ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85T01184R000100300001-2
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 30, 2010
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 26, 1984
• Content Type: REPORT

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~~f`.~ +rf u~reuors~ir v~
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
D/ EE/ 84-022
26 October 1984
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Economic & Energy
Indicators
Industrial Production
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Page
Energy
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price 10
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price (Chart) I 1
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr 2d Qtr Jul Aug Sep
United States 2.6 -8.1 6.4 11.4 8.6 11.5 1.5 -7.0
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
United States
2.5
-2.1
3.7
10.1
7.1
2.7
Japan
4.1
3.3
3.1
7.6
6.7
West Germany
-0.2
-1.1
1.3
5.0
-8.1
France
0.2
2.0
0.7
4.1
-2.3
United Kingdom
_--
-0.9
1.4
3.4
- -
3.2 -6.9
Italy
0.2
-0.4
-
1.2
3.5 3.0
Canada
3.3
-4.4
3.3
2.8 3.0
a Constant market prices.
Consumer Prices
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1981
1982
1983
1984
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul Aug Sep
United States
10.3
6.2
3.2
5.0
3.7
- _ ----
3.5 5.5
Japan
4.9
2.6
1.8
3.5
1.0
6.5
-3.5
3.7
West Germany
6.0
5.3
3.6
2.1
1.7
_
___
-0.6 0.2 0.8
France
13.3
12.0
9.5
7.2
6.3
6.7 7.9 8.2
United Kingdom
11.9
8.6
4.6
4.3
2.8
2.1 12.5 6.1
Italy
19.3
16.4
14.9
11.1
10.7
6.2 8.2 3.8
Canada
12.5
10.8
5.8
5.6
2.6
7.0 1.9 3.1
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Money Supply, M-18
1981
1982
198:
United States b
7.1
6.6
11.0
Japan
3.7
7.1
3.0
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.3
France
12.2
13.9
10.0
United Kingdom
NA
NA
15.1
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
7.4
6.3
-1.3
1.6
6.1
5.8
5.8
-0.3
6.6
0.5
3.0
10.3
0.9
17.9
6.9
12.5
24.5
-7.7
20.0
13.2
8 Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including M1-A and M1-B.
Unemployment Rate .
Percent
seasonall
y adjusted
1981
1982
1983
1984
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
United States
7.5
9.6
9.4
7.8
7.4
7.4
7.4
7.3
Japan
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.8
2.8
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
10.0
8.7
8.9
8.9
8.6
France
7.6
8.6
8.5
9.1
9.6
10.0
10.2
10.3
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
12.3
12.5
12.6
12.7
12.8
12.9
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
11.0
10.4
Canada
7.5
11.1
11.9
11.3
11.4
11.0
11.2
11.8
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United States b
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.7
53.3
53.1
19.4
18.0
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.2
79.5
79.3
31.9
26.6
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.5
-26.2
-26.2
-12.4
-8.5
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.3
145.5
40.4
42.5
14.1
14.1
Imports
129.5
119.7
114.1
30.4
31.7
10.9
11.4
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.5
10.0
_ 10.8
3.3
2.7
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.4
44.3
42.4
14.7
15.3
Imports ~
163.4
155.3
152.9
39.5
39.2
13.2
13.5
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
4.8
3.3
1.6
1.8
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
24.1
25.0
7.9
8.7
7.9
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
25.7
26.1
8.0
8.3
7.9
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-1.5
-1.2
-0.1
0.4
0.1
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
91.8
24.2
23.6
7.2
7.8
Imports
94.6
93.0
92.7
24.3
25.3
7.4
8.6
Balance
7.9
4.1
-0.8
-0.1
-1.7
-0.2
-0.7
Italy
Exports
75.4
74.0
72.7
19.2
17.1
6.5
6.5
Imports
91.2
86.8
80.7
21.6
20.3
6.7
7.2
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-2.4
-3.2
-0.2
-0.7
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.7
21.4
21.7
7.4
7.8
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
17.8
17.5
5.8
6.8
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.4
3.6
4.1
1.6
1.1
e Seasonally adjusted.
n Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
United States
6.3
-9.2
-41.6
Japan
4.8
6.9
20.8
West Germany
-6.8
3.5
4.1
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
-19.7
-24.4
4.8
10.0
2.0
4.5
3.2
1.2
0.7
-0.2
1.1
-1.2
-0.1
-0.4
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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Export Prices in US $ Percent changelrom previous period
at an annual rate
United States
Japan
West Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Canada
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jun
Jul
Aug
9.2
1.5
1.0
-1.3
5.8
12.8
-17.9
3.0
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
2.6
-1.7
-26.6
-24.1
30.7
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
0.2
0.8
3.7
-35.9
-10.4
-12.0
-5.5
-5.0
3.9
9.2
5.0
-39.3
NA
-7.3
-5.9
0.9
-3.9
-0.2
-32.1
3.0
-7.8
-3.2
-5.8
-0.7
-3.1
17.2
3.9
-2.0
-1.2
1.1
-7.1
-31.1
22.3
14.3
Import Prices in US $
Percent changelrom previous period
at an annual rate
1981
1982
1983
1984
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
May
Jun Jul Aug
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
-3.2
7.1
17.9
-3.3 5.1 4.5
Japan
3.6
-7.3
-5.1
0.2
-3.4
-26.5
27.1 -23.8 50.9
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
3.0
3.0
-22.3
-2.2 -36.5 -9.9
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
16.5
3.4
X0.3
56.9 -58.4
United Kingdom
NA
-6.1
-5.2
3.9
-2.2
-20.5
-8.7 -28.0 6.5
Italy
1.0
-7.3
-7.6
2.6
7.9
-26.9
3.9
Canada
8.7
-1.1
-3.4
4.4
-8.8
-14.0
25.7 -3.2 26.1
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Exchange Rate Trends
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
1981
1982
1983
1984
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr Aug Sep
Trade-Weighted
_
_
United States
10.5
10.6
5.8
4.6
5.8
Japan
9.3
-5.7
10.4
8.2
6.5
West Germany
-2.1
7.0
5.8
2.6
1.6
_
_
France
-5.1
-6.1
-4.7
-0.9
_
1.3
_ _
United Kingdom
2.5
-2.1
-5.0
-4.7
-8.2 _
_ _
_
_- _
_ ___ --
Italy
-9.2
-5.1
-1.6
-3.9
-0.8
Canada
0.3
0.2
2.3
-4.2
-10.2
Dollar Cost of Foreign Currency
_
__
_
___.
Japan
2.7
-12.8
4.5
5.4
1.8
-23.8
12.5
-34.8
West Germany
-24.6
-7.2
-5.2
-3.2
-2.0
-33.8
-15 6
-75.5
_ France
-28.7
-20.8
-15.9
-6.5
-2.0
-33.2
_
-15.5_ _ _
-74.2_ _ __-
_
United Kingdom
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-9.1
-10.5
-25.2
-3.9 _
-40.8
Italy
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-9.5
-3_6
-32:5
-21.8
-78.5
Canada
-2.5
-2.9
0.1
-5.6
-12.5
_ _
-6.6
_
16.4
-9.7
Money Market Rates
Percen
1981
1982
1983
1984
ls[ Qtr
2d Qtr
Feb
Mar
Apr
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
Japan 7.79 7.23
loans and discounts
(2 months)
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months) _
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months) _
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
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Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b., US Ports)
125.2
112.1
108.4
110.7
105.6
107.0
98.7
100.6
96.1
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
104.3
100.0
101.4
97.6
104.3
100.6
97.8
97.7
94.4
Cocoa
(? per pound)
113.5
89.8
74.3
92.1
113.0
113.3
99.9
98.6
104.0
Coffee
($ per pound)
1.54
-1.28
1.40
1.32
1.45
1.49
1.45
1.48
1.43
Corn
(US # 3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
150
150
123
148
155
162
150
149
144
Cottoa
(Memphis middling
1 1 / 16 inch, $ per pound)
0.8219
0.7243
0.6073
0.6873
0.7188
0.7762
0.6383
0.6304
0.6060
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
583
571
445
502
865
858
587
562
620
Rice Prices
US
(No. 2, milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
598
632
481
514
529
531
502
496
496
ThaiSWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
522
573
362
339
316
318
326
338
303
Soybeans
(US # 2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
296
288
244
282
304
321
262
261
246
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ez-mil.
$ per metric ton)
598
507
447
527
704
843
689
679
692
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
257
252
219
238
229
214
177
179
166
Sugar
(World raw London,
bulk ? per pound)
28.63
?16.88
8.42
8.45
6.69
5.75
4.26
4.05
4.14
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(US ? per pound)
101.4
91.0
89.9
105.2
176.7
155.0
139
133
154.1
Wbeat
(US # 2. DNS
Rotterdam c.i.f.
$ per metric ton)
209
210
187
183
191
184
175
172
172
FoodIndex^
232
203
167
184
202
208
189
189
185
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1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Aug
Sep
Aluminum (? per pound)
Major US producer
71.6
77.3
76.0
77.7
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
LME cash
80.8
57.4
44.9
65.1
68.2
59.5
50.2
51.9
45.8
Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
55.0
53.0
50.9
50.0
50.0
50.0
50.0
50.0
50.0
Copper a (bar, ? per pound)
98.7
79.0
67.1
72.0
64.9
65.5
59.8
60.3
58.7
Gold ($ per troy ounce)
612.1
460.0
375.5
424.4
382.8
378.8
345.3
346.7
341.1
Lead e (? per pound)
41.1
32.9
24.7
19.2
18.9
21.3
20.7
21.4
18.2
Manganese Ore
78.5
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
69.8
69.8
69 8
69.8
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
Nickel ($ per pound)
--
-- -
Cathcde major producer
3.5
3.5
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
LME Cash
3.0
2.7
2.2
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.1
Platinum ($ per troy ounce)
- _
- -- -__
Major producer
439.5
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
Metals week,
677.0
446.0
326.7
422.6
388.9
388.1
336.0
338.4
327.0
New York dealers' price
Rubber (? per pound)
Synthetic b
40.6
47.5
45.7
44.0
44.1
45.7
NA
46.8
NA
Natural ~
73.8
56.8
45.4
56.2
57.9
51.7
45.8
44.6
46.3
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
20.7
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.9
9.0
7.4
7.5
7.2
Steel Scrap ~ ($ per long ton)
91.2
92.0
63.1
73.2
93.3
88.3
82.9
81.6
84.7
Tin d (? per pound)
761.3
641.4
581.6
590.9
559.1
571.3
558.3
560.1
549.0
Tungsten Ore
18,219
18,097
13,426
10,177
9,621
10,934
10,406
9,962
11,011
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
486.2
543.5
567.3
590.2
602.1
609.5
6 ] 7.0
617.84
617.8
Zinc a (? per pound)
34.4
38.4
33.7
34.7
45.1
44.8
37.6
38.0
35.9
Lumber Index e
167
159
140
190
19S
l83
164
165
159
(1975=100)
Industrial Materials Index r
184
166
]42
152
155
147
17R
1 to
1 ~1
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
a Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of 1 ] types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
rThe industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year rnoving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
1980
1981
1982
1983
19848
1st Qtr
Apr
May
June
World
59,464
55,818
53,017
52,579
53,808
54,024
53,541
54,306
Non-Commmdst countries
45,244
41,593
38,813
38,219
39,256
39,492
39,009
39,874
Developed countries
12,859
13,579
13,276
14,372
14,143
14,275
14,246
14,041
United States
8,597
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,615
8,757
8,778
8,689
Canada
1,424
1,285
1,270
1,320
1,400
1,400
1,400
1,400
United Kingdom
1,619
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,546
2,540
2,481
2,380
Norway
528
501
518
614
670
680
665
675
Other
691
717
736
915
912
898
922
897
Non-OPEC LDCs
5,444
6,027
6,636
6,841
7,314
7,361
7,378
7,513
Mexico
1,937
2,312
2,749
2,684
2,711
2,771
2,781
2,820
Egypt
595
598
665
689
750
750
750
750
Other
2,912
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,853
3,840
3,847
3,943
OPEC
26,941
22,680
18,901
17,549
17,799
17,856
17,385
18,320
Algeria
1,020
803
701
699
617
600
650
700
Ecuador
204
211
211
236
242
256
250
260
Gabon
.175
151
154
157
150
150
150
160
Indonesia
1,576
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,404
1,470
1,340
1,390
Iran
1,662
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,248
2,300
2,100
2,200
Iraq
2,514
993
972
922
1,119
1,200
1,200
1,225
Kuwait n
1,389
947
663
881
966
900
900
950
Libya
1,830
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,100
1,150
1,150
1,180
Neutral Zone ~
544
370
317
390
472
435
400
370
Nigeria
2,058
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,459
1,300
1,200
1,300
Qatar
471
405
328
295
388
325
350
450
Saudi Arabia b
9,631
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,766
4,900
4,800
5,250
UAE
1,702
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,160
1,160
1,160
1,185
Venezuela
2,165
2,108
1,893
1,790
1,708
1,710
1,735
1,700
Communist countries
14,220
14,225
14,204
14,360
14,552
14,532
14,532
14,432
USSR
11,700
11,790
11,750
11,820
11,910
11,890
11,890
11,790
China
2,113
2,024
2,044
2,120
2,222
2,222
2,222
2,222
Other
407
411
410
420
420
420
420
420
e Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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 Approved For Release 2010/09/30 :CIA-RDP85T01184R000100300001-2
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
United States e
17,006
16,058
15,296
15,184
Japan
4,674
4,444
4,204
4,193
West Germany
2,356
2,120
2,024
2,003
France
1,965
1,744
1,632
1,594
United Kingdom
1,422
1,325
1,345
1,290
Italy s
1,602
1,705
1,618
1,589
Canada
1,730
1,617
1,454
1,354
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep __
16,044
15, 5 79
15,687
15, 547
15 , 661
15, 8 5 2
5,129
3,874
3,798
_
2,032
1,996
1,924
2,141
_
1, 817
1,436
1,421
1,223
1, 303
1, 393
1, 543
1,605
1,445
1,735
1,425
1,292
1,346
1,366
1,305
1,331
1,302
.Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
United States
5,220
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,145
3,585
3,410
3,428
3,312
3,453
Japan
4,373
3,919
3,657
3,567
4,042
3,539
3,097
3,504
West Germany
1,953
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,420
1,378
1,343
1,383
France
2,182
1,804
1,596
1,429
1,646 _
1,372
1,300
1,181
United Kingdom
893
736
565
456
367
500
489
429
Italy
1,860
1,816
1,710
1,532
1,667
Canada
557
521
334
247
321
203
228
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 Approved For Release 2010/09/30 :CIA-RDP85T01184R000100300001-2
Algeria
42? API 0.10% sulfur
19.65
37.59
39.58
35.79
31.30
30.50
30.50
30.50
30.50
30.50
Ecuador
28? API 0.93% sulfur
22.41
34.42
34.50
32.96
27.59
27.50
27.50
27.50
27.50
27.50
Gabon
29? API 1.26 % sulfur
18.20
31.09
34.83
34.00
29.82
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
Indonesia
35? API 0.09% sulfur
18.35
30.55
35.00
34.92
29.95
29.53
29.53
29.53
29.53
29.53
Iran
Light
34? API 1.35% sulfur
19.45
34.54
36.60
31.05
28.61
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
Heavy
31 ? API 1.60% sulfur
18.49
33.60
35.57
29.15
27.44
27.10
27.10
27.10
27.10
27.10
Iraq ~
35? API 1.95% sulfur
18.56
30.30
36.66
34.86
30.32
29.43
29.43
29.43
29.43
29.43
Kuwait
31 ? API 2.50% sulfur
18.48
29.84
35.08
32.30
27.68
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
Libya
40? API 0.22% sulfur
21.16
36.07
40.08
35.69
30.91
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
Nigeria
34? API 0.16% sulfur
20.86
35.50
38.48
35.64
30.22
29.85
29.85
29.85
29.85
29.85
Qatar
40? API 1.17% sulfur
19.72
31.76
37.12
34.56
29.95
29.49
29.49
29.49
29.49
29.49
Saudi Arabia
Berri
39? API 1.16% sulfur
19.33
30.19
34.04
34.68
29.96
29.50
29.52
29.52
29.52
29.52
Light
34? API 1.70% sulfur
17.26
28.67
32.50
34.00
29.46
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
Medium
31 ? API 2.40% sulfur
16.79
28.12
31.84
32.40
27.86
27.40
27.40
27.40
27.40
27.40
Heavy
27? API 2.85% sulfur
16.41
27.67
31.13
31.00
26.46
26.00
26.00
26.00
26.00
26.00
UAE
39? API 0.75% sulfur
19.81
31.57
36.42
34.74
30.38
29.56
29.56
29.56
29.56
29.56
Venezuela
26? API 1.52% sulfur
17.22
28.44
32.88
32.88
28.69
27.88
27.88
27.88
27.88
27.88
e F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most
cases, for the producing company buy-back oil.
b Weighted by the volume of production.
? Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in
calculating the OPEC average official sales price.
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 Approved For Release 2010/09/30 :CIA-RDP85T01184R000100300001-2
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Sales Price
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