NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY FRIDAY 8 APRIL 1983

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
16
Document Creation Date: 
December 21, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 10, 2008
Sequence Number: 
74
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 8, 1983
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3.pdf509.77 KB
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Director of Central Intelligence Top Secret Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 `-? Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Top Secret Contents Guatemala: Army Success Delays Guerrillas .......................... 1 Chad: Government Deployments ............................................ 2 Iran-Iraq: Policies on Oil Spill .................................................. 4 EI Salvador: Insurgent Leader Killed ...................................... 5 Nicaragua-UN: Proposal for a Conference ............................ 6 Special Analysis USSR-Western Europe: Impact of Expulsion of Soviets ..... 7 Top Secret 8 April 1983 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Top Secret Army Counterinsurgency Operations Puc,`ic OCEFr7 E tJes4roye guerriil bta~e c?mp ~- 1iti) Top Secret ~\ ,~~yqugOOry rB~ tlOn 19 not n^1^1^1Y_Y_Y_essarily authoritative. Hon r 8 April 1983 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Top Secret GUATEMALA: Army Success Delays Guerrillas Extensive sweep operations b he Arm robabl have delayed the insurgents' planned offensive. The Army late last month overran a large guerrilla base in San Marcos Department run jointly by the two largest insurgent groups. It reportedly served as a major logistics and training center. Thy claims to have inflicted heavy casualties on the insurgents 25X1 25X1 an unsuccessful attempt to intercept a large shipment of arms Earlier, the Army launched a sweep along the Mexican border in Comment: The renewed sweep operations probably helped to disrupt guerrilla plans to prevent President Rios Montt from liftin the i last month. In addition The insurgents appear to a cooperating more c ose y, owever, an they are intent on conducting new attacks to demonstrate they have not been defeated. Top Secret 1 8 April 1983 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Top Secret CHAD: Government Deployments The rapid buildup of forces in northern Chad makes a resumption of clashes likely, despite the UN Security Council's statement this week callin on Chad and Lib a to resolve their differences peacefully. The Security Council's statement appeals to the two countries to make the fullest use of the OAU. Nonaligned members of the Council resisted intense Soviet and Libyan pressure to block the statement. Chadian President Habre continues to reinforce his strongholds at Faya-Largeau and Fada and is moving to establish forward bases nearer the Libyan-backed dissidents' positions. Government officials claim to have deployed almost 5,,000 troops in the north and say they have started patrolling the area. lack of pay is causing morale problems, articularly among southern troops reluctant to fight in the north. According to ha ian o icia s, t e rebel force at Ouni y desertions and severe internal dissension. Comment: The Security Council statement sets a precedent for Council involvement. Strong Nonaligned support may encourage Chad to return to the Council to focus international attention on Libya's activities. Prospects for any OAU success on this issue are bleak, however, because of disarray in the organization. With the UN vote over and the rainy season approaching, Habre is likely to move on the dissidents soon. Both sides are aware that the resupply of Faya-Largeau and Fada by land will be difficult after the May rains begin. The careful step-by-step buildup by Habre's forces contrasts with their often impulsive tactics of the past and increases their prospects for successfully engaging the Libyan-backed rebels. Top Secret 2 8 April 1983 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Approved For Release 2008/06/10 :CIA-RDP85T01094R000200010074-3 Top Secret Kuwait *1 owair sta