ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85T01184R000100320003-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 3, 2010
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: November 30, 1984
• Content Type: REPORT

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Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EEI 84-024
30 November 1984
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Economic & Energy
Indicators
Energy
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Page
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price 10
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price (Chart) 11
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr Aug Sep
United States 2.6 -8.1 6.4 11.4 8.6 6.6 1.5 -6.3
-27.1
9.3-----36.2
--- .3----- .2--
- 3.0 1.2 16.9
7.7 19.1- 14.6
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr
United States
2.5
-2.1
3.7
10.1 7.1 1.9
Japan
4.1
3.3
3.1
7.6 6.7
West Germany
-0.2
-1.1
1.3
5.0 -8.1
France
0.2
2.0
0.7
4.1 -2.3
United Kingdom
-0.9
1.4
3.4
_
3.4 -5.6
Italy
0.2
-0.4
-1.2
3.5 3.0
Canada
3.3
-4.4
3.3
2.8 3.0
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3rd Qtr Sep Oct
United States
10.3
6.2
3.2
5.0
3.7
3.6 4.3 4.3
Japan
4.9
2.6
1.8
3.6
0.9
1.2 4.6 3.0
West Germany
6.0
5.3
3.6
2.1
1.7
0.6 1.4 8.1
France
13.3
12.0
9.5
7.2
6.3
7.3 7.1 6.5
United Kingdom
11.9
8.6
4.6
4.4
2.8
5.9 6.2 7.3
Italy
19.3
16.4
14.9
11.1
10.6
7.9 3.5 4.2
Canada
12.5
10.8
5.8
5.7
2.6
3.2 2.9 0.9
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Money Supply, M-1 a
United States b
7.1
6.6
11.0
Japan
3.7
7.1
3.0
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.3
France
12.2
13.9
10.0
United Kingdom
NA
NA
15.1
Italy
11.2
11.6
15.3
Canada
3.8
0.6
10.2
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including M1-A and M1-B.
Unemployment Rate a
United States
7.5
9.6
9.4
Japan
2.2
2.4
2.7
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
France
7.6
8.6
8.5
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
12.3
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
Canada
7.5
11.1
11.9
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
7.4
6.3
-1.1
2.0
4.9
5.4
6.1
0.7
6.6
64.1
0.5
3.0
10.3
0.9
17.9
6.6
10.0
-25.5
8.2
12.5
24.5
-7.7
20.0
13.2
9.6
21.5
-8.9
4.7
1.3
-14.7
1.6
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3rd Qtr
Sep
Oct
7.8
7.4
7.4
7.3
7.3
2.7
2.7
2.8
2.8
10.0
8.7
8.8
8.6
8.6
9.1
9.5
9.8
9.8
9.9
12.5
12.6
12.8
12.9
12.9
11.0
10.3
11.3
11.4
11.3
11.8
11.3
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1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr Aug Sep
United States b
Exports 233.5 212.3 200.7 53.3 53.1 55.7 18.0 18.2
Imports 261.0 244.0 258.2 79.5 79.3 87.9 26.6 29.4
Balance -27.5 -31.6 -57.5 -26.2 -26.2 -32.2 -8.5 -11.3
Japan
Exports 149.6 138.3 145.5 40.4 42.5 42.3 14.1 14.0
Imports 129.5 119.7 114.1 30.4 31.7 32.2 11.5 9.8
Balance 20.1 18.6 31.5 10.0 10.8 10.1 2.6 4.2
West Germany
Exports 175.4 176.4 169.4 44.2 42.4 43.4 15.2 13.7
Imports c 163.4 155.3 152.9 39.5 39.2 38.4 13.4 11.9
Balance 11.9 21.1 16.6 4.7 3.2 5.0 1.7 1.8
France
Exports 106.3 96.4 95.1 24.1 25.0 24.5 8.7 7.9
Imports 115.6 110.5 101.0 25.7 26.1 24.1 8.3 7.9
Balance -9.3 -14.0 -5.9 -1.5 -1.2 0.4 0.4 0.1
United Kingdom
Exports 102.5 97.1 91.8 24.2 23.6 22.4 7.8 7.4
Imports 94.6 93.0 92.7 24.3 25.3 24.5 8.6 8.4
Balance 7.9 4.1 -0.8 -0.1 -1.7 -2.1 -0.8 -1.0
Italy
Exports 75.4 74.0 72.7 19.2 17.1 19.3 6.5 6.3
Imports 91.2 86.8 80.7 21.6 20.3 20.8 7.2 6.9
Balance -15.9 -12.8 -7.9 -2.4 -3.2 -1.6 -0.8 -0.6
Canada
Exports 70.5 68.5 73.7 21.4 21.7 22.7 7.8 7.5
Imports 64.4 54.1 59.3 17.8 17.5 18.6 6.7 6.0
Balance 6.1 14.4 14.4 3.6 4.1 4.1 1.1 1.5
a Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr Aug Sep Oct
United States 6.3 -9.2 -41.6 -19.7 -24.4
Japan 4.8 6.9 20.8 4.8 10.0 8.8 1.2 4.3
West Germany -6.8 3.5 4.1 0.7 -0.2 -0.7 -0.4 0 2.1
France -4.7 -12.1 -4.6 -0.5 -1.0 0.7
United Kingdom 15.3 9.8 4.3 0.7 -0.4 -1.2 0.4 -0.6 -0.1
Italy -8.6 -5.7 0.6 -1.7
Canada -5.0 2.1 1.4 0 0.5
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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Export Prices in US $
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
France
-12.0
-5.5
-5.0
United Kingdom
NA
-7.3
-5.9
Italy
-7.8
-3.2
-5.8
Canada
3.9
-2.0
-1.2
Import Prices in US $
United States
5.3
-2.0
Japan
3.6
-7.3
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
France
-7.8
-7.2
United Kingdom
NA
-6.1
Italy
1.0
-7.3
Canada
8.7
-1.1
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Aug
Sep
Oct
-3.7
-3.2
7.1
4.8
3.5
-5.1
0.2
-3.4
50.9
-39.4
-5.2
3.1
2.9
-9.0
-36.7
-7.0
16.5
-3.4
-5.2
3.9
-2.2
6.5
-33.9
-24.0
-7.6
2.5
7.4
-3.4
4.4
-8.8
41.3
-44.4
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
-1.1
5.1
-18.1
3.3
1.3
2.6
-1.7
-24.1
30.7
-18.6
0.1
0.8
-35.8
-10.2
-40.1
3.9
9.2
-39.3
0.9
-3.9
-32.1
3.0
-32.6
-0.7
-3.1
1.1
-7.1
23.2
13.4
-42.6
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Percent change from previous period
at an annual 'r
United States
10.5
10.6
5.8
4.6
5.8
26.3
40.9
Japan
9.3
-5.7
10.4
8.2
6.5
-5.3
10.5
West Germany
-2.1
7.0
5.8
2.6
1.6
-2.0
-6.4
France
-5.1
-6.1
-4.7
-0.9
1.3
-1.4
-6.5
United Kingdom
2.5
-2.1
-5.0
-4.7
-8.2
-3.0
-7.0
Italy
-9.2
-5.1
-1.6
-3.9
-0.8
-0.3
-8.2
Canada
0.3
0.2
2.3
-4.2
-10.2
1.4
2.4
West Germany
-24.6
-7.2
-5.2
-3.2
-2.0
-33.8
-75.5
-20.2
France
-28.7
-20.8
-15.9
-6.5
-2.0
-33.2
-74.2
-19.3
United Kingdom
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-9.1
-10.5
-25.2
-40.8
-31.8
Italy
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-9.5
-3.6
-32.5
-78.5
-22.1
Canada
-2.5
-2.9
0.1
-5.6
-12.5
-6.6
-9.7
-4.9
Money Market Rates
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
16.24
12.49
9.23
9.88
10.57
9.76
10.28
10.57
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
15.47
14.68
12.51
12.46
12.56
12.48
12.58
12.56
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
10.02
9.94
10.28
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.14
10.95
10.00
10.53
10.95
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Agricultural Prices
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b., US Ports)
125.2
112.1
108.4
110.7
105.6
107.0
98.7
96.1
92.3
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
104.3
100.0
101.4
97.6
104.3
100.6
97.8
94.4
92.5
Cocoa
(Q per pound)
113.5
89.8
74.3
92.1
113.0
113.3
99.9
104.0
99.8
Coffee
($ per pound)
1.54
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.45
1.49
1.45
1.43
1.37
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
150
150
123
148
155
162
150
144
134
Cotton
(Memphis middling
1 1/ 16 inch, $ per pound)
0.8219
0.7243
0.6073
0.6873
0.7188
0.7762
0.6383
0.6060
0.6070
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
583
571
445
502
865
858
587
611
615
US
(No. 2, milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
598
632
481
514
529
531
502
496
496
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
522
573
362
339
316
318
326
303
306
Soybeans
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
296
288
244
282
304
321
262
246
246
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mil.
$ per metric ton)
598
507
447
527
704
843
689
694
679
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
257
252
219
238
229
214
177
166
170
Sugar
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot
prices 0/lb.)
29.03
16.93
8.42
8.49
6.65
5.68
4.19
4.04
NA
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(US 0 per pound)
101.4
91.0
89.9
105.2
176.7
155.0
139
154.1
165.2
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
Rotterdam c.i.f.
$ per metric ton)
209
210
187
183
191
184
175
172
174
Food Index a
232
203
167
184
202
208
189
185
180
(1975 =100)
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77.7
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
65.1
68.2
59.5
50.2
45.8
46.1
Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
55.0
53.0
50.9
50.0
50.0
50.0
50.0
50.0
50.0
Copper a (bar, 0 per pound)
98.7
79.0
67.1
72.0
64.9
65.5
59.8
58.7
57.6
Gold (S per troy ounce)
612.1
460.0
375.5
424.4
382.8
378.8
345.3
341.1
340.9
Lead a (4 per pound)
41.1
32.9
24.7
19.2
18.9
21.3
20.7
18.2
18.7
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
78.5
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
69.8
69.8
69.8
69.8
Nickel ($ per pound)
Cathode major producer
3.5
3.5
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
LME Cash
3.0
2.7
2.2
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.2
2.1
2.1
Platinum ($ per troy ounce)
Major producer
439.5
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
677.0
446.0
326.7
422.6
388.9
388.1
336.0
327.0
325.2
44.0
44.1
45.7
NA
NA
NA
56.2
57.9
51.7
45.8
46.3
43.6
11.4
8.9
9.0
7.4
7.2
7.3
73.2
93.3
88.3
82.9
84.7
NA
590.9
559.1
571.3
558.3
549.0
533.4
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,219
18,097
13,426
10,177
9,621
10,934
10,406
11,011
10,799
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Zinc a (4 per pound)
34.4
38.4
33.7
34.7
45.1
44.8
37.6
35.9
38.0
Lumber Index c
(1975=100)
167
159
140
190
195
183
164
159
NA
Industrial Materials Index r
184
166
142
(1975 =100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
c Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
c This index is compiled by using the average of 11 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
r The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984a
1st Half
Jul
Aug
World
59,463
55,827
53,014
52,588
53,786
Non-Communist countries
45,243
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,349
Developed countries
12,859
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,166
United States
8,597
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,678
8,729
8,781
Canada
1,424
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,400
1,425
1,425
United Kingdom
1,619
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,507
2,729
2,563
Norway
528
501
518
614
672
671
696
Other
691
717
736
915
909
Non-OPEC LDCs
5,443
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,345
Mexico
1,936
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,772
2,729
2,563
Egypt
595
598
665
689
750
Other
2,912
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,823
OPEC
26,941
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,838
17,577
16,125
Algeria
1,020
803
701
699
634
650
650
Ecuador
204
211
211
236
248
262
260
Gabon
175
151
154
157
152
160
150
Indonesia
1,576
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,400
1,270
1,290
Iran
1,662
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,223
2,400
1,800
Iraq
2,514
993
972
922
1,164
1,200
1,250
Kuwait b
1,389
947
663
881
941
900
900
Libya
1,830
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,130
1,100
980
Neutral Zone c
544
370
317
390
437
400
380
Nigeria
2,058
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,378
1,200
1,100
Qatar
471
405
328
295
381
430
410
Saudi Arabia b
9,631
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,874
4,800
4,300
UAE
1,702
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,164
1,050
,940
Venezuela
2,165
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,712
1,755
1,715
Communist countries
14,220
14,225
14,204
14,360
14,437
14,432
14,362
USSR
11,700
11,790
11,750
11,820
11,795
11,790
11,720
China
2,113
2,024
2,044
2,120
2,222
2,222
2,222
Other
407
411
410
420
420
420
420
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
United Kingdom
1,422
1,325
1,345
1,290
1,393
1,543
1,445
Italy b
1,602
1,705
1,618
1,594
1,735
1,425
1,346
1,274
1,524
Canada
1,730
1,617
1,454
1,354
1,358
1,303
1,367
1,364
a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only.
United States
5,220
4,406
3,488
3,329
Japan
4,373
3,919
3,657
3,567
West Germany
1,953
1,591
1,451
1,307
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
3,145
3,585
3,646
3,244
3,453
3,700
4,042
3,539
3,504
1,420
1,378
1,383
1,083
1,307
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1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Sep
Oct
OPEC average b
18.67
30.87
34.50
33.63
29.31
28.77
28.78
28.78
28.80
28.46
Algeria
42? API 0.10% sulfur
19.65
37.59
39.58
35.79
31.30
30.50
30.50
30.50
30.50
30.50
Ecuador
28* API 0.93% sulfur
22.41
34.42
34.50
32.96
27.59
27.50
27.50
27.50
27.50
27.50
Gabon
29? API 1.26 % sulfur
18.20
31.09
34.83
34.00
29.82
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
Indonesia
35? API 0.09% sulfur
18.35
30.55
35.00
34.92
29.95
29.53
29.53
29.53
29.53
29.53
Light
34? API 1.35% sulfur
19.45
34.54
36.60
31.05
28.61
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
Heavy
311 API 1.60% sulfur
Iraq ?
",I API 1.95% sulfur
Kuwait
31 ? API 2.50% sulfur
18.48
29.84
35.08
32.30
27.68
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
Libya
40? API 0.22% sulfur
21.16
36.07
40.08
35.69
30.91
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
Nigeria
34? API 0.16% sulfur
20.86
35.50
38.48
35.64
30.22
29.85
29.85
29.85
29.85
27.90
Qatar
40? API 1.17% sulfur
19.72
31.76
37.12
34.56
29.95
29.49
29.49
29.49
29.49
29.49
Berri
39? API 1.16% sulfur
19.33
30.19
34.04
34.68
29.96
29.50
29.52
29.52
29.52
29.52
Light
34? API 1.70% sulfur
17.26
28.67
32.50
34.00
29.46
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
29.00
Medium
31 ? API 2.40% sulfur
16.79
28.12
31.84
32.40
27.86
27.40
27.40
27.40
27.40
27.40
Heavy
27? API 2.85% sulfur
16.41
27.67
31.13
31.00
26.46
26.00
26.00
26.00
26.00
26.00
UAE
39? API 0.75% sulfur
19.81
31.57
36.42
34.74
30.38
29.56
29.56
29.56
29.56
29.56
Venezuela
26? API 1.52% sulfur
17.22
28.44
32.88
32.88
28.69
27.88
27.88
27.88
27.88
27.88
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most
cases, for the producing company buy-back oil.
b Weighted by the volume of production.
? Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in
calculating the OPEC average official sales price.
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OPEC: Average Crude Oil Sales Price
1
1984
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Iq
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