965. By using merchant coasters, the North Vietnamese are employing the most direct and effective method of moving large amounts of materiel from Haiphong into the southern Panhandle region. 12. Other water transport south of the 20th A convoy of eight SL- -type craft eadir,.g north from the Vinh area on and there havc been numerous other sightings of this type of vessel in the Vinh area and at Quang Khe. The SL-1 can carry 200 tons -- the equivalent of 70 trucks -- at a speed of 18 knots. Transshipment areas at Vinh, on the Song Ca, at Quang Khe, and at Dong Hoi have all been active. Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 25X1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 In Laos Roadwatch Reports 19. A roadwatch team on Route 15, which leads to Laos via the Mu Gia Pass, reported an average of 14 trucks a day moving south toward Laos during the two days the team was in place in early November. Communist troops have apparently kept the team away from the road since that time. During the previous month, an average of 19 trucks a day moved south. 20. Truck traffic reported by teams in Laos south and west of Mu Gia on Route 911 (for 5-15 November) and Route 1281 (for 2-6 November) suggested that trucks continued to move into Laos over Route 15. Reports from the team on Route 1281 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 show an average of 14 trucks a day moving west from 3 to 6 November. 21. A roadwatch team on Route 912 reported that an average of five trucks a day moved south past it from 1 to 16 November, about the same level of traffic as in August and September. There was no roadwatch team along Route 912 during October. The team observed the road from two positions, one within a mile of the road and another within a mile and a half of the road, both positions more than three miles north of the Ban Laboy Ford. Because of the distance from the road, and because it usually observes during hours of darkness, the team pro:aably cannot see all the truck traffic traveling over the road, and the trucks it reports may represent only the minimum number actually traveling over the road. Aerial observations 22. The average number of trucks sighted by pilots per week in southern Laos since the bombing halt through 14 November has increased about 20 percent, compared with the average for October. Sightings were particularly high 25X1 Much of the increase, however, may be ex- 25X1 plained by the increase in the number of sorties, as shown in the following tabulation: Average Number of Trucks Sighted per Week Percent Increase over Previous Month Average N Number of of Si Sorties pe per Week So u g r r mber Truck htings Ten ties Oct 248 584 4 Nov 1,062 328 932 11 Oct 261 1,080 2 1-14 Nov 316 21 2,628 1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 23. The reasons for the apparent decline in truck traffic during November of this year when compared with the same month of 1967 are not clear. It may be a result of the existence of adequate stockpiles having been accumulated in the first ten months of 1968 when record volumes of supplies were moved into Laos. It could also be a reflec- tion of the current lull in combat activity in South Vietnam. The intensified bombing of Laos could also have made logistics activity more dif- ficult. Data on truck sightings on specific routes in the Panhandle of Laos do show, however, that through truck movement is being maintained. On several routes within the Laotian Panhandle, pilots are reporting significantly higher levels of traffic this year than during November of last year, as shown in the following tabulation: Average Truck Sightings per Day, by Pilots Nov 1967 1-18 Nov 1968 9 92 914 922 96 165 110 0.9 10.2 3.5 0.6 1.2 0.2 9.8 1.8 3.5 9.1 0.8 2.9 0 1.4 Sensors 24. Moving vehicles detected by sensors emplaced under the Igloo White Program have increased sharply since the bombing halt, particularly since 13 Novem- ber, as shown in the following tabulation: Week Daily Average 16-22 Oct 59 23-29 Oct 32 30 Oct-5 Nov 104 6-12 Nov 71 13-18 Nov (6 days) 304 Sensor data, however, is limited to an area bounded by the northern part of Route 23, Route 914, and Route 91. Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 25X1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010100-9