INDIA: CHANGING ATTITUDES ON INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T01058R000506700001-8
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RIPPUB
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S
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8
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 27, 2010
Sequence Number: 
1
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Publication Date: 
July 29, 1985
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REPORT
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85T01058R000506700001-8 25X1 Central Intelligence Agency DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE 29 July 1985 INDIA: CHANGING ATTITUDES ON INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM 25X1 Summary Sikh terrorism is prompting India to adopt a more constructive attitude toward international terrorism issues and to seek cooperation from Western countries harboring Sikhs. Prime Minister Gandhi's recent public call for the release of the TWA hostages in Beirut contrasts sharply with India's traditional ambivalence toward hijackings and similar acts of violence. With its chief concern narrowly focused on the Sikhs, India t i ns is likely to offer only limited cooperation aga general terrorism in the near term. Faced with a serious, threat from Sikh extremists, India is beginning to take international terrorism more seriously. Recent statements by Prime Minister Gandhi suggest that India is moving toward closer cooperation with the United States and its allies on terrorism issues. During the past month, Gandhi publicly: -- Called for a global agreement on measures to combat terrorism. -- Condemned the TWA hijacking in Beirut and appealed to the hijackers to release their hostages on humanitarian grounds. This memorandum was prepared byl Lof the 25X1 Office of Near Eastern and South Asian Analysis. Information as of 19 July 1985 was used in its preparation. Comments and queries are wel come and may be addressed to the Chief, South Asi a Division 25X1 NESA M 85-10158 SE CRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 -- Announced that the Indian Government would not succumb to terrorist pressure and that severe action would be taken against terrorists in India. In addition, the Indian Ministry of External Affairs has publicly urged the government to take "stro,ng and uncompromising steps against all forms of terrorism." These statements contrast sharply with India's traditional passivity toward international terrorism. In the past, New Delhi's reactions have ranged from silence to vaguely-worded statements of disapproval, partly from a sense that terrorism elsewhere was none of India's business, but also out of concern for India's friendships in the Arab world--especially with the Palestinians. India also has been reluctant to antagonize the Islamic f undamantal i st regime in Iran, fearing that Tehran would retali ate by attempting to radicalize Indi a' s largely quiescent Muslim popul ati on. For example: -- India privately condemned Iran's 1979 seizure of the US Embassy hostages but turned aside US pressure to j of n official statements and did nothing to help ease the crisis. -- New Delhi reacted to the bombing of our Embassy in Beirut in April 1983 by suggesting that Washington's refusal to recognize Palestinian rights of self-determination was a key source of US troubles i n the Middle East. -- I ndi a has commented publicly on only a handf ul of the many hundreds of terrorist incidents that have occurred in recent years, according to press reports. India has even abetted terrorist acts in neighboring countries by providing sanctuary, financing, and training for Tamil militants seeking a separate state in Sri Lanka, and by periodically supporting A l-Zul f i qar terrorists aiming to overthrow Pakistan's military regime. Officially, New Delhi has rationalized this support by defining these groups as "freedom fi nhtarc" rather than "terrorists." The record under R aj i v' s stewardship, however, suggests he may be less comfortable with Indian support of such groups. New Delhi's backing of A 1-Zul f i qar now appears dormant and Indian security forces have reined in the Tamil guerrillas, if only as part of India's support for the current Sri Lankan political negoti ations. -2- SE CRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 India as Victim New Delhi's attitudes began to change only after India started experiencing terrorism first hand, following the army's bloody June 1984 attack on Sikh extremists holed up in the Amritsar Golden Temple--the Sikh religion's holiest shrine. Since then, India has been jolted by a number of violent incidents, including: -- The hijacking of an Indian Airlines plane to Dubai by Sikh extremists in August 1984. -- The assassination of Prime Minister Indira Gandhi by Sikh members of her bodyguard in October 1984 and the resulting Hindu backlash that claimed several thousand lives from both communities. -- A series of bombs in New Delhi and three northern states in May 1985 that claimed over 80 lives and injured hundreds. in Punjab that have resulted in some deaths. 25X1 A major factor contributing to New Delhi's raised consciousness about terrorism is the very real threat to Rajiv. Sikh extremists who applauded his mother's murder have also called for his death, and many Indian and US observers believe he is certain to be the victim of an assassination attempt sooner or later. India's internal security services are preoccupied with protecting his life and those of his wife and children. The severity of this concern has been underscored by the construction of a new home for the G andhi s designed exclusively for protective purposes, the withdrawal of his children from their schools, and the increased precautionary planning before Rajiv travels, -- Numerous assassination attempts on Sikh and Hindu leaders whether in India or abroad. India also has taken a number of broader steps to curb Sikh- sponsored violence within the country--including a draconian antiterrorism law, improved airport and VIP security measures, and the Pstablishment of new counterintelligence units targeted against Sikhs. The International Dimension A number of recent events indicate that Sikh extremists are increasingly targeting Indian interests and personnel overseas, where funds, arms, and training are more readily available and where they can gain greater publi city for their cause. At least two Sikh extremist groups have claimed credit for the dramatic crash last month of an Air India 747 at sea. New Del hi strongly suspects the disaster was caused by a bomb planted by Sikh extremists in Canada. -3- SE CRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 New Delhi has long maintained that it could contain the Sikh threat but for extremists abroad. Mounting incidents by foreign-based Sikh terrorists as well as concern for Gandhi's safety while traveling abroad have forced New Delhi to recognize the need for more international cooperation against terrorism. So far, however, the focus of I ndi a' s efforts and activities has been on seeking closer cooperation from foreign governments-- parti cul arl y the United Kingdom, Canada, and the United States--in thwarting the Sikh threat to Indian interests. Gandhi wants I ndi an security off i ci al s to cooperate with the United States on this issue. Limits to Cooperation We believe New Delhi recognizes that cooperation is 'a two- way street and that the United States will expect India to provide assistance in return. In the near term, however, Indian cooperation probably will focus narrowly on piecemeal and largely tactical arrangements with the United States concerning Sikh activities in both countries. New Delhi can also be expected to push for more formal quadripartite cooperation between itself, the United States, the United Kingdon, and Canada. Nonetheless, India has appreciated and been encouraged by US statements of support for its unity and integrity in the wake of Sikh unrest in the Punjab, and Rajiv himself appears to be generally more attuned to the need for democracies to act in concert against terrorism. US assistance to India's counter- terrorism efforts over the past year has already had some effect in persuadi nq New Delhi that the problem is global in scope and that India should work jointly with other countries. Indian security officials in New Delhi have expressed keen interest in receiving anti-terrorism training in the United States, notably in explosives detection and disposal and in forgery detection. At this juncture, India's contribution to Western efforts to fashion an international response to terrorism appears to be a matter of some debate among Gandhi and his senior advisers, with no clear consensus yet apparent. We believe India will be reticent to engage in anti-terrorist initiatives that its -4- SECRET 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 friends--including the USSR--would view as too close to US positions; it will prefer multinational settings for its public efforts. Moreover, the Indian Ministry of External Affairs' sanctimonious response to the US-sponsored boycott of Beirut International Airport suggests New Delhi's entrenched bureaucracy does not yet reflect the Prime Minister's more open-minded approach. Challenges for the United States Gandhi's own perceptions of the terrorist problem appear to extend well beyond his government's narrower focus on the Sikhs. His interest in terrorism also adds a new dimension for strengthening Indo-US ties. The more actively India becomes involved in international cooperation on terrorism, the more likely counter-terrorism will receive support from other developing countries and the less opportunity New Delhi will have to backslide into its traditional ambivalence toward the problem. Closer cooperation with the United States should also help strengthen India's resolve to continue dealing with its own terrorist menace within a democratic framework. -5- SE CRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP 85TO1058R000506700001-8 SUBJECT: India: Changing Attitudes on International Terrorism Internal Distribution: 1 - DDI 1 - NIO/NESA 1 - NIC/CT -N I 0/NARC 1 - C/PES 1 - D/NESA 1 - DD/NESA 1 - C/PPS 1 - C/S0/D/NESA 1 - C /S O/S /NESA 1 - C/DDO/NE 25X1 1 - C/DDO/NE 1 - CPAS/ISS 25X1 1 - PDB Staff 4 - CPAS/IMD/CB 2 - NESA/PS 2 - NESA/S0/S Branch DDI /NE SA /S 0/S (29 Jul 85) -6- SE CRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 SUBJECT: Indi a: Changing Attitudes on International Terrorism 25X1 External Distribution: Captain Edward Louis Christensen, USN, Chief, South Asian Regional Plans and Policy Branch, Department of Defense, Room 2E973, Pentagon, Washington, DC 20301 Mr. Stephen P. Cohen, Policy Planning Staff, Department of State, Room 7312, Washington, DC 20520 Mr. James P. Covey Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director, Near East and South Asia Affairs, National Security Council Room 351, Old Executive Office Building, Washington, DC 20500 Mr. Robert Dean Deputy Director, Bureau of Politico-Military Affairs PM/OD, Department of State, Room 7428, Washington, DC 20520 Mr. Kenneth E. DeGraffenreid Speci al Assistant to the President and Senior Director Intelligence Programs, National Security Council, Room 300 Old Executive Office Building, Washington, DC 20500 Mr. Donald R. Fortier Special Assistant to the President for Political-Military Affairs National Security Council , Room 374, 01 d Executive Office Building, Washington, DC 20500 Dr. Robert G al l ucci Director, Office of Regional Security Affairs, Bureau of Politico-Military Affairs, Department of State, Room 7424, Washington, DC 20520 Lt. General Phi l li p C. Gast, USAF Director of Defense Security Assistance Department of Defense, Room 4E841, Pentagon, Was hi ngton, DC 20301 Mr. Donald Gregg, Assistant to the Vice President for National Security Affairs, Room 381, Executive Office Building, Washington, DC 20500 Mr. George S. Harris Director, Office of Analysis for Near East-South Asia, Department of State, Room 4524A, Washington, DC 20520 Mr. Ron Lorton, Deputy Director for Intelligence and Research Bureau, Department of State, Room 4524A, Washington, DC 20520 -7- SE CRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8 SUBJECT: India: Changing Attitudes on International Terrorism External Distribution (continued) Colonel Kenneth E. McKim, Director, Office of the Secretary of Defense, International Security Affairs, Near East and South Asia Region, Department of Defense, Room 4D765, Pentagon, Washington, DC 20301 Ambassador O akl ey VIA : Dave Long, M/CTP, Room 2236, Department of State, Washington, DC 20520 Mr. Robert A. Peck, Deputy Assistant Secretary, NEA Bureau, Department of State, Room 6244, Washington, DC 20520 Mr. Peter Rodman, Chairman, Policy Planning Council S/P, Department of State, Room 7312, Washington, DC 20520 Mr. Stephen Rosen, Political-Military Staff Member National Security Council, Old Executive Office Building, Washington, DC 20500 Mr. Peter Tomsen, Director, INS Department of State, Room 5251, Washington, DC 20520 Mr. Darnell M. Whitt Intelligence Adviser to the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Room 4D840, Pentagon, Washington, DC 20301 Mr. Ronald P. Zwart, Special Assistant for South Asia, International Security Affairs/Near Eastern-South Asia Region, ncnartmant of Defense, Room 4D765, Pentagon, Washington, DC 20301 -8- SE CRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/06: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000506700001-8