ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85T01184R000100230001-0
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 10, 2010
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: July 20, 1984
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2010/08/10: CIA-RDP85TO1184R000100230001-0
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
20 July 1984
DI EE184-015
20 July 1984
Approved For Release 2010/08/10: CIA-RDP85TO1184R000100230001-0
 Approved For Release 2010/08/10: CIA-RDP85TO1184ROO0100230001-0
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 Approved For Release 2010/08/10: CIA-RDP85T01184R000100230001-0
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Economic Industrial Production
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Energy World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price 10
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price (Chart) 11
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 Approved For Release 2010/08/10: CIA-RDP85TO1184R000100230001-0
Percent Change From Previous Period
(Seasonally Adjusted at an Annual Rate)
1st Qtr Feb Mar Apr May
United States 2.6 -8.1 6.4 11.4 12.0 6.2 11.0 4.5
Japan 1.0 0.4 3.5 13.5 48.5 -14.7 10.0 23.3
West Germany -2.3 -3.2 0.4 1.8 12.9 39.6 20.6
France -2.6 -1.5 1.2 6.3 -8.7 19.9 -30.7
United Kingdom -3.9 2.0 2.9 0.4 -16.9 -11.1 -2.3
Italy -2.4 -2.2 -4.8 -2.4 141.8
Canada 0.9 -10.7 5.9 3.6 -28.7 6.3 9.1
Percent Change From Previous Period
(Constant Market Prices; Seasonally Adjusted at an Annual Rate)
3d Qtr 4th Qtr 1st Qtr
United States 2.6 -1.9 3.4 7.6 5.0 9.7
Japan 4.1 3.3 3.1 6.2 3.1 7.4
West Germany -0.3 -1.1 1.3 -0.5 5.4 4.8
Consumer Prices
Percent Change From Previous Period
(Seasonally Adjusted at an Annual Rate)
0.2 2.0 0.7 -0.3 2.3 1.5
-0.7 2.1 3.4 -0.3 10.1 1.2
0.2 -0.4 -1.2 4.6 4.1
3.4 -4.4 3.3 7.8 5.1 3.3
United States 10.3 6.2 3.2 5.0 5.6 2.4
Japan 4.9 2.6 1.8 3.6 -0.7 1.6 -6.1
West Germany 6.0 5.3 3.6 2.1 1.0 1.8 2.2
France 13.3 12.0 9.5 7.2 3.7 7.6 8.0
United Kingdom 11.9 8.6 4.6 4.3 0.7 3.3 5.2
Italy 19.3 16.4 14.9 11.2 10.9 9.2 10.8
Canada 12.5 10.8 5.8 5.7 6.0 2.0
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Money Supply, M-1
Percent Change From Previous Period
(Based on Amounts in National Currency Units; Seasonally Adjusted at an Annual Rate)
United States a
7.1
6.6
11.0
Japan
3.7
7.1
3.0
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.3
France
12.6
13.9
10.1
United Kingdom
NA
NA
15.1
Italy
11.2
11.6
15.3
Canada
3.8
0.6
10.2
Unemployment Rate
Percent
(Seasonally adjusted)
United States
7.5
9.6
9.4
Japan
2.2
2.4
2.7
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
France
7.6
8.4
8.5
United Kingdom
10.0
11.7
12.4
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
Canada
7.5
11.1
11.9
1st Qtr
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
7.4
5.3
0.2
13.6
12.2
5.8
30.9
16.7
-23.1
0.5
-1.7
26.9
-14.2
10.1
45.5
20.1
20.7
9.3
20.6
3.3
5.3
0.4
7.1
-8.3
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Apr
May
Jun
7.8
7.4
7.7
7.4
7.0
2.7
2.6
2.7
8.8
9.3
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.1
9.7
9.5
9.7
9.9
12.4
12.6
12.5
12.6
12.7
11.3
11.4
11.4
11.7
11.2
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Billion US $, f.o.b.
(Seasonally Adjusted)
United States
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.7
53.3
17.2
17.7
17.5
17.9
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.2
79.5
26.1
26.8
28.4
25.6
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.5
-26.2
-8.9
-9.0
-10.8
-7.6
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.5
40.4
13.5
13.7
13.8
14.3
Imports
129.5
119.7
113.9
30.4
10.2
10.3
10.2
10.9
Balance
20.0
18.5
31.6
10.0
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.4
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
44.3
15.8
14.3
14.4
15.0
Imports b
163.4
155.3
152.9
39.5
13.7
13.1
13.2
13.3
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.5
4.8
2.0
1.3
1.2
1.6
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
24.1
7.6
8.5
8.1
8.7
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
25.7
8.1
8.9
8.7
8.7
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-1.5
-0.6
-0.3
-0.5
0.0
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.0
91.8
24.2
8.6
8.3
7.6
7.8
Imports
96.1
93.5
92.7
24.3
8.0
8.6
8.8
8.3
Balance
6.4
3.6
-0.8
-0.1
0.6
-0.3
-1.2
-0.4
Italy
Exports
75.3
74.0
72.7
19.3
6.1
6.5
5.8
Imports
91.3
86.9
80.8
21.6
6.6
7.9
7.2
Balance
-16.0
-13.0
-8.1
-2.3
-0.5
-1.4
-1.3
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.6
74.1
21.4
6.8
7.3
7.0
7.4
Imports
64.3
53.7
59.4
17.8
5.9
6.2
5.6
6.1
Balance
6.2
14.8
14.6
3.6
0.9
1.1
1.4
1.3
a Imports are customs values.
b Imports are c.i.f.
a Converted to US dollars at current market rates of exchange.
b Seasonally adjusted.
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Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
2.6
2.0
18.5
4.9
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
0.0
57.6
68.4
-21.3
-30.7
France
-12.0
-5.5
-5.0
3.5
46.5
82.0
19.7
United Kingdom
NA
-7.3
-5.9
0.9
32.7
10.5
-13.4
-18.2
Italy
-7.8
-3.2
-5.8
-1.2
24.4
97.2
Canada
3.9
-2.0
-1.2
0.8
-32.1
-7.5
13.2
-7.1
Import Prices in US $
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
Japan
3.6
-7.3
-5.1
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
United Kingdom
NA
-6.1
-5.2
Italy
1.1
-7.3
-7.6
Canada
8.7
-1.1
-3.4
1st Qtr
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
-3.5
-3.6
8.1
8.9
19.0
0.2
3.6
31.3
-15.8
2.8
43.0
61.8
-16.8
-21.5
16.9
23.0
38.2
-22.1
3.9
45.1
18.7
-11.3
-20.5
3.3
89.5
29.9
3.3
15.5
-15.8
-17.7
-14.3
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Exchange Rate Trends
United States
10.5
10.6
5.8
4.6
-18.0
15.3
35.9
Japan
9.3
-5.7
10.4
8.2
33.2
16.1
-10.4
West Germany
-2.1
7.0
5.8
2.6
11.7
-3.2
-8.7
Japan
2.7
-12.8
4.5
5.4
35.7
0.0
-32.4
-9.7
West Germany
-24.6
-7.2
-5.2
-3.2
39.2
-31.2
-53.4
8.6
France
-28.7
-20.8
-15.9
-6.5
36.9
-24.7
-51.5
7.1
United Kingdom
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-9.1
14.6
-24.3
-25.2
-4.4
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada 18.46 14.48 9.53 10.02 9.94 10.28
finance paper (3 months)
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
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Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b., US Ports)
United States 104.3 100.0 101.4 97.6 104.3 100.6 99.9 98.4
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
Cocoa
(? per pound)
Coffee
($ per pound)
Corn
(US #3
yellow, c.i.f.
Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Cotton
(Memphis middling
11/16 inch,$ per pound)
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
Rice
(New Orleans
No. 2, milled f.o.b.,
S per metric ton)
Soybeans
(US #2
yellow, c.i.f.
Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mil.
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Meal 257 252 219 238 229 214 219 202
(US, c.i.f.
Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Sugar
(World raw London,
bulk 2 per pound)
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
Rotterdam
c.i.f.
$ per metric ton)
Food Index a
(1975= 100)
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Major US producer
71.6
77.3
76.0
77.7
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
LME cash
80.8
57.4
44.9
65.1
68.2
59.5
58.2
58.2
Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
50.0
50.0
50.0
Copper a
(bar, c per pound)
Gold
is per troy ounce)
375.5
424.4
382.8
378.8
375.9
379.0
(C per pound)
24.7
19.2
18.9
21.3
20.5
21.7
Manganese Ore
(48rf Mn, $ per long ton)
2.2
2.2
2.2
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
677.0
446.0
326.7
422.6
388.9
388.1
386.9
384.2
Silver
($ per troy ounce)
Steel Scrap d 91.2 92.0
($ per long ton)
Tin a
(C per pound)
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal.
$ per metric ton)
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long (on)
Zinc a
(C per pound)
Lumber Index e
167
159
(1975= 1001
Industrial
Materials Index f
184
166
(1975-100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by
major world producers and traders, although only small
quantities of these metals are actually traded on the
LME.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
e Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2
bundles delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadel-
phia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of 11
types of lumber whose prices are regarded as bellweth-
ers of US lumber construction costs.
f The industrial materials index is compiled by The
Economist for 18 raw materials which enter interna-
tional trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-year
moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984a
1st Qtr
Feb
Mar
Apr
World
59,469
55,818
53,053
54,010
54,010
54,271
54,112
52,722
Non-Communist countries
45,244
41,593
38,803
38,219
39,624
39,978
39,612
38,222
Developed countries
12,859
13,579
13,276
14,372
14,372
14,515
14,183
12,871
United States
8,597
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,615
8,662
8,510
8,757
Canada
1,424
1,285
1,270
1,320
1,600
1,600
1,600
United Kingdom
1,619
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,573
2,647
2,514
2,524
Norway
528
501
518
614
679
680
670
675
Other
691
717
736
915
905
926
889
915
Non-OPEC LDCs
5,444
6,027
6,636
6,841
7,218
7,296
7,227
7,310
Mexico
1,937
2,312
2,749
2,684
2,711
2,757
2,711
2,771
Egypt
595
598
665
689
728
735
735
735
Other
2,912
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,779
3,804
3,781
3,804
OPEC
26,941
22,680
18,891
17,549
18,034
18,167
18,202
18,041,
Algeria
1,020
803
701
699
617
600
600
600
Ecuador
204
211
211
236
242
240
245
256
Gabon
175
151
154
157
150
150
150
150
Indonesia
1,576
1,604
1,314
1,385
1,534
1,575
1,560
1,600
Iran
1,662
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,248
2,350
2,400
2,300
Iraq
2,514
993
972
922
1,119
1,000
1,200
1,200
Kuwait b
1,389
947
663
881
966
1,000
1,050
900
Libya
1,830
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,100
Neutral Zone
544
370
317
390
472
474
482
435
Nigeria
2,058
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,459
1,563
1,460
1,300
Qatar
471
405
328
295
388
340
380
325
Saudi Arabia b
9,631
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,766
4,800
4,600
4,900
UAE
1,702
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,160
1,160
1,160
1,160
Venezuela
2,165
2,108
1,893
1,790
1,813
1,815
1,815
1,815
Communist countries
14,225
14,225
14,250
14,483
14,386
14,293
14,500
14,500
USSR
11,700
11,790
11,800
11,956
11,776
11,683
11,890
11,890
China
2,118
2,024
2,040
2,107
2,190
2,190
2,190
2,190
Other
407
411
410
420
420
420
420
420
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
c Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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United Kingdom 1,422 1,325 1,345 1,290 1,310 1,386 1,472
Italy b 1,602 1,705 1,618 1,589 1,804 1,742 1,660 1,550 1,433
Canada 1,730 1,617 1,454 1,354 1,294 1,367 1,346
a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only.
United States
5,220
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,029
2,952
3,455
3,430
3,785
Japan
4,373
3,919
3,657
3,567
3,591
4,102
4,432
3,636
West Germany
1,953
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,483
1,503
1,330
1,455
France
2,182
1,804
1,596
1,429
1,839
1,538
1,560
1,473
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OPEC average b
18.67
30.87
34.50
33.63
29.31
28.77
28.76
28.76
28.80
Algeria
42? API 0.10% sulfur
19.65
37.59
39.58
35.79
31.30
30.50
30.50
30.50
30.50
Ecuador
28? API 0.93% sulfur
22.41
34.42
34.50
32.96
27.59
27.50
27.50
27.50
27.50
Gabon
29? API 1.26 % sulfur
18.20
31.09
34.83
34.00
29.82
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
Indonesia
35? API 0.09% sulfur
18.35
30.55
35.00
34.92
29.95
29.53
29.53
29.53
29.53
Light
34? API 1.35% sulfur
19.45
34.54
36.60
31.05
28.61
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
Heavy
31 ? API 1.60% sulfur
18.49
33.60
35.57
29.15
27.44
27.10
27.10
27.10
27.10
Iraq ?
35? API 1.95% sulfur
18.56
30.30
36.66
34.86
30.32
29.43
29.43
29.43
29.43
Kuwait
311 API 2.50% sulfur
18.48
29.84
35.08
32.30
27.68
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
Libya
40? API 0.22% sulfur
21.16
36.07
40.08
35.69
30.91
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
Nigeria
34? API 0.16% sulfur
20.86
35.50
38.48
35.64
30.22
29.85
29.85
29.85
29.85
Qatar
40? API 1.17% sulfur
19.72
31.76
37.12
34.56
29.95
29.49
29.49
29.49
29.49
Berri
39? API 1.16% sulfur
19.33
30.19
34.04
34.68
29.96
29.50
29.50
29.52
29.52
Light
34? API 1.70% sulfur
17.26
28.67
32.50
34.00
29.46
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
Medium
31 ? API 2.40% sulfur
16.79
28.12
31.84
32.40
27.86
27.40
27.40
27.40
27.40
Heavy
27? API 2.85% sulfur
16.41
27.67
31.13
31.00
26.46
26.00
26.00
26.00
26.00
UAE
39? API 0.75% sulfur
19.81
31.57
36.42
34.74
30.38
29.56
29.56
29.56
29.56
Venezuela
26? API 1.52% sulfur
17.22
28.44
32.88
32.88
28.69
27.88
27.88
27.88
27.88
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most
cases, for the producing company buy-back oil.
b Weighted by the volume of production.
? Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in
calculating the OPEC average official sales price.
Approved For Release 2010/08/10: CIA-RDP85T01184R000100230001-0
 Approved For Release 2010/08/10: CIA-RDP85TO1184R000100230001-0
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Sales Price
3.39
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81
Annual average
4 .1 .!g to
d a M a M ~i ~(f~f
Approved For Release 2010/08/10: CIA-RDP85TO1184R000100230001-0