NICARAGUA: THE INSURGENT LOGISTICS PIPELINE

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 13, 2009
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 8, 1985
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8.pdf181.29 KB
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I Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000100250001-8 SECRET 215-1, V "W Central Intelligence Agency Washin ton. D. C. 20505 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE 8 July 1985 Summary The anti Sandinista guerrillas have demonstrated considerable resourcefulness in coping with chronic supply problems since R5 Government funding ended in 1984. They have turned to a variety of sponsors for funds to underwrite purchases of military supplies on the international market and to cover local operating expenses in their effort to sustain a strong military presence inside Nicaragua. Other Central American countries have assisted in various ways while trying to avoid provoking the Sandinistas or offending domestic political sensitivities. Honduras has been particularly helpful-channeling foreign arms deliveries to the This memorandum was requested by the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Inter-American Affairs, International Security Aff i s D rtment of Defense. It was prepared by 25X1 and of the central America South Branch, ALA. It 25X1 was coordinated by the Directorate of Operations and the National Intelligence Officer for Latin America and contains information available as of 5 July 1985. Questions and comments are welcome and should be Chief, Middle America-Caribbean Division, ALA, 25X1 ALA-M-85-10056 Copy of 28 1 SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 SECRET rebels, loaning ammmition from its own stocks, and providing safehaven and logistic support Despite this backing, anti Sandinista operations have suffered from inefficiencies in the procurement process and problems in getting supplies to tactical units inside Nicaragua. Managua's increased pressure on the battlefield since January and the Honduran military's insistence on shifting insurgent support bases away from the border in May further strained the rebels' fragile ground logistics system. Recently, the insurgents appear to have overcame many of these difficulties, and new ands and materiel deliveries have permitted them to step up infiltration and ocmbat operations in the northwest. Over the long term, however, the Sandinistas' ability to make more extended deployments in the border area and to entrench their fortifications will make the insurgents' effort i nf i I rrar~ operate in the northern zone a more costly undertaking. 2 SECRET 25X1 LDAI 6 ease Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 The FDN Rebel groups have turned to a variety of sponsors in efforts to obtain funding and cover supply shortfalls. r this year, we calculat estimates of expenses- that the largest guerrilla group, the Nicaraguan Democratic Force (FDN), had raised about $8-12 million since US Government fundi was halted last May. Fundraising apparently has picked up IAt an estimated $1 per day per man, it would cost $450,000 per month to provide minimal amounts of ammunition, clothing, and food to maintain 15,000 FDN troops. Transportation costs and attendant expenses, plus contributions to other rebel groups, could increase the overall outlay to approximately $1 million per month, and the acquisition of heavy support weapons and surface-to-air missiles would boost expenses even higher. Best estimates are that FDN leaders have used their extensive private business contacts to garner most of the funds from US corporations and conservative action groups, but information on identities of donors or amounts provided is unavailable. There has been little evidence of direct foreign government financial assistance to the FDN, although Honduras, Guatemala, and El Salvador reportedly have donated or loaned sane munitions and supplies of non-US on in and provided transportation and storage, 3 SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Iq Next 2 Page(s) In Document Denied Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Forced to rely solely on overland logistics, the insurgents were hardpressed to infiltrate supplies during Managua's intensive counterinsurgency campaign from January to May. Sandinista deployments, constant attacks, and the mining of infiltration trails forced the guerrillas to use circuitous routes, delaying the arrival of supplies to combat units and limiting the number of operations that can be conducted deep inside Nicaragua. For example, even under optimum conditions, it takes 30 days to carry supplies by foot to units operating in central 7 SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Jxl.t(t.1 Zelaya. Combat pressure forced some rebel units closer to Honduras to fight their way out to resupply. Moreover, the government's removal of civilians from combat zones began to deprive the guerrillas of vital local sources of food and shelter, increasing the burden on the external logistics system. The rebels have proved resourceful in obtaining material support, and the FDN's success in reinserting units into Nicaragua in June indicates that the Sandinistas still are unable to control the northern border zone. Over the long term, however, the Sandinista buildup-troop and artillery deployments, air defense improvements, and use of hP1i mnrer gunships--will make the insurgent effort a more costly one. 8 SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 SUBJECT: Nicaragua: The Insurgent Logistics Pipeline (C) DISTRIBUTION: Copy 1 - Mr. Nestor Sanchez 2 - Mr. Elliott Abrams 3 - Mr. Morton I. Abramowitz 4 - Mr. Richard Melton 5 - Col. James Bosch 6 - Lt. Col. Oliver North 7 - DCI 8 - DDCI 9-DDI 10 - DDO/TA 11 - OLL/Cli 12 - 13 - 14 - 15 - 16 - 17-18 - 19 - 20-21 - 22 - 23 - 24 - 25 - 26 - SA/DCI/IC C/DDI/PES DDI/CPAS/ISS D ALA ALA/PS ALA Research CPAS/IW-/.CB C/MCD C/CAS C/CAN 28 - DDI/ALA/CA.S k8 July 1985) 9 SECRET 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/13: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100250001-8